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Wave Analysis

BIANRENSHENG Analysis (1H)This coin is listed on Binance under the name 币安人生 From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, it seems that the bullish phase for this coin has begun. We can observe an expanding bullish pattern forming on this asset. We should wait for a correction on this symbol to have a low-risk entry opportunity. Currently, it appears to be in wave C of this expanding pattern. At the end of wave D, where we have marked the entry zones, we can look for buy/long positions. Project nature: This token is a cultural meme coin representing the Chinese-speaking Binance community. Its main purpose is entertainment, humor, and reflecting trading culture in China rather than offering any specific technical or economic utility. It has no official connection with Binance; it simply draws inspiration from the brand’s name and atmosphere. It was created on the BNB Chain, and its growth has been driven by social hype and the meme coin trend. Important notes and risks: It carries a very high risk due to the lack of technical foundation or real-world utility. It is highly dependent on market sentiment and temporary trends. There is a strong possibility of pump-and-dump movements because of concentrated liquidity and whale activity For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
S&P 500 Index Near Key Resistance – Correction Ahead?Recently, the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) has seen some sharp moves with high momentum due to the tariff tensions between the US and China over the past couple of weeks. These moves have also impacted other correlated markets like cryptocurrency . In the past day, news came out that Trump is planning to meet the Chinese president on October 31st . With markets opening, the S&P 500 started to rise and is currently moving near a Resistance zone($6,734_$6,690) and close to its Resistance lines . From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that the S&P 500 is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave C , and the corrective structure looks like an Regular Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . I expect that in the coming hours, the S&P 500 index could drop at least to around $6,641(First Target) . Second Target: $6,611 Stop Loss(SL): $6,735 Note: The $6,641 level is quite important in the context of the recent rally and could act as both support and resistance for the S&P 500. A possible decline or fall in the S&P 500 index could also cause Bitcoin to decline (due to Bitcoin's high correlation with the S&P 500 index in recent weeks). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
1
USDJPY | Approaching Dual Support at 147.000 – Key Reaction ZoneMacro Hook: USDJPY continues to retreat as softer U.S. yields and a steadier yen drive short-term flows. The focus now shifts to next week’s U.S. GDP and PCE data for direction cues. Technical Lens: The pair remains within its ascending channel from April, now edging toward the 147.000 region — a strong confluence of horizontal support and the channel’s lower trend line. Scenarios: If 147.000 holds → potential rebound toward the mid-150.00 zone. If 147.000 breaks → momentum could extend toward 145.000. Catalysts: Upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE releases next week, plus any BoJ remarks, could define the next leg. Takeaway: 147.000 is a key inflection area — where structure and sentiment may decide if the broader uptrend resumes or gives way.
by Alchemy Markets
Bitcoin Overall: Not that ScaryLooking at this chart, I just don't see much of a reason to be scared (October..Halloween). BTC has had a long slow period. The big volatility is coming, the question only is--which direction. Given the macro and the chart, I expect some more upside after the current consolidation plays out. There could be 1 more low in the cards, or we could have experienced the low already. Invalidation: If BTC breaks below the current 'locked' parabola and does not recover quickly, I will turn bearish. However, I suspect a 'fake out' is very possible. Regardless, the bottom range should hold in either case, with the top of the range holding in the 'fake out' scenario, and lower in the rang holding for the bearish scenario--this is how I will tell what is happening in that case. --- What seems to be playing out from an Elliott Wave standpoint is a moon scenario of an extended wave 5, with a leading diagonal for wave 1. We'd currently be on wave 2 or beginnings of wave 3. Honestly, it's a little hard to believe--but then I look at the gold chart--that thing has gone parabolic as well. BTC has some similarity to gold in that it's a safe-haven type of asset (for the more risk tolerant!). Given many who are dissatisfied/alarmed with the US's policies, I can definitely see these assets continuing to be bid for the time being. This would be a departure from prior cycles, in that this cycle would be longer than 4 years essentially. Many have long speculated that the halvings will effect the asset less and less--after all, 20 million btc have been mined with only 1 million to go for the rest of its life. The altcoins haven't gotten much love yet. This is simply not how a bull market typically ends--definitely not much euphoria!
by Ian_Carsen
( HANZO Gold Protocol ) Bearish Reversal Detected SELL Scenario — Hanzo Reversal Intel (Smart Money Phase III) 🔥Sell Reversal : 4307 Zone Status: Active Reversal Protocol Symbol: Gold Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window) 🧩 Technical Breakdown ➤ Volume Surge Confirmed A clear overload of institutional sell volume detected at exhaustion highs. The tape confirms aggressive unloading by composite operators. ➤ Session Alignment The Smart Money exit window is open — this is where large players offload liquidity before volatility collapse. ➤ Cluster Shield Active Price met a dense supply cluster on the volume map, validating an active imbalance zone. This zone acts as a precision trap for late buyers. ➤ Delta Shift Turned Negative Order flow flipped — buyers absorbed, sellers dominate. Imbalance sustained across multiple timeframes. ➤ POC Retest Completed Liquidity re-engaged at the Point of Control, confirming absorption and rejection — final validation before reversal. ➤ Structure Fracture Pending Micro-structure shows early bearish intent — liquidity purge complete, ready for engineered drop. 🧠 Hanzo Logic This setup isn’t a prediction — it’s an engineered reaction. Every confirmation aligns with controlled liquidity flow, not retail patterns. Hanzo logic reads the market as a machine, not a chart. 🎯 Execution Objective Bias: Bearish Goal: Controlled short with minimal drawdown Tactical Edge: Reversal precision through liquidity engineering Confidence Level: ★★★★★ (Smart Money Aligned) ⚡️ Hanzo Signature Insight Most traders see resistance — we see distribution intelligence. What looks random to others… is designed precision to us.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
17
Microsoft: New Target Zone in PlaySince our last update, Microsoft shares have continued to decline, but there is still potential for an upside move. We do not yet consider the turquoise wave X to be complete. Once its high is established below the resistance at $562.17, we expect price to head lower toward the wave Y low. Our revised magenta long Target Zone is set between $477.87 and $451.84. The formation of this low should also mark the completion of magenta wave (4). Afterward, we anticipate the start of a new upward impulse within wave (5), which should push the stock above the $562.17 resistance and complete the larger blue wave (I). Alternatively, we assign a 36% probability to a scenario in which the recent high at $562.17 marked the end of beige wave alt.III . In this case, a decline below the support at $392.97 would be expected, forming the low of wave alt.IV .
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by MarketIntel
DEAD RECKONING: Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin vs. the Empire of DebtWhy This Time, Silver's Surge Might Signal a Systemic Shift—Not Another 1980 or 2011 Collapse The world built on credit is sailing blind through heavy seas. Gold leads, silver amplifies, and Bitcoin holds the digital line as the Empire of Debt drifts toward its reckoning. The Setup: A Colossus on the Brink Picture the scene: a sovereign-debt Goliath staggering under $38 trillion in outstanding U.S. obligations—124 percent Debt to GDP ratio—while $600 trillion in derivatives lurk like a ready-to-blitzkrieg enemy beneath the surface. The financial establishment, floating inside an $8 trillion post-GFC and COVID bailout bubble, ignores the real economy’s warnings. Re-industrialization is a mere concept and future hope, purchasing managers’ indexes are sliding, consumer defaults are climbing, housing is staggeringly unaffordable, and wages are dramatically lagging. Gold, piercing $4,000 per ounce after a 62 percent 2025 surge, flashes the first distress signal. Central banks are buying more than 1,000 tons a year, and BRICS nations have piled up 6,000 tons , shifting half their trade off the dollar grid. Silver, breaking above $50 and up 79 percent in 2025, exposes the weakening grip of paper suppression: 179 million ounces short, backwardation over $ 3, and a 265-million-ounce deficit that the derivatives complex can’t conceal. NOTE: It will be interesting to see if the emergency cargo flights of Silver from New York to the LBMA in London will resolve the supply squeeze occurring across the pond. Bitcoin, climbing to $126,000 and a $2.65 trillion market cap , thought recently struggling, up only 16.8% in 2025, fights beside them—half rebel, half captive—its decentralized ideals tangled in ETF custody, tech-related risk, and institutional leverage. NOTE: Many argue that BITCOIN may have reached its 4-year cycle top with the recent print high of $126,272 . So long as any primary 4th wave bear market drop can stay above the old high at $69,000 , BITCOIN will then be poised to make new all-time-highs in the next bull phase. Caution is warranted for HODLERS if the $69,000 level is breached amid the next bear market, as that might suggest that the $126k crest marked a Super-Cycle first wave advance, and that an 80-90% decline would likely follow, bringing BTC down as far as $12,600 before the next bullish super cycle ensues. These are not rival camps but brothers-in-arms: gold as the signal, silver as the amplifier, Bitcoin as the experiment in digital sovereignty. Gold: The Beacon of the Sovereign-Debt Era Gold’s ascent isn’t speculative froth—it’s a barometer of political and fiscal exhaustion. Central-bank demand has turned relentless, with over 6,000 tons amassed in emerging-market vaults. The dollar’s share of global reserves, once dominant, is slipping below 58 percent as trade settles increasingly in local currencies or metals. In a historic shift, the value of central banks’ gold reserves, now exceeding $4.5 trillion at $4,200 per ounce, has surpassed their U.S. Treasury holdings of approximately $3.8 trillion, marking the first such crossover since 1996. This milestone underscores a growing preference for gold as a sanctions-proof, inflation-resistant asset amid rising geopolitical and fiscal uncertainties. Behind the curtain, Washington’s debt mountain grows steeper, and an $8 trillion Fed balance sheet props up a system whose real wages stagnate. Gold sees through the façade. Historically, gold rallies when confidence in sovereign debt erodes. 2025’s move feels structural, not cyclical. As technology enables tokenized gold settlement, physical bullion could soon anchor cross-border trade— $15 trillion a year moving outside the dollar’s orbit. If that transition accelerates, gold’s total market value could multiply several times, transforming from a commodity to a monetary foundation once more. Gold knows when governments lie; it rises on truth withheld. Silver: The Fierce Ally Silver’s run above $50 signifies more than nostalgia for 1980 or 2011. Industrial demand is devouring supply—solar, EVs, and India’s record imports have created a five-year deficit exceeding 265 million ounces . Only about 100 million ounces remain deliverable on COMEX, a fraction of the market. Bullion banks sit on short positions equal to 12 percen t of global above-ground stock—an exposure large enough to spark contagion if prices keep climbing. Backwardation above $3 per ounce and lease rates near 35-100 percent reveal a tightness the paper market can’t disguise. Supply discipline, not speculative frenzy, defines this cycle. Following their ongoing pilots in tokenized gold, though entirely speculative, BRICS nations could extend similar efforts to silver, enabling scalable trading on blockchain platforms and restoring the metal’s monetary role alongside its yellow counterpart. Unlike the boom-and-bust manias of the past, this move is grounded in fundamentals: dwindling supply, soaring utility, and faith migrating from financial promises to tangible reality. Silver is gold’s conscience—smaller, scrappier, and impossible to suppress indefinitely. BITCOIN: Brother in Arms, Bound by Chains Bitcoin remains the digital insurgent in this triad. ETFs and state holdings—about 207,000 coins —have mainstreamed it, yet also blunted its radical edge. Transaction fees, volatility, and custodial control keep it from fulfilling the dream of instant, peer-to-peer cash. Still, Bitcoin’s resilience commands respect. Its artificial 21-million-coin limit mirrors gold’s authentic scarcity, and its censorship resistance has made it a refuge in sanctioned economies. While institutional adoption ties it to Wall Street’s boom-bust rhythm, the core idea—money without permission—endures. A major equity or credit unwind could knock it hard, but each cycle burns away speculation and strengthens the hands of true believers. Its role may ultimately be symbolic: proving that digital trust can exist outside the fiat web, even if imperfectly. Gold has history, silver has utility, and Bitcoin has possibility. The Cracks in the Real Economy Beneath obscene market valuations lies stagnation. Small businesses close faster than they open. Household debt delinquencies rise while wage gains stagnate. Wall Street’s financialized economy levitates; Main Street’s productive one flounders. Gold and silver prices are the seismograph warnings of such disparity and injustice. Their message: the ground beneath policy orthodoxy is giving way. The next downturn may not mimic the inflationary shocks of the 1970s, the liquidity crunch of 2008, or the devastation of the 1930s depressionary deflation, but it will feel every bit as harsh. Following a blow-off bubble top, a deflationary contraction could emerge—credit imploding under its own weight—forcing the Fed to choose between saving markets or saving the dollar’s credibility. After Wall Street’s bubble mania peaks, an epic crash looms—forcing the Fed to choose: prop up markets or preserve the dollar’s fading trust. Desperate reflation efforts will likely follow, unleashing brutal stagflation with no clear ending. Zero interest rates are unlikely to return; their side effects were too corrosive. Too strong a run toward the safe-haven dollar could shatter global balance sheets. The Fed walks a narrowing ridge. Expect a world of oscillation—temporary rallies in the dollar and bonds, followed by renewed bids for tangible assets. In such turbulence, metals may take up some safe-haven slack and regain their ancient role as monetary anchors, not investments. Bitcoin will need to prove itself amid such chaos. America’s Fortress—But Not Forever The United States is not Venezuela or Argentina. Its reserve-currency status, military reach, and deep capital markets insulate it from runaway inflation. The dollar’s 58 percent reserve share and $3.5 trillion in foreign Treasury holdings remain formidable bulwarks. But even fortresses erode. BRICS nations now settle roughly half their trade outside the dollar. Their 6,000-ton gold cache is both insurance and a declaration. If tokenized trade systems gain traction, the dollar’s unique privilege—to export inflation and import goods—will weaken. America will likely manage a softer dollar to stay competitive, avoiding extremes that could trigger global chaos. Despite this, cracks are evident. Tariffs, debts, and deficits gnaw at the foundation—each with second, third, and fourth-order effects. The empire won’t collapse in a day, but the margin of invincibility is gone. The Establishment’s Countermoves The narrow class of financial elites won’t surrender quietly. Expect renewed quantitative easing , aggressive swap lines , and tariffs or sanctions to defend dollar dominance and hegemony. As digital-asset rules and surveillance intensify, governments adopt digital IDs, CBDCs, and tokenized gold —a desperate bid and admission that the fiat system is dying. Such measures may stabilize the surface but could deepen the underlying rift between protected financial power and genuine merit-based wealth. Each intervention buys time while eroding trust—a classic symptom of late-cycle finance. When manipulation becomes policy, markets stop believing in miracles. The United Front Gold, silver, and Bitcoin tell variations of the same story: distrust in promises backed only by debt. Each represents a different path toward autonomy—physical, industrial, or digital—but all push against the same current of engineered dependence. Gold leads as the monetary lodestar. Silver echoes its signal through scarcity and utility. Bitcoin experiments at the frontier, still volatile but alive with intent. Together they form a loose alliance of realists—investors, savers, and skeptics—who sense that something fundamental has shifted. Following the late 2020s and early 2030s—the expected fallout of the Fourth Turning—the world may witness a new architecture: metals backing trade, blockchains verifying trust, and fiat reduced to what it was always meant to be—credit, not creed. Watch unemployment, the housing and credit markets, silver deliveries, and BRICS’ next summit. Those are potential fuses in this quiet pre-revolution stage of seismic transition. Closing Reflection We navigate by dead reckoning now—plotting our course from known hazards rather than clear horizons. The Empire of Debt still commands vast power, but every chart, every ounce, and every block on the chain suggests the same direction: away from illusion and back toward something real. Gold leads. Silver shines. Bitcoin fights. And somewhere beyond the coming revolution, a sounder form of money waits to be rediscovered.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Wave-Tech
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 20Gold Technical Analysis Daily Resistance: 4380, Support: 4100 4-Hour Resistance: 4314, Support: 4180 1-Hour Resistance: 4275, Support: 4220 Last Friday, gold prices retreated after hitting $4380, dropping nearly $200 intraday to a low of around $4186. The decline stems from both the previous excessive price increase and the strengthening US dollar and tariff policy changes. Regardless, this significant decline in gold prices is bound to raise market concerns about future trends. From the weekly chart, despite a sharp rise, the market retreated after a surge. Friday's daily chart nearly reversed Thursday's gains. The 4-hour MACD indicator formed a downward death cross, suggesting that short-term market volatility is at least inevitable. What is certain is that the bull market in gold's major cycle has not ended. This so-called major cycle is measured on an annual basis, meaning next year's average price will undoubtedly be higher than this year's. As for whether the market will continue to fall this week, this possibility cannot be ruled out. After this week's rebound, if it fails to hold above 4300, there is still a chance that it will test the 4200 or even 4100 levels below. For intraday trading, sell high and buy low. The market is expected to fluctuate and consolidate. Selling range: SELL: near 4275 SELL: near 4315 BUY: near 4220 BUY: near 4180 More analysis👉
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ