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Xauusdidea

Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 10/03/2025 📊 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining → the corrective process is likely to continue until D1 enters the oversold zone and reverses. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward → today we may see a bullish move. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → the current H1 decline is weakening, which may lead to a bullish move aligned with H4. This potential rally could last for about 4–5 H4 candles. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: Price is still within the wave 5 target zone without a clear breakout. However, D1 momentum suggests that a corrective decline may continue. • H4: An ABC structure has formed → the current rebound may be: o The start of a new uptrend. o Or part of a more complex correction. • H1: Showing a rebound, which could be: o Wave 1 of a new uptrend. o Or wave A of a corrective 3-wave ABC move. ⏩ In either case, the current decline can be identified as wave 2 (purple) or wave B (blue). • Downside targets: o Zone 1: 3842 o Zone 2: 3830 Afterward, the market is expected to rise: • If it is wave C → target equals wave A at 3885 (after 3842 support) or 3874 (after 3830 support). • If it is wave 3 (purple) → minimum target = 1.618 of wave 1 (purple). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan Scenario 1 • Buy Zone: 3843 – 3841 • SL: 3833 • TP1: 3862 • TP2: 3874 • TP3: 3885 Scenario 2 • Buy Zone: 3831 – 3829 • SL: 3818 • TP1: 3862 • TP2: 3874 • TP3: 3885 ________________________________________ 👉 Main strategy: Look for buy entries around 3842 or 3830 support zones, targeting 3874 – 3885.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Swing Buy Setup – Pullback Entry & Targeting 3968Gold is in a clear uptrend channel (highlighted in pink). Price is currently trading around 3882, near the upper-mid of the channel. Projection: The chart shows a possible short-term pullback toward the BUY ENTRY ZONE (3759 – 3718) before resuming the bullish move. This aligns with retesting the lower trendline support of the channel. Key Levels: Buy Entry Point: 3759 Stop Loss: 3718 (about 40 points below entry zone, safe buffer under support) Target (TP): 3968 Risk-Reward: Entry: ~3759 Stop: ~3718 → ~41 points risk Target: ~3968 → ~209 points reward Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:5 → Very favorable. Pattern: The move suggests a bullish continuation setup after a corrective retracement. Expected bullish wave could push Gold to new highs above 3960. 📌 Summary: ✅ Bullish bias remains intact. 🔵 Best entry: wait for a pullback to 3759–3718 zone. 🎯 Target: 3968. ❌ Stop Loss: 3718. This is a swing trade setup with strong upside potential if Gold respects the channel structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
4
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 1000 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last 4 weeks , started between 3870.00 to 3895.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3870.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3895.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3895.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3870.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action . Entry Reasons : 1- Highest Level The Price Touch It 2- Broken Res 3- New Support Created . 4- Clear Price Action .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FX_Elite_Club
25
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 2/10/2025🔎 ________________________________________ Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse → this signals that the bullish trend is becoming very weak. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → today we may see a recovery move, with price either rising further or moving sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the overbought zone → the recovery continues for now, but once H1 reverses inside the overbought zone, the next downward move may begin. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1 timeframe o Price reached the second target yesterday. o Momentum on D1 is showing signs of reversal → if today closes with a bearish candle, it may confirm that the yellow wave 5 top has been completed. o In that case, a 3-wave correction on D1 will unfold. o The duration of this correction will likely be longer than the previous yellow wave 2 and wave 4 corrections. • H4 timeframe o A downward move has completed, and momentum is turning upward. o If H4 enters the overbought zone without creating a new high, it provides strong evidence that the purple wave 5 has been completed. o The current structure shows the confluence of multiple wave 5s, fulfilling the condition of an ending diagonal triangle:  Features: new highs and new lows are created, but they become progressively smaller, forming a rising triangle.  Once completed → a sharp decline is expected. • H1 timeframe The structure is noisy, so we consider 2 scenarios: Scenario 1 – Black wave 5 has already completed o Price is currently in a corrective structure. o Combined with H4 momentum reaching the overbought zone and reversing:  If price fails to break above 3897, then: 1. Price drops from the current level 3866 → toward 3830. Then retraces back to 3865 → this offers a very good shorting opportunity. 2. Price rallies to 3885 → but only if H4 momentum is in the overbought zone and starts to weaken → this also provides a great short setup. Scenario 2 – Price breaks the high o In this case, we consider the possibility of an ending diagonal triangle, combining channel structure and H4 momentum to find the short entry. ________________________________________ Trading Plan • Although we already have potential targets, placing limit orders at this stage is not effective. • The key condition to wait for: H4 momentum must reach the overbought zone and reverse → that will provide a clearer and safer entry. • I will update the entry point once H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, to avoid the same situation as yesterday: correct wave direction, but wide volatility caused stop-loss hits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
ATH $3871: Shutdown Fear & 97% Fed Cut Fuel Gold SurgeHello, investors and traders! Gold continues to show phenomenal strength, setting a new ATH at $3,871.45/oz (on Sept 30), and closing at $3,843.43/oz. This gain confirms the strongest September since 2011, solidifying the explosive growth trend for the precious metal. Fundamental Analysis: Politics and the Fed Drive Buying Wave Two core drivers are pushing gold prices higher, making any attempt to call the top extremely risky: Political Instability: The risk of a looming US Government shutdown increases uncertainty, strongly boosting safe-haven demand. Low-Rate Expectations: Weakening jobs data has almost certainly cemented the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates in October. The market is currently pricing in a 97% chance of a Fed rate cut. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy After a recent shock drop of 70 points, Gold quickly recovered and created a new ATH, proving that buying pressure is overwhelming any profit-taking efforts. The strong upward bias continues. Outlook: Continue to Prioritize Buy given the powerful upward trend and supportive fundamentals. Only attempt a Sell Scalp (short-term short) near psychological resistance levels with an extremely tight Stop Loss (SL). Key Resistance: $3894, $3904, $3914 Key Support: $3869, $3843, $3834 Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3864 TP: $3875 - $3885 - $3900 BUY ZONE Zone: $3834 - $3832 / SL: $3824 TP: $3842 - $3862 - $3892 SELL SCALP (High Risk) Zone: $3904 - $3906 / SL: $3910 TP: $3901 - $3891 - $3876 The market is running on fear and rate-cut anticipation. Are you betting on the $3900 mark this week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis: The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline. Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level. Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure. Bullish Scenarios: If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected. A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950. Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower. Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold Going Up Hard , Can We Get 250 Pips From This Wave ?Here is My 15 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3872.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3872.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 4H Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
Is This the Start of Gold’s Next Major Upside Trend?✨ GOLD vs USD Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing Trade) ✨ 🟡 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar) 📈 Plan: Bullish Outlook The Thief Strategy 🥷 is in action — using a layering style of limit orders (multiple staged entries). Instead of a single "all-in" shot, we scale in like a smart thief sneaking layer by layer. 🔑 Entry (Layered Style): Possible levels: 3720 / 3730 / 3740 / 3750 (you can increase layers depending on your own plan). The idea: Build positions gradually instead of chasing the candle. 🔒 Stop-Loss Zone (Protect Capital): 3680 (nicknamed the “Thief SL” 🚨). ⚠️ Note: This is just my reference level. Please adjust to your own risk style — don’t just follow blindly. 🎯 Target (Profit-Taking Zone): 3860 (Trend Flip Alert ⚡ – High Voltage Zone). Why? This area aligns with resistance + potential overbought conditions + trap vibes. That’s where I expect smart thieves to escape with their bags 💼. 💡 Reminder for the Thief OGs: I’m not recommending you copy my SL/TP blindly. The market is your playground — grab your profits your way, manage your risk your way. 🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar) TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Strong inverse correlation with Gold. If DXY weakens, XAU/USD often rallies. TVC:SILVER (XAG/USD) → Precious metals move in packs. Silver strength can be a leading indicator for Gold. BLACKBULL:WTI (USOIL/USD) → Energy inflation links can push Gold higher as a safe haven. SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) → Risk-on/off sentiment. Equity weakness often boosts safe-haven demand for Gold. 📌 Key Takeaways: Thief Strategy = Layered limit order entries (smart scaling). 🚨 Protect your capital with personalized SL — don’t just copy mine. ⚡ Watch for resistance traps near 3860. 📊 Always monitor correlated assets like DXY, Silver, Oil, S&P 500. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your own risk. #XAUUSD #GOLD #SwingTrading #TradingStrategy #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #Forex #Commodities #TradingView
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Gold Hits Record High: US Shutdown Looms - Buy the Dip?Gold just hit a record high of $3,833.37/oz (Sept 29), driven by a surge in safe-haven demand over the potential US Government shutdown (Oct 1) and expectations for FED rate cuts (PCE data confirmed). A slight decline in the USD (0.2%) also offered support. The sharp drop to $3,794 is viewed as likely end-of-month profit-taking, not a fundamental shift. This keeps the Buy opportunity open if US budget tensions escalate. 📈 Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Gold saw a big shake-out, flushing out FOMO buyers early in the European session. Selling pressure remains, but don't rush to SELL immediately. Watch for a technical bounce to fill the FVG before any potential continuation lower. Key Levels: Resistance: $3827 / $3846 / $3870 Support: $3787 / $3778 / $3763 Detailed Trading Strategy (US Session): 1. BUY Zone (Counter-Trade/Dip Buy): Price Zone: $3784 - $3782 SL (Stop Loss): $3774 TP (Target): $3792 / $3812 / $3832 2. SELL Scalp (Quick Short): Price Zone: $3827 - $3829 SL (Stop Loss): $3833 TP (Target): $3824 / $3814 / $3804 3. SELL Zone (Main Short Entry): Price Zone: $3866 - $3868 SL (Stop Loss): $3876 TP (Target): $3858 / $3838 / $3818 ⚠️ Warning: The US Government shutdown is the core focus. If budget negotiations succeed, Gold could retreat sharply. Use tight SL and manage risk carefully! Will you be buying the dip at $378x or selling the rally at $382x? 👇 #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingStrategy #USShutdown #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #MarketUpdate
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
3930 on Mark!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!! My stance on XAUUSD? I'm buying gold on every DIP ✅️ First point of buying will be 3855-3850 area - if the market drops and for retest on structure support for liquidity sweeps my second buying area will be 3822-3828. -My target will be 3890 then In extension 3930!! - Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3820 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom supply zone at 3780 for buying. Additional TIP: Buy the dips
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing. • H4: Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways. • H1: Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 Wave: Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top. Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed. Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early. • H4 Wave: A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs. With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher. → Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool. • H1 Wave: A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying. As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness. Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887 • Stop Loss: 3895 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3830 📌 Notes: • This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable. • If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline. • Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis: The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline. Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level. Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure. Bullish Scenarios: If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected. A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950. Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower. Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
The Unstoppable Rise of Gold**Technical Analysis (XAU/USD):** Gold is trading around **$3,816**, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at **$3,797**, **$3,759**, and **$3,718**. As long as price stays above the **$3,718 zone** (major support), the bullish structure remains intact. The chart indicates two bullish scenarios: 1. A direct continuation higher from current levels. 2. A potential retest of the **$3,797 – $3,759 zone** before another push upward. Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between **$3,860 – $3,900**, with further momentum potentially extending beyond **$3,925**. **Fundamental Analysis:** * **Safe-Haven Demand:** Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset. * **Central Bank Policies:** If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold. * **Inflation Hedge:** Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand. * **Central Bank Purchases:** Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices. **Conclusion:** Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward **$3,759–$3,718** may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD is following the 3930 path !!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!! In our previous commantary we are expecting 3845 within the next session which gold delivered during Tokyo session. My stance on XAUUSD? I'm expecting bit retracement for again pump. ✅️ First point of buying will be 3785-3795 area , -H4 candle should closes above it for healthy buyingtrade. -My target will be 3830 then 3845. In extension 3930!! - Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3780 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom major supply zone at 3745-3735 for buying. Additional TIP: Buy the dips
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 30, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔥 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently bullish. We have 3 consecutive bullish candles so far, meaning there may be only 1–2 more daily candles before momentum reaches the overbought zone → risk of reversal. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is stuck in the overbought zone with 4 consecutive bullish candles. This signals that the bullish force is weakening. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is reversing inside the overbought zone. This shows the bullish force is fading, and price may reverse downward within 1–2 hours. ________________________________________ 🌊 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is moving inside the Elliott channel drawn from wave 2 – wave 4 and wave 3 (yellow). There is not much room left before hitting the upper channel. This matches D1 momentum and the second target zone of wave 5 (yellow). • H4 timeframe: As mentioned in the previous plan, price broke the old high at 3793, confirming wave 5 (purple). However, H4 momentum has been overbought for 4 consecutive candles, signaling that wave 5 (purple) is nearing its end. • H1 timeframe: Currently forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in black inside wave 5 (purple). All timeframes are showing signals that price is approaching a major top. Although the trend is still bullish, sharp pullbacks of over 100 pips happen frequently, making it very difficult to trade with tight stop-losses. ________________________________________ 🎯 Key Price Levels • Price is now testing the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 (black) at 3865. • Upper channels from D1, H4, and H1 converge around 3885. 👉 This is the critical area to look for reversal signals and consider a Sell entry. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Plan • Swing trades: Be patient, wait for clear signals before entering. • Scalp trades: Possible, but avoid holding positions too long. • Risk management: Strictly apply safe trade management as price is at a potential top zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX