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Wave Analysis

BTC PLAN TODAY | BEARISH TREND | BTCUSD OCT 21.2025 BTC/USD – 30m Technical Outlook 1️⃣ Structure Overview The previous BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed bullish momentum after the rally from 102,000 toward 109,700. However, that bullish leg has now lost strength as price failed to create a new higher high above 109,700. The recent CHoCH and BOS to the downside near 107,500 confirmed a short-term bearish shift in structure. 2️⃣ Fair Value Gaps (FVG) There’s a key FVG between 107,150 – 107,860, which price is currently sitting inside. Above it, another FVG zone aligns with the Fib retracement levels (0.618–0.705) between 108,000 – 108,700, acting as a potential retracement zone for short entries. If price mitigates this zone and fails to break above the descending trendline, it would confirm further downside continuation. 3️⃣ Market Bias Short-term Bias: Bearish Macro Bias: Still bullish, as long as the market holds above 106,500 – 106,000 (previous demand zone and imbalance base). If the market fails to maintain that level, the next liquidity target sits around 105,500 – 104,800.
OANDA:BTCUSD
by Michael_Gold_Insider
USDCAD → Attempt to break through resistance to continue growth FX:USDCAD is attempting to break through consolidation resistance within an uptrend. Growth in the dollar index may support the current trend. The dollar is rising. The currency pair is consolidating ahead of resistance at 1.40600, against which it is attempting to break through in order to continue growing. The growth may continue if the current fundamental background remains unchanged. Consolidation may support further growth. A breakout and closing above 1.4060 will confirm the bullish sentiment and, in turn, may trigger a distribution to 1.411 - 1.415. Resistance levels: 1.4060 Support levels: 1.4028, 1.4005 The trend is bullish, with virtually no pullback after the growth, only consolidation, which is technically a positive sign. A breakout of the specified consolidation resistance could trigger distribution to areas of interest. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
Bitcoin to 100k and below?!Looks like COINBASE:BTCUSD after reaching 110k level (As expected in the previews post) is now heading towards 100k level and we have to wait for market what after that. If you are selling make sure to manage your trade. Any break above 111,700 will give us a big corrective structure upwards. WTW 4 Golder Rules: 1) Do not jump in 2) Do not over risk/trade 3)Do not trade without Stop Loss 4) Never ever add to a losing position! Trade with care We Trade Waves WTW Team Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by WeTradeWAVES
NZDUSD: Is it ready to push up?From a Fundamental point of view, if the situation between US and China calms down, AUD and NZD should benefit. From technical point of view and based on WTW Concept, OANDA:NZDUSD most likely will be going up even if it breaks the low. WTW 4 Golder Rules: 1) Do not jump in 2) Do not over risk/trade 3)Do not trade without Stop Loss 4) Never ever add to a losing position! Trade with care We Trade Waves WTW Team Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Long
by WeTradeWAVES
1
XAUUSD PLAN TODAY OCT 21.2025 | GOLD IS TRADING AROUND 4347 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 21 (Based on SMC) ☄️ 📊 Market Context 🔤Gold is currently trading around 4347, after a bullish impulse from the CHoCH at 4270 that broke structure upward toward 4375. 🔤However, price has failed to create a new higher high above that level and has now shown signs of exhaustion. 🔤→ Bias: Market is in a short-term distribution phase within a broader bullish macro trend. 💡 Trading plan 🔽 Scenario 1 — Short Rejection from 4346–4355 (High-Probability SELL) 🔤 Reason: Price retests bearish FVG after BOS. 🔤 Condition: Wait for CHoCH + BOS confirmation on M5 inside zone. 🔤 Entry: 4346–4355 🔤 Bias: Continuation of bearish correction. 🔗 Scenario 2 — Range Play between 4330–4360 Reason: Price may consolidate as liquidity builds before the next expansion. Condition: Look for BOS on either side of the range before taking direction. Setup: Buy low (4330 demand) → TP 4355 Sell high (4355 supply) → TP 4330 📌 Note: Manage tight stops; structure is indecisive here. 🔼 Scenario 3 — Bullish Reclaim and Continuation (Breakout BUY) Reason: If price invalidates the bearish BOS by breaking above 4360, Smart Money might flip direction again. Condition: Need a new BOS up after CHoCH bullish. Entry: Retest 4355–4360 after breakout. Bias: Bullish continuation toward new liquidity highs
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Michael_Gold_Insider
( HANZO Gold Protocol ) Bullish Reversal DetectedStatus: Active Reversal Protocol Symbol: Gold Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window) ➕Bias: Bullish Reversal Goal: Controlled with minimal drawdown Tactical Edge: Reversal Protocol through liquidity engineering Confidence Level: ★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned) ☄️4270 Bullish Reversal Zone — Full Breakdown 1️⃣ Fixed Range HVN Alignment The 4270 level aligns perfectly with the High Volume Node from the previous accumulation phase — a sign of institutional absorption where orders were heavily exchanged before breakout. 2️⃣ Volume Gap Above, Density Below Below 4270 we have heavy volume clusters, while above it the profile becomes thin — confirming that 4270 is the last defended zone before liquidity imbalance. 3️⃣ Liquidity Trap Confirmation The sharp push below 4300 earlier collected stop-loss liquidity, making 4270 the smart money re-entry zone after clearing out retail buyers. 4️⃣ Fibonacci Alignment (0.382–0.5 Zone) 4270 sits inside the 38.2% retracement of the impulsive move, which is a premium re-entry level used by institutional models. 5️⃣ Structural Confluence (Old Resistance → Support) Previous breakout base and trend compression aligned with 4270 mark it as a flip zone — the structural confirmation of a reversal block. 6️⃣ Delta HQ Reversal Indicator At the base of the move (near 4270) the Delta HQ showed negative absorption turning neutral, meaning sell volume failed to push price lower — a key reversal trigger. 7️⃣ Session Logic The level coincides with the post-10:30 session retest window (smart money re-entry timing), fitting your 10:30–10:30 volume cycle. 8️⃣ Trap Zone Above (Liquidity Vacuum) The upper “Trap Zone” confirms that price already engineered liquidity above, freeing up path for bullish continuation from 4270 upward. 9️⃣ Internal Trendline Compression Break The descending pattern leading into 4270 forms a bullish breakout wedge — clear compression followed by volume breakout. 🔟 Institutional Behavior Evidence Sharp imbalance candle after 4270 test shows controlled accumulation — classic smart money re-entry behavior before next expansion. 🎯 Summary (Hanzo Logic) 4270 = Delta Reversal + HVN Defense + Liquidity Reset + Fib Precision A high-confidence engineered re-entry zone built by smart money to refill positions before bullish continuation.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
17
NIFTY IS READY TO EXTEND ( mother of bull market)Nifty has completed 4th wave succesfully by correcting 16% and taking more than a year of time , Now its ready for its 5th wave. observations made in the chart , 1) wave 1 = wave 3 2) wave counts When wave1 = wave3 wave 5 will be extended of 1.62% so we get target of 37,500 for last wave ( 5th) . As per time cycle 5 th wave will end by mid 2028 to mid 2029. we are going to witness one of the strongest of strongest bull market.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by stock_Predictor
USDJPY Holds Firm Above 151, Dollar Strength Faces Yen’s Haven USDJPY has surged to fresh highs above 153 before pulling back, showing how stretched the pair has become after weeks of relentless dollar strength. The dollar continues to benefit from sticky US inflation and hawkish Fed expectations, but the yen is finding some defensive flows as Japanese politics and global risk aversion come into play. This leaves USDJPY in a pivotal zone: either buyers defend the 151 handle for another push higher, or yen resilience drags the pair into a deeper correction. Current Bias Bullish – Despite the pullback, the trend remains tilted toward further USD strength as long as price stays above 151.00. Key Fundamental Drivers US Dollar (USD): Firm inflation, resilient labor data, and higher Treasury yields keep the dollar bid. The Fed is signaling patience before cutting, supporting front-end yield spreads in favor of the USD. Japanese Yen (JPY): BOJ remains ultra-loose, but rising domestic political pressure and stronger wages are fueling speculation that policy normalization could come earlier than expected. Risk Sentiment: JPY gains when equities wobble, while USD stays supported by yield and safe-haven flows. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is cautious about cutting, while BOJ is still holding rates near zero. The divergence remains a powerful driver of USDJPY. Economic Growth: US growth has outpaced expectations, while Japan shows modest recovery but still depends heavily on exports. Geopolitical Themes: US–China tariffs, Middle East risks, and Japanese election speculation all tilt in favor of JPY demand on risk-off days, but USD retains the upper hand when markets stabilize. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp shift in BOJ guidance or surprise yen-supportive intervention could trigger a rapid unwind in USDJPY longs. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI data – any upside surprise could cement Fed caution and push USDJPY back to highs. BOJ commentary – signals of policy adjustment would likely strengthen the yen. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDJPY is a leader in yen pairs, often setting direction for EURJPY, GBPJPY, and CADJPY. It also acts as a barometer for global risk sentiment, with USDJPY strength often reflecting broad dollar dominance. Key Levels Support Levels: 151.50 149.95 Resistance Levels: 153.15 154.00 Stop Loss (SL): 148.40 Take Profit (TP): 153.15 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDJPY remains bullish above 151.00, with a stop placed at 148.40 to guard against deeper corrections. A take-profit zone near 153.15 aligns with the recent rejection point. The key watchpoints are US inflation data and BOJ communication, both of which could determine if this move extends higher or stalls. For now, USDJPY remains the dominant driver of yen flows, keeping its role as a leader among JPY crosses.
Long
by ultreosforex
12
Titan – 2-Year Breakout LoadingStock has been in a time-based consolidation for around 2 years, and the pattern now suggests the correction phase is complete. This setup aligns with historical cycle behavior — after every long correction phase, a fresh uptrend usually begins. Past major corrections: Oct 2007 – Mar 2009: ~62% correction | 560 days (Global Financial Crisis) Nov 2012 – Jan 2014: ~35% correction | 441 days Jul 2019 – Mar 2020: ~47% correction | 315 days (COVID Crash) Oct 2021 – Jun 2022: ~35% correction | 252 days Jan 2024 – Oct 2025: ~25% correction | 616 days (Time-based correction completing) Now the stock is showing a Head & Shoulder neckline breakout with strong momentum. Last 4 consecutive bullish candles have closed with above-average volume, confirming renewed buying interest. Entry: Enter with 50% capital Above 3800 (Neckline breakout confirmation) Re-entry: Around 50% retracement of breakout move (if retest occurs) Stop Loss: Below 3500 Target: 5600 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1: 5
NSE:TITANLong
by rahul25
2
#MAGIC/USDT Forming Falling Wedge#MAGIC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout. There is a major support area in green at 0.1445, which represents a strong support point. We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 0.1464 First target: 0.1474 Second target: 0.1506 Third target: 0.1543 Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
USD/JPY 30-Min — Volume Buy & Sell Reversals TriggeredStatus: Active Reversal Protocol Symbol: USD/JPY Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window) ➕Bias: Bullish & bearish Reversal ➕ Bearish Reversal " 151.850 Zone ➕Bullish Reversal : 150.500 🩸 Volume Surge Confirmed — Institutional buyers active 🩸 Session Aligned — Timing matches liquidity expansion window 🩸 Cluster Shield Formed — Demand imbalance verified 🩸 Delta Shift Positive — Accumulation phase confirmed 🩸 POC Retest Completed — Weak shorts absorbed 🩸 Structure Break Pending — Bullish intention verified Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction. 💯 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal draw
by Path_Of_Hanzo
19
EURUSD 30-Min — Volume Bearish Reversal Triggered 🩸 Key Technical / Direction (Bearish Reversal Scenario) Bearish Reversal Zone: Price Range: 1.17100 Reasons for Entry: 🩸Volume Cluster Resistance (2+ sessions confirmed) 🩸Unretested POC Above Current Session 🩸Delta Imbalance Showing Seller Control 🩸10:30 Fixed Range Sweep Above POC (Liquidity Cleared) 🩸17:00 Candle Failed to Reclaim Above POC 🩸Cluster Volume Expansion (Shift to Supply) 🩸Liquidity Pool Above Previous High 👽Bias Summary: Distribution confirmed at volume peak. Cluster rejection aligns with delta flow — reversal logic active.
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
24
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 21, 2025Hello everyone, This idea is connected to the one shared on the 19th. I am still holding the short position that was entered based on the October 19 idea, and since some of the underlying reasons have been slightly revised, I’m sharing this as an additional update. Today, as of October 21, I would like to present my bearish (short) outlook on Bitcoin. First Basis — IR BAT (Invalid Reaction BAT) The core of this analysis lies in the IR BAT Pattern, a concept I developed independently. It is a modified interpretation of the traditional BAT pattern. If, after entering the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), a meaningful rebound does not occur within a certain period, the pattern is considered invalid (Invalid Reaction), and in such cases, the price tends to move strongly beyond the PRZ in the same direction. Currently, Bitcoin has entered the PRZ zone of the BAT pattern but has shown no clear buying reaction, instead maintaining a sideways and slightly bearish movement. This satisfies the typical downward scenario conditions of the IR BAT pattern. Second Basis — 0.618~0.886 Retracement Zone The current chart is positioned within the 0.618~0.886 Fibonacci retracement zone relative to the upper structure. This zone is typically where, in the IR BAT pattern, short-term rebounds are limited and renewed declines tend to occur, thus it can be interpreted as a sell-dominant region. Accordingly, I set the average target price around 105,277 USDT. Depending on future price developments, I will continue to provide updates regarding any changes to this idea and position management strategies. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM BEARISH Outlook – October 21, 2025Hello everyone, This idea is connected to the one shared on the 19th. I am still holding the short position that was entered based on the October 19 idea, and since some of the underlying reasons have been slightly revised, I’m sharing this as an additional update. Today, as of October 21, I would like to present my bearish (short) outlook on Ethereum. Basis — BEARISH BAT PATTERN / WAVE5 = WAVE1 × 0.5 Ethereum is currently positioned near the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) of the Bearish Bat Pattern. This pattern represents a typical retracement-based bearish reversal structure, where the price tends to form a top around the 0.886 retracement level of XA before transitioning into a downward move. In addition, within the wave structure, the ratio of WAVE5 = WAVE1 × 0.5 is being formed, which is generally interpreted as an early termination zone of a short-term downward wave. In other words, both pattern completion and ratio convergence are occurring simultaneously, indicating that the current region provides a valid reversal signal from a bearish perspective. Accordingly, I set the average target price around 3,756 USDT. Depending on future chart developments, I will continue to provide updates regarding position management and any changes. Thank you.
Short
by SeoVereign
[SeoVereign] SOLANA BEARISH Outlook – October 21, 2025Hello everyone, This idea is connected to the one shared on the 19th. I am still holding the short position that was entered based on the October 19 idea, and since some of the underlying reasons have been slightly revised, I’m sharing this as an additional update. Today, as of October 21, I would like to present my bearish (short) outlook on Solana. Basis — BEARISH BAT PATTERN / BEARISH 1.13 SHARK Solana is currently located in a zone where the Bearish Bat Pattern and the Bearish 1.13 Shark Pattern overlap simultaneously. Both patterns are typical top reversal structures that form in upper regions, and after the price entered the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), it has lost additional upward momentum and is suggesting the possibility of a bearish reversal. In particular, the completion area of the 1.13 Shark Pattern almost perfectly coincides with the PRZ of the Bat Pattern, and this structural confluence between the two patterns is generally interpreted as a classic reversal zone where selling pressure tends to strengthen. Therefore, the current area is considered a valid sell zone, with a high probability of a reversal from the overheated region. Accordingly, I set the average target price around 178.69 USDT. Depending on the future development of the chart, I will provide further updates regarding position management and any changes. Thank you.
Short
by SeoVereign
[SeoVereign] RIPPLE BEARISH Outlook – October 21, 2025Hello everyone, This idea is connected to the one shared on the 19th. I am still holding the short position that was entered based on the October 19 idea, and since some of the underlying reasons have been slightly revised, I’m sharing this as an additional update. Today, as of October 21, I would like to present my bearish (short) outlook on XRP. Basis — BEARISH BAT PATTERN / BEARISH 1.13 SHARK XRP is currently positioned in a zone where both the Bearish Bat Pattern and the Bearish 1.13 Shark Pattern have been completed. Both of these are classic bearish reversal structures that typically appear in upper regions, and after the price reached the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), it began to lose upward momentum and is now attempting a downward reversal. In particular, the endpoint (D point) of the 1.13 Shark Pattern almost perfectly aligns with the PRZ of the Bat Pattern, and this structural confluence between patterns generally acts as a strong indication of a potential bearish reversal. Therefore, the current zone is interpreted as a sell-dominant region where a reversal from the overbought upper area is highly likely. Accordingly, I set the average target price around 2.2209 USDT. Depending on future chart movements, I will provide further updates and position management details. Thank you.
Short
by SeoVereign