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Analysis of Bitcoin's Current TrendThe bullish logic behind the support price (the underlying basis for going long) The formation of the key support zone creates a defense network: $111,000 is the clear technical support level recently, and it is closely connected with the institutional-intensive defense range of $109,465 - $110,000. From the historical trend, this area has repeatedly absorbed the selling pressure from the decline, especially the structural demand formed by institutional funds through ETFs, providing a "safety cushion" for the price. As of October 23rd, the transaction amount of Bitcoin ETF remained above $4.7 billion, indicating that institutions have not withdrawn on a large scale. The expectation of interest rate cuts is still providing support: Although the August CPI data in the United States slightly exceeded expectations, the market's expectation for further easing by the Federal Reserve has not completely dissipated. Institutions such as Standard Chartered Bank and Galaxy Digital predict that if the interest rate cut is implemented, Bitcoin is expected to reach $185,000 - $200,000 by the end of the year. This long-term optimistic expectation has made some funds reluctant to leave easily, becoming an invisible force supporting the price. The area for short selling liquidation provides rebound momentum: The prices below the current level of $110,000 and $109,000 have accumulated a large number of short selling positions. If the price can stand firm in the support zone and rebound, these short positions that have been liquidated will form additional buying power, pushing the price to break through upward. Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy BTC @BUY108000-109000 tp:111000-112000 sl:106000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Analysis of crude oil trend next week.I. Core fundamentals: The contradictory pattern of "short-term geo-political support and long-term oversupply pressure" (1) Short-term support: Geopolitical sanctions trigger supply concerns (valid for 1-2 weeks) The implementation of sanctions directly disrupts supply: On October 22, the United States and Europe simultaneously upgraded sanctions against Russia, including including Rosneft and Lukoil, which together account for 50% of Russia's crude oil exports. After the news was announced, major buyers such as India have postponed purchasing Russian oil and instead rushed to buy Middle Eastern crude oil, directly pushing the oil price up by 5% on October 24, from $58.5 to $61.76. The resumption of refinery operations brings a phased increase in demand: The seasonal maintenance of global refineries is coming to an end, and the resumption wave leads to an increase in crude oil purchases, coupled with the gradual start-up of heating oil demand in the Northern Hemisphere, creating a "small peak" in the short-term demand side, which supports the spot price. (2) Medium- and long-term suppression: Oversupply is inevitable (suppressing force lasts for 3-6 months) The OPEC+ production increase trend is irreversible: Since April 2025, when it shifted to the "increase production to secure market share" strategy, OPEC+ has cumulatively increased production by nearly 2.5 million barrels per day, and will continue to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in November, with an additional daily supply of over 430,000 barrels in the fourth quarter. More importantly, Saudi Arabia's exports remain stable at 9 million barrels per day, and Iraq at 4 million barrels per day. The supply from the Middle East remains abundant, coupled with the expansion of production capacity in non-OPEC+ countries, the oversupply pressure further intensifies. Weak demand + saturated inventory double blow: The IEA has continuously lowered its demand expectations for several consecutive months. It is expected that in 2026, global oversupply will reach 4 million barrels per day (accounting for 4% of global demand), and at the same time, the offshore storage volume has approached the level of the 2020 pandemic, while onshore inventories are approaching saturation. The near and far-month contracts of WTI crude oil in New York have experienced a 5-month-long first-time futures premium, which is the direct reaction of the market to the oversupply. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Next Week usoil @buy 60.5-61.0 tp:62-62.5 SL:59.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Gold Next Week Analysis H1 ChartThis is my technical analysis and not a guaranteed signal. Please take entries at your own risk. Based on the chart, there are two possible scenarios, so proceed with caution. 1. Follow the Trendline: If gold respects the trendline, we can look for buying opportunities with a target around 4160. However, if gold breaks below the trendline, we should consider selling. Keep in mind that if gold breaks the trendline for the first time, we should wait to observe the next move before entering a trade. If gold fails to break above the trendline afterward, we can then take a sell position. 2. Support at 4053: If gold reaches 4053, this level may act as support. We can look for buying opportunities from this price as long as gold does not break below it. If gold breaks this support level, we should wait for a retest of the area before making a decision. For further clarification, please refer to my technical analysis chart. Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by YasirAbbasiUK
Analysis of Gold Prices Next WeekThe certainty of the Fed's easing cycle has strengthened: Currently, the market's expectation for the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November continues to rise. From historical patterns, after the start of a rate-cutting cycle, gold often experiences a sustained upward trend. Holding gold does not require payment of interest. A lower interest rate directly reduces the holding cost of gold and weakens the attractiveness of the US dollar, driving funds to flow into non-interest-bearing assets such as gold. This core logic has not changed in any way and constitutes the "policy cornerstone" for the medium- and long-term rise in gold prices. The bottoming effect of global central banks' gold purchases is significant: Since October, the global central banks' gold reserves have shown a steady growth trend. As of October 25th, the total reserves for the month have reached 6,102.00, a significant increase from 5,545.00 at the end of September. Central banks of emerging markets such as China and India have continued to increase their holdings. This large-scale, long-term buying behavior forms a solid "bottom support", significantly reducing the possibility of a deep correction in the gold price. The supply shortage will persist in the long term: The growth rate of global gold mine production is sluggish. The output of the top ten gold mining enterprises has grown by less than 2% in the past three years. However, the demand side has continued to expand due to the demand for risk aversion and asset allocation. The contradiction of supply and demand imbalance will support the upward trend of the gold price from a long-term perspective. Trading strategy for gold next week xauusd @buy4040-4060 TP:4110-4150-4200
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
$109K Holding Strong Before Next Expansion?Bitcoin Building a Reversal Base — $109K Holding Strong Before Next Expansion 🚀 1️⃣ Weekly Structure (1W) BTC continues to respect its macro ascending channel, maintaining a clear uptrend that’s been in play since early 2023. Despite recent retracements, the structure remains bullish as long as weekly candles hold above $106K. Key Observations: * Structure: Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) levels confirm continuation. The latest pullback looks corrective, not impulsive. * The CHoCH in mid-2025 marked a liquidity sweep before price reclaimed structure again. * MACD: Momentum cooling but flattening — suggesting a potential base forming before next expansion. * Stochastic RSI: Near oversold, starting to curl upward — early bullish signal. Weekly Outlook:
Price is consolidating near the midline of the ascending channel (~$109K–$111K). As long as this zone holds, Bitcoin is primed for a macro continuation toward $125K–$130K.
If $106K breaks on a weekly close, next strong demand sits at $80K. 2️⃣ Daily Structure (1D) On the daily chart, BTC shows signs of a structural rebound after forming a clean BOS from the $108K zone. Buyers defended the same demand that triggered the last impulse move. Key Observations: * Clear CHoCH → BOS pattern near $108K confirming early accumulation. * MACD histogram is narrowing — bearish momentum fading quickly. * Stochastic RSI rising from the oversold zone — suggests upward rotation beginning. * Major resistance zones sit at $113K → $126K. Daily Outlook:
BTC has successfully reclaimed the short-term trendline and is eyeing the $113K pivot. A breakout and daily close above $114K would likely trigger a run toward $124K–$126K.
As long as daily closes stay above $108K, bias remains bullish. 3️⃣ 4-Hour Structure (4H) The 4H chart highlights a contracting triangle breakout pattern with a fresh BOS confirming local trend reversal.
Price is climbing back from the $109K base after multiple CHoCH sweeps that trapped late sellers. Key Observations: * Price is now riding higher lows, showing buyers defending every dip near $109K. * MACD crossover bullish, histogram expanding positive. * Stochastic RSI flipped up from midline — showing momentum continuation. * Short-term resistance: $114K, followed by $116K. * Support: $109K → $106K remains the key re-accumulation zone. 4H Outlook:
BTC is building energy for a short-term breakout leg. If momentum sustains and price closes 4H candles above $111K–$112K, we could see a fast run toward $115K–$118K in the next 48–72 hours. 🎯 Trade Scenarios ✅ Swing Setup: * Buy Zone: $108K–$110K * Stop-Loss: Below $106K * Targets: $118K → $124K → $130K ✅ Intraday/Short-Term Setup: * Entry Trigger: Break and retest above $111.5K * Stop-Loss: Below $110K * Targets: $114K → $116K ❌ Invalidation:
Weekly close below $106K would signal breakdown from structure and open potential retrace toward $95K or $80K. 🧠 Final Thoughts Bitcoin’s multi-timeframe confluence shows strength building beneath the surface — higher-low structure, MACD flattening, and Stoch RSI turning up all point to accumulation before next markup.
While short-term chop may continue, every dip into the $108K–$109K area looks like an opportunity to scale in for the next macro leg up. If the market confirms with a strong daily BOS above $114K, expect sentiment to flip bullish rapidly as BTC pushes toward $125K–$130K zone into early 2026. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BullBearInsights
BTC Intraday Trap? Price Spikes, Volume Stalls 🕵️‍♂️ Observation: - Price made a sharp spike upward, grabbing attention. - But behind the scenes, volume told a different story—slow, hesitant, and lacking buyer aggression. - CVD showed no real pressure from buyers; AO momentum faded quickly after the spike. - This looks like a classic liquidity grab or engineered move to trap breakout traders. - No follow-through from buyers = no conviction. - Price structure remains vulnerable, especially near supply zones or previous POC.
Short
by jshafx
2
BITCOIN BTCUSDTBitcoin is a decentralized digital currency and the first cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, which is a public ledger that records all transactions securely and transparently without the need for a central authority. Key Features of Bitcoin Decentralization: No central bank or government controls Bitcoin, making it resistant to censorship and centralized manipulation. Limited Supply: Total supply is capped at 21 million bitcoins, which introduces scarcity and potential value appreciation over time. Pseudonymity: Transactions are publicly recorded but can be conducted without revealing personal identities directly. Security: Uses cryptographic proof and consensus mechanisms (Proof of Work) to secure transactions and prevent double-spending. Divisibility: One bitcoin can be divided into 100 million smaller units called satoshis for microtransactions. Use Cases Store of Value: Often referred to as "digital gold," Bitcoin serves as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation for many investors. Medium of Exchange: Used for peer-to-peer payments, remittances, and merchants accepting it for goods and services. Investment: Trading and holding Bitcoin as an asset for speculative gains or portfolio diversification. Financial Inclusion: Provides access to financial services for the unbanked and underbanked populations. Market Overview 2025 Bitcoin continues to hold the largest market capitalization among cryptocurrencies. It experiences significant price volatility but has shown resilience through macroeconomic uncertainties. Regulatory frameworks around Bitcoin vary globally, impacting adoption and market dynamics. Increased institutional adoption, development of Bitcoin ETFs, and integration with traditional finance continue shaping its ecosystem. TECHNICAL INFORMATION AND TRADING BIAS. (1) on daily time frame the structure has formed a double bottom a bullish price action ,if you look critically from Friday 17th October 2025 to Thursday 23rd 2025 we have a clear double bottom on daily and if the chart pattern break out of 110k-111k on daily ,it would have broken the neckline and also breakout of the 4hr descending trendline ,if we have this as a new case scenario then we will be looking for buy confirmation by the close of the weekly candle. (2) if we get a weekly rejection below 110-111k then the double bottom neckline failed and we wont be considering that chart pattern as a bullish price action .the nest thing to do is to allow our daily support to be broken the look for sell opportunity key watch list 103,408k key watch list will be 94,022-93500k key watch list will be 56k-55k on the descending trendline connecting and providing liquidity in the past.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BTC UpdateSo IBIT was red after the CPI pump and dump, and I was looking at IBIT to see if I should buy puts.... then I looked at my BTC daily chart and saw that MFI touched my green line and was moving upwards. Not to mention it held the channel line. So if it doesn't make sense to short it, I figure I should go long. Just a handful of IBIT calls and 500 shares of IBIT. I figure I can risk my GLD profits, I'm a crypto skeptic, but I also believe my indicators. Looking at the charts when MFI hits the halfway point is when BTC makes a big up move. Should be a rally next week. Note I said "should". Asia in particular seems bullish on crypto. I usually just day trade cryptos, but I decided to hold over the weekend because of Asia.... same thing I did with gold. I think the stock market melts up next week so I didn't want to short anything. Also, no point in chasing stocks that are at ATH. So I figured crypto has room to go up because it's teh only thing that hasn't TACOed yet.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by hungry_hippo
QQQ (24 October)QQQ is at the top of its 20d ±3 % envelope, a “momentum, but stretched” setup Expect minor cooling or sideways action early next week, then potential continuation toward $625-$628 once the moving average catches up 20d MA ~$605 is upward-sloping which confirms a healthy intermediate uptrend Envelope width is about 36 points (~6%), normal for a trending QQQ environment Price hugging the upper envelope means momentum is strong, but stretched In past rallies, when QQQ closed near or slightly above the +3 % band, it tended to consolidate or pull back toward the MA within 3-6 sessions, or trade sideways until the moving average "catches up" Since May, you can see about 4-5 touches of the upper band Each touch was followed by a 1-2 % fade lasting a few sessions The moving average acted as dynamic support; deeper corrections only came after the slope flattened That rhythm is still intact so this looks like another case where bulls may pause, but not reverse $618-$620 Upper envelope resistance/overbought 55% chance of stall or mild fade $610-$612 First support (mean reversion) 30 % chance of retest $600-$605 20d MA & lower-band base 15 % chance unless news shock Bias is still bullish; trend intact above the 20d MA, but short-term is slightly overbought so expect digestion rather than acceleration Taking partial profits or tightening stops near +3% band often pays better than chasing new highs Theta decay accelerates if price chops sideways here, so shorter-dated calls can flatten out quickly Waiting for a dip toward $610-$612 offers a higher-reward entry aligned with the 20d MA
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
$LINK (DAILY): GOLDEN POCKET support / 200 MA fightBIST:LINK on its WEEKLY chart: still a text-book BAT reversal intact, below the 50 MA, and just continuation to the downside. High selling volumes recently and essentially reverting back to its mean (200 MA on 1W at $12.8), although that's a long term chart. We need a look on the DAILY to get a better idea if a reversal to the upside is an option soon. 1D chart is showing a fight to stay above a combo of crucial pivots: 1) 200 MA at $17.7, key moving average, for many traders, especially institutional: bear/bull boundary 2) horizontal support/former resistance $17.4 3) GOLDEN POCKET of the move that took the price from JUNE lows ($11) all the way up to the AUGUST top ($28). OBV on the DAILY had two minor HIDDEN BULLISH divergences while the price was finding support in the pocket, that's interesting to see. Holding the green 200 MA is the most important thing for now, no reversal yet, but if it was to remain a BULL MARKET asset, the BUYERS must step in immediately. Close below the GOLDEN POCKET and we should see $14.6 and possibly $12.8 if that doesn't hold. LONGS only above $19.5, I need to see a BULLISH market structure change to do anything here. 👽💙
by ColdBloodedCharter
Analysis of the trend of gold next weekCurrently, the gold market is in a stage of "shock - upward movement driven by news". Although there is a battle between bulls and bears at the $4112 level, the upward opportunities next week are more worthy of attention. It is necessary to lay out in line with the trend and strictly control risks. The specific strategy is as follows: I. Core Logic: Key Factors Influencing the Gold Price Trend Next Week 1. **The medium - and long - term support foundation remains intact**: The Federal Reserve has already started the interest - rate - cutting cycle. Judging from the meeting minutes, officials tend to gradually continue to loosen policies. As a result, the cost of holding gold is getting lower and lower, and its attractiveness is naturally increasing. Moreover, global central banks are still continuously buying gold. This long - term and large - scale buying can underpin the gold price, making a significant decline highly unlikely. In addition, the output growth rate of the world's top ten gold - mining enterprises has only been 1.8% in the past three years, and the problem of tight supply will also support the price in the long term. 2. **Short - term positive signals are increasing**: There are new signs of tension in the Middle East situation. The Houthi militia in Yemen has attacked the cargo ships in the Red Sea, resulting in 18% of the world's container ships changing their routes, and the shipping costs have soared. The market's safe - haven demand has significantly rebounded. Once such geopolitical risks ferment, they will drive funds to flow into gold. At the same time, the gold price rebounded after falling to around $4000 this week, indicating that the buying support at low levels is very strong, and much of the previous pullback pressure has been released. 3. **Key events next week will determine the direction**: The market is closely watching the changes in relevant news. Whether it is the new dynamics of the Middle East situation or the policy signals from the Federal Reserve, they will directly affect the gold price trend. Judging from the recent fluctuations, as long as the support near $4000 is not broken, the possibility of an upward trend is greater than that of a downward trend. Trading strategy for gold next week xauusd @buy4040-4060 TP:4110-4150-4200
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1