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US100 | NASDAQ – 15 Min Price & Time Analysis NASDAQ (US100) is trading inside a critical Price & Time zone based on Gann 144. Primary scenario (Sell): Sell is activated only after a clear break below 25150. SL: 25320 Targets: 24980 – 24880 – 24750 Alternative scenario (Buy correction): Buy only if price breaks and holds above 25350. SL: 25150 Targets: 25500 – 25620 Current movement is corrective within a broader bearish structure. Risk management is required. US100, NASDAQ, GANN, PRICEACTION, INTRADAY
CAPITALCOM:US100
by HASSANAYAD2026
Dow Jones Is About to Show Its Hand This WeekIn my view, the market is about to show its hand this week, and this could open the door for another round of strong, high-quality trades. The 48,209 level is extremely important for me. If price moves below this level, the scenario becomes very clear — from that point on, I’ll be focused only on short positions. For now, I’m closely monitoring how the market reacts around this zone. I’ll share the second scenario in the next post.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by Forex_Land
The system that turned ordinary traders into millionaires!!🐢 Turtle Trading Strategy A classic, rule-based, and repeatable trend trading system Introduction The Turtle Trading strategy is one of the most documented and successful trading systems in financial market history. It was designed in the 1980s to prove that trading is a skill that can be taught, not an innate talent. This strategy is built on three key principles: • Trend Following • Strict Risk Management • Eliminating Emotional Decision-Making 1. Suitable Markets and Timeframes Turtles only traded markets with the potential for large, sustained trends. Suitable markets: • Commodities (oil, gold, metals) • Forex • Indices • Cryptocurrencies Recommended timeframes: • Daily (as the main timeframe) • Weekly for long-term trend filtering 📌 Higher timeframes provide more reliable signals. 2. Entry Logic Entries in this system are based on price breakouts, not predicting reversals. System 1 – Short-Term Breakouts • Buy: Break above the high of the last 20 candles • Sell: Break below the low of the last 20 candles System 2 – Long-Term Breakouts • Buy: Break above the high of the last 55 candles • Sell: Break below the low of the last 55 candles 📌 Enter only after a candle closes beyond the valid range. ICT Turtle Soup Indicator: To optimize entries, especially in short-term breakouts, the ICT Turtle Soup indicator can be used. It focuses on false breakouts, helping reduce invalid signals: Identifies short-term high/low breakouts and checks volume/strength Trades in the opposite direction of false breakouts (e.g., high breakout → short) Quick exits with stop-loss near the breakout level This tool allows the classic Turtle system to improve entry accuracy and reduce risk. 3. Filtering Invalid Trades To avoid trading in ranging markets: • If the last trade in the 20-day system was profitable → ignore the next signal • If the last trade was a loss → the next trade is allowed This rule ensures the system is only active under favorable conditions. 4. Stop-Loss and Exit Rules Initial Stop-Loss: • Distance: 2 × N (market volatility) • Placed where the trend scenario is invalidated Exit: • Long trades: Break below the low of the last 10 candles • Short trades: Break above the high of the last 10 candles 📌 Exits are entirely mechanical; no reevaluation is needed. 5. Risk Management The core of the Turtle Trading system is risk management, not entry timing: • Risk per trade: maximum 1% of capital • Trade size adjusted according to market volatility • All trades evaluated independently 🎯 Goal: Survive the market until large trends develop 6. Pyramiding Turtles built big profits by adding positions logically: • Add positions only on profitable trades • Every 0.5 × N, add a new position • Maximum 4–5 positions per trend • Manage stop-loss across all positions 7. Psychological Structure This strategy is psychologically challenging: • Many small losses • Few very profitable trades • Low win rate but positive expected value 📌 Traders must endure losing streaks without breaking the rules. 8. Strengths and Weaknesses Strengths: • Fully rule-based and testable • Removes emotions from decision-making • Applicable across all markets • Compatible with automation Weaknesses: • Weak performance in ranging markets • Requires patience and discipline • Occasional drawdowns Final Summary The Turtle Trading strategy teaches you to: • React, don’t predict • Accept losses quickly • Let profits run • Stick to the rules • Use modern tools like ICT Turtle Soup to improve entry accuracy and turn false breakouts into opportunities In this system, “being right” doesn’t matter; adherence to rules determines success.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by forexcitypro_leemeenal
Apple Inc. Swing Setup – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?🍎 AAPL | Apple Inc. - Swing Trade Profit Blueprint 💰 NASDAQ: AAPL | Breakout Pattern Setup ⚡ Master the Swing Trade Game 🎯 📊 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW Currently trading at $268.47 with strong momentum indicators aligning for a breakout scenario. Apple is positioned in a critical decision zone with defined technical levels offering professional risk/reward opportunities. 🎲 Market Structure: Tight consolidation phase with multiple confluences at key resistance and support zones. 📈 SWING TRADE SETUP - DUAL SCENARIO ANALYSIS SCENARIO 1: BULLISH BREAKOUT 🚀 Entry Signal: Price breaks above resistance with volume confirmation Entry Zone: Above $272.00 (Daily Close Confirmation) Initial Target: $290.00 TP1 🎯 Extended Target: $295.00 TP2 (Ultimate Profit Zone) 🏆 Stop Loss: $264.00 (Risk Management Point) 🛑 SCENARIO 2: BEARISH BREAKDOWN 📉 Entry Signal: Price breaks below support with selling pressure Entry Zone: Below $266.50 (Daily Close Confirmation) Target 1: $262.00 TP1 🎯 Target 2: $256.00 TP2 (Profit Protection Zone) 🏆 Stop Loss: $276.00 (Risk Management Point) 🛑 🔍 KEY TECHNICAL FACTORS ✅ Momentum Alignment: Multiple timeframe convergence detected ✅ Volume Profile: Above average volume supporting breakout potential ✅ Support/Resistance: Well-defined levels from historical price action ✅ RSI Positioning: Neutral to strong momentum setup ✅ Moving Averages: Key dynamic support levels in play 🎯 SCENARIO CORRELATION PAIRS TO MONITOR Primary Correlations: 🔗 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft) - Tech sector strength indicator | Tech giants move together | Watch for divergence signals 🔗 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) - Broader market direction | If QQQ breaks down, AAPL pressure increases | Use as macro confirmation 🔗 AMEX:VGT (Vanguard Info Tech ETF) - Sector sentiment gauge | Tech rotation plays | Confirms sector health 🔗 AMEX:IVV (iShares S&P 500 ETF) - S&P 500 correlation | Broad market support/resistance | Risk-on/risk-off indicator 🔗 AMEX:GLD (Gold) - Risk sentiment inverse correlation | Gold up = Risk-off = Tech pressure | Macro economic climate 📍 IMPORTANT REMINDERS FOR TRADERS Your Entry Is Your Choice ✓ Only enter when YOUR checklist is complete Your Stop Loss Is Your Decision ✓ Set it where YOU feel comfortable with risk Your Take Profit Is Your Call ✓ Exit when your profit target is achieved or thesis breaks Every trader's risk tolerance differs. These levels are technical reference points, not personal recommendations. 🎓 STRATEGY NOTES ✨ Best used on 1H-4H timeframes for swing trading ✨ Volume confirmation is CRITICAL before entries ✨ Wait for candle closes above/below levels - no wick trading ✨ Use this alongside your own technical analysis ✨ Market conditions can invalidate setups rapidly - stay flexible ✨ The breakout zone is where patience rewards traders 💡 CORRELATION SUMMARY Green Lights ✅: When MSFT, QQQ, and VGT all confirm uptrend = Stronger AAPL bullish case Yellow Caution ⚠️: When divergence appears between AAPL and QQQ = Possible reversal warning Red Lights 🔴: When GLD spikes & IVV breaks support = Risk-off environment = Tech pressure incoming ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
NASDAQ:AAPL
by The-Thief
Broadcom Technical Setup - Systematic Entry Approach🎯 AVGO: The Great Heist Setup | Layered Entry Strategy 💰 📊 Asset Overview Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) - The semiconductor kingpin that's been printing money like a Vegas casino! 🎰 🎭 The Heist Plan: BULLISH Setup Strategy Style: The "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Orders (Ocean's Eleven style but legal! 😎) 🚪 ENTRY ZONE: The Multi-Layer Approach This ain't your grandma's single entry point! We're going full stealth mode with multiple limit buy orders spread across the zone like a well-planned heist: Suggested Entry Layers: 💵 Layer 1: $330 💵 Layer 2: $340 💵 Layer 3: $345 💵 Layer 4: $350 💵 Layer 5: $355 OR feel free to enter at ANY current price level if you're feeling bold! 🎲 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your capital and risk appetite. More layers = Better average price = Smoother ride! 🎢 🛑 STOP LOSS: The Emergency Exit Thief's Escape Hatch: $320 ⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen of Fortune), this is MY stop loss level for MY strategy. You're the boss of your own money! Set your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance. Make money, take money - at your own risk! 🎲 🎯 TARGET: The Vault Unlocks Here! POLICE BARRICADE ZONE (Strong Resistance Alert! 🚨): $400 This level is where we expect: 💪 Strong resistance 📈 Overbought conditions brewing Bull traps potentially forming Strategy: Escape with your bags of cash before the sirens go off! 🚔💨 ⚠️ PROFIT DISCLAIMER: Again, Thief OG's - this is MY target, not financial advice! Take profits whenever YOUR plan says so. Your money, your rules, your responsibility! 💯 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play) Keep your eyes on these accomplices in the semiconductor/tech heist: NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA) - The GPU mastermind, moves often correlate with AVGO NASDAQ:AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) - Another chip champ in the gang NYSE:TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor) - The supplier kingpin NASDAQ:QCOM (Qualcomm) - Wireless chip crew member NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) - The whole gang in one basket Key Correlation: When semiconductor sector heats up, AVGO typically rides the wave. Watch NASDAQ:SMH for sector-wide momentum! 📡 🎪 Why This Setup Works (Technical Edge) ✅ Layered entries reduce timing risk ✅ Multiple support zones below current price ✅ Clear risk/reward structure ✅ Room to run toward resistance at $400 ✅ Semiconductor sector showing strength 🎬 Final Words from Your Friendly Neighborhood Thief This is the "Thief Strategy" - a layered, calculated approach to catching moves in AVGO. It's all about spreading your risk, averaging your entry, and having a clear exit plan whether things go right (🎯 $400) or wrong (🛑 $320). Remember: The best thieves always have an escape plan! 🏃💨 Trade smart, not hard! And always remember: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results, but a solid plan beats panic every time! 🧠💪 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #AVGO #Broadcom #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #ThiefStrategy #Semiconductors #TechStocks #RiskManagement #TradingIdeas #StockTrading #BullishSetup #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by The-Thief
LLY Market Blueprint – From Pullback Base to Profit Zone🎯 LLY Stock Market Heist Plan 🏦💰 | Swing Trade Setup 📊 Asset Overview Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) - NYSE Pharmaceutical Giant | Market Cap Leader 🔍 The Setup: What We're Seeing The chart is screaming opportunity! 🚨 LLY is showing classic bullish pullback behavior with strong accumulation zone activity. We've got: ✅ Accumulation Zone Pressure - Big money is quietly loading up ✅ Weighted Moving Average Breakout & Retest - Technical confirmation ✓ ✅ Bullish Momentum Building - The spring is coiling for the next leg up 🎯 The Thief's Game Plan Entry Strategy: The Layered Approach 🪜 You've got two options here, fellow thieves: Option 1: Simple Entry → Any current price level works if you're confident in the setup Option 2: The Thief's Layered Entry 🧠 This is where we get tactical. Use multiple limit orders to ladder into the position: Layer 1: $780 Layer 2: $800 Layer 3: $820 Layer 4: $840 You can add more layers based on your capital and risk tolerance. This approach averages your entry and reduces timing risk. 🛑 Risk Management: The Escape Hatch Stop Loss: $760 ⚠️ Important Note: This is MY stop loss level based on my risk tolerance and analysis. You are the captain of your own ship! Set your SL based on YOUR risk appetite. Make money, take money - but do it at your own risk. 🎲 💰 Target: The Vault 🏦 Take Profit: $920 Here's the situation: The ATR line is sitting at $920 acting like a police barricade 🚔. This is a strong resistance zone where: Overbought conditions likely Potential trap zone for late entries Natural profit-taking area 🎯 My Advice: When you reach the vault, grab the cash and RUN! Don't get greedy. ⚠️ Another Important Note: This is MY target. You make your own rules. Scale out, hold longer, take profits earlier - whatever fits YOUR trading plan. This is your heist, not mine! 💼 📈 Related Pairs to Watch Keep these on your radar for correlation and broader market context: Healthcare/Pharma Sector: NYSE:JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) - Healthcare bellwether, moves often correlate NYSE:UNH (UnitedHealth Group) - Health sector leader, shows sector strength NYSE:PFE (Pfizer) - Direct pharma competitor, industry sentiment gauge NYSE:ABBV (AbbVie) - Biopharmaceutical peer, similar market dynamics Market Context: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - Overall market direction matters AMEX:XLV (Health Care Select Sector SPDR) - Sector health indicator Key Correlation Points: LLY often leads pharma sector during strong diabetes/obesity drug cycles Watch NYSE:JNJ for defensive rotation signals AMEX:SPY correlation increases during risk-on markets AMEX:XLV breakouts often precede individual pharma stock runs 🎭 The Thief's Philosophy This setup combines patience (layered entries), discipline (clear stop loss), and calculated risk-taking (defined target). We're not gambling - we're executing a well-planned heist with multiple contingencies. The market is the vault. The chart is the blueprint. Your risk management is your getaway car. 🚗💨 Remember: The best thieves know when to strike AND when to walk away. Don't fall in love with a position. Take your profits and live to steal another day! 😎 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #LLY #EliLilly #SwingTrading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #NYSE #PharmaStocks #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #ThiefStyle #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #PriceAction #MovingAverage #AccumulationZone #HealthcareStocks #TradingIdeas #StockTrading #ChartAnalysis #MarketHeist
NYSE:LLYLong
by The-Thief
Is Crude Oil Setting Up for a Major Bearish Reversal?🛢️ XTI/USD “WTI” – Bearish Redistribution Zone Incoming (Thief Strategy Inside) 📉 Setup Overview Market: XTI/USD (WTI crude oil) Bias: Bearish confirmed — we’re looking for re-distribution / supply pressure to take control Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid 🎯 Entry Plan (Thief-Layer Strategy) I use a layering / multiple limit order approach (aka “Thief Strategy”). You may use any price level as entry, but here’s my preferred ladder: Sell Limit @ 61.500 Sell Limit @ 61.000 Sell Limit @ 60.500 Sell Limit @ 60.000 Sell Limit @ 59.500 (You may extend more layers if you like) You don’t need to hit all layers — just get partial fills, ride the move downward. 🚫 Stop Loss Thief’s SL: 62.500 ⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: I’m not forcing you to follow my SL. You choose what works. Make money, take money — at your own risk. 🎯 Target We see police barricade as a strong support zone + oversold trap possibility. So primary target: 57.000 ⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Don’t blindly hold to my TP. If price gives you your gains early, escape with your money — don’t wait for perfection. 🔍 Related Pairs & Correlations AMEX:USO or USOIL (oil ETFs / indices) – real-world crude correlation $BRENT/USD – watch for strength or weakness divergence AMEX:XOP / AMEX:OIH (oil & gas sector indices) – sentiment in energy names Key point: if Brent weakens while WTI breaks down, it reinforces the bias. 📌 Key Technical Notes We’re waiting for ** redistribution / supply zone** to hold — a retest or failure bounce is ideal setup. Oversold conditions + a “trap” candle (fake breakout) strengthen the move. Use layering to average in, not “all-in” at once. Be ready for whipsaws around support zones; partial exits can help. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is Thief-style trading strategy just for fun. I am not giving financial advice. Trade at your own decision and risk. #WTI #CrudeOil #XTIUSD #EnergyTrading #OilStrategy #Layering #SwingTrade #DayTrade #BearishBias #ThiefStrategy
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by The-Thief
Bulls Flexing StrengthHey guys, AAVE is setting up one of those textbook bullish continuation patterns that makes you sit up and pay attention. The current price of $199.14 sits right in the equilibrium zone, perfectly balanced between premium and discount levels. What's immediately striking is the clean higher low formation that's been confirmed, with price holding firmly above all major moving averages. The EMA20 at $197.14, EMA50 at $196.87, and EMA200 at $193.39 are all stacked bullishly beneath current price, creating a support ladder that's characteristic of strong uptrends. This alignment doesn't happen by accident - it's the result of sustained buying pressure and institutional accumulation. The ADX reading of 53.3 is absolutely critical to understanding the current market state. This indicator measures trend strength, and anything above 25 signals a trending market rather than choppy consolidation. At 53.3, we're looking at a strong, established trend that has momentum behind it. When you pair this with the MACD showing powerful bullish divergence (0.6012 vs 0.0205 signal line), the technical picture becomes crystal clear. The MACD histogram is expanding positively, indicating accelerating bullish momentum rather than a weakening trend. The RSI at 68.7 is approaching overbought territory but hasn't reached extreme levels yet. This is actually ideal for continuation setups - we want to see strength, not weakness. The RSI has room to push into the 70-80 zone during strong trending moves, so this reading suggests we're in the middle of a move rather than at an exhausted top. The MFI at 66.8 confirms that money flow is supporting this price action, with capital flowing into AAVE rather than exiting. From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, this setup gets even more interesting. Price is currently trading above a bullish order block that spans $196.09 to $197.71. This zone represents an area where institutions likely accumulated positions during the previous move up, and it's now acting as a demand zone. Order blocks are one of the most reliable SMC concepts because they mark areas where smart money has shown their hand. The fact that we're holding above this level suggests institutional support remains intact. There's also an unfilled bullish Fair Value Gap sitting at $195.26-$195.54. FVGs represent inefficiencies in price action where the market moved too quickly, leaving behind an imbalance. These gaps act as magnets - if we see any pullback, this $195.26-$195.54 zone would be an ideal area for smart money to add to positions. It's essentially a discount entry point within the broader uptrend. The bearish order block at $204.48-$199.70 represents the immediate supply zone we need to reclaim. This is where sellers previously showed strength, and reclaiming this zone with volume would be a significant bullish signal. A break above $204.48 with expanding volume would likely trigger stops and fuel a move toward the swing high at $206.80. The market structure is showing higher lows, which is the definition of an uptrend. The recent swing low at $189.16 held firm, and the even stronger low at $186.85 provides an additional backstop. The Bollinger Bands show price trading above the middle band at $195.32, with the upper band at $202.02 within striking distance. When price walks the upper Bollinger Band in a strong trend, it often signals continuation rather than reversal. Volume analysis reveals current levels at $19,995 versus an average of $22,867. While this is slightly below average, it's not concerning given we're in a consolidation phase. What we want to see is volume expansion as price approaches the $204.48 resistance zone. A breakout on declining volume would be suspect, but a breakout with volume above $25,000+ would confirm institutional participation. The 24h volume of $161 million shows healthy overall interest in AAVE. The wick analysis is particularly revealing. The lower wick represents 24.9% of the candle range, while the upper wick is only 11%. This asymmetry tells a story - buyers are aggressively defending lower prices (creating large lower wicks), while sellers aren't showing the same aggression at higher prices (small upper wicks). This imbalance in supply and demand dynamics typically precedes upside moves. For a complete trading setup, here's how I'd approach this: Entry zone is $197-199, with aggressive traders potentially entering at current levels given the strong technical backdrop. More conservative traders might wait for a pullback to the $195.26-$195.54 bullish FVG for a better risk-reward entry. The stop loss should be placed below $188.00 - a 4H close beneath the discount zone at $188.09 would invalidate the bullish market structure and break the higher low formation. This isn't just a random percentage-based stop; it's a structural level where the thesis breaks. Target the swing high at $206.80 for TP1, which represents a 3.85% move from current levels. If we get a clean breakout above $206.80 with volume confirmation, look for extension targets at $210 and potentially $215 based on measured moves. The risk-reward on this setup is approximately 1:2.5 from current levels, which is solid for a continuation play. If entering from the FVG around $195, the R:R improves to nearly 1:4. The confidence level on this setup is 78% - high conviction but not maximum. What keeps this from being a 90%+ setup is the slightly below-average volume and the fact that we're in equilibrium rather than deep discount. The ideal scenario would be a quick wick down to $195 on a volume spike (liquidity grab), followed by immediate reclaim and push through $204.48. That would be the textbook smart money playbook. Alternative scenarios to consider: if price rejects hard at the $204.48 bearish order block without volume confirmation, we could see a deeper pullback to the $195.26 FVG or even the $189.16 swing low. This wouldn't invalidate the bullish thesis unless we close below $188.00. Consolidation between $197-204 for another 12-24 hours would actually be healthy, allowing the RSI to cool off slightly before the next leg up. What are you thinking here? Are you waiting for a pullback to the FVG for a better entry, or taking the trade at current levels given the strong momentum?
Long
by MonoCoinSignal
1
The Same liquidity roadmap TVC:GOLD keeps respecting the same liquidity roadmap mapped in previous sessions. Premium PD arrays rejected again, sellers showed up on cue, and price rotated cleanly back into discount before finding support. My OG Indicators stayed in sync: • 🔻 Clean sell-off from the premium Trend / PD zone • ⚡ FlowMaster flagged exhaustion right at the sweep • 🎯 ScalpMaster printed early short signals before the drop • 📉 TrendMaster held as dynamic resistance on 15M and 1H As long as discount holds, dips are getting bought. ⏳ 1H Short Term View Market is doing what it does best: rotating between discount demand and premium supply. • 🟢 Bulls stay in control above 4,250 • 🎯 Upside targets: 4,340 → 4,365 • ❌ Invalidation: loss of the 4,240–4,250 demand band Any touch into premium without acceptance still invites sell pressure. 📅 1D Mid Term View Zooming out, the bigger picture stays bullish. The 4,110-4,020 demand zone continues to absorb sell-side liquidity and keep the macro structure intact. • 🟢 Bulls remain in control above 4,110 • 🎯 Mid-term targets: 4,380 → 4,420 → 4,460 • ⚠️ Daily acceptance below 4,020 shifts the bias Momentum cooled short term, but the higher timeframe trend is still alive.
TVC:GOLD
by iamtradingdon
New Week Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) – New Week Market Structure Outlook Gold has shown a strong impulsive move into a key supply / resistance zone, followed by rejection. Price is currently reacting around a previous structure area, which makes the new week important for confirmation. Key Observations: Price tapped into a higher-timeframe resistance zone and faced rejection Market is now consolidating near a key decision level Overall structure suggests corrective movement before the next major direction Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 4300 – 4328 Immediate Support: 4260 Next Supports: 4233 → 4204 → 4198 Expectation for the Week: If price continues to respect the resistance zone, a step-by-step retracement toward lower support levels is possible. However, acceptance above resistance may change the structure, so patience and confirmation are essential. Trading Approach: Let price react at key levels Wait for confirmation on lower timeframes Risk management remains the priority ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk according to your plan
TVC:GOLDShort
by ZuvionexFX
GBP/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of GBP/JPY 1H – SMC + Technical breakdown based exactly on the chart you shared: --- Market Structure Market has shifted bullish after: A strong impulsive move up Followed by a corrective pullback Recent candles show break of the descending correction trendline, confirming: > Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bullish continuation --- EMA Confirmation EMA 50 ≈ 206.66 EMA 200 ≈ 206.17 Price: Rejected strongly from EMA 200 Now trading above EMA 50 This confirms: > Trend realignment to the upside --- Fibonacci Confluence Your fib is drawn perfectly: 0.62 – 0.79 retracement zone aligns with: EMA 200 Structural demand Trendline support → This forms a high-probability institutional buy zone. --- SMC Logic Sequence visible: 1. Bullish impulse 2. Deep pullback into discount (0.62–0.79) 3. Liquidity sweep below the low 4. Strong bullish displacement 5. Break of corrective structure This is a classic SMC bullish continuation model. --- Key Levels Strong Demand: 206.00 – 206.30 Mid Support: 206.60 Breakout Level: 207.00 Major Target / Liquidity: 208.19 (your marked target) --- Trade Idea (From Your Chart) Buy Setup Entry Zone: 206.60 – 206.90 Stop Loss: Below demand → 205.85 Target 1: 207.40 Final Target: 208.20 Risk : Reward: 1:3+ --- Projected Price Path Minor pullback → Higher low → Strong impulsive rally Final expansion into: Previous high Liquidity pool at 208.19 Premium zone --- Invalidation Criteria This bullish setup is invalid if: H1 candle closes below 205.85 Or price re-enters and holds below EMA 200 Mr SMC Trading point --- Final Verdict Trend: Bullish continuation Structure: Break of bearish correction Entry: Fib discount + EMA 200 + Demand Target: 208.19 liquidity Bias: BUY on pullbacks --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
BTCUSD – Range-Bound Distribution | Liquidity-Driven Enviro🔍 Market Structure:- HTF Range High / Sell-Side Resting Above: 94,500 – 95,200 HTF Range Low / Buy-Side Resting Below: 84,500 – 85,000 Mid-Range (Equilibrium): ~89,500 – 90,000 (current price area) Price is currently hovering around equilibrium, which is typically low-probability for directional bias. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer (TradingView-Friendly) This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market behavior is probabilistic and subject to change at any time. Always apply proper risk management and use your own confirmation before executing trades.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by setrader33