Volatility dominates the market, intraday gold layoutAfter a sharp drop, gold has been in a state of volatility.📊 After touching the support level near 3330 yesterday, it finally rebounded. The current gold hourly moving average is spreading upward, and the Bollinger Band opening is widening. 📈Our judgment that gold is forming a head and shoulders bottom trend may become a reality.🌈
However, in the short term, prices above 3365 remain somewhat suppressed, and any current gains or losses can only be considered as wide-ranging fluctuations. ⚖️If the European session cannot effectively break through the 3370-3380 resistance area, then gold may still have a possibility of a short-term correction.📉 When encountering resistance and pressure from above, aggressive traders can consider shorting with a light position near the resistance level and wait for a correction.🐻 Conservative traders can patiently wait for the NY session to fall back to 3360-3345 and go long with a light position.🐂
Xauusd(w)
GOLD: Short Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3365.8
Sl - 3371.4
Tp - 3354.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD Buyers In Control Now , Long Setup To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3358.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation cuz we have not any 4H closure above this area since this week start , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area to can use a small stop loss , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Clear Breakout On Bigger T.F
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
GOLD ON FIRE – 3358 WALL ABOUT TO CRACK, 337x NEXT STOP!📌 Market Overview
Following the CPI release, Gold is showing strong buying momentum, with a clear aim to break the 3358 resistance and push quickly towards the 337x zone – a key equilibrium level where SELL pressure is expected to react.
Price bounced sharply from the 333x area back into the 335x range. If 3358 breaks, there’s a high probability we will test 337x within the day, triggering SELL volume.
Today’s market is expected to be relatively quiet, with no major news scheduled. The daily range could stay around 35–40 dollars.
With the current bullish momentum, the preferred strategy is to wait for price to retest early BUY support zones around 334x to catch the next upside wave in line with the primary trend.
🎯 Key Trading Zones
🔹 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3338 – 3336
SL: 3332
TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔹 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3375 – 3377
SL: 3382
TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
📊 Key Levels
Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376
Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310
⚠ Risk Note
No major economic releases today, so intraday moves may rely heavily on technical reaction points. Watch MMFLOW Key Levels closely – a break of 3358 could accelerate the move to 337x, while holding below may trigger short-term pullbacks.
Gold rebounded, but its future trend is still full of variables.Spot gold (XAU/USD) saw a second consecutive day of buying on Wednesday (August 13), attempting to build on its previous day's rebound from around $3,331. The latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July was largely in line with expectations, reinforcing market expectations of a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This data kept the US dollar at a more than two-week low and further supported gold, a non-yielding asset.
However, gold's intraday gains appeared to lack sufficient momentum, particularly as the US-Russia summit, potentially contributing to an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, has somewhat suppressed its safe-haven properties. This shift in market sentiment suggests that holding long gold positions remains prudent without strong follow-on buying.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July showed that the CPI remained unchanged at 2.7% year-on-year, but the core CPI (excluding food and energy prices) rose to 3.1%, exceeding expectations of 2.9%. While this data failed to stoke market concerns about inflation, signs of labor market weakness still support expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice before the end of the year.
CME Group's FedWatch tool also indicates that the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates, which may put pressure on the US dollar in the coming days, further benefiting gold.
Technical Analysis
From the chart, gold's current price trend shows some signs of recovery. After falling to the $3,331 area, the price found support and rebounded on August 13, breaking through the previous day's high. This suggests that bullish momentum has strengthened in the short term and may continue to push gold prices to test higher resistance levels.
The Bollinger Bands indicate that the price is currently near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the bands are showing a certain expansion pattern, indicating increased market volatility. If the price maintains this level, it may open up further room for growth, further testing the resistance level of $3,400.
The MACD indicator shows that the current MACD lines have begun to converge, and the green histogram is shortening, indicating a rebound in bullish market momentum. However, attention remains to be paid to whether the MACD will form another death cross, leading to a price pullback.
Market Sentiment Observation:
Current market sentiment is mixed. Gold's rebound is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and easing global trade and geopolitical risks. Nevertheless, strong stock market performance may weaken gold's safe-haven demand, especially amid growing optimism about the global economy.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs, while Japan's Nikkei 225 index broke through 43,000 points. These positive stock market performances may weaken demand for gold, especially as market sentiment favors a risk-on outlook.
Market Outlook:
Bullish Outlook:
Gold is likely to continue to be supported in the short term by a weak dollar and expectations of rate cuts, with prices expected to test the previous high near $3,409. If gold breaks through and stabilizes above this level, further upside potential is likely, potentially targeting the $3,450 area.
In the long term, if global economic uncertainty persists and the Federal Reserve maintains its pace of rate cuts, gold is likely to remain relatively strong.
Bearish Outlook:
However, if the stock market continues to strengthen and the global economy recovers further, gold's safe-haven demand may gradually decline. In this case, gold's upward momentum may weaken, and prices may retreat to support levels around $3,329 or even lower.
Overall, in the current market environment, gold's short-term trend still needs to closely monitor changes in the stock market, the US dollar, and the global geopolitical situation, and traders should adjust their positions flexibly based on these factors. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold Correction Ending — Time for the Next Rally?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently moving near the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) and the Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold is completing a corrective wave, and we should wait for the next impulse wave .
I expect Gold to start rising from the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) and rise to at least $3,393 .
Second Target: $3,407
Third Target: $3,427
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,317
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold may bounce from support level and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The technical narrative for gold has fundamentally shifted from bearish to bullish following a significant breakout from a prior downward wedge. This powerful upward rebound signaled a clear change in market control, invalidating the previous downtrend and establishing a new, constructive market structure. This new structure has taken the form of a well-defined upward channel, which has been guiding the price action higher through a series of impulsive and corrective waves. Currently, the asset is undergoing a natural corrective phase after recently testing the upper resistance line of the channel. This downward correction is guiding the price towards a critical confluence of support located around the 3330 level. This area is significant as it represents the intersection of the channel's ascending support line and a strong horizontal buyer zone. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that buyers will step in to defend this key support confluence and maintain the integrity of the upward channel. A confirmed bounce from this area would likely initiate the next impulsive leg higher within the trend. Therefore, the tp is logically set at the 3405 resistance level, as this represents a full rotation back to the top of the channel and aligns with the major seller zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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GOLD Potential Bullish Breakout OpportunityGold seems to exhibit signs of a potential Bullish Breakout on the Shorter timeframes as the price action may form a credible Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : CMP
Stop Loss : 3327
TP 0.9 - 1: 3398 - 3402
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025:
Gold prices recovered slightly, currently trading around $3,351/oz, positive US inflation data for July has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in September, while a weaker US dollar has boosted gold's appeal.
Fundamental news: Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.7% year-on-year in July, lower than the expected 2.8% and unchanged from June. Core CPI increased 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in six months.
Technical analysis: The sideways range of 3,340 - 3,360 has not been broken yet. The MAs are showing signs of moving sideways, showing the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. RSI H1 has started to move towards the buy zone, RSI H4 is heading towards the average line. There is a high possibility that gold price will have a correction according to RSI of H4 and increase strongly again.
Important price zones today: 3340 - 3345, 3365 - 3370 and 3385 - 3390.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3367 - 3369
SL 3372
TP 3364 - 3355 - 3345.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3387 - 3389
SL 3392
TP 3384 - 3374 - 3364 - 3345.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342
SL 3337
TP 3345 - 3355 - 3365 - 3385 - OPEN.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan (1H Chart) Gold has completed a corrective phase after breaking down from its previous ascending channel. On the H1 chart, price has formed a base around 3,340 – 3,350 and is now pushing higher, showing signs of bullish momentum with a clear breakout from the consolidation box.
Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: 3,353 – 3,340 (Option 1 SL zone)
Major Support: 3,314 – 3,306 (last defensive demand zone)
Immediate Resistance: 3,377 – 3,380 (minor obstacle)
Primary Target Resistance: 3,399 – 3,405 (Option 2 TP zone)
Technical Insights:
Trend Structure: Price previously respected the ascending channel but lost momentum, leading to a downtrend. Current breakout suggests a potential reversal attempt
Volume: Increasing volume during breakout adds confidence to bullish bias.
Risk-Reward: Current setup offers R:R ~ 3.47, attractive for intraday swing.
EMA & RSI: EMA turning upward; RSI is neutral, allowing more upside before overbought pressure kicks in.
Fibonacci: The 0.5–0.618 retracement from the last swing drop aligns with the 3,399–3,405 target zone.
Trade Strategy:
Option 1 – Breakout Continuation (Active Setup)
Entry: 3,365 – 3,366 (current price zone)
Stop Loss: 3,353
Take Profit: 3,405
R:R: ~3.47
Option 2 – Pullback Buy
Entry: On retest of 3,353–3,340 support zone with bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss: Below 3,330
Take Profit: First TP at 3,380, second TP at 3,405.
Bias:
Bullish short-term outlook while holding above 3,340. A break and close above 3,380 would strengthen the case for reaching 3,405.
GOLD → From consolidation to distribution. Target 3400FX:XAUUSD is entering a distribution phase after the end of consolidation. The market is strong, bulls managed to keep prices from falling and formed an intermediate bottom in the 3340 zone.
The price increase was supported by expectations of a soft Fed policy after moderate July CPI data (2.7% y/y, 0.2% m/m, core 0.3%), which led to a decline in bond yields and a weakening of the dollar. However, demand for safe assets is declining amid optimism in global markets, fueled by the US-China trade truce, a possible meeting between Trump and Putin, and bets on a Fed rate cut in September. In the long term, gold could be supported by purchases by the Chinese central bank and a recovery in jewelry demand in India.
Technically, the focus is on the zone of interest ahead at 3370-3373, with a possible rebound before growth, as well as on the support zone at 3359. I do not rule out that the market may test the liquidity zone...
Resistance levels: 3370, 3380, 3400
Support levels: 3358, 3341, 3334
There is considerable potential within the consolidation, and the rally may be directed towards the resistance range of 3400. However, pullbacks are possible before growth, which could give us a good entry point.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD GBPUSD and DXY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD ( GOLD ) Sideways Grind – Big Move LoadingPrice is still ranging between $3,368.41and $3,343.41. The D1 open sits near $3,347, acting like a pivot. Trades inside the box are possible but riskier due to quick fades and wicky candles.
Bullish plan (need confirmation)
Trigger: A clean 30min close above $3,368.41 (body close, not a wick).
Targets: The marked level at $3,377.34. If momentum is strong, trail stops and let it run.
Bearish plan (cleaner if we lose the box)
Trigger: 30min close below $3,343.41.
Targets: $3,337.49 first. If sellers keep control, trail for extra downside.
Management: Scale out at $3,337.5, protect the rest.
Range scalp (only if you accept higher risk)
Fade the edges:
Short near $3,368 on clear rejection; target mid ($3,356–3,358), SL just above the rejection high.
Long near $3,343–3,345 on a strong rejection wick; target mid, SL just below the lows.
Keep size smaller; this chop flips fast.
What would confirm the break
Strong 30m candle bodies through the level (not just spikes).
What invalidates
Breakout that closes back inside the range on the next candle → likely a trap; exit and reassess.
Multiple long wicks through the level with no follow through.
Bottom line: I’m patient inside $3,343–$3,368. I’ll act on a 30m close. Upside focus above $3,368.41 toward $3,377.34; downside focus below $3,343.41 toward $3,337.49.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025:
Gold prices recovered slightly, currently trading around $3,351/oz, positive US inflation data for July has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in September, while a weaker US dollar has boosted gold's appeal.
Fundamental news: Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.7% year-on-year in July, lower than the expected 2.8% and unchanged from June. Core CPI increased 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in six months.
Technical analysis: The sideways range of 3,340 - 3,360 has not been broken yet. The MAs are showing signs of moving sideways, showing the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. RSI H1 has started to move towards the buy zone, RSI H4 is heading towards the average line. There is a high possibility that gold price will have a correction according to RSI of H4 and increase strongly again.
Important price zones today: 3340 - 3345, 3365 - 3370 and 3385 - 3390.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3367 - 3369
SL 3372
TP 3364 - 3355 - 3345.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3387 - 3389
SL 3392
TP 3384 - 3374 - 3364 - 3345.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342
SL 3337
TP 3345 - 3355 - 3365 - 3385 - OPEN.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
XAU/USD 13 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold steady near 3,350 after CPIHello everyone !
Gold prices remain steady around the 3,350 level, recovering notably from overnight lows following the release of U.S. inflation data.
July’s Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year-on-year, slightly below the 2.8% forecast. However, core CPI climbed 3.1%, exceeding the 3.0% estimate and June’s 2.9% reading. These figures have reinforced market expectations for a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve on September 17.
The market also reacted to comments from U.S. President Donald Trump, who announced that imported gold would not face tariffs in the U.S. This decision has fueled volatility in gold over the past two sessions. Any tariff imposition on bullion could significantly impact global gold flows.
If the no-tariff policy is officially confirmed, gold prices may stabilize. However, any conflicting signals could trigger fresh price swings.
From a technical perspective, gold is consolidating in a sideways range after breaking below its trendline. The 3,360 to 3,380 zone is now acting as a strong resistance area. A strong rejection here could reignite the downtrend, targeting the 3,310 level initially, with a further drop towards the key 3,300 level.
GOLD rebounds slightly, data supports rate cut expectations, PPIOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded slightly, currently trading around $3,351/oz, positive US inflation data for July reinforced market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, while a weaker US dollar boosted the appeal of gold.
Mild inflation supports rate cut expectations
Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year-on-year in July, below expectations of 2.8% and unchanged from June.
Core CPI rose 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in six months.
While core inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s target, the overall data was interpreted by the market as positive for a rate cut.
The US Dollar Index fell to 98.02, making non-dollar-denominated gold more attractive.
Market data showed traders are betting that the chances of a Fed rate cut in September and December remain high.
Next up, the US will release weekly PPI, retail sales and initial jobless claims data, all of which could influence the policy outlook.
Viewpoint: Rate cuts and political uncertainty pave the way for gold to hit new highs
Uncertainty over the independence of the Federal Reserve and continued central bank buying of gold are key factors supporting gold prices. Demand for gold ETFs grew at its fastest pace since early 2020 in the first half of this year.
If the independence of the Federal Reserve is increasingly questioned, the safe-haven value of gold will increase significantly. Gold is a counterweight to fiat currencies (US dollars), and once investors question the independence of central banks, demand will increase.
Forex Market Volatility and Safe Haven Demand
Recent trade policy uncertainty has added to volatility in global forex markets.
The Indian rupee is nearing a record low against the US dollar, with the Reserve Bank of India selling at least $5 billion to support the exchange rate.
The US dollar has weakened after a brief rally, while the Chinese yuan has remained stable.
The weakening US dollar has somewhat increased the relative appeal of gold, leading to a recovery in safe-haven demand.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold rallied, but the recovery momentum is still limited by the EMA21 as the first resistance, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. If gold breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to continue to increase in price towards the 3,400 USD price point, opening a new bullish cycle.
However, at the current position, gold price can still retest the $3,310 – $3,300 area due to the pressure from EMA21 and 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. This means that the $3,310 – $3,300 area is an important support area for the uptrend. As long as gold remains above $3,300, it can still increase in the short term, but in case of a sell-off below $3,300, confirmed by a price action below $3,292, it will open the conditions for a downtrend with the next target around $3,246 in the short term.
During the day, the trend of gold prices is generally sideways, with balanced conditions and indicators, described by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around the 50 level, also showing the market's hesitant sentiment. Personally, I am inclined to the upside, along with that, open long positions should be protected when the 3,300 USD mark is broken below.
Notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3391 - 3389⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3395
→Take Profit 1 3383
↨
→Take Profit 2 3377
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
→Take Profit 1 3307
↨
→Take Profit 2 3313
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has broken above the 50MA (pink) but remains capped below the 200MA (green), trading just above the $3,353 key level. This area is acting as a pivotal barrier — a clean break and sustained hold above $3,353 is needed to shift momentum bullish.
A sustained break and hold above this zone could see momentum build toward $3,380, with further upside potential to $3,399 and $3,422. Failure to clear this area may keep price trapped in the pullback structure, risking another retest of $3,329 and possibly the Secondary Support Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,380
‣ $3,399
‣ $3,422
Support:
‣ $3,353
‣ $3,329
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,295
🔎 Fundamental Focus
Multiple FOMC speeches and President Trump remarks today could spark volatility.
Expect choppy price action — manage risk around headlines.