GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing the bearish targets yesterday, confirmed by the EMA-5 cross and lock, we continued to buy dips. We noted that the swing range was active, but the full swing hadn't played out yet.
Today, that full swing completed, reaching 3254, marking a perfect move within the expected range.
Now, the price is likely to fluctuate between 3233/3201lower Goldturns and 3254 as the upper Goldturn.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3447
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3447 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3502
POTENTIALLY 3525
BEARISH TARGETS
3307 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3281 - DONE
3254 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE (SWING ACTION COMPLETE)
3233 - DONE
3201
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
X-indicator
XAUUSD TRADE Entry from Support with Targets at 3,347 and 3,503Entry Point: 3,219.45
Stop Loss: 3,171.35
Target Point One: 3,347.49
EA Target Point (Final Target): 3,503.87
Trade Plan:
Risk Zone: Between entry (3,219.45) and stop loss (3,171.35). The trader risks roughly 48.1 points.
Reward Zone: From entry to:
Target Point One: ~128 points.
Final Target (EA Target): ~284.4 points.
Risk-Reward Ratios:
To Target Point One: ~2.66:1
To EA Target Point: ~5.9:1
Indicators and Signals:
Price appears to be bouncing off a support zone near 3,212–3,219, indicating a potential reversal.
200 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (red) are shown; price is slightly above the 200 EMA, suggesting long-term support.
There is a downtrend before the bounce, so this might be a counter-trend trade or the start of a new trend.
Summary:
This setup is a classic bounce from a demand/support zone with a clear upside potential. The risk is tightly managed, and the reward is significantly higher, aligning with favorable risk-reward principles. However, the position is speculative and relies on bullish follow-through from the support level. Watch price behavior near the 3,288 and 3,347 resistance zones to assess momentum.
Bitcoin BTC Is Entering Into CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
I got a lot of comments to analyze BINANCE:BTCUSDT because it has almost reached ATH and people don't understand what is happening. In my opinion last pain ahead and after that likely we see great gains.
Let's take a look at 4h time frame. We can finally notice the full 5 waves cycle which is likely to be finished. If you remember my recent analysis this is just the wave 1 inside higher degree wave 3. Awesome Oscillator has printed divergence, so there is a great chance that correction has been already started. The target for this correction is 0.5 Fibonacci at $90k. I don't recommend you to short this move if you are not experienced because this is trade against the trend.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Why Gold Is Pulling Back Now – May 2025 Update⚡️After surging above $3,500/oz in late April, gold has since declined over 8%, recently breaking below key levels and now trading near $3,210. The retracement reflects fading panic buying and growing attention to fundamental drivers: U.S. monetary policy, the strong dollar, easing geopolitical risks, and completed trade agreements. Here’s a breakdown of the leading catalysts and their current impact (ranked 0–10).
1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Bias Strength: 9/10 The Fed kept interest rates at 4.25–4.50% at its June policy meeting and reiterated its cautious stance. The absence of cuts combined with persistent inflation pressure is lifting real yields and undercutting gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
2. U.S. Dollar Resurgence Strength: 8/10The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed above 101 as investors digest the Fed’s hawkish tone. A stronger dollar reduces global gold demand, especially from non-USD buyers.
3. U.S.–China Trade Agreement Reached in Switzerland Strength: 7.5/10 A formal trade deal was announced in Geneva in May, easing longstanding tariff tensions. While specific tariff rollback details are pending, markets welcomed the de-escalation, pushing investors away from gold and into risk assets.
4. U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal Signed Strength: 7/10 The U.S. and U.K. finalized a bilateral trade agreement in early May, boosting global sentiment and further reducing the geopolitical premium priced into gold.
5. India–Pakistan Border De-escalation Strength: 6.5/10 After brief clashes in Kashmir in mid-May, both sides have since released statements of restraint. The calm has helped cap gold’s safe-haven bids.
6. Iran–U.S. Nuclear Talks Update Strength: 6/10 Talks resumed in Vienna in May with cautious optimism. While no concrete deal has been signed, progress and diplomatic language from both sides have eased fears of escalation.
7. Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Developments Strength: 5.5/10 Localized ceasefires in eastern Ukraine, brokered by Turkey and the UN, have lowered near-term geopolitical risk. However, skepticism remains around long-term stability.
8. ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand Strength: 5/10 ETF inflows slowed in May (up just 48.2 tonnes), reflecting waning retail momentum. Still, central bank buying—especially from China—offers a medium-term cushion.
Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025)
🔸Fed “higher for longer” bias 9
🔸U.S. dollar rebound 8
🔸U.S.–China trade agreement 5.5
🔸U.S.–U.K. trade deal signed 5
🔸India–Pakistan border easing 6.5
🔸Iran–U.S. nuclear diplomacy 6
🔸Russia–Ukraine ceasefire 5.5
🔸Global gold ETF & central-bank inflows 5
Where Next for Gold?
⚡️Current price: ~$3,210/oz
📉Recent support levels broken: $3,300 and $3,250
🎯Next technical floor: $3,150/oz
✨Upside triggers: Renewed dollar weakness, inflation surprise, or geopolitical flare-up
Gold’s recent drop reflects the market's rotation out of fear-driven trades into yield-bearing and risk assets. While the Fed and the dollar remain dominant forces, any shock—whether geopolitical or inflationary—could quickly reignite interest in gold as a hedge.
XAU/USD - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3321
2nd Resistance – 3364
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XAU/USD..4h chart pattern ..I'm planning a short (sell) trade on gold with the current price at **3254** and resistance at **3282**. Here's a breakdown of your sell targets:
### **Trade Plan: GOLD SELL**
- **Current Position:** 3254
- **Resistance Level:** 3282 (Stop Loss could be placed above this level, e.g., 3300-3315)
- **Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 3210 **(440 pips)**
- **2nd Target:** 3152 **(1020 pips total)**
- **3rd Target:** 3082 **(1720 pips total)**
- **4th Target:** 2967 **(2870 pips total)**
### **Risk Management Suggestions:**
1. **Stop Loss (SL):**
- Ideally above resistance (e.g., 3285-3290).
- Risk-reward ratio improves if SL is tight (e.g., 30-40 pips for the first target).
2. **Partial Profit Booking:**
- Consider closing part of the position at 3210 (1st target) to lock in profits.
- Trail SL to breakeven or adjust as price moves in your favor.
3. **Market Conditions:**
- If gold breaks above 3282, the bearish setup may be invalidated.
- Watch for price action near resistance (rejection candles for confirmation).
Would you like help with entry timing or technical confirmation signals? 🚀
After $105K Peak, Bitcoin May Revisit 0.382 FOB Level!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is pulling back after hitting a high of $105,800
If you look at the daily chart, we haven’t seen any healthy pullback, the price has gone straight up.
In my opinion, a retest of the 0.382 FOB level around $94K would be a healthy correction for Bitcoin. Based on the liquidation heatmap, we’re also seeing liquidity building up at lower levels.
This is one of the signs of a pullback, which is important for a sustainable and healthy market.
Stay tuned and follow for more updates!
Gold Market Update: Bears will target 3150 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Drops: Prices dip as risk appetite grows and profit-taking kicks in.
🤝 U.S.-China Deal: 90-day tariff pause boosts USD, pressures gold.
📊 Tech Watch: Key support levels eyed by traders for entry points.
🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: Analysts still see path to $4,000 amid uncertainty.
⚠️ Recession Signal: Oil-gold gap hints at slowdown—bullish for gold.
🏠 Investment Shift: Gold now 2nd-best long-term U.S. investment (after real estate).
🌍 BRICS Buying: Emerging nations hoard gold to ditch dollar.
🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility.
📈 JP Morgan Bullish: EUROTLX:4K gold possible even with growth.
💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,253.40 (+0.52%) today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback in progress still
▪️3300 USD cleared by the BEARS
▪️market gapped down at open
▪️3300 is heavy resistance for now
▪️Compression on lower timeframes
▪️Flag on Flag Bearish pattern
▪️short-term expecting more losses
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Short Sell Rips/Rallies
▪️TP Bears 3150 USD
GBPUSD: Strong Sell Momentum Built Up! What is next?GBPUSD is building strong sell momentum, increasing sell volume. At the same time, DXY is in correction mode, so keep that in mind. If DXY plummets again, it may invalidate our first entry. However, there’s a second entry that could be a safer zone for those looking for a stable entry.
There are three take profit targets that can be set according to your trading plan. This analysis doesn’t guarantee that the price will move as described.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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BTC - New Short-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-13 : Rally 111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests we will see continued upward price trending in the SPY/QQQ (and possibly BTCUSD).
I believe the continued positive news/announcements by the Trump administration is adding fuel for the current rally phase in the US markets. It is hard to ignore his tactics (like them or hate them). He is able to get things done in a way that many believe is disruptive.
Still, from what I'm hearing, the Chinese trade deal is a very broad and advantageous deal that somewhat "resets" the disparity the US has experienced for the past 20+ years with China. Overall, that is a very positive advancement in global trade.
Now, we'll have to see how the markets react to this news and is the hype is as good as the final trade deal.
Overall, the US markets are still climbing up the current FLAGGING formation (still BULLISH).
I see another Island (GAP) type of price move, which may prompt some consolidation - we'll see how things play out.
Gold and Silver are setting up double/triple bottoms across support.
BTCUSD is rallying higher within a similar FLAG formation to the SPY/QQQ.
In my mind, the markets are back to nearly where they were prior to the tariffs and early breakdown in late-February 2025. This is the "make or break" time for the markets.
Either the SPY continues higher and attempts to break above resistance - or it will start to fail over the next 5-10+ days and break downward.
Buckle up... and GET SOME.
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Altseason Has Been Started (But I Am Not Sure...)Hello, Skyrexans!
Let's carefully make update on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D because previous analysis where I bet for local top slightly above 65% is playing out even stronger than I supposed. Today I will show you why altseason could be already started, why I am not sure and where is the critical level.
Earlier I told that daily time frame does not suit for this Elliott waves cycle measurement, but we have 155 bars there, slightly above 140 bars, so we can count it as a valid. Moreover we can see zero line cross on Awesome Oscillator, but again only slightly. That's why I am not sure if uptrend on dominance is over or we shall wait for earlier predicted wave to 67%. But anyway I am sure that 60-61% will be reached before, so it was not a mistake to be in altcoins from 65.3%. When price will reach Fibonacci level we will see how it will approach it and make a decision about our altcoin's holdings.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Bitcoin ($BTC) Technical Outlook – Weekly Chart
As long as BTC holds above the $90K–$93K support range, the structure remains bullish with strong upside potential. The $124K and $146K levels represent logical Fibonacci-based extension targets for the next macro leg.
🎯 Target Levels:
T1: $124,147
T2: $146,303
@RosePremiumm
USD/JPY Bullish Setup – Demand Zone Buy Opportunity Toward 151.5🔍 Chart Overview (4H Timeframe):
Currency Pair: USD/JPY
Trend: 📈 Uptrend
EMA 70: 🔴 (144.776) – Price is trading above it = Bullish Bias
---
🟦 Demand Zone
📌 Zone: 144.804 – 146.324
💡 What it means: Strong buying interest expected here
🟢 Support line + EMA = Confluence zone!
---
✅ Entry Point:
📍 Between: 146.324 – 146.423
🎯 Best area for long (buy) position
📊 Wait for a pullback to this area before entering
---
❌ Stop Loss:
📉 Below demand zone
🔻 Range: 144.705 – 144.776
🛡️ Helps protect against unexpected drop
---
🎯 Target Point:
📈 151.500
🟩 Big reward area
🔥 Previous resistance zone = Ideal profit-taking point
---
🧭 Summary:
✅ Entry: 146.324
❌ Stop: 144.776
🎯 Target: 151.500
Risk-to-Reward: Excellent!
"The President wants lower rates"On February 5th we heard the following from US Treasury Secretary:
“The president wants lower rates,” Bessent said in an interview with Larry Kudlow, “He and I are focused on the 10-year Treasury and what is the yield of that.”
Bessent has further stated:
“He wants lower rates. He is not calling for the Fed to lower rates,” Bessent said. Trump believes that “if we deregulate the economy, if we get this tax bill done, if we get energy down, then rates will take care of themselves and the dollar will take care of itself.”
“We cut the spending, we cut the size of government, we get more efficiency in government, and we’re going to go into a good interest rate cycle,” Bessent said.
Currently, the bond market is calling BS on the above.
IMO the only way the bond market will come down meaningfully is if and only if there is fiscal responsibility. At some point the government will understand what the bond market demands...until then we will stay higher for longer. I would not be surprised at all if the 10 year hits 5.3% this year.
A doubling of the move in the lower orange box should not surprise anyone....that puts the 10 year somewhere in the 5.4% range. IMO anywhere between 5.3 and 5.6 is certainly possible and maybe even probable.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Strong start to the week for our chart setup. Despite initial bearish momentum, price action aligned well with our dip buying strategy.
The session began with the bearish target at 3307 being achieved, triggering a key price reaction. This was followed by a ema5 cross and lock, confirming the activation of the retracement zone, which was also tested and respected with precision. We have now observed a confirmed breakout from the retracement range, opening the swing range. This move delivered our textbook swing bounce, again supporting our dip buying strategy.
The full extent of the swing range remains active, indicating continued opportunity for strategic dip entries while the range structure holds.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3447
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3447 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3502
POTENTIALLY 3525
BEARISH TARGETS
3307 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3281 - DONE
3254 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233 - DONE
3201
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
US500 - Let the Bulls Strive!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong support and structure!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/USD) Technical Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC-Trading Point update
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the idea behind the analysis:
Key Elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance zone: Around 0.64350–0.64450
Support zone: Around 0.63450–0.63550
2. EMA (200):
The price is currently below the 200 EMA (0.64259), indicating bearish momentum.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 50, indicating neutral momentum, but recently crossed down, hinting potential bearish continuation.
4. Two Scenarios Proposed:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the resistance zone (~0.64400), a bullish rally toward the upper target at 0.65139 is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price gets rejected from the resistance and breaks below the current support zone, a bearish move toward 0.63461 is expected.
5. Current Bias:
Slight bearish bias as the price is below both the resistance zone and the 200 EMA, with a possible setup for a breakdown.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
This is a classic breakout or breakdown setup. The price is near a decision point, and the next move will likely depend on whether it breaks above the resistance or below the support zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow
GOLD forms a DOUBLE TOP. Support 3200. Trend reversalGOLD is forming support for the double top reversal pattern
A break of 3200 will confirm the market's intention to reverse the trend and go downwards.
Scenario: There is a lot of important news from the US and Great Britain ahead. If the general fundamental background remains and the dollar continues its bullish trend, then we will be close to a breakdown of 3200.
Thus, a break of 3200 and consolidation below the level will be a signal that we are ready to go down.
SOLUSDT may rise to 200.0 after long-squeezeMarket maker collected liquidity from 168.5 (liquidation of buyers, entry of sellers and subsequent liquidation of sellers)
After a false breakdown the price went up on a light wave
After the long squeeze, the price is already going to continue the trend with peace of mind.
Ahead is a strong resistance from D1 180 - 180.3.
A break of the level will attract buyers. The target may be 200 - 205
Scenario: a retest of the resistance may end in a small correction. If there is no reversal and the price continues to test 180-180.3, we can expect a breakout, which may attract buyers and further growth to 200 - 205.
Bearish AB=CD - Sell at Current Price!FX:EURUSD has broken its bullish support and formed a bearish AB=CD pattern. AB=CD is a bearish continuation pattern which aligns with the overall price action.
I am shorting EURUSD at current market price and expecting retracement until Point D to complete the pattern!
XAU/USD: Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after the price rose to $3248, it once again faced a correction and eventually closed at $3326. I expect that with the market opening, we’ll see further correction from gold, and the first potential target will likely be the $3213–$3216 area.
The key demand zones are $3253–$3274 and the $3313 level.
The key supply zones are $3355–$3369 and $3395–$3408.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban