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XAUUSD | Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: Where is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below. 1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂 Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" points (Break of Structure). Every time Gold breaks a previous peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the uptrend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely dominant and shows no signs of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave." 2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐 To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is crucial. Based on the chart, we have 2 notable potential buying zones: Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level where prices tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone. Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave. 3. Conquest Target - What's Gold's Next Destination? 🎯 Once we have a buying position, where will our target be? Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits. Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is a critical "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders from the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves. Summary & Advice Main trend: UP. Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to key support zones. Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG). Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target). Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for every trade. WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN? Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your thoughts and perspectives in the comments below. Let's discuss together to find the best opportunities! 👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analysis!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
4
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – LONDON FORECAST (07/10/2025)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 3,955, retracing slightly after reaching 3,977, its highest level since early summer. The metal remains in a strong bullish trend, but momentum indicators suggest temporary exhaustion as price retests the key intraday support zone around 3,952–3,946. London session opens with early downside pressure and potential short-term retracement before buyers attempt to re-enter. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1): • Bullish structure remains intact; price is well above both 20 EMA (3,909) and 50 EMA (3,837). • RSI at 78 indicates overbought territory, suggesting limited upside without a pullback. • Parabolic SAR remains below price, confirming overall bullish bias. • A daily close below 3,938 would indicate cooling momentum; otherwise, the trend remains long-biased. 1H Chart (H1): • Clear ascending channel structure; price recently rejected from the upper boundary near 3,977. • 20 EMA (3,956) and 50 EMA (3,946) provide immediate dynamic support. • MACD shows weakening histogram and potential bearish cross; RSI declining from 73 → 59, confirming short-term exhaustion. • A clean break below 3,946 could extend correction toward 3,927–3,918 liquidity zone. 15M Chart (M15): • Short-term BOS (Break of Structure) occurred below 3,960, confirming minor bearish shift. • Price currently testing 200 EMA (3,955) with a possible retest of 3,946 support. • RSI hovering near 48, neutral but leaning bearish. • MACD below zero line — momentum currently favors intraday sellers unless 3,962 is reclaimed. 5M Chart (M5): • Price is bouncing around the lower intraday trendline, showing weak attempts by bulls to defend 3,954–3,952. • MACD negative; histogram red but flattening. • RSI near 35–40, indicating possible short-term relief bounce but no reversal confirmation yet. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Intraday Focus) Measured from 3,927 swing low → 3,977 swing high • 38.2% Fib: 3,958 • 50% Fib: 3,952 • 61.8% Fib: 3,946 ➡ The Fibonacci Golden Zone = 3,958–3,946, aligning perfectly with today’s intraday support area. If bulls hold this zone, London could see a buy reaction toward 3,965–3,972, otherwise break below 3,946 confirms deeper pullback to 3,927–3,918. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entries Scalping (M5–M15, ≤60 pips SL): • Buy Setup: If bullish confirmation appears within 3,952–3,946 (Golden Zone). 🎯 Targets → 3,965 → 3,972 → 3,977 🛑 SL below 3,940 (≈55 pips) • Sell Setup: If price breaks and retests below 3,946. 🎯 Targets → 3,935 → 3,927 → 3,918 🛑 SL above 3,955 (≈60 pips) Intraday/Swing Opportunities (H1): • Buy: Only after rejection or engulfing confirmation from 3,946–3,952 with targets 3,972–3,985. • Sell: If hourly candle closes below 3,940, target 3,925–3,902. ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session • No major UK or EU economic releases this morning. • Focus on US Fed speakers and ISM Services PMI revisions later in the day. • DXY is hovering near 105.00, showing minor strength which could limit gold’s upside temporarily. • Treasury yields remain steady, keeping volatility moderate until the NY session. Overall sentiment: Neutral-to-slightly bearish in early London, with buying interest expected lower near the Fibonacci zone. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3,962 – 3,972 / 3,977 / 3,985 Support: 3,958 / 3,952 – 3,946 / 3,927 – 3,918 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong bullish trend, but London opens with short-term profit-taking. The Fibonacci Golden Zone (3,958–3,946) is key — holding this area will likely trigger a bullish rebound toward 3,972–3,977, while a decisive break below 3,946 could accelerate a correction to 3,927–3,918 before any new rally forms. Bias for London session: Buy dips if 3,946 holds, cautious sells if 3,940 breaks.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
The most accurate analysis on the entire network do you follow As the US government shutdown continues, many central banks continue to increase their gold holdings. Coupled with Trump's new tariffs and geopolitical implications, the market continues to release bullish signals, contributing to a pattern of gold prices hitting new highs. Yesterday, gold in the US market tested the resistance of 3960-3970 as expected and then fell back to around 3945. Those brothers who followed the trading strategy and went short must have made good profits. As time goes by and the price of gold continues to rise, the short-term lows are also moving higher. Gold continued to rise in the Asian session today, reaching a high of around 3977 before falling back. In the short term, pay attention to the support level below 3955-3940. If it falls back for the first time during the day, you can consider going long on gold. In addition, observing previous gold price trends, we can see that every time gold breaks through a new high, it will experience a pullback of approximately $70-80 to accumulate momentum after hitting channel resistance. According to this trend pattern, combined with the rising channel of our chart, we can find that the next suppression point is at 3985-4000. Overall, gold remains bullish in the medium to long term, but may experience short-term technical adjustments. The core trading strategy remains primarily long gold, supplemented by short positions. If the price falls back to the 3955-3940 range for the first time during the day, you can consider buying gold in batches according to the strength of the pullback, with the target at 3985-4000. After the resistance level is reached and under pressure, you can consider shorting gold appropriately based on the market trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
ANFIBO | XAUUSD Weekly Plan [10.6 - 10.10.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo is here! XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: Gold’s bullish trend remains extremely clear, reflecting the market’s strong confidence in this safe-haven asset amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. The continuous series of new ATHs highlights that buyers are firmly in control of the market. However, from a technical perspective, the $4,000/oz level stands out as a significant psychological round-number resistance. This zone also coincides with the Monthly Fibonacci extension target, making it highly likely that profit-taking will emerge once price approaches this level. Any reaction here will largely depend on external factors and key news events, which must be closely monitored. Technical Outlook: Primary Trend: Strong bullish momentum on both Daily and Monthly timeframes. Momentum: Still positive, though $4,000 may trigger short-term corrections. > SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3800- 3787 - 3750 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703 > RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3825 - 3835 - 3865 - 3880 Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: (1) ENTRY: 3969 - 3973 SL: 3976 TP: 3900 - 3890 (2) ENTRY: 3995 - 4005 SL: 4010 TP: 3900 - 3800 - ... >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 3885 - 3900 SL: 3880 TP: 3940 - 3970 - 3995 - ... Risk Management: - Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2. - Manage position sizing carefully; avoid overtrading at psychological highs. - Monitor U.S. economic data and geopolitical news closely, as these could act as catalysts for corrective moves. Conclusion: Gold remains in a powerful bullish cycle with no signs of cooling down yet. However, the $4,000/oz mark is a critical psychological and technical barrier where corrective pullbacks are likely to occur. Traders should continue to favor long setups but remain vigilant around this zone, closely observing price reactions to refine their strategies. WISH EVERYONE A PROFITABLE NEW WEEK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
2
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) just had a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after breaching the $3900 barrier. This strength is underpinned by two major monetary policy factors: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new Prime Minister. Fundamentals & Technical Caution Dual Drivers: The market anticipates two more Fed rate cuts this year, which, combined with the BoJ's dovish outlook, creates a strong foundation for Gold. Safe-Haven: The ongoing US Shutdown and geopolitical tensions maintain demand for Gold as a safe haven. FOMO Warning: The upward momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high (FOMO). Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to ensure safer entries. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3954, $3963 Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908 SL: $3904 TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958 BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893 SL: $3885 TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966 SL: $3974 TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916 Are you ready to capitalize on this new momentum? Share your view below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #RateCuts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong upward momentum, currently trading around $3,974 after printing fresh all-time highs above the $3,950 threshold. On the intraday chart, price action remains within an ascending channel, with immediate support at $3,955–$3,959 (support zone + trendline confluence). If this area holds, bulls may attempt another push toward the $3,990–$3,995 resistance zone, where profit-taking could emerge. Momentum indicators remain in overbought territory, suggesting the potential for short-term pullbacks before the next leg higher. Failure to defend the $3,955 level could open the door toward $3,930–$3,920, but the broader uptrend structure remains intact as long as price holds above $3,900. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry (Buy): $3,955 – $3,959 (support zone / channel bottom retest) Stop Loss: $3,953 Take Profit 1: $3,990 Take Profit 2: $3,995 – $4,000 (psychological level) Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1 : 5.78 🌍 Macro Background Gold’s rally is fuelled by political turmoil and safe-haven demand. Japan’s LDP leadership change, France’s government instability, and the ongoing US government shutdown have amplified market uncertainty. Additionally, comments from Fed officials highlight policy caution, with traders still pricing in a 94% probability of an October Fed rate cut. The Dollar has weakened despite risk aversion, as markets increasingly expect Fed easing to counteract slowing growth and labour market risks. In such an environment, gold remains well-supported, especially with investors hedging against heightened political risk. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,990 – $3,995, $4,000 (psychological level) Support: $3,955 – $3,959 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, but intraday charts show potential for pullbacks toward support before buyers step back in. A buy-on-dip strategy near $3,955 looks attractive with upside targets at $3,990 and $4,000. Macro uncertainty continues to favour safe-haven flows into gold, keeping dips well-bid. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – ASIA FORECAST (07/10/2025)Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 3,961, consolidating after reaching the weekly high at 3,970. The market remains firmly bullish, but momentum has started to slow near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The Asian session opens with mixed sentiment — traders are monitoring whether gold will break above 3,970 for continuation or correct toward 3,950–3,940 to gather liquidity. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1): • The uptrend remains dominant, supported by the 20 EMA and 50 EMA — both widely separated, indicating sustained bullish strength. • RSI is hovering near 80, confirming overbought conditions but not yet reversing. • Parabolic SAR remains below price, showing the trend is still intact. • A close below 3,938 would be the first early sign of cooling momentum; above 3,970, bulls remain in full control. 1H Chart (H1): • The structure shows consistent higher highs and higher lows since 3,820. • Price is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel (3,968–3,972). • MACD remains positive, but histogram bars are flattening — signaling potential consolidation. • RSI at 70–72 confirms mild exhaustion, suggesting limited upside before a pullback. • The 20 EMA (3,951) and 50 EMA (3,938) are the nearest dynamic supports. 15M Chart (M15): • Price action shows tightening range structure with a sequence of short-term BOS (breaks of structure) between 3,956–3,962. • MACD histogram decreasing, indicating reduced bullish pressure. • RSI around 65–68 supports potential short-term retracement. • Immediate support seen at 3,954, with deeper liquidity sitting at 3,944–3,940, which aligns with the Fibonacci zone. 5M Chart (M5): • The short-term intraday momentum is slowing after repeated rejections around 3,962–3,964. • Minor bearish divergence spotted between price and RSI, hinting at a temporary pullback. • The nearest micro-support zones are 3,956, 3,952, and 3,944. • Short-term structure remains bullish unless 3,940 breaks decisively. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Intraday Focus) From 3,922 swing low → 3,970 swing high • 38.2% Fib: 3,952 • 50% Fib: 3,946 • 61.8% Fib: 3,940 ➡ This defines the Golden Zone between 3,952 – 3,940, ideal for bullish re-entries if price retraces during Asia. If price bounces from this zone with confirmation, we could see renewed upside toward 3,968 → 3,975 → 3,985. If the zone fails and 3,940 breaks, deeper correction may follow into 3,925–3,918. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entries Buy Setup: Wait for rejection or bullish confirmation in 3,952–3,940 (Golden Zone). 🎯 Targets: 3,962 → 3,970 → 3,975 🛑 SL: Below 3,935 (≈60 pips) Sell Setup: Short only on clear rejection from 3,968–3,972 resistance zone (double-top / bearish engulfing confirmation). 🎯 Targets: 3,954 → 3,946 → 3,940 🛑 SL: Above 3,975 (≈55 pips) Intraday / Swing Plays (H1–H4): • Buy: If 3,940–3,946 holds on retest, looking for continuation toward 3,985–4,000. • Sell: Break and close below 3,938 opens downside toward 3,918–3,902. ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – Asia Session No major Asian macroeconomic events expected early in the session. However, traders should monitor: • China’s market sentiment (risk appetite or yuan strength often influences gold demand). • Upcoming US data later in the day: Federal Reserve members speaking and trade balance data could affect USD volatility. • US Dollar Index (DXY) remains steady around 105.10, showing no major pressure, giving gold space to range or slightly extend gains. Overall tone remains risk-neutral for the session. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3,962 – 3,970 / 3,975 / 3,985 Support: 3,952 / 3,946 – 3,940 / 3,925 – 3,918 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains in a bullish structure but is losing short-term momentum near the top of the channel. A retracement into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (3,952–3,940) may offer the best high-probability buy setup for continuation toward 3,970–3,985. If sellers push below 3,940, expect an intraday correction into 3,925–3,918, where fresh liquidity could form for the next bullish leg. The bias for the Asia session remains bullish but cautious, awaiting reaction near 3,952–3,940 for confirmation. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 06/10/2025 🥇 📊 GOLD TRADES RECAP ✅ BUY +110 pips ✅ SELL +110 pips ✅ BUY +110 pips ✅ SELL +60 pips ✅ BUY LIMIT +150 pips 💰 TOTAL PIPS WON: +540 pips 🎯 RESULT: 5 Wins | 0 SL 📈 ACCURACY: 100 % 🔥 Flawless start to the week! Strong setups, perfect execution, and consistent profits. 👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀 FOLLOW US IN YOUTUBE FOR FREE DAILY FORECAST.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
“Gold Price Action: Bullish Momentum with Key Correction Zones Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) The chart shows a clear uptrend channel, supported by higher highs and higher lows. Price recently pulled back after testing the $3,915 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance. Multiple support zones are highlighted (around $3,760 and $3,700), which can provide strong buying opportunities on retracement. The structure suggests impulse–correction–impulse movement, aligning with bullish continuation patterns. Bullish Scenario If price holds above the $3,760–$3,780 support, continuation towards $3,915 (previous high) is expected. A breakout above $3,915–$3,920 will open the door for further upside, targeting $3,960–$3,980. Bearish Scenario If price breaks below the trendline support (~$3,760), deeper correction is possible toward $3,680–$3,640 (TP1 zone). That zone is mentioned on the chart as a strong re-entry point for long positions. ✅ Suitable Target (Bullish): Immediate Target: $3,915 (previous high) Extended Target: $3,960 – $3,980 ⚠️ Correction Target (Bearish Pullback): $3,680 – $3,640 (strong buy zone for re-entry)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold has smashed through the psychological $3,900 barrier, reaffirming its dominance as the ultimate safe-haven asset. US government shutdown → drives defensive capital flow into gold. Fed expected to cut rates by 0.25bps → further strengthens gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Data gap due to the shutdown → traders now rely on private reports, adding uncertainty and keeping gold in the spotlight. 👉 With the USD under pressure, capital fleeing risky assets, and FOMO from buyers intensifying, gold is well-positioned to target the 3950–3990 zone in the short term. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Primary trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the ascending channel. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → CP Volume Zone, strong support for continuation. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest of old ATH breakout zone. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, possible false breakout/trap. Extended Target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Price may sweep liquidity above 3950 before pulling back → wait for confirmation price action. Avoid chasing highs – priority remains buying dips into key support zones. Keep position sizing moderate ahead of unexpected Fed comments or policy shocks. ✅ Summary Gold is in its “golden phase” of bullish momentum: political uncertainty + dovish Fed + safe-haven demand = BUY remains the core strategy. Preferred entries sit at 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with upside potential stretching toward 3950–3990. Short-term SELL setups only valid as liquidity traps near resistance. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups every session!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis: The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market. Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios: Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run. Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact. Technical Outlook: Support: $3,855 / $3,785 Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935 Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – LONDON FORECAST (06/10/2025)Gold is trading around 3,946, pushing strongly upward after breaking out of last week’s consolidation zone. Buyers are firmly in control, supported by momentum across all intraday timeframes. Price is now testing a critical resistance area near 3,949–3,952, aligning with the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Chart (D1): The bullish trend continues strongly, with price maintaining distance above both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, showing clear market strength. • RSI is at ~79, indicating overbought conditions but not yet a confirmed reversal. • The daily structure remains intact unless price closes below 3,876. • Any dip into 3,920–3,910 may serve as a healthy pullback before continuation. 1H Chart (H1): Price action shows clean structure — after a Break of Structure (BOS) at 3,886, gold has rallied impulsively. • MACD histogram and signal lines remain strongly bullish. • RSI sits around 74, confirming strong buying momentum. • Nearest dynamic supports: 3,933, 3,925, and the 20 EMA at 3,918. • Key resistance: 3,949–3,952, where we may see a short-term reaction or rejection. 15M Chart (M15): Momentum remains bullish, but candles show early signs of exhaustion near resistance. • MACD histogram is flattening but still positive. • RSI is near 70, suggesting possible intraday correction before another push. • Structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain consistent. • Watch for a potential retest toward 3,933–3,931, which is the nearest Fibonacci 38.2% retracement from the last impulse. 5M Chart (M5): The short-term trend remains bullish with a sequence of micro higher highs and clean BOS confirmations. • Support levels to monitor: 3,940 → 3,933 → 3,925. • MACD shows deceleration, implying price may temporarily consolidate before the next leg. • Price above all EMAs (20 / 50 / 200) confirms strong buyer control. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone The latest impulse leg on the M15 chart, from 3,922 (swing low) to 3,949 (swing high), places the Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.618–0.65) between 3,933–3,930. ➡ Scenario A – Bullish Continuation: If gold retests this golden zone and finds support, expect renewed buying pressure with targets 3,949 → 3,960 → 3,972. ➡ Scenario B – Bearish Intraday Correction: Failure to hold 3,930 could trigger deeper retracement into 3,918–3,910, still within the larger bullish structure. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entries 🔹 Scalping (M5–M15, ≤ 60 pips SL): • Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation (hammer/engulfing) near 3,933–3,930 (Fib Golden Zone). 🎯 Targets: 3,945 → 3,949 → 3,960 🛑 SL: Below 3,925 (≈60 pips) • Sell Setup: Short only if price forms a double-top or bearish engulfing at 3,949–3,952 resistance. 🎯 Targets: 3,933 → 3,925 → 3,910 🛑 SL: Above 3,955 (≈55 pips) 🔸 Swing / Short-Term Intraday: • Buy: On retracement to 3,925–3,918, if price respects structure and holds the EMA support. 🎯 Targets: 3,949 → 3,972 → 3,985 🛑 SL: Below 3,910 • Sell: Only if a confirmed break and retest below 3,918, which could open room for 3,902–3,886. 🛑 SL: Above 3,926 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session No major UK or EU economic data during the morning session. However, upcoming US Fed speeches and ISM services data later today could create volatility in the NY session. • Hawkish Fed tone → bearish for gold (USD strength). • Dovish tone or weak ISM data → bullish for gold (USD weakness). DXY currently stable near 105.2, while yields show mild retracement — slightly supportive for gold intraday. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3,949 – 3,952 / 3,960 / 3,972 Support: 3,940 / 3,933 – 3,930 / 3,918 – 3,910 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend with price nearing overbought intraday conditions. A pullback into the Fibonacci Golden Zone (3,933–3,930) may offer the best high-probability buy opportunity toward 3,949–3,972, as long as the structure holds above 3,918. If sellers reject strongly at 3,949–3,952, expect short-term correction back to 3,933–3,925, providing new liquidity for the next bullish impulse.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAU/USD 06 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per previous intraday analysis whereby I mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, bearish pullback was insignificant relative to recent price action, therefore, I will not classify the bullish, I have however marked this in red. Price has continued bullish printing ATH's. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH, thereafter trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,949.670. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per my intraday analysis dated 02 October 2025 whereby I mentioned price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,895.500. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price to then trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting internal high priced at 3,949.670 Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Trend is Friend, Buy and Win [02.10.2025]Hello, Anfibo's here! We’ve been winning all week mainly with buy orders following the trend. That’s why the saying “trend is your friend” is so important. OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: OANDA:XAUUSD continues to print new ATHs, reaffirming the undeniable strength of the current bullish trend. Our buy zone around 3860 – 3870 yesterday has already delivered about 200 PIPS in profit, a clear validation of staying aligned with the dominant momentum. With global geopolitical tensions still unresolved, safe-haven flows remain strong, keeping demand for gold intact. Unless major negative news arises, gold is likely to continue conquering new highs in both the short and medium term. The strategy remains straightforward: favor the buy side over sell side until the trend structure is decisively broken. Technical Outlook Short-term trend: Strong bullish continuation on both H4 and Daily timeframes. Momentum: Healthy and sustainable, with steady higher highs and higher lows. SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES: 3855 - 3840 - 3834 - 3816 - 3800 RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES: 3890 - 3904 - 3918 - 4000 Trading Plan Today >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: around 3840 SL: 3830 TP: 3890 - 3915 - ATH >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 3920 - 2915 SL: 3930 TP: 3870 - 33840 Risk Management - Favor long trades in line with the prevailing trend; sell setups only for intraday scalps at key resistances. - Keep a Risk:Reward ratio ≥ 1:2. - Control position sizing and avoid overtrading during consolidation phases. - Stay alert to global news headlines, as unexpected geopolitical updates may trigger high volatility. TODAY IS YOUR DAY ;)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Gold FOMO Surge – 1000-Pip Buy Chance Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analyzing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A price surge storm is forming, promising exciting trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Uptrend Structure Technically, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 frame is indisputable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely overwhelming. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each surge, the price often takes a "rest" to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,905,169 zone, where the confluence between the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next surge. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Ignited If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel propelling the uptrend. 🔸 U.S. Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number 1 safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-interest-bearing asset. 🔸 "Thirst" for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to maintain its role as a safe haven. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 frame Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB zone to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favorable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows strongly into Gold The FOMO effect may stimulate an extended rally The combination of solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing you all an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders! Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, with futures hitting $3,908.9/oz. The rally is fueled by growing concerns over the US Government Shutdown and the near-certain expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October). Fundamentals & Outlook Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a stable bullish factor, delaying economic reports and attracting massive safe-haven capital. Rate Cut Certainty: The market considers a Fed rate cut almost guaranteed, providing strong support for non-yielding Gold. Technicals & Trading Strategy Weekly buying power is extremely strong. Gold is consolidating near $3900. The $3867 level is critical; if the price holds above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942 Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865 SL: $3857 TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915 BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827 SL: $3824 TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887 SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904 SL: $3912 TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864 SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944 SL: $3952 TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904 Will the US government tensions help Gold definitively breach the $3900 level next week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #InterestRates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged toward $3,924 before encountering resistance near the $3,950 zone, which aligns with an extended overbought condition on the short-term charts. Price remains supported by the ascending trendline from September lows, with immediate demand located around $3,878–$3,887. If bulls defend this support zone, a fresh rebound toward $3,942 → $3,950 resistance is likely. A rejection from the resistance zone could trigger consolidation or a pullback back toward the $3,878 support. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: Buy near $3,878–$3,887 (support zone retest) Stop Loss: $3,875 Take Profit 1: $3,942 Take Profit 2: $3,950 Risk/Reward: ~1 : 5.16 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains underpinned by Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing a 99% chance of a 25bps cut at the October meeting. The ongoing US government shutdown has delayed key macro data, intensifying safe-haven demand. Hawkish remarks from Dallas Fed’s Logan briefly supported the US Dollar, but the market consensus points toward further easing. Political uncertainty in Washington, combined with fragile labour market signals (ADP showing -32k jobs, ISM Services PMI down to 50), continues to support the bullish bias for gold. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,942 / $3,950 Support: $3,878 / $3,887 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains technically bullish above $3,878 support, with near-term upside toward $3,950 as long as Fed rate cut expectations dominate sentiment. Any decisive break below $3,875 would neutralize the bullish bias and open a correction toward $3,820. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
10/ 6: Sell High and Buy Low Within the 3893–3946 RangeGood morning everyone! Today is the traditional Chinese Mid-Autumn Festival, a day when families gather to enjoy mooncakes, admire the moon, and share the joy of family. This day symbolizes reunion. I also wish you all a happy family and everything goes well! Gold has broken through the psychological barrier of 3900. Congratulations to those who seized this opportunity! The price has now risen to around 3920. On the weekly chart, there is technically room for further gains. However, as prices rise, pullbacks are inevitable, making support crucial. Currently, based on the 1H chart, support is found near 3908, followed by 3900/3893, and finally 3886. For future trading, consider buying low and selling high around the 3893-3943 area. Maintain a good rhythm and pay close attention to the support levels mentioned above.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold buys above $3850Gold has been making some nice runs in the last two weeks as well as some clean pull backs which are signs of healthy trading. Because of this to be the case, I don't foresee Gold slowing down on the buying up. If we consider that the highest liquidity pair XAU/USD, and the job market in America is uncertain at best. I think Gold will continue to run up with multiple healthy pullbacks as investors take profits at key levels. With all that said, I think it is safe to take long positions on gold contingent on the price continues to trade within the regression channel (or above). The entry price would be $3850 with a tight stop loss at $3800
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by TAGS_Worldview