Wave Analysis
GOLD LONG IDEA AT BOTTOM 1400PIPS IN NONFARM
GOLD UPDATE BUY GOLD 3514 +900PIPS
GOLD UPDATE BUY DCA 3544 +400PIPS
📊 Today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data – USD
Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
✅ 0.3% (in line with forecast and previous).
→ Wage growth remains stable, no extra inflationary pressure.
Non-Farm Employment Change:
❌ Actual: 22K vs Forecast: 75K vs Previous: 79K
→ A sharp slowdown in job creation, showing clear signs of a cooling US labour market.
Unemployment Rate:
✅ Actual: 4.3% (in line with forecast, slightly higher than 4.2% previous).
→ Labour conditions are tightening, more people struggling to find jobs.
🔎 Market Implications
US Dollar (USD):
Weak NFP data is negative for the dollar.
Rising unemployment adds pressure on the Fed to cut rates sooner.
Gold (XAU/USD):
Bullish impact: A weaker USD supports gold prices.
With job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher, the Fed may lean more dovish → this boosts safe-haven demand for gold.
Gold could see strong upward momentum if the market prices in earlier rate cuts.
US Stocks:
Despite weak NFP, stable wage inflation eases concerns about sticky inflation.
Equity markets may react positively on expectations of a softer Fed stance.
📌 Quick Takeaway
Weak NFP = Bearish USD.
Gold benefits, with potential upside momentum.
EUR and GBP may gain on USD weakness.
Equities may enjoy short-term support.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Manipulation During Macro Data Release
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst, and here is the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached the support level of $110,000. Just below this mark, we observed unusually strong buyer activity for this local downtrend wave, which was clearly visible in the delta. As a result, the price quickly moved back toward the local high.
Previously, we had left the resistance zone at $112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone) untouched, since liquidity above the high remained untested. As of now, this zone has been fully filled. During the release of U.S. macroeconomic data, large volumes entered Bitcoin and positioned themselves to the short side.
Trading priorities have shifted once again — at the moment, it is more favorable to look for short opportunities on pullbacks. The nearest downside potential is toward $108,000 and a possible retest of the recent low.
The zone $112,400–$113,300 remains relevant, but has shifted slightly to $112,200–$113,200.
Buy Zones:
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$112,200–$113,200 (volume zone)
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
Scale out before this POPSWhen the mainstream media was telling you that China was not investable, I was working hard on my TA and buying positions. I consider myself a contrarian investor, this is where the best opportunities present themselves. If you follow my trades here you will know I had called out the start of the new bull run in the Hong Kong exchange, or the dead-cat bounce spending on how you look at it, very early on.
I took the basket approach on a handful of Chinese names. Namely Alibaba, BYD, Tencent, Baidu and Pop Mart.
This worked out very well for me (except Baidu) but nothing better than Pop Mart, unfortunately the smallest position of the lot.
So why a Chinese toy company? If you have children into the latest and hottest toys, I suggest you look into the parent company. This particular company had a beautiful chart as it had broken the end of the downtrend, along with a reclaim of the POC. What followed was a gargantuan 1000% rise. I have taken 50% off the table today as I see this as the final wave of the Wave 5 supercycle. I do think this still has legs and profits will continue to soar for the next quarter or two, but I’m not greedy, this has exceeded my expectations and then some. So I have started to scale out, this is the way.
Not financial advice, do what’s best for you
TGKA 1H Swing Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ expanding T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume Sp
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Day Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
- below 1/2 correction
+ expanding T2 level
+ support level"
No context on Year
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD 4H): Bulls Eye $3,600 but ResistanceGold has continued its impressive rally, pushing higher on the 4-hour timeframe and reaching the $3,587 zone. With momentum on the bulls’ side, the big question remains: Can XAUUSD break above the $3,600 resistance, or is a pullback on the horizon?
The 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The recent surge took gold from the $3,250 level all the way to nearly $3,600, a gain of more than $300 within weeks.
This bullish momentum is supported by strong buying volume, indicating that traders continue to see gold as a safe-haven asset in the current global environment.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620
Support Zone: $3,500 – $3,520
Next Upside Target: $3,700 and $3,750 if resistance breaks
Potential Downside Target: $3,520 if price fails to sustain above $3,550
RSI Indicator
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near the 70 level, signaling that gold is approaching the overbought territory. While this confirms strong bullish momentum, it also raises the likelihood of a short-term correction or consolidation before the next big move.
Market Sentiment
Currently, gold is at a critical juncture. Buyers are attempting to break the $3,600 barrier, but selling pressure has been visible with upper candle wicks forming near this level.
A decisive breakout above $3,600 could open the path toward $3,700+.
A rejection from resistance may trigger a pullback toward $3,520–$3,500 support.
Trading Outlook
For swing traders, the strategy remains straightforward:
Bullish Bias: Stay long as long as price holds above $3,500. Watch for confirmation above $3,600 to target $3,700 – $3,750.
Bearish Bias: Short-term traders may look for pullback opportunities if price fails to hold above $3,550, aiming for $3,520 support.
Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly in a bullish trend, but immediate resistance near $3,600 could determine the next move. Traders should closely monitor price action around this key level—either a breakout to new highs or a pullback to reset momentum.
✨ Gold’s next move could set the tone for September trading. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
FILUSDT — WyckoffIdea / Plan
Structure
Higher-timeframe shows a completed Wyckoff accumulation between 2.20–2.70: SC → ST → Spring (June) → Test (Aug).
Price is printing an LPS inside a contracting triangle. Bands are squeezed; volume declining into the apex.
VPVR shows MP/POC ≈ 2.58–2.60; above it there’s a low-volume pocket up to ~2.85–2.90.
200D MA sits just below 3.0 and lines up with prior AR shelf.
Triggers
Aggressive: reclaim and hold 2.60–2.62 (MP) + break of triangle top.
Conservative: daily close > 2.703 with rising volume.
Add-back on a clean retest of 2.60–2.62 as support.
Targets
T1: 2.70 (range lid)
T2: 2.86–2.90 (LVN/MA confluence)
T3: 3.02–3.12 (AR shelf / supply band)
T4: 3.57–3.60 (major SOS line)
Stretch: if momentum persists, 4.18 then 4.82 (weekly levels / measured extension).
Invalidation & Risk
Primary invalidation of the Wyckoff view: daily close < 2.22 (Spring failure).
Tighter trade-management levels: lose 2.49 → 2.44 (triangle base) and odds favor a revisit of 2.32–2.27; reduce risk there.
If price reclaims 2.60 after a shakeout, treat it as a LPS retest.
Expect stair-step behavior into 3.0–3.6 due to supply overhang; partials on the way up are prudent.
Idea is invalidated on persistent closes back inside 2.20–2.32.
This is a technical plan, not financial advice. Trade your system and size risk accordingly.
EURUSD: Market Sentiment & Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current EURUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NZDUSD: Short Trade Explained
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry - 0.5911
Sl - 0.5924
Tp - 0.5884
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
BITCOIN PREDICTION: SECRET PATTERN FORMING!!! (scary) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I have been analyzing Bitcoin for you on multiple time frames because we are doing professional trading analysis. On the ultra-high timeframe chart, I have been showing you the ABC corrective mode wave formation that we are doing right now and the next targets from an ultra-high timeframe perspective. Thanks to this, we can better understand the context of the overall market and make better trading ideas on lower timeframes.
On the high timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you that the zigzag of that ultra high timeframe degree B wave was, with the highest probability, finished. We are right now working on the first wave from a lower degree. I'm sharing with you also the bullish divergence.
On the medium timeframe chart, I'm putting your focus on the volume, which is dropping with the price rising. This is usually a sign of bulls being weak. Confluence this with being at resistance; it's usually a recipe for a reversal.We are also seeing two bearish divergences, which need to be confirmed, but the medium time frame is kind of bearish.
On the lower timeframe chart, I'm revealing to you the secret pattern formation: the ending diagonal. The Fibonacci sequence levels are sharing with you all the supports and resistances. I forgot to show you the confirmed bearish cross, but that's okay because the ending diagonal itself is revealing to us the next highest probability movement of Bitcoin.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Gold analysis: Be brave to open a positionThe highly anticipated non-farm payroll data has been released. The employment figures significantly fell short of market expectations, further reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and leading to market bets on a series of rate cuts. Spot gold prices surged in response to the data, reaching a new all-time high of 3,586. The market is strengthening further, and the current trend is extremely strong. In this market, there's no need for overthinking. Strategically, you should simply follow the trend and open long positions based on previous support levels. As long as you avoid blindly opening short positions against the trend, there's no problem. Many people, seeing such a large rally, bet on a pullback. This is completely unnecessary, as a strong market won't allow much room for a pullback. It will likely fluctuate sideways and not necessarily experience a decline. It's more likely to take a breath, then continue to rise, and then continue to rise again. Therefore, as long as you follow the trend, opening long positions is fine.
Gold Strategy
If you're unsure about pullbacks, follow my instructions.
First, divide your position into multiple smaller positions and open buy orders multiple times. Buy near each support level. This way, you can avoid a significant portion of the risk and avoid missing out on market trends.
Support points: 3576, 3560, 3554, 3545
Cable: Texbtook Elliott Wave pattern is pointing higherCable stabilized at the 1.3350 area as expected, from where we’ve seen a nice intraday rebound that could even be a small impulse, signaling continuation within the uptrend. This fits the textbook Elliott Wave 8-wave pattern, with five waves up from the August lows followed by an A-B-C, 3-leg setback. Such a structure suggests bulls are yet to lift the price toward and beyond the 1.36 area, though we may have to wait for tomorrow’s NFP release, which could be the key catalyst for markets this week.
GH
USDJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 147.28
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 147.87
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK