Volume
bullish on IBEX35Trading Idea Setup:
IBEX35 has given me enough confirmation indicators to forecast a bullish run from this price point. ↗️🟢
✅Favorable TP level(s):
⦁ 14269.64
⦁ 14357.51
🛑Stop Loss:
⦁ 13834.00
Indications used:
Trend confirmation indicator
Elliot wave assistance
Momentum indicators
______________________________
Trading Involves Risk: Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade in securities, commodities, and other investments carry inherent risk, including the possibility of substantial losses. Please ensure every trade placed is supported by your own thorough analysis and/or fundamental research.
Ps: All the trades that I place, I do hold indefinitely unless noted otherwise but TP points will always be provided. Happy Trading 🖤
HBARUSDT 4H Chart Analysis |Volume & Fibonacci Reaction in FocusHBARUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Volume & Fibonacci Reaction in Focus
🔍 Let’s break down the latest HBAR/USDT setup, highlighting a clear technical reaction and a new opportunity on the horizon.
⏳ 4-Hour Overview
HBAR has completed a strong impulsive leg after breaking above the RR2 of the key reversal trendline, supported by notable volume confirmation. This impressive surge was then followed by a corrective leg—a healthy sign for bulls, especially for those who missed the initial breakout.
📉 Corrective Phase & Fibonacci Support
- The current corrective leg is characterized by decreasing volume, suggesting profit-taking rather than heavy selling pressure.
- Notably, price has reacted firmly at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with classic pullback zones for continuation setups.
- This volume pattern shows traders are waiting for the next major move rather than exiting positions.
🔺 Bullish Continuation Setup
- A strong candle close above the $0.255 level on either the 1H or 4H timeframe will serve as a clear bullish confirmation.
- Such a breakout may pave the way for another impulsive leg upward, with the first upside target identified near $0.30—roughly 19% higher from the recent candle close.
📊 Key Highlights:
- The prior trend reversal was validated by surge in volume and momentum.
- Volume decline during the correction favors further upside rather than distribution.
- Price is respecting key Fibonacci levels, hinting at trend continuity.
- A confirmed close above $0.255 unlocks the next target at $0.30, marking a potential 19% move.
🚨 Conclusion:
HBAR is showing textbook trend continuation signals. For those sidelined after the initial move, the current consolidation offers a safer re-entry point, with actionable confirmation above $0.255. Stay alert for a strong candle close and keep the $0.30 target in view as bullish momentum builds.
BTCUSD - REBOUND FROM ATHYesterday BTCUSD has reached new price level slightly above 123,000.00 and started to decline afterwards on big selling volume. Also we see some divergence on momentum oscillator and MACD has crossed into a red zone. I still think that bitcoin is overbought and needs the correction before next growth, so I decided to go short with
🔽 a market sell order at 117461.25 with
❌a stop loss at 123894.15 and
🤑a take profit at 110587.70
A stop loss is above the ATH, take profit just above the support level of 110,000.00. It is a counter-trend trade, so it's a bit more risky than usual.
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
QQQ July 14th 2025I failed to update my trade journal at the end of last week and am going to try to be better about it this week. I am going to try to keep these posts more brief so I can remain consistent and meet my goal of creating an accurate timeline of my trades. For this week, I am going in with a bullish bias, which is better supported on the PA for NASDAQ:QQQ instead of AMEX:SPY , so I will be trading it instead.
The price is currently down 0.60% overnight, which would take the price near the bottom of the range ($550), which is outside of the channel. In this flat structure, we will either see the price break up after a liquidity test (spring) or break down in a true bearish reversal.
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Neutral Analysis
Renko: As my main chart, Renko clearly shows both scenarios, illustrated by the solid white (bullish) line and the dotted (bearish) line. For the bullish idea, the price will find a significant number of buyers after a false breakout to the downside. I switched from Traditional box sizes to ATR (14) filtered, and as you can see, the automatic rally (AR) after the peak did not have a significant retracement. We did not see a retest of the upper part of the range that could be considered a secondary test (ST) until some time later and when it did, the price rose back to the peak, indicating that buyers still had strength. From there, the price has been chopping around in Phase B without making much progress to the downside, which it will most likely reach on Monday in the form of a gap down. Additionally, the rising channel that led to this pullback is also a strong pattern, so this pullback should be treated as possible re-accumulation. If the price fails to reenter the channel or reach the top after a breakout below the range, it will likely sell off from there.
200R Chart: The range chart also supports that the secondary test was the retest of the top of the channel, a potential sign of strength. The price is still way above the 200MA, so the uptrend appears strong. One important area to watch is the volume gap from $548-$549 on the volume profile. If bulls cannot defend the gap, that could be a potential sign of weakness.
500R Chart: I am including this chart because it does provide a reason to be cautious of a pullback, or even a reversal. The price is at the top of the channel that began on April 9th. The last time the price tested the upper boundary, it formed a temporary top and pulled back, which we could see play out again here. The volume candles also show significantly higher interest since May 13th. This could either be due to increased interest from buyers or the distribution of shares, requiring more effort to move the price higher.
Daily Chart: Here is another chart that suggests that the first movement that could be considered a secondary test was the retest of the top of the range. The price has been bouncing off monthly VWAP and Fisher Transform remains flat in the upper zone. We have not seen a bearish candle with intent on the daily chart. These have all been flat doji candles.
Options: For this section, I can’t provide a good analysis of on-the-money options since the price is likely to gap down. I’m including 7/15 $550p since the price will likely open around that level and will need to move below the strike to see the premium rise significantly. The price of this contract was in a larger descending channel and will need a strong break above the top ($2.15) in order to signal further downside for $QQQ. According to my options calculator, this would require the underlying price to drop below $551 for an extended period.
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Targets
Calls: Open at $549; Close at $557; Stop below $548
Puts: Open $550-$552; Close at $544.50; Stop above $555
KHC – Momentum Reversal with Volume Surge & Tactical Exit Plan📈 Ticker: NASDAQ:KHC (The Kraft Heinz Company – NASDAQ)
📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
💵 Current Price: $27.80
📊 Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout + Volume & RSI Divergence
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Our Entry: $26.60
⛔ Stop-Loss: Below $24.80
🔰 Confirmation Signals:
Bullish volume divergence: Selling pressure diminished while price made lower lows
Explosive green volume bar on breakout — strongest in 12+ months
RSI breakout above 60, confirming strong momentum and trend shift
💰 Profit-Taking Strategy:
📍Sell Zone Price Level % of Position Rationale
🥇 Sell 1 $28.48 50% Pre-earnings resistance – lock early profit
🥈 Sell 2 $30.71 30% Next strong resistance area
🥉 Sell 3 $31.62 10% Long-term descending trendline — potential reversal point
🔄 Remaining 10%: Optional trail with stop-loss raised, if momentum continues
📊 Technical Confidence & Probabilities:
🧠 Pattern: Falling Wedge
Bulkowski probability of breakout upward: ~68%
Average gain post-breakout: ~38%, though current targets are more conservative (15–19%)
📈 Volume breakout + prior divergence = strong institutional signal
📉 Risk clearly defined with stop at $24.80
📈 Target Gains vs Entry ($26.60):
🎯 Target Price Gain from Entry
Target 1 $28.48 +7.06%
Target 2 $30.71 +15.47%
Target 3 $31.62 +18.89%
🧾 Summary:
This is a high-probability breakout play, combining:
✅ Bulkowski-validated falling wedge
✅ Volume-based confirmation
✅ Clear stop and tiered exit strategy
✅ Strong risk/reward profile
“Our Entry Price: $26.60 – Breakout Backed by Big Money”
#KHC #TargetTraders #VolumeSpike #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #Bulkowski #StockMarket #Investing
JSWINFRA - Daily time frame StudyFollowing are my Inputs for above chart reading -
1. MACD cross over
2. High volume Breakout of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern - Daily Time frame
3. It may go till weekly resistance line 330-340
This chart is only for educational purpose, Please contact your financial advisor for any trading or investment decisions.
TEL short term to $0.0057 resistance⚡️ NYSE:TEL broke out of the Flag pattern, snatched up the liquidity and broke through multiple short-term resistances between $0.0044 to $0.0052. Finding resistance at $0.0053.
⚡️It is currently retracing down to the 0.382 fib level and the $0.005 psychological resistance that has now become support.
⚡️ NYSE:TEL momentum has increased/sped up as seen by it moving faster than the recent blue bars pattern. I mentioned this in a post two days ago.
TEL Short Term Bull Scenario
🟢$0.0053 is the current key short-term resistance
🟢$0.0057 represents the full repeat of the September 12th 2024 pump that this has appeared to be copying.
🟢🟢The previous rally before the flag was 26% bottom to top. We have room left to get to that before another 10% retracement. We should easily go to $0.0055-$0.0057 from here.
TEL Short Term Bear Scenario
🔴Retrace to around the $0.0048 which is the 0.5 fib retracement, a psychological level and also matches the recent flag pull-back size of 9.5%. There is a bunch of liquidity built up between $0.0047 and $0.0045 but I think that is just risk management at this point.
Liquidation Levels
NYSE:TEL Liquidation Heatmap - It will be interesting to watch the Liquidation Heatmap over the next few hours, as we should see new liquidity appear above the current price.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has futures liquidity built up at $116k this normally suggests a downward move. I think the Macro factors are too strong for that. But we need time to see the charts print more volume above current price. CRYPTOCAP:BTC is building up liquidity at $123k too but it is less dense.
My thinking is we catch a breather and trade sideways here to solidify this level. Then break through local highs, BTC to break through the $120k psychological level and head up to $123k liquidity then retrace. Which would line up with NYSE:TEL hitting resistance at $0.0057.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Potential Move from $43,600 to $120,000Description:
Based on the current weekly chart analysis for Bitcoin / Tether Standard Futures (BTCUSDT), there is a significant potential for Bitcoin to move from $43,600 to $120,000. Below are the key points observed:
Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $54,806.45, down by 5.75%.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The chart indicates a potential ABC correction pattern.
Wave A has completed, and Bitcoin is currently in Wave B, which suggests an upcoming bullish Wave C.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The primary support level is at $39,987.31.
The significant resistance level and target is the area around $120,000.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
38.2% Retracement: $31,145.00
50.0% Retracement: $23,356.00
61.8% Retracement: $15,568.00
Indicators:
RSI shows potential bullish divergence indicating a possible upward move.
Volume profile indicates strong accumulation in the lower price ranges.
Extrem Buy Alert: The chart highlights an "EXTREM BUY ALERT," suggesting that the current levels could be a significant buying opportunity before the expected upward move.
Chart Details:
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Ticker: BTCUSDT.PS
Exchange: Binance
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Potential 39% gain in ERNUSDPotential 39% gain in ERNUSD.
This is due to a few reasons:
1. My custom Data Distribution script showed that the price of ERN was overextended on July 1st, meaning that a potential reversal was on the cards.
2. My custom Zero-Lag USI indicator has shown an entry signal (green arrow)
3. The last 2 days have seen a large volume spike, which usually happens either at the end of the move or beginning of the move. Since it has been in prolonged down trend, expecting a reversal here to around 1.317
CL1! Short Setup – Fading Into Volume Shelf📉 CL1! Short Setup – Fading Into Volume Shelf
🔹 Context:
Price just tapped into a heavy upper volume shelf (68.35–68.50) — the exact area where the prior breakdown started. This zone aligns with rejection highs and the upper edge of the VRVP profile.
📌 Setup Logic:
🔺 Entry: 68.36–68.50 (into supply zone)
⛔ Stop: 68.75 (above liquidity peak)
🎯 Target: 66.78 (prior demand + volume node)
📐 RRR: ~4.0:1
⚠️ Trigger: Do not enter early — wait for rollover of price which it looks like we are getting now.
📊 Why It Matters:
📈 VRVP shows clear upper and lower volume shelves
📛 Price has overextended into a prior rejection zone
🔁 Potential for a mean-reversion leg once we confirm momentum breakdown
📷 See attached chart for full zone layout
🧠 Let me know if you’re entering or watching this one 👇
#CrudeOil #CL1 #FuturesTrading #VolumeProfile #SciQua #OrderFlow
TSLA, Long, 1D✅ TSLA has just broken out of a clear symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a potential bullish continuation.
Yesterday’s daily candle was a white Marubozu, indicating strong buying pressure and clear dominance by the bulls.
LONG 📈
✅ Like and subscribe to never miss a new technical analysis! ✅
ATAI bulls finally show upATAI closed the day with a bullish looking candle for the first time since daily consolidation started July 2. Big bounce on the hourly chart today but stopped just shy of two key short term hourly resistances 2.76 and 2.82. Tomorrow bulls want to see these levels taken out and an hourly uptrend regained in order to call 2.53 our new daly higher low.
A big bounce is nice but we MUST see 1) hourly resistance breaks and 2) hourly uptrends. So far, neither of these things have happened.
AWX - Breakout from Multi-Year Cup & Handle + JV Deal with FCXArcWest Exploration (TSXV: AWX) just broke out of a 7-year cup & handle formation, hitting C$0.21 with record weekly volume (1.53M).
📉 Long-term downtrend decisively broken
📊 12W SMA (0.114) > 36W SMA (0.098)
☁️ Weekly Ichimoku turns bullish
🔻 Pullback to C$0.185 (-7.5%) may offer entry
🔎 Next resistance zone: C$0.30+
Fundamental trigger:
ArcWest Exploration is a project generator focused on porphyry copper-gold systems in British Columbia, operating under a JV-based model. The company currently has eight 100%-owned projects, several of which are already partnered with major producers.
The recent breakout follows the announcement of a joint venture agreement with Freeport-McMoRan on the Eagle project, where Freeport can earn up to 80% interest by spending C$35M over 10 years, including staged cash payments and a commitment to fund exploration.
This deal marks ArcWest's second major JV partnership, alongside Teck Resources (on the Oxide Peak project), further validating the quality of its portfolio. Both Freeport and Teck are known for targeting large, long-life copper assets, which adds strong institutional backing and long-term exploration potential.
The alignment of technical breakout + institutional interest signals a possible structural re-rating as the market begins to price in multi-asset optionality and tier-1 partnerships.
The chart and fundamentals now align, suggesting multi-year upside potential.
📌 Do your own research before investing!
Its A Prime Set Up Guys, May 13th May 13th there will be a press conference with the CEO I think.
All techinals show a sharp fall will occur soon and I bet its the 13th.
Reached the top of the trend line and we are very over extended. Ying and a yang, time for the yang.
See my price path for a rough guess.
You Haven’t Missed It**⏰ Timeframe: 1H**
**🛠 Tools Used: Dow Theory, Support & Resistance, Volume, RSI**
**📈 Market Overview**
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently trading at **110,982**. After hitting a new all-time high at **12K**, the price is undergoing a mild correction. Despite the retracement, price remains supported by both volume and the 25-period moving average.
Yesterday, BTC broke through the **110,267** resistance level with a strong bullish candle, but encountered aggressive selling from market makers and is now consolidating with weak candles below the **12K** mark.
Typically, in such market phases, it’s advisable to close previous positions and consider new entries. However, given the likelihood of **interest rate cuts** and the fact that price is holding near its ATH, keeping previous **long positions** open may be wise, as a **strong upward move** is still on the table.
**⚙️ Technical Analysis**
Yesterday’s breakout above **110,267** was met with seller pressure near **12K**, leading to a shallow correction.
**BTC Dominance (BTC.D)** has broken above **65.04** and **64.69**, moving toward **64.51** resistance. However, a weakening candle structure is visible on both **4H and 1H** timeframes. This indicates that while long opportunities on bullish **BTC pairs** may still exist, we might see a lower high forming above **64.51** and below **64.69**, followed by another move back toward **64.51**.
Meanwhile, **USDT Dominance (USDT.D)** broke below the **4.75** support with a strong candle and is now ranging above **4.63**, suggesting a possible pause or rest phase here.
The **Total Market Cap** shows a similar pattern to **BTCUSDT**, reflecting consolidation with slight bullish bias.
The **Others** chart (excluding BTC & ETH) shows a healthy uptrend and is now facing resistance at **248.68**. A breakout above this level could pave the way for stronger performance among altcoins with bullish BTC pairs.
**🧭 Potential Scenarios**
📗 **Bullish Scenario:**
If BTC forms a **higher low above 110,654**, an entry could be considered above **12,000**, with a stop-loss placed below the higher low (based on the 1H timeframe). Volume confirmation is necessary to support the move.
📕 **Bearish Scenario:**
As long as the price remains **above 109,409**, **short positions are not recommended**.
**💡 Conclusion, Warnings & General Suggestion**
Bitcoin is currently in a **healthy bullish phase**.
The **key resistance at 111K** has been broken, and price is pulling back toward that level.
The structure remains bullish, supported by **sufficient volume** and **no clear bearish divergence**.
If current support holds, there’s potential for continuation toward the **113,500–114,000** range.
⚠️ **Warnings:**
* If the pullback turns into a breakdown (falling below **110,200**, then **109,000**), it would signal **buyer weakness**, and strategy must be reconsidered.
* Watch for **RSI divergences** or **declining volume** during further rallies—they may indicate caution.
* Prolonged consolidation **below broken resistance** could also indicate market weakness.
I don't think this will be left in the past...Well well well, Walgreen's is definitely going to try and redo there entire business model in order to save it.
There are some weird and unbalanced volume levels left behind that I think we will see again this year.
Target is $12 and depending on this earnings, I don't know when it will hit. Shares only.
SPY July 8th 2025SPY July 8th 2025
Day 2 of journaling my trades. Ended Monday green but not without mistakes. I am heading into Tuesday with more of a neutral outlook. Previous resistance will be tested as support and could find buyers or fail to do so. As I did yesterday, I will give a breakdown of what I’m seeing on all of my charts for both strategies.
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Bullish Analysis
Renko: The price pulled back on Monday, as expected, and may continue lower to retest the top of the channel (around $615). Fisher Transform is still in positive territory and strong support at that level could lead to the price reaching higher highs.
500R ($5) chart: Similar structure to the Renko chart. I’m using a higher range here to compensate for volatility. Just like with the Renko chart, a bounce on the top of the channel would be a healthy pullback before higher highs. There is a high volume node on the volume profile, so interest from buyers here could be strong enough to prevent the price from falling back into the channel.
4h chart: The last three candles have the appearance of a healthy pullback. There was declining volume and
the most recent candle is somewhat of a bullish hammer. I also have an anchored VWAP going back to June 30 that the price seems to be respecting. The price bounced off of it in the first 4h candle on Monday and managed to close above it after a dip during the formation of the second candle.
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Bearish Analysis
Renko: Same chart with a lower box size ($1 instead of $2). As you can see, there is bearish divergence on Fisher Transform. The price also found likely temporary support before reaching the top of the channel, suggesting that it could make at least one more wave down if a larger corrective trend unfolds. The 1.382 ($614) and 1.618 ($612) Fibonacci extensions will be important reference points to watch. I would feel less confident about the strength of the bullish trend if the price goes beyond the 1.618 extension.
200R ($2) Range: The Range chart in this layout is the only one that I am including extended hours data on, so the channels have slightly different levels. On this chart I am using two trend lines on the upper level to illustrate the possible areas of support/previous resistance. If the price breaks back into the channel and below the 34VWMA, it could signal a trend failure and the price could return to $600 or lower. Volume bars on range charts also offer a different perspective than on time-based candlesticks. Here, since each bar represents a $2 move up or down, the volume inside of each bar can show the level of effort it took to move the price either direction, whereas the time-based charts are simply showing the level of interest during a particular time period. For this reason, consistently high volume during this last move up could be a sign that there is a larger presence of sellers. Lastly, there is Fisher Transform divergence here as well.
1h chart: CME_MINI:ES1! is green overnight, signaling continuation of the bounce we saw at the end of the day on Monday. With a tighter channel, the top was rejected in a classic bearish reversal candle pattern above the channel and made a clean break down below the channel. The price found support just above the anchored VWAP from the start of the channel, so there could still be institutional interest around $617 and below. If this correction were to unfold into three distinct waves, a 0.618 pullback (to the 0.382 level of the fib extension; $623) would retest the previous demand of the channel. A rejection here could have the price looking for support in a lower volume zone. A (c) wave could take the price down to $615-$611.
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Options Analysis
As I have explained, I think it is possible that we will see the price hit $623 during the Tuesday session, so it could be an important level for ATM options. TVC:VIX held its level on Monday after the gap up but failed to make progress - finding resistance at the 200MA on the 1h chart. The rounding bottom and bullish candles on the 30m AMEX:SPY chart looks better than other timeframes. From a Wyckoff Method perspective, however, it looks like puts are in a distribution pattern and calls are in accumulation. Volume is low for both of these contracts, but especially lower on the Put option, indicating lack of interest.
If the put contract makes a lower low on Tuesday (below $3.55 or above $620.75 for SPY), this particular contract could break into a downtrend. Calls seem to be the safer bet since the price has already made a higher high and has wider support. An ideal entry would be a false breakout at $0.95 ($621.00 for SPY) or a retest of the top of the channel after a true upside breakout at $1.50 ($622.50 for SPY) The upside breakout possibility would have stronger confirmation, so it would be worth the higher premium price. This movement would need to be accompanied by high volume, of course.
For puts, I would like to see higher volume at the bottom of the range, since it seems like the underlying price will open higher. I would probably switch to a contract with a lower strike since $623 would be ITM but for the sake of this idea, I would target entry of $623p around $3.65 ($620.75 for SPY).
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Targets
Calls: Enter $622.50, Target $628-$630, Stop Loss $621
Puts: Enter: $620.75, Target $615, Stop Loss $621.50
To summarize, I like the risk/reward and volume better for calls, and it fits my original thesis, however if volume increases on puts at these elevated levels, it will be important to get in at a price that minimizes risk exposure to take advantage of a deeper correction.