Unlocking Gold’s $3,600 Rally Before the Crowd /Best Entry Point1️⃣ General Overview
Gold remains in a corrective phase. Unless we see a clear 4H close above 372, bearish corrective pressure will stay stronger. However, certain zones may trigger bullish reactions if respected.
2️⃣ Key Levels
353 → First potential reversal area.
364 – 373 → Upside targets if 353 closes above this price on the 4H timeframe.
378 → Breakout level; above it price opens the way to higher targets.
382 – 392 – 402 → Next resistance levels if price closes above 378 on 4H timeframe.
335 → Strongest potential weekly buy zone if tested.
329 – 335 (ideal 35–29 range) → Ideal buy zone, though less likely to be visited this week.
3️⃣ Trade Scenarios & Setups
🔹Bullish Setup:
4H close above 353 → look for a move toward 364 → 373 → swing/open target.
4H close above 378 → momentum extends to 382 → 392 → 402.
Above 402 → new analysis will be required.
🔺 Bearish Setup:
4H close below 353 → decline toward 335 (strong weekly buy zone).
An extended drop into the 35–29 range = an ideal buy setup, but the probability is low.
Xauusdidea
XAU/USD M15 Update – Breakout or Fakeout?Gold has been consolidating in a tight 336x – 337x range throughout the day. Now, price is showing signs of pushing back towards the short-term high at 3377 – 3382.
👉 Two possible scenarios are on the table:
1️⃣ Liquidity Grab (Fake Breakout): Price retests the high → triggers FOMO buys → sharp rejection back down towards 3363 – 3355 liquidity zones.
2️⃣ Clean Breakout: If buyers hold control and break above 3382 – 3384, momentum could accelerate into the 3400 – 3402 resistance zone.
📌 Key Levels on M15:
Resistance: 3377 – 3384 | Major: 3400
Support: 3363 – 3354 – 3341
⚡ Trading Notes:
Don’t chase price into resistance.
Wait for clear confirmation around 3382 – 3384 before committing.
Scalpers can look for quick plays at 3363 – 3355 (buy zone) or fade rejection at 3382 – 3384 if breakout fails.
🔥 Gold is at a decision point – will it break higher into 3400 or trap longs before a deeper correction?
What’s your take? Drop your view below 👇
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3367.50 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3367.50 , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
XAUUSD 3400:
👉Related Information:!!
🔴 Breaking News: Trump Dismisses Fed Governor Cook
U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order dismissing Federal Reserve Governor Cook, sparking concerns over the central bank’s independence. The move has weakened the U.S. dollar and sent gold prices surging. If Trump succeeds in replacing Cook with a more “compliant” appointee, the balance of power within the Fed could tilt firmly in Trump’s favor — potentially increasing pressure for interest rate cuts.
🔰 U.S. Dollar Rebounds – Gold’s “Silent Killer”
The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.49% to 98.32, marking its strongest gain since late July, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
👉Personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovered to break through 3378 to gain liquidity and continue the uptrend
👉Important price zone to consider : !!
🎯Resistance zone point: 3370 zone
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 26/08/2025
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Price is currently in the overbought zone. The ongoing bullish cycle has already produced 5 daily candles. Combined with the overbought condition, this suggests that upside momentum is weakening. If no strong breakout occurs within the next 1–2 days, it is likely that the market is still in a larger corrective phase on the daily chart.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum has turned bearish, with strong selling pressure emerging right after wave 2 was considered complete. This is an unusual sign and raises caution for the bullish scenario.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to turn bearish, which implies an incoming corrective pullback. This is not an encouraging signal at a stage where wave 3 is expected to develop.
2. Wave Structure
• D1: The main scenario still follows the larger corrective triangle. Price is unfolding waves 1–2 (green), and the current bullish leg is expected to be wave 3 (green). However, the strength so far has not been convincing. Having already completed 5 D1 candles without a decisive breakout suggests weakness in the rally.
• H4: The Asian session opened with a strong rally, but this momentum quickly faded and was followed by aggressive selling. Momentum reversed sharply, highlighting abnormal behavior for the expected uptrend.
• H1: At the 3387 level, strong selling pressure appeared, whereas this should have been the breakout zone for wave 3 (black) after surpassing wave 1 (black). Ideally, price should have pushed straight toward 3403 to confirm the impulsive strength of wave 3. This unusual behavior suggests that wave 1 (black) actually completed at 3387, and the market is now in wave 2 (black).
On the lower timeframe (M15), the current decline is forming an ABC structure, with the measured target for wave C at 3364 – a potential buy zone.
If price falls back to 3350 and breaks below, the 1–2–3–4–5 (yellow) count will be invalidated. In that case, the market may be unfolding a larger corrective structure, and the wave count plan will need to be updated.
3. Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3365 – 3363
• Stop Loss: 3349
• Take Profit 1: 3387
• Take Profit 2: 3403
⚠️ Note: The stop-loss range is relatively wide, and momentum does not fully support the bullish wave scenario yet. Traders should consider carefully before entering directly.
Conservative Role Reversal Setup - Resistance Becomes Support
Sharing my straightforward approach to Gold's next potential move. 📊
**🎯 The Setup:**
I'm waiting for a role reversal play at the yellow line - this represents the zone where recent resistance should now act as support. Classic technical analysis at work. 🔄
**📍 Target and Risk:**
My minimum target is the second white line from the top - the August 8th high. For risk management, I'll use the August 22nd low as my stop loss, giving me a **2:1 risk-to-reward ratio**. This is a very conservative entry approach. 🛡️
**⚡ Higher R/R Alternative:**
If I wanted to improve the risk-reward ratio, I'd need to watch for real-time price action after any break below this morning's low. The key would be catching the actual reversal behavior as it happens, rather than using these wider structural levels. 📈
**🧠 Why Conservative Works:**
Sometimes the best trades aren't the flashiest ones. A 2:1 setup with clear levels and high probability might not be exciting, but it builds consistent profits over time. Risk management trumps home runs. ✅
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
Clean structural levels for both entry and exit. If the August 22nd low breaks, the role reversal thesis is invalidated and it's time to exit. 🚨
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 33.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 24/8/2025Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising → High probability that price will continue its bullish move on Monday.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum remains bullish → Price is expected to keep rising early in the week to complete wave (3) in yellow.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → The short-term correction is nearing its end, we look for buy opportunities.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: Friday’s strong bullish candle reinforces the scenario that wave (1) and (2) in blue are complete, and wave (3) in blue may already be forming. We need price to break above the top of wave (1) in blue to confirm the development of wave (3).
• H4 timeframe: Price rallied sharply and broke above the top of wave (1) in yellow → This confirms price is currently in wave (3) in yellow. With momentum on H4 still rising, wave (3) likely has more room to continue.
• H1 timeframe: The corrective ABC structure has completed, followed by a sharp and steep rally (as projected in Friday’s plan). Price broke above 3350 – the top of wave (1) in yellow → Confirming the scenario that price is in wave (3) in yellow.
o Minimum target for wave (3) in yellow: 3387.
o Principle: Do not counter-trade wave (3); instead, wait for wave (4) correction to look for buy entries in wave (5).
Trading Strategy
With H1 approaching the oversold zone and showing a mild correction, we have two options for entries:
1. Breakout: Wait for price to break above the small descending trendline as shown on the chart → Enter breakout buy.
2. Pullback entry: Wait for price to retrace to the 3362 area → Buy from there.
Trade Plan:
• Buy Zone: 3364 – 3361
• Stop Loss: 3354
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3378
o TP2: 3387
o TP3: 3403
8/26: Double Top Pattern, Focus on ShortsGood morning, everyone!
Gold rebounded from around 3359 yesterday, but the current pattern shows signs of a double top — suggesting the risk of a larger pullback today.
📌 Support: First watch 3352–3348, then 3343–3337.
📌 Resistance: 3358–3366. If price fails to break above this zone, a second leg lower is likely, with potential tests of the secondary support.
When trading, avoid greed — especially near key support and resistance levels. If your account is under pressure, it’s safer to stay patient and wait for clearer signals before entering, reducing risk and improving success rates.
If you need guidance, feel free to reach out.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 25-August-2025Live Price (UTC Anchor): $3364.00
Gold continues to trade within a tightly coiled range, but today’s structure across Daily → 4H → 1H timeframes highlights key execution-ready zones. Institutional footprints are clear — liquidity sweeps, unmitigated order blocks, and premium/discount imbalances are guiding the flow.
Buy-Side Liquidity Zones
🔹 Primary Buy Zone: $3348 – $3352
Fresh 4H bullish order block, unmitigated since last push.
Daily structure still showing higher-lows above $3330.
1H BOS with hidden bullish divergence (RSI).
Best confluence zone for long entries.
🎯 Targets: $3378 → $3395
🛡️ Stop: Below $3340
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone: $3328 – $3332
Daily demand base from prior accumulation.
Liquidity sweep expected below $3335.
4H fair value gap aligns with engineered liquidity.
🎯 Targets: $3350 → $3375
🛡️ Stop: Below $3320
📉 Sell-Side Liquidity Zones
🔻 Primary Sell Zone: $3388 – $3395
Daily resistance supply untouched since last rejection.
4H bearish OB marks origin of sell-off.
1H CHoCH with overhead imbalance.
ATR resistance at $3390–$3395 zone.
🎯 Targets: $3370 → $3350
🛡️ Stop: Above $3402
🔻 Secondary Sell Zone: $3410 – $3416
Daily premium zone at range extreme.
Liquidity highs resting around $3412.
1H displacement cluster with VWAP extension.
🎯 Targets: $3390 → $3365
🛡️ Stop: Above $3420
⚡ Executive Outlook – Golden Zone
The Golden Zone for today is $3348 – $3352 (Primary Buy Zone).
Supported by 5+ confluences across Daily, 4H, and 1H.
Aligns with macro bullish bias and engineered liquidity setup.
High-probability long with clear SL/TP levels, offering the cleanest risk-reward of the day.
Trading Plan:
Patience is key. Wait for price to revisit the Golden Buy Zone ($3348 – $3352). Execute with conviction only if order flow confirms (1H rejection wicks / volume spike). Upside targets remain $3378 → $3395.
XAUUSD NEXT WEEK ? Greetings 👋
Thats My Gold View Next Week !
Recently Gold Pump At My QM Buy Setup And Now We Have Zones For Selling And Buying
Selling ZONE : 3390 / 3410 Buy Side Liquidity Zone When Its Take Liquidity Then It Will Drop
Buying ZONE : 3352 / 3349 CISD Another Buy Zone : 3338 / 3327 Buy Trendline + IFVG Setup
BEST OF LUCK 🤞
Gold is trading above its key SMA/EMA (20-200)Technical portrait today
General signal: opinions on the XAU/USD instrument are moderately bullish. On Investing.com — Strong Buy on most timeframes. According to medium-term and long-term moving averages: 11 “Buy” signals and only one “Sell”, also a significant advantage in the indicators in favor of “Strong Buy”.
Trend: gold is trading above its key SMA/EMA (20–200), which supports the bullish structure. RSI is in the ~70 area, MACD — Buy, ADX — Buy, which confirms the strength of the bullish momentum.
Support and resistance levels
Price boundaries for today:
Support: $3,310–3,270 — a critical zone; a breakout here may initiate a correction.
Resistance: $3,360–3,410 — a zone where a local pause or rebound is possible.
Stock Forecast
Today's forecast is a slight increase to ≈ $3,375, with further potential to $3,412 by the end of the week. Bullish sentiment remains.
Macro and analytics from banks
RBC Capital Markets remain optimistic: they believe that gold can reach $3,722 by Q4 2025 and $3,813 by the end of 2026 in the base case, remaining above $3,100-3,500.
Goldman Sachs also forecasts growth: to $3,700 by the end of 2025, and $4,000 by mid-2026, especially under the drive of ETF investments and central bank demand.
At the same time, HSBC warns of weakening momentum: a pullback is possible, especially if physical demand decreases and the positive sentiment regarding the Fed slows
XAUUSD – The Calm Before the Storm (D1 Weekly Plan)🔥 Market Pulse
Last week closed with a powerful bullish D1 candle, fueled by FED’s policy hints & Trump’s latest remarks.
This wasn’t just news-driven – it was a liquidity shift, a signal that the next big directional play is loading.
⚔️ Key Battle Zones (MMFLOW View)
End Game Demand Zone (3273) → The last stronghold for buyers.
Power Reaction Zone (3316 – 3340) → First defense line where bulls are likely to step in hard.
Key Mid Zone (3357 – 3372) → The “gateway” level that decides if momentum will sustain.
Power Reaction Zone (3399) → Bears will strike back here.
End Game Supply Zone (3435) → The final battlefield – where the big game ends.
📈 Scenarios for the Week Ahead
Primary Plan (Bullish bias):
Gold may dip into 3316 – 3340 before resuming its upward leg.
Holding this zone opens the path to 3399 → 3435.
Alternative Plan (Risk case):
A break below 3316 could drag price back to 3273 before any bigger move.
🎯 Trading Approach
Buy on dips inside reaction zones.
Targets: 3399 – 3435.
Protective stop: Below 3273.
🚨 Final Takeaway:
Gold is entering a critical phase – this isn’t just another bounce, it could be the start of a medium-term breakout cycle.
Bulls have the upper hand, but both sides are preparing for the showdown. Stay ready for a volatility spike.
Rate Cut Expectations Boost Gold — Caution on HighsFed Chair Powell noted that shifting economic risks strengthen the case for rate cuts, signaling potential support for a 25bp cut at the September meeting. In response, gold bulls surged, breaking through the 3358–3366 resistance and reaching around 3378.
⚠️ Caution: After sharp rallies, pullbacks are common. Avoid blind chasing — if you do, keep positions light and be ready to close quickly.
📌 My outlook: I’ve started entering sell positions, with key supports to watch at 3366–3358–3352 during pullbacks.
Importantly, this rally has shifted the 1D structure; holding above 3350 could open the door for a bullish move toward the 3400 level.
Gold Analysis – Slight Bearish Bias After Failing at 3350Yesterday I wrote that after the false break and the bullish daily engulfing, Gold could reverse to the upside and the correction that started from the 3400 zone might have been finished.
With this idea in mind, I went long, and the entry turned out to be a real sniper one as Gold started to rise strongly exactly after my entry, reaching once more the 3350 zone.
Here, however, price action turned “boiling” and, in the end, bulls couldn’t push through decisively.
After another attempt to conquer 3350 at the beginning of the Asian session, Gold failed again. During the night (my night), I decided to close my trade with +120 pips profit. It was not the outcome I expected, but still a positive one.
Looking back, this decision seems correct so far since price is now back around my entry level from yesterday.
________________________________________
Where Do We Go From Here?
So far, the week has no resolution. Neither bulls nor bears are in full control.
However, after the repeated failure to break 3350, my outlook leans slightly bearish at this moment.
• Plan: I will look to sell rallies during the day if I can find a good risk:reward setup.
• Target: 3280 is the bearish objective.
• Invalidation: If bulls finally manage to resolve the 3350 level, this outlook is negated.
________________________________________
Final Note:
Gold has become very unpredictable these days. What is true at the time of posting could change quickly during the session. That’s why I update my analyses during the day.
👉 If you want to be notified of these updates, don’t forget to like this idea.
💬 And if you have questions, feel free to use the comment section — I will try to respond to all.
🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Trade Set Up Aug 22 2025www.tradingview.com
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Trade Set Up: Price has created LH and is now testing recent HL and PDL , when we get a close under, i will be looking for sells to the next zone and swing low. But if price fails to close below HL at 9 i will wait for internal liquidity to be taken on the 15m-5m before looking for sells