Can Elliott Wave Predict the Next Move in US Markets?I had a quick look at the Indices and I can see a Clear 3-4 Formation. In this video I will draw some wave numbers.
I am not a strict elliotician and this is my FIRST EVER tradingview broadcast so please forgive my mistakes.
Has S&P 500 Completed a Wave 4 Up and Ready for a Wave 5 Down?
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Wave5
NZDUSD DiagonalNZDUSD 4H chart looks like it is completing an Expanding diagonal.
Here I'm expecting to see a completion of wave 5 (the last wave before downward movement)
what I do not know, is where wave 5 would be exhausted. so I have 2 options on the chart.
Option 1:
wave 5 could be truncated forming a Thrust.
Option 2:
wave 5 could unfold up to its full length around price 0.61924.
Both options are shown on the chart.
Remember as Price Unfolds Market becomes clearer.
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SP500 FORECAST - AGREE?Good Day Traders!
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Above chart is the forecast we made on SP500. Currently SP500 is forming Wave 5. Breaking level of 2400 will confirm the formation.
Please like and comment if you agree with us !
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"It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting." - Jesse Livermore
DISCLAIMER: There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Trade at your own risk.
WAIT before a shortHello traders, usdcad is developing wave 5 and I think that it will at least reach the red resistance that I drew on the chart, if oil should go down usdcad could break the resistance; In the larger picture (DAILY CHART) there is a downtrend but the price broke a speedline demonstrating a new bullish strength.
In addition the shor term trend is bullish and there is a sort of "cup" formation which could push up the price.
Retail traders are 88% short so there are chances for new gains for the pair: remeber you must never trade in the same retail traders' s direction.
I ll keep you updated and do NOT open short trades until wave 5.
S&P 500 on an endless high
SP 500 in an eternal high
SPCFD:SPX
TVC:SPX
If not everyone, but most people in the market must suspect that there is something strange going on in the economy.
We are slowly discovering that the last bullmarket was marked by interventions that brought a certain artificial expansion.
It can be said that companies and the market have grown on fragile supports.
That's what we see clearly in the S&P500. The lack of good supports.
What we can expect is that when a reversal movement finally comes, the fall could be brutal.
But we still see the market surfing a Wave 5 end.
I can make the last projections there near the 4000 which is when I expect the price correction to finally come or being more pessimistic a Crash in the market.
I don't know when that's gonna happen. But the notes are for the next 2 or 3 years. I sincerely hope I'm wrong and all those who have been warning about it.
Now for the important part of the analysis.
The price has left an area of value in a range that is below and above 2700.
This same region is where it formed this 4 wave and also serves to project the next high pivot that is already in progress and entering the upper hatch range which is the current resistance at 3300.
Let's see how the price behaves on this level. Whether the market will create a new acceptance area or reject this price level.seeking a correction and a test of the value area.
If the price does this and continues to rise it would disfigure this analysis.
Let's see what will happen.
Buying power keeps coming in. Certainly it is to maintain the euphoria of the market that already shows clear signs of exhaustion in the bullish move.
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SP 500 numa eterna alta
Se não todos, mas a maioria das pessoas que estão no mercado devem suspeitar que existe algo estranho acontecendo na economia.
Estamos descobrindo aos poucos que o ultimo bullmarket foi marcado por intervenções que trouxeram uma expansão de certa forma artificial.
Pode se dizer que as empresas e o mercado cresceram em cima de frágeis suportes.
É o que vemos claramente no S&P500. A ausencia de bons suportes.
O que podemos esperar é que quando finalmente vier um movimento de reversão a queda poderá ser brutal.
Mas ainda vemos o mercado surfando um final de Onda 5.
Consigo fazer as ultimas projeções lá proximo aos 4000 que é quando eu espero que venha finalmente a correção de preços ou sendo mais pessimista um Crash nas mercado.
Não sei quando isso irá ocorrer. Mas os apontamentos são para os proximos 2 ou 3 anos.Sinceramente espero que eu esteja errado e todos aqueles que tem alertado sobre isso.
Agora vamos a parte importante da analise.
O preço deixou uma area de valor num range que está abaixo e acima dos 2700.
Essa mesma região é onde formou essa onda 4 e serve tambem para projetar o proximo pivot de alta que já está em andamento e entrando na faixa hachurada acima que é a resistencia atual em 3300.
Vamos ver como o preço comporta nesse patamar. Se o mercado criará uma nova area de aceitação ou se irá rejeitar esse nivel de preço.buscando uma correção e um teste da area de valor.
Se o preço fizer isso e continuar subindo desconfiguraria esta analise.
Vamos ver o que irá suceder.
Segue entrando força compradora. Certamente é para manter a euforia do mercado que já apresenta sinais claros de exaustão no movimento de alta.
GBPUSD - Elliott Wave Prediction + Automatic Counting IndicatorHI BIG PLAYERS,
on this chart I want show you how my AutoCounting Tool for Elliott Waves works as well.
The indicator works with a lot of counting in the higher and lower bars. The numbers are transparent and ovelapping. Where are more transparent numbers, there the number have a bright color.
In this example you see on the uptrends the bright colorized Number 3 in the middle (it's 3 of III) and we have already 3 times of it: so this is why I know the wave 5 is finished. Moreover, the bullish impulse is started.
Kind regads
NXT2017
ORBEX: Correction Could Have Ended At 1.2767 Low! What Then?GBPUSD could have ended the wave minor 4 correction at 1.2768 Nov 8 low.
This scenario sees the current structure as impulsive with minute waves 1,2 and 3 (perhaps 4 too) completed.
In case prices slide below 1.2886 we could see the end of minuette wave a, then receive a b and c lower as part of an a,b,c zigzag. However, if prices break above 1.2940 the chances that we will see minute wave 5 creating fresh highs could increase. This could be followed by a minute correction a,b,c, and then another bullish impulse to complete minor wave 5 (intermediate wave 3).
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
EURUSD Wave 5 ComingEURUSD is currently finishing a wave 4 and getting ready for a wave 5. There are two entries; a buy miniumum at the -27% of the ABC of wave 4 and a buy maximum at the -61.8% if wave 4 corrects lower. Keep in mind that the ECB has their interest rate decision and press conference on Thursday Oct 24th at 7:45-8:30am EST. This will cause a lot of volatility in the market. It could either push prices immediately higher or it could push them lower to our buy zones. First take profit (TP) is at the fib cluster of -27% & 50% @ 1.12300. Second TP at the fib cluster -61.8% & 61.8% @ 1.13000 round psychological number. The first & second TP's are both confluent at fib levels of 50% & 61.8% of entire year. The high of the year is at 1.15700 on January 10th and the low of the year made on October 1st. Will update upon completion of wave 5. This is for educational purposes only. This is in no way intended to be financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
AUDCAD BUY IS COMING I haven't changed anything since I did my last idea on this. I told those during BoC news trading to buy and sell at the 50% fib. I did not take the sell as I am a BUYER of AUSSIE for the foreseeable future and I will have to counter this with how CAD moves with oil as time goes on. I am studying the effects of cad and oil on audcad. I have heard playing the extreme prices on daily work well on this pair. We have hit the price zone I expected to come into play. NOW we are looking for the INV head n shoulder pattern I kinda threw out there on the last idea pre-move of BoC jump and drop wave 5. Understand that POINT D has 2 points it can always hit. D1 or D2 which is a farther fib extension and gives a higher probability of reversal momentum.
Steps that have successfully happened in this idea..
- BoC rate was not changed as expected
- Wave 5 reversal came into play after the breakout of the pennant.
Point D2 was successfully hit giving the market a better discount on AUSSIE dollar.
How to handle this trade:
BUY STOP around D with a SL below the daily low of the wave 5 bell curve
What you shouldn't do: Try to catch a falling knife. wait for a reversal confirmation or bet low with a high range of +/- ratio if you are a swing trader.
ETHUSD Buy Zone 309.4 - 303.83 Profit Potential = 5% risk = 2%The buy zone is shown by the green box.
If the stop loss is hit, then this count is invalid and there will likely be further downward movement.
The profit target is at $322.50 - This is where wave 5 is equal to 0.618 x (the length of wave 1) + (the end of wave 4).
Disclaimer: This material should not be the basis for making investment decisions, nor be construed as a recommendation to engage in investment transactions, and
is not related to the provision of advisory services regarding investment, tax, legal, financial, accounting, consulting or any other related services, nor is a
recommendation being provided to buy, sell or purchase any good or product.
BTCUSD 2%-3% gain potential (SHORT TERM OPPORTUNITY)Profit target = $12120
Stop Loss = $11590
Buy Zone is between $11840 and $11640 (if the price does not fall to this zone, this trade will likely not be worth taking).
The potential gain is between 2% to 3% and the risk is between 1% to 2%.
This is a classic Elliott Wave trading set up. If you have any questions please feel free to message me or comment and I will be happy to answer.
Disclaimer: This material should not be the basis for making investment decisions, nor be construed as a recommendation to engage in investment transactions, and
is not related to the provision of advisory services regarding investment, tax, legal, financial, accounting, consulting or any other related services, nor is a
recommendation being provided to buy, sell or purchase any good or product.
USDCHF wave 5We are coming to the end of a correction wave, wave 4, and can now look for potential selling opportunities.
There is strong resistance at 0.9900 which also happens to be a phycology level.
The 61.8% retracement from the previous high is at 0.9893.
Weekly 20 and 50 EMAs are closing in on each other and if they cross this will give us further confirmation.
I will be placing an order as follows:
USDCHF BUY LIMIT @ 0.9900
SL @ 0.9970 (70)
TP @ 0.9575 (325)
Risk:Reward = 4.64
If the order isn't filled I will look to enter the trade manually.
SL just above 78.6% retracement and daily 50EMA.
TP at weekly resistance.
EURUSD 17062019Last push down before a pull back ? lets see
Share your thoughts and observation in comments session :)
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Risk warning!
Trading carries a high level of risk to your capital and may result in losses that exceed your initial deposit.
Supplied information is not advice.
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BTCUSD - 5 Waves then bounce?Anybody reading me knows I have been following this multi-year baby blue trend-line for quite some time. After the price broke above it last time it came back down to kiss it and then took off to all time highs. ($20K) My expectation is for something similar. As you can see in this chart there may be a 5 wave move down to the line on the 4 hour chart. If this holds, the RSI, MACD, Stochs, etc. should have pulled out of oversold enough to fuel the next bull run North. This is my current line of thinking but anything could happen. When I say hold I don't mean a spike low through the line only to quickly recover. If it is to fail we need see a couple daily closes below the trend. If that happens I will reevaluate to see if I have the line drawn as accurately as possible or assess that maybe something else is going on.
Good luck this week!






















