Wave Analysis
Gold will experience a decline before rising again.
On Monday (January 19th), both gold and silver prices rose to all-time highs.
After US President Donald Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs on European countries over the control of Greenland, investors flocked to safe-haven assets, driving precious metals higher again. As of the time of writing, gold had risen to $4,670, briefly touching a record high of $4,690.
Gold's strong reaction to tariff-related news highlights a shift in market sentiment – from focusing solely on economic growth or inflation to considering policy uncertainty as the core factor driving the market. Tariffs not only disrupt trade flows but also pose spillover risks to supply chains, corporate profit margins, and medium-term growth expectations. When the probability of escalation increases, defensive capital tends to preemptively position itself rather than waiting for economic data to show a substantial impact. In this context, gold acts as a portfolio risk hedging asset.
I expect significant market volatility this week, as investors navigate a turbulent economic environment, which is likely to further strengthen the safe-haven appeal of gold and silver.
During the Asian and European trading sessions, including the recent closing period, the price has been consolidating sideways above the upper band, trading within the 4650-4680 range. It is maintaining a strong consolidation above the 4650 level, and may even continue to test the intraday high. If the support level of 4640-4650 is broken, a sharp decline may occur, so pay close attention to the support level of 4610-4620!
From a daily chart perspective, our parallel channel is still within this range, and it has already touched the top. The previous two times it touched the top, there were significant declines. Do you really think gold will rise rapidly in one go this time?
To be honest, I'm skeptical. My view is that we should wait until 4700 is broken before considering a further rise. Gold needs to break out of the parallel channel before it can fully appreciate. Especially with the US market closed today, trading volume has decreased significantly. Therefore, the market at the end of the day was mainly consolidating and correcting at high levels. The probability of a breakout is very low at the moment, and the trend will likely be determined tomorrow. Therefore, a strategy of selling at highs and buying at lows is recommended. Overall, for short-term gold trading, it is suggested to execute a selling strategy first, and then buy at lower levels. The key short-term resistance level to watch is 4690-4700, and the key short-term support level is 4620-4640.
3 Month ProjectionI think $6k is the likely major resistance. From there, depending on the Macro, it could retrace to $4.5k for support. Thats a 3 month play I think could happen. But the real question at hand in mind is, What is the true value of Gold once drama’s around currency have settled? Personally, I am thinking around $5k an ounce? IDK how it could be worth much more or less at this rate. Use case hasn’t gone up much from what I can tell unless I’m missing something?
SUI🚀 SUI Expansion Pattern Analysis – High-Probability Bullish Setup
Based on the current market structure, SUI appears to be developing an Expansion pattern, with Wave D nearing completion. This setup is a classic structure often used by market makers to accumulate liquidity from both buyers and sellers before a strong directional move.
The market is currently in the final stages of Wave D, which typically serves as a corrective phase within this pattern. Understanding this phase is crucial for traders who want to enter high-probability trades without chasing the market.
🟢 Key Support Zone & Wave E Outlook
The green highlighted zone on the chart represents the area where the bearish momentum of SUI is expected to exhaust. Once price reaches this zone, the market is likely to transition into Wave E, which in this pattern is inherently bullish.
From a trading perspective:
The green zone is ideal for DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) entries
Enter positions gradually rather than all at once to maximize risk-reward efficiency
Let the market confirm support before scaling in
🎯 Targets & Risk Management
All bullish targets are clearly marked on the chart for easy reference and trade planning
⚠️ Invalidation Level: A daily candle close below the invalidation level will negate this analysis and signal a structural failure
💡 Why This Pattern Matters
Expansion patterns like this are highly favored in trading because they:
Allow traders to enter near liquidity zones with a better risk-to-reward ratio
Highlight where market makers are likely to trap retail positions before a breakout
Provide a clear roadmap of expected wave progression, which is invaluable for planning entries and exits
By following this structure, traders can align with the market’s bullish momentum while minimizing unnecessary exposure to risk.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
BITCOIN BULLS GETTING READY!!!! SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING? Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Structure Still Bullish On XMR (3D)📈 Bullish Market Structure
From the point where the green arrow is marked on the chart, price has clearly entered a strong bullish phase. Based on the current price behavior, market structure, and wave development, this movement strongly resembles a Bullish Diametric pattern, which typically appears during complex corrective structures before continuation.
At the moment, price is moving inside Wave F, which is the current active leg of this pattern. Importantly, Wave F has already delivered a healthy and controlled correction, both in price and structure. This correction is constructive and aligns well with the characteristics expected in a valid Diametric formation.
🟢 Key Support Zone & Market Expectation
The green highlighted zone on the chart represents a high-probability support area. From this region, we expect price to:
Hold above support
Spend some time building a base (accumulation)
Complete a time correction rather than a deep price correction
After this consolidation phase, the market is expected to transition into Wave G.
🚀 Wave G Outlook – Bullish Continuation
In a Bullish Diametric pattern, Wave G is inherently bullish and often leads to a strong continuation move in the direction of the main trend. If the structure plays out as expected, Wave G could deliver a powerful impulsive move, pushing price toward the predefined upside targets.
🎯targets : Targets : 668$ _ 1100$
💡 Trading Strategy – Smart Risk Management
The green zone is considered an optimal DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) entry area
Avoid chasing price; let the market come to your levels
Scale into positions gradually to manage risk effectively
This approach allows traders to stay flexible while positioning themselves early for the anticipated bullish expansion.
❌ Invalidation Level – Risk Control Is Key
This analysis will be invalidated if:
A weekly candle closes below the invalidation level marked on the chart
A weekly close below this level would signal a structural failure of the pattern and require a full reassessment.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
BTC | DailyCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Transitional Phase
BTC is currently holding at Q-Structure λ confluence support.
Under the second bullish alternative, the sharp Minor Wave 4 retracement within the Leading Diagonal (Int. Wave 1) appears complete near the 0.81 Fib level—a common retracement zone for 4th waves in leading diagonals—setting up a Minor Wave 5 advance toward ➤ $100k .
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework.
#QuantumModel #EWTheory #CryptoAnalysis #DigitalAssets #MarketCycles #TrendAnalysis
ETHUSD Intraday Sell | Target 2854 → 2823 | Bearish Below 2979 Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute):
ETHUSD is trading under strong selling pressure on the intraday timeframe. Price is staying below the key resistance and pivot level at 2979. As long as this level holds as resistance, the downside scenario remains active.
If price breaks and sustains above 2979, bearish momentum will weaken and a corrective bounce may start.
Trade Plan:
* Bearish below 2979
* Downside targets: 2854 then 2823
* Bullish scenario only if price stays above 2979
Technical View:
* Trend: Short-term bearish
* RSI: Below neutral level
* MACD: Negative and below signal line
* Bias: Sell on pullbacks below resistance
Risk Management:
Capital protection first. Use proper position sizing. Avoid overtrading. Follow discipline, not emotions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, especially in cryptocurrencies, and you are fully responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage risk according to your account size.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD CRYPTOCAP:ETH $CRYPTO $INTRADAY $SELL $PRICEACTION $TECHNICALANALYSIS $TRADINGVIEW
EURUSD Intraday Sell | Target 1.1658 → 1.1639 | Bearish Below 1.Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute):
EURUSD is trading under selling pressure on the intraday timeframe. Price is staying below the key resistance and pivot area at 1.1734, which keeps the downside scenario active. As long as price remains below this level, sellers are expected to control the market.
If price breaks and sustains above 1.1734, the bearish setup will weaken and a recovery move may start.
Trade Plan:
* Bearish below 1.1734
* Downside targets: 1.1658 then 1.1639
* Bullish scenario only if price stays above 1.1734
Technical View:
* Trend: Short-term bearish
* RSI: Below neutral zone
* MACD: Negative momentum
* Bias: Sell on pullbacks below resistance
Risk Management:
Capital protection comes first. Trade with proper position size. Avoid emotional decisions. Follow one setup at a time.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are fully responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage risk according to your account size.
FX:EURUSD CRYPTOCAP:FOREX $INTRADAY $SELL $PRICEACTION $TECHNICALANALYSIS $TRADINGVIEW
HIMS: Might See Deep Dip to $12–$13 Support Before Climbing
HIMS: Downtrend Break Needed for $75–$91+ Telehealth Surge – Or Deep Pullback to $12–$13 Major Support on P/E Compression? DYOR, Not Advice**
**Idea Text / Description:**
Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) — leader in direct-to-consumer telehealth (personalized meds, weight loss/GLP-1, men's/women's health) — pulled back sharply from 2025 highs (~$40–$50 area) but bouncing off key supports (~$23–$30 green/red levels, current price ~$28–$30 on status line). Long-term Fib extensions projecting significant upside if the reversal confirms.
Key structure:
- Descending trend line (white) from highs acting as major resistance — needs decisive break (~$35–$40 zone) with volume to unlock bullish momentum.
- Yellow projections targeting $50–$75 near-term, stretch $91.46+ (Fib levels/prior swings) over 12–36 months.
Bullish Path: Clean break & close above the downtrend line flips the bias — path opens to $50 first, then $75–$91+ on continued growth in AI/personalized care (menopause, diagnostics, longevity per CEO's 2026 vision). Tailwinds: Explosive revenue (+50–100% YoY recent quarters), analyst Hold/Moderate Buy with average targets ~$43–$45 (+40–50% upside), highs to $85. Consumer-first healthcare shift could drive big multiples if execution stays strong.
Bearish Alternative: If trend line rejects, could see continuation lower — retest $20–$23 supports first. In worst case scenario (e.g., margin squeeze in 2026 investment year, GLP-1 competition intensifies, or regulatory hits), a deep pullback to $12–$13 major support possible (green line at $12.32 as multi-year floor).
Valuation Note: Trailing P/E expensive at ~51–58x (well above healthcare sector avg ~23–26x). At strict 23x trailing P/E on current TTM EPS (~$0.53–$0.54), fair value lands right around **$12–$13** — exactly matching the chart's major long-term support. This suggests big downside risk if growth disappoints or sentiment sours, but forward P/E (~45–50x on 2026 estimates) justifies some premium if AI/expansions deliver.
Risks/Negative News: FDA warning Sep 2025 on compounded semaglutide (dosing/side effects); Novo Nordisk partnership ended June 2025; competition ramping (Amazon/CVS in GLP-1 space); BofA Underperform ($29 target) sees 2026 margin pressure; recent 7-day losing streak (-8.7% early Jan) and high short interest add caution.
This is just a post on how I feel — DYOR and not financial advice!
High-risk/high-reward growth play — break the line for upside acceleration, or P/E compression could test that $12–$13 floor first. Thoughts on earnings outlook or GLP-1 competition?
Good luck & safe trading!! 🚀💊
#HIMS #Telehealth #Healthcare #GLP1 #Fibonacci #Breakout
Novo Nordisk: New Long-term Entry Area!Novo Nordisk's stock has continued to rally since our last update. We've taken a deeper dive into our count and have identified a blue long-term entry area.
The primary scenario suggests that the price is currently working through a turquoise upward structure, potentially leading up to the high of the major wave into the red short target zone between €70.63 and €84.59.
We've further segmented the subordinate turquoise wave 3 into a magenta structure, with wave expected to soon establish its low in the aforementioned blue entry area before moving higher.
This entry zone offers opportunities for long entries. We plan a long-term purchase for our investment portfolio and have shared exact coordinates with our Subscribers.
In the red target zone, NOV is likely to pivot downward from the top of the green wave to begin the final descent stage within the broader correction: The green wave aims to reach into the green target zone between €29.63 and €15.65 to complete the beige wave II.
A sustainable upward trend is expected to start following this. Hence, the green zone also offers opportunities for long entries. Additionally, there’s a slight 34% chance that prices might skip the rise to the red zone and dive straight into the green zone.
USDJPY Intraday Buy | Target 158.71 → 158.93 | Bullish Above 157Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute):
USDJPY is holding above a strong intraday support zone at 157.83. Buyers are in control as long as price remains above this level. Momentum indicators support further upside, and price structure favors continuation toward higher resistance levels.
If price breaks and sustains below 157.83, the bullish setup will weaken and selling pressure may appear.
Trade Plan:
* Bullish above 157.83
* Upside targets: 158.71 then 158.93
* Bearish scenario only if price stays below 157.83
Technical View:
* Trend: Short-term bullish
* RSI: Above neutral zone
* MACD: Positive and above signal line
* Bias: Buy on dips above key support
Risk Management:
Trade with discipline. Use proper position sizing. Avoid emotional entries. Capital protection is the first priority.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage risk according to your account size.
FX:USDJPY CRYPTOCAP:FOREX $INTRADAY GETTEX:BUY $PRICEACTION $TECHNICALANALYSIS $TRADINGVIEW
CIFR: Downtrend Line Break Key for $25–$37
CIFR: Downtrend Line Break Key for $25–$37+ Reversal on AI Pivot & BTC Tailwinds – DYOR, Not Financial Advice
Idea Text / Description:
Cipher Mining (CIFR) — Bitcoin miner turning AI/HPC powerhouse — bounced hard off deep lows (~$11–$12 green/blue supports) after 2025 pullback. Current price ~$17–$18 (status line), testing if this is the reversal base.
Key structure:
Descending trend line (white) from 2025 highs (~$25+) capping rallies — needs break for upside.
Orange/yellow projections targeting $25–$34 near-term, stretch $37.08+ (Fib extensions/higher highs).
Bullish Path: Decisive break & close above the downtrend line (~$20–$22 zone) with volume confirms reversal. Then path to $25 first, $34–$37+ medium-term (6–18 months). Tailwinds: Ohio 200MW site acquisition (AI colocation potential), Fluidstack/AWS hosting deals (billions possible), Bitcoin exposure if BTC rebounds. Analysts Strong Buy, average targets ~$25–$27 (+40–50% upside), highs $33–$50.
Bearish Alternative: If trend line rejects, could retest $12–$15 or lower before next leg — but AI pivot and pipeline make deep downside less likely. In worst case scenario, a deep pullback to $7 level possible if BTC crashes or AI deals delay.
Catalyst: Q4/FY2025 earnings ~Feb/Mar 2026 — guidance on AI revenue ramp could spark the break.
Watch: Hold above $12–$16 for bull intact. Invalidation: Clean break below ~$11–$12.
This is just a post on how I feel — DYOR and not financial advice!
High-beta crypto/AI play — break the line and it's moon time! Thoughts on BTC direction or AI deals?
Good luck & safe trading!! 🚀⛏️
#CIFR #CipherMining #Bitcoin #AI #Mining #Fibonacci #Breakout
XAUUSD Intraday Buy | Target 4887 → 4930 | Bullish Above 4815 | Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute):
Gold is holding above a strong intraday pivot zone. Price respected the 4815 level and buyers are active above this area. As long as the market stays above this level, upside continuation is expected toward the next resistance zones.
If price fails to hold 4815 and closes below it, bullish strength weakens and downside pressure may increase.
Trade Plan:
* Bullish above 4815
* Upside targets: 4887 then 4930
* Bearish scenario only if price stays below 4815
Market Structure:
* Trend: Short-term bullish
* Momentum: Recovering from pullback
* Bias: Buy on strength above key level
Risk Note (House Rule):
Trade with proper risk management. Do not over-leverage. One trade at a time. Capital protection comes first.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are responsible for your own decisions. Always manage your risk according to your account size.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD $INTRADAY GETTEX:BUY CRYPTOCAP:FOREX $PRICEACTION $TRADINGVIEW $ANALYSIS
BTCUSD - Possible ABC CompletedFailure to reclaim and hold above 98,150 strongly suggests that the move is corrective (ABC) rather than impulsive.
The rejection at this level confirms that the previous advance lacks the structure and momentum required for a continuation impulse. As a result, the market remains vulnerable to further downside.
📉 Expectation:
From here, we favor continuation lower, with a decisive break below 80,500 opening the path to lower prices as the corrective structure unfolds.
⚠️ Key Notes:
Price remains capped below prior resistance
Structure aligns with an ABC correction, not a 5-wave impulse
Momentum confirmation will come only through a clean breakdown and expansion lower
📌 This remains a probability-based Elliott Wave scenario. Confirmation comes only through structure and follow-through.






















