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BTC market snapshotBTC is facing resistance in the $115-117kk zone. The monthly TF divergence still hasn’t played out, which remains a strong short signal. This doesn’t necessarily mean a drop will happen immediately, but the risk is definitely there. A potential double top (a classic trend reversal pattern) is forming, with a breakdown level around 108k. Locally, price is holding above MA200-day - a break below $108k would also confirm a trend reversal. A short squeeze can’t ruled out, but overall, I’m sill leaning to the short side.
Short
by Juliia
BITCOIN 1HR CHART.BITCOIN ,technically am watching the 1hr supply roof at 113,660.23-114,000 and a technically breakout will cause a retest of 115,928.78-116,327.18 and final breakout if possible will see price approaching 121k-123k. but however if we respect any of the stated sell zones and supply roof that could be a technical sell sell zones/buy confirmation on break of structure 113,660-114000 sell zone /buy confirmation on break of structure 116,327.18-115,928.78 sell zone 121k-123k zone or target the ascending trendline touch for perfect point of entry sell zone on break of 103,300-103,850 ascending trendline with 5 touches and target 94k-98k and wait and watch. #butcoin #btcusdt
Long
by Shavyfxhub
CBDCs as Digital AssetsIntroduction In the rapidly evolving landscape of global finance, digitalization is redefining how value is created, stored, and exchanged. Among the most transformative innovations in this domain is the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) — a digital form of sovereign money issued by a nation’s central bank. Unlike cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, CBDCs are centralized, fully regulated, and backed by the monetary authority of a country. As financial systems shift toward more digital and decentralized infrastructures, CBDCs are emerging not only as new payment tools but also as significant digital assets that may redefine global trade, investment, and monetary policy. This essay explores the concept of CBDCs as digital assets, their structure, design models, global adoption trends, potential benefits, risks, and their future implications for economies and financial systems worldwide. Understanding CBDCs: Concept and Structure A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is a digital version of a country’s fiat currency, representing a direct liability of the central bank. It can be used by individuals, businesses, and financial institutions as a means of payment, store of value, and unit of account — the three fundamental functions of money. Unlike commercial bank deposits or cryptocurrencies, CBDCs are risk-free because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the issuing government. CBDCs typically exist in two primary forms: Retail CBDCs: Designed for public use, enabling citizens and businesses to conduct transactions directly with the central bank through digital wallets. Example: The Bahamian Sand Dollar, Nigeria’s eNaira, and China’s e-CNY. Wholesale CBDCs: Used primarily by financial institutions for interbank settlements, cross-border transfers, and clearing operations. Example: Project Helvetia by the Swiss National Bank and Project Jura by the Banque de France. As digital assets, CBDCs are tokenized representations of sovereign money that exist in digital form on a secure ledger — either centralized or distributed. They can integrate with blockchain technology or function on traditional centralized databases, depending on the design choice of the issuing central bank. CBDCs vs. Cryptocurrencies and Stablecoins To understand CBDCs as digital assets, it is essential to distinguish them from other digital currencies: Cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum) are decentralized, not backed by any authority, and rely on market demand for valuation. Stablecoins (e.g., USDT, USDC) are privately issued tokens pegged to fiat currencies but not directly guaranteed by central banks. CBDCs, on the other hand, combine the trust and stability of fiat currencies with the efficiency and speed of digital technology. This hybrid nature positions CBDCs as state-backed digital assets that can bridge the gap between traditional financial systems and the emerging digital economy. The Economic Rationale Behind CBDCs Central banks worldwide are exploring CBDCs for several economic and strategic reasons: Enhancing Payment Efficiency: Traditional payment systems, especially cross-border transactions, are slow and costly. CBDCs can streamline these processes by enabling real-time settlements and reducing dependency on intermediaries. Financial Inclusion: CBDCs can extend financial services to unbanked populations by allowing anyone with a mobile phone to access digital payment systems, especially in developing nations. Maintaining Monetary Sovereignty: The rapid rise of private digital currencies and foreign stablecoins poses a challenge to national monetary control. CBDCs enable central banks to retain authority over the money supply and ensure economic stability. Reducing Transaction Costs: With blockchain or distributed ledger technology (DLT), CBDCs can minimize clearing and settlement costs, promoting more transparent and efficient financial ecosystems. Combating Illicit Activities: Digital traceability enables better monitoring of transactions, helping authorities curb money laundering, tax evasion, and terrorism financing. CBDCs as Digital Assets in Financial Markets As digital assets, CBDCs possess unique attributes that can transform both domestic and international finance. Their programmable nature and compatibility with other tokenized assets open the door to new financial models and asset ecosystems. 1. Tokenization and Programmability CBDCs can be programmed with smart contracts, enabling automated execution of financial transactions — such as interest payments, tax collection, or subsidy distribution — without intermediaries. This programmable feature turns CBDCs into intelligent digital assets capable of interacting with decentralized finance (DeFi) systems, digital bonds, and other tokenized securities. 2. Integration with Digital Asset Markets CBDCs can serve as the foundation layer for broader digital asset ecosystems. They can facilitate instant settlement of tokenized assets, streamline securities trading, and enhance liquidity management. For example, central banks could use wholesale CBDCs to settle government bond trades in real time, reducing counterparty risks. 3. Cross-Border Payments In global trade, CBDCs could eliminate the inefficiencies of correspondent banking. Multi-CBDC arrangements, such as the mBridge project (involving Hong Kong, China, Thailand, and the UAE), are testing platforms where multiple CBDCs interact seamlessly. This could create a new class of digital reserve assets, enabling faster, cheaper, and more transparent cross-border settlements. Global Adoption and Case Studies Central banks across more than 130 countries — representing over 98% of global GDP — are exploring or piloting CBDC initiatives. Some notable examples include: China (Digital Yuan / e-CNY): The People’s Bank of China has been a pioneer in retail CBDCs, using the e-CNY for domestic transactions, public salaries, and pilot programs in major cities. European Union (Digital Euro): The European Central Bank aims to launch a digital euro to complement physical cash, ensuring privacy, security, and monetary stability in the Eurozone. India (Digital Rupee / e₹): The Reserve Bank of India launched pilot programs for wholesale and retail CBDCs in 2022, exploring use cases in interbank settlements, government payments, and retail transactions. United States (Digital Dollar): The Federal Reserve is researching potential frameworks for a digital dollar, emphasizing privacy, interoperability, and financial stability. Bahamas (Sand Dollar): The world’s first fully deployed retail CBDC, launched in 2020, aimed at improving financial inclusion across remote islands. These global experiments highlight CBDCs’ potential as national digital assets that could reshape the structure of global payments and reserves. Benefits of CBDCs as Digital Assets Trust and Stability: Being issued by central banks, CBDCs are backed by government guarantees, making them a more stable form of digital money compared to volatile cryptocurrencies. Interoperability: CBDCs can act as a universal settlement asset across various financial systems, improving coordination between banks, fintechs, and digital platforms. Transparency and Traceability: Digital ledgers enable authorities to monitor money flows in real time, enhancing fiscal transparency and reducing corruption. Resilience and Innovation: By introducing programmable features, CBDCs foster innovation in payment systems, encouraging new fintech products and digital services. Cost Reduction: The elimination of intermediaries lowers transaction fees and settlement times, particularly in international trade and remittances. Support for Digital Transformation: CBDCs align with broader trends toward digital economies, e-governance, and data-driven policy-making. Risks and Challenges While CBDCs offer vast potential, they also introduce new complexities and risks that central banks must manage carefully. 1. Privacy Concerns CBDCs could enable governments to track every transaction, raising concerns about surveillance and data privacy. Designing systems that balance transparency with anonymity is critical. 2. Cybersecurity Risks As digital assets, CBDCs are vulnerable to cyberattacks, data breaches, and technological failures. Ensuring secure, resilient, and tamper-proof systems is essential. 3. Financial Disintermediation If individuals hold CBDCs directly with central banks, it may reduce the role of commercial banks in deposit-taking, potentially destabilizing credit markets. 4. Technological Inequality Not all citizens have equal access to digital infrastructure. Poor connectivity and lack of digital literacy could limit CBDC adoption. 5. Global Fragmentation Different technological standards and regulatory frameworks across nations could create fragmented CBDC ecosystems, hindering cross-border interoperability. 6. Monetary Policy Complexity Introducing programmable money could complicate the transmission of monetary policy and raise new questions about interest rates on digital assets. CBDCs and the Future of Monetary Policy CBDCs provide central banks with new tools for implementing and monitoring monetary policy. For instance: Direct Stimulus Distribution: Governments could issue programmable CBDCs for targeted economic aid, ensuring efficient and transparent delivery. Interest-bearing CBDCs: Central banks could adjust interest rates directly on CBDC holdings, influencing spending and saving behavior more precisely. Real-time Economic Data: Digital transaction data could provide policymakers with real-time insights into economic activity, enabling faster responses to inflation or recession. However, this also raises concerns about excessive control and the need for robust governance frameworks to prevent misuse of power. CBDCs and the Digital Asset Ecosystem The emergence of CBDCs is not occurring in isolation. They are expected to interact with other components of the digital asset ecosystem, including: Tokenized securities and commodities Decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols Blockchain-based identity systems Digital wallets and payment gateways By enabling secure settlement and universal interoperability, CBDCs could become the anchor of the global digital asset infrastructure — ensuring stability in a marketplace otherwise characterized by volatility and fragmentation. The Future Outlook The evolution of CBDCs represents more than a technological upgrade — it signifies a shift in the philosophy of money. As digital assets, CBDCs have the potential to transform the global financial order by: Redefining the role of central banks in the digital economy Enhancing global financial inclusion and efficiency Introducing programmable, transparent, and instantaneous financial systems In the coming decade, the success of CBDCs will depend on how well central banks address privacy, security, interoperability, and governance challenges while ensuring public trust and economic stability. Conclusion CBDCs, as digital assets, stand at the intersection of technology, economics, and policy. They combine the reliability of state-backed money with the innovation of blockchain and digital finance. By doing so, they promise to modernize financial systems, expand inclusion, and strengthen monetary sovereignty. Yet, their implementation requires careful balancing between innovation and regulation, privacy and oversight, and efficiency and stability. Ultimately, CBDCs are more than just a new form of currency — they are the next evolution of money in the digital era. As nations continue experimenting and refining their models, CBDCs will likely play a pivotal role in shaping the future of the global financial system — transforming how we perceive, use, and store value in an increasingly digital world.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
SWING IDEA - BEMLBEML Ltd , a key player in India’s defence and heavy equipment sector, is displaying a strong bullish breakout setup supported by multiple technical confirmations. Reasons are listed below : Breakout of a long-term trendline after multiple retests Cup and Handle breakout, signaling continuation strength VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) breakout indicating accumulation Bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe confirming momentum Higher highs and higher lows structure intact Trading above 50 & 200 EMA, reinforcing trend strength Target - 5400 Stoploss - daily close below 3940 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:BEMLLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
Is AUD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Breakout? Join the Surge!🚀 AUSSIE vs SWISS: AUD/CHF Wealth Heist Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🦘 🎯 Market: AUD/CHF (Forex) 💡 Strategy: Bullish Swing/Day Trade with Re-Accumulation Confirmation. Buckle up, traders! It's time to pull off a slick market heist with the "Thief Strategy" on AUD/CHF. We're layering up entries like a mastermind stacking cash, aiming for a high-voltage profit zone while dodging traps. Let’s break it down with style and precision! 😎 📈 Trade Setup: The Thief’s Playbook Bias: Bullish 🚀We’re spotting a re-accumulation pattern signaling the bulls are loading up for a breakout. AUD/CHF is primed for a move, and we’re ready to ride the wave! Entry Strategy: Layered Buy Limit Orders (Thief Style) 🕵️‍♂️ Deploy multiple buy limit orders to stack the deck in your favor: 🎯 Buy Limit @ 0.52200 🎯 Buy Limit @ 0.52300 🎯 Buy Limit @ 0.52400 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite — scale up like a true market bandit! Stop Loss: Thief’s Safety Net @ 0.52000 🛑 This is my suggested stop loss, but you’re the boss of your vault! Adjust based on your risk tolerance. Don’t let the market pickpocket your capital! Take Profit: High-Voltage Resistance Zone @ 1.18700 ⚡A juicy resistance zone awaits, packed with overbought signals and a potential trap. Lock in profits here or adjust your exit to suit your style. Grab the loot and escape before the trap springs! Note: This is a suggested target. You decide when to cash out — take profits at your own risk! 🔍 Why AUD/CHF? The Market Intel Re-Accumulation Confirmation: The chart shows a textbook re-accumulation phase, with price consolidating before a bullish breakout. Volume and momentum are aligning for a push higher. Market Dynamics: AUD (commodity-driven) vs. CHF (safe-haven) creates a tug-of-war. With risk-on sentiment rising, AUD could outmuscle CHF. Trap Alert: Watch for a false breakout at the 1.18700 resistance zone. Overbought conditions may lure in early sellers — don’t get caught! 💵 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated pairs (priced in USD) to gauge market sentiment: OANDA:AUDUSD : If the Aussie is pumping against the USD, it’s a good sign for AUD/CHF strength. Watch for bullish momentum here to confirm our bias. OANDA:USDCHF : A weakening USD/CHF could amplify AUD/CHF’s upside as CHF loses ground. Check for bearish signals in USD/CHF to align with our trade. OANDA:NZDCHF : Similar to AUD/CHF, NZD/CHF often moves in tandem due to AUD/NZD correlation. A bullish NZD/CHF could reinforce our setup. Key Correlation Note: AUD and NZD often move together due to their commodity-driven economies. If AUD/USD and NZD/USD are rallying, it’s a green light for our AUD/CHF bullish bias. Conversely, a strong USD/CHF could cap our upside, so stay sharp! 🛠️ Thief Strategy Breakdown Layering Entries: By stacking buy limit orders at 0.52200, 0.52300, and 0.52400, we’re averaging into the trade to catch the best entry zone. This minimizes risk if the market dips before blasting off. Risk Management: The 0.52000 stop loss keeps our downside tight. Adjust your position size to keep risk below 1-2% of your account — don’t let the market rob you blind! Profit Zone: The 1.18700 target is a high-probability resistance area. Use RSI or Stochastic indicators to confirm overbought conditions before exiting. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is a Thief Style trading strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Trading involves risks, and you’re responsible for your own decisions. Always do your own research and manage your risk like a pro. No financial advice here — just a playful heist plan to spark your trading creativity! ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #Hashtags: #AUDCHF #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis
Long
by The-Thief
BTC Intraday Trap? Price Spikes, Volume Stalls 🕵️‍♂️ Observation: - Price made a sharp spike upward, grabbing attention. - But behind the scenes, volume told a different story—slow, hesitant, and lacking buyer aggression. - CVD showed no real pressure from buyers; AO momentum faded quickly after the spike. - This looks like a classic liquidity grab or engineered move to trap breakout traders. - No follow-through from buyers = no conviction. - Price structure remains vulnerable, especially near supply zones or previous POC.
Short
by jshafx
2
Analysis of the trend of gold next weekCurrently, the gold market is in a stage of "shock - upward movement driven by news". Although there is a battle between bulls and bears at the $4112 level, the upward opportunities next week are more worthy of attention. It is necessary to lay out in line with the trend and strictly control risks. The specific strategy is as follows: I. Core Logic: Key Factors Influencing the Gold Price Trend Next Week 1. **The medium - and long - term support foundation remains intact**: The Federal Reserve has already started the interest - rate - cutting cycle. Judging from the meeting minutes, officials tend to gradually continue to loosen policies. As a result, the cost of holding gold is getting lower and lower, and its attractiveness is naturally increasing. Moreover, global central banks are still continuously buying gold. This long - term and large - scale buying can underpin the gold price, making a significant decline highly unlikely. In addition, the output growth rate of the world's top ten gold - mining enterprises has only been 1.8% in the past three years, and the problem of tight supply will also support the price in the long term. 2. **Short - term positive signals are increasing**: There are new signs of tension in the Middle East situation. The Houthi militia in Yemen has attacked the cargo ships in the Red Sea, resulting in 18% of the world's container ships changing their routes, and the shipping costs have soared. The market's safe - haven demand has significantly rebounded. Once such geopolitical risks ferment, they will drive funds to flow into gold. At the same time, the gold price rebounded after falling to around $4000 this week, indicating that the buying support at low levels is very strong, and much of the previous pullback pressure has been released. 3. **Key events next week will determine the direction**: The market is closely watching the changes in relevant news. Whether it is the new dynamics of the Middle East situation or the policy signals from the Federal Reserve, they will directly affect the gold price trend. Judging from the recent fluctuations, as long as the support near $4000 is not broken, the possibility of an upward trend is greater than that of a downward trend. Trading strategy for gold next week xauusd @buy4040-4060 TP:4110-4150-4200
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
BITCOIN ON DAILY TIME FRAME THE ASCENDING TRENDLINE HELD PRICE FROMTHE DEMAND FLOOR MORE THAN 5 TOUCHES AND PRODUCED A STRONG REJECTION ON DOUBLE CONFLUENCE AT 103,300k-,BUYERS RETURNED AND RETESTED THE SAME ASCENDINGTRENDLINE AT 103,800K AND WE ARE SEEING A SMALL BUY POTENTIAL . Technically we saw a rejection at 114,084.91 supply roof on the descending trendline connect the current all time high sell structure .on double confluence as illustrated on the chart we rejected 114,084.91 on the descending trendline and from the current price position we could be retesting 114,084-115,900 a make or break situation because we have a technical breakout of the descending trendline connecting the current all time high...this is a likely high case scenario for now. if we reject this zone we sell and if we break out of structure we add more long position . technical sell is on hold until we breakout of daily demand floor that provided the buy impetus at 103,300-103850 with 5 touches respected and as illustrated from our previous post. layer by layer ,dont rush ,no oversight ,precision is big money in trading. HISTORICAL CONTEXT /OVERVIEW AND APPLICATION OF BITCOIN Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency and the first cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, which is a public ledger that records all transactions securely and transparently without the need for a central authority. Key Features of Bitcoin Decentralization: No central bank or government controls Bitcoin, making it resistant to censorship and centralized manipulation. Limited Supply: Total supply is capped at 21 million bitcoins, which introduces scarcity and potential value appreciation over time. Pseudonymity: Transactions are publicly recorded but can be conducted without revealing personal identities directly. Security: Uses cryptographic proof and consensus mechanisms (Proof of Work) to secure transactions and prevent double-spending. Divisibility: One bitcoin can be divided into 100 million smaller units called satoshis for microtransactions. Use Cases Store of Value: Often referred to as "digital gold," Bitcoin serves as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation for many investors. Medium of Exchange: Used for peer-to-peer payments, remittances, and merchants accepting it for goods and services. Investment: Trading and holding Bitcoin as an asset for speculative gains or portfolio diversification. Financial Inclusion: Provides access to financial services for the unbanked and underbanked populations. Market Overview 2025 Bitcoin continues to hold the largest market capitalization among cryptocurrencies. It experiences significant price volatility but has shown resilience through macroeconomic uncertainties. Regulatory frameworks around Bitcoin vary globally, impacting adoption and market dynamics. Increased institutional adoption, development of Bitcoin ETFs, and integration with traditional finance continue shaping its ecosystem. #BTC #BITCOIN #BTCUSDT
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC UpdateSo IBIT was red after the CPI pump and dump, and I was looking at IBIT to see if I should buy puts.... then I looked at my BTC daily chart and saw that MFI touched my green line and was moving upwards. Not to mention it held the channel line. So if it doesn't make sense to short it, I figure I should go long. Just a handful of IBIT calls and 500 shares of IBIT. I figure I can risk my GLD profits, I'm a crypto skeptic, but I also believe my indicators. Looking at the charts when MFI hits the halfway point is when BTC makes a big up move. Should be a rally next week. Note I said "should". Asia in particular seems bullish on crypto. I usually just day trade cryptos, but I decided to hold over the weekend because of Asia.... same thing I did with gold. I think the stock market melts up next week so I didn't want to short anything. Also, no point in chasing stocks that are at ATH. So I figured crypto has room to go up because it's teh only thing that hasn't TACOed yet.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by hungry_hippo
Last trading day. Watch for resistance levels.After the CPI data was released as expected, while the results appear bullish for gold, the market reaction was muted, and the price rebound was relatively weak. This is likely because the current gains may have already overdrawn all positive expectations, and the market needs a period of cooling off. On the 4-hour chart, gold prices rose on the data, returning to a range of fluctuations. The moving averages are showing a relatively flat trend. The 5-, 10-, and 20-minute moving averages intersect with the middle Bollinger Band in the 4100-4110 range, which also represents a significant short-term support level. The 30-minute moving average is nearing its intersection with the upper Bollinger Band in the 4170-4180 range. Based on technical indicators, watch for resistance at 4160 in the short term, with a breakout at 4180. Focus on support at 4100-4110 below. Quaid believes that as the last trading day of the week, the price may also fluctuate slightly around 4130. But if it suddenly starts to break upward, then we need to pay attention to the suppression situation above. When the price first hits around 4160 and fails to break upward effectively, short sell with a light position at this position and make a profit of 30-40 points. A happy weekend is coming, Quaid hopes everyone reaches their profit targets this week.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid_Wealth_Code
AMZN Poised for a Friday Momentum Play: (Oct. 24 Outlook)Will $223 Breakout Trigger a Squeeze Toward $227? 📦 1. Market Structure (1H & 15M) Amazon’s current market structure shows controlled bullish accumulation following a textbook CHoCH-BOS rotation from the $215–$217 demand base. On the 1-hour chart, AMZN reclaimed structure with a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) near $220, confirming higher-timeframe buyers stepping in. Price remains inside a clean ascending channel, indicating continuation as long as the lower trendline (around $217.5) holds. The 15-minute chart further refines this structure: multiple BOS and CHoCH sequences show smart money defending liquidity each time price dips under $218. Recent intraday CHoCHs appear as normal retests within a broader bullish framework — not full reversals yet. Momentum is consolidating right beneath short-term resistance at $223, suggesting the market is coiling for a potential Friday breakout. 2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks * Demand Zone (High Confluence): $215–$217. This aligns with previous BOS zones and serves as a high-volume reaccumulation pocket. Expect responsive buyers on any intraday flush into this level. * Immediate Support: $218–$219 (fair value gap + EMA confluence). If price holds here overnight, it strengthens the bullish case. * Supply Zone (Key Liquidity Cluster): $223–$226 — heavy liquidity and prior distribution level where sellers could initially react. A break and close above $223.5 could open the door to a squeeze toward $227–$230. 3. Indicator Confluence * 9 EMA / 21 EMA: Both EMAs have maintained bullish alignment on the 15-minute and 1-hour charts. The slope remains positive, indicating strong momentum with short-term pullbacks being bought. * MACD: On the 1-hour, MACD is regaining momentum after a brief reset — histogram turning green again, suggesting the next impulse wave could start soon. The 15-minute MACD shows flattening, meaning a buildup of energy before the next move. * RSI: 1-hour RSI sits near 67, consistent with bullish control but not overextended. The 15M RSI oscillates around 55–60 — a healthy reset zone before a possible expansion move. * Volume: Stable, with stronger inflow during the breakout above $218 and tapering during sideways consolidation — classic continuation behavior. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment Friday’s GEX chart reveals $223–$225 as the highest positive gamma zone, marking the near-term resistance ceiling. The HVL (High Volume Level) support sits around $212.5, perfectly aligned with the lower demand range. Below that, the PUT wall at $210 is a key defensive line for bulls, while above, the CALL walls cluster around $223 and $227, suggesting limited overhead resistance once $223 is cleared. With IVR at 37.3 and IVX avg at 44.5 (-4.28%), implied volatility is cooling off, often preceding price expansion. The options flow leans 46% toward calls, confirming growing bullish sentiment without extremes — the ideal conditions for a controlled breakout move. Dealers remain net positive gamma around $220, meaning price action should remain stable until it breaches that $223–$225 zone, where hedging flows could accelerate upside momentum into $227+. 5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24 Bullish Setup 🟩 * Entry Zone: $218–$219 on intraday retest or breakout above $223.3 * Targets: $225 → $227 → $230 * Stop-Loss: Below $217.5 * Confirmation: Hold above 9 EMA on 15M, MACD histogram green, RSI > 60 Bearish Setup 🟥 * Entry Zone: $223–$225 rejection area * Targets: $219 → $216 → $212 * Stop-Loss: Above $226 * Confirmation: MACD crossdown on 15M + CHoCH below $218 with volume 6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday) Friday sets up as a momentum continuation day for AMZN — the structure is bullish, EMAs aligned, and gamma positioning supports a controlled grind higher unless $217 breaks. If buyers defend $218 overnight and premarket dips get absorbed, the stage is set for a break-and-run above $223, potentially triggering dealer hedging and a squeeze into $227+. However, if price fails to reclaim $223 or shows clear rejection with declining volume, expect a controlled drift back toward $215–$217 before buyers attempt again next week. My take: AMZN looks technically strong and primed for follow-through, but $223 remains the gatekeeper. Momentum is building quietly — if the wall breaks, expect quick movement and thin resistance above. 💬 Final Thought:
“AMZN’s structure looks tight and ready. If $223 snaps, watch it glide through $227 fast — if not, $217 reload zone will likely be retested before the next push.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
1