Get started

Wave Analysis

GOLD → Long squeeze support could strengthen the price to 4500FX:XAUUSD continues its aggressive rally. The price has reached a new high of 4497.5, leaving a small gap of $2.5 to 4500 (insurance against profit-taking???). A retest of support could renew interest in buying... Statements by US Treasury Secretary Bentsen about a possible transition to inflation targeting (instead of a fixed target of 2%) undermine confidence in the Fed's long-term policy. • The escalation of US sanctions against Venezuela (detention of tankers) and continued tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East are boosting demand for defensive assets. Today, US GDP data for the third quarter and durable goods orders are expected. Speeches by Fed members may cause increased volatility amid low liquidity (end of the year). The upward trend in gold continues, but in order to continue growing, the market may switch to liquidity hunting mode and form retests of support levels... Resistance levels: 4497.5, 4500, 4510 Support levels: 4470, 4460, 4450 The 4470 zone is a liquidity pool; a retest or long squeeze could resume the rally. However, I do not rule out that, against the backdrop of the news, gold may test 4460 - 4450 before continuing to grow. In the current situation, all attention is focused on the range of 4470 - 4500. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
33
GOLD - Hunting for liquidity ahead of growth. Focus on 4475FX:XAUUSD reached a new historic high of around $4,525. However, profit-taking is causing a correction, with the 4,475-4,470 range being the area of interest in the bull market. The dollar is weakening, with the market anticipating two rate cuts in 2026. Geopolitical risks are supporting demand for safe-haven assets. Positive US GDP data for Q3 (+4.3%) did not support the dollar due to expectations of a slowdown in growth in Q4. The dollar index has hit its lowest level since early October. Today, US jobless claims data will be released, which may increase volatility. The overall positive sentiment in the stock markets is holding back more active growth in gold. The upward trend in gold continues. Any significant correction is likely to be seen as a buying opportunity, given the Fed's accommodative monetary policy and geopolitical uncertainty. Resistance levels: 4500, 4525 Support levels: 4475, 4470, 4466, 4452 Focus on the current trading range of 4475-4525. A false breakdown of support could attract buyers waiting for favorable prices. I do not rule out a retest of 4452-4442 before growth (against the backdrop of aggressive profit-taking). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
Price Breaks Higher, Pullback Becomes the OpportunityHi, On the 4H timeframe, XAUUSD is still clearly trading within a strong bullish trend. The recent sharp move higher was not a random spike, but a solid bullish Break of Structure (BOS), marked by a large candle body closing decisively above the previous consolidation zone. From a fundamental perspective, the broader news backdrop continues to support this bullish scenario. The market is increasingly pricing in the possibility of monetary easing by the Fed next year, while recent U.S. economic data shows signs of cooling. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks and global uncertainty are sustaining strong safe-haven demand for gold. In terms of price action, I do not expect gold to move straight up without any pullbacks. The most reasonable scenario is a corrective move to retest the 4.43x–4.45x support zone, where demand aligns with the bullish market structure. If price holds this area and shows clear buying reactions, it would present a high-quality opportunity to continue looking for BUY setups in line with the dominant trend. Wishing you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
16
Bitcoin at Key Liquidity Zone — Bullish Reversal Loading?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), as I mentioned in my previous idea , has successfully reached its first target($90,217). Bitcoin is currently trading near Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($86,6330-$86,170) and is moving within a small descending channel. Additionally, from an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin is completing its Wave C in an expanding flat corrective pattern(ABC/3-3-5). We’re also observing a positive Regular Divergence (RD+) within this small descending channel, indicating potential strength. I expect that once Bitcoin breaks above the upper line of this small descending channel, it will aim to retest and potentially surpass the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720), which it previously failed to break. Do you believe Bitcoin can sustain its momentum and confirm a breakout above $90,000? Let me know your thoughts! Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,300-$90,660 First Target: $89,321 Second Target: $90,250 Third Target: 50_SMA(Daily) Stop Loss(SL): $85,377Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
The Christmas Silver Finally Breaks FreeFor decades, Silver has celebrated the holidays the same way 🎄 Strong rallies. Rising excitement. And a familiar ceiling. 🎄 Christmas 1980 Silver climbed like a Christmas tree, fast, vertical, and emotional. The star was reached at the $50 level. And just like that, the lights went out ✨ The market peaked and collapsed back into its long-term range. 🎄 Christmas 2010 Different era. Same story. Once again, Silver rallied into Christmas, lit up the chart, and tested the same $50 level. The tree was tall. The star was bright. But price could not hold above it. ⭐️Why the Star at $50 Always Mattered That star was not decorative . It was structural . The $50 level represented: • decades of trapped supply • historical excess from prior cycles • a psychological round number the market respected Every Christmas rally stopped at the same place. Until this one❗️ 💫Christmas 2025: The Star Breaks Free This time, Silver did not just touch the star. It broke above it and held. The Christmas tree is no longer capped. The star has turned into a shooting star ☄️ That is what price discovery looks like. When a market escapes a level it failed to conquer for decades, it stops trading inside a box and starts trading into open space. 🌌Discovery Mode: The Sky Is the Limit With the ceiling gone, Silver enters a new phase. The blue zone ahead is not a prediction . It is a projection . A natural expansion toward the next psychological magnet near 100. Not because history says so. But because history no longer applies the same way once a multi-decade barrier breaks. Above the star, there is only sky. 💡The Takeaway Silver spent decades decorating the same tree. This Christmas, it finally stepped outside the room 🎄➡️🌌 And once a market reaches open skies, it does not ask for permission. It explores . 🧐So here’s the real question: Where do you see Silver next Christmas?🎄 And where do you think it will be ten Christmases from now? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~ Richard Nasr
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
29
Elise | BTCUSD | 30M – Bearish Continuation SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD After failing to sustain above the HTF supply zone, BTC printed a clear distribution phase followed by impulsive downside. The current move appears to be a corrective pullback into bearish structure resistance, suggesting continuation rather than reversal. Key Scenarios ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Rejection from current structure resistance may lead to continuation lower. 🎯 Target 1: 86,800 🎯 Target 2: 86,300 ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Only a clean break and hold above bearish structure resistance would invalidate this setup. 🎯 Upside Invalidation Level: Above HTF supply Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 88,000 – 88,400 Support 🟢: 86,800 – 86,300 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
14
The Christmas Effect: Why Markets Slow Down Before They MoveEvery December, traders ask the same question: Will we get a Christmas rally? But the real lesson Christmas teaches the market isn’t about rallies. It’s about behavior. 1️⃣ Christmas Is a Liquidity Event 🎄 As the year comes to an end: - institutions reduce exposure - desks thin out - volume drops - participation becomes selective This doesn’t make markets weak. It makes them quiet . And quiet markets are where structure forms. 2️⃣ Low Activity Doesn’t Mean No Opportunity During Christmas weeks, price often: - compresses - ranges tightly - respects key levels - moves slowly Many traders mistake this for boredom. Professionals see it differently. Low-volatility environments often act like wrapping paper... they hide the move that comes after the holidays. 3️⃣ Why Breakouts After Christmas Matter More When markets return to full participation in January, two things happen: - liquidity comes back - intent becomes clear That’s why post-Christmas breakouts tend to be: - cleaner - more directional - better sustained The move doesn’t start with fireworks. It starts with patience. 4️⃣ Christmas Rewards the Prepared Trader While most traders look for action, experienced ones: - mark levels - define scenarios - reduce overtrading - protect capital Christmas is not about forcing trades. It’s about preparing for the next chapter. Final Thought 🎄 The market doesn’t move because it’s Christmas. It moves because participants return. And the traders who respect the quiet season are usually the ones best positioned when the noise comes back. So here’s the question: Are you trying to trade Christmas… or preparing for what comes after it? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
9
SUIUSDT - Readiness for bearish distributionBINANCE:SUIUSDT is updating local lows after breaking through consolidation support. The market structure is weak (bearish), and the decline may continue... Bitcoin is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle. It is within a downtrend. A breakout of support will trigger a bearish rally. If the flagship of the crypto market begins to fall, altcoins may fall even lower. For SUI, within the D1 timeframe, there is potential for a fall to 1.3148 - 1.1163. SUIUSDT has a weak market structure: a downtrend, declining highs, updating local lows, breaking through consolidation support. If the bears keep the price below 1.4154, the altcoin's decline may continue towards the liquidity zone at 1.326 Resistance levels: 1.4154, 1.457, 1.4977 Support levels: 1.326 Bulls are not yet ready to make an effort to change the trend. The market is under selling pressure. Keeping the price below 1.4154 after breaking through the level could trigger further sell-offs towards a double bottom... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
USDJPY Retests Broken Resistance — Next Leg Up?The USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) has indeed performed as I expected in the previous idea , breaking through the falling wedge pattern and surpassing the anticipated targets, even reaching above the resistance zone(156.960 JPY-156.130 JPY). Currently, it seems that USDJPY is undergoing a pullback towards the broken resistance zone(156.960 JPY-156.130 JPY) and is potentially entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . From the Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that USDJPY is completing the microwave 4 of the main wave 5. This microwave 4 may find its completion in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) or near key support lines. I expect that once USDJPY enters the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , it will resume its upward movement, potentially climbing up to around 157.730 JPY. And if the bullish momentum remains strong, we could look forward to even higher targets for USDJPY. First Target: 157.729 JPY. Second Target: 158.24 JPY. Stop Loss(SL): 154.82 JPY. Points may shift as the market evolves Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. 📌 U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
Gold Enters PRZ After New ATH — Time to Watch for Shorts?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started the new week by printing a New All-Time High(ATH). At the moment, price is moving inside the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and is also approaching the upper lines of the Small/Large ascending channel. Technically, there is a strong probability that these upper channel lines act as dynamic resistance for gold. From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be in the process of completing Main Wave 5. The main wave 5 could reasonably terminate inside the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Additionally, a clear Regular Bearish Divergence (RD−) is visible between the last two consecutive highs. This Regular Bearish Divergence (RD−) is not limited to lower timeframes and can also be observed clearly on the Daily timeframe, which adds weight to the setup. Based on this confluence, I expect gold to start a corrective move from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , with a minimum downside target toward the key support lines. First Target: Support lines Second Target: Support zone($4,357-$4,341) Stop Loss(SL): $4,475 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
27
AUDCAD: Structural Shift After Prolonged Bearish TrendHi! AUDCAD previously traded within a clear bearish structure, forming lower highs and lower lows inside a descending channel. Toward the latter stage of the move, selling pressure began to weaken as downside momentum slowed and price struggled to print new lows, signaling seller exhaustion and early buy-side absorption. Price then reacted from a key demand zone and broke above the descending trendline, confirming a structural shift. As long as price holds above this demand area, bullish continuation remains the preferred scenario, with the next resistance target near 0.9188 . A decisive move back below demand would invalidate this outlook and suggest a return to bearish continuation. Trade safely.
Long
by Camila_Roja
12
Gold Continues to Maintain Its Bullish Streak Into Year-EndHello everyone, Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is taking a pause during the Christmas holiday period, currently trading around 4,479 USD. Although slightly lower than the previous session, gold continues to hold a strong high-price base after a powerful rally, driven by rising safe-haven flows, escalating geopolitical tensions, and expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in 2026. On the chart, price has broken out of the previous sideways range and formed a clear bullish structure. At the moment, gold is consolidating within the 4,450–4,525 range, with 4,520–4,525 acting as the nearest resistance (weak high)—a zone where liquidity may be drawn before the market commits to its next direction. From a scenario perspective, as long as price holds above key support, any pullbacks are considered healthy, and the uptrend remains dominant. A decisive break above 4,525 could open the door toward 4,600 USD and beyond, especially if supportive factors such as low interest rates and ongoing geopolitical risks persist. The preferred strategy at this stage remains buy-biased, focusing on patience, confirmation-based entries, trading in line with the trend, and avoiding FOMO. What’s your view on the current XAUUSD trend? Feel free to leave a comment. Wishing you a peaceful and joyful Christmas!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
4
Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation. CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation. Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price • Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk • Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4470 2. 4450 3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4450 2. 4475 3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion: • A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or • A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+ Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
7
Gold 1H – Smart Money Traps Form Near 4540–4450 Range🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, but price is now trading inside a compression zone after a clear impulsive expansion. With year-end liquidity thinning and traders positioning ahead of fresh Fed rate expectations and USD yield fluctuations, Gold is vulnerable to liquidity manipulation rather than clean continuation. Recent USD softness and mixed macro headlines keep Gold supported, yet extended pricing near highs increases the probability of stop hunts on both sides before the next decisive move. Smart Money behavior here favors range engineering — drawing in breakout traders above highs and shaking out impatient longs below key demand — before revealing true intent. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure with short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4540–4542) or discount (4450–4448) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Recent CHoCH signals short-term distribution risk • Price is trading in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg left unmitigated inefficiencies below • A defined scalping range has formed between premium and discount • Liquidity rests clearly above 4540 and below 4450 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 Rules: ✔ Sweep above premium buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4510 2. 4485 3. 4450 – extension if USD strengthens or yields push higher 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4480 2. 4510 3. 4540 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium trading increases fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity • Reduce risk around Fed-driven or USD yield headlines 📍 Summary Gold is still bullish by structure, but current price action signals liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion: • A sweep above 4540 may fade back toward 4485–4450, or • A liquidity grab near 4450 could reload longs toward 4510–4540+ Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
7
Silver Extends Higher as Wave ((iii)) Remains in ProgressSilver (XAGUSD) maintains a bullish Elliott Wave structure with pullbacks offering buying opportunities It continues to trade firmly higher and maintains a bullish structure. Price action respects the broader Elliott Wave sequence and keeps favoring the upside while key support levels hold. The rally from the prior swing low remains impulsive and shows no signs of exhaustion yet. From the earlier low, Silver completed a corrective phase and then turned higher in a clear impulsive advance. This move confirms that wave ((ii)) has already ended. Price has since resumed higher within wave ((iii)). Momentum remains strong, which is typical during a third-wave sequence. Within wave ((iii)), Silver is unfolding higher in wave (i). Wave (ii) has already completed as a corrective pullback. Price has now pushed higher into wave (iii), showing strong upside acceleration. Inside this advance, red sub-wave iii appears advanced. Because of this, a brief pause or pullback may develop in the near term. Any short-term pullback should form as red wave iv and stay corrective in nature. This correction should unfold in a 3, 7, or 11 swing structure. Once complete, it should offer a buying opportunity near the extremes of the pullback. As long as Silver holds above the invalidation level at 60.753, the bullish outlook remains unchanged. The broader structure continues to favor higher prices, and selling is not recommended at this stage. Pullbacks should be viewed as pauses within the trend rather than signs of a larger reversal.
FX_IDC:XAGUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2
Gold Hits ATH Before Christmas — Is a Correction Coming?🎄🎄🎄 Merry Christmas, Traders! 🎄🎄🎄 Wishing you a joyful Christmas filled with good vibes, calm markets, tight stop-losses, and charts that respect your levels😄. May you spend this season with your family, loved ones, and everyone who truly matters — away from stress, noise, and overtrading. Enjoy the holidays, protect your capital,and come back refreshed for the new trading year. Best wishes to all my followers — thank you for being part of this journey ✨ ----------------------------- Historically, Gold has not printed all-time highs during the Christmas period. Most ATHs have occurred during macro stress events, not holiday sessions. As we approach Christmas, the market typically sees: Lower trading volume Reduced institutional participation More range-bound and slower price action This period is usually characterized by consolidation or mild directional moves, rather than strong breakouts. Important trends and decisive moves in Gold often emerge after the holidays, when liquidity returns and institutional positioning resumes in early January. ----------------------------- Currently, gold is moving near a resistance zone($4,506-$4,494) and, over the past few days, it has consistently formed new all-time highs (ATHs). From a classic technical perspective, gold, after experiencing a strong decline in momentum yesterday, seems to have formed a symmetrical triangle. A break below the lower line of this triangle could lead to a short-term downward movement for gold. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold has completed wave 5, and we should now expect corrective waves. Given the intensity of the downward momentum, these corrective waves could be quite significant. I expect gold to decline from the resistance zone($4,506-$4,494) and the lower line of the symmetrical triangle, at least down to the support zone. Considering the approach of Christmas, trading volume is likely to be low, so larger targets might be more relevant after the holiday season. First Target: Support zone($4,478-$4,466) Second Target: Support zone($4,43-$4,426) Stop Loss(SL): $4,514 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
3