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WTIUSD: Bearish Drop to 62.7?CFI:WTI is eyeing a bearish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price testing the upper boundary of an upward trendline after forming higher highs and a breakout candle near resistance, converging with a potential entry zone that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend against further upside. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid the ongoing rally, targeting lower support levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:3 . Entry between 65.0–65.24 for a short position. Target at 62.7 . Set a stop loss at a daily close above 65.8 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:2 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging oil's sensitivity to geopolitical developments.🌟 Fundamentally , crude oil faces significant upside pressure from escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly the heightened risk of direct conflict between Iran and the United States , which could disrupt supply chains, trigger Strait of Hormuz concerns, and lead to sharp price spikes in the short term. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Short): 65.0 – 65.24 🎯 Target: • 62.70 ❌ Stop Loss: • Daily close above 65.80 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • > 1:3 ⚠️ Important: This is a very high-risk trade due to extreme oil volatility and headline-driven moves. 💡 Your view? Do sellers step in near 65 for a healthy pullback to 62.70, or do geopolitics keep pushing oil higher despite technical exhaustion? 👇
CFI:WTIShort
by Master_Hunter
5
WTI(20260202)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday that he opposed the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged this week because economic data signaled the need for further rate cuts. Fed officials voted this week to maintain the benchmark interest rate in the range of 3.5% to 3.75%, citing an improved outlook for the U.S. economy. Waller opposed this decision, preferring a 25-basis-point cut and believing the neutral rate could be around 3%. This dissenting vote reflects Waller's core view: significant vulnerabilities remain in the U.S. labor market. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 64.88 Support and Resistance Levels: 67.28 66.39 65.81 63.96 63.38 62.49 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 63.96, consider buying with a first target price of 64.88. If the price breaks below 63.38, consider selling with a first target price of 62.49.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldDiggerPig
WTI (USOIL) Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TVC:USOIL WTI is currently undergoing a corrective pullback after a strong bullish expansion that pushed price toward the $66 resistance zone. The broader structure remains constructive, with price holding above the ascending trendline and the $63.40–62.80 support zone, where buyers are likely to re-emerge. The rejection from resistance appears to be profit-taking rather than a structural reversal. As long as WTI maintains higher lows above support, the market structure favours a continuation toward the $66.00–66.70 resistance zone. The projected path suggests short-term consolidation followed by a potential upside extension. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias) Entry Zone: 63.40 – 62.80 Stop Loss: 62.50 Take Profit 1: 66.00 Take Profit 2: 66.70 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 3.13 📌 Invalidation: A sustained break and close below $62.50 would invalidate the bullish setup. 🌐 Macro Background WTI faces mixed macro drivers. Oversupply concerns and a firmer US Dollar have recently pressured crude prices after global production exceeded consumption, with the IEA projecting continued surplus into 2026. However, rising geopolitical tensions — particularly involving Iran — could threaten supply stability and provide underlying support for oil prices. This environment typically favours buy-on-dip strategies, especially when price reacts at well-defined technical support within an existing uptrend. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 66.00 – 66.70 Support Zone: 62.80 – 63.40 Bullish Invalidation: Below 62.50 📌 Trade Summary WTI is pulling back toward a key support zone after a strong rally. As long as price remains supported above $62.80, the bias favours a buy-on-dips approach, targeting a rebound toward the upper resistance band. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
FX:USOILLong
by ATFX_Global
West Texas Oil (WTI)Those who follow my work know that we have shorted oil multiple times and successfully built profits. In my previous post, I clearly mentioned the final short target, and price reached it perfectly. 🔁 Now the situation has changed, and I see a buying opportunity on the chart. We are traders — we build profits from opportunities, not from bias. I entered a long position at lower levels, and in my view, this area still offers a valid buying opportunity. As I always say: I’m not a political analyst, not an oil analyst, and not an OPEC member. I’m simply a trader who follows a clear rule: Price reaches my level and gives a signal → I buy The level breaks and gives the opposite signal → I sell 📉📈 I don’t care whether the market goes up or down. There is no bias here. An opportunity is identified, execution is done, and the rest is up to the market. ❗️Never try to stand in front of the market and tell it where it should go because of a trendline or an indicator. The market moves ruthlessly in its own direction — and if you fight it, you’ll only be left watching. 🎯 Real trading skill is finding a way to move with the market, even when it doesn’t agree with you. 🌹 Stay safe & stay profitable
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by ForexCSP
WTI: False breakout above the range — seller priorityHi traders and investors! On the 4-hour timeframe, a false-breakout pattern has formed above the upper boundary of the range. The chart shows that key volume was accumulated above the range high (highlighted by the blue band), after which the price returned back into the range. The seller initiative is currently active. The initiative target is 59.068, which aligns with a daily level, adding confluence to the scenario. In the current context, it makes sense to look for short (sell) patterns. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Crude Oil (WTI): Short-Term Bullish Correction Before BearishHI! Looking at the 4H chart for US Crude Oil (WTI), the price action suggests a short-term corrective rally before a continuation of the bearish trend. Below are the key levels and potential scenarios: Key Levels: Resistance Area (Green Zone): Currently, oil is approaching a key resistance level near the green zone. This area is expected to act as a strong resistance, potentially halting the recent bullish move and triggering a retracement. A rejection here could lead to a decline back toward lower levels, aligning with the overall bearish trend. Magnet Area (Blue Zone): The blue zone represents the next critical support level, where price could be "magnetically" pulled towards after testing the resistance area. This zone marks a significant support region, aligning with the ascending trendline, which indicates further downside potential should the price break lower. Target: $57.4 Geopolitical Considerations: Ongoing geopolitical concerns, such as tensions in the Middle East, could introduce volatility and affect the price action in the short term. Any sudden shifts in supply expectations could influence the bullish or bearish potential around these key levels. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:WTI
by melikatrader94
5
WTI(20260123)Today's AnalysisMarket News: According to data released Thursday, U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), an inflation-adjusted measure of the value of goods and services produced, grew at an annualized rate of 4.4% in the third quarter of last year, the fastest pace in two years. The report shows that this is one of the two strongest consecutive quarters of growth since the U.S. economy was still in the recovery phase of the pandemic in 2021. After rushing to import goods at the beginning of the year to avoid the implementation of President Trump's comprehensive tariffs, businesses slowed their pace of imports. Despite the volatile trade policy, consumer and business spending remained robust. With strong growth, a more solid job market, and inflation still above the Federal Reserve's target, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting next week. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 59.74 Support and Resistance Levels: 61.54 60.87 60.43 59.05 58.61 57.94 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 59.74, consider buying with a first target price of 60.43. If the price breaks below 59.05, consider selling with a first target price of 58.61.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldDiggerPig
WTI(20260120)Today's AnalysisMarket News: According to sources who spoke to CNBC on Monday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell plans to appear before the U.S. Supreme Court on Wednesday for oral arguments. The case centers on whether President Trump has the authority to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook from her post. Powell's planned appearance comes as he faces a criminal investigation by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Columbia for his involvement in a multi-billion dollar renovation project at the Federal Reserve headquarters and related congressional testimony. The Associated Press first reported Powell's plans. It is extremely rare for a Federal Reserve chairman to personally appear for oral arguments in such a case. However, the question of whether a president can remove a Federal Reserve governor in the manner Trump has attempted is considered within the Fed to be a potentially fundamental issue concerning the central bank's survival. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 59.14 Support and Resistance Levels: 60.17 59.79 59.54 58.75 58.50 58.11 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 59.54, consider going long with a first target price of 59.79. If the price breaks below 59.14, consider going short with a first target price of 58.75.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldDiggerPig
WTI(20260116)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The Bank of Japan will announce its next policy decision on January 23. Officials believe that maintaining the interest rate at 0.75% (the highest level in 30 years) is appropriate. Sources say the committee will make its final policy decision after monitoring economic data and financial markets until the last minute. Sources also indicate that given inflation trends are approaching its 2% target, officials will be watching how the yen affects underlying inflation, including price expectations for households and businesses. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 59.61 Support and Resistance Levels: 61.83 61.00 60.47 58.76 58.23 57.40 Trading Strategy: A break above 59.61 suggests a buy entry, with a first target price of 60.47. A break below 58.76 suggests a sell entry, with a first target price of 58.23.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by GoldDiggerPig
WTI Crude Oil Continues to RallyWTI crude oil has now posted a streak of five consecutive bullish sessions, gaining more than 9.5% in the short term and signaling a dominant bullish bias at the start of 2026. For now, strong buying pressure has been supported by the escalation of political tensions in Iran, which has fueled concerns over potential disruptions to global energy supply. Markets are also factoring in the risk that the situation could escalate into a U.S. military intervention, a scenario that has increased upward pressure on WTI prices. As long as this risk-driven environment persists, buying pressure in crude oil is likely to remain firm in the short term. The Bullish Move Gains Relevance From the recent lows near $55, buying pressure has become a key driver of WTI price action, allowing prices to break above the psychological $60-per-barrel level. While a degree of short-term sideways consolidation can still be observed in recent price behavior, sustained buying interest could pave the way for a more defined bullish trend in the coming trading sessions. RSI The RSI continues to show bullish behavior, holding above the neutral 50 level. As long as the indicator remains below the overbought zone near 70, this setup suggests that buying momentum remains dominant, potentially supporting further upside in WTI over the short term. MACD Meanwhile, the MACD is displaying a steady expansion of its histogram above the neutral zero line, indicating that short-term moving average momentum continues to favor buyers. If this behavior persists, it could further reinforce the outlook for a dominant bullish bias in WTI price action. Key Levels to Watch $62 – Key resistance: This level aligns with the 200-period simple moving average. Sustained price action above this zone could confirm the formation of a fresh short-term bullish trend. $58 – Nearby barrier: A level aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. A pullback toward this area could reinforce near-term neutrality and extend the sideways channel that has been present so far. $55 – Key support: This zone marks the lows of recent months. A return toward this level could reactivate the bearish trend that characterized crude oil price action in prior months. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
USOIL (WTI) – Key Supply Zone Reaction | Breakout or Rejection?USOIL (WTI) – Key Supply Zone Reaction | Breakout or Rejection? 📍 Timeframe: Daily 📍 Instrument: USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) USOIL price is currently testing a well-defined supply zone, a level that has acted as a strong resistance multiple times in the past. This zone has historically triggered sharp bearish reactions, making the current price behavior extremely important. 🔍 Market Structure Observation 🔴 The marked Supply Zone has rejected price repeatedly 🔺 Strong bullish impulses are visible from lower levels (green arrows) ⚠️ Current price is retesting supply with momentum, creating a decision zone This makes the area a high-impact zone where the next directional move will be decided. 📈 Trade Scenarios ✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout A strong daily close above the supply zone Follow-through volume and structure confirmation 📈 Opens the path towards 64.00+ levels ➡️ Bias shifts to buy-on-retest after breakout ❌ Scenario 2: Breakout Failure (Rejection) Price fails to sustain above supply Bearish rejection or strong upper wicks 📉 Possible move back towards 57.00 – 56.00 support zone ➡️ Ideal for sell-on-confirmation traders 🧠 Professional Insight Markets do not move at random — strong zones control price behavior. The best trades emerge when we wait for confirmation at key levels, not anticipation. This is a reaction zone, not a prediction zone. ⚠️ Trade Management Note Avoid impulsive entries inside resistance Let the market confirm breakout or rejection Risk management remains the priority 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and trade according to your own strategy. TVC:USOIL
FX:USOIL
by BK_QuantDesk
WTI(20260109)Today's AnalysisMarket News: On Tuesday, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average hit record closing highs, marking the first buy signal from Dow Theory in over a year. Technical strategists believe this confirms the bull market that began in late 2022 remains firmly established, even as some previously high-performing AI-related stocks have recently faced pressure. The Dow Jones Industrial Average's last record closing high was on January 5th, while the Dow Jones Transportation Average's record high was even further back. Dow Jones market data shows that the index's last record closing high was on November 25th, 2024. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 57.58 Support and Resistance Levels: 60.26 59.26 58.61 56.54 55.89 54.89 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 58.61, consider buying with a first target price of 59.26. If the price breaks below 57.58, consider selling with a first target price of 56.54.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by FlyingTowardsWealth
Can geopolitics rescue oil from five-year lows?At some point this year there could be a strong opportunity to buy crude oil, as prices near USD 55 per barrel are potentially unsustainable. WTI crude oil futures rose more than 3.5% on Thursday to trade above USD 57.9 per barrel, rebounding from a two-day slide. The move, however, was not enough to recover the losses earlier in the week, and prices remain close to the five-year low set in December. Uncertainty around Venezuelan exports resurfaced after Washington announced plans to maintain indefinite control over the country’s crude sales. Meanwhile, in Iran, protests have been reported in Tehran and other cities as inflation rises and the currency weakens, adding another layer of geopolitical risk for oil. Unlike Venezuela, Iran continues to export roughly 2 million barrels per day and produces between 3.2 and 3.5 million barrels per day, contributing a meaningful volume of global supply.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull Markets
OIL, 4 years in the making. a forceful break awaits. STRONG BUY!OIL is not for the faint hearted -- the constant abrupt shifting of prices made it almost untradeable. Geopolitics, Economics, Dollar metrics -- and all fundamentally driven factors seem to have evaded any effect on OIL this past 4 years. Constantly headed south this past 4 years since January 2022. Now, based on recent metrics that spans, 96 months.. we are seeing some major shift in structure hinting of an impending strong breakout. This ascending bend has only materialized after 2 years (referencing our diagram) -- with expanding upside pressure on its 4-year trend. I Expect some expanding vertical momentum from here at 57 bargain area aiming for a 30-40% increase in price. Factoring the geopolitics issues thats been arising lately -- the directional context of OIL finally waking up from its slumber is becoming clearer by the day. Ideal seeding zone at the current price range. 57ish. Target: 80.0 Long term. 100
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by JSAL
Oil Tries to Approach the $60 Level Once AgainOil prices have started the week with a notable bullish bias, posting gains of more than 1.5% in the short term. For now, buying pressure has remained firm, driven by rising geopolitical uncertainty stemming from growing tensions in Venezuela, which have begun to lift the risk premium for crude oil in the near term. Any scenario involving tighter U.S. sanctions, potential logistical disruptions, or direct frictions with the United States tends to immediately increase perceived risk in the oil market. Venezuela remains a relevant global oil producer, so potential political disruptions could affect global crude supply in the short term. This dynamic appears to be influencing recent price action in the oil market. As long as uncertainty remains elevated, current buying pressure in WTI is likely to continue dominating price movements over the coming sessions. The Bearish Trend Remains Relevant Since June 20, 2025, average oil price movements have respected a well-defined bearish trendline, which continues to stand out as a key technical pattern on the chart. As long as buying pressure fails to clearly break above this structure, the bearish trend is likely to continue dominating market oscillations. However, a sustained breakout could pave the way for a more meaningful bullish bias, with prices holding above the 50-period simple moving average. RSI The RSI has managed to break above the neutral 50 level and maintains a consistent upward slope, indicating that average momentum over the past 14 sessions remains dominant. If the RSI continues to rise, it could reflect a renewed buying pressure in oil price action during the upcoming sessions. MACD Although the MACD remains relatively calm, its histogram has begun to hold above the zero line, suggesting that buying pressure is dominating short-term moving averages. As long as this behavior persists, it may continue to signal steady demand for oil in the short term. Key Levels to Watch $59 – Key resistance: A level where the bearish trendline converges with the 50-period simple moving average. Price action that manages to consolidate above this area could activate a dominant bullish bias, breaking the bearish structure that still attempts to prevail. $57 – Nearby barrier: A recent neutrality zone. If price action once again consolidates around this level, it could signal the formation of a short-term sideways range. $55 – Key support: The lowest level seen in recent weeks and the most relevant downside barrier to monitor. Selling pressure that pushes price back toward this area could revive a renewed bearish bias and extend the current bearish trendline. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREX.com
Venezuela’s Risk PremiumU.S. airstrikes on Venezuelan military-related sites in/around Caracas (Fuerte Tiuna, La Carlota) triggered a Maduro state of emergency. No confirmed hits to core oil infrastructure (PDVSA upstream, refineries, José/Amuay) so far. Venezuela remains a marginal, heavily sanctioned barrel ( ~0.6–0.7 mb/d exports pre-event ), so physical disruption risk is largely contained absent verified terminal/port outages. WTI settled Fri Jan 2 near $57/bbl amid a multi-month downtrend. Expect a near-term geopolitical premium/vol bid that can lift prompt into the mid–high $60s on tail-hedging, positioning, and technical resistance/“measured move” dynamics. But fundamentals should cap duration: •IEA flags ~3.8 mb/d surplus into Q1 ’26; non-OPEC+ growth (US/Guyana/Brazil) offsets risk. •Jan 4 OPEC+ JMMC likely reiterates the production hold; compliance noise ≠ catalyst. •Physical/curve reads loose: elevated hub stocks + contango -> ample prompt supply/storage incentive. spike then mean-revert, premium fades sub-$60 over the next few sessions. Watch regime-shift risks (confirmed infra damage, retaliation/transit risk, OPEC+ surprise). Invalidation: sustained >$70 = structural breakout.
TVC:USOIL
by EJSM
USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup from Strong Demand Zone 🔍 Market Structure & Price Action Insight USOIL is currently trading inside a well-defined and repeatedly tested demand zone between 55.10 – 56.50. This zone has proven its strength by rejecting price three times in the past, each time producing a meaningful bullish reaction. The current revisit into this zone offers a high-quality risk-defined buying opportunity for swing and positional traders. 📌 Trade Execution Plan (Bullish Bias) 🟢 Entry Zone: 55.10 – 56.50 🔴 Stop Loss: 50.00 (Below the demand structure to avoid false breakdowns) 🎯 Target 1: 64.00 (Previous structure + supply reaction area) 📊 Technical Confluence ✔ Multiple demand-zone validations ✔ Price reacting at historical accumulation area ✔ Clear structure-based invalidation level ✔ Favorable Risk : Reward profile 🧠 Professional Trading Insight Strong trades are not created by prediction, but by location and confirmation. When price revisits a proven demand zone, patience and discipline offer an edge. Entries taken close to demand provide superior psychology and controlled risk. 📈 Trade Management Note Partial booking can be considered near intermediate resistance levels. Trail stop only after structure confirmation — let the market do the work.
FX:USOILLong
by BK_QuantDesk
2
WTI drops near 2025 lows amid Ukraine-Russia deal, can $55 hold?WTI crude oil has declined near fresh 2025 lows around $56.60 as optimism over a Russia-Ukraine peace deal collides with fears of global oversupply. With NFP and central bank decisions looming, the market is bracing for a volatile test of the critical $55 support. In this video, we analyse the bearish pressure from potential sanctions relief on Russian oil and persistent market surpluses, weighed against the bullish risks of escalating US-Venezuela tensions. We then map out the technical path to $55 and lower if fractals work out and the conditions for a potential bounce back toward $60. Key drivers Bearish catalyst : Progress in US-backed Russia-Ukraine peace talks is fuelling expectations of supply normalisation, pushing prices down amid a market already facing a surplus through 2026.​ Bullish risks : Escalating tensions between the US and Venezuela, including tanker seizures, threaten to disrupt roughly 1 million barrels per day of supply, potentially offsetting bearish sentiment.​ A packed week featuring the NFP report and rate decisions from the BOE, ECB, and BOJ will drive dollar volatility, directly impacting crude prices.​ WTI remains at risk below $59-60. The primary downside target is the structural support at $55, with a break opening the door to $50. Resistance stands at $58.50 and $60.00.​ Trade Plan : Bearish bias targets a test of $55.00 as long as price holds below $58.50. Watch for a reversal signal at $55 or a reclaim of $60 on supply disruption news.​ Trading the oil crash? Share your thoughts on the $55 support level in the comments and follow for more commodity and macro trade setups. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:WTIShort
by ThinkMarkets
1
WTI Oil: Key levels for long-term buyingThis analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method. Hello traders and investors! I reviewed the higher timeframes for oil, and the 2-month chart shows an interesting structure. Price is moving within a very wide sideways range, roughly from $11 to $147. The lower boundary of this range has already been defended by buyers in the past — in 2016 and again in 2020-2021. At the moment, seller initiative dominates within this range, with a potential target around 48.52. The 48.52 level represents the upper boundary of a buyer zone that has not yet been tested. This zone was formed by a high-volume candle, which adds to its significance. The base of that candle — the 47.071–48.52 range — is an area where it makes sense to look for long-term buying patterns. The 42.206 level is even more attractive for identifying long-term buying opportunities. The first target for long-term long positions, if this scenario plays out, is 95.501, which corresponds to a test of the seller zone. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf