Volume
BTC/USDT Long Setup, 4H Bullish Divergence May Flip Daily Trend📈 BTC/USDT Long Setup, 4H Bullish Divergence May Flip Daily Trend
Short-term bullish signals on the 4H chart suggest a potential trend shift on the daily. Watch key levels and volume for confirmation!
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: BTC/USDT
Exchange: Binance
Date: August 19, 2025
🧠 Trade Thesis:
Bitcoin displays a bullish divergence on the 4H chart, suggesting a reversal potential, while the 1D chart hints at a bearish divergence. If the 4H momentum drives price higher with strong volume, it could turn the daily trend bullish, overriding the higher timeframe bearish signal.
🔍 Setup Details:
- Bullish Divergence (4H):
- Price forms lower lows.
- RSI shows higher lows.
- MACD flattens, nearing bullish crossover.
- Volume: Stabilizes around support, with a potential surge needed for confirmation.
- Structure: Price holds above trendline, 200 EMA zone near 114.5K.
📍 Trade Levels:
Entry (Long):
📥 115.2K to 115.5K (breakout above resistance, pullback to 200 EMA, confirmed by a clear uptick in volume above the recent 1H average).
Stop Loss:
❌ 114.2K (beneath recent 4H swing low and 200 EMA zone).
Targets (Take Profit):
🎯 TP1: 117.4K (VPOC, EMA cluster — expect some resistance here).
🎯 TP2: 118.5K (prior resistance high).
🎯 TP3: 120.0K (psychological level, channel top).
Risk-to-Reward (R:R):
✅ 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, depending on entry and exit.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A break below 114.2K with high volume invalidates the setup, suggesting the 1D bearish divergence takes over with possible downside to 113K. If the 4H divergence fails quickly (e.g., price drops below 114.5K within 2 candles without volume confirmation), exit immediately, especially if the breakdown occurs without strong volume support as this would indicate weak bullish momentum and likely bearish continuation.
📌 Conclusion:
This short-to-mid-term (1–3 day) long setup could lead a daily trend shift if price closes above 115.5K with a bullish engulfing candle or volume surge. Monitor the 116.7K to 117.7K zone for confirmation.
Comment your take and follow for more setups!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk, please manage your capital responsibly.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #BullishDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis
GC Local Breakout to Top of Daily Range ✅ Pre-Trade Checklist
Session context: Range Bound
Daily Bias: I'm still holding on to a long bias, but we are definitely in a daily downtrend
Key levels: 3370 at bottom of range, 3400 at top of range
CVD and delta structure: Strong positive CVD approaching the breakout level
Entry, SL, and TP are at reasonable levels on the order book
Calculated Risk: 5 MGC for $150 risk
📊 Trend Follow (Order Book Focus)
Clear directional move established (impulse leg breaking structure)
Pullback to value area / trendline / support-resistance level
Order book shows a clear liquidity target in the direction of the move.
CVD aligned with trend
Pullback shows **lower volume + weaker delta** vs. impulse leg
No absorption blocking continuation at the level
Entry at level of support on order book
🎯 Trade Execution
Entry: 3389.9
Stop: 3380.9
Target(s): 3395.9
R:R: 4:1
📓 Post-Trade Notes
Outcome: TBD
Plan followed? No
If not, what rule was broken? I don't usually trade local breakouts, so this trade is not really in plan for me.
Lessons learned:
Looking for short on ESI never like to pick tops in markets. However, as we sit just below all-time highs, I see far more downside risk in this market than I do upside potential. Whether it's tariffs, prolonged wars, increasing inflation, or the fading shine of AI valuations, I struggle to see how we can sustain these PE ratios.
The last few trading days have been very low volatility, but the interesting thing I'm seeing is significant negative Cumulative Volume Deltas (CVDs) in the last hour of trading recently. This is telling me that we are not pushing these all-time-highs with strength, and that the market is cautious at the moment.
I don't think we'll push straight down, but I will look to take and hold on to a short if we get a pop that can't be sustained.
Decesion zone for bitcoinAbove our yellow box of liquidity is a bull market. Im forcasting a couple days in that zone maybe 3-10. But thats just based on past price action seen here, though it could be argued we blow past it. as far as bottoms go, i believe we have reached our low for the next couple weeks..
Palantir - The Box Calls The ShotsI recently posted a palatir chart with clean levels of where I'd look to DCA. While those dip-buy levels can easily be used to trade the name, I think it would also help to be mindful of the box ranges as we trade into them. As you'll see, Palantir loves to play with box as much as I do.
If you are familiar with how to trade box set-ups, you can take advantage immediately; otherwise, you may want to do some research on how to trade these.
~The Villain
NZD/USD: Strong Resistance Formed at 0.5947On NZD/USD, it's nice to see a strong resistance at 0.5947. This level is backed by three factors: a heavy volume cluster where sellers added shorts, a fair value gap showing aggressive selling, and a support-turned-resistance reaction from the past. Together, they make 0.5947 a high-probability short setup. A pullback to this level is likely to trigger renewed selling pressure.
EUR/USD Support @ 1.1611: Strong Buyer Zone with FVGOn EUR/USD, it's nice to see a key support at 1.1611 formed by a significant volume cluster. Buyers accumulated long positions here during a small rotation before pushing the price aggressively higher. The level is further strengthened by a fair value gap, confirming strong buyer activity. If price pulls back, this support is likely to be defended, making 1.1611 an important reaction zone.
CHF/JPY – With 4 Bullish Momentum Indicators BuildingCHF/JPY – With 4 Bullish Momentum Indicators Building
Multiple indicators suggest that CHF/JPY is showing strong bullish potential across short and medium-term timeframes. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Positive Volume Confirmation
Trading volume has been rising on upward price moves, indicating that buyers are actively supporting the rally.
This shows that the uptrend is backed by strong participation, increasing the likelihood of continuation.
2. Balance of Power (BOP) Bullish
The Balance of Power (BOP) has turned positive, signaling that buyers are in control. A bullish BOP aligns with the increasing volume and confirms that upward momentum is strong.
3. EMA Crossover Signals Uptrend
The short-term EMA (50 EMA) has crossed above the long-term EMA (200 EMA), a classic bullish signal. This crossover confirms a shift in trend and suggests potential for further upside.
4. Stochastic Oscillator Supports Bullish Pullbacks
The Stochastic (14,1,3) shows that the pair has recovered from oversold levels and is now moving upward, confirming that bullish momentum is gaining strength. No bearish divergence is present.
⚡ Conclusion
All key indicators — positive volume, bullish BOP, EMA cross up, and Stochastic support — suggest that CHF/JPY is poised for a bullish move.
Traders may consider long positions, entering on pullbacks, or holding for trend continuation, while managing risk carefully.
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer: This is technical analysis only and not financial advice. Always use a simulation trading account before trading with real money,
and make sure to learn proper risk management and profit-taking strategies to protect your capital.
Oracle (ORCL) – 4 Bullish Signals Building UpOracle (ORCL) – 4 Bullish Signals Building Up
Technical indicators are showing that ORCL may be gearing up for a strong upward move. Multiple timeframes confirm buyers are in control. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Positive Volume Support
Recent sessions show increasing volume on upward moves, indicating that buyers are actively driving the price higher. Strong
volume confirms that the rally is supported and not a weak, unsustainable move.
2. Balance of Power (BOP) Turns Bullish
The Balance of Power (BOP) indicator has shifted into positive territory, showing that buyers have the upper hand. A bullish BOP
suggests strength and momentum in the hands of bulls, aligning with the volume trend.
3. EMA Crossover Confirms Uptrend
The short-term EMA (50 EMA) has crossed above the long-term EMA (200 EMA), a classic bullish signal. EMA crossovers often indicate a trend reversal or continuation of upward momentum.
4. Stochastic Oscillator Supports Bullish Momentum
The Stochastic oscillator shows oversold conditions that are reversing upward and is in alignment with price action. No bearish
divergence is present, confirming that the bullish momentum is healthy and sustainable.
⚡ Conclusion
All key indicators — positive volume, bullish BOP, EMA cross up, and Stochastic support — are pointing to a potential rally in
ORCL NYSE:ORCL . Traders may consider long positions, scaling in on pullbacks, or holding for trend continuation while managing risk.
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer: This is technical analysis only and not financial advice. Always use a simulation
trading account before trading with real money, and take the time to learn risk management and profit-taking strategies to protect your capital.
Starbucks (SBUX) – 4 Warning Signs Point to a Potential..Starbucks (SBUX) – 4 Warning Signs Point to a Potential Downturn
Traders and investors should be cautious on SBUX as multiple technical indicators are signaling a bearish outlook across different timeframes. Here’s a breakdown of the red flags:
1. Negative Volume Pressure
Recent trading sessions have shown a decline in volume on upward moves, while downward moves are backed by heavier
selling volume. This imbalance suggests that buyers are losing control, and the stock may be set for a further pullback.
2. Balance of Power (BOP) Turns Bearish
The Balance of Power (BOP) indicator, which measures buyer vs.
seller dominance, has flipped into negative territory. A bearish BOP indicates that sellers are gaining control over the market, confirming the negative volume trend.
3. EMA Crossover Signals Trend Weakness
The short-term EMA (e.g., 50 EMA) has started crossing below the
long-term EMA (e.g., 200 EMA), a classic signal of a downtrend formation. EMA crossovers are widely regarded as reliable indicators for trend direction.
4. Stochastic Divergence Confirms Bearish Momentum
Finally, the Stochastic oscillator is showing a bearish divergence, with price making higher highs while Stoch fails to confirm them.
This often precedes sharp reversals or pullbacks.
⚠️ Conclusion
All four indicators — negative volume, bearish BOP, EMA cross down, and Stochastic divergence — align to suggest that SBUX
may be heading toward a correction or short-term crash. Traders should consider tightening stops, reducing exposure, or exploring short positions in accordance with their risk strategy.
Also remember we are using the 50,200 EMA thats the rocket booster strategy
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Disclaimer: This is technical analysis only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions.
Also use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money, learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
BTC CME: Volume is the storyThe key level is $110,000 (Value Area High). Breaking that could see price quickly at $97,500 (Point of Control).
If that level fails, a move toward the $90,000 gap and the major support at $84,000 is likely. The current volatility suggests a larger move is brewing.
Confluence:
@ Bearish divergence between price and Cumulative Delta on the Daily.
@ Unfilled CME and volume gaps below.
@ Seasonality: Watching for historical headwinds as the DXY tends to strengthen (from August onwards) while SPX and BTC enter their weakest period of the year (Aug/Sept).
The weekly, D1 and H1 timeframes all currently favor the sellersHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Weekly timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, we see a buyer’s initiative, but at the same time, the seller absorbed a strong buyer candle — with the highest volume in recent months — and formed a seller zone (marked with a red rectangle). That’s a negative sign for long entries and a potential setup for short entries from the seller’s zone.
Below, the weekly chart shows three important levels: 3268, 3244, and 3201. I expect the price to move down toward 3244, where there is likely more liquidity (possibly with a touch of 3201). That’s where we can start looking for buy patterns.
Daily timeframe
On the daily timeframe, we have a sideways market and a seller’s initiative now, with a target at 3154. The buyer tried to start a move from the buyer zone (blue rectangle), but both candles had declining volume, and the second candle failed to close above the first one. That’s a negative sign for long entries.
Friday’s buyer candle also had low volume and showed no result — That’s a negative sign for long entries too.
With a seller’s initiative in place and no real buying signals, we’re focusing on short opportunities.
Hourly timeframe
On the 1H chart, the price has formed a sideways range with a buyer’s initiative. The lower boundary of this range is at 3331, where we saw price interaction on declining volume — a negative sign for long setups.
I expect price to interact with 3329, after which a buyer move is possible (unlikely, but possible). The target is 3358.
Wishing you profitable trades!
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Stablecoins as the New Macro Liquidity ProxyFor years, macro liquidity in crypto was gauged through broad monetary metrics like M2 or Total Market Cap. But those days are fading.
With the rise of regulated stablecoins—and new TradingView tickers like CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C (Stablecoin Market Cap) and CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C.D (Stablecoin Dominance)—we now have real-time, on-chain liquidity metrics that better reflect how institutional and retail capital enters the crypto ecosystem.
🔑 Why These Tickers Matter
• STABLE.C = Capital injection.
→ Tracks aggregate growth of major stablecoins, serving as a proxy for dry powder entering the system.
• STABLE.C.D = Sentiment signal.
→ Measures stablecoin dominance relative to the crypto market.
→ Rising dominance = risk-off (capital parked).
→ Falling dominance = risk-on (capital deploying).
Together, they offer a macro lens on risk appetite and capital inflow , updated in real-time—something no traditional metric can match.
🔍 How We Use Them
These metrics are now integrated into our Crypto Macro Cockpit , where:
• Stablecoin cap growth signals liquidity expansion or contraction
• Dominance slope helps identify regime shifts (risk-on vs risk-off)
We're beginning to see consistent patterns:
➤ Surges in STABLE.C precede market rallies
➤ Spikes in STABLE.C.D often align with rotation tops or periods of caution
📎 Implication
Stablecoins are no longer just trading tools—they’re macro indicators.
If ETFs are the Trojan horse for institutional entry, stablecoins are the bloodstream.
As we transition into a new cycle, these tickers might become the most important charts you’re not watching.
💬 Would love to hear from others—are you using STABLE.C or STABLE.C.D in your analysis? What signals are you seeing?
BTCUSDT. Where to look for buys?Hi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
On the weekly timeframe, there was a sideways range (boundaries marked with black lines) that the buyer broke to the upside, but so far has been unable to extend the initiative further. Sellers are still defending the 123,000 level — we can see this from the volume that appears whenever price touches this zone.
On the weekly chart, there’s also the 114,723 level, where price interacted with a seller candle on declining volume. That’s not a bullish signal for looking at longs and suggests price may move lower. If 114,723 doesn’t hold, we could see a retest of the local low at 111,920.
On the daily timeframe, price has formed a sideways range (boundaries marked with black lines).
The current vector is with the sellers, with a target at 115,736.
We’ll be watching how price reacts at 115,736 and at 114,723 — and whether a strong buyer appears at these levels.
Wishing you profitable trades!
CELR : Sensitive areaHello friends🙌
✅Considering the decline we had, you can see that the price has been well supported in the support area drawn with Fibonacci and now it seems that it wants to go up to the specified ranges, which are also good and high-volume ranges, and these areas are like magnets for the price.
✅Don't forget risk and capital management.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
ETH: LIVE TRADEHello friends🙌
✅Given the good rise we had, we had a small correction that was a buying opportunity and there is another support area where we can buy the second step in case of further correction.
We have also specified targets for you, be careful and do not act emotionally and observe capital and risk management.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*






















