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Wave Analysis

Selena | XAUUSD 2H — Bullish Continuation SetupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Market Overview Price has built liquidity through multiple sweeps and consolidations, suggesting a possible continuation phase. If price retests the demand zone and holds, buyers may step in to push toward upper structure resistance levels. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 If price holds above 4,157 zone → 🎯 Target 1: 4,300 → 🎯 Target 2: 4,375–4,400 (major resistance / channel top) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Break and close below 4,052 invalidation zone → 🎯 Downside Target: 4,000–3,950 support range Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,300 | 4,375–4,400 Support 🟢: 4,157 | 4,122 (demand zone) Invalidation ⚠️: 4,052 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
4
EURCAD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EURCAD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.6182 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.6228 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation from Demand Block|Market StructureOANDA:XAUUSD Price reacted sharply from the demand zone around 4,175 – 4,190, validating ongoing bullish structure. As long as price holds above trend support, a move toward liquidity at 4,263 – 4,270 remains the primary expectation. Bullish Plan Entry Area → 4,220 – 4,230 (after retest) 🎯 Target → 4,263 – 4,270 📌 If price breaks above → bullish extension likely continues Invalidation ❌ Close below 4,195 breaks structure & shifts control to sellers ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Purely educational analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
NZDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 89.694 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 89.517 Recommended Stop Loss - 89.787 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Going Short On Gold (XAUUSD)Price is still showing signs of bullish continuation, but we need to pay attention to the current structure. The previous resistance on the 5-minute timeframe is now acting as support, and that level also aligns with the high of the day. If price breaks below this support zone, it opens the door for a deeper decline, with a downside target around the 4,200 price level. A clean break and sustained trading below that area could extend the move further down. However, if price respects this support and fails to break beneath it, we can expect bullish continuation, with momentum building upward as demand continues to hold. Right now, the market is positioned at a decision point either reclaim support and continue pushing up, or break it and transition into a deeper sell-side run. Keep an eye on the reaction at that level.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JudeOseiBonsu
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving Within the Expected Scenario Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its correction after reaching the key resistance zone. The price has now approached $91,000–$89,800 (mirror volume zone). Volume has slightly increased at this level, but we still do not see a confident reaction from buyers. We expect a local bounce and a potential break of the recent high once a reversal structure forms on lower timeframes — volume anomalies, buyer clusters, and a local trend shift. If no reaction appears in this area, the decline may extend toward the next support at $87,800–$86,400 (volume zone). At the moment, the priority remains on long setups — the upside potential is stronger, and the probability of bullish continuation remains elevated. Buy Zones $91,000–$89,800 (mirror volume zone) $87,800–$86,400 (volume zone) $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies) Sell Zones $94,000–$97,500 (volume zone) $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes) $105,800–$106,600 (local resistance) This publication is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
GOLD to ATH?If you look at the daily chart it really does tune out most of the noise we see intraday. While i do see a pullback on the horizon, i also see what appears to be a massive flag forming. Im watching for a break of the measured structures .768 extenstion level, which is the exact .768 retracement of the structure to the downside, depicted with yellow trend line. If we are unable to break that level with momentum to the upside, then we will most likely fall to test the first standard fib supports of the move up, circled in blue, before attempting another break out
TVC:GOLDLong
by NoProCharts
Breakout Trading: How Low Win-Rate Systems Beat the Market█ Breakout Trading: How Low Win-Rate Systems Beat the Market Most traders misunderstand breakout strategies. They expect high win-rates, smooth equity curves, and clean continuation. But real breakout systems operate differently: Low win-rate Many small losses Occasional massive winners And long periods of nothing A breakout strategy is not about predicting direction. It is about exploiting asymmetry, volatility expansion, and structural price imbalances. It is not about being right often; it is about being paid well when you are right. █ What a Breakout Really Is A breakout occurs when the price finally moves out of a range or breaks through a key level. It is not magic, and it is not random. It is mechanics, liquidity, and pressure. Inside a range or right at a major level: Liquidity builds on both sides Stops accumulate above resistance and below support Traders wait for confirmation Algorithms sit idle during volatility contraction When price pushes through a key level, it triggers a chain reaction: stop orders → breakout entries → momentum algos → forced exits. This cascade is what creates the explosive leg everyone tries to catch. In simple terms , a breakout happens when the price moves outside a well-defined support or resistance zone with strong momentum. This surge often marks the beginning of a new trend, a volatility expansion, or a major shift in market sentiment. Breakouts appear in every asset class: stocks, futures, crypto, forex, and commodities, and on every timeframe from minutes to weeks. They are popular because when they succeed, they can deliver large, rapid moves and outsized profits. But here is the part most traders ignore: Most breakouts do not follow through. False breaks are common, and markets have become more efficient over time. Only breakouts with the right conditions, such as momentum, liquidity imbalance, and volatility expansion, have a high probability of running. █ The Truth Most Traders Don’t Want to Hear Most breakouts fail. Even strong breakout systems may only win 20 to 40 percent of the time. Why does this happen? Many breakout levels are weak Liquidity is thin around obvious highs and lows Algorithms hunt stop clusters before the real move Price often snaps back into the range before expanding But here is the part that actually matters: Breakouts do not need a high win rate. They need high asymmetry. Small, controlled losses. Occasional large, runaway winners. This is the core structure behind every profitable breakout strategy. ⚪ Win-Rate and Risk/Reward: What Traders Should Actually Expect The simple overview above is backed by decades of quantitative research. Breakout systems consistently show low win-rates but high R-multiple payoffs, and this is not an opinion. It is a measurable statistical pattern across markets and timeframes. 1. Low Win-Rate Is Normal and Expected Across studies, breakout strategies typically win between 20 and 40 percent of the time. Research by Bulkowski, academic momentum studies, and intraday ORB tests all show the same thing: Breakouts frequently fail Modern markets generate more false breaks than in the past Algorithms exploit obvious levels and stop clusters Short-term price action is dominated by mean reversion A low hit rate is not a flaw. It is the natural behavior of breakout mechanics. 2. The Edge Comes From Asymmetric Payoff Distribution A breakout strategy becomes profitable not by winning often, but by winning big relative to the risk taken. Historical performance shows: Losers: usually −1R Winners: often +3R, +5R, +10R and beyond When a system captures even a few of these extended moves, it more than pays for the many small stop-outs. 3. Breakout Systems Exploit Fat Tails and Volatility Expansions Financial returns are not normal. They are fat-tailed. Breakouts are designed to capture these rare, outsized price moves. The return distribution typically looks like: Many small losses from failed breaks A few large wins during volatility expansion Long flat periods during range-bound conditions Occasional massive trends that define the entire year This right-skewed distribution is well-documented in momentum and trend-following research. 4. Academic and Quant Research Confirms the Pattern Multiple studies validate the same expectations: Zarattini, Barbon & Aziz (2024): ORB strategy on “stocks in play” produced over 1,600 percent return with modest win-rates Moskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen: Trend-following (a breakout variant) shows positive expectancy across a century of data Bulkowski: Breakout failure rates increase over time, confirming the need for filters and asymmetry CTA/Managed Futures: Long-term breakout systems show strong convexity; a few big winners generate the majority of returns The conclusion is clear: Breakout strategies work when they harness asymmetry, not prediction. █ Example: Breakout System 1 Win-rate: 20.28% Breakout System Gain: +274% Buy & Hold Gain: +96% Explanation of the chart: Flat periods → range markets Dips → false breaks and stop-outs Explosive steps upward → successful breakouts that trend hard This step-like equity curve is the fingerprint of all trend-and-breakout systems. █ Example: Breakout System 2 This system shows the same profile: Many trades fail, but losses stay small Occasionally a breakout runs far enough to cover dozens of losses The equity curve’s “zig-zag then spike” pattern is normal behavior The system wins big because the winners are massive R-multiples, not because it’s right often This is the signature of low win-rate, high reward asymmetry. █ The Real Mechanics Behind a Successful Breakout A real breakout is powered by multiple forces hitting at once: New longs entering / new shorts entering (initiative flow) Stops being triggered (forced participation) Short covering or long liquidation (fuel) Algos joining the momentum (acceleration) Volatility expansion is making moves larger ⚪ Read more about what makes prices move up and down: █ What Makes Breakout Strategies Hard for Humans Breakout trading is psychologically painful because: You lose often You sit through boring periods Most trades look like “nothing happens” Only a few trades create 80–90% of the long-term profits To succeed, you need: Patience Small, consistent risk The discipline to let winners run The acceptance that many trades will fail Breakout success = emotional resilience + asymmetry, not prediction. █ The Takeaway Breakout strategies are simple in theory and brutal in practice: Low win-rate High reward Long quiet periods Occasional massive expansions Step-like equity curves Outperformance through asymmetry In the end: You don’t trade breakouts to be right often — you trade breakouts to get paid big when the market finally moves. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
12
Gold & Silver sell trade imminent. It’s not so much an overbought thing for gold and silver because daily RSI is at 70 but not quite near historical RSI highs. It’s the inverse thing. Watch for the USD index to turn today to take it hard towards parity over a few sessions next week crossing the 200Ema & then it will subtly reverse engineer moving into that support level for more buying safe haven. . It creates safe haven buying which might be needed for the FED interest rate reduction causing the frenzy of buying demand, sellers will have had their move first and the safe haven buy trade. Vix daily is aesthetically perfect as the bottom left leg forms around 15.00 and then volatility will further support my own theory that the USDX will breakout over parity , see my other post, EURUSD and GBPUSD Buy trade is the focus as they take the USD on weakness up around 102.50 to 103.00 Gold target short is daily candle from 24 November, about 4115 to 4125 Tp. Stop loss could go above the Monday high of 4265 . Price at time of writing is 4225 and Short confirmations on intraday confirm the trade. 5m or 2m chart sell break below 4215 and stop loss 4233. TP can still aim at 4120 * infomercial purposes only. The trade is supported by USD INDEX turning bullish after a bearish pattern on daily
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MusicalNight
1
EURJPY: Buyers React at 180 Support ZoneEURJPY: Buyers React at 180 Support Zone EURJPY continues to trade inside a broad corrective structure and today dropped sharply following a strong sell-off across all JPY pairs. The pair found significant support near the lower boundary of the pattern, around the 180.00 zone. Price reacted immediately from this level, suggesting that buyers may attempt to recover part of the intraday losses. At the moment, I am expecting a potential short-term correction toward 180.80 and 181.25. The move is relatively small, so I will be watching price action into tomorrow to see whether momentum strengthens or fades. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
7
Depend on divergence and RSI support signalsBitcoin 15-Minute Chart Analysis The larger Wave ③ initiated after a breakout above an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Wave ③ appears to have completed near the 2.272 Fibonacci extension, followed by a divergence, signaling the start of a correction. A mild A–B corrective rebound occurred, then another drop followed after a second divergence and RSI resistance. Currently, moving averages remain in a bearish alignment (death cross). Refer to Fibonacci retracement levels to gauge the depth of Wave ④. Wave ④ completion will depend on the presence of divergence and RSI support signals.
by Dalbaram
The larger Wave ④Bitcoin 1H Chart Analysis Currently tracking a light blue ABC correction within the larger Wave ④. Wave C is unfolding as a 5-wave structure; currently in Wave ④. Adjusted the wave count this morning: what was initially labeled as Wave ① is now considered Wave ③, due to its extended size. Wave ③ appears to have completed near the 2.272 Fibonacci extension. A divergence formed, leading to the current Wave ④ pullback, which is finding support at a key supply-demand zone. Watch for a MACD oscillator crossover — this could signal the start of Wave ⑤. Focus on reactions at the support zone for trade decisions.
Long
by Dalbaram
A running flat ABCBitcoin Weekly Chart Analysis After completing Wave ③ of the larger impulse, a running flat ABC correction is unfolding. A trigger divergence and RSI resistance led to a corrective move. Wave A found support and completed around the 60-week EMA, followed by a rebound. After an irregular Wave B, another trigger divergence emerged, initiating Wave C. Currently, price is holding above the 90-week EMA, but the RSI still has unfilled downside space, suggesting potential for a deeper move before a reversal. Watch the Fibonacci retracement zones for potential support levels during this correction.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Dalbaram
3