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Wedgepatterns

FTMUSDT wants to go higher?The price is testing the confluence zone on 1.4$ zone. as you can see on the upper chart, the price is testing the daily resistance after the breakout from the falling wedge on the lower chart, on 4h Timeframe, the price is creating a rising wedge after the flip of 1.3$ resistance as I said in my previous analysis How to approach? the price needs to invalidate the rising wedge (usually is an inverse pattern) and retest the upper trendline as new support. If and only IF the price is going to confirm the flip, we can apply our rules to open a new long position. The next valid resistance is 1.6$ where the market has 0.618 Fibonacci level resistance
FLong
by InkyGrip
2
UTKUSDT is creating a falling wedgeThe price is creating a falling wedge on the daily timeframe, and the market retested the daily support on the dynamic support and static on 0.17$ On the 4h timeframe, the price is creating an ascending channel and the market is trying to have a breakout from the daily resistance on 0.26$ How to approach? If the price is going to have a breakout and retest the previous resistance as new support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Long
by InkyGrip
8
ROSEUSDT is going to create a falling wedge The price had a huge bearish impulse, bounced on the weekly support on 0.3$ and had a new breakout. The price retested the previous support as new resistance and the market went to test again the previous weekly support on 0.2$. Connecting the lows and the highs, the price is creating a falling wedge exactly on the weekly support. How to approach? We are monitoring the price, we could see a double bottom on the weekly support. IF the price is going to have a breakout from the falling wedge and 4h resistance, and turn the previous resistance into new support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Long
by InkyGrip
LTCUSDT is creating a falling WedgeThe price bounced on the monthly support of 100$ after a false breakout from it. On the daily timeframe, the price is creating a falling wedge exactly on the monthly support. In 4h timeframe, the price is testing the resistance on 115 after a first breakout. How to approach? If the price is going to have a breakout from the 4h resistance and dynamic daily resistance and retest 120$ as new support, according to Plancton's rules we can look for a new long position. A breakout is not enough, you need a strategy ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Long
by InkyGrip
6
OCEANUSDT is creating a falling WedgeThe price got rejections from the descending dynamic resistance on the daily timeframe and bounced on the weekly static and dynamic support on 0.4$ On the daily timeframe the price is creating a falling wedge on the weekly support and now the price is trying to have ha breakout from the upper trendline and static resistance on 0.52$ On the 4h timeframe, the price is creating a rising wedge inside the main structure. The rising wedge is a bearish pattern, but, if the price is going to create a false breakout, we could see a breakout from the daily resistance. The setup is valid only after the daily breakout with retest and according with Plancton's rules –––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
OLong
by InkyGrip
12
BTCUSDT is creating a rising wedge?Bitcoin had a bounce from our weekly support after a dump due to war, the price created a V shape. On the 4h Timeframe, the price is testing a key level on 39600 on the daily resistance on 0.5 Fibonacci level. If you look on the left you can see an accumulation before the previous bearish impulse, it means that this area is so strong to break. the previous candle created a false breakout, no bullish momentum followed the candle, and the Volume is decreasing. If we exclude the nervous candles about the war, we can identify a rising wedge. A rising wedge with two up-sloping trend lines. The volume trend usually slopes downward. How to approach? We are monitoring the price, a clear breakout of 38300 with retest should be a clear sign for a new bearish impulse, 37k is the first 4h support. The setup is invalidated if the price is going to have a breakout and retest of 42k –––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
Short
by InkyGrip
12
INJUSDT is testing the 6$, ready for the breakout?The price is creating a falling wedge on the 4h timeframe inside a descending channel. The market is testing the daily resistance on 6$, it's a key level A falling wedge marks the corrective phase in this measured move-up formation. Note the receding volume trend of the wedge. How to approach? IF the price is going to have a breakout from the 6$, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Long
by InkyGrip
4
GALAUSDT is testing the 0.786 Fibonacci levelThe price is testing the 0.786 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe after a breakout from the falling wedge and a rejection from the daily resistance on 0.4$ On the 4h timeframe, the price bounced exactly on the previous support and dynamic one on 0.2$ How to approach? IF the price is going to lose the support and retest the previous support as new resistance, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order. The setup will be invalid above 0.3$ ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Short
by InkyGrip
14
SXPUSDT is testing the daily resistanceSXPUSDT is testing the daily resistance inside a falling Wedge. IF the price is going to have a breakout from the daily resistance and retest as new support, According to Plancton's strategy (check our Academy ), we can set a nice order ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Long
by InkyGrip
18
Bitcoin’s re-test of the break outLooks like the wedge I was talking about yesterday has broken out but got a rejection from the 4h symmetrical triangle former support. It it likely in my opinion that BTC will come down to re-test the breakout level. But the volume is a bit lagging behind in my opinion. I think I’ll play the re-test of this bounce and it will tuen out to be something like this in my opinion. The r/r will be at aroun 3.12 or something so it’s a nice trade to take. Let me know what you guys think, keep in mind NFA!
FTX:BTCPERPLong
by NotAChartist
1
Broadening Wedges - Advanced AnalysisIn our previous post in this series about chart patterns we described the characteristics, rules, and causes of triangle patterns (if you haven't seen it, see the related idea below). In this post, we perform an advanced analysis of broadening wedges patterns. We provide a description of each pattern and its implications. We also review the literature in order to find their deterministic cause. 1. Broadening Wedges Broadening wedges are characterized by price variations laying within one support and resistance, both having the same direction and broadening over time. As such the apex of the support/resistance in a broadening wedge is located to the left. Broadening wedges must not be confused with other broadening formations. While they all have a broadening characteristic they can have different identification rules Broadening wedges are classified depending on the direction of the support/resistance. 1.1 Ascending Ascending broadening wedges mostly occur during uptrends with rising local maxima (higher highs) forming an upward sloping resistance and raising local minimas (higher lows) forming an upward slopping support. The slope of both the support & the resistance should be significantly different from 0. Bulkowski suggests the price needs to test the support and resistance three times each. Additionally, the resistance should be steeper than the support. Volume tends to increase during the formation of such pattern. Ascending broadening wedges have a bearish bias with breakouts mostly occurring downward. Downward breakouts are often followed by a decrease in price. Example of an ascending broadening wedge followed by a downward breakout on SOLUSDT 4h. 1.2 Descending Descending broadening wedges mostly occur during downtrends with declining local maxima (lower highs) forming a downward sloping resistance and declining local minimas (lower lows) forming a downward slopping support. The slope of both the support & the resistance should be significantly different from 0. Similarly to ascending broadening wedges, Bulkowski suggests the price needs to test the support and resistance three times each. Additionally, the support should be steeper than the resistance. Volume tends to increase during the formation of such pattern. Descending broadening wedges have a bullish bias with breakouts mostly occurring upward. Upward breakouts are often followed by an increase in price. Example of an ascending broadening wedge followed by a downward breakout on AVAX 1h. 2. Partial Rises/Declines Partial rises/declines are phenomena described by Bulkowski in broadening formations and are described as being common. Partial rises/declines often indicate the direction of a breakout. Partial rises commonly occur in broadening ascending wedges, price bounces off the support, moves towards the resistance without reaching it, and go back to the support. We can expect a potential downward breakout after that. Note that a partial rise always starts from the test of the support. Partial declines commonly occur in broadening descending wedges. The price bounces off the resistance, moves towards the support without reaching it, and then goes back to the resistance where we can expect a potential breakout upwards. Note that a partial decline always starts from the test of the resistance. Partial rises and declines can offer a better price to buy/sell instead of waiting for a breakout. 3. Measure Rule The measure rule for broadening wedges allows us to determine the position of a take-profit/stop-loss. For a broadening ascending wedge the measure rule would place our take profit at the lowest low inside the formation. Selling directly after a partial rise would allow for higher profits. For a broadening descending wedge the measure rule would place our take profit at the highest high inside the formation. Selling directly after a partial decline would allow for higher profits. Certain analysts close trades caused by partial rises/declines when the price reaches the support/resistance of the wedge, opening a new position in the case of a breakout while using the metric rule for setting their take profit. 4. Causes Of Broadening Wedges Bulkowski offers a description of the causes of broadening wedges in the market in terms of the market participant's behavior. The cause of an ascending broadening wedge is a surge from an initial buying impulse, driving the price higher. Momentum traders follow the initial impulse further pushing prices up. Contrarian traders judge the price to be trading above its intrinsic value, selling and thus creating a decline in prices. However, before the decline reaches the previously established low, certain market participants buy again. These participants can be composed of initial buyers, accumulating positions, or late traders seeing the potential to buy at a better price. This allows the creation of a new impulse, with only a divergence left. This scenario eventually repeats itself with increased volume, causing impulses and retracements of higher magnitude reinforcing a positive feedback loop until the price is judged overbought even by initial buyers. A broadening falling wedge follows the same scenario structure but with sellers instead of buyers. 5. Other Observations The amplitude of the cyclical variations within a broadening wedge increases over time, thus potentially highlighting volatility clusters in higher time-frames. Another interesting observation that can be made is that prices within a broadening wedge are subject to heteroscedasticity (variability is not constant, it increases inside a broadening wedge), while prices inside a channel are homoscedastic (variability remains constant). This concept is inherent to regression analysis. 6. Conclusion In this post we described broadening wedge patterns in depth. We have highlighted partial rises/declines as well as how the measure rule applies to such patterns. We then focused on showing how market participants act during the formation of broadening wedges. Note that unlike triangles patterns we did not find a significant amount of studies mentioning such patterns, nor any agent models developed to describe their occurrence. 7. References (1) Bulkowski, T. N. (2021). Encyclopedia of chart patterns. John Wiley & Sons.
LEducation
by LuxAlgo
45