GOLD (XAU/USD) – Rejection from Supply, Pullback Plan🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) | Rejection from Supply & Pullback Opportunities
Date: Oct 23, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + CHoCH + Liquidity + Supply/Demand
1. Market Context
Price has confirmed a bullish CHoCH at 4071 → 4094 and then broke structure upward (BOS), indicating short-term bullish intent.
However, on H1, price is reacting to the 4124–4126 supply zone, aligning with higher-timeframe resistance (4,210–4,180 area).
We may expect a short-term pullback toward discount zones before continuation or reversal confirmation.
2. Key Levels
SELL Zone: 4124 – 4126 → Active supply area (short-term rejection zone)
BUY Zone 1: 4094 – 4092 → First mitigation zone
BUY Zone 2: 4084 – 4082 → Discount re-entry
BUY Zone 3: 4073 – 4071 → Extreme liquidity sweep area
Support zone (H1): 4,090 – 4,045
Resistance zone (H1): 4,210 – 4,180
3. Trading Scenarios
A. Short-term SELL
Entry: 4124 – 4126
Stop loss: 4132
Take profit 1: 4105
Take profit 2: 4090
→ Targeting pullback to demand zones before potential rebound.
B. BUY (Reversal Setup at Discount Zone)
Entry: 4084 – 4082
Stop loss: 4078
Take profit 1: 4108
Take profit 2: 4124
Take profit 3: 4145
→ Look for bullish confirmation at mitigation or liquidity sweep below 4080.
4. Bias
🔁 Neutral-to-Bullish:
Expecting short-term retracement from supply zone before continuation upward.
A close above 4126 would confirm bullish continuation toward 4180–4210.
A break below 4070 invalidates bullish bias.
Wave Analysis
BITCOIN Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 109,679.83.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 95,283.78.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.574.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.584 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURAUD Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.780.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.755 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 203.667.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 205.373 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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CHFJPY: Waiting For Breakout 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY is stuck on a key daily resistance based on a current ATH.
Its breakout will be a reliable signal to buy.
Wait for a daily candle close above 191.32 as a confirmation.
Expect a bullish continuation at least to 192.0 level then.
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#C98/USDT — Descending Wedge & High R/R Zone#C98
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.0342, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.0370
First target: 0.0384
Second target: 0.0397
Third target: 0.0411
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTC Dominance Is Pointing Lower, While ETHBTC HigherBTC.Dominance chart made an impulsive five-wave decline, which confirms a bearish reversal. Currently, it still appears to be completing wave “c” of an abc correction, which could be forming a potential wedge pattern before further weakness.
As a result, after a five-wave rally on ETHBTC, which confirms a bullish reversal, it might also be finishing wave “c” of an abc flat correction, potentially finding support around the 0.034 area before another rally.
Overall, it seems that Ethereum and ALTcoins will continue to outperform Bitcoin, but a true ALTseason may only emerge if Bitcoin and the whole Crypto market experience a stronger recovery.
BTC PLAN TODAY | 23.10.2025 | GOLD DOWN AND BTC UP? 📊 BTCUSD – 30m Smart Money Analysis
Market Context
BTC has broken out of the previous bearish structure (red trendline) with a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) to the upside.
The market is now trading inside a key supply zone between 109.8k – 110.5k, after mitigating an internal FVG below.
Momentum is still bullish overall, but short-term reaction from supply may cause a retracement before continuation.
🟩 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Main Bias)
Idea:
Price pulls back into the retest zone (FVG + demand) before pushing to the next liquidity level above 111k.
Entry: 108,800 – 108,950
(Inside the FVG / previous ChoCH zone)
Stop Loss: 108,400
(Below internal low / invalidation of bullish structure)
Take Profit 1: 110,200
Take Profit 2: 111,500 – 112,000
R:R Ratio: Around 1:3 to 1:4
Confirmation: Look for liquidity sweep below equal lows or bullish engulfing in M15–M30 structure.
📈 Reasoning:
Demand zone aligns with previous ChoCH and FVG imbalance.
Market has shifted bullish, higher timeframe flow supports continuation.
111k area holds liquidity from previous highs — ideal next draw on liquidity.
🟥 Scenario 2 – Bearish Retracement
Idea:
If BTC fails to hold above 108.5k, structure turns bearish temporarily.
Smart money may drive price lower to grab deeper liquidity near the 107k demand zone.
Entry: 108,400 – 108,500 (after BOS below 108.5k confirmed)
Stop Loss: 108,950
(Above internal range high / invalidation of bearish setup)
Take Profit 1: 107,500
Take Profit 2: 107,000
R:R Ratio: Around 1:3
Confirmation: Break of structure + retest of internal supply before entering.
📉 Reasoning:
Failure to maintain 109k would invalidate the bullish short-term structure.
Clean liquidity pool below 107.5k makes it a likely draw target before new accumulation.
Summary:
Structure: Bullish
Current Phase: Retesting the breakout
Key Demand: 108.7k – 108.9k
Key Supply: 110.5k – 113k
Short-term bias: Buy dips within bullish structure until proven otherwise.
EUR/USD – Outlook (2H Chart)Scenario 1 – Bullish Correction (Preferred):
Market completed a 5-wave impulsive drop.
Price is now testing the 1.1580–1.1595 demand zone (Wave-B area).
If this zone holds, we expect a corrective wave-C rally toward 1.1638 – 1.1680.
Structure: (1-2-3-4-5) down → (A-B-C) up.
📈 Expectation: Short-term bullish retracement before next major move.
🟢 Confirmation: 1-hour candle close above 1.1600.
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Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation:
If price breaks below 1.1575, buyers lose control.
Market can extend deeper toward the 1.1545 – 1.1550 zone.
That would complete a larger Wave-5 extension before new correction begins.
📉 Expectation: Short-term selling continuation before trend reversal.
🔴 Invalidation for bulls: 1.1570 break and retest.
---
Summary:
The pair stands at a critical decision zone.
Hold = wave-C bounce 📈
Break = deeper drop to support 📉
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btcusdThis pattern is also very similar to the 5 waves at the end of an uptrend, which makes it a little difficult to identify for further guidance.
Our previous analysis was based on the assumption that a running correction was taking place. However, this does not seem to be the case and Bitcoin is increasing its price with low volume in the indicators, which will probably stop a decline towards lower levels in the 90, 80 and 70 ranges in the next few months and gain enough momentum to continue.
USD/JPY Analysis Potential Rejection Ahead Before Deeper DeclineThe USD/JPY pair has recently completed a rounded-top formation, signaling exhaustion in bullish momentum. After breaking below short-term consolidation, price is now retesting the lower support zone around 0.00654, which coincides with a previous liquidity pocket.
If buyers fail to defend this area, a short-term rebound toward the 0.00660 resistance is likely before the next bearish leg continues. This level also aligns with a key neckline and prior supply zone where sellers previously stepped in.
A confirmed rejection from 0.00660 could trigger a continuation move toward 0.00652 – 0.00650, forming a clean bearish structure. Traders should monitor price behavior closely at these levels for potential short entries on rejection signals such as bearish engulfing or break-of-structure patterns.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: 0.00660
Support: 0.00654 and 0.00650
Trading plan: Wait for a retracement to 0.00660 to look for confirmation of bearish momentum before shorting. A daily close below 0.00654 will further validate the bearish continuation scenario.
Stay alert and follow for more daily technical updates and trading strategies.
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#SAND/USDT PUMP COMING ON SAND! #SAND
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.1980, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.2080
First target: 0.2121
Second target: 0.2170
Third target: 0.2217
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#FIL/USDT Ready for a Breakout? Analysis of a Long Accumulatio#FIL
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 1.47, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 1.54.
First target: 1.57.
Second target: 1.60.
Third target: 1.64.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Lucky Cement Ready for Major Upside | Demand Tested, Supply NextHello Billionaires!!
Lucky Cement (LUCK) has successfully completed its Head & Shoulders pattern, reaching into the demand zone and now showing early signs of reversal momentum.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Head & Shoulders completed — possible end of distribution phase
💎 Demand zone tested and held strong
🔷 Triangle pattern breakout forming
🎯 Targeting Complete Supply Zone (550–560 PKR)
🧠 Smart Money structure: accumulation → expansion → distribution
⚡ Possible Scenario:
Short-term retracement toward demand to grab liquidity before a strong impulsive move toward the major supply zone.
💬 Watch for bullish confirmations near 430–435 PKR for a potential rally toward 550+ PKR.
#BONK/USDT — Accumulation Zone Before a Potential Major Revers#BONK
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.00001356, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.00001422
First target: 0.00001455
Second target: 0.00001506
Third target: 0.00001553
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
GOLD → Fundamental background boosts interest FX:XAUUSD is recovering after a correction, trading in the range of 4060-4120 amid geopolitical tensions and risks of an escalating trade war.
Key supporting factors: New threats from the US against China, which is responding with additional measures. Trump imposed sanctions against Russian oil companies, accusing Moscow of lack of progress on Ukraine. US inflation data (CPI) on Friday may cause volatility, although the Fed's rate cut next week is likely already priced in.
The meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping next week remains uncertain.
Gold remains a safe haven, but near-term dynamics depend on the balance between dollar strength and geopolitical risks.
Resistance levels: 4116, 4163, 4200
Support levels: 4082, 4060, 4002
A retest of support at 4082-4060, as well as a breakout of resistance at 4116, could trigger a bullish reaction—a rise to the resistance level or imbalance zones. Against the backdrop of the escalating trade war, gold is becoming attractive again.
Best regards, R. Linda!
#BONK/USDT — Accumulation Zone Before a Potential Major Revers#BONK
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.00001425, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.00001439
First target: 0.00001476
Second target: 0.00001513
Third target: 0.00001571
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.






















