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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 54.00.As I continued to watch oil I realized that the structure I built in the last forecast is still in place. I think we should expect a correction in wave “4” to the 59.3 area, then a continuation of the downward movement at least to the 54.00 support area. This will be the completion of the downward impulse. I do not exclude the probability of lengthening of wave “3” and in this case there will be no correction and the price will immediately reach the target. Fundamental context The oil market remains under pressure as supply continues to outpace demand, raising the risk of a surplus. Forecasts for 2025-2026 indicate higher production growth while consumption slows. Rising inventories and a shift in the futures curve into contango suggest growing storage levels and weaker near-term demand. Under these conditions, downside pressure persists, keeping the probability of a further decline high. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
3
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to support area of 4040.Gold is actively rising and I believe that before the impulse ends we should see the correction that many are expecting. As of today, I see the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the approaching start of the correction in wave “4”. It makes no sense to put any distant plans in the correction and I think that the support area of 4040 looks quite attractive. Fundamental context Gold continues its rally and recently broke new highs, fueled by expectations of U.S. rate cuts, global uncertainty, and safe-haven demand. Central banks are still actively increasing their gold reserves — this structural demand adds support even if price pullbacks occur. Supply growth is modest — mining output is constrained, and recycling of gold is not enough, which limits the downward pressure on prices. Given this backdrop, the chance of a correction rises as momentum stretches — but the underlying fundamentals remain favorable for further upside once the correction completes. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
17
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6777.Price made a sharp and strong move to the 6503 level, making wave “4” quite large, but this move did not break the structure. I think that now the price is in the big wave "5" and middle wave "2". I think that there will be an upward movement with the purpose to renew the maximum of the wave "3" of higher order. Therefore, I expect the price in the resistance area of 6777. Fundamental context After the sharp drop, the market quickly recovered — investors are once again turning to risk assets amid growing expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts. Inflation data came out under control, and corporate earnings have been stronger than expected, boosting confidence in the U.S. economy. With the dollar losing momentum and bond yields easing, the S&P 500 now has room to extend its move upward toward the resistance area near 6777. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
11
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area 1.15419.The situation is quite interesting. I would not like to recommend selling, but judging by the waves, the price should update the minimum of 1.15419 and complete the wave "C" of higher order near the level of 1.15000. Then the triangle (ABCDE) will continue to develop. And as much as I don't want to, I will insist that the price will continue the downward movement at least to the support area of 1.15419. Fundamental context The dollar continues to be under pressure - markets are increasingly laying expectations of a soon Fed rate cut due to signs of a slowdown in the US economy. At the same time, the euro is receiving moderate support due to stability in the eurozone and investors' interest in alternative assets outside the dollar. In fact, this may lead to some sideways movement, which will be expressed in the triangle (ABCDE). Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
15
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 56-57.Colleagues, price is actively moving in a downward direction and I believe the move is not yet complete. Earlier I saw this move as a big correction, but now the structure is more of an impulsive one. This means that the price is moving in the wave “3” of the higher order (Red), which should be completed soon. For this to happen, the price needs to complete the correction in the wave “4” of medium order and then update the low, reaching the support area of 56-57. The extension of wave “3” is possible - then the price will reach the target without correction. Fundamental context Global oil inventories are forecast to rise through 2025, putting downward pressure on prices despite efforts by some producers to restrain output. OPEC+ has been increasing production again, which adds to the supply burden. Meanwhile, demand forecasts have been trimmed amid softer economic growth indicators in key consuming regions. Major banks have lowered long-term price expectations for crude — the balance is tilting toward a more bearish outlook. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
9
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.16827.Colleagues, the recent continuation of the downtrend has made me reevaluate my wave analysis a bit. If everything is correct, we are now witnessing a correction - triangle (ABCDE). In this case, wave “C” should not update the minimum of wave “A”. This means that I expect the upward movement to start either from the current values or after the correction is completed around 1.14876. Then I expect the beginning of the upward movement at least to the resistance area of 1.16827 - the middle line of the triangle. Fundamental context The U.S. dollar is showing signs of weakness — recent labor data came out softer than expected, and markets continue to price in further Fed rate cuts. This reduces demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, the ECB is likely to keep its current policy unchanged, as there’s limited room for additional easing. That gives the euro a slight fundamental advantage. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
9
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4104.Colleagues, gold is going up steadily and right now it is hard to say where the correction will be. If we look at the wave structure, I expect the completion of the higher order wave “3” and the middle order wave ‘5’. because wave “5” completes the impulse - it complicates the concept of where exactly this wave will end. I think the psychological level of 4100-4105 is suitable for this target. I expect the price to reach the 4104 resistance area. Fundamental context Gold recently broke above $4,000, driven by strong safe-haven demand amid global uncertainty and expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Central banks continue to accumulate gold, supporting demand structurally. Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 target to $4,000, citing a weak dollar and sustained global demand. Given the strength and stretched momentum, a pullback is plausible — but the exact timing remains unclear. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
6
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 58.884Colleagues, it appears that the downward movement is not over and I see several reasons to continue to look short. The higher order wave “C” is looking to complete the correction and I expect the start of the middle order wave “3” to see the low update and reach the support area at 58.884. Fundamental context Oil remains under pressure as supply increases and demand outlook weakens. OPEC+ decided to slightly raise output for November, while U.S. inventories keep growing. Crude lost about 8% last week, and EIA now expects lower prices by the end of the year — all of which supports the idea of a continued downside move within wave “3” toward the 58.884 support area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
5
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to support area of 6646 .Colleagues, in the last forecast I was counting on price reaching the 6550 area, but that plan turned out to be a long term plan. I see the sense in making some shorter term targets. The closest target I see is the 6646 support area, where wave “4” ends. This is a corrective movement, so it is necessary to realize that the price may continue to fall after reaching the target. Fundamental context U.S. inflation remains elevated — CPI rose to about 2.9 % YoY, with core inflation around 3.1 %. At the same time, the labor market continues to cool, and corporate earnings show mixed results. Combined with the Fed’s cautious stance and ongoing fiscal uncertainty, this creates pressure on the stock market. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Hellena_Trade
7
BTCUSDT – ABC Correction Hey traders 👋 Bitcoin might be setting up for a strong move downwards after completing what appears to be a 5-wave impulse structure on the higher timeframe. There’s also a clear RSI bearish divergence, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading and a correction could be near. I’m currently expecting a medium-term ABC corrective phase, though it’s still uncertain whether it will develop as a classic zig-zag or a flat/flag-type correction. 🎯 Trade Plan (Short Setup) - Entry Zone: 112,000 – 118,000 USDT - Stop Loss: above 125,000 USDT - Take Profit 1: 75,000 USDT - Take Profit 2: 52,000 USDT - Final Target (Wave C): around 43,000 USDT ⚡ Notes: If BTC breaks below the previous wave 4 area with strong momentum, that would add more confirmation to the corrective scenario. However, if the market maintains higher lows, we could still see an extended B-wave or even a continuation of the uptrend. 📘 Reminder: This is not financial advice — always DYOR and manage your risk properly.
by TheWaveHunter
LINKUSDT – Possible Reversal After 5 Waves UpLINK has just completed a clear 5-wave impulsive move to the upside. With Wave V looking complete, there’s now a high probability of a corrective phase. I’m watching for a potential drop towards the 17.5 USDT zone, which would be a significant percentage move from current levels. 📊 Potential Trade Levels: Entry zone: 24.5 – 23.2 USDT Stop Loss: 27.030 USDT Target: 17.171 USDT This scenario could unfold as an ABC correction. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is just a personal trading idea based on Elliott Wave analysis, not financial advice. Please manage risk and do your own research before trading.
by TheWaveHunter
GBP JPY - Wave D forming?Daily chart image shows my thought pattern and an opportunity I am waiting for price to revert to. I'm referring to the Daily price chart and key counts are in line with Wave counting and supply and demand curve trading levels based on fair value gap intervals of weekly trading sessions plotted to a daily chart at intervals of 60. Current wave - Wave A: The first correction test (200+) - where a rejection into the impulse high - to form a weekly supply. - Wave B: Deep testing of the lows into 184 territory, but keeps the rising channel weekly in tact. - Wave C: Technical rebound exactly to the higher wick on the max top of the supply and settled in the marked zone - of a large volume of sell orders. - Now to Wave D formation: 190? or below 189*? showing the weekly trend down to where the wav could end? Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIV
Short
by LupaCapital
1
Netflix (NFLX) - Descriptive Analysis by FIBCOS📘 NFLX 2009–2029 Descriptive Analysis This is a detailed Elliott Wave Theory -based outlook for Netflix (NFLX) stock from around 2009 to the projected future of 2029, and it incorporates Fibonacci retracement & extensions, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , and Price Action structure within a channel. Let’s break this down chronologically and structurally: 🌀 Wave Theory Confluence (Elliott Wave Structure) The long-term structure of Netflix (NFLX) from 2009 to the projected 2029 period follows a classic Elliott Wave cycle, now realigned with the cycle top in mid-2018 and the macro correction ending in mid-2022. 1. Cycle Wave i (2009–2018): NFLX entered a powerful multi-year rally, forming five sub-waves within this first major impulse. This long rally ended in mid-2018 , marking the top of Cycle Wave i . 2. Cycle Wave ii – ABC Correction (2018–2022): From the 2018 top, the price entered a prolonged and complex 4-year correction, unfolding as a classic A-B-C corrective structure. Wave A began the decline with a sharp markdown. Wave B was a fake recovery, leading to Wave C, a deeper liquidation into mid-2022 , completing the correction. This phase aligns with a major redistribution cycle where smart money exited positions, and retail investors were caught in hope rallies. 3. Cycle Wave iii (2022–2025): After finding a bottom in mid-2022, the stock launched a new impulsive rally , forming five sub-waves (1–5) of a powerful Wave iii Momentum accelerated in wave 3 of iii (typical in Elliott Wave), and the structure is now peaking as of late 2025, around $1,576.42. This marks the expected completion of Wave iii, with signals pointing toward a correction. 4. Cycle Wave iv (Expected 2025–2027): A corrective wave iv is expected to unfold, possibly returning toward the lower bound of the long-term ascending channel. According to the principle of alternation , since wave ii was deep and complex, wave iv may be shallower or more sideways. 5. Cycle Wave v (Expected 2027–2029): After the wave iv correction, a final impulsive leg — Wave v — is expected to push the price higher, targeting around $2,280.37 , with a potential extended move to $3,008.41 . This will complete the macro 5-wave cycle that began in 2009. 📐 Fibonacci Confluence The Fibonacci structure supports these wave formations: The 2.618 extension of the previous impulse wave (measured from the 2022 bottom) projects a price target near $2,280.37 , aligning with historical extension zones. The extended target at $3,008.41 aligns with the upper boundary of the long-term channel — often reached during euphoric final waves. Prior retracements during wave ii and the anticipated retracement in wave iv fall into common Fibonacci pullback zones (0.382–0.618). Fibonacci tools confirm that price has behaved symmetrically within the wave cycles, and provide high-probability zones for both correction and expansion. 🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC) From a Smart Money perspective, the chart reflects a complete institutional cycle: Distribution Zone (2017–2018): Smart money exited during the late stages of Cycle Wave i. This aligns with the cycle top in mid-2018 , often accompanied by overvaluation and high optimism. Re-Accumulation Phase (2018–2022): The 4-year correction allowed institutional players to accumulate at discounted prices during wave C. Retail was largely shaken out, and liquidity was swept multiple times. Expansion Phase (2022–2025): From the 2022 bottom, price moved sharply upward in a clean impulse (Wave iii), confirming institutional interest. Gaps, strong breakouts, and efficient trends reflected low-resistance expansion driven by smart money. Future Distribution (2029?): Around the projected $2,280–$3,008 range (Wave v), expect distribution signs —including deviation from trend, order block mitigation, and liquidity grabs. These are typical before a larger market reset. Smart Money Concepts help explain the why behind each wave: fear and euphoria don’t happen randomly — they are often orchestrated phases of value transfer. 📊 Price Action Structure The long-term price action of NFLX reinforces the wave count and market psychology: 2009–2018 (Wave i): Price action showed a steady trend of higher highs and higher lows , with smooth breakouts and momentum-driven runs. 2018–2022 (Wave ii correction): A breakdown in structure occurred. Lower highs and a wide, overlapping correction defined this multi-year distribution. Key support levels were breached and retested as resistance — a classic bearish shift in structure. 2022–2025 (Wave iii): Clean, impulsive movement resumed. Breakouts, bullish flags, and retests marked key continuation zones. Market structure flipped back bullish with efficient rallies. 2025–2027 (Wave iv expected): A retracement is likely toward previous demand zones , possibly aligning with wave 4 of the lower-degree impulse, respecting Elliott’s guideline of wave 4 often retracing to the territory of wave 4 of the previous degree. 2027–2029 (Wave v projection): Anticipate price pushing into new highs, with potential overextension . However, bearish divergence and slowing momentum could foreshadow the macro top. This structure shows how technical behavior mirrors emotional and fundamental phases — from greed to fear, and back again. 📆 Timeline Summary (2009–2029) 2009–2018: Powerful multi-year impulse forms Cycle Wave i , ending in mid-2018. 2018–2022: A deep, multi-legged ABC correction forms Cycle Wave ii , ending in mid-2022. 2022–2025: Explosive impulsive rally forms Cycle Wave iii , currently completing around $1,576.42. 2025–2027 (Expected): A corrective pullback forms Cycle Wave iv , likely more sideways or shallow in structure. 2027–2029 (Expected): Final rally completes Cycle Wave v , with price targets between $2,280.37 and $3,008.41 , ending the macro Elliott structure. 🔚 Conclusion With the cycle top revised to mid-2018 and the correction ending mid-2022 , the chart structure becomes even more aligned with classic Elliott Wave theory and Smart Money behavior. Netflix’s long-term chart is a perfect confluence of: Elliott Wave structure (impulse → correction → impulse), Fibonacci precision, Institutional manipulation (SMC), and Clear price action behavior. The roadmap to 2029 shows exciting bullish potential, but also highlights the need for caution near projected macro top zones — where institutional distribution may quietly unfold again. 📘 DISCLAIMER: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #Netflix, #NFLX, #Nasdaq #WaveTheory, #Fibonacci, #SmartMoney, #PriceAction
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by fibcos
KDA/USDT – 10x Setup Loading 🔍 1. Elliott Wave Theory – Wave Confluence From the chart: We can clearly observe a complex corrective pattern forming a WXYXZ or triple three structure. The wave labels (A, B, C in red/blue) suggest that the market may have completed a macro correction. The current price action is showing a potential start of an impulsive wave, marking the beginning of Wave 1 of a new bullish cycle 📈. 🧩 Key Confluences: Final leg (C wave) seems to have ended with a falling wedge pattern, a classic reversal signal. Bullish divergence likely present on momentum indicators (not shown but inferred), supporting wave completion. 💹 2. Price Action Analysis Price action is forming a base structure around $0.32 - $0.34 with: Multiple retests of the demand zone (highlighted around $0.3214 and $0.3439). A strong bullish engulfing candle near the low, suggesting institutional accumulation. Current price ($0.3704) has already broken out of a descending wedge pattern (D wave to E), which often precedes explosive moves. 📌 Short-Term Structure: Breakout above minor resistance at $0.41 would confirm a bullish reversal pattern. Targets based on historical PA zones are set at $1.14, $1.24, $2.48, and $3.51 📍. 📐 3. Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Let’s bring in some Fibonacci magic ✨: If we take the high of Wave (B) and the low of Wave (C), potential retracement levels align with: 0.618 Fib at ~$1.14 ✅ 1.0 Fib at ~$2.48 ✅ 1.618 Fib at ~$3.51✅ These Fibonacci levels align beautifully with price structure resistance zones, showing confluence between fibs and market structure. 📊 Fibonacci Extension Target: A minimum 5x-10x move is projected from current price, which takes us close to $3.50+, aligning with the major 1.618 extension. 🧠 4. Smart Money Concept (SMC) Let’s talk about what the "big money" might be doing 🧠💰: ✅ Accumulation Phase Identified: Price is ranging after a prolonged markdown. Liquidity sweeps below previous lows suggest smart money engineered a bear trap to fill orders. Break of structure (BoS) pending above $0.41, which would confirm smart money shift from accumulation to mark-up phase. 🎯 Ideal Smart Money Entry: Sub-$0.40 range. 📈 Next Liquidity Target: $1.24 (equal highs formed during mid-2024). 🌐 5. Fundamentals of Kadena (KDA) Kadena is a layer-1 blockchain featuring a hybrid PoW (proof-of-work) model with scalability via Chainweb. 📌 Bullish Fundamentals: Scalability: Can process 480k+ TPS across multiple chains. Security: PoW-based, making it more secure than many PoS chains. Smart Contracts: Uses Pact, a readable and secure smart contract language. Ecosystem Expansion: Increasing DeFi, NFT, and DAO involvement. Recent Funding: If there's been recent VC or foundation investment (check latest news), it would support a bull case. 🚀 Catalysts to Watch: New partnerships or major DApps launching. Exchange listings or ecosystem grants. Rising sentiment in broader altcoin market. 📈 Final Thoughts & Outlook 🔥 Technical + SMC + Fundamentals are aligning for a potential major move. 🧭 Strategic Outlook: 🎯 Buy Zone: $0.32 - $0.38 (Accumulation Range) 🚨 Breakout Confirmation: Above $0.41 🚀 Targets: $1.14 ✅ (0.618 Fib + structure) $2.48 ✅ (1.0 Fib + structure) $3.51 ✅ (1.618 Fib + macro resistance) "The bigger the base, the higher the space" — and Kadena seems to be building a strong one 👷‍♂️🧱 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage risk appropriately. Crypto is volatile 🔥. #KDA #KDAUSDT #Kadena #Altcoins #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWave #WaveTheory #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #CryptoCharts #BullishSetup #AccumulationPhase #BreakoutTrade #10xPotential #CryptoFundamentals #LongTermInvesting #SwingTrading #TradingViewCommunity
Long
by fibcos
2
Ethereum(ETH) - Macro Outlook by FIBCOS🔍 Ethereum - Macro Outlook by FIBCOS 🧠 “From Contraction to Expansion – The Supercycle Awakens” 🌌 Super Market Cycle: The Final Push Begins Ethereum is in the final stage of a Grand Supercycle 🌍 — a massive multi-year wave count aligning with the Elliott Wave Theory . ✅ Wave (1) and (2) established early strength ✅ Wave (3) peaked explosively in 2021 📈 ✅ Wave (4) formed a beautiful contracting triangle (ABCDE) , a classic wave 4 corrective pattern 🟢 Now breaking out of Wave (4), we're entering Wave (5) — the euphoric leg 🚀 🌊 Wave Theory Magic: Riding the Impulse We're deep into the impulsive sequence — and here's what stands out: 1️⃣ Wave (1) initiated the reversal from the triangle bottom 2️⃣ Wave (2) retraced perfectly to key Fib levels — golden pocket zone ✨ 3️⃣ Current move is Wave (3) of (5) — historically the most powerful and extended wave 💥 🔮 Wave (5) targets extend toward $25,000–$30,000 based on Fibonacci projections 🧭 📐 Fibonacci Retracement & Extension: Precision Tools After Wave (1), ETH retraced to the following golden zones: 🔵 0.382 – $3,870 🟣 0.50 – $3,535 🟢 0.618 – $3,200 These levels acted as strong demand zones 🛡️, where price was absorbed and reversed, showing institutional interest. 📈 For extensions: Wave (3) targets: ~$15,000 (1.618 extension) Wave (5) projection: $25K–$30K 🎯 🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC): Liquidity Engineered Setup SMC confirms the big players have already positioned: 🪤 ABCDE triangle = liquidity trap 🔥 Wave E = final sweep before the breakout ✅ Structure Break = Smart Money entry signal 🧱 Demand Zone @ ~$3,800–$4,200 = institutional orders filling 🏦 The Change of Character (ChoCH) + Break of Structure (BoS) = textbook confirmation of bullish intent 📚 🧱 Market Structure: From Consolidation to Expansion We’ve broken multi-year resistance 💥 🔁 Previous All-Time High (ATH) now acting as strong support 📈 Higher highs and higher lows = full bullish market structure 🚀 Confirmed trend shift after accumulation → expansion phase 🔎 Price Action: Clean, Convincing, Bullish The breakout candle is powerful: ✅ Big-bodied green candles ✅ Little-to-no upper wick = aggressive buyers in control 🐂 ✅ Imbalance created below — potential “buy-the-dip” zones between $3,800–$4,200 📉🛒 ETH is now printing strength with every candle — the market is speaking clearly. 🌍 Macro-Fundamental Context – Ethereum’s Underlying Strengths Ethereum’s fundamentals provide strong structural support for this technical forecast: ETH ETF Approvals (Pending): U.S. and global ETF prospects are building momentum, opening gates to institutional inflows akin to Bitcoin's ETF impact. Layer-2 Scaling Adoption: Networks like Arbitrum, Optimism, and zkSync are maturing rapidly, improving transaction efficiency and reducing on-chain congestion. Ethereum 2.0 Transition/PoS Era: Ongoing deflationary tokenomics (EIP-1559 burn + staking lock-up) are reducing effective circulating supply, supporting price growth. DeFi Revival: With macro liquidity cycles turning upward, usage and TVL (Total Value Locked) in Ethereum-based DeFi is expected to rise sharply. AI x Blockchain Synergy: Ethereum remains positioned to become the base layer for decentralized AI infrastructure — a potential catalyst for long-term valuation expansion. These catalysts serve as the fundamental “fuel” behind the unfolding Wave (3) and the eventual Wave (5) . 🎯 Final Word: All Systems GO 🚀 The confluence is undeniable: ✅ Super Cycle 🔁 ✅ Elliott Wave 📊 ✅ SMC Smart Money 📈 ✅ Price Action 🔍 ✅ Market Structure 🏗️ ✅ Fibonacci Levels 📏 ✅ Fundamentals 🌍 💡 Ethereum is positioned to explode into its Wave (5) super-cycle with $30,000 as a potential macro target. If you're looking for the high time frame narrative , this is as strong as it gets . Don’t chase. Plan the entry on retracements and ride the wave 🌊. 💬 "Structure unlocks direction, and Fibonacci refines destination." – FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #Gold #XAUUSD #ElliottWave #WaveTheory #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by fibcos
NASDAQ 100 (1W) – Elliott Wave + Smart Money Analysis by FIBCOSThe index (NASDAQ) continues its macro impulsive structure, now expanding through Wave (3) — targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near 26,997( 27K ). Smart Money is driving this leg with clear bullish order flow, creating multiple Fair Value Gaps and Breaks of Structure along the way. After this expansion, we expect a Wave (4) correction between 22,000–17,500, where institutional demand zones await for re-accumulation before the next macro bullish leg (Wave 5) toward 35,000–38,000. 📊 Confluence Highlights: Wave (3) → 2.618 extension (target zone: 26.9K–27K) Wave (4) → 0.382–0.618 retracement (zone: 22K–18K) Wave (5) → 1.618 projection (target zone: 35K–38K) 🧠 Elliott Wave Theory Interpretation ① Wave (1) — The Initial Expansion (2020–2021) Early bullish impulse following pandemic recovery. Represents Smart Money accumulation followed by a breakout. Retail participation remains limited; institutional footprints dominate. ② Wave (2) — Corrective Pullback (2022–2023) Sharp decline toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. This phase was a liquidity grab — Smart Money re-entering after shaking out weak hands. Price formed a higher low , maintaining long-term bullish structure. ③ Wave (3) — The Power Leg (2023–2026) The strongest and most extended wave — aligned perfectly with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~26,997 zone). Confirms institutional markup phase , where: Retail short sellers are trapped. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are created during impulsive moves. Continuous Break of Structure (BOS) validates bullish order flow. Smaller degree sub-waves (1–5) visible inside, confirming internal impulse rhythm. ④ Wave (4) — The Upcoming Correction (2026–2027) Expected macro re-accumulation zone , likely between 22,000 – 17,500 . Market may enter a sideways complex correction (W–X–Y)/(W-X-Y-X-Z) pattern. This is the Smart Money re-accumulation phase — liquidity collection before the next macro expansion. Demand zones: previous unmitigated order blocks around 20,000–18,000 area. ⑤ Wave (5) — The Final Expansion (2028–2029) After consolidation, the index may aim for new all-time highs toward 35,000–38,000 range. This represents a distribution phase , where Smart Money offloads positions near cycle tops. Expect divergence in momentum indicators , hinting at the end of the 5-wave structure. --- 💡 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Confluence Concept | Observation | Implication Liquidity Sweep - Below 2022–2023 lows (Smart Money accumulation confirmation) Order Blocks - 22,000–18,000 zone {Institutional demand zone for Wave (4)} Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) During Wave (3) impulsive rise {Will likely get mitigated during Wave (4)} Break of Structure (BOS ) Continuous bullish BOS confirms institutional intent Premium/Discount Zones Current price at premium (above equilibrium) Ideal region for institutional profit-taking 🧭 Smart Money Flow: Accumulation → Expansion → Re-accumulation → Final Distribution --- 📐 Fibonacci Confluence Levels Wave (3) → 2.618× extension of Wave (1–2) → ~26,997 (expected macro resistance). Wave (4) → retracement likely between 0.382–0.618 → 22,000–17,500 zone. Wave (5) → projected 1.618× of Wave (1–3) → 35,000–38,000 . --- 🧭 Market Outlook Summary Timeframe | Bias | Expectation Short-Term (2025–2026) 📈 Bullish Continuation toward 26,900–27,000 Medium-Term (2026–2027) ⚠ Corrective Re-accumulation phase, smart money reloads Long-Term (2028–2029) 🚀 Bullish Wave (5) macro expansion toward 35K–38K --- 🔖 FIBCOS Summary > NASDAQ 100 Weekly Chart (Elliott + SMC) Currently expanding through a powerful Wave (3) toward the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~27K). After completion, a macro correction (Wave 4) is expected, providing the next Smart Money accumulation zone between 22K–18K before the final Wave 5 expansion toward new highs beyond 35K. 📘 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational purpose only. #FIBCOS #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #MarketCycle #Fibonacci
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
2
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 60 (Wave 3).The price is still not reaching the target of 60. I decided to make a new forecast, slightly changing the labeling of waves, or rather their importance. At this stage, as before, I think that the price will reach the area of the level 60 in the middle wave “3”. This movement is the development of the big corrective wave “C”. In general, the plan remains the same. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
25
SOL is messy but is going through a correction.SOLs last move up in white primary ((1)) was not as large compared to the move up prior to that, which we can't see on the picture. So I guess we still have a large 3rd of a 3rd to come in a move up. But first we still need to finish this correction SOL is in right now. I believe SOL is doing a flat correction in a primary degree, so it takes some time to get through. It looks like the green (B) wave is finally done, and now we just need the green intermediate (C) to finish. The 1st wave of that c-wave is almost over if not already, so anticipate a correction up in purple 2nd wave. When that 2nd wave is done, SOL will move into a strong move down in wave purple 3 following the yellow path. double (()) indicates circle on chart.
by TheDane
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to support area of 3800.Dear colleagues, the last forecast is canceled, but I recommended that trades should be set trades to breakeven because there is a high probability of wave “3” extension. It looks like the upward impulse is still not over and I expect the final formation of wave “5” to the 3800 area. Yes - this target is quite close, but now it makes no sense to make a long forecast with a correction in wave “2” of higher order (red). As soon as I get confirmation that the correction in wave “2” has started - I will make a forecast with more points. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
35
BNB does not completely obey, what BTC commands..In a count I did yesterday I wrote about BTC has started the decent, but from what I can see here, I still believe BNB need a little push up before going into a correction of a higher degree. Right now BNB is in what I count to be purple wave 4. And there is a chance purple wave 4 has already finished, and we therefor have started the move up in purple wave 5. One of the guidelines in Kennedy channeling technique, which is a powerful tool in counting Elliott Waves, is that price has not completed wave 4 before tagging the bottom of the acceleration channel. (the blue channel). Another guideline in Elliott Wave is that wave 4 often retraces down into wave 4 of the previous lower degree. (This area I have marked in the Purple box) Therefor we could have a little downside left before starting the purple wave 5. Being optimistic purple wave 4 is done, since I can count an simple zig-zig correction. A confirmation of wave 4 is done and the purple wave 5 has started, is to wait for price to break the deceleration channel. (the green channel.) But in either case, I believe BNB still has a wave 5 to finish before the correction down in a higher degree.
by TheDane
BTC has started going down the slope..I can easy count 5 green intermediate waves up. Last top was just above the 161,8% fib level of primary white ((1)). It's outside of the pitchfork, it's outside of the white base channel indicating the primary white 3 was underway. By having a good 5 wave structure in the last wave up, I believe this is the intermediate green 5 wave done, and hereby primary white 4 has started. How low can it go? By a rule from Elliott, wave 4 cannot enter the territory of wave 1, so this would mean the absolut low of wave 4 would be at the 64,760 level. After we had, what I counted as a primary white wave 2 formed as a flat, it will be fair to presume we will have a relative quick primary white wave 4, because of the guideline of alternation. Also as a guideline we can lean to a Kennedy Channeling Technique, which states that wave 4 is usually not done before touching the bottom of the acceleration channel, which I have colored in blue. The simplest path of wave 4 would be a zig-zag, which I have drawn in yellow. And I anticipate the first wave down, intermediate green A, not to end before around $90.000, then we will have a intermediate green B, then intermediate green C. A choice could very well be that it will form as a triangle, because so many still believe the surge of BTC never stops. But still my anticipation of intermediate green wave A will be around the $90.000 level. This is the most optimistic count I feel I could do on BTC. Another, but not as likely, count could be that we already have seen the wave 5, and then there is no absolute bottom other than 0. Because this would mean we have seen the top of wave 1 of a higher degree, and wave 2 can retrace all the way back to the start of wave 1 without invalidating anything. But this pessimistic count is not my preferred count at the moment.
by TheDane
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.18935.We did pretty well last week and I was waiting for the correction to show us its movement in wave “4”. Now I believe that the correction is coming to an end and I expect the upward movement to continue in wave “5”. I think that we will target the resistance area at 1.18935. Fundamentals: Euro is supported by stable inflation in the Euro area at 2.0% YoY in August, while in Germany it ticked slightly higher to 2.2%. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 97.77, showing that dollar pressure hasn’t intensified. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
25