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Wave Analysis

Analytics: market outlook and forecasts 📈 WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, the trading direction was clearly bearish. Since Monday, sellers have taken the lead, driving the price through key support levels without significant resistance from buyers. It wasn't until Wednesday evening that the first signs of resistance appeared, although we expected only a local correctional rise. As a result, Bitcoin tested the local resistance zone at $91,000-$91,700, after which the decline resumed. 💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The situation has become more difficult to assess and may lead to a reversal of the trend. During the test of the local minimum, there were volume anomalies and significant buyer activity on the delta. If the price remains above the $88,000-$87,200 zone, it may indicate a return of buyer strength. In this case, the potential for movement will be directed towards the resistance zone of $92,600-$93,500 (volume anomalies). If the price falls below this zone, the recovery may be uncertain. Despite the presence of strong supports, a full-fledged reversal may require stronger protection and additional time. Buy Zones $86,000–$84,800 (anomalous activity) $84,000–$82,000 (strong volume anomalies) Sell Zones $92,600–$93,500 (volume anomalies) $96,000–$97,500 (selling pressure) $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes) 📰 IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic events this week: • January 27, Tuesday, 13:30 (UTC) — speech by US President Donald Trump; • January 27, Tuesday, 15:00 (UTC) — publication of the US Consumer Confidence Index for January; • January 28, Wednesday, 13:30 (UTC) — speech by US President Donald Trump; • January 28, Wednesday, 14:45 (UTC) — announcement of the Canadian interest rate decision; • January 28, Wednesday, 19:00 (UTC) — announcement of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision, as well as the US FOMC statement; • January 28, Wednesday, 19:30 (UTC) — press conference by the US FOMC; • January 29, Thursday, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial jobless claims in the US; • January 30, Friday, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of Germany's GDP for the fourth quarter of 2025; • January 30, Friday, 13:00 (UTC) — publication of the German Consumer Price Index for January; • January 30, Friday, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the US Producer Price Index for December; • January 31, Saturday, 1:30 (UTC) — publication of the Chinese Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index for January. *This post is not financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
EUR/USD Outlook: Identifying the Next Leg UpDescription: Analyzing the current market structure, EUR/USD has completed a sharp rally and is now entering a healthy retracement zone. We are monitoring the price action closely for a rejection at the lower liquidity levels. Key Observation: The price is expected to pull back into the identified value area before attempting to break higher. Targets: Looking for an expansion toward 1.19000 psychological resistance. Invalidation: A clean break and close below 1.17582 would shift the short-term bias to neutral. Note: Volume and price behavior at the retest point will be critical for confirmation.
Short
by FX_CAM
EUR/USD: Bullish Momentum and Retest StrategyDescription: The EUR/USD pair is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute timeframe. After a significant impulse move, the price is approaching a potential correction phase before continuing its upward trajectory. Support Level: A solid demand zone is identified near the 1.17936 level, where the price might seek liquidity. Upside Target: The primary take-profit objective is set at 1.19022, targeting the next major resistance area. Risk Management: The setup remains valid as long as the price stays above the 1.17608 mark. Strategy: This is a classic "Buy the Dip" scenario in a trending market.
Long
by FX_CAM
USD/JPY Outlook: Identifying Lower High FormationThe overall market structure for USD/JPY on the 15-minute timeframe has shifted to bearish. Following the recent breakdown, the current upward move is being viewed as a corrective rally to form a lower high. Support Turned Resistance: The green box represents a broken support level that may now act as resistance during this retracement. Projected Path: Expecting price to struggle around the 157.50 - 158.00 region before resuming its downward trajectory. Levels to Watch: * Resistance: 158.30 Support: 155.70 Note: This setup focuses on "Sell the Rally" logic, aligning with the dominant short-term bearish momentum.
Short
by FX_CAM
USD/JPY: Analyzing Potential Resistance at Supply ZoneAfter a sharp bearish impulse, USD/JPY is currently in a recovery phase. The price is approaching a significant supply zone (purple box) where institutional selling pressure was previously observed. Key Resistance: The area between 158.00 - 158.50 is acting as a strong ceiling. Analysis: We are looking for a liquidity grab or a bearish rejection candle near the supply zone to confirm the next leg down. Target: The primary objective is a retest of the recent lows near the 156.00 handle. Risk Management: The bearish bias would be invalidated if the price clears and stabilizes above the 158.50 resistance zone.
Short
by FX_CAM
GBP/USD Outlook: Testing Supply for Liquidity SweepThe British Pound has reached a significant liquidity pool on the 15-minute timeframe. We are currently observing how price reacts to this supply zone after a parabolic move. Market Structure: Price is currently trading at a premium. A pullback into the identified purple demand zones below would offer a more balanced market structure. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 1.36375 Downside Objective: 1.35163 (Key Support) Strategy Note: This setup focuses on a short-term reversal play. Wait for bearish price action confirmation (like an engulfing candle) before considering the move toward the support base.
Short
by FX_CAM
GBP/USD: Potential Retracement After Strong Bullish ImpulseFollowing a sharp rally, GBP/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the current highs. The chart indicates a potential corrective move as price looks to balance the recent impulsive expansion. Resistance Zone: Sellers are becoming active around the 1.36388 level, creating a temporary ceiling. Target Area: Looking for a move lower toward the primary support zone at 1.35163, which aligns with previous structural consolidation. Risk Management: The bearish outlook remains intact unless we see a strong break and daily close above 1.36876. Observation: Monitoring for a "Change of Character" on lower timeframes to confirm the start of the retracement.
Short
by FX_CAM
BTC/USD Intraday Outlook: Liquidity Grab and ExpansionDescription: After a sharp retracement, BTC/USD has entered a high-interest demand area. The current price action suggests that sell-side liquidity has been cleared, potentially paving the way for a bullish expansion. Zone of Interest: The purple boxes represent key areas of imbalance and support. Execution Logic: Anticipating a secondary retest of the lower boundary before the projected move toward the $90,000 psychological level. Parameters: * Resistance: $89,250 & $89,960 Support: $88,200 & $87,950
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FX_CAM
1
DHAMPUR SUGAR possible reversal candidatReversal signal will come above 104 only, till then there is no signal. Above 104 partial can be done with small quantity. Long term investment pic. keep on radar and observe. Dhampur Sugar Mills Ltd. is a mid‑cap sugar and ethanol producer incorporated in 1933. It operates integrated sugar complexes in Uttar Pradesh, with strong presence in sugar, ethanol, power co‑generation, and chemicals. Promoter: The Dhampur Group, led by the founding family, continues to hold majority control and drive expansion in integrated sugar‑ethanol operations. FY22–FY25 Snapshot Sales – ₹4,820 Cr → ₹5,210 Cr → ₹5,640 Cr → ₹6,050 Cr Net Profit – ₹210 Cr → ₹265 Cr → ₹310 Cr → ₹355 Cr Operating Performance – Moderate → Strong → Very Strong → Stable Dividend Yield – 1.2% → 1.4% → 1.6% → 1.8% Equity Capital – ₹66 Cr (constant) Total Debt – ₹1,420 Cr → ₹1,280 Cr → ₹1,050 Cr → ₹890 Cr (steady deleveraging) Fixed Assets – ₹2,150 Cr → ₹2,240 Cr → ₹2,310 Cr → ₹2,420 Cr EPS – ₹31.8 → ₹40.1 → ₹46.9 → ₹53.7 Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends Promoter holding: ~49%, reflecting strong family control. FIIs/DIIs: Modest exposure, with DIIs gradually increasing stake due to ethanol growth story. Public float: ~51%, with delivery volumes showing accumulation by long‑term investors. Strategic Moves & Innovations Expansion of ethanol capacity to benefit from government’s blending program. Focus on integrated operations (sugar, ethanol, power) for margin stability. Investment in green energy and co‑generation to diversify revenue streams. Efficiency improvements in cane procurement and crushing operations. Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Strength Operating cash flows strengthened in FY25, supported by ethanol margins. Free cash flow positive, reinvested into capacity expansion and modernization. Debt reduced steadily, improving balance sheet resilience. Strong asset backing with integrated plants in Uttar Pradesh. Risk Factors Dependence on cyclical sugar prices and government policies. Regulatory risks in ethanol pricing and blending mandates. Margin sensitivity to cane costs and monsoon variability. Competition from other integrated sugar‑ethanol players. Investor Takeaway Dhampur Sugar Mills Ltd. demonstrates steady revenue growth, margin expansion, and deleveraging, supported by ethanol capacity expansion and integrated operations. With government focus on ethanol blending and rising institutional interest, the company is well‑positioned for sustained growth, though cyclical risks in sugar pricing remain.
NSE:DBOL
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
XAGUSD: Bullish Continuation AheadXAGUSD: Bullish Continuation Ahead From our previous analysis, the $95 target was reached. Silver has delivered a strong bullish breakout after consolidating inside a clear contracting triangle formation. The breakout was followed by impulsive upside movement, confirming strong buying interest and a continuation of the broader bullish trend. The price corrected once again and is also showing another major accumulation pattern indicating increasing bullish momentum. Price is now consolidating above the 94.00 area, which is acting as a key support zone.The current consolidation near the highs suggests accumulation before the next leg higher. President Trump continues to create higher volatility in all financial instruments and this should support silver's rise. If momentum resumes, the next upside targets are: 🎯 100.00 🎯 105.00 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAGUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
12
AUDUSD 1H Outlook Today: Weak High Compression After BOSAUDUSD has been trending cleanly higher on the 1H with multiple BOS prints and a strong bullish impulse into premium. Price is now compressing under a marked Weak High near the 0.6940 area, while current price holds around 0.6913. This is a typical “impulse → pause → decision” structure, where the next high-probability move is either: a liquidity sweep / breakout above the weak high, or a mean-reversion pullback into the nearest demand blocks and Fibonacci discounts. Market Structure and Price Behavior (1H) The trend remains bullish (higher highs / higher lows), confirmed by repeated BOS. The top is labeled Weak High, meaning liquidity is likely sitting above it. The current consolidation suggests buyers are taking profit and the market is waiting for a catalyst to either expand up or retrace into support. The cleanest approach today is to trade levels + confirmation, not the middle of the range. Key Resistance Levels (Where Breakout or Rejection Forms) 0.6940 – 0.6950: Weak High / liquidity cap (primary resistance) 0.6920 – 0.6925: intraday supply / minor ceiling inside the pause 0.6900: pivot line (if this breaks and holds below, pullback risk increases) Key Support Levels (Demand Blocks + Fibonacci Confluence) Visible demand zones on the chart align well with Fibonacci retracements from the impulse 0.6662 → 0.6940: 0.6880 – 0.6874: first pullback shelf (Fib 23.6% ≈ 0.6874) 0.6840 – 0.6834: demand + Fib 38.2% ≈ 0.6834 0.6800 – 0.6798: demand + Fib 50% ≈ 0.6801 0.6768 – 0.6760: Fib 61.8% ≈ 0.6768 (stronger reaction zone) 0.6722 – 0.6720: deeper discount (Fib 78.6% ≈ 0.6721) 0.6662: strong low (major invalidation level for bulls) Trendline Context (Risk Management) The steep trendline drawn from the base of the move is bullish, but steep trendlines often break during healthy corrections. If price loses the consolidation base and fails to reclaim it, expect a rotation into 0.6840 / 0.6800 to rebalance the move. EMA + RSI Filters (Simple, Effective) Use these filters to avoid low-quality entries: EMA Bullish condition: price holding above EMA20/EMA50 on 1H (buy dips). If price closes below EMA50 and retests it from underneath, shift to pullback mode. RSI Bull trend regime: RSI tends to hold above 50 on pullbacks. If RSI loses 50 and fails to reclaim it during rebounds, bearish pullback continuation becomes more likely. High-Probability Trade Setups (With Stop Loss) Setup A: Breakout Long Above Weak High (Continuation) Entry: 1H close above 0.6940, then buy the retest 0.6940 – 0.6928 Stop loss: below 0.6915 (or below the retest swing low) Take profit 1: 0.6960 Take profit 2: trail toward the next round-number expansion if momentum stays strong Best when: breakout candle is strong and RSI stays firm above 50. Setup B: Pullback Long Into Fibonacci Demand (Higher R:R) Entry zone 1: 0.6880 – 0.6874 SL: below 0.6860 TP: 0.6920 → 0.6940 Entry zone 2 (better): 0.6840 – 0.6834 (Fib 38.2 + demand) SL: below 0.6818 TP: 0.6880 → 0.6920 → 0.6940 Entry zone 3 (deep pullback): 0.6800 (Fib 50 + demand) SL: below 0.6768 TP: 0.6840 → 0.6880 → 0.6920 Rule: only take longs if price shows rejection + bullish displacement from the zone (don’t blind catch). Setup C: Short Only If Structure Flips (Countertrend Scalps) This is not the primary bias, but it’s valid if the market breaks down. Trigger: 1H acceptance below 0.6900, then a failed retest into 0.6900 – 0.6913 Stop loss: above 0.6925 Targets: 0.6880 → 0.6840 → 0.6800 This setup works best if RSI fails to reclaim 50 during the retest. Invalidation Levels (Know When Bias Changes) Bull continuation is strongest while price holds above 0.6900 and respects EMA support. Bull bias weakens if price accepts below 0.6900 and keeps making lower highs. Major bullish invalidation comes from a breakdown toward 0.6662 (strong low). Trading Notes AUDUSD is in a bullish structure, but the market is currently negotiating a Weak High. The best trades today come from either: confirmed breakout above 0.6940, or patient buys at 0.6840 / 0.6800 with confirmation. If this plan is useful, save it and follow for the next update when price either sweeps the Weak High or retraces into the Fibonacci demand zones.
by Henrybillion
Middle East Risks Keep Brent Oil Bullish — Higher TargetsAs I expected in the previous idea , Brent Crude OIL( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) has risen and reached its targets, with a Risk-To-Reward: 2:01 (full target). Brent Crude OIL is currently trading near the support zone($63.30-$62.00) and the support lines. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Brent Crude OIL has completed main wave 4, and we can now expect the next impulsive wave for the main wave 5. Additionally, news from the Middle East does not indicate a reduction in tensions, and we can expect potential surprises in the region. Therefore, I prefer to maintain long positions in Brent Crude OIL rather than short positions, and I’m looking for triggers to enter long. I expect that Brent Crude OIL will once again target the resistance zone($66.80-$65.00) and potentially rise to around $66.47. The next target could be the yearly pivot point($67.30). First Target: $66.47 Second Target: $67.30 Stop Loss(SL): $62.60 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌U.S. Dollar/Brent Crude OIL Analysis (USDCAD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
FX_IDC:USDBROLong
by pejman_zwin
1
BTCUSD H1 – Compression Inside Range, Expansion Is ComingOn the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trapped in a well-defined sideways range after a sharp impulsive sell-off from the higher resistance area. That initial drop clearly shifted short-term momentum bearish, but instead of continuation, price has transitioned into range-bound behavior, signaling absorption and indecision between buyers and sellers. The market is now oscillating cleanly between the upper range resistance (~90,200–90,300) and the lower support zone (~87,800–88,200), with repeated wicks and overlapping candles — classic signs of balance, not trend. From a structural perspective, this is not a trend yet, but a preparation phase. Liquidity is being built on both sides. The EMA is flattening and running through the middle of the range, reinforcing the idea that momentum is neutral and price is waiting for a catalyst. As long as BTC remains inside this sideways zone, trading the middle carries poor risk-reward, and patience is required. Key scenarios going forward: If buyers manage to hold above the support zone and break decisively above the range high, the upside opens toward the 93,000–94,000 resistance zone, where prior supply sits. That would confirm a successful absorption of sell pressure and a bullish range expansion. However, a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would invalidate the range and likely trigger a bearish continuation, opening the door toward deeper downside levels in the mid-85,000s, as indicated by the projected path. BTC is in compression mode. The range will not last forever the next impulsive move will come from a confirmed breakout or breakdown, not from guessing inside the box. Let price show its hand, then act. Risk management remains key.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
Gold Approaches $5,000 Resistance Amid PRZ & Divergence🎂 Today marks the beginning of a new chapter in my life. When I blow out the candles, my greatest wish is not just for myself — I wish health, peace, freedom, and happiness for all people around the world. May every heart feel calm, every soul feel safe, and every dream find its way. This year, I hope we grow stronger together, share deeper insights, and move toward success with wisdom, profit, and humanity. Thank you for being part of my journey. 🤍✨ ----------------------------------- With the start of this week, gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has opened with a significant gap upward, driven by tensions surrounding Greenland and Trump’s threats of tariffs on European countries, as well as the potential escalation of tensions in the Middle East. This has contributed to gold’s upward trend over the past few days. Over the last few days, gold has been creating new all-time highs with each passing day. The question is whether gold can break through the psychological resistance level of $5,000 without any correction, or if it will continue its bullish trend smoothly. Gold is currently near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) around the Round Number: $5,000. Looking at it from an Elliott Wave perspective on the 1-hour timeframe, it seems that gold is completing its wave 5, which could occur within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . We also notice a significant negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks. Today’s upcoming US Flash PMI and Consumer Sentiment data could act as a short-term catalyst for Gold. If Manufacturing and Services PMI print clearly stronger than expectations, it would signal ongoing economic resilience in the US, support the USD, and reduce near-term rate-cut expectations. In that scenario, Gold may face short-term downside pressure or a corrective pullback, as the market reprices a more patient Federal Reserve stance. I expect gold to decline from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , possibly dropping to around $4,884. If the support lines are broken, we could see further declines toward $4,851. First Target: $4,884 Second Target: $4,851 Stop Loss(SL): $5,016 Points may shift as the market evolves Note: It’s important to note that when an asset sets a new all-time high, technical analysis becomes less reliable since it lacks historical data. Note: In general, it is not possible to provide a medium-term or long-term analysis for gold because there are currently many parameters that can affect the gold trend. I’d love to hear your thoughts on gold. How long do you think it can maintain this bullish trend? 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
20
JPYUSD 1H Analysis Today: Weak High + Range Distribution SignalsJPYUSD just delivered a near-vertical bullish expansion, then stalled into a tight consolidation box right under a marked Weak High. This is classic post-impulse behavior: price pauses in premium, sweeps liquidity, then rotates lower toward the nearest unfilled demand layers. Current price on the chart is around 0.006492, sitting inside the upper distribution zone. Market Structure and Price Action (1H) A strong impulsive leg broke structure to the upside and printed fresh highs. Price is now compressing in a horizontal box under a Weak High, suggesting buyers are no longer in control the same way. The projected path on the chart aligns with a range -> breakdown -> pullback continuation toward lower supports. Bias for today: Sell rallies while price remains capped below the Weak High and the range ceiling. Key Resistance Levels (Supply / Sell Zones) These are the levels that matter most for short setups: 0.006500 – 0.006510 (Weak High / liquidity cap) The most important resistance. If price taps and fails, it often triggers the next leg down. 0.006490 – 0.006498 (Range ceiling / current pivot) Rejection here keeps price trapped and favors breakdown. 0.006480 – 0.006485 (Upper box midpoint / retest area) If price breaks down first, this zone often becomes the “retest short” trigger. Key Support Levels (Targets / Demand Zones) From the chart’s highlighted demand blocks: 0.006470 – 0.006460 (Box floor and first reaction support) First destination if the range breaks. 0.006420 (Fibonacci 38.2 area of the impulse leg) A natural magnet after parabolic moves. 0.006400 – 0.006380 (Fibonacci 50–61.8 area) Where trendline buyers often attempt to re-enter. 0.006320 – 0.006300 (Major demand blocks on chart) Stronger “buy-response” zone if momentum truly unwinds. 0.006280 – 0.006264 (Deep demand + Strong Low) Last meaningful support pocket shown. If reached, expect high volatility and potential reversal attempts. Fibonacci Map (Impulse Leg) Using the visible swing low near 0.00628 and swing high near 0.00650, the key retracement magnets are: 38.2%: ~0.00642 50%: ~0.00639–0.00640 61.8%: ~0.00636–0.00638 This aligns cleanly with the chart’s lower price ladder and explains why a deeper pullback is realistic. Trendline + EMA + RSI Filters (Execution Rules) Trendline The move up is steep, meaning a trendline break can trigger fast mean reversion. If price breaks the box, treat any bounce into the underside as a sell opportunity. EMA (20/50) After a parabolic leg, price often snaps back toward EMA20 then EMA50. Practical filter: prefer shorts when price fails to hold above EMA20 on M15–H1. RSI Shorts gain probability when RSI fails to reclaim the 50 line on pullbacks. Longs only become attractive at deeper demand when RSI shows divergence and structure flips bullish on lower TF. High-Probability Trade Setups (With Clear Stop Loss) Setup A: Sell the Weak High (Primary Plan) Entry: 0.006500 – 0.006510 Trigger: bearish rejection candle or lower-timeframe CHoCH down (M5–M15) Stop loss: above 0.006520 Take profit 1: 0.006470 Take profit 2: 0.006420 Take profit 3: 0.006400 → 0.006380 Why it works: you’re selling premium into liquidity, against a weak high, targeting the fib retracement magnets. Setup B: Breakdown + Retest (Safer Confirmation) Condition: 1H close below 0.006470 Entry: retest failure into 0.006480 – 0.006485 Stop loss: above 0.006500 Targets: 0.006420 → 0.006400 → 0.006380 Why it works: you let the market confirm the distribution is complete before committing size. Setup C: Demand Bounce Long (Countertrend, Only If It Flips) Entry zone: 0.006320 – 0.006300 Trigger: M15 bullish CHoCH + strong bullish displacement from the zone Stop loss: below 0.006280 Targets: 0.006360 → 0.006400 → 0.006470 This is a reaction trade, not a blind dip-buy. Require confirmation. Invalidation (When the Bearish Idea Is Wrong) If price breaks and holds above 0.006510, the weak high is no longer weak. A strong 1H acceptance above that zone shifts bias back to continuation (then you wait for a pullback buy instead of forcing shorts).
by Henrybillion