BTCUSD | This Chart is Crazy...I Warned YouHello traders,
Comparing the 2021 and 2025 charts patterns could drive you crazy. The similarities looks ridiculous at this point.
The structure is being repeated almost identical but mirrored. I know this chart might look crazy, but we all have been in this market for long enough to be crazy anyway.
I'm sorry, I just can't unsee it!
I'm seeing a move towards +$100k is very likely to happen to trap dumb money in. Then we can predict where market might go from there. Downhill.
Let me know what y'all think down in the comments.
X-indicator
The Trading Range is about to be testedTomorrow we should see all time highs, but I'm thinking it will not stick and so the trading range play may be in effect. Vix also about to test it's previous channel under 14. Gold, possibly a false breakout, seems to be following the general market. Oil may have bottomed, but nothing definitive. Nat Gas is very oversold, but should eventually go lower.
XAUUSD Aggressive Scalp Swing LongOANDA:XAUUSD XAU/USD – Aggressive Scalp/Swing Long (15m timeframe) – Updated Signal Entry Zone: 4,280 – 4,285 (buy limit or market if already bouncing)
Stop Loss: 4,274 (tight, just below today’s low – risk max 9–11$)
Take Profit Targets: TP1: 4,295 – 4,297 (quick scalp – 50–60% position)
TP2: 4,308 – 4,313 (main target – previous highs + upper red zone)
TP3: 4,325 – 4,330 (runner if we get strong follow-through)
Risk/Reward: 1:2 up to 1:5 depending on how many targets you let run Confluence & Reasoning (right now): Price just printed a strong bullish engulfing + pinbar reversal exactly at 4,280 demand
Holding the blue ascending trendline for the 4th time
Higher-timeframe daily trend still very bullish (Gold > 4,200 = structural bull)
Volume spike on the reversal candle
Risk events mostly priced in, safe-haven flows supporting
Execution tips: If you’re not in yet → buy the break & close above 4,288 for confirmation
Already in from 4,280–4,285 → move SL to breakeven now
Partial at 4,295–4,297, let the rest run with trailing stop
#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #XAUAnalysis #Commodities #DayTrading #SwingTrading #NotFinancialAdvice This is NOT financial advice. Trading involves high risk. Always use proper position sizing and manage your own risk.
4H chart, BTCUSDT. the 4H chart, BTCUSDT is consolidating in a tight range, holding above a rising trendline, while repeatedly rejecting from the same 93,500–94,500 resistance block.
The price is trading near rising support from the Ichimoku Cloud and lows of 82,000–83,000. Local horizontal support is now around 89,000–89,100, and if the trendline fails, deeper support is at 84,584 and 80,550.
As long as candles close above the trendline and 89,000, the setup favors another attempt to break the red resistance band; a clean 4H close above 94.5k would create room for a move towards 96,000–100,000.
A decisive break below the diagonal plus 89k level reveals a move first to 84.5k and then to 80.5k, where the larger, higher-timeframe demand zone and previous bounce began.
DYOR | NFA
LINK at Critical Bounce Point, Historically Where Rallies BeginBIST:LINK is back inside one of the strongest accumulation zones on the chart.
This trendline has held for almost 5 years, and every touch has led to a major move up.
Price is now sitting right on support and the 0.618/0.786 Fib levels a zone where smart money usually loads.
If LINK holds here, a push back toward $17–$21 is on the table.
This is the area where big moves often start.
Gold Wave Analysis – 12 December 2025
- Gold reversed from strong resistance level 4350.00
- Likely to fall to support level 4200.00
Gold recently reversed from the resistance area between the strong resistance level 4350.00 (which stopped sharp wave (3) in October) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous impulse waves iii and 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5).
Given the strength of the resistance level 4350.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Gold can be expected to fall to the next support level 4200.00.
ETH Sharp Drop: Watching the Retracement Trap Zone📉 ETH Analysis – Breakdown, Retest Incoming
ETH has broken down sharply from the previous consolidation block, confirming a bearish continuation structure. The price has dropped cleanly below the range and is now forming a temporary bounce from the 3,060–3,090 zone.
Your chart highlights a potential retest zone around 3,220–3,250, aligned with:
The bottom of the previous range
The cloud resistance
The breakdown retest zone
A typical liquidity sweep level before continuation
This suggests the market may produce a ** corrective pullback** toward that marked area before sellers step in again.
---
🔍 Key Points
Trend: Bearish after breaking the ascending structure.
Current Move: Relief bounce from oversold region.
Main Target: Retest toward 3,220–3,250.
Expectation: From that zone, ETH likely faces selling pressure and resumes downside.
Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,260.
US100 Liquidity Reaction at Accumulation Box Volume ProfileThis analysis is based on a Volume Profile anchored to the most recent accumulation box in order to isolate the active auction. The goal is to understand whether price is accepting value or rejecting it, rather than attempting to predict direction.
US100 recently attempted to trade above the upper value region but failed to hold acceptance. Price is now rotating back into the composite range, suggesting a transition from expansion to balance.
Volume Profile Perspective
The anchored Volume Profile highlights where the majority of recent transactions occurred. These levels define fair value and serve as decision points for continuation or rotation.
Price is currently interacting with a key acceptance area that has previously acted as both support and resistance. This makes it a critical zone for determining short-term control.
Key Reference Levels
Upper distribution and rejection zone from prior highs
Value acceptance area defined by the anchored profile
Lower value boundary and high-volume support
Lower composite distribution below value
These levels are treated as reaction zones, not precise turning points.
Expected Market Paths
Path One: Continued Rejection and Rotation Lower
If price fails to reclaim acceptance above the value area and continues to form lower highs, rotation toward the lower value boundary becomes the higher probability outcome. Acceptance below value would open the path toward the next lower composite distribution.
Path Two: Reacceptance Into Value
If price reclaims the value area and holds above it with acceptance, rotation back toward the upper distribution becomes likely. In this case, the prior rejection zone would act as the next area to evaluate for continuation or rejection.
Execution Considerations
This environment favors patience and reaction over anticipation. Trades are best evaluated at value boundaries rather than inside the range. Acceptance and rejection should be confirmed through structure and follow-through, not single candles.
This is a contextual market analysis, not a trading signal.
Summary
US100 is currently trading within a decision zone defined by an accumulation-based Volume Profile. The next directional move depends on whether price accepts back above value or continues to reject and rotate lower. Letting the market confirm intent at these levels is critical.
EUR USD Bullish Continuation SetupThis chart highlights a strong bullish structure developing on the EUR USD pair. After a period of sideways consolidation price broke out with momentum and formed a clean bullish flag pattern suggesting continuation to the upside. The rising trendline is supporting the move and the flag breakout points toward two potential upside target zones at 1.17783 and 1.18202. Overall the setup signals strong buyer interest and the potential for further bullish extension.
Ripple (XRP): Looking For Break of 200EMA | BullishXRP is stuck between the established support and the EMAs, so price is getting squeezed. This usually leads to a stronger move once one side gives in. Buyers are still holding the support area well, but they need a clean MSB and a push above the EMAs to take back momentum.
If buyers manage to reclaim that zone and secure above the EMAs, we can expect a healthier push toward the upper range. Until then, this remains a tight consolidation with pressure building up.
Swallow Academy
RCL: Stop Guessing. The Path to $300 ExplainedRCL: Stop Guessing. The Path to $300 Explained
Most traders try to catch a falling knife. They see a price drop, they think it’s cheap, and they buy. Then it drops again. They get cut.
But professionals don't guess . We wait for the floor to become solid. We wait for the market to TELL us it is ready to move.
Look at the chart of NYSE:RCL I have shared. The market just screamed a clear message, and you need to hear it.
The Psychology of the "W"
Do not just look at the lines, look at the story. We have a textbook Double Bottom . This "W" shape is powerful for one reason: Exhaustion .
First V: Sellers pushed the price down. Buyers stepped in.
Second V: Sellers tried one last time to break the low. They FAILED.
That failure is your signal. It means the sellers are gone, and the buyers are taking control.
Statistically, this setup has a 78% success rate . Those are odds I like to play.
The Truth Serum: Volume
A pattern without volume is just a drawing. A pattern with volume is a breakout.
Look at the bottom of the chart. When the price broke the yellow neckline at $272.82 , it didn't just drift over the line. It EXPLODED through it with a massive spike in volume.
That green volume bar tells you that Institutional Money has entered the room. They aren't testing the waters, they are committing .
The Consequence: The Road to $300
Now that the trap has sprung, where does the price go?
When we analyze the measured move (the height of the W projected upwards) and look at the Volume Profile on the right, the resistance disappears. The heavy traffic is behind us.
The path of least resistance is now UP. The first psychological magnet is $300 .
My Battle Plan for RCL
Now you see the pattern. You see the target. But seeing is not executing.
Executing a good entry is easy, but the exit strategy is 80% of the game .
Knowing exactly where to place your Stop Loss to survive the volatility, and where your Take Profits maximize returns, that is the art.
I also apply a specific Risk-Free Trade management strategy. While I can't explain the full mechanic in this post, this technique drastically reduces even more the stress and pushes the probability of a successful outcome to over 90% .
Here are the levels I would use to set-and-forget for a Zen Trading experience:
🎯 Take Profit: White lines ($290-300) | > 6% Potential
🛡️ Stop Loss: $265 Zone (Below the breakout) | ~ 3% Risk
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 2:1 Ratio (Winners pay double the cost of losers)
🎁 Let’s make a simple deal.
I will handle the heavy lifting to find the top 1% of setups like this, and you just HIT the 🚀 Rocket and Follow.
If you scroll past now, the algorithm might ensure we never meet again.
Secure the connection and I promise to keep these high-probability setups coming. Sounds like a fair trade, right?
🤝 Deal?
Bank of America Flirts with HistoryBank of America has plodded higher for months, and now it’s flirting with history.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $55.08 level. It was the previous all-time high from 2006, before the global financial crisis. BAC suffered a 95 percent drawdown from that peak and has now returned to the same historic line. That could keep traders on guard for a potential breakout.
Second, the megabank has made a series of higher lows while staying above its rising 50-day simple moving average. Is an intermediate-term uptrend in effect?
Next, MACD is rising and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may reflect short-term bullishness.
Finally, BAC is an active underlier in the options market. That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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EURNZD Potential Long Setup #2 (High Probability Reaction)DAILY DIRECTIONAL BIAS (MAIN TIME FRAME)
🔹 1. AREA OF CONFLUENCE
> Support Zone:
- 3 clean rejections (strong structure validity)
- Recently respected & aligned with previous structure
- Functioned as both Support and Resistance
- Strong impulsive move away
- Very clear and easy to identify
> Ichimoku Cloud: price sitting in the buyers’ zone
🔹 2. CANDLESTICK CONFIRMATIONS
> Shrinking candles → sellers losing strength
> Inside bar → consolidation & profit-taking
> Color shift candle → first buyer presence
> Large Bullish Engulfing → aggressive buyer takeover
📍 STOP LOSS
> Placed below:
- Support zone
- Wick rejections
- Ichimoku Cloud
➡️ Multi-layer protection for higher trade safety
🎯 TAKE PROFIT AREAS
> TP1 (First Target)
- HTF resistance
- Left shoulder of potential H&S pattern
- Fibonacci 50% – 61.8% zone
➡️ High-probability reaction area
> TP2 (Final Target)
- Major swing high
- Fibonacci 100% extension
➡️ Continuation target
⏳ ENTRY TIME FRAME (2H CONFIRMATION)
1.) Break of descending channel + symmetrical triangle, followed by two clean pullbacks
2.) EMA 50 break + EMA 14 cross above EMA 50 (after long downtrend)
3.) Ichimoku Cloud breakout after extended time below
4.) SuperTrend flip → bullish confirmation
**📈 If you appreciate clean, rule-based and well-explained setups, feel free to follow.
Your thoughts and perspectives are welcome in the comments.**
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves risk; always conduct your own analysis.
I am not responsible for decisions or losses based on this idea.
Why will the time for altcoins come in January?As you can see on the chart, the largest dominance charts — from BTC.D to XRP.D and others — are all approaching the end of their trend. On the 2W chart we’ve already lost support. I expect altcoins to find their bottom by the end of December and begin their rally from January through March–April.”
MASSIVE move inbound...🚨 AMEX:IWM is coiling for a MASSIVE move.
We’re breaking out of a 4-year Cup & Handle on the monthly chart—one of the most powerful continuation patterns you can get.
📈 Measured move? ~$330.
Yes… $330.
This checks every box:
• 4 years of underperformance vs. AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ
• Small–mid caps are among the most undervalued in the entire market
• Rate cuts are rocket fuel for risk-on segments like AMEX:IWM
• Broad participation = healthier market = Russell strength
This is the breakout I’ve been waiting on.
🔥 Small caps might finally be waking up.
Buckle up.
Running out of fuel? Short CVNA────────────────────────
WAVE 1 (40 → 270)
────────────────────────
Why it passes:
• Strong, impulsive advance
• Establishes a clear directional trend
• No overlapping or corrective structure at the start
Supporting evidence:
• Large extension from the base (~40 → 270)
• Clean upward structure with expanding volume
• Fits the behavior of a Wave 1 inside a larger uptrend
• Breaks major resistance from prior range with force
────────────────────────
WAVE 2 (270 → 147)
────────────────────────
Why it passes:
• Deep retracement but does NOT violate Wave 1 origin (40)
• Retraces more than 50% (common for Wave 2)
• Corrective structure (choppy, overlapping) consistent with EW rules
Supporting evidence:
• Pullback is proportional to the size of Wave 1
• Structure is slow and corrective, not impulsive
• Creates the setup for a powerful Wave 3
• Price remains well above the Wave 1 start → rule preserved
────────────────────────
WAVE 3 (147 → 410)
────────────────────────
Why it passes:
• Wave 3 must NOT be the shortest impulse → here it is the longest
• Must break above the Wave 1 peak → rises well beyond 270
• Must be impulsive → strong directional movement without major overlap
Supporting evidence:
• Largest price expansion of all waves
• Clean, powerful impulse characteristic of a Wave 3
• Strong upward momentum across indicators
• Represents the “longest and strongest” leg in the sequence
• Excellent symmetry relative to Wave 1
────────────────────────
WAVE 4 (410 → ~350)
────────────────────────
Why it passes:
• Does NOT overlap Wave 1 top at 270 (major rule)
• Shallow retracement after an extended Wave 3
• Alternates behavior with Wave 2 (EW guideline: alternation)
Supporting evidence:
• Correction is sideways/choppy rather than deep (opposite of Wave 2)
• Retracement is measured and controlled
• Simple corrective structure typical of Wave 4
• Stays safely above 270 → non-overlap rule intact
────────────────────────
WAVE 5 (350 → 470+)
(Currently in progress or topping now)
────────────────────────
Why it passes:
• Moves beyond Wave 3 peak (410) → required
• Exhibits typical Wave 5 characteristics: exhaustion, wedge, divergence
• Completes a clean 5-wave internal structure
Supporting evidence:
• Parabolic blowoff rally into wedge resistance
• RSI + MFI bearish divergence — classic Wave 5 termination signal
• Bollinger band overextension
• Volume declining on the final push
• Price action becomes vertical and unstable → end of trend behavior
Summary - EW is valid
The structure passes ALL primary Elliott Wave rules:
• Wave 2 does not break Wave 1 origin
• Wave 3 is not the shortest and exceeds Wave 1’s high
• Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1
• Wave 5 extends beyond Wave 3
• Waves alternate corrections (deep Wave 2, shallow Wave 4)
• Momentum and divergence support a Wave 5 top
Where do we go from here-
Wave A TBD usually retraces 23.6%–38.2% of the full impulse.
Targets:
A1 (shallow): 380–400
• Minor reaction low
• Retest of Wave 4 pivot
A2 (common): 350–360
• Strong support
• Matches prior Wave 4 zone (very common target)
• First major liquidity pocket
A3 (deep A wave): 320–330
• Tests the mid-level between W3 peak and W4 low
• Strong support cluster
Gold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to SurgeGold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to Surge
Gold closes the week with a steady bullish profile, maintaining a structure that reflects strong positioning from larger market participants. The weekly flow shows a market that continues to rotate upward through liquidity pockets while holding firm during corrective phases.
This week’s behavior indicates that buyers remain active on every controlled retracement, keeping the overall structure balanced and directional. The price continues to move in a sequence of expansion → stabilisation → renewed expansion, which is a common pattern when the market is preparing for sustained upside development.
Underlying order flow suggests that Gold is still within a broad accumulation cycle at higher levels, where the market repeatedly absorbs sell-side attempts and transitions back into bullish pressure. The consistency of this pattern signals confidence from long-term participants and reduces the probability of a structural shift at this stage.
As the week closes, the overall environment remains favorable for continued appreciation. Price is advancing in a measured, orderly fashion rather than showing signs of exhaustion. This steady progression typically precedes multi-week continuation phases, especially when liquidity objectives remain active above current trading levels.
How Price Really Moves: 4 Entry Triggers Driven by LiquidityThis breakdown explains four recurring entry triggers that appear consistently across real market structure.
These are not indicators and not prediction tools. They are observable behaviors driven by liquidity, positioning, and trader psychology.
Each trigger is rooted in why price moves, not what price might do next.
1. Fading breakout traders (Failed Momentum / Trap Model)
When price breaks a key level and open interest jumps, breakout traders rush in expecting continuation. If price quickly snaps back, those new traders become trapped and their exits fuel a move in the opposite direction. This creates one of the cleanest reversal triggers since you are trading directly against failed momentum.
► What usually happens
Markets frequently approach obvious highs, lows, or range boundaries where:
•Retail breakout traders anticipate continuation
•Algorithms and short-term momentum systems enter aggressively
•Open interest or volume often expands rapidly
At this moment, new positions are created late , directly into resistance or support.
► The key failure
If price:
•Breaks a key level
•Fails to hold acceptance beyond it
•Quickly closes back inside the prior range
Then the breakout has failed structurally.
This means:
•Buyers who entered above resistance are now trapped
•Sellers who entered below support are trapped
•Their exits (stops + panic closes) become fuel for the opposite move
► Why this works
Markets move efficiently when traders are positioned correctly.
They move violently when traders are positioned incorrectly.
A failed breakout converts hope-based positions into forced exits.
► Educational takeaway
You are not trading the level,
you are trading the failure of belief at the level.
This is why failed breakouts often produce:
•Fast reversals
•Clean directional candles
•Strong continuation after rejection
2. Liquidation flushes (Forced Exit & Rebalance Model)
Sharp liquidation events create long wicks and temporary price inefficiencies. Markets tend to rebalance after these shocks as liquidity returns, which is why these wicks often get filled quickly. This setup works well in volatile phases and near exhaustion points where forced selling or buying pushes price too far.
► What a liquidation flush is
A liquidation flush occurs when:
•Price moves aggressively in one direction
•Overleveraged positions are forcibly closed
•Stops and liquidations cascade simultaneously
This often creates:
•Long wicks
•One-sided impulsive candles
•Temporary price inefficiencies
Importantly, this move is not driven by new conviction, but by forced exits.
► What happens after
Once forced liquidations are complete:
•Selling or buying pressure rapidly decreases
•Liquidity returns to the market
•Price frequently retraces part or all of the wick
This retracement is not random
it is the market rebalancing after stress.
► Where flushes matter most
Liquidation flushes are most meaningful when they occur:
•Near prior highs/lows
•At range extremes
•After extended directional moves
•During high-volatility sessions
► Educational takeaway
A liquidation wick does not mean “strong trend”.
It often means the move is temporarily exhausted.
You are not trading momentum,
you are trading the absence of remaining pressure.
3. Orderblocks
Orderblocks are zones where previous heavy participation occurred, usually during sideways movements before a strong move away. When price revisits these levels, the same participants often defend the area, creating reliable reaction points. Clean pivots with no messy wicks are the strongest since they signal clear institutional activity.
► What an orderblock represents
Orderblocks are areas where:
•Large participants accumulated or distributed positions
•Price moved sideways briefly
•A strong directional move followed immediately after
This sideways phase exists because large players cannot enter all at once without moving price against themselves.
► Why orderblocks matter
•When price returns to these zones:
•Previous participants may still be active
•Unfilled orders may remain
•Defensive reactions are more likely than random continuation
Clean orderblocks typically show:
•Tight consolidation
•Minimal wicks
•Strong departure afterward
Messy structures often indicate mixed participation and weaker reactions.
► How orderblocks are used
Orderblocks are reaction zones , not signals.
They provide:
•Logical areas to expect interest
•Defined risk zones
•Context for entry triggers like wicks or failed breaks
► Educational takeaway
Orderblocks work because institutions remember their prices , even if retail traders forget them.
You are trading where participation previously mattered, not arbitrary support or resistance.
4. London session liquidity setup
London frequently sets the daily low or high early in the session. Later in the day price often returns to sweep internal liquidity around that level before continuing the trend. This repeatable behavior offers structured entries based on predictable liquidity grabs tied to session mechanics.
► Why London matters
The London session is:
•One of the highest liquidity windows globally
•Often responsible for setting the initial daily structure
•Heavily watched by institutions and algorithms
In many markets, London establishes:
•The daily high
•The daily low
Or a key internal liquidity level early in the session
► The repeatable behavior
Later in the day (often London continuation or New York):
•Price returns to that London high or low
•Sweeps internal liquidity around it
•Rejects after stops are collected
•Continues in the higher-timeframe direction
This is not coincidence,
it is session-based liquidity engineering.
► Why it works
Institutions prefer:
•Liquidity-rich entries
•Known pools of resting stops
•Session transitions for execution
London levels provide exactly that.
► Educational takeaway
Sessions are not just time zones,
they are liquidity cycles.
Understanding when liquidity is created is just as important as where.
How These Triggers Fit Together
These models are not standalone strategies.
They are contextual tools.
Very often:
•A London sweep causes a liquidation wick
•A failed breakout forms at an orderblock
•A liquidation flush completes a failed momentum move
The strongest setups occur when multiple triggers overlap , but each can stand alone as a learning framework.
Why These Triggers Work Long-Term
They work because they are based on:
• Trader positioning
• Forced behavior (stops, liquidations)
• Institutional execution constraints
• Repeating session mechanics
They do not rely on:
•Indicator crossovers
•Lagging calculations
•Pattern prediction
Price moves because someone is forced to act.
These triggers show where and why that happens.
These 4 triggers work because they exploit trapped traders, forced liquidations and consistent liquidity patterns rather than relying on indicators. Keep them simple, wait for clean context and let the setups come to you.
Note
These concepts are:
•Descriptive, not predictive
•Contextual, not mechanical
•Dependent on execution skill and risk management
The goal is not to trade more,
it is to wait for situations where the market gives you an advantage.
I have made a script which might help identify all 4 triggers.
Disclaimer
The script is provided for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
The script does not execute trades, manage risk, or replace the need for trader discretion. Market behavior can change quickly, and past behavior detected by the script does not ensure similar future outcomes.
Users should test the script on demo or simulation environments before applying it to live markets and must maintain full responsibility for their own risk management, position sizing, and trade execution.
Trading involves risk, and losses can exceed deposits. By using the script, you acknowledge that you understand and accept all associated risks.
Why Bitcoin Hits Your Stop Loss Before the Real MoveWhy Bitcoin Hits Your Stop Loss Before the Real Move
Have you ever placed a Bitcoin trade and noticed this? 🤔
Your stop loss 😭💸 gets hit… just a few pips from your entry… then the price suddenly rockets 🚀💎 in the direction you were expecting!
This is not bad luck. It’s a Stop Loss Hunt 💥, used by smart money 🏦💰 to collect liquidity before the real trend begins.
1️⃣ Liquidity Pools Above Highs & Below Lows 📊💎
Retail traders place stop losses at obvious highs/lows 📈📉
These stops create liquidity zones 💧, which smart money targets 🔍
Price moves to these zones to collect liquidity → fuels the next trend 🚀
Example:
BTC trending upward 📈
Traders place buy stops above the previous high ⬆️
Smart money pushes price to trigger stops 💥 → collects liquidity 💎 → then moves the price in the real trend direction 🚀
2️⃣ Stop Loss Sweep 💥⚡
Price triggers retail stop losses 🛑
Retail traders get stopped out 😭💸
Institutions enter large positions with minimal resistance 💹
Key Insight:
Price needs liquidity 💧 to move strongly.
Without collecting stops, smart money cannot drive momentum efficiently ⚡
3️⃣ Fake Breakouts & Wicks 🌪️🔥
Watch for wick spikes or sudden breakouts 🕵️♂️
These are stop loss hunts
Many traders panic 😱 and exit positions
Smart money uses this to trap retail traders and continue the trend 🚀
4️⃣ The Real Move Begins 🚀🔥
After liquidity is collected 💎💧
The true trend resumes 📈
Traders who waited can enter safely 🧘♂️💹
Often, the move is stronger and faster ⚡ because institutions now control the market
5️⃣ Market Psychology Behind Stop Hunts 🧠💭
Retail traders panic when stops are triggered 😅💸
Fear is used to manipulate sentiment 🧲
Recognizing this psychological trap helps you stay calm 🧘♂️ and trade strategically 🏆
6️⃣ How to Trade Stop Loss Hunts 💡🧠
✅ Avoid stops at obvious highs/lows 🚫
✅ Wait for liquidity sweep ⏳💧
✅ Watch for wick spikes 🌟 — early signs of stop hunts
✅ Follow market structure 📊 (BOS/CHoCH)
✅ Trade after confirmation ⏱️
✅ Patience + discipline = profits 💎💹
7️⃣ Examples in Bitcoin Trading 🔍
Double top wicks above high → triggers stops 💥 → continues trend 🚀
Price dips below support → triggers stops 😭 → rebounds ⬆️
💡 Observation: Every wick tells a story 🌟 — learn to read it!
💬 Key Takeaways
Stop Loss Hunts = institutional footprints 👣
Price hunts liquidity 💧 — that’s why your SL is hit 💥
Understanding this helps you:
Trade smarter 💎
Avoid losses 😅💸
Spot trends before they happen 🚀
ZEC USDT SHORT SIGNAL---
📢 Official Trade Signal – ZEC/USDT
📉 Position Type: SHORT
💰 Entry Price: 454.45
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🎯 Take-Profit Targets (Partial Exits)
• TP1: 446.88
• TP2: 439.40
• TP3: 430.54
• TP4: 419.74
• TP5: —
• TP6: —
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🛑 Stop-Loss: 472.80
📊 Timeframe: 15m
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: —
💥 Suggested Leverage: 5× – 10×
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🧠 Technical Analysis Summary
ZEC is showing increasing bearish pressure after a clear rejection from the 464–472 supply zone.
The 15m market structure has shifted downward, forming lower highs and breaking key intraday support at 451.50.
Liquidity pockets below the current price align perfectly with our downside target levels:
446.88 → first liquidity sweep
439.40 → continuation zone
430.54 → deeper liquidity
419.74 → final bearish target
A break below 450.00 will likely accelerate bearish momentum toward TP2 and TP3 zones.
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⚙️ Trade Management Rules
✔ Take partial profit at TP1
✔ Move SL to Break-Even after TP1
✔ Trail SL as price moves toward deeper targets
✔ No re-entry if SL is hit
✔ Confirm bearish structure before entering
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Gold Analysis: Fed Cut Ignites Rally Toward $4,300 TargetFXOPEN:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS Bulls Target $4,300 as Fed Cut Sparks Fresh Momentum (Dec 12, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS
🌍 MARKET OVERVIEW
Gold climbed to $4,224 on December 11, hitting a one month high after the Fed’s 25bps cut weakened the dollar and boosted safe-haven demand. Lower real yields and expectations of further easing in 2026 kept bullish momentum strong, supported by heavy central-bank buying led by China.
Geopolitical tensions, including the U.S. seizure of a Venezuelan tanker, added extra upside fuel. Silver also broke records above $64/oz, reflecting broad strength across precious metals. Analysts now eye $4,300–$4,400 into year-end, with volatility likely around upcoming NFP data.
📊 KEY FUNDAMENTALS
• Current Price: $4,268/oz (slightly lower intraday, -0.3%)
• Valuation Context: ~137% above 20-year avg.; ATH at $4,381 (Oct 2025)
• Global Reserves: ~36,000 tonnes; U.S. holds 8,133 tonnes (23% of total)
• Supply (Q3 2025): 1,313 tonnes — mine output 825t (+1.5% YoY) + recycled 344t (+6% YoY)
• Demand (Q3 2025): 1,313 tonnes (+3% YoY) driven by central-bank buying (220t Q3; 634t YTD) & strong investment flows
• YTD Performance: +61%, outperforming S&P 500 by 2.4×
• Outlook: Structural bullishness intact; 12-month forecasts near $4,465/oz
🌐 GEOPOLITICS
1️⃣ Russia Ukraine War
• Persistent conflict, sanctions, and NATO tensions keep volatility elevated
• Safe-haven demand remains strong
2️⃣ U.S. China Trade Tensions
• Trump’s 100% tariffs reignite the trade war, weakening USD
• BRICS pushback & China’s gold accumulation accelerate de-dollarization
3️⃣ Middle East Instability
• Gaza escalation & Iran-backed proxy attacks heighten global risk
• Temporary dips but repeated surges above $4,000
4️⃣ De Dollarization & BRICS Strategy
• Central banks accelerate gold buying to hedge USD weaponization
• 95% of global central bankers plan further gold purchases in 2026
5️⃣ Global Debt & Systemic Risks
• $324T global debt and U.S. $2T deficits fuel inflation fears
• Gold gains long-term support as trust in fiat declines
🔄 RISK-ON / RISK-OFF ANALYSIS
Gold’s +61% YTD surge reflects classic RORO flows, supported by stable yields & a weaker dollar. With the 10-year at 4.16%, opportunity costs stay low. Only a rise toward 4.5% could pressure prices back toward $4,000.
The DXY at 98.38 enhances gold affordability, where each 1% drop historically adds 0.5–1% to gold, amplified by 500+ tonnes of central bank buying.
Despite a low VIX (15.41) and strong equities (+30% YTD), gold continues to rally an unusual divergence driven by tariffs, inflation risk, and persistent geopolitical tensions. A VIX spike above 20 typically accelerates gold, while deep risk-on conditions may cause a 10 to 12% pullback.
📰 KEY INSIGHTS FROM CREDIBLE SOURCES
• Goldman Sachs reaffirmed a $4,900 target citing massive central-bank demand
• Gold & silver jumped ~1% on Fed dovishness & liquidity expansion (TGA -$78B)
• Fed plans to buy short end Treasuries → weaker USD → stronger gold
• Trump’s “run it hot” growth narrative boosts expectations of lower real yields
✅ CONCLUSION
Gold remains strongly bullish as macro conditions, Fed easing, and central bank accumulation create a solid structural floor above $4,150. Pullbacks are temporary, while geopolitical tensions and tariff-driven USD weakness support moves toward $4,300 - $4,400.
Subdued real yields keep opportunity costs low, and even in risk-on markets, gold's resilience highlights deep institutional demand. Momentum favors upside continuation into year-end unless yields spike aggressively.
🙌 SUPPORT THE ANALYSIS
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M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder - TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS






















