XAU/USD | Gold’s Historic Dump – Will $4,000 Hold or Break?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe , we can see that gold experienced an extremely sharp sell-off — the biggest single-day drop in over 12 years — falling nearly $400 in less than 24 hours!
After dropping from $4,381 to $4,003 , price rebounded to $4,162, but then corrected again and is now trading around $4,051.
Given the current volatility, it’s important to watch key levels closely. As long as gold holds above $4,000, there’s potential for a recovery toward the FVG zone between $4,100 and $4,128 .
The main supply levels to monitor are $4,101, $4,114, $4,128, and $4,155 — watch how price reacts at these points!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
X-indicator
BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. USD) chart Pattern..BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. USD) chart..
Here’s the breakdown of what’s visible:
The wedge is narrowing downward, suggesting price compression.
The breakout projection line (blue arrow) shows an upside target.
Current price (near wedge bottom): around $111,750.
The wedge top resistance area: around $113,500–114,000.
The measured move target (length of the widest part of the wedge projected upward) gives a target zone near $120,000–118,000.
✅ Projected Target Zone:
$12,0000 – $118,000 (USD)
⚙ Confirmation Needed:
Breakout above $113,500 with strong volume.
Retest of breakout zone holding as support.
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell entriesLast week both buy and sell levels hit for over 1000 pips each.
This will probably be my last chart for awhile as i dont think theres much intrest in this
### XAUUSD 4-Hour Chart Analysis
#### **Key Levels Identified**
The chart shows critical **support/resistance zones** based on Fibonacci retracements, historical price action, and labeled key levels. Below is a breakdown of actionable buy/sell levels:
---
### **1. Buy Levels (Long Entry)**
These levels represent potential support where price may reverse upward:
- **Primary Buy Zone**: `4,126` (labeled "Buy 4126" on the chart)
- **Why?** This level aligns with the **0.236 Fibonacci retracement** of the recent swing high (4,164) to swing low (4,004). Historically, price has bounced here.
- **Entry Trigger**: Wait for bullish reversal signals (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, RSI divergence, or price closing above the 5-period EMA).
- **Stop Loss**: `4,095` (below the "Sell 4100" resistance level).
- **Take Profit**: Target `4,160` (Key 4160 resistance), then `4,180` and `4,184`.
- **Secondary Buy Zone**: `4,110–4,115` (near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at `4,113.253`)
- **Why?** The price is consolidating here after a dip. A hold above `4,100` (Sell 4100 level) suggests bullish momentum.
- **Stop Loss**: `4,095` (as above).
- **Take Profit**: Same as primary zone (`4,160` and beyond).
---
### **2. Sell Levels (Short Entry)**
These levels represent potential resistance where price may reverse downward:
- **Primary Sell Zone**: `4,132` (0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the swing high/low)
- **Why?** This level is a strong resistance zone where the price often reverses after a rally.
- **Entry Trigger**: Wait for bearish reversal signals (e.g., bearish pin bar, RSI divergence, or price rejecting the level).
- **Stop Loss**: `4,135` (above the resistance level).
- **Take Profit**: Target `4,099` (0.5 Fib), then `4,086` (0.382 Fib), and `4,050` (Key 4050 support).
- **Secondary Sell Zone**: `4,160` (labeled "Key 4160")
- **Why?** This is the **major swing high** (4,164) and a key psychological resistance level. A rejection here confirms a bearish trend.
- **Entry Trigger**: Price must break above `4,160` and then fail to hold (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern at the level).
- **Stop Loss**: `4,165` (above the resistance level).
- **Take Profit**: Same as primary sell zone (`4,099` and below).
---
### **Critical Context**
- **Current Price**: `4,111.797` (EMA 5 close). This is **above support (`4,100`)** and **below resistance (`4,132`)**.
- **Trend**: Short-term downward momentum after the 4,164 high, but price is recovering from a low. Wait for confirmation of reversal.
- **Fibonacci Retracement**:
- `0.786` (4,132) and `0.618` (4,113) act as key resistance/support.
- `0.5` (4,099) and `0.382` (4,086) are stronger support levels.
- **Risk Management**:
- Always use a stop loss to limit downside risk.
- Target levels should align with the broader trend (e.g., if the trend is bearish, prioritize sell setups).
---
### **Summary of Actionable Levels**
| **Trade Type** | **Entry Level** | **Stop Loss** | **Take Profit** | **Confirmation Signal** |
|----------------|-----------------|---------------|-----------------|-------------------------|
| **Buy** | 4,126 (primary)4,110–4,115 (secondary) | 4,095 | 4,160 → 4,180 → 4,184 | Bullish reversal candle, RSI divergence |
| **Sell** | 4,132 (primary)4,160 (secondary) | 4,135 → 4,165 | 4,099 → 4,086 → 4,050 | Bearish reversal candle, RSI divergence |
> **Note**: Always validate entries with additional indicators (e.g., RSI, volume) and avoid trading during low-volume periods. The 4-hour timeframe favors medium-term trades (1–3 days), so patience is key.
AUDUSD: Time to break the range! Price has been ranging on this pair for a few days (accumulation) and with the Daily FVG acting as support, it is possible we see this pair to start move during the week. If bullish, expect a slight correction lower (manipulation) before an extension to the upside.
What I like:
- Bullish divergence on the daily (clearly visible when using a MACD)
- Current Daily FVG support level.
- Price has been accumulating orders and is primed for a breakout (one way or the other)
What I don't like:
- Fundamentals and the planned mineral deal meetings.
Action:
- Waiting for a break out of this range.
Here's What Microsoft's Chart Says Heading Into EarningsMicrosoft NASDAQ:MSFT , which will release earnings next week, is beating the S&P 500 SP:SPX year to date -- up 24.4% vs. about 15.7% for the SPX. MSFT has also gained roughly 112% over the past three years, while the S&P 500 has added just 78.9%. What does the company's chart show us ahead of earnings?
Let's check things out:
Microsoft's Fundamental Analysis
Earnings season is about to heat up. With Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX and Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA having reported results this week, the rest of the Mag-7/FAANGs -- Microsoft, Apple (AAPL), Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Meta NASDAQ:META , and Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL -- will release numbers next week.
MSFT is set to release Q3 results after the closing bell on Wednesday, with the Street looking for the software giant to report about $3.66 in GAAP earnings per share. (Analyst estimates range from $3.50 to $3.78.)
A result like that would compare nicely to the year-ago print of $3.30.
Meanwhile, analysts' consensus estimate projects that MSFT will report $75.4 billion in revenue for the period, with individual forecasts ranging from $70.1 billion to $76.6 billion.
The consensus projection would be good enough for almost 15% in year-over-year revenue growth, in line with the pace of sales gains that Microsoft has regularly produced over the past few years.
All in, 26 of the 32 sell-side analysts I know of that cover Microsoft have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while just three have lowered their forecasts. (Three have made no changes.)
Beyond just the quarterly numbers, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella will have a lot to talk about on the earnings call -- from deals Microsoft has signed to power data centers to contracts with chip designers and LLM providers.
There's just a lot going on right now at Microsoft, from expansion of the firm's AI universe to plans to move a majority of its manufacturing out of Mainland China. A lot of what Nadella says about these things could cause a reaction in MSFT's share price.
Microsoft's Technical Analysis
Next, let's check out MSFT's chart going back some four months and running through Tuesday afternoon:
The first thing you'll see is a cup-with-handle pattern with a $531 pivot, slightly above the $524.65 that Microsoft was trading at Friday afternoon. That's a bullish signal as long MSFT can make a run at the pivot.
That's not all I see, though. Check this other four-month chart out:
This view shows a closing-pennant pattern for the stock.
Now, closing pennants historically tell you that a storm is coming, although as an indicator, they're non-directional. They signal that a violent move is on the way, but can't tell you if it's bullish or bearish.
The first chart suggests that such a move will, in fact, be bullish. But these two charts don't work together, so do we trust one or the other? That's the big question.
In the meantime, Microsoft has been using both its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line in the first chart) and the stock's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted with a blue line) for guidance lately.
This suggests that swing traders have not exited the trade, while portfolio managers have not reduced exposure. That's typically a positive unless the stock loses those lines after next week's earnings report. If that happens, you might have a crowded move to the door.
Separately, Microsoft's secondary technical indicators don't offer investors much help at this time.
The stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at both charts' tops) is almost perfectly neutral.
However, Microsoft's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at both charts' bottoms) is leaning bearish.
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) is negative and has been for almost two weeks. That's usually a short-term bearish sign.
Similarly, the 12-day EMA (the black line) is running below the 26-day EMA (the gold line). That's also usually bearish technically.
In fact, the only bullish thing I see in this indicator is that both the 12- and 26-day lines are still in positive territory.
An Options Option
Options investors who want to go long on Microsoft while purchasing downside protection might employ a "buy-write" strategy in this scenario.
This involves purchasing the stock, then selling a covered call against that equity position.
This can reduce net basis (cost), but limits the potential profitability of the investor's Microsoft purchase until the call expires. And the shares could get called away if the short call is assigned.
Here's an example of a buy-write on MSFT:
-- Purchase 100 shares of MSFT at or close to the $522 the stock was trading at when I wrote this.
-- Sell (write) one Oct. 31 call with a $532.50 strike price (the above chart's pivot) for about $9.10.
Investors who want some potential downside protection might also buy a put, which can limit losses until the options trade expires. Example:
-- Buy one Oct. 31 $512.50 put for roughly $8.40.
Investors in this example will have reduced their net basis to $521.30, but will have limited their MSFT stake's potential profitability to 2.2% through the options' Oct. 31 expiration. The trade-off is that these investors will have also capped any losses at 1.7% through expiration as well.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long MSFT and TSLA at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved.
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Bitcoin Technical Outlook (update)📉 Stage 1 – Bearish Reversal Zone
The red zone and areas below it signal a potential return to the downtrend.
Stage 2 – Launch Zone
The desicion zone between 111,300 to 111,500 could trigger a sharp breakout move.
📈 Stage 3 – Bullish Extension
If price breaks through the 115,000 to 117,000 range, there’s a high probability of reaching 121,000 to 122,000.
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15600 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.15600 support.
Trade safe, Joe.
#ADAUSDT: Two Targets Both Possible, Let's See How Price MoveADAUSDT collapsed following the announcement of new tariffs on China, which caused fear in the cryptocurrency market and affected minor currency pairs. This led to a significant drop in the price of ADAUSDT. A minor decline may occur before the price reverses. There are two potential targets for the price to reach.
Entry area:
- We have identified the key area where a price reversal is likely to occur.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx
BITCOIN + ETH SIGNALS: MASSIVE MOVE INCOMING!!!(Nobody Watching)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
PYPL Weekly Outlook (Oct 21–25): Buyers Defend the BaseCan Bulls Reclaim $70? 🚀
📆 Daily Chart — Macro Structure and Bias
Market Structure:
PayPal (PYPL) continues to trade within a broad descending channel but is showing early signs of structural stabilization. After several failed breakdowns, bulls defended the $64.50–$65.00 demand zone — a key level where prior liquidity sweeps triggered reversals. The most recent BOS (Break of Structure) around $69.00 indicates that smart money might be accumulating again within this base range.
We can see multiple CHoCH and BOS interactions suggesting buyers are quietly absorbing supply below $70, preparing for a potential structural shift back toward the mid-channel zone.
Supply & Demand / Order Blocks:
* Major Demand Zone: $64.00–$65.00 (deep OB and liquidity defense).
* Intermediate Supply Zone: $70.50–$71.00 (mid-channel resistance).
* Major Supply Zone: $79.00–$80.00 (top of the previous swing high cluster).
If bulls can maintain daily closes above $68.50, this could evolve into a mid-term reversal attempt toward $75+.
Indicator Confluence:
* 9 EMA vs 21 EMA: Bearish on macro view but flattening — momentum loss from sellers.
* MACD: Histogram is improving from deep negative; a cross above zero could confirm a macro shift.
* Stoch RSI: Rising sharply from oversold (10 → 45), signaling renewed buying strength.
* Volume: Buyer volume expanding near the base, consistent with accumulation phase behavior.
The daily structure remains in a potential bottoming phase; sustained closes above $69.50 will confirm a bullish shift.
⏱️ 1-Hour Chart — Short-Term Trend and Swing Bias
Market Structure:
The 1-hour timeframe paints a much clearer bullish microstructure after a decisive CHoCH from the descending wedge. Price reclaimed $67.00, then printed a BOS toward $69.20, completing the first leg of reversal structure.
We’re now consolidating just beneath $69.80–$70.00, which lines up with the mid-term supply zone and a key call wall on the GEX chart. The structure remains bullish as long as $68.00 holds as a higher low.
Supply & Demand / OB Zones:
* Demand Zone: $67.00–$68.00 (recent breakout OB).
* Supply Zone: $69.80–$70.50 (local resistance and liquidity pocket).
Indicator Confluence:
* 9 EMA > 21 EMA — clear bullish alignment, steep slope.
* MACD: Strong expansion with rising histogram, supporting upward bias.
* Stoch RSI: Hovering at 80+ — slightly overheated, but not reversing yet.
* Volume: Increasing on breakouts, declining during pullbacks — healthy pattern.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Setup: Buy dips near $68.20–$68.50 → Target $70.00 / $71.00 → Stop $67.20.
* Bearish Setup: If rejection from $70.50 with divergence → Short to $68.00 / $67.00 → Stop $71.00.
If PYPL breaks and closes above $70, it will invalidate short setups and start targeting $72.50–$73.50 next.
🕒 15-Minute Chart — Intraday Momentum and Scalping Zones
Market Structure:
The 15-minute chart confirms strong short-term bullish control with stacked BOS and higher-low formations. Price is trending neatly along the rising intraday trendline, using the 9 EMA as dynamic support. Each micro pullback toward $68.80–$69.00 has been aggressively defended.
Supply & Demand / OB Levels:
* Demand Zone: $68.60–$68.80 (scalp OB and trendline support).
* Supply Zone: $69.80–$70.20 (intraday resistance + liquidity sweep potential).
Indicator Confluence:
* 9 EMA vs 21 EMA: Strong bullish slope; 9 EMA acting as perfect bounce line.
* MACD: Histogram slightly flattening after expansion — possible short-term cool-off.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought (>80), indicating potential short-term pause before continuation.
Scalp Plan:
* Bullish Bias: Enter near $68.80 pullback → Target $69.80 / $70.20 → Stop below $68.20.
* Bearish Bias: If $70 rejects twice with fading MACD momentum → Short scalp to $68.80 → Stop $70.40.
Intraday bias stays bullish unless price closes below $68.50 — that would mark short-term exhaustion.
📊 GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment Overview
PYPL’s options structure shows a neutral-to-bullish gamma setup with dealers likely positioned to stabilize price between $66–$70. The highest positive NET GEX sits around $70, effectively pinning current price in a tight gamma range.
Key GEX Levels:
* Highest Positive Gamma: $70.00 (dealer magnet).
* Major Call Walls: $72.00 and $74.00 — resistance zones if momentum expands.
* Put Support: $65.00 and $64.00 — strong floor if pullback occurs.
* IVR: 58.6 — elevated but not extreme, indicating active trader participation.
* Call Flow: 35.2% (muted but rising), suggesting cautious optimism.
If price sustains above $70.00, dealer hedging could flip to positive gamma expansion, pressing for a gradual melt-up toward $73–$74. A rejection below $68.00, however, might trigger delta-neutral unwind and short-term reversion to $65.
🎯 Closing Outlook
PYPL enters the week with a constructive recovery tone. The broader daily structure suggests a possible bottoming phase, while the intraday trend shows active buyer defense near $68. The GEX map supports a magnetized range between $68–$70, with potential gamma breakout if momentum persists midweek.
I’m watching for a decisive daily close above $70 — if bulls manage that, $72.50–$74 could be in play before the week ends. Below $68, expect a controlled retest toward $65 before another attempt higher.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
the WY of Honeywell's Earnings Report Gap up and Run down It is very important that you understand what is happening in a company that impacts its stock price. HON has had Dark Pool Rotation going on since July of this year. Dark Pools are the most informed of all the Market Participant groups (there are 12 not 2).
The chart of HON has plenty of information that provides an understanding of why the stock ran down this morning. Late retail buyers may push price up if they buy on the dip which is not a dip and it is not profit taking either.
HFTs were the trigger for HON to gap up at open. Smaller funds were the drivers of price upward. HFTs sold quickly. Pro Traders who were in with the HFTs took profits end of day as is their custom. Today is a surprise for many retail day traders as the stock is running down early this morning.
This is smaller funds who want to off load their shares of HON selling into the previous day's speculative trading.
Who controls price today? Smaller funds.
How Smart Money Moves Gold (XAUUSD)🟡 Gold never moves randomly — it moves with intention.
Every spike, every fake breakout, every sharp reversal… it’s all part of a bigger plan by smart money (institutions) to trap emotional traders and collect liquidity.
Let’s break it down 👇
⚡ 1️⃣ Liquidity Grab (The Trap Phase)
Before any real move, gold sweeps stop-losses above highs or below lows.
Retail traders think it’s a breakout — but it’s actually a liquidity hunt.
Smart money fills large positions here while emotions run high.
⚡ 2️⃣ Market Structure Shift (The Clue)
After collecting liquidity, watch for a BOS (Break of Structure) or CHoCH (Change of Character) — these reveal when the real move is starting.
⚡ 3️⃣ Smart Money Entry (The Real Move)
Once the trap is set, gold often makes a strong impulsive push.
This is where institutions enter — and where smart traders follow with confirmation, not emotion.
⚡ 4️⃣ Emotional Traders Lose, Logical Traders Win
The market doesn’t hate you — it simply feeds on emotional reactions.
Be patient, wait for liquidity sweep ➜ structure shift ➜ confirmation entry.
🧭 Pro Tip:
👉 Stop chasing candles.
👉 Study liquidity and market structure.
👉 Let the chart show who’s trapped — and then trade against them.
💬 Remember:
“The market rewards patience, not panic.”
💎 Gold (XAUUSD) moves on liquidity — not luck.
#TradeSmart #ThinkLikeInstitutions #XAUUSD
Both the FED and the BOJ are on deck this week !!!The FED is expected to cut rates by 50 basis points this week — but that’s not the real story. The market has already priced that in.
If they go with a 25 bps cut instead, things could get messy.
What truly matters is the tone for December and beyond.
If there’s a cut, markets will likely breathe a sigh of relief, but if the Fed doesn’t hint at further easing, expect volatility in equities.
Also, keep an eye on the European Central Bank’s upcoming statement, which could add another layer of uncertainty.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may signal a rate hike at its October 30–31, 2025 meeting. The current policy rate stands at 0.5%, while inflation has climbed to 2.7%, nearing the 2% target. Rising wages support the case for tightening, though U.S. tariffs and global slowdown risks, along with Prime Minister Takaichi’s calls for fiscal easing, add pressure.
A 25 bps hike (≈60% probability) would align with Governor Kazuo Ueda’s recent remarks that “inflation momentum is accelerating.” Hawkish members such as Takata describe this as a “window of opportunity” to normalize policy.
If the BOJ holds rates steady, fiscal expansion under Takaichi’s administration could keep growth forecasts near 0.8%, but exports would likely weaken under U.S. tariff pressure.
In that scenario, liquidity would rise, boosting risk appetite — and cryptocurrencies could benefit in the short term.
SOL at Support, History Could Repeat$SOL/USDT Analysis
SOL continues to respect its long-term rising support line beautifully. Each time it has accumulated around this trendline, we’ve seen a strong rally follow, and the same pattern seems to be forming again.
Right now, SOL is in another accumulation phase, holding well above the key support zone. If history repeats itself and the price sustains this level, we could see another explosive move toward new highs.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for reading! Appreciate your support and engagement 🙏
$DVLT - #DataValutAI - $3.34 Retest - $4.79 Price TargetNASDAQ:DVLT finally broke out of $2.41 and retested $3.34. We expect a continuation breakout to retest $3.34 once again, before marching to the $4.79 Levels next.
Datavault AI shares are trading higher after Wellgistics Health recently signed a non-binding letter of intent to integrate Datavault's blockchain-enabled PharmacyChain smart contract technology into its infrastructure.
FED cuts interest rates - gold prices rise next week ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 10/27/2025 - 10/31/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds over 0.10% on Friday, trading near $4,127 after recovering from $4,043 lows, as softer-than-expected US inflation data reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut next week. The CPI report broadly met forecasts but offered little support for hawkish policymakers.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers, positive next week when FED almost continues to reduce interest rate by 0.25%. Opportunity for gold to return above 4200, 4300
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4153, $4237, $4380
Support: $4045, $3944
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest






















