Bull Market 2023–2025: Final Results (27.12.25)Public history, responsibility, and the environment without which you don’t belong in the market
First of all, I want to thank @TradingView
In 2025, I received the WIZARD badge.
This is not just a label — it is recognition of my contribution as an active member of the TradingView Community.
For me, this matters not because of status, but because of responsibility.
This badge means I have the ability to propose changes and improvements to the platform, and some of these proposals have already been implemented.
I’m genuinely glad to be one of those community members who helps make TradingView better for everyone.
Why TradingView is about responsibility, not social media
I have been an active member of the TradingView Community for a long time, and I strongly believe this platform is fundamentally different from any other financial media space.
First — the chart as the core tool of analytical thinking.
Second — publications and the Play button, which lock ideas in time.
Third — and most important — the impossibility of deleting published ideas.
Fourth - indicators
You cannot rewrite history here.
You cannot erase mistakes.
You cannot hide behind “the context has changed.”
That is why I approach every single publication on TradingView with full responsibility.
Why there is no noise or random content here
I do not use TradingView the way many people use Twitter or Telegram.
There are no:
emotional reactions
random thoughts
posts made for reach or hype
As of December 2025, my audience consists of 132,000 followers, and I fully understand the responsibility that comes with that.
Yes, every publication is not financial advice.
But for myself, I set a clear internal rule:
every idea must be logical, verifiable, and honest.
Why the timeline starts in 2023
I intentionally start this review from 2023 because that is when the bottom of the previous cycle was forming.
At the time, it was not obvious to the majority of the market:
- fear was at its peak
- trust was minimal
- negative narratives dominated
I’ve been in the market for a long time and have lived through multiple full cycles.
This Bitcoin cycle was my third, and I consider it the most professionally executed one so far.
Each cycle is different:
- different narratives
- different audiences
- different speed
But market logic and crowd psychology repeat.
Publications that cannot be adjusted after the fact
Back in late 2022, an idea was published:
Bitcoin cycles + logistic curve = New bull run 2023–2025.
This was done before the move, not after.
Every marker you see on this chart represents a public idea published in real time on TradingView.
It’s important to highlight:
- all key ideas were LONG
- there were no public SHORT ideas during the bull phase
Why?
Because in a true bull market, speculating against the trend makes no sense.
The upside potential always outweighs the logic of catching small pullbacks.
Timing and the end of the cycle
If you open each publication, you’ll see:
- market phases
- time-based expectations
- structural projections
On most higher-timeframe ideas, the end of the bull market was publicly marked in red.
My key time reference was stated in advance — September 2025.
September 2025: when most still believed in continuation
Starting in September 2025, while market euphoria was still present,
I began publishing ideas stating that:
- the bull market was over
- positions were closed
- Bitcoin was forming a reversal
- the market was entering a bull trap phase
- you were warned in advance
These ideas were based not on emotions, but on market structure, cycles, and psychology.
Experience, no FOMO, and a mature position
After years in the market, I have zero FOMO.
I don’t worry about:
- missing a coin
- missing a narrative
- not participating in every move
The market is:
- fast
- volatile
- heavily manipulated
You cannot be everywhere.
The core task of the market is simple:
buy low — sell high.
That’s exactly what I’ve been doing for over 12 years, with more than 10,000 hours spent in the market.
The reality of the modern market
Today’s market consists of:
- funds
- corporations
- algorithms
- quantitative strategies
On lower timeframes and chaotic moves, retail traders are simply outmatched.
The gap between emotional decision-makers
and those who operate with structure, data, and discipline
will only continue to widen.
If you are in the market — you must be in the environment
Here I’ll be as direct as possible.
If you are in financial markets,
if you plan to continue trading,
if you want to survive and adapt —
you must be part of a strong community.
A lone trader in today’s market is easy prey.
Over the years, a community of like-minded traders has formed around me — people who:
approach the market systematically
- discuss scenarios
- analyze entries and exits
- stay connected during difficult periods
I share my public ideas for free, and that remains a core principle.
But if you truly intend to stay in this market,
you need an environment, feedback, and shared logic.
What you do next is your decision.
Trading is a marathon
Trading is not a sprint.
It’s a marathon.
Sometimes the best position is no position.
Sometimes the best trade is the one you didn’t take.
Patience, waiting, and discipline are skills —
without them, you don’t belong in this market.
The current moment and what’s ahead
At the moment, crypto is in a phase where I take very few trades.
Some positions are already open — at predefined levels, within a structured risk framework.
I’m not leaving financial markets:
- crypto
- Forex
- equities
- tokenized assets
- gold
- oil
Instruments change. Principles don’t.
In conclusion
If this chart receives 300 likes,
I will publish a separate post outlining:
- goals
- scenarios
- positioning
for 2026.
Wishing everyone clarity, discipline, and a cold mind.
May 2026 be better than 2025.
And may there be peace on our planet.
Yours, EXCAVO
