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Wave Analysis

IBM Analysis – 28 October 2025 - IBM broke resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 320.00 IBM recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 300.00 and the 296.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (3) in the middle of June). The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the start of August. Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 320.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
NYSE:IBMLong
by FxPro
EURAUD Analysis – 28 October 2025- EURAUD falling inside sideways price range - Likely to fall to support level 1.7600 EURAUD currency pair continues to fall inside the minor correction ii, which started earlier from the resistance level 1.8080 (upper border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the pair has been moving from June). The active correction ii belongs to the impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse sequence (3) from the middle of May. Given the strongly bullish Australian dollar sentiment seen today, EURAUD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.7600, lower border of the active sideways price range.
Short
by FxPro
$UMC | Monthly Structure Outlook (WaverVanir DSS View)📈 NYSE:UMC | Monthly Structure Outlook (WaverVanir DSS View) United Microelectronics Corp is shaping an interesting long-term structure. After years of compression, we’re now seeing price hovering just above the long-term base near $5.84 — a critical liquidity floor that has held since 2022. 🔹 Chart Context Structure: Descending wedge breakout forming on the 1M timeframe Fibonacci Retracement: 0.618–0.786 levels (≈ $8.46–$10.32) are immediate resistances Expansion Targets: 1.236 → $15.29 1.382 → $16.93 (major macro target) 1.618 → $19.50 (extension zone) 🔹 Macro Bias (VolanX DSS Projection) If macro tailwinds continue to support semiconductor demand and liquidity cycles expand, UMC could stage a large cyclical recovery. However, a monthly close below $5.84 would invalidate this bullish thesis and suggest deeper structural weakness. 🔹 Thesis Summary Bullish confirmation: Breakout + retest of red trendline Bearish invalidation: Monthly close under $5.84 Long-term projection: $16.93+ Timeframe: 12–24 months ⚙️ Chart generated with VolanX DSS (AI model blend: Fibonacci + Macro Flow). 🧠 For educational use only. Not financial advice.
NYSE:UMCLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SOL LONG Concepts: ICT | SMC | Bill Williams SOL continues to respect bullish smart money structure after tapping into a well-defined demand zone around the 198 area. Liquidity was swept below the prior consolidation lows, leading to a bullish change of character (ChoCH) — confirming that the market is likely accumulating orders before expansion. ICT Perspective: Sell-side liquidity taken below previous range lows Strong displacement candle breaking short-term structure Entry refined on retracement into the FVG inside the demand zone Targeting buy-side liquidity resting above the 210 level SMC Confirmation: BOS confirmed on LTF Price retested the mitigation block and rejected strongly Entry: 202.00 Stop loss: 198.30 (below demand zone) Take profit: 210.90 (previous high / liquidity pool) Bill Williams’ Alligator: The Alligator is beginning to wake up — green (lips) leading red and blue lines upward, signaling that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. Once the lips cross above and the mouth opens, it often marks the start of a new impulsive wave. Trade Plan: 🟩 Long: 202.00 🔴 SL: 198.30 🎯 TP: 210.90 RR ≈ 2.8:1 📈 With bullish structure confirmed and Alligator alignment showing early trend development, SOL could aim for the 210–212 liquidity zone before the next retracement.
Long
by origami_capital33
BTC/USDT Analysis. The seller is trying to take control again Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s your daily analysis. Yesterday, after reaching the upper boundary of the $115,000–$114,000 zone (local delta activity), buyers showed abnormal activity, but it failed to result in sustained growth. Only after dropping to the lower boundary did Bitcoin find support. At the moment, we’re seeing a rebound, and the price is testing the area of yesterday’s buying activity — $115,000–$115,400. If there’s no reaction from this zone, the movement toward $120,000 may continue. However, if resistance holds, we expect a pullback toward the nearest support. Currently, the delta shows absorption of buying, so long positions are considered only after a local high breakout followed by a retest. Buy Zones: $111,700–$110,000 (accumulated volumes), $108,700–$107,500 (volume zone), $105,600–$104,500 (volume anomalies), $97,000–$93,000 (volume zone). Sell Zones: $115,000–$115,400 (buy absorption), $120,900–$124,000 (volume zone). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
QCOM: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in AI Chip ContenderQCOM: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in AI Chip Contender Amid Data Center Expansion – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Insights 📊 Introduction As of October 28, 2025, QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is experiencing post-announcement volatility following an 11% surge in the prior session, trading around $185 in pre-market after closing at $187.68. This movement stems from the launch of new AI accelerator chips aimed at competing in data centers, amid a broader tech rally driven by $500B in projected AI infrastructure spending and Fed rate stability at 4.75%. Sector dynamics reflect intensified competition in semiconductors, with NVIDIA and AMD also advancing, though macroeconomic factors like easing U.S.-China trade talks support chip demand, countered by ongoing export restrictions and supply chain inflation. 🔍 SWOT Analysis **Strengths 💪**: Qualcomm holds a commanding position in mobile chipsets with over 40% market share, bolstered by TTM revenue of $43.26B and net income of $11.57B. Robust financials include a 44.62% return on equity and quarterly revenue growth of 10.30% yoy, driven by diversified segments like automotive (up 20% yoy). Low beta of 1.23 indicates relative stability, with partnerships in 5G and IoT enhancing ecosystem strength. **Weaknesses ⚠️**: Debt-to-equity at 54.35% signals moderate leverage, potentially vulnerable in high-interest environments. Dependence on China for ~60% of revenue exposes risks from geopolitical tensions, while R&D costs (22% of revenue) could strain margins if AI adoption slows. Historical patent disputes add to operational challenges. **Opportunities 🌟**: The AI data center push, with new chips targeting inference markets, aligns with a $200B+ opportunity by 2027, per industry forecasts. Growth in edge AI and automotive semiconductors, backed by analyst EPS projections rising to $12.10 for 2026, supports valuation re-rating. Expansion into PCs and servers via Snapdragon platforms could capture 15-20% share from Intel. **Threats 🚩**: Fierce competition from NVIDIA's Blackwell and AMD's MI series threatens market erosion, with potential antitrust probes in the EU. Regulatory hurdles, such as U.S. export bans impacting 15-20% of sales, and broader sector volatility from tariff risks pose downside. Economic slowdowns may defer enterprise capex. 💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation Applying a value investing method for tech stocks, we calculate intrinsic value using a weighted blend of book value and earnings multiples, with a 20% margin of safety for cyclical risks. Inputs from filings: Book value per share $25.10, TTM EPS $10.36, assumed growth rate 10% (blending current 16.37% and next-year 1.71% projections). Formula: Intrinsic Value = (Book Value per Share * Weight) + (EPS * Growth Multiplier) - Weight for book value: 0.3 (asset-intensive adjustments) - Growth Multiplier: 28.5 (Graham-inspired: 8.5 + 2*10) Calculation: (25.10 * 0.3) + (10.36 * 28.5) = 7.53 + 295.26 = 302.79 Apply 20% margin of safety: 302.79 * 0.8 ≈ $242.23 At current price ~$185, QCOM appears undervalued by ~24-31% (upside to $242 fair value, aligned with forward P/E of 13.95 and comparables). Debt flags are minor at 54%, with sustainability tied to EPS growth above 10%. 📈 Undervalued. 📈 Entry Strategy Insights Institutional methods target support zones near $180-182 (near 50-day SMA) for unleveraged, long-term entries using dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Scale in on 4-7% dips, employing non-repainting volume-based signals to verify momentum shifts. Effective for 10-15% position accumulation over 2-4 months, with breakout targets above $190 for phased exits. 🚀 Spot zones. ⚠️ Risk Management Restrict sizing to 1-5% of portfolio to handle sector swings, diversifying across tech subsectors and defensives. Use trailing stops 7-10% below entry (e.g., $170) and favor long-term holds if ROE sustains, monitoring earnings reports and trade policy. Caution on 10-20% drawdowns from competitive news. 🔚 Conclusion Qualcomm's AI diversification, solid fundamentals, and undervalued profile amid tech momentum indicate potential to $242+, with safety buffers. Key takeaways: Track AI adoption for earnings uplift, independently validate growth estimates. This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
NASDAQ:QCOM
by DCAChampion
GBPNZD | Final Rally 2.46+ Before CollapseGBPNZD | The Final Push Before the Crash 🌋 | Wave (5) Climax in Motion! 🔍 Quick Outlook GBPNZD is unfolding its micro wave (5) of C , the final stretch of the b wave of the Supercycle . Momentum is fading, Smart Money is positioning, and a major reversal is brewing. ⚡ After a minor correction near 2.3020 – 2.2910 , a last push higher is expected toward 2.46 + , aligning with the 1.618 Fib extension and the buy-side liquidity zone . Once liquidity is taken, price may enter a multi-year bearish Wave C , targeting 1.70 – 1.62. 📉 🌊 Wave Theory + Confluence ✅ Wave (5) of C active – terminal phase underway 🎯 1.618 Fib extension ≈ 2.46 🕐 Minor wave (4) correction almost done 💥 Expect liquidity sweep above 2.45 – 2.48 then reversal 💰 Smart Money + Structure 🏦 Institutions accumulating below 2.30 before final markup 🎣 Liquidity inducement above 2.45 = trap zone 🔻 BOS below 2.25 → bearish confirmation 🧩 Rising-wedge structure shows exhaustion 🔄 Market Cycle Perspective We’re in the Euphoria phase — once wave (5) completes, the Depression phase (Wave C) could unfold toward 1.62 support before a new macro up-cycle begins. Summary "GBPNZD is in its final euphoric rally! One last liquidity grab above 2.45 before the big markdown begins. Watch closely 👀" ⚡ If this breakdown helps your outlook — Boost 👍, Comment 💬 & Follow 🔔 for live GBPNZD updates and multi-wave setups! — Team FIBCOS Trade the liquidity, not the noise." 💡 #GBPNZD #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #Fibonacci #WaveTheory #ForexForecast #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TradingView #FXCommunity
Long
by fibcos
ETH bullish flag pattern ETH bullish flag pattern aligns with a third-wave structure suggesting upside if support holds healthy consolidation ETH has formed a bullish flag pattern, and the movement is parallel to the third Elliott wave of the wave analysis. The news background is neutral Current price: $4,137 According to the pattern, the upward movement could soon reach $4,200 , $4,250 , and highter... If the price declines and reaches $4,070 , the movement will continue in a downward corridor, and the pattern will not form anytime soon
Long
by c_views
DXY Approaching 98.900 — Weak Labor Market Could Push Fed DovishHey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.900 zone. The index continues to trade within a descending channel and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the upper boundary near 98.900, which aligns with channel resistance. Fundamentals: Recent data continues to show signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, with job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher. This softening backdrop increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially weighing further on the dollar. Next move: Watching for bearish confirmations around the 98.900 zone — rejection here could resume the broader downtrend. 💬 What’s your outlook on the Fed’s next move? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
TVC:DXYShort
by JoeChampion
6
Virtual Protocol price analysis🚀 When you look at the OKX:VIRTUALUSDT.P chart — it feels like the market is waking up again! Strong price action, solid volumes — looks amazing at first glance 👀 But then you see the news — #VIRTUAL getting listed on spot markets... and two thoughts instantly pop up 💭 1️⃣ Pumped on futures to grab attention and unload older bags on spot. 2️⃣ Or — genuine demand forming as spot traders rush in to buy the dip Right now, around ⅔ of total supply is already in circulation, and Virtuals Protocol market cap sits near $1B 💰 💎 Key zones: Resistance: $1.50–1.70 Support: $1.10–1.20 So… which scenario do you believe — smart accumulation before another run, or a classic exit pump? 🤔 Drop your thoughts below 👇 ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
by P_S_trade
4
ASTER — OB Tap → WCL Retrace → Macro DownASTER is forming a clean ABC correction within a larger bearish structure. Price hasn’t yet tapped the order block — I expect a final dip to complete the C-leg before retracing toward the WCL zone. From there, the broader bearish wave should resume. However, if Bitcoin continues its upward expansion, correlations could invalidate this structure and pull ASTER higher, overriding the current wave bias. High-timeframe trend stays bearish, but intent always belongs to the present. Strengths: • Fractal alignment between macro and micro waves. • Logical liquidity flow between OB and WCL. • Flexible bias — corrective long, then macro short continuation. Weaknesses: • Requires precise OB tap and strong reaction. • Bitcoin-driven expansion could neutralize bearish context. • LTF volatility may distort confirmation signals. SmellyTaz — decoding chaos
Long
by SmellyTaz
$EVAA (4-HOUR): hard CORRECTION, when DEAD CAT BOUNCE?I did warn $EVAA bulls yesterday evening, at $12.3, about multiple red flags and we have had a massive correction. Text-book transition from an exhausted WAVE 5 into a deeper retracement, -25 % since my post and nearly - 35% from the ATH of $13.7. Best strategy for those who want to increase exposure? Use a conflunce of established SUPPORT levels ($5.55 being the deepest hard support and the $8.15 - $9.1 zone, highlighted in light blue box) with other technical events, like the upcurving yellow 50 MA ($8.22), oversold RSI (check!), a potential reclaim of the RISING WEDGE breakdown level etc. #EVAA unlike most of all other coins, still has a BULLISH market structure on its main chart, the 4-HOUR one in this case. Important. A HIDDEN BULLISH RSI divergence is being formed atm, depending on the next candle close, and if we do get that divergence, I will zoom in on the HOURLY like a HAWK. Will post here if a LONG set-up is ripe 💙👽
by ColdBloodedCharter
EUR/USD – Buyer Zone Activation | Wave Projection 🌊We’re currently watching EUR/USD retrace into the buyer zone (1.1620–1.1645). This area aligns perfectly with Wave D of the ongoing corrective structure, setting up for a potential Wave C impulse toward 1.16925. 📊 Technical Outlook: Structure: ABCD completion before impulsive C Key Support Zone: 1.1620–1.1645 Target Zone: 1.1690–1.1700 Bias: Bullish from buyers’ zone Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Invalidation: If price closes below 1.1620, structure may extend into a deeper correction. 🧠 Insight: Smart money often accumulates within such retracement zones before the next impulsive leg. Patience at key levels builds confidence and accuracy.
Long
by Greenfireforex
XAUUSD: October 28th Market Analysis and StrategyGold Technical Analysis Daily Resistance: 4005, Support: 3840 4-Hour Resistance: 3972, Support: 3840 1-Hour Resistance: 3950, Support: 3880 Divergence in technical indicators continues to intensify. After the weekly K-line price of spot gold falls below 4000, the next support level is near the 10-day moving average (MA10) around 3840. The daily K-line shows a temporary peaking signal, intensifying short-term market sell-off sentiment. After breaking below the 3950 support level, the market trend has shifted. The next target is the 3800/3700 ​​level. Based on the 1-hour chart, gold generally conforms to yesterday's analysis. After the K-line combination broke through the trend support, the downward trend accelerated. The decline widened in the European session, with the price falling below the 3900 mark! Bulls' last hope lies in Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Sell on rallies in the near term. SELL: 3930-3945 BUY: 3835-3845
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ