Ethereum — Losing the PremiumThe Ethereum future’s chart is showing weakness, and I’m expecting a drop toward the $3,760 area from current levels.
Scenario invalidation — the zone is marked on the chart at $4,041
Wave Analysis
S&P500 - $8.000 is the ultimate target!🎊S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) continues the bullrun:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, the S&P500 has been rallying +40%. However, this does not mean that the bullrun is over any time soon. Since the S&P500 perfectly respects the rising channel pattern, a move to the upper trendline is the target.
📝Levels to watch:
$8,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GOLD at Immediate supporting area? What's next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our last couple of ideas regarding gold and now again market at his current immediate supporting level.
Tha tis around 4349-50
Keep close and sustain above means another rise can happen anytime..
Note: we will go for cut n reverse below 4349 on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Aster – From Master to DisasterAster’s chart doesn’t look promising right now — quite the opposite, it’s starting to form a bearish setup that could push the price lower.
I’m expecting a move down toward the $1.05 area from the current levels.
Scenario gets invalidated once the price reaches $1.165
CRM LONG TO $510 - CALL HAS LEGS, THE NUMBERS JIVE, READ ON!Salesforce (CRM) stands out in the market with strong premium valuations justified by robust financial performance, innovative AI-driven products, and disciplined capital management, all pointing toward a bullish but measured long-term outlook.
First, key valuation ratios reveal Salesforce’s high market premium versus industry averages. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is about 33 (TTM), with fiscal year P/E near 47, significantly above the industry average of around 22. Price to sales (TTM) is roughly 5.8, versus 1.5 for peers, reflecting strong revenue fundamentals and growth expectations. Price to tangible book is notably high near 37, highlighting investor confidence in intangible assets like proprietary AI and data platforms. Return on equity sits above 11%, further underscoring solid profitability. Free cash flow per share stands at about $11.30, deeply supporting operations, buybacks, and dividends. Monthly share volatility remains elevated at roughly 19%, well above industry norms, suggesting active trading interest and sensitivity to growth news. Salesforce’s balance sheet shows healthy liquidity with a current ratio near 1.12 and modest debt/equity around 14%, indicating capital flexibility and disciplined leverage management.
Recent quarterly results and corporate disclosures strongly validate this valuation. For the first half of fiscal 2026, Salesforce reported $20.1 billion in revenue (+9% YoY), with double-digit subscription and support revenue growth driven by key cloud offerings. Operating margins are expanding steadily, exceeding 34% non-GAAP in the latest quarter. The company forecasts nearly $15 billion in operating cash flow, underpinning continued shareholder returns, including a newly authorized $20 billion share repurchase program.
Salesforce’s transformative AI platform, Agentforce, alongside its Data Cloud revenue line, is a pivotal growth driver. Agentforce bookings surged over 120% year-over-year, with over 6,000 paid deals and rapid adoption by major clients such as FedEx, DirecTV, Amgen, and Under Armour. Forward-looking statements highlighted a vision of "agentic enterprises," integrating AI-powered agents that augment human workflows across sales, customer service, and operational functions. This innovation wave positions Salesforce as a clear leader in AI-native SaaS, accustomed to evolving customer needs with scalability and operational efficiency.
Earnings call transcripts emphasize management's excitement around AI’s role in extending, not replacing, the SaaS model. They note a 60% increase in pilot-to-production conversion rates for AI-powered solutions, growing pipeline strength from big deals over $1 million (+26% bookings YoY), and broad geographic expansion despite pockets of constraints (UK, Japan). The company is also prioritizing profitable growth and high-margin product innovation while closely managing capital allocation with disciplined M&A focused on AI-related acquisitions.
The stock currently trades near $245 (October 2025), carrying a premium P/E over 35. This premium is supported by continuing strong revenue growth guidance (about 8.5-9% YoY for FY2026), operating margin expansion, and significant free cash flow growth (expected 12-13%). Salesforce’s sizable remaining performance obligations of $59.9 billion (CRPO) imply a solid deferred revenue base to fuel future growth.
To summarize: Salesforce’s valuation ratios reflect its leadership in the enterprise software and AI SaaS market, backed by consistent execution, strong subscription revenue streams, growth in AI-driven products, and disciplined capital returns. The premium multiple is justified by ongoing innovation and operational excellence, with the risk profile balanced by strong cash flow and customer retention. Investors should monitor AI adoption rates, margin trends, and competitive dynamics, but current fundamentals and strategic directions point to sustainable long-term value creation.
This rich synthesis integrates raw ratio data, quarterly performance specifics, and qualitative insights from earnings management commentary to present a comprehensive valuation and growth outlook narrative.
Salesforce's intrinsic value computed through traditional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models and normalized Free Cash Flow valuation methods generally indicate a fair value range between approximately $320 and $410 per share as of mid-2025. For example, GuruFocus reports an intrinsic DCF-based value near $407, while other analyses range from about $316 to $327. These models rely on assumptions including a high growth stage (capped at 20% annually), a discount rate of around 11%, and terminal growth near 4%, reflecting Salesforce's strong historical free cash flow growth (~24% average) and durable profitability.
However, a forecast valuation exceeding $510 per share suggests a more bullish scenario, which could be justified if Salesforce:
Continues accelerating revenue growth beyond consensus,
Achieves sustained and expanding operating margins above 34%,
Successfully monetizes its AI-driven Agentforce and Data Cloud platforms at scale, surpassing current bookings momentum,
Executes capital allocation optimally, amplifying shareholder value through buybacks and strategic acquisitions,
Maintains and grows its wide competitive moat in SaaS and AI-enabled enterprise software longer than typical market expectations.
While current consensus intrinsic value models provide a strong baseline, such elevated price targets imply that the market should expect Salesforce to become a dominant AI-SaaS platform with enterprise transformation impact driving exceptional free cash flow and earnings growth over the next decade.
This is a reasonable long-term outlook given Salesforce’s demonstrated leadership in cloud and AI innovation combined with consistent execution, but it is critical to monitor key risks including competition, macroeconomic conditions, and integration execution, which could impact growth or margins.
In summary, intrinsic valuation models range from $316 to $410 under mainstream assumptions, supporting a bullish forecast over $510 if Salesforce sustains accelerated growth and margin expansion. This higher target assumes a premium multiple justified by AI-driven transformation and exceptional financial results ahead.
Latest Gold Trends and Trading Strategies:
Core View: Facing short-term technical correction pressure, but the long-term upward logic remains intact. Next week's operations will focus on selling during rebounds, with short-term rebound opportunities at key support levels.
I. Fundamental Drivers Analysis
Short-Term Bearish Factors:
Easing Trade Tensions: Trump's remarks that "100% tariffs on China are unsustainable" have temporarily alleviated market concerns about escalating trade tensions, weakening safe-haven demand for gold.
Stronger U.S. Dollar: The rebound in the U.S. dollar index has exerted direct pressure on gold, which is priced in dollars.
Improved Risk Sentiment: The stock market rebound has led to capital outflow from safe-haven assets like gold.
Long-Term Bullish Support:
Fed Rate Cut Expectations: Fed officials support further rate cuts, maintaining a loose monetary environment, which is favorable for gold.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing geopolitical conflicts provide solid safe-haven support for gold.
Structural Demand: Global central bank gold purchases, de-dollarization trends, and strong inflows into gold ETFs provide medium- to long-term support for gold prices.
Summary: Fundamentals are mixed. Short-term sentiment-driven corrections are occurring, but the core logic of loose monetary policies and safe-haven demand remains unchanged, limiting the downside for gold prices.
II. Key Technical Signals
Bearish Signals:
Top Pattern Confirmed: The 1-hour chart shows an M-top bearish pattern, with a clear break below the 4275 neckline support.
Overbought and Divergence: Daily and shorter-term indicators show severe overbought conditions and top divergence, indicating a strong need for technical correction.
Strong Bearish Momentum: Friday's large bearish candle engulfed the previous day's bullish candle, and the 4-hour chart shows consecutive large bearish candles, reflecting strong selling pressure.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4280 - 4300 range (former neckline support now turned into strong resistance, also a defensive level for bears).
Support: 4220 - 4200 range (key defensive zone for bulls; a break below could open further downside). According to the M-top pattern theory, the downside target could extend to around 4180.
III. Next Week's Trading Strategy
Main Approach: Sell on rebounds, consider short-term longs at key support levels.
Bearish Strategy (Primary):
Entry Timing: When gold rebounds to the 4280-4300 resistance zone, look for signs of rejection (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns) to enter short positions in batches.
Stop Loss: Set uniformly above 4310 to effectively avoid false breakout risks.
Targets: First target at 4220, second target at 4200, ultimate target at 4180.
Bullish Strategy (Secondary, Cautious Counter-Trend):
Entry Timing: When gold first tests the 4220-4200 strong support zone, if clear signs of stabilization appear (e.g., long lower wicks, bullish engulfing), consider light positions to capture a rebound.
Stop Loss: Must be set below 4180.
Targets: Short-term target at 4250-4270 range, quick in-and-out.
IV. Risk Warnings
Monitor News: Pay close attention to sudden developments such as U.S.-China trade relations and speeches by Fed officials, which could trigger significant volatility and alter short-term technical trends.
Strict Risk Management: Current market volatility is high, characterized by high-volatility shakeouts. Ensure light positions and strict stop-losses.
Follow the Trend: As long as the clear downtrend remains unbroken, prioritize selling on rallies. Be extra cautious when attempting to catch rebounds.
Summary: Overall, gold faces significant correction pressure from a technical perspective. Traders should prioritize entering short positions at key resistance levels during rebounds, while also watching for potential short-term rebound opportunities at major support levels. Strict capital management is essential.
The Ultimate GOLD Reversal Map📊 Hanzo Protocol Note
Every marked level reflects precision between liquidity, delta reaction, and volume logic —
Only structure and flow decide — not bias.
Mid-Term SELL Zone — 4360
Setup: Limit Sell Recommended
Stop Loss: Above recent equal highs
Target: +1000 Pips (1:3 RR)
Reasons:
Liquidity pool above previous equal highs
Institutional distribution volume at upper range
HVN (High Volume Node) cluster acting as resistance wall
Delta shift showing heavy sell absorption
Imbalance re-test aligned with order block
4H premium pricing zone within range top
Price deviation above value area high
Stop hunt confirmation wick
Momentum divergence vs delta
Hidden distribution footprint visible on volume profile
Short-Term BUY Zone — 4202
Setup: Reactive Buy Opportunity
Target: 500–1000 Pips
Reasons:
Ultra-volume spike with no price continuation
Delta flip confirming buyer absorption
Trap formation below session low
Volume exhaustion beneath POC
Smart Money re-entry point after sell-side clear
Strong 30M reversal wick with liquidity gap
Reaction from prior fixed HVN
Internal structure shift with micro CHoCH
Buyer cluster confirmed under equilibrium
Perfect liquidity grab setup before new leg
Mid-Term BUY Zone — 4132 – 4107
Setup: Accumulation & Magnetic Demand Area
Target: Up to 1500 Pips
Reasons:
Multi-session HVN alignment
Strong accumulation footprint on delta flow
Reactive rejection at discounted price zone
Liquidity engineered below equilibrium
Large volume imbalance correction
Compression channel breakout origin
Major liquidity gap filled
High-probability reversal range from fixed profile
Delta divergence showing quiet buyer absorption
Institutional order flow detected at low volume shelf
Long-Term BUY Zone — 4036
Setup: Deep Accumulation Zone
Target: Up to 2500 Pips
Reasons:
Major 4H structural base confirmed
Deep liquidity flush below quarterly low
Volume absorption + delta compression zone
Institutional reloading pattern visible
Smart Money demand block within discount 0.79 level
Magnet zone aligning with historical POC
Strong rejection from fixed range low
Major delta shift to positive
Buyer footprint expansion in lower volume node
Final liquidity grab before long-term accumulation move
RARE Analysis (3D)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, the RARE correction has begun.
It appears that we have a double correction on the chart, and now the second phase of this correction has started.
After the completion of wave X, a supply zone has formed, which seems to act as the price ceiling for RARE.
As long as the red box holds, we expect a downward correction.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
LULU $248.79 targetLULU has been in a downward spiral which is way overdone and oversold. It held 2019 support of $158 ish. We have some overhead resistance at $181. Targets are $201.40, $227.69 and $248.49. If tariffs WHICH ARE ILLEGAL are found to be illegal by the supreme court I'd expect LULU and other competitors to fly! We could see $300-400 fast in that scenario. Either way, this has an 11 PE is profitable, growing, no debt and cash on hand it's a steal here!
Monthly Crypto Analysis: Algorand (ALGOUSD) – Issue 101 The analyst expects Algorand’s price to rise by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis.
The take-profit level only indicates the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that price will reach it.
You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely.
Allocating just a portion of your funds keeps overall risk minimal.
Our approach follows institutional portfolio principles — not the all-in or blow-up trading style often seen on social media.
Results are measured over the full time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit.
GBPCAD - Signal#GBPCAD - Signal
H4 - Formation of the 3rd wave + breakout of the trend line. Stop behind the high of the 1st wave.
Entry: 1.88035
TP: 1.87386 - 1.86952 - 1.86294 - 1.84902
Stop: 1.89167
XRP eyeing for $3Developments such as potential ETF approvals, clarification of the regulatory status of XRP, and broader institutional adoption are seen as potential drivers that could support a move toward $3.
BTCUSDT — Don’t Try to Catch the BottomBitcoin looks ready to test its local low — or even break it.
In any case, don’t try to catch the bottom — the second leg down may come as a “bonus.”
🎯 Target: 106,000
❌ Invalidation: shown on the chart
The overall structure remains bearish, and I’m watching for confirmation before any potential reversal
USDJPY Rally Faces Pressure Near 151.250 on Safe-Haven FlowsHey Traders, in the coming week we’re monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 151.250 zone.
The pair remains in a broader downtrend, currently in a corrective phase as it approaches this key resistance level.
Meanwhile, DXY is also correcting within its own downtrend, approaching resistance near 98.600, which reinforces the bearish bias on USD pairs.
With US–China tensions escalating, we’re seeing renewed safe-haven demand for JPY, potentially setting the stage for another leg lower in USDJPY.
Trade safe,
Joe
US30 Eyes 46,600 Resistance as Correction Extends Within TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring US30 for a potential selling opportunity around the 46,600 zone. The Dow Jones remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a corrective phase, approaching a key resistance level aligned with the descending trendline.
Structure:
Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish momentum. The ongoing pullback toward 46,600 could offer a potential continuation setup in line with the prevailing downtrend.
Key level in focus:
46,600 — a significant resistance zone and trendline confluence area where sellers have previously regained control.
Fundamentals:
Market sentiment remains fragile as uncertainty over US fiscal policy and geopolitical risks weigh on risk assets, supporting potential downside pressure on the Dow.
Next move:
Watching for bearish confirmation signals near 46,600 — a rejection from this zone could open the door for a continuation toward recent lows.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Bitcoin BTC Analysis - PM NY Session
Bullish Bitcoin Analysis – PM Session 💰🐂
Recent price action on the 1-hour timeframe (H1) has shown weak candle closures, indicating a failure to achieve significant displacement.
However, we observed a recent sweep of the previous daily high (PDH), followed by a strong close above that level.
This move led to a market structure shift (MSS), suggesting a potential transition to a bullish trend.
With this bullish bias in mind, I have identified a key Fibonacci range that aligns with several confluences supporting the bullish outlook.
Notably, there remains an unfilled bullish imbalance (BISI) on the H1 chart, in addition to a nearby H1 order block.
Furthermore, the optimal trade entry (OTE) level aligns closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, further strengthening the case for a long position. - 109 000 is the level we’re looking at 👀
NZDCAD- 400 PIPS SETUP NOT TO MISS!!Dear Traders, we have got good opportunity to sell NZDCAD at respected area, however, before we enter we got ensure that price comes to our area of entry, after that with stop loss above the horizontal trendline. Longer term bias is bearish in that sense, CAD is expected to bearish in longer term aim.
Let’s not miss this highly probable setup!
Please show support by following and liking the idea.
Exports Soft, Tech Shaky: Nikkei-Japan225 Pullback MapPrice has run hard into a fresh high with almost no meaningful pullback. With the dollar at a crossroads and macro tone turning more mixed for Japan/tech, I’m positioning for a corrective leg into 41,500 → 40,000. From that area I’ll reassess.
Technicals
• Parabolic extension into supply: Pushed through the 2024 range/premium zone and is now trading inside an overhead supply band (upper 46k–49k). Extended structure = ripe for mean reversion.
• Breakout retest levels below: Clean magnet zones at 41,500 (prior breakout / premium box mid) and 40,000 (round-number + structure).
• Risk line: Idea invalidated on a daily close above ~49,000 (acceptance above supply). I’ll scale adds on lower highs; reduce if momentum reclaims the highs with range expansion.
Fundamentals
• Export softness: Japan exports contracted for a 4th month (-0.1% YoY). Shipments to the US fell ~-13.8% YoY, while Asia rebounded only modestly—pointing to cooling external demand.
• BoJ steady & cautious: Policy rate held at 0.5% with inflation easing to ~2.7%. The BoJ prioritizes stability and optionality—less fuel for chasing equities at highs.
• Tech headwinds risk: Reports of China restricting an Nvidia chip add to regional tech sentiment risk.
• Global mix: The Fed’s pivot to easing supports liquidity, but US indices at records after the cut + tariff/trade headlines leave room for risk-off swings—often pressuring JP equities, especially if JPY firms.
Trade Plan (summary)
• Bias: Short swing (daily)
• Targets: 41,500 first, then 40,000
• Invalidation: Daily close >49,000
• Notes: Watching USD/JPY, BoJ commentary, US data, and trade/tariff headlines for momentum shifts.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: HUGE WHALE GETTING READY TO DO THIS NOW!!(scary)Yello Paradisers, enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Get Ready for Breakout
Nasdaq index is currently testing a resistance based on a current
all-time high.
With a high probability, the market is going to break that.
A daily candle close above will confirm a violation.
A further growth will be expected at least to 25500 level then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NQ & ES After Hours Comment Monday 20-10-2025Ultimately, no high-probability opportunity presented itself today, as price simply continued to drift higher. The market did not create the conditions necessary for a confident trade.
We were trading within a Premium Zone, which meant our focus was solely on short opportunities—none of which materialized.
The lesson for today: sometimes the best trade is to stay on the sidelines. Days like this are when we cultivate discipline and consistency, proving to ourselves that we can stick to our plan and avoid unnecessary risk.
Back here tomorrow at 08:45 AM NY time (45 minutes ahead of the market open).
PF
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): The Price Will Drop Lower!
Crude Oil is going to reach the year's low soon.
A confirmed bearish break of a minor structure on a daily time frame
suggest a strong selling pressure.
Be ready to see a test of 55.6 soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
