US Dollar: Turning Bullish? Look Carefully...Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Feb. 2-6th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD has been bearish-neutral, stuck in a consolidation. Last week it swept the low of the consolidation.... then immediately retraced back into the range.
Manipulation? I think so. Especially if you look at the position of price in the structure.
AMD comes to mind.
This week, I expect the bullish momentum of this correction to continue. Should the market start to disrespect bearish PD Arrays, then I will trade the major currencies vs USD accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weeklyoutlook
26/01/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $93,653.56
Last weeks low: $86,076.35
Midpoint: $89,864.96
As price sits at 2026 Yearly open levels the severity of the recent $98,000 rejection becomes even more clear for the direction of Bitcoins price.
The high time frame trend after the $98,000 rejection is a bearish one. The attempt to flip the 4H 200 EMA and use it as a launch failed with price falling back below it, confirmed by Fridays wick at $91,000 being pushed back down with force. From here the downward target would be Weekly low followed by $82,500.
The bulls have a buyside liquidity problem and with ETF flows turning negative, the short term does not look in their favor. The threat of another US Government shutdown would put further strain on the buyside demand as we saw previously during the October shut down of 2025, currently the odds of a shut down are at 70% on prediction markets. The bulls target remains the same as it has been since the start of the year, $98,000 must be flipped with price acceptance above to shift the HTF structure back in their favor.
GBPUSD: Bullish! Buy The Short Term Pullback!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan. 26 - 30th.
GBPUSD closed last week above the Dec highs. Should see the bullish momentum continue into this coming week.
I expect there to be a short term pullback into the bullish area of fair value. That would be a dip buying opportunity.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US OIL: Bullish Break Out Potential?US Crude Oil has been sideways for over 3 years. Accumulating. April '25 there was a significant sweep of sell side liquidity, followed by an impulsive move to the high of the consolidation. Manipulation. A correction to the previous move followed to the .705 fib (Optimal Trade Entry).
If we get a significant move higher from current levels, this could be the start of the 3rd phase of price action.... distribution.
AMD ..... is what I am looking for.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P500 | NASDAQ: AMD In Action! Wait For Distribution!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan. 19-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: ES and NQ
Both indices have been moving sideways for over two weeks. Tariff news over this weekend has caused investors to move money to safe havens, like gold and silver, and out of the equity markets.
I believe this is for the short term. Should better heads prevail, Trump will back off his tariff threats to NATO allies. Meanwhile, the injection of volatility by the news shook up the markets again, keeping the air of uncertainty in place.
My plan is to wait for the signature of price to show us that the pullback is over, and the market will resume its upward trend.
Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution. On a Bank Holiday Monday for the US banks, this is a day when manipulation can catch a lot of traders unawares.
I am waiting for the Distribution part to begin.
No trades for me today. ; )
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD: Bullish! Buys Only! Buy The Dips!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Jan. 19-24th.
Gold is climbing higher, with Trump tariff threats as winds beneath the wings!
There is no reason to consider longs! Pullbacks should be seen as dip-buying opportunities.
It's that simple.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
19/01/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $97,925.71
Last weeks low: $90,140.82
Midpoint: $94,033.27
So close, yet so far!
After a strong start to the week BTC pushed through the all important $94,000 level with strength and purpose reaching a high of ~$98,000, shy of the bullish target at $100,000. However the resistance approaching that level is clearly strong as price was quickly rejected and pushed towards retesting the $94,000 level.
This coincided with last weeks outlook as the weekly high, after two clear retests price consolidated above the level, price compression takes place and from there the probability of a breakdown increases dramatically. Which is how we have started this week with an aggressive move lower within the opening hour of the week. In essence the bulls are back to square one, trying to flip the $94,000 level.
The bears are still in control on the larger time frame, the Midpoint is the key battleground area once again with whoever controls that line looking to push towards either the weekly high for the bulls or the weekly low for the bears.
US Dollar: Bullish! Look For Buys Opportunities!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan 19-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD is showing some strength, with a strong bullish close to the W candle. I am looking for continuation of that momentum going into next week.
Mindful that there may be a short term pullback before the next push higher. Be patient for the market to confirm directional bias before looking for entries.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD: Missiles Flying? Protests In Iran? Look For Buys!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Jan. 12 - 16th.
Gold is seeing inflows lately due to tensions in the market. The US and Venezuela, missiles to Syria, and protests in Iran... have caused investors to look toward this safe haven.
I expect a gap open for the second week in a row, and further gains this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
AUDUSD: Big Rejection From W -FVG! Time To Sell?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan 12 - 16th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD
AUDUSD had a big rejection from the W -FVG, leaving a huge wick behind. If the market continues to trade below the 50% of that wick, which is inside a Quarterly -OB, we can start to look for sell setups on the LTFs.
A Daily close below 0.6684 would be confirmation to me to begin looking for sell setups in this market.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US Dollar: Bullish! Buy The Rip! Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan 12 - 16th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD has had 2 weeks of bullish price action. A strong close last week showed good momentum to the upside. The buyside liquidity are the draw, so trade accordingly.
Be mindful that :
- Jan 13th is CPI Data news. High impact.
- Jan 14th there will be a tariffs decision by SCOUTUS that will likely impact the markets. Be careful trading on that Wed.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
12/01/26 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $94,802.73
Last weeks low: $89,312.98
Midpoint: $92,057.85
The first trading week of 2026 continued the same patterns as the end of 2025. With $94,000 still very much the key level that the bears are defending, and defending well. However, the 4H 200 EMA has been reclaimed by the bulls with consistent support bounces when tested indicating a level of strength.
For this week that is what I think is most important for BTC, the bulls are building a base to attempt a rally through $94,000 resistance, should this level be breached with volume $100,000 big even level is the target.
The bears will continue their defense of $94,000 with the objective of pushing price back below the 4H 200 EMA (currently $90,400).
CPI takes place tomorrow and so an increased level of volatility should be expected, especially if the result is different to the 2.7% forecast.
Altcoins have seen a steady rally relative to BTC & ETH, also flipping the 4H 200 EMA with an eye to retest the 1D 200 EMA resistance. If altcoins were to get back above the 1D with acceptance the market would look a lot healthier.
NASDAQ: Bulls Took Control Last Week! Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan. 12 - 16th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is the sick sister of the S&P and the Dow Jones, both of which hit ATHs last week. The NAS could potentially follow suit this week, but it doesn't need to. It can still push higher towards the buy side liquidity at 26,128 and achieve a huge bullish goal.
The bullish close to last week warrants buys this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBPUSD: Turning Bearish! Confirm Then Sell It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan 12 - 16th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD
GBPUSD is a little stronger than EURUSD, but it has also lost bullish momentum over the last few weeks. Two successive bearish weekly closes in a row illustrate this fact. Also, the bearish closes below the last bullish Daily candle show there is a bearish OB waiting to offer resistance to any bullish intent.
Personally, I am waiting aa bearish Daily close below 1.3372, a Weekly -OB, as my confirmation for sells.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD: Turning Bearish? Time For Sells? Yes!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Jan 12 - 16th.
EURUSD is showing signs of weakness, with 2 bearish weekly closes in a row.
I am expecting the USD to continue to outperform the EURO. The fact that it has lost upward momentum at the downward trend line strengthens the argument. The bearish breaker above price will all provide resistance to price in the event of a pullback.
Sells are warranted in EURUSD.
I am expecting a pullback in reaction to the bullish Daily OB. Potential pullbacks to -FVGs on the Daily and LTFs are potential areas for entries.
Wait until the market confirms its direction before jumping into a new trade. In my opinion, short term sells look better than buys, atm.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Trade Planning Session: High Probability Pairs Analysis"When you fail to plan in trading, you are planning to fail." Welcome to this week's trade planning session where we identify high-probability setups using currency strength analysis + technical structure.
📊 Portfolio Selection - Currency Strength Index (CSI):STRONG Currencies (Buy Bias):
🟢 AUD
🟢 USD
🟢 GBP
🟢 CHF
🟢 EURWEAK Currencies (Sell Bias):
🔴 JPY
🔴 NZD
🔴 CAD
Why This Matters:
High-probability trades occur when technical structure aligns with fundamental strength. When a strong currency pairs against a weak one AND the chart shows clear technical setup = highest probability. Strategy: Look for strong vs weak currency pairs with confirming technical patterns.
💹 USDJPY Analysis (1HR Chart):Structure: Completed bullish wave structure ✓Current Position: Trading at the high
Expected Move: Bearish reversal
Entry Strategy (Advanced):
Rather than selling immediately at the high, I'm waiting for a failure pattern:
First: Expect break above Friday's high (158.18)
Then: Watch for failure to hold above 158.18
Entry: Sell on the rejection/failure
Why This Works:
This "break and fail" pattern traps late buyers and creates a higher-probability reversal entry with tighter risk.
Status: Watch for setup to develop
💶 EURUSD Analysis (1HR Chart):
Structure: Bearish wave structure in progress
Completed: Wave 0-1-2 ✓
Wave 2 extended nicely forming Wave 3 ✓
Expected This Week: Wave 4 formation (pullback)
Key Requirement for Downtrend Continuation:
We NEED to see Wave 4 form. This means a Lower High (LH) must develop before downside continuation to Wave 5.
Immediate Outlook:
Based on current price formation, a break above 1.1742 is possible before the sell setup activates.
Strategy: Watch for rally to 1.1742+
Then look for LH formation (Wave 4)
Sell the Wave 4 completion for Wave 5 downside.
💷 GBPUSD Analysis (1HR Chart):
Last Week's Action: Price failed below the last bullish wave structure, creating a complete breakdown.
Current Status: Price definition unclear
Issue: Structure is ambiguous after the breakdown
Recommendation: Wait for clarity. Allow price to create Wave 2 structure, which will provide a clear selling framework.
Strategy: Patience required. Let structure develop before committing.
🍁 USDCAD Analysis (1HR Chart):
Recent Action: Strong short covering rally without structural pullback = extended and vulnerable.
Opportunity: This uninterrupted rally creates potential for strong bearish reversal.
Entry Approach: Drop to lower timeframe (15min or 5min)
Wait for break of momentum low on lower TF
Look for selling opportunity after 1HR buyer stop-losses trigger
Logic: Extended moves without pullbacks eventually exhaust. When 1HR buyers' stops get hit, momentum can reverse sharply.
Strategy: Monitor for momentum low break on smaller timeframes, then execute short.
💡 Trading Principle:
"Fail to plan = Plan to fail"
This weekly planning session ensures we:
✅ Know currency strength/weakness going into the week
✅ Identify high-probability pairs (strong vs weak)
✅ Have clear technical levels to watch
✅ Understand what price needs to do before we act
✅ Trade in harmony with the market, not against it
Preparation = Confidence = Better Execution
Updates This Week:
I'll post individual trade setups as they develop throughout the week. Follow for updates!
👍 Boost if you found this weekly planning helpful
👤 Follow for trade updates throughout the week
💬 Which pair are you watching? Comment below
Wishing you a successful trading week! 📈
05/01/26 Weekly OutlookHappy new year everyone!
As 2026 begins BTC bulls will be looking to continue last weeks momentum continuing this LTF rally from mid $80,000's towards 2025's yearly open of $93,300.
Liquidity in theory should support this continuation move as year end window dressing is over, the Fed have begun to inject cash into the markets again having ended QT. It is also important to note that BTC ETF's had a net inflow of $460m last week which does look positive for the bulls.
This week I would be looking very closely at weekly high and any price acceptance above that level. That would mean $100,000 major resistance level is the next step for this rally but it is a huge hurdle to jump, with $108,000 being an even bigger one after that.
Should the weekly high fail to hold once again a rangebound SFP play is the logical move, with midpoint ($89,300) and weekly low (86,800) the targets for the bears.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Short Term Bearish! Watch The -FVG!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Jan.5-9th.
Gold took a bearish turn last week, closing below the previous weekly candle. This is ordinarily a bearish indication. But with the US actions against Venezuela, we may see Gold spike up with
the tensions.
If the market moves higher, there is a -FVG just above it to offer resistance. If the market doesn't respect the -FVG, we know to look for long setups upon the inversion of that FVG.
If the market respects the -FVG, look for sells on the LTFs.
Simple.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
29/12/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $90,597.02
Last weeks low: $86,423.04
Midpoint: $88,510.03
As 2025 draws to a close, BTC is currently -6% from yearly open ($93,300). Can the yearly candle be flipped green?
Last weeks price action was very much more of the same as the previous few weeks. Clearly defined range with overlapping candles from start to end. That has been the story for the entirety of December and I expect the same for this week also.
The struggle is still liquidity based and until that changes this chart pattern will persist. At this stage in the year a lot of Banks and Institutions are window dressing for the end of the year so this is just a waiting game until the new year now in my opinion.
Broadly speaking altcoins are the same, BTC.D is relatively flat so the across the entire crypto market the trend is flat with a few outliers.
For me the bullish target should be to flip the yearly open $93,300 with acceptance. For the bears a breakdown below $84,000 opens the door to a further drawdown into the $74,500 level.
YM at All-Time Highs: Key Levels for Continuation or RotationUnderstanding YM and the Current Market Environment
The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures contract, commonly referred to as YM, represents a price weighted index composed of 30 large, established U.S. companies across industrials, financials, healthcare, and consumer sectors. Unlike the S&P 500, which is market capitalization weighted and broader in scope, the Dow tends to reflect performance in more mature, cyclical, and value oriented companies. Because of this composition, YM often behaves differently from the S&P 500 during periods of rotation between growth and value or when interest rate and macro expectations shift.
Over the past month, YM has generally tracked the bullish tone seen in the broader equity indices, though with its own internal rhythm. While the S&P 500 has continued to be driven by mega cap technology and growth names, YM strength has largely come from financials, industrials, and defensive value stocks. Recent price action suggests a market that remains constructive but increasingly selective, with participants sensitive to valuation, positioning, and year end flows. Overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, though signs of short term exhaustion have appeared near the highs
What the Market has done
• Since the start of December, buyers have consistently stepped up bids, establishing higher value and maintaining control of the broader auction.
• During the second week of December, buyers defended the 1 December weekly High Value Node, which provided a clear structural base. This defense allowed prices to rotate higher and ultimately make new all time highs.
• In the third week of December, profit taking emerged from buyers near the highs. The market was unable to accept at all time highs and began auctioning lower.
• Price rotated back down toward the 1 December weekly High Value Node, where buyers once again responded and bid price higher, pushing the market back toward all time highs into last week.
• This behavior reflects a market that remains supported structurally but is increasingly two sided near extremes.
What to expect in the coming week
The key level to monitor is the 48650 area, which aligns with the previous week’s VPOC and the 15 December weekly Value Area High
Bullish scenario
• Buyers could initiate from the previous week’s close at 48998 and attempt to push price higher toward new all time highs.
• Alternatively, price may retrace back toward the 48650 area, where buyers are expected to respond and defend the level.
• A successful defense at 48650 could lead to a rotation back up toward 49294, the current all time high.
• Continued buying pressure could extend the move toward 49430, the weekly 0.5 standard deviation high.
• Profit taking may emerge near 49430, potentially causing the market to rotate lower in the short term.
• If buyers are able to maintain acceptance above this area, continuation toward 49838, the weekly 1 standard deviation high, becomes possible.
Neutral scenario
• If the market makes new all time highs but fails to accept above the 48998 previous close, sellers may respond.
• Seller response is likely near the 49420 area, which aligns with the weekly 0.5 standard deviation high.
• A failure to accept higher prices could result in a rotation back down toward the 48650 area.
• Buyers are expected to respond again near 48650, supporting price and slowing downside momentum.
• A two way auction may develop as the market works to establish higher value.
Bearish scenario
• If buyers fail to defend the 48650 level, this would indicate a breakdown in short term market structure.
• A failure at this level would likely lead the price to move lower through the 15 December weekly value area.
• The market could then auction down toward the 48170 area, which aligns with the 15 December weekly Value Area Low and the weekly 1 standard deviation low.
Conclusion
YM remains in a structurally bullish environment, but recent price action suggests a market transitioning from directional strength to balance near the highs. How price behaves around 48650 will likely determine whether buyers can continue pressing higher or whether the market needs additional time to rotate and build value. As always, context, acceptance, and response at key levels will be critical.
If you found this analysis useful, feel free to like, comment, or share your own view on YM below. Please give this a boost so that more traders in the community can participate. Thank you.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk.
NASDAQ: Bring On The Santa Rally! Short Term Buys!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec. 22-26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is reaching towards the relative equal highs, and maybe with the help of a
Santa Rally, it gets their!
I like the fact that the market closed the last two days of last week with bullish candles. I expect to see some follow through into early next week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
ES Weekly Outlook: Can the Santa Rally Carry ES Back to All TimeMacro Backdrop and Sentiment Over the Past Month
Over the past month, the macro narrative for ES has been defined by a gradual shift from momentum driven optimism to a more cautious and selective risk environment. Coming out of October, equities were supported by easing financial conditions, strong earnings from mega cap technology, and continued enthusiasm around productivity gains tied to AI investment. That optimism pushed ES to fresh all time highs by the end of October.
As November progressed, sentiment became more balanced. Market participants began to reassess forward growth expectations, the path of monetary policy, and the sustainability of stretched valuations. Rather than a sharp risk off move, the tape transitioned into a rotational regime where participants became increasingly responsive around well defined value areas.
This shift has resulted in slower tempo, overlapping value, and greater sensitivity to technical references rather than headline driven trend continuation. The market has increasingly rewarded patience, context, and execution around key levels as opposed to chasing momentum.
What the Market has done
• From the all time highs made at the end of October, the market rotated lower toward the 6605 area, which aligned with daily support. Responsive buyers entered aggressively at this level and successfully defended the level.
• Following the responsive buying, price auctioned higher toward the 6975 area, which aligned with daily resistance and the 5 November weekly value area high, where sellers responded and capped further upside.
• During the past week, the market broke below the first two weeks of December’s range and the composite value area, signaling a short term loss of acceptance at higher prices.
• Price then auctioned lower toward the 6780 area, which aligned with the 24 November weekly VPOC, where buyers once again responded and defended the level.
• Responsive buying from 6780 drove the price back higher toward the 6885 area, which sits near the 12 December weekly settlement and the two week composite value area low, reinforcing the broader balanced structure.
What to expect in the coming week
The key reference to frame the coming week is the previous week’s settlement at 6888.50.
Bullish scenario
• If the market can accept above 6888.50, expect an auction higher toward the 6970 area, which aligns with daily resistance, the 5 November weekly value area high, and the weekly 0.5 standard deviation high.
• Sellers are expected to respond in the 6970 area and attempt to rotate price back down
• If sellers fail to defend this area, continuation higher toward 7012 becomes likely, which aligns with all time highs and the weekly 1 standard deviation high.
Bearish scenario
• If the market is unable to accept above 6888.50, expect a move lower toward the 6827 area, which aligns with the previous week’s value area low and the weekly 0.5 standard deviation low.
• Buyers are expected to respond at 6827 to bid prices back up through value.
• If buyers fail to hold 6827, expect a continuation lower toward the 6780 area, which aligns with the previous week’s low, the 24 November weekly VPOC, and the weekly 1 standard deviation low.
Neutral scenario
• If the market is unable to extend meaningfully beyond 6970 on the upside or 6827 on the downside, expect the market to remain balanced and rotational.
• In this scenario, value is likely to continue shifting modestly higher as the market awaits the next catalyst.
Conclusion
ES remains in a broader balance regime where responsive trade dominates and initiative activity has struggled to sustain follow through. Until the market can show clear acceptance above resistance or below support, patience and level based execution remain critical. The previous week’s settlement at 6888.50 will act as the primary decision point this week that helps determine whether the market seeks higher prices, deeper balance, or continued two way trade. If seasonal Santa rally dynamics come into play, they may act as the catalyst that allows the market to regain initiative strength and auction back toward all time highs.
What is your take on ES? We would love to hear your view on it. Please give us your comments and give this a boost so that more traders in the community can participate. Thank you.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk.
US Dollar: Potentially Higher Prices In The Near TermWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec 22 - 26th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD closed bullish last week. I expected price to move a bit higher in the near term.
towards the bearish OB, and into a -FVG. When the pullback indicates it is ending, that would be a good time to look for valid sells.
The move higher should happen between now and Tuesday. Short term .
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.






















