GOLD (XAU/USD) – 2H Price Action & SMC Outlook# 🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – 2H Price Action & SMC Outlook
**Date:** 2025/08/12
**Timeframe:** 2H (Heikin Ashi)
**Style:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Fair Value Gap (FVG)
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## 📊 Market Context
Gold is currently testing the **FVG support area** around **3,349 – 3,350**, with a visible **CHOCH** structure forming on the chart. The reaction from this level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
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## 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
1. **Condition:**
- Price respects the FVG zone (**3,349.9**)
- CHOCH breaks to the upside
- Clean break and close above **3,401.2**
2. **Expected Move:**
- Retest of the breakout zone for liquidity grab
- Extension towards **3,440** as the main target
3. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,401.2** (break confirmation)
- 🎯 TP2: **3,440** (major resistance & supply)
4. **Invalidation:**
- A close below **3,345** would weaken the bullish case and expose lower demand.
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## 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
1. **Condition:**
- Price fails to break **3,401.2**
- Strong rejection from the descending trendline
2. **Expected Move:**
- Return to the FVG zone at **3,349.9**
- If broken, possible continuation towards **3,320 – 3,325**
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## ⚠️ Analysis Validity
This analysis remains valid while **FVG support holds** and a **bullish CHOCH breakout** occurs.
Failure to hold the FVG could trigger deeper retracements.
---
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SMC #FVG #CHOCH #TradingView
Xauusdidea
GOLD Touches the Order blocks and does a little retracement.Gold is stuck in some range bond and is still not able to break 3500. Watch the DXY and be very careful when it breaks the supports or resistances. Can be fake-outs. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again and strong solid breakouts to enter the market.
Disclaimer:
The content presented in this IMAGE is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Trading foreign exchange (Forex) on margin involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of leverage can work both for and against you. Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.
There is a possibility that you may incur a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be fully aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from a licensed and independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly.
The daily trend has not changed, go long on pullback#XAUUSD
Good morning, and a wonderful day. Last night we expected that if the 3390-3380 level below is effective, then gold will still have room to rise. After the morning opening, gold began to fall and adjust, reaching a low of around 3367, and the overall trend fell into a wide range of fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the daily moving average tends to converge upward, with the middle track located near 3357. Before it effectively falls below, the daily bullish trend remains unchanged. Paying attention to the 4H technical indicators, we find that the MACD indicator death cross with large volume tends to fluctuate and fall. In the short term, we should focus on 3380-3390 above. At present, we should focus on the support at 3350. If it fails to break through effectively, gold will rebound again. On the whole, it is recommended to go long when the price retreats to around 3360-3350 during the day, with the target at 3375-3385.
🚀 BUY 3360-3350
🚀 TP 3375-3385
XAUUSD - Trading scenariosTechnical market condition
The price holds above $3,370, demonstrating sustainable bullish potential. Tariff tensions and inflation data expectations are keeping interest in gold as a safe haven asset.
However, gold is trying to break through the barrier at $3,400 again: until the breakout is confirmed, quotes will remain under pressure.
Counteraction to the decline: data on the reduction of geopolitical risks (for example, in Ukraine) and the strengthening of the dollar are exerting pressure - a possible decline to the support level of $3,314-$3,342.
Support and resistance levels
Key resistance levels:
~$3,400 - a psychological barrier, repeatedly confirmed by sales.
With a confident breakout, an attack on $3,435 is possible and then - to $3,500-$3,600, as Citi analysts predict against the backdrop of a weak US macroeconomy.
Main support levels:
~$3,370 — current support.
If broken — potential for a drop to $3,314–$3,342
GOLD Melted , Clear Chance To Buy It Now , 150 Pips Waiting !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price go down very hard after touch 3400.00 and melted to 3353.00 and we finally above 3358.00 and we have a 30 Mins Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and perfect bullish price action , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy it and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips as a small correction after this huge movement to downside in a very short period , so i will buy it to see if we have a correction for 150 to 200 pips at least .
Reasons To Enter :
1- New Support Created .
2- Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- 30 Mins Confirmation
5- Little Correction .
Gold Price Poised for Bullish Rebound Toward 3385After breaking out of the descending channel, gold entered a consolidation phase before facing a corrective dip. Current price action suggests a potential reversal from support, with bullish momentum likely to target the 3385 level in the short term. Key support lies around 3,260, and sustained buying pressure above this zone could fuel the projected upward move.|
Previous Trend:
Price was in a strong downtrend, moving inside a descending channel until the end of July.
This was followed by a sharp bullish breakout with strong volume, indicating a momentum shift.
Current Structure:
After the breakout, gold formed a sideways consolidation (yellow box), suggesting accumulation before the next move.
Recently, price retraced from the upper resistance zone and is now testing the lower horizontal support.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3,250 – 3,260 (critical demand area; a bounce here is expected).
Resistance Zone: 3,380 – 3,385 (short-term target).
Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle above 3,300 would strengthen the move toward the target.
Excellent profits 200 pips TP on opening session As I mentioned Today's early commentary session:
My strategy is sell from 3402–3405.
Very happy with the profits so far, multiple trades at 3400-3402
I sold GOLD 3402 – 200 PIPS TP
• 1st SETUP of week
Always follow your setup & your path with patience and discipline.
My targets is achieved alhumdullilah.
All I say thanks to those who followed us and made profits.
8/11: Sell High and Buy Low in the 3416–3372 RangeGood morning, everyone!
This week’s major data releases and news events are concentrated between Tuesday and Friday. Monday is relatively calm, so today’s strategy will mainly rely on technical analysis.
Technically, after a pullback to the MA20, last week’s weekly candle closed as a small bullish candle, and price has re-entered the strong resistance zone at 3400–3450. On the daily chart, bullish momentum hasn’t been fully released yet, but the 4H chart is showing early signs of bearish pressure. For today, keep an eye on the 3400–3420 resistance area, with primary support at 3386–3378 and secondary support at 3372–3366. Unless the bulls completely give up, a break below secondary support seems unlikely.
The main trading range for today is 3372–3416. If the market turns into a one-way move, consider a “contrarian” approach — just avoid buying high and selling low. If you find yourself in a trapped position, don’t panic. As long as risks are controlled, you can use scale-in entries or hedging to recover. If your trade rhythm is off, even holding onto positions (“sitting it out”) can reduce losses or turn a profit. Of course, if risk gets out of control, cut losses decisively — better to retreat than to blow up the account.
Account safety always comes first. Keep your capital intact, and you’ll find plenty of profitable opportunities this week — so many, you might start wondering if someone added extra days to the calendar.
If you need assistance, feel free to leave me a message.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Open Analysis – H2 Structure# 🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) Weekly Open Analysis – H2 Structure
**Date:** 2025/08/11
**Timeframe:** 2H (Heikin Ashi)
**Style:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) + Supply/Demand + Price Action
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## 📊 Market Context
At the weekly open, gold price has started trading above the **upper parallel channel** where last week's close was printed. This level acts as a short-term **bullish bias zone**.
Simultaneously, the **Dollar Index (DXY)** opened at lower levels, showing signs of weakness. Historically, a falling DXY often supports upward movement in gold, and we may see a reaction as mapped in the chart.
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## 🔍 Key Technical Levels
- **Upper CHOCH Breakout Zone:** ~**3,399 – 3,400**
- **Major Supply Zone:** ~**3,440 – 3,445**
- **Demand Zone #1:** **3,345 – 3,350** (POI)
- **Demand Zone #2:** **3,320 – 3,330** (FVG completion)
- **Final Demand Floor:** **3,260 – 3,265**
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## 📈 Bullish Scenario (Primary)
1. **Condition:** CHOCH breakout above **3,400** with a bullish BOS confirmation.
2. **Entry Zone:** Retest near **3,399 – 3,402** after breakout.
3. **Targets:**
- 🎯 TP1: **3,420**
- 🎯 TP2: **3,432**
- 🎯 TP3: **3,445** (Major Supply)
4. **Invalidation:** Close back below **3,395** after breakout attempt.
---
## 📉 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
1. **Condition:** Price fails to break the upper CHOCH and rejects from **3,399 – 3,400**.
2. **Expected Move:** Drop towards **Demand Zone #1** (**3,345 – 3,350**).
3. **If Demand #1 Fails:** Continuation towards **Demand Zone #2** (**3,320 – 3,330**).
4. **Final Target in Deep Drop:** **3,260 – 3,265** (lowest demand line in chart).
---
## ⚠️ Analysis Validity
> This analysis remains valid **as long as the upper CHOCH is not broken to the upside**.
> If the CHOCH breaks and a bullish BOS forms, the bearish path will be invalidated, shifting the focus to the upside targets.
---
📌 **Note:** Always combine with DXY monitoring – a significant DXY rally could limit gold’s bullish potential.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SMC #SupplyDemand #CHOCH #BOS #TradingView
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Bullish Setup AheadGold continues to show bullish momentum after holding above the recent breakout zone. Price is currently consolidating just above the $3,380 - $3,390 support area (green zone), which aligns with a key demand level from previous market structure.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Support Zone: $3,380 - $3,390 (demand area)
Resistance Target: $3,437 (previous swing high)
Trend: Bullish bias remains intact as long as price holds above support.
Plan: A potential retracement into the green demand zone could provide a fresh buying opportunity targeting the $3,437 resistance.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry: $3,385 – $3,390 (on pullback to demand zone)
Stop Loss (SL): $3,370
Take Profit (TP): $3,437
💡 Projection:
We anticipate a short-term pullback into support, followed by a bullish continuation towards the $3,437 level. A clean breakout above this resistance could open doors for further upside.
⚠ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always follow your risk management rules.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #PriceAction #Forex #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis
Shorting at highs is steadier to avoid risksAlthough gold kept breaking through its daily highs last week, rising all the way to around 3410 before starting to pull back, and the daily lows were also gradually climbing – making it easy to profit whether going long or short – I still recommend prioritizing shorting at high levels. This way, we can avoid losses if gold drops sharply. 📉
Go short at highs during the Asian session 📉
Go long at lows during the European session 📈
Go short at highs again during the U.S. session 📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3410 - 3400
🚀 TP 3390 - 3380 - 3370
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
Market trend forecast and layout at the beginning of the week#XAUUSD
On Friday night, gold prices fluctuated rapidly before closing due to news, and finally closed near 3397. Currently, gold is fluctuating and consolidating in the 3400-3380 range. This pattern not only reflects the fierce game between bulls and bears, but also suggests that the market may be brewing a new breakthrough direction. Therefore, we need to be particularly vigilant about potential breakouts next week.
Judging from the market alone, gold is still in an upward trend channel, so at the beginning of the week we can focus on the effectiveness of the support between 3390-3380. If the support level of 3390-3380 below remains solid and the hourly line breaks through and stabilizes above 3400, then the gold price may test the key resistance level of 3410 again. Once it breaks through, it is expected to reach 3420-3430.
XAUUSD - General structure and basic dynamicsBrief technical analysis
1. General structure and main dynamics
Gold is trading in an ascending triangle, a bullish pattern indicating potential for further gains. The price has consolidated above the 50-day moving average, and the RSI is reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
The MACD and RSI (≈ 54.7) are signaling growing positive momentum, especially after the rebound from the lower Bollinger band and the formation of EMA-8/EMA-21 crosses.
Citi has raised its forecast to $3,300-3,600 over the next three months, given the weak US economy and the weakening dollar.
Yesterday, gold prices were close to a multi-year high near $3,400. A break of resistance around $3,435 could bring gains to the target of $3,735 (according to the “measured move” pattern).
However, an HSBC analyst warns of weakness in momentum; a pullback after growth is possible, especially with an improving global background and a delayed tightening by the Fed.
2. Key levels
Resistance:
~$3,435 — the top of the ascending triangle
If broken — potential target $3,735
Investopedia
Support:
~$3,245 — the lower boundary of the structure and the zone of a possible pullback
Next — ~$3,150 with further sales
50-day SMA: ~$3,350 — a critical level for maintaining the bullish scenario
Gold Robbery Blueprint: Smart Bears on the Move Now!💣 XAU/USD GOLD HEIST PLAN: Robbery Begins at Resistance Zone! 🔐💰
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Welcome to another strategic strike by Thief Trading Style™—where smart analysis meets bold execution. We're targeting XAU/USD (Gold) in this scalping/day-trade opportunity, primed with fundamentals, technicals, and pure robbery logic.
🔍 THE GAME PLAN
We're looking at a neutral zone turning bearish, and here’s how the robbery unfolds:
🔑 ENTRY POINTS
🎯 “Vault wide open” signal!
Initiate short orders at current price zones or set layered SELL LIMITS near swing highs on 15M/30M charts. We're running a DCA-style pullback entry for max loot.
🕵️♀️ Entry isn't about one shot—it's about precision raids.
🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ALARM SYSTEM
Set SL just above the nearest swing high (4H timeframe preferred).
Use candle wick tips as your defense line (Example: 3350.00).
Adjust SL based on risk appetite and number of orders stacked.
🎯 TARGET: THE GETAWAY PLAN
💸 First Vault: 3280.00
💨 Or escape earlier if price action signals reversal. Protect your gains. Professional thieves don't get greedy.
📊 WHY WE’RE ROBBING HERE
This level is a high-risk barricade zone—police aka "market makers" are strong here.
We spotted consolidation, oversold signals, trend reversal setups, and a bullish trap disguised as support. A perfect time to strike. 🧠🔍
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENTAL CHECKPOINTS
🔎 Stay updated with:
Global news drivers
Macro & Intermarket analysis
COT reports & future trend targets
👉 Check the 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ TRADING ALERT - STAY SAFE DURING NEWS BOMBS!
Avoid entries during major economic data releases.
Use trailing SL to protect running profits.
Monitor volatility spikes & price anomalies.
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#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ScalpingStrategy #DayTrading #ThiefTrader #RobTheMarket #BoostForMore #NoChaseNoCase
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 10, 2025Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 10, 2025
1. Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum lines are still overlapping without a confirmed reversal signal. This suggests that a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, indicating that prices may continue to climb during the Asian session tomorrow.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is also rising, further supporting the expectation of continued upside movement in the Asian session.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure Analysis
• Current price action is overlapping, reinforcing the hypothesis that an ending diagonal is forming.
• This structure could either be part of Wave 5 (black) or Wave C (black). In both cases, it represents an ending diagonal 12345, with the market currently in Wave 4 (blue).
• Confirmation signal: A sharp and steep decline will confirm the ending diagonal — as mentioned in previous plans, this has not yet occurred.
• The projected completion targets are at 3412 or 3419. If the price breaks 3439, it will likely confirm the completion of Wave 5 (black).
________________________________________
3. Possible Scenarios
• Scenario 1: If the current move is part of a 5-wave 12345 black structure, once Wave 5 completes, a corrective ABC 3-wave decline could follow, targeting 3333.
• Scenario 2: If the current move is part of a 3-wave ABC black structure, once Wave C completes, a 5-wave bearish sequence could unfold, breaking below 3315.
________________________________________
4. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
Given that:
• D1 is in the overbought zone and could reverse within 1–2 days,
• H4 momentum is rising, and
• Price is likely in Wave 4 (blue),
→ On Monday, we may see one more upward push to complete Wave 5 (blue). This presents a potential SELL opportunity in the 3412–3419 target area.
Since this is a wide zone, it’s best to wait for clear reversal signals before entering.
________________________________________
5. Trade Plan
SELL ZONE 1: 3411 – 3413
• SL: 3416
• TP1: 3400
• TP2: 3381
• TP3: 3342
SELL ZONE 2: 3419 – 3421
• SL: 3429
• TP1: 3400
• TP2: 3381
• TP3: 3342
XAUUSD – Is Gold Ready for Its Final Rally? 📈 Elliott Wave Analysis on XAUUSD – Is Gold Ready for Its Final Rally? 💥
On the daily chart of XAUUSD, we’re observing the completion of a wave 4 triangle correction (ABCDE), which seems to be setting the stage for the beginning of wave 5 in the larger bullish cycle.
✅ Wave 3 showed a strong impulsive structure, and now the wave 4 triangle suggests consolidation before an explosive breakout toward the $3900 zone.
📍Key Resistance: 3900
🌀 We're anticipating a breakout above the upper channel line, potentially launching a sharp move as wave 5 unfolds.
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments! Do you think gold is ready to break its all-time high?
🔥 Save this idea & follow for future updates!
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🚀 Who am I?
I'm Mahdi, a prop firm trader with 7+ years of experience in technical analysis, mainly focusing on Smart Money Concepts and Elliott Wave theory.
I specialize in delivering high-quality trading signals, market insights, and educational content tailored for serious traders and investors.
📊 My Tools: SMC, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, Liquidity Grabs, Order Blocks
💼 Prop Challenge Passed: Yes | Funded Account: In Progress
🔗 Follow for consistent updates and trading insights.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA shows the recent price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), currently at $3,353.240, down $20.395 (-0.60%). The chart highlights a sell price of $3,353.010 and a buy price of $3,353.450, with a shaded area indicating a support/resistance zone around $3,351.426 to $3,353.240. The data reflects trading activity from July to early September 2025.
GOLD: Buy Dips Into DemandBuy the dip!
(H4) ✅ Bullish
Formed HL at 3355, strong displacement up from that zone
Current leg is targeting buy-side liquidity above 3432 and 3445
Unmitigated H4 demand: 3380–3388
(H1)
Series of HHs & HLs
Key Zone: 3380–3388
Next liquidity target / short-term resistance: 3432-3445
Wait for pullback into key zone or momentum break above 3405
(M15)
Micro bullish structure intact
Current short-term demand:3390–3395
Deeper demand: 3380–3388
Execution Triggers
Pullback Buy: Sweep 3380, M15 BOS above 3392, enter on retest
Breakout Buy: Break & close above 3405 with displacement, retest 3395–3400
❌ Invalidation
Break below 3355 = bullish structure compromised
Break below 3322 = trend shift to bearish
True or false? How to Decide Between Long and ShortInfluenced by the news related to tariffs, gold has just completed a fluctuation of nearly $20 in a very short period of time, breaking the silence of the gold market in one fell swoop. Separately, news indicates that the White House is planning to clarify the misinformation surrounding gold bar tariffs.
If there were traders who had rashly entered the market before, in the absence of strict trading system constraints and strict trading discipline, they would inevitably suffer certain losses regardless of whether they chose to go long or short.
This is also the reason why after giving my daily trading strategies, I will repeatedly emphasize the importance of strictly adhering to trading planning and discipline.
For ordinary traders, it's difficult to discern the authenticity of this news. After all, the Trump administration has a history of denying its own statements. Therefore, sometimes it's wise to remain on the sidelines.
This is also what I specifically reminded you to do when publishing my trading strategy this morning: be sure to trade with a small position today and be vigilant to potential unforeseen circumstances.
GOLD | XAU/GC - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Gold is currently trading within an accumulation zone as the market begins to price in a potential 0.25% rate cut by the Fed.
This macro expectation is supporting the broader bullish bias in the commodities market.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• Price broke below the HTF bullish trendline — a key sign of weakness and potential structural shift.
• However, a sharp drop in the DXY (US Dollar Index) provided a bullish tailwind for gold, resulting in a mid-week bounce.
• This mixed action sets the stage for two potential outcomes next week.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
I’m preparing for two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
→ Price retests the broken trendline and rejects it
→ Continuation to the downside
→ Play: Short setup
2️⃣ Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
→ Price reclaims the broken trendline and closes above it
→ Continuation higher toward next resistance
→ Play: Long setup
🎯 Setup Trigger:
I will wait for a clear break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframe to confirm directional bias.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the demand zone (for longs) or above supply (for shorts) on the 1H–4H chart
• Target:
→ Bullish: $3,536
→ Bearish: $3,305
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More updates, setups, and educational posts coming soon — stay tuned!
8/8: Continue to Focus on Selling, Watch Support at 3372–3366Good evening, everyone!
Today, after breaking above the 3400 level, gold experienced a pullback. The current structure shows dense support below, with previous resistance levels at 3378, 3372, and 3366 now turning into support.
On the daily chart (1D), price remains above the MA20, and the MA5 (~3382) serves as key short-term support. The candlestick formation still reflects a bullish structure for now.
However, the 4-hour chart (4H) reveals significant upward resistance, and unless the 4H structure is repaired, the market may favor a corrective or consolidation phase in the near term.
🔍 Trading Outlook:
For the remainder of today’s session and early next week, the strategy should primarily focus on selling into strength.
If the 4H chart corrects via a direct price retracement, gold could potentially test the 3348–3337 support zone.
Prior to that, closely monitor the 3372–3366 area as the primary short-term support and pivot zone.
XAUUSD - The bullish backdrop remains strongOverall Market Sentiment
The bullish background remains strong: the dollar index is putting pressure on gold, while geopolitical tensions and expectations of a rate cut by the Fed are increasing demand for the safe-haven asset
Direction by indicators: on Investing.com — 9 “Buy” signals against 3 “Sell” signals on moving averages and a neutral overall state
Support and resistance levels
Key support levels: $3,320 and $3,368–$3,340. A rebound from this zone could serve as a starting point for growth
Resistance: it is important to break $3,400 — a psychological and technical barrier, above which a directional move to $3,450 and beyond will open
Short-term scenario (LiteFinance): gold is testing resistance in the $3,380–$3,391 zone; a drop from there could lead to $3,330 → $3,268, and a breakout to the upside would accelerate growth to $3,493–$3,515
Union traders are noting the movement after the breakout of $3,375: possible targets are $3,390, $3,402.56 and $3,416.39. A breakout below $3,374.91 could send gold to $3,358.25, $3,350.01 and $3,341.18
1H chart analysis: Gold confidently broke through the $3,350 level, opening a bullish scenario, confirmed by macro dynamics and expectations of monetary policy easing