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Xagusdanalysis

XAG/USD: Major Resistance Cleared, What Comes Next?🥈 XAG/USD — SILVER VS U.S. DOLLAR Metals Market • Swing / Day Trade Opportunity Guide 🧭📈 ⚙️ Market Outlook — Bullish Confirmation Silver has broken through a major resistance zone, shifting momentum firmly into bullish territory. This breakout signals the presence of strong buyers stepping in, making the market attractive for both short-term and swing-trade setups. 🎯 Trade Plan 📌 Entry: Enter at any available level after the confirmed breakout retest. Bullish continuation patterns are forming, giving us a clean pathway to the upside. 🛡️ Stop Loss — Thief Style SL @ 57.000 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), secure your capital wisely. Adjust SL according to your personal system, risk appetite, and style. I do not recommend copying my SL blindly — your strategy = your rules. 🎯 Target — Profit With Precision @ 62.000 We have: 🧱 Strong resistance zone 🔥 Overbought conditions expected 🎭 Potential bull-trap areas above So escape with profits once the market hits our zone. Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), your TP is also your choice — manage your profits with discipline. 🔗 Correlated & Related Pairs to Watch ($ Versions Included) Tracking these helps confirm momentum, spot divergences, and follow overall metals sentiment. 1️⃣ XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) — TVC:GOLD Why watch? Gold and Silver often move together due to safe-haven demand. When Gold surges strongly while Silver lags, Silver usually follows. If Gold rejects from resistance, Silver may also cool off. Key Point: Gold strength = higher probability continuation in Silver’s bullish wave. 2️⃣ XAU/XAG (Gold-to-Silver Ratio) — $GoldSilverRatio Why watch? A falling ratio means Silver is gaining strength faster than Gold. A rising ratio signals Silver weakness. Key Point: A drop in the ratio supports our bullish Silver narrative. 3️⃣ DXY (US Dollar Index) — TVC:DXY Why watch? Silver is priced in USD. When DXY drops, metals typically rise due to USD weakening. Key Point: If TVC:DXY shows bearish momentum → Silver bullish continuation is more confident. 4️⃣ XAG/EUR (Silver vs Euro) — OANDA:XAGEUR Why watch? Useful to understand Silver’s global demand, not just USD-denominated. If Silver is bullish across currencies, then the trend is fundamentally strong. Key Point: Multi-currency strength confirms genuine Silver demand. 5️⃣ Copper Futures (HG) — CAPITALCOM:COPPER Why watch? Silver has partial industrial demand. When copper rises, it signals industrial activity strength → bullish for Silver. Key Point: Copper strength = supportive macro backdrop for Silver. 🧠 Final Outlook A clean breakout, supportive cross-metal correlations, and favorable USD weakness give Silver an attractive path toward 62.000. Trade smart, protect your capital, lock in profits, and execute like true Thief OG’s. 🥷📊
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSD
by The-Thief
1
Silver Pauses After ATH RunLast week, silver printed a series of new ATHs. However, after Monday’s one, each subsequent high was only marginal, and the market shifted into a consolidation box — very similar to gold’s recent price action. The uptrend is still dominant, but for a new accelerated bullish leg, silver needs a clean break above 59. If that happens, the measured move points toward a target near 61. On the downside, if bulls lose control of the 57 zone, the most probable outcome becomes a drop toward 54. For now, it’s a classic wait-and-see environment.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
Silver Outlook Turning Stronger — Bullish Setup in Play!🥈 XAG/USD SILVER SURGE | Bullish Swing Trade Setup 📈 🎯 TRADE SUMMARY Asset: XAG/USD (Silver vs US Dollar) | Metals Market 💰 Strategy: Swing Trade | Bias: BULLISH ⬆️ Risk/Reward: Professional Grade | Timeframe: Multi-Day Setup 📍 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYERED APPROACH 🔄 Recommended Entry Zones (Multiple Buy Limit Orders) 1st Entry: $49.000 - Initial Position 20% 📌 2nd Entry: $49.500 - Add Position 30% 📌 3rd Entry: $50.000 - Final Entry 50% 📌 Strategy: Use limit orders at each level for better execution. Scale in progressively to optimize average entry price. This approach reduces risk and increases position efficiency. 🛑 STOP LOSS Recommended SL Level: $48.000 ⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER: This is a suggested level based on technical structure. You must adjust your stop loss according to YOUR personal risk management, account size, and trading strategy. There is NO one-size-fits-all SL - ownership of risk is yours alone. 🎪 PROFIT TARGETS 🚀 Primary Target: $54.000 Confluence Factors: Strong Resistance Zone Identified ✓ Overbought Condition Setup ✓ Potential Trap/Correction Reversal ✓ Bullish Breakout Extension ✓ ⚠️ TP DISCLAIMER: This target is based on technical analysis. You control your profit-taking strategy. Consider taking partial profits at key resistance levels. Lock in gains at YOUR discretion - this is YOUR trading decision. 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 📊 1️⃣ DXY (US Dollar Index) - INVERSE CORRELATION Why: Silver prices move inversely to dollar strength Watch For: If DXY weakens 📉, XAG typically strengthens 📈 Key Level: Monitor 103.50-105.00 zone 2️⃣ EURUSD - INDIRECT CORRELATION Why: Euro strength correlates with silver strength (risk-on sentiment) Watch For: EURUSD above 1.1000 supports silver bullish bias Key Level: 1.0950-1.1050 range critical 3️⃣ GOLD/USD (XAU/USD) - POSITIVE CORRELATION Why: Precious metals move together in risk-off/on scenarios Watch For: Gold breaks above 2,700 = Silver momentum likely follows Key Level: XAU/USD 2,650-2,750 zone 4️⃣ SPX500 (S&P 500) - RISK SENTIMENT Why: Equities strength supports risk-on sentiment, bullish for silver Watch For: SPX breaks 6,000+ supports precious metals outflow Key Level: 5,850-6,050 pivot zone 5️⃣ COPPER/USD (HG) - INDUSTRIAL DEMAND Why: Copper demand correlates with economic growth = Silver bullish signal Watch For: HG above 4.30 = Risk-on sentiment confirmed Key Level: 4.20-4.35 critical range 📈 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS ✅ Bullish Structure: Lower highs/lows pattern breaking ✅ Momentum: Building strength in watch zone ✅ Risk/Reward: Favorable 1:2+ setup ✅ Entry Precision: Multiple confirmation levels ✅ Exit Clarity: Clear profit target defined ⚡ QUICK TRADE CHECKLIST Confirm DXY weakness before entry Check Gold (XAU/USD) above 2,650 Verify EURUSD above 1.0950 Set all 3 limit orders at entry zones Place SL at 48.000 (adjusted to YOUR risk) Divide position into TP tranches Monitor correlated pairs daily 🎓 TRADER'S NOTES This analysis reflects current technical structure as of publication. Market conditions evolve. Adjust strategy based on: Market news/data releases Central bank decisions Geopolitical events Real-time price action Remember: Past performance ≠ Future results. Trade with discipline. Manage risk first, profits follow. 💡 LIKE if helpful | 📌 SAVE for reference | ✅ FOLLOW for updates Technical Analysis | Swing Trading | Metals Market | XAG/USD Strategy
TRADU:XAGUSDLong
by The-Thief
XAG/USD Key Zone Reaction – Are Bulls Ready to Take Control?🥈 XAGUSD: SILVER VS US DOLLAR 💰 Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint | Swing Trade Analysis 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE & SETUP ✅ Current Price Action: $48.34 | 52-Week Range: $28.16 - $54.50 ✅ Technical Trend: Bullish Bias Confirmed ✅ Setup Type: Double Pullback Retest of 200 SMA 🎯 THE THIEF STRATEGY: LAYERED ENTRY APPROACH This is NOT a single entry point strategy. We employ the THIEF LAYERING METHODOLOGY — multiple limit orders positioned at strategic support zones to maximize entry efficiency and reduce average entry price. 📍 ENTRY LAYERS (Buy Limit Orders): Layer 1: $48.000 ⭐ (Immediate Support) Layer 2: $48.500 ⭐ (Pullback Zone) Layer 3: $49.000 ⭐ (Resistance Break) Layer 4: $49.500 ⭐ (Extended Support) 💡 Pro Tip: You can increase/decrease layers based on your risk tolerance and position size. Accumulate, don't dump! 🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT 📌 Thief Original SL: $47.000 ⚠️ This is MY suggested level based on technical structure 🔴 IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) — Set YOUR OWN stop loss based on YOUR risk profile 💪 This is YOUR money, YOUR risk, YOUR decision Adjust SL based on your strategy, account size, and risk/reward ratio 🚀 PROFIT TARGET STRATEGY 🎪 Target Zone: $54.000 📈 Technical Basis: 200 SMA acts as strong dynamic resistance ⚡ Market Structure: Overbought territory warning 🔔 Trap Alert: Potential sell-side liquidity trap at resistance ⚠️ Target Notes: 🔴 IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) — Set YOUR OWN take profit target 📊 Don't just copy my TP blindly — analyze price action yourself 💼 You earn the profits, you manage the exit — YOUR choice, YOUR reward Consider trailing stops or partial profit-taking strategy 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Key Dollar Pairs) 1️⃣ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) Correlation: INVERSE ↔️ As DXY strengthens, XAG/USD weakens Why Monitor: Strong dollar headwind for silver prices Watch Level: DXY above 105.00 = bearish for silver Strategy: If DXY rallies, reduce silver long positions 2️⃣ $XAU/USD (Gold vs Dollar) Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ Silver follows gold's lead Why Monitor: Gold is the "big brother" in precious metals Watch Level: If gold breaks $2,100, silver likely follows Strategy: Gold weakness = caution on silver longs 3️⃣ FX:EURUSD (Euro vs Dollar) Correlation: INVERSE ↔️ Weak dollar = strong euro Why Monitor: Dollar weakness supports precious metals Watch Level: EURUSD above 1.1200 = bullish for silver Strategy: Strong euro environment = tailwind for XAG 4️⃣ FX:USDJPY (Dollar vs Japanese Yen) Correlation: INVERSE ↔️ Dollar weakness supports risk-on sentiment Why Monitor: Risk appetite indicator (yen often "fear" currency) Watch Level: USDJPY below 145.00 = risk-on (silver bullish) Strategy: Lower USDJPY = better environment for commodities 5️⃣ SP:SPX / S&P 500 Index Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ Risk-on markets support commodities Why Monitor: Stock market rallies often lift precious metals Watch Level: SPX new highs = bullish momentum for silver Strategy: Market strength = broader bullish sentiment 📋 TRADE CHECKLIST BEFORE ENTRY ✅ Price action confirms double pullback on 200 SMA ✅ DXY showing weakness or neutral bias ✅ XAU/USD supporting bullish thesis ✅ No major macro events in next 4-6 hours ✅ Volume confirmation on breakout ✅ Risk/Reward ratio minimum 1:2 ✅ Position size = % of account (YOUR decision) ⚡ KEY TRADING RULES Layering ≠ Averaging Down Losers Build positions at PRE-PLANNED levels only Don't add to losing positions outside your strategy Stop Loss is Sacred NO moving stops to breakeven without reason Protect capital first, chase profits second Take Profits Strategically Partial exits: Scale out at resistance zones Don't go all-in, don't take all-out at once Dollar Monitoring is Mandatory Strong DXY = reconsider position Weak DXY = stay long with conviction Risk Management Over Everything Your SL & TP = your rules No trade is worth emotional decision-making
VELOCITY:SILVERLong
by The-Thief
The AI Boom's Unsung HeroThe rise of artificial intelligence isn’t just shaking up tech companies it’s quietly transforming the global silver market in a big way. As major players like NVIDIA, Google and others ramp up their AI infrastructure silver is becoming more critical than ever. Why? Because silver, thanks to its unmatched electrical conductivity, plays a key role in powering the hardware behind AI. Silver is the most conductive metal on Earth. That makes it perfect for high-performance computing something AI needs a lot of. It’s especially important in data centers and advanced semiconductors, where both electrical and thermal performance are mission-critical. What’s really interesting is that AI servers tend to use two to three times more silver than traditional data center servers. That’s because AI workloads are more power-hungry, generate more heat and require more complex cooling and electrical systems. Simply put, more AI means more silver. If there’s one company at the heart of this trend it’s NVIDIA. Analysts at Morgan Stanley expect NVIDIA to consume a staggering 77% of all silicon wafers used for AI accelerators in 2025 up from 51% in 2024. That adds up to around 535,000 300-mm wafers a year each of which contains silver in key components. All of this AI growth is showing up in the numbers. Industrial silver demand hit an all-time high of 680.5 million ounces in 2024. The electronics industry alone uses around 250 million ounces per year and AI is now the fastest-growing part of that. Despite all this demand, silver supply just isn’t keeping up. The market’s been in deficit for four straight years, with a total shortfall of 678 million ounces between 2021 and 2024. That’s roughly ten months of global mine output gone missing from the balance sheet. It’s no surprise, then, that silver prices have been climbing fast. As of July 2025 silver’s up nearly 30% for the year. Looking further ahead I see room for silver to keep climbing: In the short term (2025): $36–$42 per ounce seems realistic By 2026: Potential for $50+ as more AI growth stays strong AI isn’t just changing how we work, communicate, or compute—it’s literally reshaping the commodities that make this technology possible. Silver, once thought of mainly in the context of jewelry or coins, is now a backbone material for the AI revolution.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by YavuzAkbay
Silver Hits New ATH — Major Reversal Zone Ahead? Bearish SetupSilver( OANDA:XAGUSD ) managed to increase by more than +20% over the last 10 trading days, creating a new All-Time High(ATH) and attracting the attention of many traders in the financial markets. Silver is currently near Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Yearly Resistance(5), Monthly Resistance(1), and the round number $60.00. Silver also managed to break the support line, which indicates weakness in the uptrend. In terms of classic technical analysis, silver managed to rise with the help of the ascending triangle pattern, but we must keep in mind that this pattern is a weak continuation. In terms of Elliott Wave theory, silver is completing the main wave 5, and this wave could complete at PRZ. Additionally, we’re noticing a Regular bearish Divergence(RD-) between the price peaks, which adds to the bearish sentiment. I expect silver to drop to at least $55.10 after breaking the support zone($56.83-$56.37). First Target: $55.10 Second Target: $53.73 Stop Loss(SL): $61.63(Worst)/$60.54 Do you think silver can go above $60? 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Silver/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (XAGUSD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
1
XAGUSD Short Setup — Rejection at Key Supply ZoneSilver (XAGUSD) has tapped into a higher-timeframe supply zone around the $58.50 – $58.80 area and showed clear signs of exhaustion. After sweeping the highs, price failed to continue upward and shifted into short-term bearish structure on the 15-minute chart. 📌 Entry: around $57.90 – $58.00 📌 Stop-loss: above the liquidity sweep / supply zone (~$58.70) 📌 Take-profit: toward $56.40 – $56.60 (previous demand + imbalance fill) ➕ Confluences Liquidity grab above the previous high Multiple rejection candles at supply Loss of bullish momentum and break of structure (M15) High risk-reward ratio on continuation to downside ⚠️ What invalidates the setup? A decisive move above $58.70 with strong bullish volume would invalidate the short bias and open room for continuation toward $59.50+.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by EVOLUTIO
XAG/USD : Bearish Pullback Meets Bullish Reversal at Key DemandXAG/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis: Bearish Pullback Meets Bullish Reversal Signals at Key Demand Zone This TradingView chart, authored by GoldMasterTrades on December 4, 2025, at 13:49 UTC-5, depicts the XAG/USD (Silver/US Dollar) pair on a 30-minute timeframe. It illustrates intraday price action spanning approximately December 2 to December 6, 2025, based on the x-axis timestamps (from 21:00 on Dec 2 through 12:00 on Dec 6). The candlestick format highlights a recent downtrend amid high volatility, with annotations pointing to a potential bullish turnaround. At the time of the snapshot, XAG/USD is quoted at 57.319, with a high of 57.424, low of 57.186, close of 57.234, marking a decline of -0.085 (-0.15%) and robust volume of 19.61K. The overall narrative captures silver's volatile nature in late 2025, where the metal has surged over 83% year-to-date amid supply fears and industrial demand, but now faces short-term corrective pressure. The chart shows a sharp sell-off from highs near 58.00, probing a reversal zone around 57.20, accompanied by a volume burst and pattern bust—classic signs of exhaustion and impending recovery. This setup aligns with broader market dynamics, where silver recently hit record highs above $58.85 before pulling back. Below, I'll dissect the chart in a professional TradingView idea style, incorporating technical details, fundamentals, and trader insights for comprehensive depth. Chart Overview and Timeframe Context The 30-minute chart provides granular insights into short-term momentum, perfect for day traders navigating silver's sensitivity to USD strength, interest rates, and commodity cycles. XAG/USD, often correlated with gold but amplified by industrial uses (e.g., solar panels, electronics), has been in a parabolic uptrend throughout 2025, breaking all-time highs amid global supply constraints. Key visual components: Candlesticks: A series of red bearish bodies dominate the left and center, indicating seller control, with increasing wick lengths signaling volatility. Recent candles at the bottom show smaller bodies and longer lower shadows, hinting at buyer defense. Annotations: Green horizontal band: "Reversal Zone - Demand Zone" around 57.00–57.20, with a green circle marking the pivot low. Purple label: "Volume Burst" at the trough, denoting a surge in activity. Black upward arrow and label: "Pattern Bust," suggesting a failed bearish continuation. "Ask" in red at 57.436 and "Bid" in blue at 57.237, reflecting the current spread. U.S. flag and lightning icons at the bottom, likely indicating U.S. data releases (e.g., ahead of key jobs data). Price Scale: Y-axis from ~56.00 to 59.00, with the action centered around 57.00–58.00, a psychologically significant area post-recent highs. This configuration screams "bull trap reversal": bears push aggressively lower, but high-volume absorption at support sets the stage for a squeeze higher. Technical Analysis: Patterns and Indicators From a pure price action lens, the chart reveals a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, with reversal cues emerging: Downtrend Structure: The left side features a topping pattern with lower highs from ~58.50, cascading into a steep decline of about 1.5% (over 80 pips). This forms a descending channel, with red candles exhibiting long upper wicks—evidence of rejection at resistance. The move likely triggered by profit-taking after silver's explosive rally to $58.85 earlier in the week. Reversal Zone and Demand Dynamics: The green band (57.00–57.20) represents a high-probability demand zone, where prior support (possibly from 4H/ daily charts) intersects with Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2% retracement of the recent leg up). Price tagging this area with a "Volume Burst" indicates capitulation: sellers exhaust, and institutions accumulate. In ICT/SMC frameworks, this is a liquidity sweep followed by order block defense. Volume Burst and Momentum Shift: The purple annotation highlights a spike in volume (19.61K overall, but localized burst at lows), a bullish divergence signal. High turnover at extremes often precedes reversals, as it reflects panic selling absorbed by smart money. If overlaid with RSI (implied but not shown), expect oversold readings rebounding above 30. Pattern Bust Mechanics: The "Pattern Bust" label with an upward arrow points to a failed bearish setup—likely a flag or head-and-shoulders continuation. Instead of breaking lower, price rejects the zone and forms a potential hammer/doji, trapping shorts and fueling a short-covering rally. A close above 57.50 would confirm the bust, targeting prior highs. Key Levels and Projections: Support holds at 57.00 (zone low), with resistance at 57.80 (mid-channel) and 58.00 (psychological). Upside extensions could reach 58.50–58.90, aligning with record highs. Downside risks if the zone fails: 56.60–56.00, as noted in recent analyses. This technical picture favors bulls if confirmed, but silver's volatility demands caution—average true range (ATR) likely elevated post-surge. Fundamental Context for XAG/USD Silver's 2025 performance has been stellar, up over 83% YTD driven by industrial demand (e.g., green energy) and supply fears, but December 4 sees a 1.67% dip to 57.51 amid USD rebound and data anticipation. Key drivers include: Supply Constraints: Growing fears of shortages have propelled prices, with analysts eyeing $60+ long-term. Economic Data: Pullback tied to rejection at $58.90 ahead of U.S. jobs data, which could influence Fed rate cut expectations. Market Sentiment from X: Recent posts show mixed views—bullish on record breaks (e.g., "Ons Gümüş 58.8$ seviyesiyle tüm zamanların rekorunu kırdı") but bearish targets to 53-54$ if downside accelerates. Traders signal buys on H1 timeframes if 57.52 holds, or shorts on breaks. Elliott Wave forecasts suggest more upside post-correction. Cross-reference with economic calendars: Watch NFP or inflation prints for volatility spikes. Trade Idea: Bullish Reversal Setup with High R:R Potential Capitalizing on the chart's signals: Entry: Long on confirmation above 57.40 (breaking the downtrend line), or dip-buy in the reversal zone with volume support. Stop Loss: Below the demand low at 56.90, risking 30–50 pips. Take Profit: TP1 at 57.80 (prior resistance), TP2 at 58.50 (recent highs), TP3 at 59.00+ if momentum builds. Trail stops using 30-min ATR. Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum—aim for 60–100 pips upside. Alternative: Short on zone failure below 57.00, targeting 56.60. Timeframe Fit: Suited for intraday (2–8 hours), aligning with London/NY sessions. This idea leverages SMC concepts like order blocks and liquidity grabs for edge. Risk Management and Trader Mindset Silver's leverage amplifies risks—volatility can wipe accounts without discipline. Core principles: Position Sizing: Risk 0.5–1% per trade; use calculators to scale based on stop distance. Emotional Control: Don't chase—wait for pattern bust confirmation to avoid whipsaws. Journal setups for review. Multi-Timeframe Validation: Check 1H/4H for uptrend intact; avoid trading during low-liquidity hours. Broader Mindset: View pullbacks as opportunities in bull markets. Study historical silver zones (e.g., 2021 surge) for patterns. Continuous education via webinars or X communities enhances edge. Cautionary Note: Fundamentals like Fed policy can override techs—trade with news filters. In summary, this 30-minute XAG/USD chart signals a high-conviction bullish reversal amid a corrective dip, with volume and structure supporting upside. If validated, it could propel silver back toward $58–60 resistance. Monitor real-time developments on TradingView or reliable platforms. Trade responsibly.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAGUSD H121. Market Structure Price is in a strong bullish trend, making higher highs and higher lows. The most recent impulsive leg broke above the 57.00 – 57.40 resistance zone and is now pulling back. The current correction is normal within an uptrend and looks like a bullish flag / shallow retracement. 2. Key Levels Support Zones 57.00 – 56.70 → Immediate support (previous resistance turned support) 54.50 – 55.00 → Stronger support zone if deeper pullback happens 51.00 – 52.00 → Major demand zone (unlikely to be retested unless momentum collapses) Resistance 60.75 – 61.00 → Major target / next resistance 3. Price Action Signals After a strong impulsive rally, last two candles show short-term profit-taking. The market is still holding above structure; no sign of trend reversal yet. If price retests 56.70 – 57.00 and prints bullish rejection wicks or engulfing, it becomes a high-probability long setup. 4. Projection Your chart already shows the ideal scenario, and it aligns with the structure: Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) Pullback → Stabilization at 56.70 – 57.00 Bullish continuation → Target 60.75 Break above 60.75 opens extension toward 62.00 Bearish Scenario (Lower Probability) Break below 56.70 → Deeper correction toward 55.00 This level should act as strong support for buyers to step in.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Winlouh
XAG/USD 2H: High-Probability Sell Entry at Drop-Base-Rally (BRD)📈 XAG/USD 2H: High-Probability Long Entry at Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) Demand Zone 📝 Market Context: Bullish Trend and Retracement The overall trend for Silver (XAG/USD) is strongly bullish, driven by fundamental factors like tight physical supply and expectations of future US interest rate cuts. The chart shows price has been moving sharply higher, but has recently experienced a significant and necessary pullback from its high. This pullback is being treated as a correction to gather new demand before continuing the primary upward trend toward potential targets like $60 - $65 per ounce. The current price action has approached a critical area that served as the launchpad for the prior bullish impulse. 🔑 Technical Focus: Unmitigated Demand and Entry Confirmation The analysis highlights two key zones: a high-quality Demand Zone and the last area of consolidation before the final breakout. 1. Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) Demand Zone 🟢 Zone Location: The green shaded box, spanning approximately $54.00 to $54.50. Significance : This area is identified as a fresh Demand Zone. It conforms to the Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) structure, where an initial drop was followed by a period of consolidation (the Base), before buyers aggressively took control, leading to the strong rally (the Rally). This zone is considered a Reversal Zone where institutional buy orders are expected to remain unmitigated. Action Plan: This is the high-probability area to initiate a long (buy) position, anticipating a strong rebound. 2. Liquidity & Stop-Loss Target (Bottom Green Zone) Zone Location: The lower green box, around $53.50 to $53.80. Significance : This zone may represent the ultimate base of the prior move. The price of Silver is known for high volatility. Placing the Stop Loss (S/L) safely below this zone (e.g., below $53.50) is crucial to protect the trade from a potential "liquidity sweep" or deeper structural break, providing a healthy buffer. 📊 Trade Plan: Sell the Dip Trade Direction: Short (SELL) Entry Strategy: Wait for price to enter the DBR Demand Zone (around $54.00 - $54.50). Confirmation is highly recommended, such as monitoring for a clear bullish reversal pattern (like an engulfing candle or a double bottom) on a lower timeframe (e.g., 30M or 1H) before entry. Stop Loss (S/L): Place S/L below the entire demand structure, for example, below $53.50. Take Profit (T/P) 1: The first target is the level of the most recent high that initiated the current drop (a retest of the supply that caused the current pullback). Take Profit (T/P) 2: A higher-level target is the prior swing high at $56.00, or pushing towards the psychological $60 per ounce level, which is a common projection based on current market dynamics. ⚠️ Risk and Fundamental Caveats While the technical setup is strong, Silver is highly volatile. Traders must closely monitor upcoming US economic data, as stronger-than-expected US reports could delay expected Fed rate cuts and put temporary downward pressure on non-yielding assets like Silver. Invalidation: A decisive close below the Stop Loss area (below $53.50) would invalidate this long trade idea, signaling a deeper correction or a structural shift.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Strong Bullish Structure Developing in Silver🚀 XAG/USD (SILVER) Swing Blueprint | Bullish Structure Intact | Key Levels Mapped! ⚔️ 🎯 Metals Market Opportunity: Silver (XAG/USD) Swing Trade Setup 📈 Direction: Bullish | Swing Trade 🏷 Asset: XAG/USD - Silver vs. U.S. Dollar ⚖️ Core Thesis: Silver is building a potential swing bullish structure, aiming for a significant resistance zone. This plan outlines the key framework. 📊 Trade Plan (Blueprint) ✅ Entry Zone: Consider entries on pullbacks or strength confirmation. (Any price level entry - discipline is key). 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management): "This is thief SL @ 54" 💎 Dear Traders (The OG Crew), 👊 This is my protective level. YOU MUST adjust your SL based on YOUR OWN risk tolerance & strategy. I do not recommend using only my level. Manage your capital wisely. 🎯 Target Zone: @ 62 Area. This aligns with a strong historical resistance + potential overbought/trap zone. 🪤 The strategy is to "escape with profits" as price approaches. Note: This is my target. Take profits based on your own analysis and risk-reward goals. 🔍 Related Pairs & Market Correlations (Must-Watch) 🔗 Monitoring these pairs provides context for Silver's move: 🦅 TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Key Point: INVERSE correlation. A weaker TVC:DXY typically boosts commodities priced in USD, like Silver. Watch for DXY breakdowns for added Silver bullish confirmation. 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold): Key Point: STRONG positive correlation. Gold is the leader. A strong, bullish Gold market often drags Silver higher (and vice-versa). Silver's moves can be more volatile ("Gold on steroids"). 📈 US 10-Year Treasury Yields / TVC:TNX : Key Point: General inverse relationship. Rising real yields can pressure non-yielding metals. Watch for yield pullbacks that may relieve pressure on Silver. ⛽️ Crude Oil ( BLACKBULL:WTI / ICMARKETS:XBRUSD ): Key Point: Inflation/Commodity Sentiment Gauge. Rising oil can signal broader commodity strength and inflation fears, which can benefit Silver as a real asset. 📊 Copper ( CAPITALCOM:COPPER ) & AMEX:GDX (Gold Miners ETF): Key Point: Industrial / Risk Sentiment. Copper confirms industrial demand outlook. AMEX:GDX strength confirms bullish precious metals sector momentum. 💎 Final Notes This is a blueprint, not financial advice. You are the captain of your own capital. 🧭 Always use proper position sizing. Markets are dynamic—always monitor for structure breaks. Let's get this bread... responsibly! 🥖 ✅ Like & Follow if you find this detailed blueprint valuable! It helps the idea reach more traders. 💡 #SILVER #XAGUSD #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #Commodities #PreciousMetals #Forex #TradingView #DXY #GOLD #XAUUSD #Analysis
FXOPEN:XAGUSD
by The-Thief
XAGUSD: Bullish Wave 5 Setting a Path Toward 56.000?Hey Realistic Traders! "Silver Riding Gold’s Momentum, New ATH in the horizon?" Let’s dive into the technical analysis to answer the question and see what the chart is really telling us. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, OANDA:XAGUSD has once again rebounded around the EMA200, with repeated bounces reinforcing the strength of its broader bullish trend. During Wave 4, Silver consolidated within a falling wedge pattern, a corrective formation that typically appears as downside momentum weakens within a larger uptrend. A breakout from this pattern signals renewed bullish pressure and often marks the beginning of Wave 5 in Elliott Wave theory. Following the breakout, price action supports the case for a developing impulsive Wave 5. The bullish Marubozu candlestick indicates stronger buying interest, while the MACD golden cross adds confirmation to the bullish bias. Together, these signals strengthen the view that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls. Based on Fibonacci projections, Wave 5 may extend toward the 1.0 Fibonacci ratio, aligning with the second upside target near 56.000. Before reaching that level, price may encounter the historical resistance zone around the first target at 54.082, where a temporary pullback could occur. This bullish wave count remains valid as long as price stays above 49.216. A move below this level would invalidate the potential formation of Wave 5 and shift the outlook back to neutral. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
8
How I Sniped 207 Pips on XAGUSD—Using ONE Simple SetupI just closed out a 207-pip XAGUSD (Silver) trade, and in this video I walk you step-by-step through exactly how it happened — from the higher-timeframe bias to the precise entry inside a clean supply & demand zone. If you trade Silver, Gold, or any high-volatility pair, this breakdown will help you understand: Why XAGUSD was primed for a major move The exact structure shift that confirmed my bias How I timed my entry with precision and avoided false breakouts My risk management approach for fast-moving metals What most traders overlook in Silver price action How to stay disciplined when the market is moving aggressively This wasn’t luck — it was preparation, patience, and psychology. Whether you’re a funded trader, working toward funding, or just trying to level up your price-action skills, this XAGUSD trade recap will give you real insights you can apply immediately. If you want help refining your strategy or becoming more consistent, drop your email or tap the link in my bio — I’ll send you coaching details.
FX:USOILLong
by TLTurnerTV
Silver Warning: RD- + PRZ = Short Opportunity?Today, we're diving into Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ), and it seems that there’s a potential short opportunity on the horizon. Currently, silver is approaching a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and an ascending channel. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that silver has completed wave C of an Expanding Flat Pattern(3-3-5/ABC). Additionally, we’re noticing a Regular bearish Divergence (RD-) between the price peaks, which adds to the bearish sentiment. I expect that, following a break below the lower line of the ascending channel, silver could also break through its Support zone($52.73-$52.00) and potentially decline to around the $51.33 level. First Target: $51.33 Second Target: Support lines Stop Loss(SL): $54.63 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Silver/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (XAGUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
29
Is the Silver Price Preparing to Challenge Its Record High?Is the Silver Price Preparing to Challenge Its Record High? The United States is celebrating Thanksgiving, meaning trading activity across financial markets will be lower than usual today (and to some extent tomorrow). Yesterday, we noted a decline in volatility in the gold market. Against this backdrop, the silver market is drawing attention – and may not allow traders to relax. As the XAG/USD chart shows, silver has risen by more than 7% since the start of the week. It is reasonable to assume that the holiday-induced drop in liquidity has opened the door to broader price movements. It is not impossible that we may soon see an attempt to break the all-time high (around $54.45 per ounce), which as of this morning lies roughly 1% away. Technical Analysis of XAG/USD Examining the XAG/USD chart, we can identify key swing points that allow us to outline an ascending channel. This week’s strong advance has pushed silver into the upper half of that channel. The bulls’ strength is reflected in: → the steep slope of the orange channel, within which we see impulsive bullish candles followed by brief corrections – a classic pattern of a strong market; → a higher peak on the Awesome Oscillator. Given this context, it is plausible that the median line could switch from resistance to support (as it has previously – shown by arrows), potentially helping the bulls gather the confidence needed to challenge the record high. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAGUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold & Silver- Very strong finish of the year? (charts say so)It has been an exceptional year for gold bulls. With more than 60% growth year-to-date, the metal has delivered one of its strongest yearly performances in the past two decades. Even though I’m primarily a short-term trader — rarely holding positions for more than one or two days — it’s impossible to ignore the bigger picture. The macro-structure is sending a very clear message. So let’s skip the fluff and dive straight into the charts. 1. XAUUSD: A Violent Range that Formed Something Very Clean After printing a new all-time high just below 4400, gold collapsed nearly 5,000 pips, only to recover 3,500 pips in a similarly aggressive fashion. Despite the day-to-day volatility — with 1,000-pip daily swings becoming normal — the structure has settled into a remarkably clean pattern: A symmetrical triangle. This pattern is typically a trend continuation structure, and given that the dominant trend is unquestionably bullish, the implication is obvious. Recent bullish evidence: - Price broke decisively above 4100 - Short-term structure flipped bullish - The market is now consolidating tightly just under the descending trendline of the triangle The most probable scenario? 👉 An upside breakout. A confirmed break above this compression would target: - 4250 – the next major resistance - 4500 – psychological level - 4700 – the full measured move of the triangle (approx. 5000 pips) Of course, all eyes remain on the ATH zone, but structurally, the path of least resistance is still up. 2. XAUEUR: Same Pattern, Same Message XAUEUR is forming an almost identical symmetrical triangle, with a measured target of roughly 4,000 pips if the breakout is confirmed. When multiple major gold crosses deliver the same structure, it usually means one thing: ➡️ The underlying metal, not the currency pair, is driving the move. (and, as I said at least 5 times by now, STOP LOOKING AT DXY!!!!) 3. XAUGBP: Slightly Behind, but Still Bullish XAUGBP also reflects the same pattern, though price is currently sitting ~200 pips below the descending resistance line. Still, the structure remains bullish as long as the market holds its higher-low sequence. 4. XAUJPY: Even More Bullish Unlike the symmetrical structures above, XAUJPY has formed an ascending triangle since its ATH. Ascending triangles carry an even stronger bullish bias, showing that demand absorbs every pullback with increasing strength. This chart is arguably the most aggressively bullish of the group. 5. Gold Futures: Breakout Already in Motion Gold futures show the same broader pattern — but with one notable difference: The trendline is already broken. This makes futures the “leading chart,” often hinting at what spot XAUUSD may do next. Outlook: When All Stars Align When XAUUSD, XAUEUR, XAUGBP, XAUJPY, and Gold Futures all point in the same direction, the message is difficult to argue with. Unless gold breaks back below 4050, the bias into year-end remains decisively: ⭐ Bullish. ⭐ Momentum-driven. ⭐ Trend-confirming. Gold bull trend intact. 6. Silver: Quietly the Stronger Metal Silver has actually been outperforming gold this year, with price nearly doubling. It is now sitting just under its most recent ATH. After reclaiming the 50.50 level and establishing it as solid support, the structure is extremely bullish. A clean break above the ATH would activate a measured move target near 65. Silver continues to behave like the higher-beta version of gold — and right now, that beta is paying. BY THE WAY, THIS IS MY PREVIOUS ANALYSIS COVERING GOLD CROSSES FROM 3 MONTHS AGO:
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
10