Gold Bulls in Full ControlHi everyone, it’s Ken here!
XAUUSD is maintaining a strong uptrend, and based on my observation, the market is likely to continue moving toward the channel top marked on the chart.
The current zone plays a crucial role. It could act as a support level that allows price to bounce higher. However, if this zone breaks, a deeper corrective move may start to unfold.
While I lean toward the bullish scenario, actual price action will ultimately determine the next direction. A decisive break below the trendline would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the risk of a pause or even a short-term reversal.
This is only my personal view based on chart analysis, not financial advice.
Wishing you success!
X-indicator
XAUUSD-The rally might just be getting startedAfter receiving several messages asking “what would be a good level to start thinking about selling gold after this amazing rally?”, I’ve decided to prepare a post focused on long-term investing, even though I'm more focused in the short term opportunities.
In the short term, it’s clear for everyone here on TradingView, gold has broken out of a textbook ascending triangle and is pushing into new all-time highs .
But… how far can this madness go!?!?
To answer, I’ve taken a long-term perspective, analyzing the monthly chart to give a broader view.
First of all, let me say that nobody knows exactly where gold will stop, and anyone who claims otherwise is lying. What I can do is highlight the levels that are more probable than others, based on technical patterns, Fibonacci extensions, and how gold has reacted to these in the past.
Gold has been one of the strongest long-term performers in financial history, and the monthly chart tells us that the story might be far from over.
In the past, a Cup & Handle pattern pushed prices nearly 3x the height of the formation.
Right now, gold is completing another massive Cup & Handle, and we’re already near the x1 target ($3,900).
The rally could extend to x2 ($7,200) or even x3 ($13,500) until 2030.
The timing also aligns: the impulse wave after the last correction lasted 146 months, and this new rally is following a very similar time structure. According to the chart, this cycle could realistically stretch until 2030. Of course, with volatility but probably with a strong trend year after year.
For long-term investors, this means:
Any deep correction = opportunity
Gold remains one of the best hedges against uncertainty
Patience could be rewarded with a historic move
I’m personally very bullish on gold’s long-term outlook, and I see this asset as a must-hold in a diversified portfolio. Corrections will come, but the structure suggests they’ll just be steps on the way higher. In the chart, you can also see a projection of the previous rally channel, Fibo time levels of the past correction being amazingly perfect and how it's realated with the current one, but it's not that important for the forecasted levels, so I don't want to overwhelm you :)
Furthermore, many countries have been shifting from sovereign debt to gold in their reserves, and this trend has been accelerating in recent years.
How to recognize the Fundamentals Support in a stock chart.Candlesticks are more than just a buy entry signal or a sell short entry signal. Candlesticks offer far more information such as where are the fundamentals of a company in relation to its stock price? The chart of AMZN shows the current level of fundamentals at this time which is within the outlined price level. AMZN is an excellent example of a company that is prospering during a time of rising tariffs and trade wars.
AMZN chart also show Buy Side "Support the Market" activity and quiet accumulation for much of this year. The steady rise of Accum/Dist is a pattern in the indicator that represents quiet accumulation over time.
Reminder: When Dark Pools are in accumulation mode they do not move price in huge price action. The candles will be small, uniform, and periodic. TWAP orders, Time Weighted at Average Price are used to set an automatic ping to buy when a stock falls below the fundamental level of a sideways trend. Fundamentals are always sideways trends.
If the stock moves beyond the high price set for the TWAP order, then the accumulation buying ping halts and waits.
Therefore, you can see the area where the majority of Dark Pool TWAP orders are buying and when the orders pause.
This is very useful information as Professional Independent Traders are monitoring the Dark Pool Buy Zone and will buy with the Dark Pools in anticipation that the liquidity draw is going to drive price upward suddenly as HFTs AI suddenly find the liquidity draw which occurs slowly over time, often several months.
Avalanche (AVAX): Expecting Strong Breakout | 2 CME GapsBINGX:AVAXUSDT.P is pressing right against local resistance, where we’ve seen multiple rejections in the past weeks. This zone remains the key level to break before momentum can really pick up.
As long as buyers keep building pressure here, we’re watching closely for a clean breakout. A successful push through this resistance opens the path toward the bullish CME gaps sitting higher, with targets around $34 and $42.
Swallow Academy
Ethereum (ETH): Still near EMAs | Expecting An Explosive MoveETH is still sitting around the EMAs on the 4H timeframe, where pressure continues to build up. Buyers haven’t let the structure break down, but we’re still waiting for that clean confirmation to trigger the bullish move toward our target zone near $5,555.
Patience is key here — the setup remains valid, and the EMAs continue to act as the zone of pressure we highlighted earlier.
Swallow Academy
DUOL: Premium Growth, Golden Ratio PullbackDuolingo is one of the rare consumer apps that has turned daily engagement into real money. Revenue is growing +40% year-over-year, gross margins sit above 70%, and the company is debt-free with over $1B in cash on the balance sheet. ROIC has now climbed into double digits, proving the model scales.
Yes, the valuation is rich — about 113× trailing earnings and 57× forward — but investors are paying for a clear growth runway: paid subscribers are compounding fast, new verticals like Math and Music are gaining traction, and the Duolingo English Test is carving out its own niche. For long-term holders, that combination of growth + financial safety is exactly what creates durable value.
Technically speaking, the stock has corrected sharply in recent months, mostly due to valuation concerns and profit-taking after a strong run. It almost feels like trying to catch a falling knife, but that’s exactly why it’s worth putting the gloves on and looking for strong support.
Around $200, there’s a powerful confluence of signals:
- Trendline support zone (both from wicks and closing prices)
- Previous highs that now act as support
- Fibonacci golden ratio (61.8%) retracement
- Round number magnet at $200
- Weekly EMA200
Do your homework, and if these align with your thesis, this could be a compelling setup. It’s definitely an area worth watching.
Regards,
Vaido
Bitcoin trading plan!BTC is still holding its current range, trading inside this fair value below the POC.
Key levels:
Resistance: $113k
Support: $110k
If price holds $110k through the weekend, another push toward 112.8k–113.1k is likely. A rejection and stall at that zone would be a strong signal for breakdown.
AVAX T1 Incoming!
Bullish reversal confirmed from long-term support zone 🔥
Breakout from descending structure + clean higher low ➡️ momentum shift is ON 📈
Now pushing toward the first major resistance level 👀
🎯 Targets Ahead:
• $31.15 (T1 — loading...)
• $38.70
• $47.94
Time to pay attention! AVAX heating up 🔥
USDJPY bearish sideways consolidation The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 148.90, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 148.90 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 146.10, followed by 145.40 and 144.60 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 148.90 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 149.75, then 150.20.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 148.90. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD sell expectation Gold (XAUUSD) has shown signs of exhaustion after its recent bullish run, with price reacting strongly to multiple fair value gaps (FVG) and resistance zones. The 15-minute chart highlights unmitigated bearish FVGs aligning with higher timeframe supply areas, signaling a potential shift in order flow.
My bearish expectation is that gold will likely respect these supply zones and continue to trade lower toward key support around 3616 – 3580, where liquidity rests. The sell entry is based on the rejection from the 15m FVG, confirming bearish order flow and favoring downside continuation.
Risk management is essential here: stop-loss above the recent supply/FVG zone, while targeting the liquidity pools and imbalance fills below.
$1.85 to $40.12 in 6 minutes! That's 2,000% on $DSY🚀 $1.85 to $40.12 in 6 minutes! 📈That's 2,000% on NASDAQ:DSY
Early birds got the worm, had to be ready at 4 a.m.
Did you catch it?
I watched it live, it was skipping dollar like it was cents, there really was no safe entry except maybe around $12 - $15 for a vertical to $35+
Other than that you had to be in from afterhours when it made $1.50 - $2.00 move into increased volume and hold overnight.
I wouldn't be buying it around here, don't let prices trick you, a buy at $7 after it dropped from $40 is not cheap. It was $1 yesterday so you're still overpaying $1 - $7.
NASDAQ:LGHL NASDAQ:STEC NASDAQ:JEM AMEX:ZONE NASDAQ:OCTO other premarket movers
GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3639.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it and we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation ,and also we have a reversal pattern and the price closed above neckline , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 3639.00 when the price back to retest it , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
6- Reversal Pattern .
ES - September 10th - Daily Trade Plan September 10th - 5:45am EST -
Volatility should arrive with PPI & CPI today and tomorrow. I will not go into too much detail about my trade plan yesterday as you can read it under the (Related Publication Section). A couple of highlights, 6493 & 6505-08 have been 2 key levels so far this week. Why? Institutions have been buying at these levels and price has kept moving higher. As you know by now, my edge is buying after the Institutions and riding the wave higher. I do NOT short ES as I wait for short squeezes as a safer way to enter and ride the waves up in bull/bear markets. The past couple of days have been pretty boring price action. We have chopped retail investors up all week as price has ping ponged back and forth between my levels, but more importantly between 6493-6523. We finally broke out overnight and hit our first target of the week, which was also last week's high at 6544.
What is the plan for today? 8:30am, we have a big data report. I will not be trading before the report and will be waiting on price to settle out after the NYSE open. That is one of my rules on data & volatility events.
Overnight low was 6526 with the high being 6544. We have to remain bullish until proven otherwise, so the targets in green above are still in play this week. How do we get to those targets? Ideally, we get a big flush, scare retail traders, let them pile in short, flip the script, short squeeze and ride higher. If you have been trading ES for any length of time you know that if price is flushing, you get out the way. Do not be a hero and try to pick when price will reverse. Identify levels that have high probabilities, watch the reaction at that level, then enter based on your edge.
Key Support Levels - 6530, 6526, 6523, 6517, 6504-08, 6490
Key Resistance Levels - 6544, 6549, 6555, 6562, 6578+
The white trend line is the magnet above that I believe we are heading for at some point this week or into the Fed meeting next week.
After the PPI release and by 9am, we should have a good sense for what price is looking to do. Any flush of 6526 and reclaim should be a good level for a move higher. We could see price sell off all the way down to the white trend line around 6474 area, flush and then recover a level in blue to continue higher.
IF, price does flush 6490 and we are accelerating into it, I would be patient and wait to see what it does. While yesterday we flushed, recovered for a nice 50 point move higher, we might get a nice bounce, but liquidity continues to be taken each time we visit this level and when we do lose the level, I anticipate a multi-level loss.
IF, price can flush and reclaim the red or blue levels, those are always my highest quality spots I am looking to ride higher. The yellow levels are very important support and resistance levels that you can get reclaims of and move higher. They can also be choppy and harder to enter without a short time frame edge for entry. It is all based on your strategy, goals and edge of getting points from ES.
Size down today, price could lose 100+pts or run 100+pts higher. Do not be a hero. Wait for your levels and edge to enter and make sure you take profits at the next level higher.
I will post updates after PPI and around 10am after NYSE has settled out.
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Couple of things about how I color code my levels.
1. Purple shows the weekly High/Low
2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post)
3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows)
4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest.
5. White shows the trendline from the August lows.
Shiba Inu (SHIB): Expecting a Strong Bounce and Break of 200EMASHIB has shown a repeating pattern where each bounce ended near the 200EMA, but this time things look different. We are now getting closer to both the phantom support and the 200EMA, creating a clear zone of pressure.
If buyers manage to push through this area, we could finally see a strong breakout — with next targets set at 0.000020 and 0.000024.
Swallow Academy
Gold testing highs, possible pullback below $3,675📊 Market Overview:
Gold surged to an all-time high at $3,673.95/oz on September 9, 2025, driven by Fed rate-cut expectations, USD weakness, and strong central bank demand.
On September 10, gold is consolidating around $3,635/oz, with markets awaiting key US inflation data.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,675 – $3,700
• Nearest Support: $3,600 – $3,620
• EMA: Price remains above EMA 09 → bullish momentum intact.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Technicals still show Strong Buy signals, but overbought conditions suggest short-term pullback risk.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may pull back in the short term if sellers defend the $3,675–$3,700 zone, but a breakout above this level could trigger another rally toward $3,720–$3,750.
💡 Trading Strategy Suggestion:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 3697 – 3700
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 3703
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 3617 – 3620
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 3614
XAU/USD (Gold) 15M chart XAU/USD (Gold) chart with volume profile zones and marked demand areas.
3,664 – 3,668 (as shown in the box at the right).
Here’s the target analysis based on the visible levels:
Immediate Support Zone (Demand Zone): 3,650 – 3,655
Upside Target Zones (Supply/Resistance from Volume Profile):
1. First target: 3,620 – 3,625
2. Second target: 3,580 – 3590 (stronger supply area marked in green at the top)
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
EURUSD Approaching 1.18 – Buyers in ControlEURUSD continues to show a firm upward bias on the daily chart. Price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, with Tenkan crossing Kijun and the cloud’s leading edge widening; Chikou Span hangs above recent candles, reinforcing bullish momentum. Since August lows, the pair has consistently made higher lows and is now pressing against the 1.176–1.180 zone. Support is clearly seen at FVG clusters around 1.166–1.168 and 1.158–1.161, with pullbacks absorbed swiftly by buying pressure.
Immediate resistance lies at 1.176–1.180; a daily close above this could accelerate movement towards 1.183–1.185 and potentially 1.190–1.195. On the downside, 1.170–1.168 acts as a short-term equilibrium. Only a close below 1.166 would signal weakening momentum and increase the risk of sliding back to 1.161–1.158.
Oil Prices Rise on Geopolitical FactorsOil Prices Rise on Geopolitical Factors
As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude opened this week’s trading around $65.70, but today the price is near $66.80 (around +1.7%).
Oil is being pushed higher by geopolitical factors, including:
→ Israel’s strike on Hamas leadership in Qatar;
→ Trump’s calls for Europe to impose tariffs on buyers of Russian oil.
It is also worth noting that over the weekend an OPEC+ meeting took place. Although the decision was made to increase production, the volumes were smaller than analysts had expected.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
After the surge of extreme volatility at the end of July, Brent crude price fluctuations have been forming a descending channel (shown in red), with the following developments:
→ in September the price tested the lines dividing the channel into quarters (2 September – QH test, 5 September – QL test);
→ this week’s rise in oil looks like a return to the median, where supply and demand tend to balance out (in other words, where market participants more often agree on a fair price).
From a bullish perspective:
→ the $65.00 level appears to be an important support, having already proved its strength in August and September;
→ the sequence of higher highs and lows A→B→C→D→E suggests that pullbacks have been roughly half the size of bullish impulses – a sign of strong demand.
From a bearish perspective:
→ August price action suggests that a bear flag has formed as an interim correction within the prevailing downtrend;
→ the $67.50 level may act as strong resistance, as supply forces there were able to trigger a bearish breakout of the pattern.
Taking the above into account, we could assume that Brent prices may stabilise around the median in the short term, before sliding along it downwards – unless the balance of supply and demand shifts sharply (for example, under the influence of new geopolitical factors or the release of major economic indicators).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.