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Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold has smashed through the psychological $3,900 barrier, reaffirming its dominance as the ultimate safe-haven asset. US government shutdown → drives defensive capital flow into gold. Fed expected to cut rates by 0.25bps → further strengthens gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Data gap due to the shutdown → traders now rely on private reports, adding uncertainty and keeping gold in the spotlight. 👉 With the USD under pressure, capital fleeing risky assets, and FOMO from buyers intensifying, gold is well-positioned to target the 3950–3990 zone in the short term. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Primary trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the ascending channel. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → CP Volume Zone, strong support for continuation. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest of old ATH breakout zone. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, possible false breakout/trap. Extended Target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Price may sweep liquidity above 3950 before pulling back → wait for confirmation price action. Avoid chasing highs – priority remains buying dips into key support zones. Keep position sizing moderate ahead of unexpected Fed comments or policy shocks. ✅ Summary Gold is in its “golden phase” of bullish momentum: political uncertainty + dovish Fed + safe-haven demand = BUY remains the core strategy. Preferred entries sit at 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with upside potential stretching toward 3950–3990. Short-term SELL setups only valid as liquidity traps near resistance. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups every session!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis: The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market. Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios: Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run. Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact. Technical Outlook: Support: $3,855 / $3,785 Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935 Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – LONDON FORECAST (06/10/2025)Gold is trading around 3,946, pushing strongly upward after breaking out of last week’s consolidation zone. Buyers are firmly in control, supported by momentum across all intraday timeframes. Price is now testing a critical resistance area near 3,949–3,952, aligning with the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1): The bullish trend continues strongly, with price maintaining distance above both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, showing clear market strength. • RSI is at ~79, indicating overbought conditions but not yet a confirmed reversal. • The daily structure remains intact unless price closes below 3,876. • Any dip into 3,920–3,910 may serve as a healthy pullback before continuation. 1H Chart (H1): Price action shows clean structure — after a Break of Structure (BOS) at 3,886, gold has rallied impulsively. • MACD histogram and signal lines remain strongly bullish. • RSI sits around 74, confirming strong buying momentum. • Nearest dynamic supports: 3,933, 3,925, and the 20 EMA at 3,918. • Key resistance: 3,949–3,952, where we may see a short-term reaction or rejection. 15M Chart (M15): Momentum remains bullish, but candles show early signs of exhaustion near resistance. • MACD histogram is flattening but still positive. • RSI is near 70, suggesting possible intraday correction before another push. • Structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain consistent. • Watch for a potential retest toward 3,933–3,931, which is the nearest Fibonacci 38.2% retracement from the last impulse. 5M Chart (M5): The short-term trend remains bullish with a sequence of micro higher highs and clean BOS confirmations. • Support levels to monitor: 3,940 → 3,933 → 3,925. • MACD shows deceleration, implying price may temporarily consolidate before the next leg. • Price above all EMAs (20 / 50 / 200) confirms strong buyer control. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone The latest impulse leg on the M15 chart, from 3,922 (swing low) to 3,949 (swing high), places the Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.618–0.65) between 3,933–3,930. ➡ Scenario A – Bullish Continuation: If gold retests this golden zone and finds support, expect renewed buying pressure with targets 3,949 → 3,960 → 3,972. ➡ Scenario B – Bearish Intraday Correction: Failure to hold 3,930 could trigger deeper retracement into 3,918–3,910, still within the larger bullish structure. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entries 🔹 Scalping (M5–M15, ≤ 60 pips SL): • Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation (hammer/engulfing) near 3,933–3,930 (Fib Golden Zone). 🎯 Targets: 3,945 → 3,949 → 3,960 🛑 SL: Below 3,925 (≈60 pips) • Sell Setup: Short only if price forms a double-top or bearish engulfing at 3,949–3,952 resistance. 🎯 Targets: 3,933 → 3,925 → 3,910 🛑 SL: Above 3,955 (≈55 pips) 🔸 Swing / Short-Term Intraday: • Buy: On retracement to 3,925–3,918, if price respects structure and holds the EMA support. 🎯 Targets: 3,949 → 3,972 → 3,985 🛑 SL: Below 3,910 • Sell: Only if a confirmed break and retest below 3,918, which could open room for 3,902–3,886. 🛑 SL: Above 3,926 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session No major UK or EU economic data during the morning session. However, upcoming US Fed speeches and ISM services data later today could create volatility in the NY session. • Hawkish Fed tone → bearish for gold (USD strength). • Dovish tone or weak ISM data → bullish for gold (USD weakness). DXY currently stable near 105.2, while yields show mild retracement — slightly supportive for gold intraday. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3,949 – 3,952 / 3,960 / 3,972 Support: 3,940 / 3,933 – 3,930 / 3,918 – 3,910 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend with price nearing overbought intraday conditions. A pullback into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (3,933–3,930) may offer the best high-probability buy opportunity toward 3,949–3,972, as long as the structure holds above 3,918. If sellers reject strongly at 3,949–3,952, expect short-term correction back to 3,933–3,925, providing new liquidity for the next bullish impulse.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAU/USD 06 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per previous intraday analysis whereby I mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, bearish pullback was insignificant relative to recent price action, therefore, I will not classify the bullish, I have however marked this in red. Price has continued bullish printing ATH's. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH, thereafter trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,949.670. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per my intraday analysis dated 02 October 2025 whereby I mentioned price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,895.500. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price to then trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting internal high priced at 3,949.670 Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Trend is Friend, Buy and Win [02.10.2025]Hello, Anfibo's here! We’ve been winning all week mainly with buy orders following the trend. That’s why the saying “trend is your friend” is so important. OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: OANDA:XAUUSD continues to print new ATHs, reaffirming the undeniable strength of the current bullish trend. Our buy zone around 3860 – 3870 yesterday has already delivered about 200 PIPS in profit, a clear validation of staying aligned with the dominant momentum. With global geopolitical tensions still unresolved, safe-haven flows remain strong, keeping demand for gold intact. Unless major negative news arises, gold is likely to continue conquering new highs in both the short and medium term. The strategy remains straightforward: favor the buy side over sell side until the trend structure is decisively broken. Technical Outlook Short-term trend: Strong bullish continuation on both H4 and Daily timeframes. Momentum: Healthy and sustainable, with steady higher highs and higher lows. SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES: 3855 - 3840 - 3834 - 3816 - 3800 RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES: 3890 - 3904 - 3918 - 4000 Trading Plan Today >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: around 3840 SL: 3830 TP: 3890 - 3915 - ATH >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 3920 - 2915 SL: 3930 TP: 3870 - 33840 Risk Management - Favor long trades in line with the prevailing trend; sell setups only for intraday scalps at key resistances. - Keep a Risk:Reward ratio ≥ 1:2. - Control position sizing and avoid overtrading during consolidation phases. - Stay alert to global news headlines, as unexpected geopolitical updates may trigger high volatility. TODAY IS YOUR DAY ;)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Gold FOMO Surge – 1000-Pip Buy Chance Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analyzing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A price surge storm is forming, promising exciting trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Uptrend Structure Technically, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 frame is indisputable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely overwhelming. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each surge, the price often takes a "rest" to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,905,169 zone, where the confluence between the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next surge. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Ignited If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel propelling the uptrend. 🔸 U.S. Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number 1 safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-interest-bearing asset. 🔸 "Thirst" for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to maintain its role as a safe haven. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 frame Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB zone to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favorable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows strongly into Gold The FOMO effect may stimulate an extended rally The combination of solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing you all an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders! Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, with futures hitting $3,908.9/oz. The rally is fueled by growing concerns over the US Government Shutdown and the near-certain expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October). Fundamentals & Outlook Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a stable bullish factor, delaying economic reports and attracting massive safe-haven capital. Rate Cut Certainty: The market considers a Fed rate cut almost guaranteed, providing strong support for non-yielding Gold. Technicals & Trading Strategy Weekly buying power is extremely strong. Gold is consolidating near $3900. The $3867 level is critical; if the price holds above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942 Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865 SL: $3857 TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915 BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827 SL: $3824 TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887 SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904 SL: $3912 TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864 SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944 SL: $3952 TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904 Will the US government tensions help Gold definitively breach the $3900 level next week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #InterestRates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged toward $3,924 before encountering resistance near the $3,950 zone, which aligns with an extended overbought condition on the short-term charts. Price remains supported by the ascending trendline from September lows, with immediate demand located around $3,878–$3,887. If bulls defend this support zone, a fresh rebound toward $3,942 → $3,950 resistance is likely. A rejection from the resistance zone could trigger consolidation or a pullback back toward the $3,878 support. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: Buy near $3,878–$3,887 (support zone retest) Stop Loss: $3,875 Take Profit 1: $3,942 Take Profit 2: $3,950 Risk/Reward: ~1 : 5.16 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains underpinned by Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing a 99% chance of a 25bps cut at the October meeting. The ongoing US government shutdown has delayed key macro data, intensifying safe-haven demand. Hawkish remarks from Dallas Fed’s Logan briefly supported the US Dollar, but the market consensus points toward further easing. Political uncertainty in Washington, combined with fragile labour market signals (ADP showing -32k jobs, ISM Services PMI down to 50), continues to support the bullish bias for gold. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,942 / $3,950 Support: $3,878 / $3,887 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains technically bullish above $3,878 support, with near-term upside toward $3,950 as long as Fed rate cut expectations dominate sentiment. Any decisive break below $3,875 would neutralize the bullish bias and open a correction toward $3,820. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
10/ 6: Sell High and Buy Low Within the 3893–3946 RangeGood morning everyone! Today is the traditional Chinese Mid-Autumn Festival, a day when families gather to enjoy mooncakes, admire the moon, and share the joy of family. This day symbolizes reunion. I also wish you all a happy family and everything goes well! Gold has broken through the psychological barrier of 3900. Congratulations to those who seized this opportunity! The price has now risen to around 3920. On the weekly chart, there is technically room for further gains. However, as prices rise, pullbacks are inevitable, making support crucial. Currently, based on the 1H chart, support is found near 3908, followed by 3900/3893, and finally 3886. For future trading, consider buying low and selling high around the 3893-3943 area. Maintain a good rhythm and pay close attention to the support levels mentioned above.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold buys above $3850Gold has been making some nice runs in the last two weeks as well as some clean pull backs which are signs of healthy trading. Because of this to be the case, I don't foresee Gold slowing down on the buying up. If we consider that the highest liquidity pair XAU/USD, and the job market in America is uncertain at best. I think Gold will continue to run up with multiple healthy pullbacks as investors take profits at key levels. With all that said, I think it is safe to take long positions on gold contingent on the price continues to trade within the regression channel (or above). The entry price would be $3850 with a tight stop loss at $3800
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by TAGS_Worldview
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - ASIA FORECAST - 06/10/2025Gold is trading around 3,886, holding just under the recent swing high (3,896–3,894) after a bullish continuation. The market is consolidating in a tight range while buyers defend support and await new catalysts. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1): • Strong bullish structure intact, with price above the 20 EMA (3,846) and 50 EMA (3,791). • RSI (78) → near overbought, suggesting limited upside unless momentum strengthens. • Daily candle shows slowing momentum; still bullish but vulnerable to retracement if 3,862 fails. 1H Chart (H1): • Price consolidating between 3,880–3,896 resistance and 3,862 support. • MACD is positive but flattening, showing buyers losing short-term strength. • Market structure: higher highs remain intact; 3,862 is the intraday key breakout/rejection zone. 15M Chart (M15): • Price rejected 3,889–3,896 zone twice, creating short-term equal highs. • A base is forming around 3,883–3,880. If broken, correction may extend toward 3,870. • RSI ~55 → neutral, but momentum fading on lower TFs. 5M Chart (M5): • Buyers defending 3,883, forming higher lows. • Resistance remains at 3,889–3,896. • Short-term indicators show mixed signals: MACD flattening, RSI ~58, suggesting potential breakout but risk of rejection if liquidity isn’t strong. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone From 3,843 low → 3,896 high, the golden retracement sits at 3,870–3,862. • If Asia session pulls back into this zone and holds, high probability for bullish continuation. • A clean break below 3,862 = shift in structure toward deeper retracement (3,843 → 3,820). ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entries (Not Scalping – Asia Focus) Bullish Setup: • Buy if price retests and holds 3,870–3,862 golden zone, target 3,889 → 3,896 → 3,910. • SL below 3,855 (50–55 pips). Bearish Setup: • Sell only if price rejects 3,889–3,896 zone again with bearish confirmation. • Target 3,870 → 3,862. • SL above 3,902 (60 pips). ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session • No major Asian data expected today. • Market will position for US ISM PMI & Fed speakers later → possible volatility in NY. • DXY remains firm near recent highs; if USD strengthens further, gold may face rejection under 3,896. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance: 3,889 – 3,896 / 3,910 • Support: 3,880 / 3,870 – 3,862 / 3,843 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish overall, consolidating below 3,896 resistance. The golden zone 3,870–3,862 is the key for continuation; if it holds, expect buyers to push back toward 3,896 → 3,910. However, repeated rejection under 3,896 could trigger a correction into 3,870 → 3,862.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Correction: Fed Warning vs. Massive Safe-Haven FlowsHello, traders! Gold pulled back to $3,845.78/oz after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan called for caution regarding further rate cuts. Fundamentals: Fed Warns, But the Buying Wave is Unstoppable The market stands at a crossroads: Downward Pressure: The caution signal from Fed's Logan. Upward Momentum: Government shutdown (increases instability, delays jobs report), weak private sector jobs data (down 32k), and SPDR Gold Trust ETF holdings rising to the highest level since 2022. Conclusion: Political instability and weak economic data continue to reinforce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Massive safe-haven capital is flowing into Gold. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold retreated to the FIBO 0.618 - 0.5 zone, indicating a healthy technical correction after the sharp rally. Priority remains Buy if the price holds above $3861. Be cautious of Stop Loss hunting. Resistance: $3870, $3884, $3894 Support: $3855, $3833, $3798 Trading Strategy (Tight SL): BUY SCALP: $3838 - $3836 / SL: $3832 / TP: $3846 - $3857 BUY ZONE: $3798 - $3796 / SL: $3788 / TP: $3816 - $3836 SELL ZONE: $3888 - $3890 / SL: $3898 / TP: $3870 - $3850 Do you think the Fed's warning is strong enough to reverse this trend? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #PhânTíchVàng #ETF
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Reversal Setup with Short-Term ?✅ Trade Setup Summary: Trade Type: Long (Buy) Entry: Around $3,860.17 Stop Loss: $3,850.01 Take Profit Levels: TP1: $3,870.32 (minor resistance) TP2: $3,872.93 (next significant resistance) TP3: $3,875.01 (potential breakout target) TP4 (Extended): $3,880.01 (final target zone) 🔍 Technical Observations: Reversal Pattern: After a steep drop, the price is showing signs of a bullish reversal with a series of higher lows. Support Level: The $3,850.01 area acted as a strong support zone. Bullish Momentum: Green candles dominating the recent session show buyers regaining control. Resistance Zones: Blue dotted lines indicate key resistance levels where price may face selling pressure. Risk-Reward Ratio: The current setup offers a favorable risk-reward, especially if price breaks $3,870. 📌 Conclusion: This is a bullish short-term trade setup in Gold, targeting a move toward the previous resistance levels after a recovery from the $3,850 support zone. Confirmation of bullish momentum above $3,870 could open the door for further upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Daily Plan: Gold Targets 7th Straight Weekly Gain📊 Market Context Gold holds firm above $3,850, aiming for its 7th consecutive weekly gain. 🔥 Main driver: Risks from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown. 📉 54% probability of the shutdown lasting 29 days (Polymarket) → directly impacting gold sentiment. 🛡️ Safe-haven demand & BUY-side FOMO keep fueling momentum. ⚖️ Still, profit-taking at higher resistance zones could trigger sharp swings before the next directional move. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) 📈 Main trend: Bullish, but consolidating near 3,850. 🚧 Key Resistances: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936 (Liquidity Sell Zones). 🏦 Key Supports: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754 (Buy Zones). 🎯 Key Levels: 3850 – 3880 – 3900. 📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan ✅ SELL ZONE 1: 3882–3884 SL: 3890 TP: 3878 – 3874 – 3870 – 3865 – 3860 – 3850 – 3840 – ??? ✅ SELL ZONE 2: 3934–3936 SL: 3940 TP: 3930 – 3925 – 3920 – 3910 – 3900 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3797–3795 SL: 3790 TP: 3800 – 3810 – 3820 – 3830 – 3840 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3756–3754 SL: 3750 TP: 3760 – 3770 – 3780 – 3790 – 3800 – ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes 🌀 U.S. shutdown headlines may spark unexpected volatility. 🕵️‍♂️ Focus on BUY setups at support, avoid chasing FOMO at highs. ❌ Consider SELL only if clear rejection signals form at resistance zones. ✅ Summary Gold remains supported by safe-haven flows, eyeing a 7-week winning streak. 🎯 Strategy: BUY setups: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754. SELL setups: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD 03 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per previous intraday analysis whereby I mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established internal range Intraday Expectation: Price continue bearish, down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,897.130. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 02 October 2025. As per previous intraday expectation, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation . Price is now trading within an established internal range Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,895.500. Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK