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Wyckoff

KLCI CONTINUE SELLThis is continuation from my previous thesis : -Kindly refer to the link attached As been mentioned, i look the level of 1640-1676 as probably be the end for 2025 Given the pathological and continuous soaring 'sepsis' of market leaders, i dont see any reason to get in : -volatily around springboard too wide -paroxysmall huge supply at any given time -failure of 'Stage-Reversal' -surge of laggards I was forced to be cash since late October-Early Nov In the mean time, my few last dipping toes didnt make any dime I learned earlier that, during hard-ringgit times, i will just let others fighting for it. meanwhile, i am sitting, disclipne, waiting for the easy-ringgit moment.
FTSEMYX:FBMKLCIShort
by drsyariz
MGNT Short 5M Conservative CounterTrend DaytradeConservative CounterTrend trade + short impulse + resisting bar test level + 1/2 correction + weak approach + biggest volume 2Ut- - manipulation signal configuration needs a test Calculated affordable virtual stop 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H Countertrend "- long impulse + volumed TE / T1 + weak approach + biggest volume 2Ut-" 1D Trend "+ short impulse + BUI level + 1/2 correction + resistance level - volumed retest" 1M Trend "+ short impulse = neutral zone type 2 + continuation of the trend" 1Y CounterTrend "- long impulse - T2 level - support zone - 1/2 correction - biggest volume Sp? + model doesn't work"
RUS:MGNTShort
by MishaSuvorov
STRK just completed one of the cleanest Wyckoff Accumulation The chart literally looks like it was copied straight from the textbook: Selling Climax → ST → Spring → Breakout Perfect reclaim of the entire range Volume kicking in right at resistance Composite Operator behavior all over this This is the kind of setup most traders only recognize after the markup begins. If this plays out: 📌 $0.25 → $0.34 → $0.45+ That’s the path. Not a guarantee — just a pattern the market has respected for over 100 years. This is why you study structure. This is why you watch accumulation ranges. STRK is waking up. NASDAQ:STRK #Wyckoff
Long
by SpecuVisionary
KHC Short 5M Aggressive Trend DayTradeAggressive Trend Trade - long impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance zone + biggest volume 2Ut+ + weak test + first bearish bar closed entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss Bought puts 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H Trend "+ short impulse + BUI level + resistance zone + 1/2 correction - strong approach" 1D Trend "+ short impulse + BUI test / T2 level + resistance zone + volumed 2Ut+" 1M Trend "+ short impulse = neutral zone 2" 1Y Trend no context
NASDAQ:KHCShort
by MishaSuvorov
ETH — Signs of StrengthEthereum has printed a lower low at point B, but quickly reclaimed the low of A — another sign of strength despite overall market weakness. From a Wyckoff perspective, the elevated volatility around A may indicate a Selling Climax (SC), where panic selling was actively absorbed. The lower low at B followed by a sharp recovery fits the structure of a Terminal Shakeout, which reduces the floating supply before a potential Mark-Up phase. Price is currently interacting with the descending R-line. A breakout above this level may signal the start of a bullish impulse. What I expect next: — Potential bullish breakout above the R-line — Formation of a local uptrend within the channel — Move toward the 3,350–3,450 resistance zone, where the mid-term trendline is located (marked as Target) — Possible confirmation of a shift toward a more bullish market tone heading into the new week
Long
by supplyanddemandtrading
PENDLE vs Bear BiasPENDLE’s chart is loaded with nuance right now. There’s a lot in play, and multiple paths could unfold from here so staying nimble and managing risk is key. The October 10 flash crash left a deep wick at the bottom of the range. Price initially bounced back to ~$3.87 but has since retraced heavily into that wick. Candle spreads are widening, which suggests selling pressure is still present, but volume hasn’t picked up. That leans me toward accumulation rather than distribution. We’re currently hovering around the EQ of that wick. If price pushes out strongly from here, the pullback may be complete and we can treat the October 10 low as a low-volume spring. If price continues to pull back, we may sweep those October lows and form the actual spring. The ideal confirmation would be a weekly move below the range on volume, followed by a close back inside the range preferably with a doji or hammer. Psychologically, that would be the cleanest setup, injecting liquidity and setting the stage for reversal. Just below the range sits the yearly S1 pivot and a major monthly FVG both worth watching. Trade Scenario 1 – Early Entry with Spring Add-on Entry • Start layering in now (as outlined above) • Add again if we get the spring confirmation Stop Loss • No hard SL yet. This setup leans advanced. • If we see large bearish candles on rising volume, the thesis is invalidated and we exit. Trade Scenario 2 – Wait for Spring Confirmation Entry • Wait for price to sweep the lows and print the spring candle • Enter on confirmation (weekly close back in range with volume) Targets for Both Scenarios Keep it simple: • EQ of the range • Range highs • Minimal range extension if price breaks out above This is a contrarian view. Many expect crypto to roll over into a broader bear phase. But if this spring plays out, PENDLE could offer a clean bounce setup with strong psychological structure with most retail traders left behind.
Long
by AlvinDeo96
Where traders tend to failAfter 25 years playing this game, it is incredible to see the same issues today for new traders as there have always been. In a nutshell, OVERCOMPLICATION!!! New traders will often go looking for as much information as possible, adding instruments, screens, indicators, timeframes, news feeds. Anything looking for an edge. Go back over 100 years and Charles Dow - yes, the same Dow behind the #DJI (The industrial average) laid down a very simple framework for understanding the markets. I have written several posts here on @TradingView about Dow Theory here's one of them. Inside this post, you will see this image. For some of you familiar with either Elliott Wave principles or Wyckoff Techniques, you might recognise some elements of an image like this. Both Richard Wyckoff and Ralph Elliott were onto something. But over the years these techniques have been "added to" creating hybrids and then assumptions are often made. Complex is key... Or so they think. When you try and trade an Elliott wave cycle on a 5-minute chart on some instrument that has not been fully adopted by institutional players, you are asking for trouble. Psychology is more important in trading than, quite possibly 99.9% of other aspects of trading. So whilst people tend to add to the technical analysis part of trading, they often ignore the psychology controlling the market. I am not talking about psychology in terms of simple risk management and high probability moves. I am talking about the piece of the psychology studies that controls the masses. Sentiment is one thing, the psychology that drives sentiment is where the failing and struggling traders simply ignore. I wrote a post - trying to add some humour. Here's a Simpson's post. ========================================= Let me give you an example; People tend to use simple off the shelf indicators; now when millions use the same tools. Why is it that 90% + of traders still lose money? Here is a snapshot of the MACD and RSI side by side. Now look closely at the price action. What additional info are you getting from these lagging indicators (rhetorical question). . Let's look at this in a simple way; no indicators, clean chart, Dow Theory in focus. When price moves up you will often see accumulation, then as price reaches it's next area of interest and starts to pullback (oversimplified) you will see, even on smaller timeframes as this is not always obvious on the same timeframe. a distribution pattern. Overall, the price action has created a simple Elliott Wave move from a zero point, up to one and pushing down for a two. Where this gets interesting, and simple... Is the psychology behind it, The momentum up is often created by early buyers (yes, state the obvious) these buyers have been accumulating. Then, as retail jumps in because RSI says so. The price pulls back. This is often deep into the zone it just left, retail often using small timeframes and tight stops - 5 pips, 10 pips. So you often see a PB of 11 pips (example) and you get that feeling of "why does it always hit my stop and then go in my desired direction"? The momentum from taking these stops, then goes on to create an impulsive 2-3 move in EW terms. This is stops becoming opposing orders. Thus creating momentum to break the high of the 1 move. New stops from shorts get triggered and momentum traders enter positions. All of which fuels a larger rally. Now, when you break this down. You can draw ranges and operate inside these ranges to know the general bias. And just like that, you are on the right side of the market more often than not. Here's a more detailed post on this aspect. To give an example here: The larger swing creates a range. An obvious high and low as marked in this image. Then as the move inside happens; Think Dow Theory; The market is giving a very clear clue. We just took out a fresh high and the market is seeking liquidity. That internal move will have a fractal move inside; let's call that a trigger move. Keep in mind, the larger trend does not change it's directional bias until it breaks the old low or the fresh high. Now, although the price does not have to. The price can pull all the way back to the low and not change the larger trend. Once you get to grips with this, you will stop trying to predict the market and instead work with price action. Less, really, is more! Have a great weekend!!! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
15
Is DAVE a Bull Trap? A Wyckoff Distribution take DAVE is flashing elements of a Wyckoff Distribution and could be setting up for a pullback soon. The market moves in cycles: buy low, uptrend, sell high, downtrend, repeat. The sell high part is what we are interested in for today's chart. Wyckoff theorized that you could identify when participants are finally starting to sell their shares by analyzing price and volume. The process is roughly outlined via his trading schematics. *Note: The indicator on the chart highlights bullish and bearish candles that have above average volume for easy identification. Phase A is all about stopping the uptrend. DAVE had a monster run from its previous earnings and we see our first evidence of profit taking at the PS. The buying climax (BC) is met with a large red sell candle with above average volume. Phase B is about shedding shares. Note the wide candle spreads and large selling volume after the UT. Now that a range has been identified, institutions will use it to manipulate price and exit their positions. Note that the large volume days only appear at the top or bottom of the range. Phase C is optional but I believe we are currently in it. Phase C is a test to see if there are any more buyers out there before they enter the downtrending phase. Institutions will break price above the trading range to make it seem as if the trend will continue to the upside when, in reality, they are loading up the short trade. I have observed that this most recent earnings report has caused significant volatility. I am looking for institutions to try to send price higher. I think 180-190 would be ideal. That price is just around the initial UT high, and many traders are watching for new highs. The downside target would be about $110. Please let me know your thoughts.
NASDAQ:DAVEShort
by Decam9
DXY (DOLLAR INDEX) outlook for this weekDXY Weekly Outlook Looking at the dollar this week, it’s aligning nicely with my setups on EU and GU. I’m watching to see if price will mitigate the 8hr supply zone, which fits perfectly with my plan to buy EU and GU from their demand zones — since a move down in the dollar typically means those pairs will push higher. Alternatively, if the dollar bounces from demand and continues up, then I’ll be looking for sell opportunities on EU and GU instead. Overall, DXY still looks bullish long term, and I believe this current downside move is just a temporary bearish correction before continuing higher.
TVC:DXY
by Hassan_fx
1
EUR/USD Perspective for the 2nd week of NovEU Weekly Outlook This week, EU isn’t moving exactly in sync with GU, which is unusual — so we’ll treat it as its own setup and focus purely on what the chart is showing us right now. - Scenario (A): I’ll be waiting for a deeper retracement to capitalise on the bullish move and see if a rally can form from the 5hr demand zone below. - Scenario (B): Alternatively, if price continues climbing, I’ll be looking for buy setups up towards the 5hr supply zone. From there, I’ll wait to see how price reacts — ideally slowing down before reaching supply, especially with an Asia high sitting just above. P.S. We’ll see what price does once the market opens Monday morning, but either POI marked could provide a solid setup this week. Stay patient and adaptable! 💪
by Hassan_fx
MNHLDG (BULL) LATE STAGE CYCLE This is a continuation from my previous entry -Kindly refer to the link attached Entry based on assumption, that probably, trading range would unfolding from here on. Bar @ 22nd & 23rd October would be considered as SpringBoard -Hence, with Trigger Bar yesterday (24th October), position initiated with tight risk It is either im getting stop from here onward, bcoz of Distribution or Possiblity of formation Trading Range #1 (Spring ) ***Purple Color Line **Red Color line indicate Schematic #2 Trading Range This is one of the leaders that i bought recently, since KLCI has been worsening past few weeks. Usually , whenever a Leader Stock , has been undergoing 4th/5th Stepping Stone (aka Trading Range, or 'Base' for the Non-Wyckoffian) , it is a sign that probably the stock has reaching its late stage. Some Stock Investors, would like to hold n enjoy the ride along the BuLL Run for The Leaders. But i learnt that, with some 15-20% profit, compounding, will give me a much better return. I simply cannot stomach for loss >6%. And i want to have good sleep. Investing is a marathon, and it is demanding a lot from you, mentally. Stress management is very important to stay long in this business.
MYX:MNHLDGLong
by drsyariz
DTM Investment 1D Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + short impulse - unvolumed T2 level + resistance level + 1/2 correction + weak approach? + biggest volume 2Ut- - interaction bar bigger volume Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit Bough put Monthly CounterTrend "- long impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance level + biggest volume 2Ut- + more volume on reaction bar" Yearly CounterTrend "- long impulse - neutral zone 2 - continuation if the trend + exhaustion volume?"
NYSE:DTMShort
by MishaSuvorov
2
IREN 5M Short Conservative Trend DayTradeConservative Trend Trade + short impulse + unvolumed T2 + resistance zone - before 1/2 correction + strong approach + volumed 2Ut+ + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable virtual stop loss 1 to 2 R/R take profit within 5M range Bought put 1D Trend "- short balance + volumed T2 + resistance zone + 1/2 correction - strong approach + biggest volume 2Ut-" 1M CounterTrend "- long impulse + volumed T1 + resistance zone + weak approach + biggest volume Ut + test" 1Y CounterTrend "- long impulse = neutral zone + exhaustion volume?"
NASDAQ:IRENShort
by MishaSuvorov
NRG 1H Swing Short Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade + short impulse + resisting bar level + 1/2 correction + resistance zone + volume Ut? Bought put Calculated affordable virtual stop 1 to 2 R/R take profit before 1/2 1D Daily CounterTrend "- long impulse + volumed T1 + resistance zone - strong approach + volumed 2Ut+" Monthly CounterTrend "- long impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance zone + volumed manipulation bar - volumed reaction bar looks for break - volume distribution is long" Yearly CounterTrend "- long impulse = neutral zone"
NYSE:NRGShort
by MishaSuvorov