US Dollar: Bearish! Buyside LQ Sweep Before Rate Cut?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD has a .25 basis point rate cut coming Wednesday. Will there be a manipulation of the buy side liquidity before prices turn downward? I am looking out for this fake out maneuver by MMs, being mindful the rate cut will weaken the USD against its counterparts. A short term move higher before the market turns bearish with the news announcements is more then possible.
Wait and react. Do not predict.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weeklyoutlook
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook – September 15–19, 2025Hello traders,
Gold set a new ATH at 3674, pushing into premium territory. The higher timeframe remains bullish, but price sits above a wide imbalance with untouched OBs below. With FOMC this week, the decision is clear: breakout continuation or correction.
🔸 Weekly Structural Zones (real, wide 30–50$)
🟥 Weekly Supply 3670–3720 (ATH zone): Liquidity pocket around the all-time high. Key decision area for breakout or rejection.
🟥 Weekly Supply 3770–3800: Next untested supply block, aligns with extension targets.
🟥 Weekly Supply 3850–3920: Higher supply area, untouched liquidity cluster above.
🟦 Weekly Imbalance 3590–3450: Wide clean imbalance left behind by the bullish leg. Main corrective magnet.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3340–3290: Untouched institutional order block, first major support below imbalance.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3180–3120: Deeper valid order block, aligning with retracement confluence.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3050–2980: Extreme deep discount order block, still valid on HTF.
🔸 Confluences
EMA Stack (5/21/50/100/200): Bullish lock, EMA50 sits near 3450 inside imbalance.
RSI (Weekly): Overbought → exhaustion risk near ATH supply.
Liquidity: Resting pools above ATH 3674 and under imbalance 3450.
Fibonacci (2640 → 3674 swing): Extensions (3750, 3880) align with upper supply zones. Retracements overlap with weekly OBs, confirming validity.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
📈 Bullish Expansion
Breakout above 3670–3720 supply → next liquidity magnets at 3770–3800 and 3850–3920.
Dovish FOMC could drive this continuation.
📉 Bearish Correction
Rejection at ATH sends price into 3590–3450 imbalance.
If fully rebalanced → first real support at 3340–3290 demand OB.
Deeper correction possible to 3180–3120 or 3050–2980 demand OBs if macro turns hawkish.
🔥 Summary:
Weekly Supply Zones: 3670–3720, 3770–3800, 3850–3920
Weekly Imbalance: 3590–3450
Weekly Demand OBs: 3340–3290, 3180–3120, 3050–2980
Market stretched at ATH → FOMC will decide breakout or correction.
📌 Gold is at a turning point: breakout above ATH into 3700, 3800+, or correction to rebalance the 3590–3450 gap. Which scenario do you lean toward? Drop a comment below 👇, like and follow GoldFxMinds for precision weekly maps.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is bullish. No reason in the world to start looking for shorts! Let the market pullback to Internal Range Liquidity (IRL), a +FVG or +OB, and look for valid long setups on the lower timeframes.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 (ES1!): Wait For Longs! Buy The Dip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19h.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: S&P 500 (ES1!)
The S&P500 is still bullish, and there is no reason to short it. The Bulls are clearly in control.
As price moves from ERL to IRL, the untouched +FVG below is a great place to look for a high probability long setup.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
15/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,672.39
Last weeks low: $110,615.91
Midpoint: $113,644.15
It's FOMC week and finally the time has come for the FED to cut interest rates, but by how much?
Currently the probability of a cut is 100%. The chance of a 25bps cut is ~90%, a 50bps cut ~12%.
Therefore I believe a 25bps cut is priced in and expected by the majority, a 50bps cut would be bullish and no change would be devastating to the markets in the short term.
Last week BTC continues its move up and flipped the important S/R level of $114,000 in preparation for FOMC. Ultimately the bulls should now target a flip of $117,500 to continue the larger bullrun move. Should the bulls fail to do so the rangebound environment looks to continue with the low being $106,000 (1D 200 EMA).
As I have mentioned in previous post September often gives poor returns, so far this year BTC is up 6% from month open, perhaps in anticipation for the rate cut to come? I don't see many setups presenting themselves until after Thursday so just being patient until then.
Good luck this week everybody!
08/09/25 Weekly OutlookIt's CPI week is here once again, which means we're one week before FOMC and a likely interest rate cut by the FED, maybe the last week of choppy sideways action before the next leg up in Q4?
Last week BTC stopped just shy of the weekly high before settling around midpoint. Bullish structure throughout the week from start to finish reclaiming much of the losses from the week previous to that. As I have pointed out in the past late August & early September have historically poor returns and so far this year has followed the trend, down -13.6% from the highs of mid August.
All of this is to say the stars seem to be aligning once again for a repeat of previous cycles, a slow and negative August into September, print a local bottom and the next leg up/continuation higher in Q4 boosted by cheaper borrowing. There is even a growing chance of a 50bps cut on September 17th which would really fuel a risk-on surge going into the end of the year.
For this week I'm not overly concerned about CPI just because I believe the focus is on FOMC the week after. A reclaim of $113,500 before this weeks close may kickstart an earlier push by the bulls as currently that is the level keeping BTC down.
$104,500 is the 1D 200 EMA, a level untested since April, A retest as support before FOMC would be a great place to go long from IMO. Until either of those scenarios play out it's just noise and chop.
Good luck this week everybody!
NASDAQ (NQ1!): Buy It Until The Market Notifies Us Otherwise!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ looks poised to move higher. There is potential for it to make a new ATH.
Wait for pullbacks to poi's for valid long setups.
I do not see a reason to sell this market. Until there is a bearish break of market structure, buys are the ticket.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EURUSD: Bullish -Neutral For Weeks! Time For A Breakout?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD
The EURUSD has been bullish-neutral for the summer. Friday finally saw a sweep of the consolidation high with bad NFP numbers announced. Notably, the weekly candle closed back within the range of the previous weekly candle, hinting weakness for the upcoming week. And the swing high still remains protected.
We'll see if they hold for the week, sending prices lower.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US Dollar: Still Bearish-Neutral, But Is The Correction Ending?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8-12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD is still grinding sideways, but it did sweep the low of the consolidation Friday on bad NFP numbers. Worth mentioning is it finally made contact with a significant demand zone as well. As bearish-neutral as the DXY has looked over the past several weeks, there is potential here that if has finally found support for higher prices.
As long as the market maintains the protected low, we are still in correction territory. The potential for a move higher remains.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook – September 8–12, 2025Hello traders, this week we enter a heavy calendar for the USD with PPI (Sep 10), CPI + Unemployment Claims (Sep 11), and UoM Sentiment (Sep 12). Gold just printed new highs around 3600, breaking out of the summer consolidation, and the macro stage is set for another volatile ride. Let’s map the battlefield 👇
🔸 Macro Context
Inflation data dominates the week. PPI/CPI will steer the USD narrative – hotter prints may strengthen USD and trigger corrections in gold, while softer data could fuel further upside.
RSI on the weekly is at 70+, showing strong momentum but also an overextended condition that makes retracements likely.
Geopolitical tensions + global demand for safe havens remain supportive for gold in the bigger picture.
🔸 Weekly Structure & Trend
The weekly chart shows a clear bullish trend, with all EMAs (5, 21, 50, 100, 200) stacked in perfect alignment and price locked above them.
Momentum candles are wide and aggressive → signaling institutional push.
Bias: Bullish with corrective pullback risk.
🔑 Weekly Structural Zones
🔴Upside (Premium levels / Supply)
3669–3700 → First resistance cluster, near-term profit-taking zone.
3815–3860 → Next major supply block, aligning with Fibo extension from last leg.
3960–4000 → Psychological milestone + HTF supply above.
🟢Downside (Discount levels / Demand)
3525–3480 → First strong demand zone if CPI/PPI triggers retracement. Aligned with EMA5/21 support.
3375–3325 → Mid-range demand, previous breakout base.
3220–3180 → Deep correction zone, strong institutional support if major reversal occurs.
📌 Scenarios
Bullish case:
If USD data comes in softer, gold could extend above 3669–3700, targeting 3815+.
Continuation requires holding 3525+ as support.
Bearish case:
Hot CPI/PPI + stronger USD could drag gold into a correction.
A clean break below 3525 exposes 3375–3325 as the deeper retest zone.
✅ Conclusion & Action Plan
This week is a macro-driven battlefield. The 3600 breakout confirms bullish control, but price is extended and reactive to inflation data. Watch 3525–3480 as the key defense line for bulls, and 3669–3700 as the immediate supply ceiling. Beyond that, momentum could unlock the 3815–3860 zone.
Trade with confirmation around these institutional levels — this week is not about chasing, but about reacting with precision to data and structure.
✨ What do you think — will CPI unlock the 3700+ rally, or is gold due for a pullback into 3525? Drop your thoughts below 👇 and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for more weekly and daily precision plans 🚀
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 1 - 5 SeptemberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: UK Retail Sales, Canada Jobs, US NFP, and OPEC+ Meeting
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex and commodities to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— UK Retail Sales
— Unemployment Rate in Canada
— US NFP and Unemployment Rate
— OPEC+ Meeting
— Trade Tensions
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
01/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $113,692.97
Last weeks low: $107,357.75
Midpoint: $110,525.36
Despite continuing the short term bearish trend, BTC saw a net inflow of $441m via ETFs last week and $1.08B for Ethereum ETFs. Continuing high demand has capped this drawdown for now at weekly low (~$107,500) with three separate drives into the level and a bounce each time there is a clear line in the sand to monitor this week, for now it is advantage bulls.
In terms of data releases there isn't much big news on the way apart from Unemployment data later in the week. I don't expect this data to influence the decision to cut interest rates later this month, as it stands a cut is going to happen. We've just started a new month and so as always bigger players who de-risked for month end can begin deploying capital once again during a period that will be pricing in a rate cut. These factors look good for the bulls after a 14% drawdown from ATHs, could the local low be in?
For me I'm still mindful of the previous poor performances each year around September, the difference being this time a rate cut is on the way which changes the dynamics slightly. IF Bitcoin were to retest the $100k mark the R:R on a long there would be huge, a -20% move down, quite normal in bull market situations.
IF the 0.25 line (~$109,000) hold/reclaim a LTF change in structure would be bullish with an invalidation below weekly low. The target from there would be weekly high for the bulls.
25/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $117,955
Last weeks low: $110,678.07
Midpoint: $114,316.53
This weekly outlook is a day late due to a public holiday but what happened last week is clear. A sell-off from Monday all the way until Sunday and as suggested in the last weeks outlook the $108,000-$111,000 level did provide the support BTC bulls were looking for, after a 6.2% drop from high to low despite a Friday rally thanks to the FED chairs speech.
Looking at the chart it is in my opinion not ideal for the bulls, my reasoning for this:
August/September seasonality coming into play. Historically a poor return in this period of the year.
Heavy sell-off despite good macro news implies exhaustion on the buy side.
Monthly close towards the end of this week, window dressing/de-risking takes place and increases the sell-side pressure.
Daily bearish structure confirmed with new lower high and lower low set.
So what does this mean for this week? Locating an area on the chart I'd like to see BTC strength from,. For me that would be 1D 200 EMA level at ~$103,000. Since September 2023 BTC has used the 1D 200 EMA as a springboard for each of its rallies and so for this bullrun to continue price must continue to respond positively off the level. The RSI would have likely reached oversold adding confluence to potential Long entries.
In a bullish scenario we could see the weekly low get reclaimed, this has routinely happened in the past and often leads to a test of the midpoint, this would be a good short term play but my gut says the overall higher timeframe (next month) is continued sell-off.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (25–29 August 2025)Hey team — happy new week! Let’s lock in the XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (Aug 25–29) so we start focused and calm. ✨
🔸 Macro & News Context
This week is loaded with USD catalysts that will shape gold’s direction:
Tuesday (26 Aug): Core Durable Goods Orders, CB Consumer Confidence
Thursday (28 Aug): Unemployment Claims, Prelim GDP Price Index
Friday (29 Aug): Core PCE Price Index (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) + FOMC Member Waller speaks
⚡️ Wednesday has no major data → expect technical price action mid–week before Thursday–Friday volatility.
🔸 Weekly Structure & Bias
Trend: Bullish on HTF; price remains above EMA21/EMA50.
Location: Consolidating in premium territory (3300–3350).
Liquidity:
Buy-side above 3350–3439 wick supply.
Sell-side below 3260–3280 (PML).
Order Flow: Buyers continue defending mid-range, sellers pressuring highs. Equilibrium until news triggers breakout.
🔸 Key Structural Zones
Premium Supply (Resistance): 3350 – 3439 (weekly wick supply).
Decision Zone: 3300 – 3320 (mid-range control + EMA confluence).
Weekly Demand: 3260 – 3205 (OB + liquidity cluster).
Deeper HTF Demand: 2965 – 2590 (not in play unless strong breakdown).
🔸 Target Zones Above 3439
If weekly closes above 3439, price enters clean air. Using fibo extensions from swing 2965 → 3439:
1.272 extension: 3520–3530 (first major upside target).
1.618 extension: 3635–3650 (secondary bullish projection).
These are the next realistic institutional levels where gold could face supply pressure.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish Case 🟢
Break and close above 3350–3439 → extension toward 3520–3530.
If macro data weakens USD (soft GDP / lower PCE), momentum accelerates.
Bearish Case 🔴
Rejection from 3350–3439 zone + strong US data → pullback into 3300.
Break below 3300 reactivates demand at 3260–3205.
🔸 Conclusion & Action Plan
This week is range-to-breakout:
Above 3439 → upside opens toward 3520–3530.
Below 3300 → downside pullback into 3260 demand.
News flow (Thu–Fri) will decide the weekly candle close.
Patience until the macro catalysts hit — the cleanest sniper entries will come after confirmation.
If this was helpful, drop a like, share your bias in the comments, and follow GoldFxMinds for the daily plan next. Let’s trade the facts, not the noise. 💛
Disclosure: Analysis built on Trade Nation feed (Gold Spot · TradeNation data).
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 11 - 15 AugustMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Rate, US Inflation, UK Jobs & GDP, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— RBA Interest Rate Decision
— US Inflation Rate
— UK Unemployment Rate
— UK GDP Growth Rate
— Trade Tensions
— Earnings Reports
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
11/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,322.97
Last weeks low: $112,665.39
Midpoint: $115,994.18
BTC takes back the spotlight as the week ends! Breaking through the previous weeks high just hours after weekly close and stopping just shy of ATH. This rally comes off the back of a successful bounce from $112,000 area and mirrors the previous weeks drawdown almost perfectly setting up an interesting week ahead.
I am still wary of August seasonality, yes BTC and the broader altcoin market especially ETH have seen great gains so far this month but history shows August is not kind to the bulls;
August '24: -8.74%
August '23: -11.27%
August '22: -13.99%
August '21: +13.42%
August '20: +2.74%
August '19: -4.84%
August '18: -9.0%
Now history doesn't necessarily repeat itself but it does rhyme. Should BTC SFP and accept below the weekly high I would say a $115,000/ Midpoint retest is a logical move. RSI has been posting bearish deviations on HTF (1W&1M) which can suggest a shift in trend is coming but further proof of this would be needed before then
This week CPI & PPI take place on Tuesday and Thursday respectively. With a September interest rate cut on the horizon this data release may be more important than it has been in recent months so I'm keeping a close eye on the result.
Previous: 2.7%
Forecast: 2.8% (+0.1%)
For altcoins many have had great rallies, ETH predominantly after breaking through $4000, again many indicators are showing a local top is due so I am looking at price action context for any clues of a pullback to come, until then the trend is your friend.
Good luck this week everybody!
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 4 - 8 AugustMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoE Interest Rate, Canada Jobs Data & Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— BoE Interest Rate Decision
— Unemployment Rate in Canada
— Corporate Earnings Statements
— Trade Tensions
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
04/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,809.82
Last weeks low: $111,917.76
Midpoint: $115,863.79
First net outflow for BTC in seven weeks (-$643m) following the FOMC data release and also month end. Yet again no change by the FED but the chances of Septembers FOMC giving us a rate cut has drastically increased, currently at a 78.5% chance of a 25Bps cut.
Month end usually gives us a pullback/sell-off as larger institutions window dress which often includes de-risking somewhat. We saw this last Thursday combined with the weekends typical lower volume has resulted in quite a significant correction for BTC. Altcoins have down the same as many assets reject from HTF resistance areas, the correction has been on the cards and isn't too worrying on the face of it.
What I would say is August seasonality is generally not a bullish month and so expecting price to rebound and extend the rally would go against historical trends. I could see more of a ranging environment taking place for several weeks before any next leg up is possible.
This week I would like to see where altcoins find support and establish a trading range where some rotational setups tend to present themselves.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | $3,285 Key Level and Structure SetupHere’s my outlook on gold (XAUUSD) for the week of August 4–9, 2025.
Last week’s move was shaped by strong early dollar momentum, a 3% U.S. GDP report midweek, and Friday’s sentiment shift after the surprise tariff announcement.
Price is now sitting near the $3,380 supply zone, a structure that’s been in play since April. I highlight:
✅The key demand zone ($3,245–$3,285)
✅The broken descending trendline is now acting as support
✅Potential reaction around $3,360 early in the week
✅$3,285 remains my key level going forward. If ever price comes close, I’m watching for signs of strength or breakdown there to guide my setups.
I’ll update my thoughts in the comments as price action unfolds.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
28/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $120,241.80
Last weeks low: $114,776.00
Midpoint: $117,508.90
As we approach the end of the month BTC continues to trade sideways during a cooling off period as altcoins finally take the stage. Last week Bitcoin saw a relatively flat net inflow via ETFs of $72m, ETH on the other hand posted the second largest net inflow week ever at $1.85B! The concentration has certainly shifted...
This IMO is still a very bullish structure for BTC, very shallow pullbacks being bought up/absorbed by still happy to purchase at these levels. As long as this continues altcoins have a strong base to continue growing on, if BTC breaks structure and price accepts below ~$110,000 then the altcoin rally will be over for now I believe.
This week some major altcoins are set to reach HTF resistance areas, ETH has already tagged $4,000 which looks to be a battleground level of major importance.
TOTAL2 which is the combined market cap of all altcoins is currently ~8% from the highs, keeping this in mind for where altcoins may run out of steam...
Good luck this week everybody!
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 21 - 25 JulyMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Minutes, BoJ Speech, ECB Decision, UK Sales, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— RBA Meeting Minutes
— BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida Speech
— ECB Interest Rate Decision & Press Conference
— UK Retail Sales
— Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
21/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $123,220.24
Last weeks low: $115,718.15
Midpoint: $119,469.19
New BTC ($123,220) & SPX ($6,315) ATH last week! We're really seeing progress being made on all fronts now, bitcoin saw its sixth week of net inflows into BTC ETFs ($2.39B).
The week began strong hitting the new ATH very early and then settled into a tight range to cool off. Altcoins however surged in relation to BTC to break out of HTF downtrends and begin to make up lost ground. One of the beneficiary's of this price movement has been ETH, breaking out from a multi year downtrend against BTC and hitting $3,800 in its USD pair.
For this week I do expect much of the same for BTC as momentum is with altcoins for now. However, as those altcoins reach HTF resistance levels it becomes very important for Bitcoins chop to be accumulation for the next leg up and not distribution for the way down. With so few pullbacks the threat of a sudden correction is present but the probability drops should BTC look to press higher with strong demand.
The ECB Interest rate decision takes place on Thursday but no changes to the 2.15% rate is forecast. In terms of news there are no planned upsets that I can see.
Good luck this week everybody!
14/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,494.32
Last weeks low: $107,467.52
Midpoint: $113,480.92
NEW BTC ATH!
This is what we've all been waiting for, BTC breaks through resistance at $110,000-112,000 to set a the highest weekly close ever ($119,086). Thanks to a further $2.27B net inflows via BTC ETFs, the passing of the "big beautiful bill" flipping from a more deficit reduction stance by the US to an environment perfectly suited to risk on assets. Things are looking good for Bitcoin.
This week already in the Asia session BTC has broken above the weekly high to hit $123,100. Despite this incredible rally BTC.D has been falling since Thursday of last week. To me this signals altcoins have started to play catch up and we've seen that with ETH breaking $3000 (+14% relative to BTC).
I would like to see BTC consolidating here above the weekly high while altcoin majors break their choppy rangebound environments and shift to a trending environment just as BTC had last week.
There are also major data releases this week:
Tuesday CPI
Wednesday PPI
Thursday Euro CPI
Thursday US Initial Jobless Claims
I do not expect these data releases to have a major effect on the markets in their current state due to the risk appetite we've seen in both crypto and equities, such shallow pullbacks prove the demand is there to absorb and sell-side pressure for now.
Now is an excellent time to back strong projects with great fundamentals that are breaking out from downtrends/ranges in both their USD & BTC pairs, as BTC.D drops alts can print some great returns. Beta plays of ETH & SOL can offer higher returns than the majors themselves in these market conditions too.
Good luck this week everybody!