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XAU USD Last bullish leg ?Price has broken short-term bearish structure and moved above the moving-average channel with strong momentum, indicating a shift toward bullish control. The rising trendline is holding as support, confirming structural reversal. Fibonacci levels provide clear upside targets, with 38.2% at 4040–4050 as the first objective, followed by a constrained upper target near 4070, just below the 61.8% retracement and prior supply zone. As long as price holds above the breakout zone and trendline, continuation toward 4040–4070 remains the most probable outcome.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis – Short-Term Reversal from ?Technical Overview: Gold has recently rebounded from a High Demand Zone around the $3,900–$3,910 region, showing clear signs of buyer re-entry after a prolonged bearish correction. The candle structure suggests strong bullish intent, with higher lows forming and a potential continuation toward the next liquidity area. Key Observations: 🔹 High Demand Zone: Price reacted strongly here, indicating institutional buying pressure. 🔹 High Prop POI (Point of Interest): Served as a key accumulation level before the breakout. 🔹 SMC Trap: Indicates a prior liquidity grab, trapping late sellers before the move up. 🔹 Bullish Momentum Building: Consecutive bullish candles after rejection from the demand zone strengthen the reversal bias. Target Projection: 🎯 Immediate Target: $4,080 – $4,100 (aligned with local resistance and liquidity grab zone). 🛑 Support: $3,905 (must hold to maintain bullish structure). 💎 Extended Target (if momentum continues): $4,160 – $4,180 (previous major swing high zone). Summary: Gold is showing a short-term recovery phase within a broader bullish structure. A confirmed 4H close above $4,030 would likely propel price toward the $4,100 region, while a drop below $3,900 would invalidate the bullish setup. 📊 Suggested Title: "Gold Rebounds from Key Demand Zone, Eyes $4,100 Resistance 🔥"
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAU/USD 29 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.456. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Bullish Head & Shoulder [10.29.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's back! XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: OANDA:XAUUSD recently reached a new ATH near $4,400/oz, before undergoing a healthy correction back to the $3,890 support level following an exceptionally strong rally fueled by geopolitical tensions. After this retracement, gold is now consolidating around the $4,000 zone, showing signs of breaking above the descending trendline on the H1 timeframe — a signal that short-term bullish momentum may be reemerging. From a structural standpoint, this pullback appears to be part of a technical correction within an ongoing uptrend, not a trend reversal. Currently, the market is stabilizing and setting up for a potential new wave upward. I’m personally watching for a Head & Shoulders (H&S) formation to develop — this could offer optimal Buy and Sell opportunities depending on which neckline breaks first. I still believe gold is likely to revisit the $4,200 area soon , as long as the $3,890 support holds firm and global risk sentiment continues to favor safe-haven assets. Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 4135 - 4150 SL: 4165 TP: 4045 - 4010 - 4000 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 4000 - 4010 SL: 3990 TP: 4135 - 4150 - 4200 Risk Management: - Prioritize Buy setups following the higher-timeframe trend; Sell only for intraday scalps. - Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2. - Avoid entries during major geopolitical or economic announcements. - Monitor the Head & Shoulders pattern closely — confirmation will guide the next major move. Conclusion: Gold has completed a healthy correction after its parabolic surge to $4,400, and the market is now regrouping around the $4,000 zone, with early signs of renewed bullish momentum. As long as $3,890 remains intact, the broader trend remains bullish, and I expect a potential rebound toward $4,200 in the near term. Patience and precision are key here — waiting for the Head & Shoulders formation to confirm will provide the best entry signals for both sides of the market. Until then, the bias remains bullish with a short-term recovery underway. GOODLUCK, LOVE U GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Focus on the Federal Reserve, short once in 4020.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Last night, I gave everyone a trading strategy to short at 3975-3990. It can be said that there were several opportunities after the Asian session opened. As long as you followed the strategy and executed the short order, I believe you will definitely have a rich return if you seize any of the opportunities. However, please note that trading is never done blindly. Price trends change over time, so please combine strategies with flexible responses. For example, since the current gold price has broken through the trendline resistance, short-term traders should be more cautious. With the trend resistance broken, the short-term bulls have strengthened further. The first resistance level to watch is 4000-4005. As a psychological barrier for previous defense, gold prices will definitely test this resistance level first if they want to rise further. If this level is broken, gold will continue its upward trend and further test yesterday's rebound high of 4020. This is also the key level that bears need to defend today. Therefore, I believe we should not rush into trading in the short term. We can patiently observe the market performance. When the gold price rebounds to the 4010-4020 resistance range and encounters resistance, we can consider shorting gold appropriately.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
GOLD (XAU/USD): FED ALERT! IS THE BOTTOM IN?Hello TradingView Community! Gold is standing at a critical juncture. The convergence of the US Federal Reserve (FED) decision, US-China trade talks, and geopolitical risks is setting the stage for significant market movement. 1. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis (Macro): Geopolitics vs. Rate Cuts Bearish Headwinds: Positive developments in US-China trade discussions eased comprehensive trade war fears, causing safe-haven demand to drop and pushing Gold below the $3,900 mark. Strong Support Factors: The market is heavily anticipating the FED will cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its two-day meeting (scheduled for tonight/early tomorrow). Lower rates typically support Gold (a non-yielding asset). Escalating US-Russia geopolitical tensions (new sanctions, canceled meetings) and the ongoing US government shutdown highlight internal instability, providing a continuous underlying bid for the safe-haven metal. 2. 📈 Technical Analysis: Wave C Bottom and Rebound Targets Based on the Elliott Wave structure on your chart, the technical picture is sharp: Wave C Completion: The recent drop to $3,892.152 appears to have completed the 5-wave structure of the larger corrective Wave C. This suggests a strong possibility that a major bearish cycle has ended. LONG Target: If the rebound scenario holds, Gold is targeting the crucial Fibonacci resistance zone: $4,135 - $4,180. Key Levels to Watch: Confirmation Resistance: A decisive break above $4,042 will strongly confirm the upward momentum. Stop-Loss (SL): Risk management demands a strict stop-loss placed just below the Wave C low at $3,892.152. Conclusion: The combination of geopolitical support, FED rate cut expectations, and the technical signal of a potential Wave C bottom offers an attractive Risk/Reward setup for LONG (Buy) positions. All eyes are now on the FED announcement tonight/tomorrow morning! #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #ElliottWave #TradingView #MarketUpdate What are your thoughts? Are you going Long or Short into the FED event? 👇 Would you like me to draft a quick contingency plan for Gold in case the FED's statement is unexpectedly hawkish (less dovish than expected)?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Today's gold trading strategyLoose expectations are overpriced. The current market has already regarded a 25 basis point rate cut in October as "a done deal", and even anticipates a further rate cut in December (with a 91% probability). Under such extreme expectations, the previous gains in gold have overestimated the policy benefits. Once the Federal Reserve releases a cautious signal, it will trigger a "buy expectation, sell reality" correction. Internal divisions conceal hawkish risks. There are profound differences within the Federal Reserve regarding the subsequent policy path - Milan and others who are dovish support further easing to address employment risks, while Schmidt and others who are cautious emphasize that "the current policy is slightly tight and appropriate", and need to be vigilant about inflation fluctuations. Against the backdrop of government shutdown leading to data "vacuum", Powell is likely to retain policy flexibility and will not explicitly commit to a rate cut in December. This "vague hawkish" statement will directly suppress the gold price. Today's gold trading strategy sell：3980-3990 tp:3970-3960 sl:4000
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_Lewis1
GOLD (XAU/USD): FED ALERT! IS THE BOTTOM IN?Hello TradingView Community! Gold is standing at a critical juncture. The convergence of the US Federal Reserve (FED) decision, US-China trade talks, and geopolitical risks is setting the stage for significant market movement. 1. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis (Macro): Geopolitics vs. Rate Cuts Bearish Headwinds: Positive developments in US-China trade discussions eased comprehensive trade war fears, causing safe-haven demand to drop and pushing Gold below the $3,900 mark. Strong Support Factors: The market is heavily anticipating the FED will cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its two-day meeting (scheduled for tonight/early tomorrow). Lower rates typically support Gold (a non-yielding asset). Escalating US-Russia geopolitical tensions (new sanctions, canceled meetings) and the ongoing US government shutdown highlight internal instability, providing a continuous underlying bid for the safe-haven metal. 2. 📈 Technical Analysis: Wave C Bottom and Rebound Targets Based on the Elliott Wave structure on your chart, the technical picture is sharp: Wave C Completion: The recent drop to $3,892.152 appears to have completed the 5-wave structure of the larger corrective Wave C. This suggests a strong possibility that a major bearish cycle has ended. LONG Target: If the rebound scenario holds, Gold is targeting the crucial Fibonacci resistance zone: $4,135 - $4,180. Key Levels to Watch: Confirmation Resistance: A decisive break above $4,042 will strongly confirm the upward momentum. Stop-Loss (SL): Risk management demands a strict stop-loss placed just below the Wave C low at $3,892.152. Conclusion: The combination of geopolitical support, FED rate cut expectations, and the technical signal of a potential Wave C bottom offers an attractive Risk/Reward setup for LONG (Buy) positions. All eyes are now on the FED announcement tonight/tomorrow morning! #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #ElliottWave #TradingViewIndia #MarketUpdate What are your thoughts? Are you going Long or Short into the FED event? 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (29/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)1. Market Overview Gold recovered strongly from 3,918 lows, printing a clean bullish reversal overnight during Asia, now trading near 3,990–3,998. The market structure has shifted short-term bullish after a clear CHoCH and BOS, but price is testing heavy resistance at the psychological 4,000 level and the H1 supply zone (3,995–4,013). London session opens at a decisive point — momentum favors buyers, but a rejection at 4,000–4,013 could trigger a short-term pullback before continuation. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1): • Price bounced from 3,918 forming a bullish rejection candle. • RSI turning upward near 50, showing recovery strength. • Long-term uptrend intact above the 100 EMA (3,842) but short-term correction not complete. ✅ Bias: Neutral to bullish while above 3,918. 🔹 H1: • Market showing a confirmed CHoCH above 3,965 with bullish momentum candles. • Currently retesting the descending trendline and 200 EMA (4,000–4,013) zone. • RSI near 58, MACD histogram positive but slowing — possible short-term exhaustion. ⚠️ Bias: Bullish but watch for rejection at 4,000–4,013. 🔹 15M–5M: • Clear bullish wave with strong EMA alignment (8 > 20 > 50). • Structure forming higher highs and higher lows. • Minor divergence appearing near 3,998, indicating potential retracement to 3,965–3,955. 🎯 View: Buy pullbacks into key retracement zones. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Swing 3,918 → 3,998) • 38.2% = 3,972.6 • 50.0% = 3,958.6 • 61.8% = 3,945.0 🟩 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 3,958 – 3,945 Confluence: prior H1 resistance turned support + trendline retest zone. ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) • Buy Zone: 3,972 → 3,958 (Golden Zone) • Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M • Targets: 3,991 → 4,004 → 4,013 → 4,030 • Stop Loss: Below 3,945 • Notes: Structure remains bullish as long as 3,945 holds. 🟥 Bearish Rejection (Countertrend) • Sell Zone: 4,004 – 4,013 (H1 Supply + EMA Confluence) • Confirmation: Rejection candle / Bearish divergence • Targets: 3,974 → 3,959 → 3,945 • Stop Loss: Above 4,020 ⚡ Breakout Setup • Buy Breakout: Above 4,013 (retest holds) → Target 4,030 → 4,070 • Sell Breakout: Below 3,945 → Target 3,918 → 3,904 ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch • No major UK data early; focus remains on USD Index (DXY 106.2). • US 10-year yields stabilizing; if yields drop, gold could push above 4,000. • Market sentiment cautiously bullish ahead of mid-week U.S. news. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Type Levels (USD) Resistance 3,998 / 4,004 / 4,013 / 4,030 / 4,074 Support 3,972 / 3,958 / 3,945 / 3,918 Golden Zone 3,958 – 3,945 Break Buy Trigger > 4,013 Break Sell Trigger < 3,945 ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary Gold shows strong intraday bullish momentum but faces resistance at 4,000–4,013. If London retraces to 3,972–3,958, this area becomes the Golden Opportunity Zone for continuation buys. A breakout above 4,013 confirms trend reversal to 4,030–4,074. Failure to hold 3,945 will re-expose 3,918 lows. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary Main Bias: Bullish Secondary Bias: Short-term sell at 4,013 only if strong rejection Golden Zone (Buy): 3,958 – 3,945 Breaking Price: Above 4,013 for buys / Below 3,945 for sells London Outlook: Expect minor dip, then bullish continuation if support holds.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, reflecting cautious sentiment as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid fading U.S.–China trade tensions. Currently, price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating under the psychological $4,000 zone. 💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15) Gold continues to trade within a short-term ascending channel, forming a corrective recovery inside a broader downtrend. Immediate Support Zones: • 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone • 3,918 → Structural invalidation area Resistance & Key Reaction Levels: • 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term key resistance • 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence) 📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085 – 4,102, where strong selling pressure may reappear. 📍If the price rejects at 4,094 – 4,102, expect a corrective move back toward 3,961 – 3,937, aligning with the channel base and trendline retest. 🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead Markets expect the Fed to cut rates by another 25bps, following September’s “risk management” cut. However, if Powell’s tone turns hawkish, Gold could face renewed downside pressure as rate-cut expectations fade, particularly for December. Conversely, a cautious or dovish tone emphasizing inflation risks and slower growth could boost Gold above $4,100 in the short term. Meanwhile, easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China and the ongoing equity rally may continue to limit safe-haven demand. 🧭 Summary Gold is holding a short-term recovery bias, yet the medium-term trend remains fragile ahead of the FOMC. Expect volatility around the 4,000–4,100 zone, with the Fed statement likely to set the next major direction. 🛡️ Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity, and key reactions around $4,094–4,102 will reveal the next macro impulse.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks. The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD. However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish. The break below the $4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans. 📊 Technical Analysis Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame. Immediate resistance: $3,985 – $4,000 (former support, now supply zone). Target zones: • Short-term liquidity area near $3,925–$3,930 • Extended target sits around $3,880–$3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618. Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above $4,020–$4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the broken $4,000 zone and fails to regain it, expect sellers to extend control toward $3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting. That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside. ⚜️ Summary Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural. The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment, and liquidity below $3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound. Watch the reaction near $3,920–$3,880 — that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
StevenTrading – XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias StrategyStevenTrading – XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias Strategy | Anticipating Wave 5 and Trendline Retest at $3935 Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with a detailed analysis on Gold (XAUUSD). Gold is currently consolidating above the $3,950 level, awaiting fresh momentum from the upcoming FOMC interest rate decision. Structurally, the metal appears to be following the Elliott Wave 5-leg formation at this stage. The mid-term bias remains bullish, with a focus on entering around the trendline retest zone. 📰 1. MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW The Gold market remains largely driven by anticipation: Current Status: Gold is trading sideways above $3,950 as traders await clearer guidance on the Fed’s path towards potential rate cuts. Psychological Barrier: A decisive break above the $4,000 psychological threshold is required to confirm a sustainable bullish continuation. This outcome will depend entirely on the tone and decision from the FOMC meeting. 📊 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – ELLIOTT WAVE SCENARIO Based on the H1 timeframe (see chart reference image_fa2a75.png): Wave Structure: Gold appears to be consolidating after completing Waves 3 and 4. The next move could see the formation of Wave 5, potentially completing the current cycle or confirming a new uptrend. Ideal Buy Zone (High-Probability Area): The $3,935–3,937 range represents a key confluence area. It aligns with the trendline retest zone and provides solid structural support for initiating long positions. Short-Term Sell Zone: The nearest resistance lies at $4,058–4,060, where short-term scalping or hedge positions could be considered. 🎯 3. TRADING PLAN (ACTION STRATEGY) The primary focus remains on the Buy Continuation setup, aligned with the medium-term bullish correction. 🟢 Primary BUY Scenario Entry Zone: $3,935 – $3,937 Stop Loss: $3,929 (tight SL recommended) Take Profit: TP1: $3,955 | TP2: $3,978 | TP3: $3,995 | TP4: $4,022 | TP5: $4,055 🔴 SELL Scalping / Hedge Scenario Entry Zone: $4,058 – $4,060 Stop Loss: $4,066 Take Profit: TP1: $4,045 | TP2: $4,022 | TP3: $4,005 | TP4: $3,968 🧠 4. SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven’s Note) Gold stands at a critical juncture ahead of the FOMC announcement. The buy-side scenario remains dominant, but maintaining discipline and risk control is essential.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Today's gold trading strategyPolicy expectations of "pseudo-loosening" hard to support gold prices Although the market has priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in advance, this expectation has shown obvious signs of loosening. On the one hand, although the core PCE inflation in the US has declined, it still remains above the 2% target. The president of the Dallas Federal Reserve has explicitly stated that "a single rate cut does not represent the start of a loosening cycle", suggesting that the subsequent policy will adopt a wait-and-see attitude. On the other hand, this rate cut is more of a "preventive adjustment" to the economic resilience rather than an emergency measure to deal with a recession, and it cannot be compared with the intensity of the 2020 loosening cycle. More importantly, although the US dollar index has temporarily retreated to around 98.6, it still holds the support of the 50-day moving average. Once the Federal Reserve sends a signal of "pausing rate cuts", the US dollar is likely to resume its upward trend, exerting a secondary pressure on gold prices. Today's gold trading strategy sell：3970-3980 tp:3960-3950 sl:3990
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_Lewis1
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context After breaking the medium-term uptrend structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a clear sequence of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before heading up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into a Supply Zone . If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, it is highly likely that the price will extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD . 💎 Key Technical Structure Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structure change (ChoCH). Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance. Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical pullback zone. Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone Entry: 4,010 – 4,015 SL: 4,025 Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open ➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for London/NY session trading. 2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone Entry: 4,043 – 4,060 SL: 4,065 Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open ➡️ Main setup – retest of supply zone confluencing with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4. 3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD Entry: 3,945 – 3,950 SL: 3,965 TP: 3,884 ➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming downtrend continuation, targeting Premium Zone. 4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD Entry: 3,900 SL: 3,880 TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open ✅ Condition: Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1). ➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritize SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading mid-range. Reduce volume in scalp setup (Sell 1). If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated. 💬 Conclusion Gold remains under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone could act as strong support. The suitable strategy is to capitalize on the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom. 👉 Comprehensive Strategy: Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯 Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯 Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯 🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 28/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold price (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,965, with the upside capped at the $3,981–$3,990 resistance zone. The chart shows a recent rejection at resistance and sellers stepping in. Unless bulls break above $3,990, the bias remains bearish with a retest of $3,923–$3,915 support zone likely. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,81–$3,989 (near resistance) Stop Loss: $3,993 Take Profit: $3,930 / $3,915 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.53 🌐 Macro Background Gold is under renewed pressure as US–China trade optimism undermines safe-haven demand. U.S. President Trump said a trade deal with China could be finalized this week, which boosted market sentiment. As Kitco’s senior analyst Jim Wyckoff noted: “The U.S.-China trade tensions have really diminished, with a possible trade deal later this week after a summit meeting between Presidents Xi and Trump. That’s bearish for safe-haven metals.” 【FXStreet】 On the monetary policy side, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps, lowering the Fed Funds Rate to 3.75%–4.00%. CME’s FedWatch tool shows markets have priced in nearly a 100% probability of this move, with further easing expected in December. While this provides some support to gold, trade optimism currently outweighs Fed dovishness. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,981 – $3,990 Support: $3,923 – $3,915 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains capped below $3,990 and is at risk of further declines toward $3,930–$3,915. Short positions near resistance are favoured, unless Fed surprises with a deeper cut or US–China trade talks collapse, which could flip sentiment. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
1
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (29/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed the US session near 3,950 after rejecting from the descending trendline and the intraday 200EMA cap around 3,960–3,970. The current structure shows a corrective rebound inside a broader bearish leg, with D1 still pointing down but short-term exhaustion visible around 3,885–3,900. Asia opens with minor consolidation below resistance, setting the stage for either a continuation breakdown or a temporary pullback to 3,970–3,990 before sellers re-enter. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown Daily (D1) • Still in a clear corrective phase after failing to hold 4,100–4,140 resistance. • Price now hovering above the 100-day EMA at 3,842, which acts as medium-term support. • RSI at 47 – neutral but with downside pressure. Bias: Bearish while below 3,996; looking for retracement sell setups. ⸻ 1H Chart (H1) • Price rejected from descending trendline near 3,970–3,980. • Currently consolidating near 3,950, with structure forming a wedge under the 50EMA and 200EMA. • MACD histogram turning flat, RSI recovering from 27 → 45 range. Bias: Neutral-to-bearish; a rebound toward 3,970 may offer short opportunities. ⸻ 15M Chart (M15) • Micro bullish correction from 3,886 → 3,960, now forming lower highs. • Momentum fading near 200EMA (3,955–3,960). • RSI oscillating around 50; MACD decreasing – indicating loss of short-term momentum. View: Expect a liquidity sweep into 3,970–3,985, then potential sell reaction. ⸻ 5M Chart (M5) • Tight consolidation between 3,948–3,960; lower timeframe CHoCH visible. • EMA stack is compressing, hinting at volatility buildup. • A clean break below 3,945 could trigger a new push to 3,920/3,900. Short-Term View: Scalpers may watch for fake-out above 3,960 or breakout below 3,945. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 4,019 → 3,886) • 38.2% = 3,936 • 50% = 3,952 • 61.8% = 3,967 ✅ Golden Zone = 3,952 – 3,967 → current price zone (high confluence). ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 🟥 Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias) • Sell Zone: 3,952 – 3,970 (Fibonacci + 15M EMA confluence) • Trigger: Bearish engulfing or 5M structure break below 3,945 • 🎯 Targets: 3,925 → 3,905 → 3,886 → 3,860 • 🛑 SL: Above 3,975–3,980 ⸻ 🟩 Bullish Reversal (Countertrend) • Buy Zone: 3,910 – 3,920 (intraday demand) • Trigger: Clear 5M CHoCH + bullish engulfing • 🎯 Targets: 3,940 → 3,955 → 3,970 • 🛑 SL: Below 3,900 ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch • Asia session quiet — focus remains on USD and US yields after yesterday’s strong data. • DXY remains elevated near 106.20 → limits upside on gold. • Traders should anticipate low volatility early, followed by possible retracement during London buildup. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Type Levels (USD) Resistance 3,952 / 3,970 / 3,985 / 3,996 Support 3,930 / 3,910 / 3,886 / 3,860 Golden Zone 3,952 – 3,967 Break Sell Trigger <3,945 Reversal Trigger >3,970 ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary Gold remains trapped below major EMA resistance and inside a corrective wedge. The Golden Zone (3,952–3,967) aligns perfectly for fresh sell entries if momentum confirms. Unless bulls reclaim 3,980+, the probability favors continuation toward 3,910 → 3,886. Preferred Strategy: Sell retracement from 3,952–3,970 (with confirmation). If price breaks 3,945 → sell continuation. Avoid buys unless 3,970 breaks and holds. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary Primary Bias: Bearish Secondary Bias: Countertrend buy only from 3,910 support High-Probability Zone: 3,952 – 3,967 Breakout Confirmation: Sell below 3,945 Invalidation: Above 3,980 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 28/10/2025 💸 📊 Precision entries. Consistent gains. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟢 BUY LIMIT +45 PIPS 🟢 BUY +80 PIPS 🟢 BUY +30 PIPS 🟢 BUY +90 PIPS 🟢 BUY +110 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🟢 BUY +110 PIPS 📱 BTC BUY +600 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏆 GOLD TOTAL: +525 PIPS 🪙 BTCUSD BONUS: +600 PIPS 💰 TOTAL DAILY PROFIT: +1,125 PIPS 📊 8 Signals → 8 Wins | 0 SL 🎯 Accuracy: 100% ✅ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Flawless day! Every setup hit target with precision — GOLD and BTC both in perfect sync. 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Why am I bearish when the market is bullish?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD We have reminded everyone today that you can short gold in batches at key points, and now all short positions have been exited. When entering the market, it depends on the technology; when leaving the market, it depends on the mentality. Don’t be dominated by fear and greed. Profits belong to you only when you really get them in your hands. Otherwise, everything is just empty talk. Short-term bears should not continue to participate blindly. By observing the hourly line trend, we can find that this is a typical upward trend. Therefore, bulls may still have a certain rebound momentum in the short term. But it should also be noted that there is pressure from the golden section point of 38.2%, or 3975, and it is also close to the downward trend line. Therefore, for evening trading, I think we can continue to be patient and wait, observe the performance of 3975-3990, and then consider appropriately participating in shorting gold after there is obvious pressure but it is not broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction. The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill. Outlook: 📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term) 🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880 🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980 ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Faces Wave 5 Danger: Prepare for a Sharp Drop AheadAt yesterday’s opening, gold dropped sharply, breaking the bullish structure. Today, the decline continued, and the gap near 3887 was successfully filled before the price rebounded toward the 3975 resistance area. The strong resistance remains around 4000–4018. On the daily chart, the trend remains downward, with support at 3963 already broken. Although the price is now recovering, upside resistance remains dense. From a structural perspective, the movement now aligns with a five-wave decline pattern, and the market appears to be in wave 4’s rebound phase. Therefore, it’s crucial to monitor the resistance area closely — if the price fails to break and hold above it, be prepared for the onset of wave 5, which could drive prices down to around 3800. On the weekly chart, there is potential support near 3834, but keep in mind that wave 5 declines are often stronger and faster than wave 3, meaning this support could be broken. In summary, trade cautiously and make account safety your top priority.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang