GBPUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3577
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3550
My Stop Loss - 1.3590
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Wave Analysis
BTC - The Head and Shoulders of the Year?Bitcoin is shaping one of the most powerful reversal patterns traders could ask for: the inverse head and shoulders. After holding the ascending channel’s lower bound and bouncing from the key structure zone, BTC is signaling that bulls may soon take over.
Here’s what stands out on the chart:
🟢 Bullish Channel: Price continues to respect the rising channel, maintaining its long-term bullish outlook.
🛡️ Structure Zone: The $110,000 – $113,000 region is acting as a crucial pivot, flipping from support to resistance.
🔄 Inverse Head and Shoulders: A textbook reversal setup is forming, with the neckline aligning perfectly with structure.
🚀 Bullish Breakout: A confirmed break above this neckline could trigger the next major impulse move, putting BTC back on track toward higher channel targets.
Bulls need a clean daily close above the neckline for full confirmation — until then, the setup is in play but not yet validated.
📌 Will this become the pattern of the year that propels Bitcoin to new highs?
This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your risk before entering any trade.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
PythNetwork PYTH price analysis🔥 Recently, #PYTH delivered a real X2 show!
But if you’re expecting an immediate continuation of the rally — probably not ❌
📌 Why:
1️⃣ OKX:PYTHUSDT has entered a strong liquidity zone at $0.225–0.265.
2️⃣ #PYTHUSD hit the descending trendline, stretching back from last year.
Now the key is to hold above the critical $0.147 level to preserve the bullish pattern and keep the growth trend intact 📈
⚡️ For a strong breakout with volume, the market needs time to accumulate strength.
🌍 On a larger scale — $0.50 per #PythNetwork token looks like a very fair price, doesn’t it? 😉
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
Critical Moment for Tether Dominance – Will Wave (D) Crash the MThe chart shows that Tether Dominance is moving inside a descending channel. Based on the wave count, it seems that wave (C) has just been completed, and now we may expect a sharp wave (D) rally. Such a move could trigger a fast market downturn, as rising USDT dominance usually pressures crypto assets.
⚠️ The key condition is whether the channel bottom, which also aligns with a major order block, holds.
• If it holds → wave (D) up, strong bearish pressure on crypto.
• If it breaks → continuation of the downtrend in dominance, allowing altcoins to recover.
📊 Summary:
• Wave (C) completed
• Potential strong wave (D) up → bearish for crypto
• Condition: channel bottom must hold
Focused on this fractal playing out for ArbitrumThe impulse wave highlighted in green showcases an impulse with a similar structure of its extended waves, compared to the idea i have plotted inside of the black impulses wave 3. So I stretched it to fit into my higher timeframe view. Let's see what happens!
The Exploratory Void: CAD's Volume Desert Signals Reversal# The Exploratory Void: CAD's Volume Desert Signals Reversal
## The Setup Architecture
Price has completed a textbook return journey from **Point 1 to Point 4**, but the real story lies in what happened at **Point 3**. When Point 3 closed decisively above Point 1, it validated a critical market structure shift. Since Point 3 represents the terminus of the swing originating from Point 2, these levels now constitute **proven buyers** rather than the sellers who dominated at Point 1.
## The Volume Desert Phenomenon
The area below **Point 2** represents what I call a **"volume desert"** - a zone where trading activity has dried up to minimal levels. This isn't just low volume; it's a rejection of these price levels by the market collective. These sparse trades represent **exploratory probes** rather than areas of genuine acceptance. Importantly, **Point 4 respects this level by holding above Point 2**, refusing to enter the volume void - a bullish signal that buyers are defending higher ground.
## Convergence Signals at Point 4
**Momentum Oscillator Alignment**
• **RSI:** Oversold + Hidden bullish divergence
• **MFI:** Oversold + Hidden bullish divergence
The dual oversold readings combined with hidden divergences on both indicators suggest this pullback is exhausted.
**Volume Flow Reversal**
The **OBV downtrend line has been definitively broken**, indicating a shift in the underlying accumulation/distribution dynamics. Smart money appears to be accumulating during this retracement.
**Regression Channel Breakout**
Price action is currently **challenging the regression trendline to the upside**. Rather than rejecting from this mathematical mean, we're seeing acceptance above it - a bullish structural development.
## The Turning Point Reaction
The most recent bar at **Point 4** shows a textbook bullish reversal formation right at the critical juncture where multiple technical factors converge. This isn't a gradual turn; it's a **sharp rejection** that confirms buyers are defending this zone aggressively.
## Market Psychology Interpretation
The journey from **Points 1→4** tells a story of market psychology evolution:
• **Point 1:** Sellers in control
• **Point 2:** Initial buyer emergence
• **Point 3:** Buyers prove dominance by closing above Point 1
• **Point 4:** Retest of buyer commitment above the volume void
The lack of volume below Point 2 creates a **spring-like effect** - without sellers to provide resistance, any buying pressure can create outsized moves.
## Trade Dynamics
This setup combines:
• **Structural confirmation** (proven buyers at Point 3)
• **Technical divergences** (RSI/MFI)
• **Volume analysis** (both OBV breakout and volume void)
• **Mathematical validation** (regression line break)
The confluence suggests a **high-probability reversal scenario** where risk can be clearly defined below Point 4.
## Critical Observation
The fact that **Point 4 holds above Point 2** is particularly significant. Despite the retracement from Point 3, buyers defended the Point 2 level, refusing to let price enter the "exploratory" volume desert below. This respect for Point 2 as support, combined with the volume void beneath it, creates an **asymmetric opportunity**. The low-volume area below acts as a deterrent to further selling, while the proven buyer zone above Point 1 provides a target for the next expansion.
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**Key Takeaway:** The convergence of volume void dynamics, momentum divergences, and structural support at Point 4 creates an institutional-grade reversal setup with clearly defined risk parameters.
$PYPL PainPal Bros have attained Nirvana! - Waiting for massive gains, they have grown old and achieved Nirvana!
- NASDAQ:PYPL is getting better in innovation but the company isn't innovative faster. It is bloated with legacy tech and in many places their teams are working in silos with duplicated initiatives and effort.
- Alex is great CEO but stock buyback alone won't help. Law of large numbers and massive competition by various fintech will always be a drag for $PYPL.
- Market likes growth (organic expansion of multiple) which is a like drug for the market participants or massive EPS growth ( inorganic )
Where does NASDAQ:PYPL stand?
year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 5.26 | 5.82 | 6.61 | 7.07
eps% | 14.59% |10.81% | 13.45% | 6.96%
For a mid teen eps%, fair forward p/e would be 15
Fair stock value:
year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
price | 78.9 | 87.3 | 99.15 | 106.05
FET: Eyes Further Gains as Uptrend Remains Intact FET managed to edge higher since last Thursday, further advancing orange wave b as we had primarily anticipated. We still expect its corrective high below the resistance at $1.16 before orange wave c likely triggers a decline toward support at $0.55. Above this level, we anticipate the low of blue wave (ii), which would signal a trend reversal to the upside. We currently assign a 35% probability to a somewhat deeper completion of the interim correction—in the form of wave alt.(ii) in blue—between the two support levels at $0.55 and $0.35.
Solana in Target Box: Watching $228–$247 for a TopIn my last update, I raised the question: Is Solana About to Top?
Today’s price action has delivered as expected, with Solana now trading inside my anticipated target box for that potential top. Key resistance levels within the target box remain at $228, $232, and $247.
Over the coming weeks, I’ll be watching closely for signs of reversal. A clearly defined 5-wave micro pattern decline, would be the first indication that a top may be in place. True confirmation comes with follow-through below $155, and ultimately $125. Such a move should open the door to a deeper correction into the $70–$80 bottoming zone.
Apple: Pulling Back, but Uptrend Still IntactApple has recently faced substantial downward pressure, retracing enough to erase the gains made in the first week of September. Our primary outlook is that the stock will soon rebound and, during green wave , rise toward resistance at $260.10. Following a moderate pullback in wave , shares should ultimately break through this level in wave , further advancing the broader upward trend. However, we continue to monitor our 37% likely alternative scenario. In this case, AAPL would have completed beige wave alt.b with its recent peak and could next target a new major low for blue wave alt.(IV) via wave alt.c . Here, the price would fall below support at $201.50 but ideally rebound above the lower mark at $168.
XLM/USD Technical Outlook | Key Levels & Market InsightsDescription:
Stellar (XLM) is a leading blockchain platform designed for fast and low-cost cross-border transactions. Its strong partnerships and active ecosystem support long-term adoption and liquidity.
This analysis provides key technical levels and potential market scenarios based on price action and chart patterns. Always perform your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and may result in the loss of your capital.
#XLM #Stellar #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading #Blockchain #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #ChartPatterns #PriceAction #Investing #CryptoSignals #XLMUSD
EUR/USDPair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4H (swing trading perspective)
Current Setup
Suggested buy entry: 1.17330.
Stop loss: 1.15771 (just below key support zone).
Target 1: 1.19520.
Target 2 zone: 1.20151 – 1.20344.
Technical Outlook
Support Zone (1.1577 – 1.1600):
Strong demand area where price previously bounced multiple times.
Placing stop loss just below ensures protection against false dips.
Current Structure:
Price is consolidating in a sideways range between 1.158 – 1.195.
Recent bullish rejection candles indicate buyers are defending the 1.17–1.16 area.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 1.1740–1.1750 resistance would trigger bullish momentum.
First upside target: 1.195 (historical resistance).
Break above 1.195 opens the way to the 1.2015–1.2034 target zone.
Bearish Risk:
Failure to hold above 1.1730–1.1700 increases the chance of retesting 1.1600.
A daily close below 1.1577 cancels the bullish setup and may resume the broader downtrend.
Risk/Reward
Risk (Entry → Stop Loss): ≈ –156 pips.
Reward (Entry → Target 1): ≈ +218 pips.
Reward (Entry → Target 2): ≈ +280–310 pips.
Risk/Reward ratio: ~1:1.4 to 1:2, which is favorable for swing trading.
✅ Conclusion:
EUR/USD is showing a potential bullish reversal from strong support. Buying at 1.1733 with stop at 1.1577 and targets at 1.195 and 1.2015–1.2034 provides a solid risk/reward setup. However, discipline with the stop loss is crucial as a break below 1.1577 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Buy & Sell Reversal entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 147.500
🩸Bearish Reversal - 148.050
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
EIUDStock: Egyptians for Investment & Urban Development (EGX)
Timeframe: 1D (daily chart – medium-term outlook)
Current Situation
The stock is consolidating after a prolonged downtrend and is now testing a key breakout zone around 0.26 (entry level).
A previous false break of the uptrend line occurred (highlighted in yellow), but the stock managed to recover.
The downtrend line (purple) has been penetrated, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Key Levels
Entry: 0.26 (as shown on chart).
Support: 0.251 – 0.260 zone (this acts as a critical defense area).
Immediate Resistance: around 0.291 – 0.302.
Target: 0.36 (major resistance, also psychological round number).
Price Action & Technical View
Downtrend Breakout:
The stock broke the long-term descending trendline (purple), which often signals a change in momentum.
Retest of Breakout Zone:
Price is retesting the breakout level (0.26). If it holds, it confirms bullish momentum.
Potential Bullish Scenario:
If the 0.26 level holds and buyers step in, the price could gradually climb to 0.30–0.31 (interim resistance) and then push toward 0.36 (main target).
Bearish Risk:
A daily close below 0.251 would invalidate the bullish setup and could send the stock back toward 0.22–0.20.
Risk Management
Stop Loss: Below 0.251 (tight stop to avoid false break).
Risk/Reward:
Risk from 0.26 to 0.251 ≈ –3.5%.
Reward from 0.26 to 0.36 ≈ +38%.
Excellent R/R ratio if executed with discipline.
✅ Conclusion:
The stock is at a decisive breakout level (0.26). Holding above this level increases the probability of a rally toward 0.36. However, a close below 0.251 cancels the bullish scenario. Risk/reward is attractive if entry is taken near 0.26 with strict stop-loss discipline.
TRXUSDT | Technical Outlook & Market ContextTRON (TRX) is one of the leading blockchain-based operating systems designed to decentralize the internet by enabling efficient smart contracts and high-throughput transactions. Known for its scalability and low-cost transfers, TRON continues to attract developers and users in the DeFi and entertainment ecosystems.
In this chart, I highlight the key technical levels, trend structure, and market momentum that traders are currently watching. The focus is on potential support and resistance areas, as well as price behavior around critical zones that could define short- to mid-term direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment or trading decision.
#TRX #TRON #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Blockchain #Altcoins #CryptoCommunity #PriceAction #Charting #MarketOutlook
MRkStock: Merck & Company (MRK) – NYSE
Timeframe: 1H (short–to–mid term outlook)
Current Situation
The stock is trading around 85.16 – 85.33.
It has broken out of a long descending channel (yellow zone), signaling a potential trend reversal to the upside.
Suggested entry on the chart: Buy at 84.80 with a stop loss at 72.
Targets
Target Zone 1: 92.93 – 93.35
First major resistance area.
Good level for partial profit-taking.
Target Zone 2: 106.81 – 109.72
Strong resistance and confirmation of a mid-term uptrend continuation.
Target Zone 3: 116.16 – 120.31
Key historical resistance.
A breakout above this range could trigger a much larger bullish wave.
Risk Management
Stop Loss: 72 (below the last swing low – breaking it invalidates the bullish scenario).
Risk/Reward Estimate:
Entry 84.80 → First target 93 = ~+10%.
Potential downside to stop loss = ~–15%.
Best approach: scale out – take partial profits at target 1, let remaining shares ride toward higher targets.
Technical Notes
Breakout from the downtrend channel = bullish signal.
Recent formation of higher lows supports upward momentum.
Strong support lies in the 80 – 82 range.
✅ Conclusion:
MRK shows signs of reversal and recovery after a prolonged downtrend. Buying around 84.80 is valid with a strict stop at 72. First target is 93, then 107, with a potential extension toward 116–120 if bullish momentum continues.
AAPL – Pullback Setup After Keynote-Induced DipMy original post was hidden due to a house rule violation, but I’m sharing the setup again here:
Apple’s stock dropped heavily after the recent iPhone 17 / iPhone Air keynote, landing on a key support level that previously aligned with an upside break of structure.
This sharp decline appears to have started an Elliott 5-wave move. Wave 3 has already completed, and I’m now speculating for Wave 4 to develop — which could complete a tight 0.5R setup.
Confluences:
• RSI and MACD both showing divergences at support
• Stochastic oversold, also printing divergence
• Structure remains intact, likely aiming for a retest of the above resistance area
For this setup, a 1 ATR target protected by a 2 ATR stop loss on the 1H timeframe should be enough.
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.