XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
The highest gold price in the Asian session reached 3365.4, which is already our mid-line target range. If you have completed and left the market, congratulations, because I personally set the TP point of 3368, so it did not touch, the trend of the past two days is appropriate rewithdrawal after strengthening, the high is also gradually rising, the overall long trend has not changed. For today's data, the probability will make gold prices continue to rise, trading ideas or to do the main.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3347-51
TP:3365-70
This TP range is also the target range of the median trader, for friends who do not have automatic stop profit, you can take a profit manually at that time.
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Xauusdidea
Who will be the winner in the battle between bulls and bears?From the analysis point of view, the short-term resistance above is around 3295-3301, and the pressure at 3315-3316. Focus on the pressure at 3324, the long-short watershed. In terms of operation, the rebound will continue to be the main short and look for a decline. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. Relying on this range, the main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged.
XAUUSD:Today's Trading Strategy
Gold retreated in the sub-session, I have personally increased my long position near 3331, the overall trend is bullish unchanged, the median strategy is patient to rise. If you are trading short, you can go long at 3325-3330 and leave at 3340-45. The same can be said if you want to solve the problem; Trade according to your trading preferences and risk tolerance.
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GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 3 July 2025Hello Traders,
Main event of is day NFP and all eyes on 3400 Psychological for now, right now market sustains around 3350 Psychological level for downward move GOLD still need to break 3324 level in order to go further down above 3324 LEVEL GOLD is still remains Bullish
Remember: It's NFP day
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
#XAUUSD: +2000 Swing Sell In Making! Get ReadyGold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx!
Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2# XAU/USD | Gold Market Outlook by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2h | July 2–3, 2025
---
## 🔍 Technical Overview:
| Timeframe | Structure | Efficiency | Context |
|-----------|-----------|------------|---------|
| 15min | Bullish ✅ | Efficient ✅ | Reverse H&S complete – price entering neckline zone |
| 30min | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | Clean BOS – ready for potential continuation |
| 2H | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | HL confirmed – clear bullish delivery range ahead |
---
## 🧠 Key Insights:
- **Left Shoulder - Head - Right Shoulder** clearly visible and now validated with neckline break
- Price is reacting from **last TLQ + ILQ zones** with MSU
- Strong **liquidity gap** above 3,380–3,405 likely to be targeted
- **Highs around 3,420–3,440** may act as liquidity magnet if clean break happens
- **BOS and CHoCH** confirmed across all LTFs — strong bullish intent
- Structure remains **bullish** as long as 3,312–3,320 HL holds
---
## 🎯 Price Zones to Watch:
| Zone | Action |
|--------------|----------------|
| 3,335–3,340 | OB Flip Support / Demand (Retest Possible) |
| 3,368–3,375 | Reaction Zone / Short-Term Take Profit |
| 3,404–3,420 | Major Liquidity Above / SH Grab |
| 3,428–3,440+ | Stop-Hunt Potential for Final Exit |
---
## 📌 Trade Scenarios:
### 🟢 Long Setup
- **Entry:** 3,340–3,348 (OB retest or continuation)
- **SL:** below 3,328
- **TP1:** 3,375
- **TP2:** 3,400
- **TP3:** 3,420+
### 🔴 Caution for Short
Only valid if price shows **CHoCH + strong rejection** from above 3,420–3,440.
Otherwise, trend continuation is dominant.
---
## 🧭 Summary:
> Gold continues its bullish structure in all LTFs.
> Reverse H&S has broken neckline cleanly.
> Momentum + inefficiency zones above = clear drive to liquidity.
> Patience is key – reentry on OB retest = high R/R setup.
---
🖋️ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
*Smart Money | Liquidity Zones | Order Blocks | MSU/MSD Framework*
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe)
Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure.
Specifically:
- Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed.
- Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black).
- Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green).
🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4
Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas:
+ Target 1: 3324
+ Target 2: 3311
When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning.
📈 Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion.
H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone.
💼 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322
STOP LOSS: 3215
TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345
TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368
TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395
📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
XAUUSD:Go long
Gold continued to strengthen in the Asian session, mainly due to adverse signals from tariff talks, which spurred a sharp rebound in gold prices. At present in the 3340 near the shock, this position is a short - term small pressure, from the technical trend, is still a strong long arrangement, so I think continue to break up is inevitable. Above you can look at 3350 first, then 3368/3390.
My idea is to wait for a pullback after entering the long, at present, there is not much room for a pullback, and under the strong market, there are fewer opportunities, so you can consider the first 3336-40 direct layout of long orders. If there is a certain range of retracement to consider adding positions.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3336-40
TP:3349-54
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Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we saw gold reclaim the 200MA and push into the $3,352 resistance. Price remains supported above the $3,327 level, keeping the bullish structure intact for now.
As long as price holds above $3,327, bulls remain in control, and a breakout above $3,352 could open the path toward $3,364 and $3,383.
However, failure to hold above $3,327 may lead to another retest of $3,298, with deeper downside toward $3,270-$3,41 support zone if that level gives out.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400
Support:
$3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 2 July 2025Hello Traders,
Today all eyes on breakout of 3360-70 zone in order to GOLD go for further advance below this zone all eyes are remains on 3318 level if market successfully maintain 3330 level then will go down further towards 3300 Psychological Level after passing 3318
NFP main event of the day which is held by tomorrow
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
7/2 Trapped Orders from Yesterday Turned ProfitableGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday’s early-entry gold short position encountered some temporary drawdown, but thanks to flexible adjustments, the trade has now moved into profit overall.
Currently, the price is hovering near a key support area. Based on the 1H and 2H charts, there is still room for further downside. At this point, there are two strategic options:
Close the position to lock in current profits;
Hold the position and wait for further decline, keeping in mind that if support holds, the price may rebound back toward the 3350 level, introducing some risk.
You can decide whether to stay in the trade or exit, depending on your risk tolerance and trading plan.
#XAUUSD:First Buy, Then Sell Swing! Big Move In Making! Gold failed to decline further as previously predicted in our analysis. Instead, it continues to exhibit bullish sentiment. The current price trading in a critical region between 3350 and 3360, where significant resistance is observed. We anticipate that the price must pass through this region before it can clearly surpass the 3400 mark.
When this occurs, it is advisable to implement precise risk management strategies while trading gold due to its volatile nature. Additionally, the DXY index is experiencing a decline and currently trading at its all-time low since 1976. This development will likely have a substantial impact on the gold price.
We wish you the best of luck and ensure safe trading practices.
Kindly consider liking, commenting, and sharing this idea.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
#XAUUSD(GOLD)): 29/06/2025 Last Analysis Going Great!Gold has been moving nicely since our last analysis, which we posted. Currently, 750+ pips have been generated, and we expect further price drops. There are still two targets in place, as per our previous analysis. We anticipate a steady decline in the price. We recommend all of you to follow strict risk management. This is not a guaranteed analysis or view, but rather an overview/educational chart analysis.
If you want to support us, you can do the following:
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Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD 30MIN 📉 #XAUUSD 30m Sell Setup – Bearish Continuation Ahead
Gold is currently retracing after a strong drop, consolidating within a short-term Supply Zone. We anticipate a temporary bullish push toward the 3345–3350 premium area, where the broader bearish trend is expected to resume.
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3350 (Supply / OB Zone)
🎯 Targets: 3300 → 3260
❌ Stop Loss: Above 3358
⚠ Note: This is a short-term retracement, not a trend reversal.
We expect selling pressure to return once price taps into the 3350 Order Block, in line with the higher timeframe bearish structure.
#gold #XAUUSD #forexsignals #SmartMoney
Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Double Top Pattern
The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above.
After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern.
📉 Bearish Channel
The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270.
🎯 Target Projection
Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below.
🟠 Historical Support Areas
The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past.
📊 Outlook:
If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs.
🔧 Bias: Bearish
📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480
📍 Support: 3,207–3,220
📍 Target: 3,207.5
Below of last update of reverse head and shoulder post XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Instrument:** Gold / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
🔍 Market Context:
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
---
## 📌 Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
|
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
- 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk
- 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## ✅ Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** 🔴 bearish momentum
**Efficiency:** ✅ Clean
**Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook — July 1, 2025In the world of financial markets, few assets capture global attention like gold. A timeless store of value, gold continues to act as both a hedge against uncertainty and a battleground for technical traders seeking high-probability setups. As of today, gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $3328, a level that places it just beneath the most recent multi-month high at $3345. The recent surge in price is underpinned by both macroeconomic factors and bullish technical structure. However, as any seasoned trader knows, trends rarely move in straight lines — and gold is now approaching a technically sensitive juncture.
I. Gold’s Structural Landscape on the 4-Hour Chart
The four-hour chart reveals a textbook bullish trend. Beginning with a significant impulse from the $3194 base, gold has climbed steadily, printing higher highs and higher lows. The most recent break of structure (BOS) above $3312 confirmed the continuation of bullish intent, while the market remains firmly above key swing lows — signaling that the bullish regime has not yet been invalidated.
Price action shows clean, impulsive expansions followed by short consolidations, with buyers continuing to absorb supply at every retracement. Despite that strength, gold has now reached a potential exhaustion point, with the price reacting to overhead supply at $3345–3355, forming what could be an early-stage distribution zone.
Key Market Structure Developments:
BOS at $3312: confirms uptrend
No CHoCH (Change of Character) yet — no confirmed bearish reversal
Clean liquidity grab above $3345, followed by rejection — hinting at short-term profit-taking or internal bearish intent
II. The Fibonacci Grid: Retracement and Extension Zones
Applying Fibonacci retracement from the $3194 swing low to the $3345 high offers crucial levels of interest. The golden ratio at 61.8% ($3253) aligns perfectly with prior demand and a 4-hour bullish order block. Similarly, the 38.2% level at $3285 corresponds with a minor liquidity pool and potential reaccumulation base.
Fibonacci Level Price
23.6% $3308
38.2% $3285
50.0% $3269
61.8% $3253
78.6% $3228
On the extension side, should gold resume its rally beyond $3345, projected Fibonacci targets sit at $3372 (127.2%) and $3410 (161.8%), with both acting as measured projections for trend continuation.
III. Supply and Demand: Mapping Institutional Footprints
Institutional activity is best observed through unmitigated supply and demand zones — areas where large orders caused rapid price displacement. Gold currently trades between two such zones:
Demand Zone: $3250–$3260 — a sharp bullish rejection occurred here on the last visit, indicating strong buy-side interest and likely pending buy orders
Supply Zone: $3345–$3355 — where a sell-side liquidity grab recently occurred, followed by a strong rejection candle
These two zones bracket the market and serve as the highest probability areas for future reactions.
IV. The Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Framework
SMC theory revolves around observing the footprints of large market participants — often labeled “smart money.” In gold’s current structure, SMC tools provide a clearer roadmap than standard indicators.
Current Observations:
Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed at $3312 (bullish continuation)
Change of Character (CHoCH): Absent (bull trend intact)
Buy-Side Liquidity Grab: Above $3345 — trapped breakout buyers likely fuel for reversal
Sell-Side Liquidity Pool: Uncollected beneath $3280 — probable magnet for a liquidity sweep
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between $3260 and $3280 — price inefficiency offering high-probability reentry for smart money
Bullish Order Block (OB): At $3250–$3260 — final down candle before explosive up move, unmitigated
All these elements point to a high-probability pullback, rather than a full-blown reversal. Until structure is broken with a CHoCH, the base case remains bullish.
V. High-Probability Levels for 4-Hour-Based Opportunities
From this framework, we identify the following key price levels:
The highest-probability reaction is expected at $3250–$3260, where smart money is likely to re-engage if price retraces.
VI. Refinement on the 1-Hour Chart: Intraday Trade Setups
Zooming into the 1-hour chart allows us to fine-tune our execution strategy. Gold is consolidating just below $3330, forming what appears to be an ascending triangle — a common bullish continuation structure — but within the broader context of a possible short-term pullback.
Intraday Trade Idea #1 — High-Conviction Long
Entry: $3260
Stop-Loss: $3245
Take-Profit 1: $3308
Take-Profit 2: $3340
Risk–Reward: ~1:4
Rationale: Aligned with 4H demand, fair value gap, OB, and golden ratio retracement. Structure remains bullish.
Intraday Trade Idea #2 — Speculative Short (Low Conviction)
Entry: $3340–$3350
Stop-Loss: $3362
TP1: $3305
TP2: $3285
Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5
Rationale: Countertrend, only viable if bearish rejection candle forms. Not aligned with dominant 4H structure.
VII. The Golden Setup: Long from Demand + FVG Confluence
Among all technical configurations, the long setup at $3260 emerges as the most compelling. It is supported by:
An unmitigated bullish order block
A clear fair value gap
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Untouched sell-side liquidity below
Directional alignment with trend
Institutional demand pattern
This setup offers both superior risk-to-reward and a technical foundation that aligns with Smart Money’s modus operandi. It represents a low-risk, high-reward opportunity for traders who wait for price to re-enter the value zone and confirm with bullish order flow (e.g., a bullish engulfing or BOS on 15m).
VIII. Final Thoughts and Tactical Summary
As of July 1, 2025, the gold market reflects strong bullish momentum, albeit entering a corrective phase that should not be mistaken for reversal. While intraday volatility and range compression may tempt countertrend trades, the smartest play remains to wait for a discounted reentry into a zone of value.
Until structure shifts significantly, the dominant trading thesis remains: “Buy the dip into institutional zones”. Patience, not aggression, will separate the retail trader from the professional in today’s complex market structure.
Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean & Efficient Delivery
- **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed
- **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300–3315)
- **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
---
## 📌 Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
| Long | Above 3,303–3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 |
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
- 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk
- 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## ✅ Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** 🟢 Bullish
**Trend:** 📈 MSU
**Efficiency:** ✅ Clean
**Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
GOLD Breakout Done Let`s Buy It To Get Clear 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on 30 mins T.F , We have a very good bullish price action and we have a very good breakout with amazing bullish candle and now the price back to retest the breakout area , it`s my fav place to enter a buy trade and the price can move 200 Pips easy , i`m waiting for retest and good bullish price action to enter a buy trade .