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Wave Analysis

Bitcoin - Creating another -30% correction!🤬Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still in a bearish market: 🔎Analysis summary: Just a couple of months ago, Bitcoin created its expected bullmarket all time high. Since then, we already witnessed a correction of about -30%. But looking at higher timeframe structure, this correction is not over and we might see a final push of -30% lower soon. 📝Levels to watch: $60,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhil
42
Gold bulls remain strong Gold Trading Strategy | Follow the Trend, Focus on Buying on Dips I. Performance Review and Strategy Validation On Tuesday, we strictly followed the publicly available strategy on TradingView, executing long positions in the 4650-4660 range. After reducing positions at 4700 and continuing to hold, we fully exited at the target of 4720, securing a profit of over 600 pips. This operation once again validates the effectiveness of "trend-following + key-level entry." In the current strong environment, buying on dips remains a safe and sustainable trading strategy. II. Core Fundamental Drivers 1. Escalating Geopolitical Risks The Trump administration has intensified its actions regarding Greenland, with the threat of imposing tariffs on eight European countries moving from rhetoric to a concrete schedule (effective February 1). Historical patterns indicate: Trade wars → Slower economic growth + Rising inflationary pressure → Increased risk of stagflation, and gold performs particularly well in a stagflationary environment. 2. Market Logic Breakdown Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical conflicts and trade uncertainties drive capital into gold. Hedge Against Stagflation: The combination of "slowing economy + high inflation" potentially triggered by tariffs strengthens gold's role as an asset preserver. Pressure on the U.S. Dollar: Trade tensions suppress the performance of the U.S. dollar, indirectly supporting gold prices. III. Key Technical Signals 1. Trend Structure Prices have continuously set new historical highs, with both daily and hourly charts showing a bullish alignment and no signs of a top formation. Strong Momentum: Minimal retracements during the rally indicate robust buying interest. 2. Key Price Levels Support Zones: Strong Support: 4700-4710 (recent breakout-turned-support) Critical Defense: 4680 (bullish lifeline) Resistance Targets: Short-Term Target: 4760-4780 Extended Target: 4790-4800 IV. Specific Trading Strategies Overall Approach: Focus on buying on dips; avoid counter-trend shorting. Option 1: Conservative Strategy (Buy on Dips) Entry Zone: 4700-4710, after stabilization, enter long positions in batches. Stop-Loss Placement: 4688 (if broken, short-term bullish structure is compromised). Target Range: 4760-4780 Option 2: Aggressive Strategy (Breakout Play) Entry Condition: Buy long when the price retraces to around 4740. Stop-Loss Placement: 4725 (to avoid false breakout risks). Target Range: 4770-4790 Execution Requirements: Suitable only for traders who can tolerate higher volatility and possess strong execution discipline. V. Risk Warnings and Discipline Requirements 1. Key Risk Control Principles Strictly avoid counter-trend shorting in the absence of clear reversal signals. All long positions must include stop-loss orders to prevent significant drawdowns in case of sudden market reversals. 2. Contingency Plans for Market Developments If the price falls below 4680, it indicates a weakening of short-term bullish momentum. All long positions should be exited, and a wait-and-watch approach is advised. If the price breaks strongly above 4780, targets can be adjusted to 4800-4820. However, avoid chasing the rally and wait for new dip opportunities. 3. Mindset Management In a clear trend, "missing out" is more acceptable than "making a mistake." Maintain patience and adhere to entering only at key support zones, avoiding emotional buying during rallies. VI. Summary and Action Recommendations Core Logic: Geopolitical risks + stagflation expectations + technical strength = continuation of the bullish trend. Best Opportunity: Watch for stabilization signals when the price retraces to the 4700-4710 zone. Execution Discipline: Strictly control position sizes, adhere to stop-loss rules, and avoid holding losing positions. Thanks to the TradingView community. As a senior investment analyst, this allows more traders and investors to see my trading strategy analysis.Currently focusing on gold trading. If you like my analysis, please give me a thumbs up and share it with more traders who might need it. We strive for precise trading, deeply researching charts, macroeconomic drivers, and market sentiment to build high-probability trading strategies. Here, you will find structured trading plans, risk management frameworks, and real-time analysis.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX-GoldPulse
Friday ended perfectly, and Monday's analysis is here! First, let's review gold's biggest drop in over two weeks on Friday. Following Trump's remarks, the dollar recovered its intraday losses, and gold briefly plunged $84 to a low of $4536.45. However, it subsequently rebounded strongly to close at $4595.59; the previous rapid and excessive rise in gold prices gave bulls a reason to take profits. Furthermore, I mentioned in Friday's article the warning of a potential "Black Friday," providing an early warning! Currently, investors face two strategic choices: Chasing the rally after breaking historical highs, or waiting for prices to fall back to their intrinsic value range before buying. Ultimately, this depends on individual investment preferences. However, I've observed that long-term bulls tend to favor a more conservative approach, while short-term traders dominate short-term rallies and market volatility. As long as the overall upward trend remains unchanged, this pattern is expected to continue. Gold Price Analysis for Next Monday: The sudden plunge in gold prices on Friday was largely expected, and I already warned everyone in my Friday article. My analysis on Thursday and Friday suggested shorting gold at higher levels, specifically at 4640 and 4620 on Friday, perfectly capturing the target of 4536! Looking at the current market, as we all know, gold prices this week started at 4513, reaching a new all-time high of 4642 before falling back to around 4536, and then rebounding back above 4590. While this process indicates bullish control, in the short term, the 4590 level may have lost its key support. Therefore, the overall bottoming and rebound trend shown by gold this week has undoubtedly laid a strong foundation for the bulls, and continuing to look for further gains is reasonable, but it's necessary to focus on buying on dips. Looking at the 3-hour chart, after yesterday's significant fluctuations, the current price is still hovering around the short-term 5-period moving average. Although the 10-period moving average and the Bollinger Middle Band are showing resistance, the upward turn of the 5-period moving average and the upward extension of the Bollinger Lower Band suggest limited downside potential for gold in the short term. Therefore, the 4-hour chart generally anticipates a pullback followed by a renewed bullish counterattack. The recommended strategy for the beginning of next week is to buy on dips, focusing first on the 4575-4580 area. This area represents the upward shift after yesterday's low and rebound, and can be considered key for a short-term return to 4600. Secondly, pay close attention to the area around 4635, where the 10-day moving average on the daily chart shows strong support. Above this level, the trend remains bullish, although the upward movement may take longer. However, I personally believe that when gold prices approach or touch the former (4600), it's a good time to actively place long orders, anticipating the bulls' performance above 4600. Additionally, it's worth noting the 4690 area in the short term. If gold prices can maintain above this level, then a direct return to 4600 early next week is almost certain, and stabilizing above 4600 is also highly probable. Regarding resistance, pay attention to the 4620 area, the high point of this Friday. Intraday short positions can be initiated below this level, but any breakout should be considered a sign of bullish strength, even in a consolidation phase. Of course, I personally believe that when gold prices break through 4620, a more aggressive target of the 4640 high, or even a breakout above that level, would be more likely. In summary, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold next Monday is to primarily buy on dips and secondarily sell on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4625-4630, and the key support level is 4570-4580. Please follow the trend closely.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by zleo0400
1
VENTURE INDEX - ALOT GOING ON HEREThe TSX Venture is Canada's Russell in a way but famously, that's where commodity stocks go to be listed from explores, to developers, to juniors, to major juniors, and then graduate to the major indices. First feature is a clear H and S pattern, neckline. measured move target 1700+. Second feature is a potential cup forming and if so, then thee handle will form with a breakout to be very explosive if this what's happening. Last feature is an potential 5th wave occurring now. The 5th wave has to be longer than the 3rd so a move at least above 1300 is happening now. We all know, all boats rise with the tide. So a 30 percent move incoming sector wide is possible. Trade accordingly. GL
TSX:JX
by zextar
Gold will experience a decline before rising again. On Monday (January 19th), both gold and silver prices rose to all-time highs. After US President Donald Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs on European countries over the control of Greenland, investors flocked to safe-haven assets, driving precious metals higher again. As of the time of writing, gold had risen to $4,670, briefly touching a record high of $4,690. Gold's strong reaction to tariff-related news highlights a shift in market sentiment – ​​from focusing solely on economic growth or inflation to considering policy uncertainty as the core factor driving the market. Tariffs not only disrupt trade flows but also pose spillover risks to supply chains, corporate profit margins, and medium-term growth expectations. When the probability of escalation increases, defensive capital tends to preemptively position itself rather than waiting for economic data to show a substantial impact. In this context, gold acts as a portfolio risk hedging asset. I expect significant market volatility this week, as investors navigate a turbulent economic environment, which is likely to further strengthen the safe-haven appeal of gold and silver. During the Asian and European trading sessions, including the recent closing period, the price has been consolidating sideways above the upper band, trading within the 4650-4680 range. It is maintaining a strong consolidation above the 4650 level, and may even continue to test the intraday high. If the support level of 4640-4650 is broken, a sharp decline may occur, so pay close attention to the support level of 4610-4620! From a daily chart perspective, our parallel channel is still within this range, and it has already touched the top. The previous two times it touched the top, there were significant declines. Do you really think gold will rise rapidly in one go this time? To be honest, I'm skeptical. My view is that we should wait until 4700 is broken before considering a further rise. Gold needs to break out of the parallel channel before it can fully appreciate. Especially with the US market closed today, trading volume has decreased significantly. Therefore, the market at the end of the day was mainly consolidating and correcting at high levels. The probability of a breakout is very low at the moment, and the trend will likely be determined tomorrow. Therefore, a strategy of selling at highs and buying at lows is recommended. Overall, for short-term gold trading, it is suggested to execute a selling strategy first, and then buy at lower levels. The key short-term resistance level to watch is 4690-4700, and the key short-term support level is 4620-4640.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by zleo0400
3 Month ProjectionI think $6k is the likely major resistance. From there, depending on the Macro, it could retrace to $4.5k for support. Thats a 3 month play I think could happen. But the real question at hand in mind is, What is the true value of Gold once drama’s around currency have settled? Personally, I am thinking around $5k an ounce? IDK how it could be worth much more or less at this rate. Use case hasn’t gone up much from what I can tell unless I’m missing something?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Steven_Lee_
SUI🚀 SUI Expansion Pattern Analysis – High-Probability Bullish Setup Based on the current market structure, SUI appears to be developing an Expansion pattern, with Wave D nearing completion. This setup is a classic structure often used by market makers to accumulate liquidity from both buyers and sellers before a strong directional move. The market is currently in the final stages of Wave D, which typically serves as a corrective phase within this pattern. Understanding this phase is crucial for traders who want to enter high-probability trades without chasing the market. 🟢 Key Support Zone & Wave E Outlook The green highlighted zone on the chart represents the area where the bearish momentum of SUI is expected to exhaust. Once price reaches this zone, the market is likely to transition into Wave E, which in this pattern is inherently bullish. From a trading perspective: The green zone is ideal for DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) entries Enter positions gradually rather than all at once to maximize risk-reward efficiency Let the market confirm support before scaling in 🎯 Targets & Risk Management All bullish targets are clearly marked on the chart for easy reference and trade planning ⚠️ Invalidation Level: A daily candle close below the invalidation level will negate this analysis and signal a structural failure 💡 Why This Pattern Matters Expansion patterns like this are highly favored in trading because they: Allow traders to enter near liquidity zones with a better risk-to-reward ratio Highlight where market makers are likely to trap retail positions before a breakout Provide a clear roadmap of expected wave progression, which is invaluable for planning entries and exits By following this structure, traders can align with the market’s bullish momentum while minimizing unnecessary exposure to risk. If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you. This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
by behdark
5
BITCOIN BULLS GETTING READY!!!! SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING? Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
3
Structure Still Bullish On XMR (3D)📈 Bullish Market Structure From the point where the green arrow is marked on the chart, price has clearly entered a strong bullish phase. Based on the current price behavior, market structure, and wave development, this movement strongly resembles a Bullish Diametric pattern, which typically appears during complex corrective structures before continuation. At the moment, price is moving inside Wave F, which is the current active leg of this pattern. Importantly, Wave F has already delivered a healthy and controlled correction, both in price and structure. This correction is constructive and aligns well with the characteristics expected in a valid Diametric formation. 🟢 Key Support Zone & Market Expectation The green highlighted zone on the chart represents a high-probability support area. From this region, we expect price to: Hold above support Spend some time building a base (accumulation) Complete a time correction rather than a deep price correction After this consolidation phase, the market is expected to transition into Wave G. 🚀 Wave G Outlook – Bullish Continuation In a Bullish Diametric pattern, Wave G is inherently bullish and often leads to a strong continuation move in the direction of the main trend. If the structure plays out as expected, Wave G could deliver a powerful impulsive move, pushing price toward the predefined upside targets. 🎯targets : Targets : 668$ _ 1100$ 💡 Trading Strategy – Smart Risk Management The green zone is considered an optimal DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) entry area Avoid chasing price; let the market come to your levels Scale into positions gradually to manage risk effectively This approach allows traders to stay flexible while positioning themselves early for the anticipated bullish expansion. ❌ Invalidation Level – Risk Control Is Key This analysis will be invalidated if: A weekly candle closes below the invalidation level marked on the chart A weekly close below this level would signal a structural failure of the pattern and require a full reassessment. If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you. This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
by behdark
2
BTC | DailyCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Transitional Phase BTC is currently holding at Q-Structure λ confluence support. Under the second bullish alternative, the sharp Minor Wave 4 retracement within the Leading Diagonal (Int. Wave 1) appears complete near the 0.81 Fib level—a common retracement zone for 4th waves in leading diagonals—setting up a Minor Wave 5 advance toward ➤ $100k . 🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework. #QuantumModel #EWTheory #CryptoAnalysis #DigitalAssets #MarketCycles #TrendAnalysis
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ElliottChart
1
ETHUSD Intraday Sell | Target 2854 → 2823 | Bearish Below 2979 Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute): ETHUSD is trading under strong selling pressure on the intraday timeframe. Price is staying below the key resistance and pivot level at 2979. As long as this level holds as resistance, the downside scenario remains active. If price breaks and sustains above 2979, bearish momentum will weaken and a corrective bounce may start. Trade Plan: * Bearish below 2979 * Downside targets: 2854 then 2823 * Bullish scenario only if price stays above 2979 Technical View: * Trend: Short-term bearish * RSI: Below neutral level * MACD: Negative and below signal line * Bias: Sell on pullbacks below resistance Risk Management: Capital protection first. Use proper position sizing. Avoid overtrading. Follow discipline, not emotions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, especially in cryptocurrencies, and you are fully responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage risk according to your account size. BITSTAMP:ETHUSD CRYPTOCAP:ETH $CRYPTO $INTRADAY $SELL $PRICEACTION $TECHNICALANALYSIS $TRADINGVIEW
OANDA:ETHUSDShort
by Market_Pulse6
EURUSD Intraday Sell | Target 1.1658 → 1.1639 | Bearish Below 1.Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute): EURUSD is trading under selling pressure on the intraday timeframe. Price is staying below the key resistance and pivot area at 1.1734, which keeps the downside scenario active. As long as price remains below this level, sellers are expected to control the market. If price breaks and sustains above 1.1734, the bearish setup will weaken and a recovery move may start. Trade Plan: * Bearish below 1.1734 * Downside targets: 1.1658 then 1.1639 * Bullish scenario only if price stays above 1.1734 Technical View: * Trend: Short-term bearish * RSI: Below neutral zone * MACD: Negative momentum * Bias: Sell on pullbacks below resistance Risk Management: Capital protection comes first. Trade with proper position size. Avoid emotional decisions. Follow one setup at a time. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are fully responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage risk according to your account size. FX:EURUSD CRYPTOCAP:FOREX $INTRADAY $SELL $PRICEACTION $TECHNICALANALYSIS $TRADINGVIEW
Short
by Market_Pulse6
HIMS: Might See Deep Dip to $12–$13 Support Before Climbing HIMS: Downtrend Break Needed for $75–$91+ Telehealth Surge – Or Deep Pullback to $12–$13 Major Support on P/E Compression? DYOR, Not Advice** **Idea Text / Description:** Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) — leader in direct-to-consumer telehealth (personalized meds, weight loss/GLP-1, men's/women's health) — pulled back sharply from 2025 highs (~$40–$50 area) but bouncing off key supports (~$23–$30 green/red levels, current price ~$28–$30 on status line). Long-term Fib extensions projecting significant upside if the reversal confirms. Key structure: - Descending trend line (white) from highs acting as major resistance — needs decisive break (~$35–$40 zone) with volume to unlock bullish momentum. - Yellow projections targeting $50–$75 near-term, stretch $91.46+ (Fib levels/prior swings) over 12–36 months. Bullish Path: Clean break & close above the downtrend line flips the bias — path opens to $50 first, then $75–$91+ on continued growth in AI/personalized care (menopause, diagnostics, longevity per CEO's 2026 vision). Tailwinds: Explosive revenue (+50–100% YoY recent quarters), analyst Hold/Moderate Buy with average targets ~$43–$45 (+40–50% upside), highs to $85. Consumer-first healthcare shift could drive big multiples if execution stays strong. Bearish Alternative: If trend line rejects, could see continuation lower — retest $20–$23 supports first. In worst case scenario (e.g., margin squeeze in 2026 investment year, GLP-1 competition intensifies, or regulatory hits), a deep pullback to $12–$13 major support possible (green line at $12.32 as multi-year floor). Valuation Note: Trailing P/E expensive at ~51–58x (well above healthcare sector avg ~23–26x). At strict 23x trailing P/E on current TTM EPS (~$0.53–$0.54), fair value lands right around **$12–$13** — exactly matching the chart's major long-term support. This suggests big downside risk if growth disappoints or sentiment sours, but forward P/E (~45–50x on 2026 estimates) justifies some premium if AI/expansions deliver. Risks/Negative News: FDA warning Sep 2025 on compounded semaglutide (dosing/side effects); Novo Nordisk partnership ended June 2025; competition ramping (Amazon/CVS in GLP-1 space); BofA Underperform ($29 target) sees 2026 margin pressure; recent 7-day losing streak (-8.7% early Jan) and high short interest add caution. This is just a post on how I feel — DYOR and not financial advice! High-risk/high-reward growth play — break the line for upside acceleration, or P/E compression could test that $12–$13 floor first. Thoughts on earnings outlook or GLP-1 competition? Good luck & safe trading!! 🚀💊 #HIMS #Telehealth #Healthcare #GLP1 #Fibonacci #Breakout
NYSE:HIMSShort
by chalasanirakesh1