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Currency Convertibility Issues in the Global Market1. What Is Currency Convertibility? Currency convertibility means the freedom to exchange one currency for another at market-determined exchange rates without government restrictions. Economists classify convertibility into three broad categories: 1. Current Account Convertibility This applies to trade-related payments—goods, services, remittances, tourism, and business transfers. It allows: Importers to pay in foreign currencies Exporters to convert foreign earnings into domestic currency Businesses to make cross-border payments easily Most countries, including India, have current account convertibility. 2. Capital Account Convertibility This involves conversion for investments, loans, equity markets, and financial assets. Examples include: A foreigner buying Indian stocks An Indian investor buying property abroad Companies borrowing in foreign currency Capital account convertibility is more sensitive because it can trigger sudden capital inflows or outflows, affecting exchange rates and economic stability. 3. Full Convertibility This means complete freedom for both trade and financial conversions with zero government restrictions. Fully open economies like the US, UK, Japan, and Eurozone operate with full convertibility. 2. Why Currency Convertibility Matters Currency convertibility shapes how a country participates in global markets. When a currency is easily convertible: Trade flows become smoother, reducing friction and delays. Foreign investors enter more confidently since they can exit anytime. Stock markets become globally integrated with international benchmarks. Borrowing becomes cheaper, especially for developing economies. Companies can hedge currency risks efficiently through forwards, futures, and swaps. However, increased convertibility also increases vulnerability. A country with weak financial supervision or low forex reserves may face: Rapid speculative attacks Sharp currency depreciation Loss of monetary control Economic instability Thus, convertibility is a double-edged sword. 3. Global Convertibility Issues: Why Some Currencies Struggle A. Exchange Rate Volatility In fully convertible markets, currencies move freely. But free float can lead to: Rapid appreciation (hurting exports) Sudden depreciation (making imports costly) Unpredictable price swings due to speculation Countries with fragile economies often impose curbs to protect themselves from such volatility. B. Low Foreign Exchange Reserves If a central bank doesn’t have enough forex reserves, it cannot support its currency during high demand. This is why: Some African nations Emerging economies War-affected or sanctions-hit countries restrict convertibility to avoid currency collapse. C. Capital Flight Capital account convertibility can trigger massive outflows during instability. If investors fear: Political unrest Corruption Weak banking systems High inflation Policy uncertainty they rapidly exit, collapsing the currency. To prevent this, many nations limit foreign investors’ inflow–outflow flexibility. D. Black Market Currency Exchanges Countries with strict convertibility controls often see parallel black markets. Examples include: Argentina Venezuela Nigeria When official exchange rates are unrealistic, black market rates become the “true value,” causing huge distortions. E. Sanctions and Geopolitical Pressures Global tensions can disrupt convertibility. For example: Countries under US/EU sanctions may be blocked from USD payment systems Banks can be removed from SWIFT Their currency becomes globally non-usable This makes trade and investment nearly impossible. F. Financial Market Immaturity A country needs: Deep bond markets Strong banks Stable monetary policy Robust regulation before fully opening its currency. Without these foundations, full convertibility becomes dangerous. 4. Role of the US Dollar and Reserve Currencies Convertibility issues are deeply connected to the global dominance of the USD. As the world’s primary reserve currency, the dollar is: Used in 80% of global trade Seen as a safe haven Highly liquid and fully convertible This creates an imbalance: Developing nations depend heavily on USD reserves Smaller currencies cannot compete Debt denominated in USD can become burdensome when domestic currency weakens The euro, yen, and pound are also freely convertible, but the dollar’s dominance overshadows them. 5. Case Studies Illustrating Convertibility Challenges 1. India India has full current account convertibility but partial capital account convertibility. Why no full convertibility yet? To avoid sudden capital flight To protect the rupee from speculation To preserve forex reserves To maintain monetary stability India gradually liberalizes convertibility based on economic strength. 2. China China restricts capital convertibility to maintain: Control over foreign investment Stability in the yuan Protection for domestic industries The yuan is tightly managed through currency baskets and controls to avoid volatility. 3. Argentina & Venezuela Frequent currency crises, hyperinflation, and political instability led to strict limits on convertibility. Black markets flourished, widening the gap between official and real rates. 4. Russia After sanctions, Russia faced difficulty in global convertibility. Many banks were cut off from SWIFT, and the ruble became harder to trade internationally. 6. How Convertibility Impacts Global Trade and Investment A. For Businesses Convertibility affects: Pricing of imports/exports Hedging costs Profit repatriation Contract risks Companies prefer countries where currencies are stable and easily convertible. B. For Investors Restrictions create: Uncertainty in exiting positions Higher risks Liquidity problems Foreign portfolio investors avoid markets where they cannot freely repatriate profits. C. For Governments Convertibility influences: Inflation Interest rates Capital flows Economic growth Governments must balance openness with safety. 7. The Future of Currency Convertibility Globally, currencies are moving toward more controlled convertibility rather than fully free systems. The reasons include: Increased geopolitical risks Rise of protectionism Currency wars Fragile global financial systems Rapid capital flows due to algorithmic trading Digital currencies (CBDCs), blockchain-based settlement systems, and alternative payment networks may reshape future convertibility dynamics. Conclusion Currency convertibility is essential for global trade, investment, and financial integration, but it brings significant risks if not managed carefully. Countries with strong institutions and deep financial markets enjoy full convertibility, while emerging economies cautiously liberalize their currency systems to protect stability. Understanding convertibility issues helps investors, traders, and policymakers navigate global markets with clarity and foresight.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Global Energy Dynamics and Geopolitical Trade Routes1. The Foundation: Why Energy Shapes Global Power Energy is the engine behind transportation, manufacturing, digital infrastructure, agriculture, and military strength. Nations with abundant energy—like Saudi Arabia, Russia, or the U.S.—carry global influence. Nations dependent on imports—like India, Japan, or most of Europe—must secure safe trade routes and diplomatic relationships. There are three major categories in global energy dynamics: 1. Fossil Fuels (Oil, Gas, Coal) Still dominate global energy consumption (over 75%). Key for transportation (oil), heating & power (gas), and bulk energy (coal). Controlled by resource-heavy nations (Middle East, U.S., Russia, Australia). 2. Renewables (Solar, Wind, Hydro, Green Hydrogen) Growing rapidly because of climate goals and cost reduction. Countries compete to become renewable technology leaders (China, Europe, U.S., India). 3. Nuclear Energy Provides long-term stable baseload power. Geopolitically sensitive because of dual uses (civilian + military). Every country strategizes to ensure energy security—meaning energy should be affordable, accessible, and uninterrupted. 2. Major Players Controlling Global Energy Middle East – Oil & Gas Superpower Home to the largest oil reserves (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Iran, Kuwait). The region influences global prices via OPEC+ production decisions. Any tension—war, blockade, sabotage—instantly impacts global markets. United States – Shale Revolution Leader World's largest oil and gas producer. Controls energy diplomacy through production capacity, sanctions, and technology. LNG exports from the U.S. influence European and Asian markets. Russia – Energy Leverage Over Europe Major exporter of natural gas and crude oil. Controls pipelines into Europe. Has used energy as a strategic bargaining tool. China – World’s Largest Energy Consumer Dominates solar, battery, and rare earth markets. Heavy dependence on Middle East oil and foreign natural gas. Secures maritime routes via the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). India – Fastest-Growing Energy Market Heavy importer of crude oil (~85%). Diversifying import partners to avoid over-dependence. Expanding renewables and strategic petroleum reserves. 3. Key Geopolitical Trade Routes in Global Energy Energy moves through oceans, pipelines, and chokepoints. Any disruption impacts global prices and supply security. 1. Strait of Hormuz (Persian Gulf) Most important oil chokepoint in the world. ~20% of global oil and ~25% of LNG passes through. Surrounded by Iran and U.S.-allied Gulf states—very sensitive region. Even a minor conflict can cause oil prices to spike. 2. Strait of Malacca (Between India, China, Southeast Asia) China, Japan, South Korea heavily depend on this route for fuel imports. Any disruption forces tankers to take longer, costly paths. India’s presence in the Indian Ocean gives it strategic leverage. 3. Suez Canal & SUMED Pipeline (Egypt) Connects Middle East oil to Europe. Blockages increase transportation time around Africa. Critical for LNG shipments too. 4. Panama Canal Important for U.S. LNG trade to Asia. Climate change–driven drought affects capacity. 5. Russia-Europe Pipelines Nord Stream, Druzhba, TurkStream, and others. Pipeline sabotage or sanctions immediately affect European power prices. 6. Africa’s West & East Coast Routes West Africa exports crude to Europe and Asia. East Africa emerging as LNG route (Mozambique). If these routes are disrupted due to war, piracy, sanctions, or blockades, global energy markets react instantly. 4. How Geopolitics Shapes Energy Decisions Sanctions as Weapons Nations use sanctions to punish rivals. U.S. sanctions on Iran and Russia reduced their oil exports. These sanctions shift global trade flows—India, China, and Turkey buy discounted oil. Energy as Diplomatic Leverage Energy-rich nations influence global politics: Russia pressures Europe through gas supply. Saudi Arabia adjusts production to stabilize or shock global markets. Qatar’s LNG gives it major diplomatic importance. Military Presence Protects Trade Routes Countries place naval forces near key chokepoints: U.S. Fifth Fleet in the Persian Gulf. India in the Indian Ocean. China near the South China Sea. Technology & Supply Chain Power China dominates: Solar module production. Battery manufacturing. Rare earth mining. This gives China a new form of energy leverage similar to OPEC’s oil power. 5. The Shift Toward Renewables and New Geopolitics The world is moving toward clean energy, creating new winners and losers. Winners Countries with abundant sun/wind (India, Australia, Middle East). Nations leading in battery and EV technology (China). Nations rich in critical minerals like lithium, cobalt, nickel (Chile, DRC, Indonesia). Losers Countries dependent solely on oil exports. Nations slow in clean-tech investments. Green Hydrogen Trade Routes Future trade routes will shift from crude oil tankers to hydrogen carriers. Major exporters expected: Saudi Arabia UAE Australia India (later stage) Importers: Japan South Korea Europe 6. Energy Security Strategies Countries Use Countries globally adopt 6 major strategies: 1. Diversification of Suppliers Don’t depend too much on one country. India buys from Gulf, Russia, U.S., Africa. 2. Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) A buffer against supply shocks. India, China, U.S., Japan maintain large SPRs. 3. Building New Pipelines & Ports Example: India’s west coast LNG terminals. EU’s pipelines from Norway and Caspian region. 4. Building Alliances QUAD, OPEC+, IEA—energy diplomacy groups. 5. Investing in Renewables Reduces fossil fuel dependence and price volatility. 6. Securing Maritime Routes Stronger navy, anti-piracy operations, trade agreements. 7. The Future of Global Energy Dynamics The next decade will be shaped by: 1. Multipolar Energy World Energy power shifting from the Middle East–U.S.–Russia triangle to: India China Africa Renewable superpowers 2. Electrification Era EVs, solar parks, energy storage systems reduce oil demand long-term. 3. Digital and AI-driven Energy Systems Smart grids, demand forecasting, AI optimization. 4. New Vulnerabilities Cyberattacks on power plants and pipelines. Supply chain dependencies on minerals and chips. Conclusion Global energy dynamics and geopolitical trade routes form the backbone of global economic stability. They decide fuel prices, industrial growth, inflation levels, and even military strategies. As the world transitions from oil dominance to renewable energy leadership, the geopolitical map will evolve. New trade routes, new alliances, and new energy powers will emerge. In short, understanding energy geopolitics means understanding the future of global power balance.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Where are we?Price is within two opposing walls in the Daily chart. My Bullish case is when the next trading week price is able to purge the Previous Daily Low and revert to the opposite liquidity pool. I'd like to see price remain above 4000 to support my Bullish bias. My bearish case is that I'd like to see price taking out the Previous Daily High and then repelled by the SIBI. I want to see a solid rejection on the hourly to confirm my case. For the meantime, my bias is neutral until price has shown its hand.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Martingale_FX
GOLD Overall Structure (1D Timeframe)✅ 1. Overall Structure (1D Timeframe) • A descending corrective channel (yellow lines) • Major rejection at the channel top • Price making lower highs (LH) → still bearish structure • Price currently sitting below the mid-range of the channel This means: 👉 Gold is still in a corrective downtrend, not bullish yet. 👉 High probability the market wants to fill lower OBs before any breakout. ________________________________________ ✅ 2. Key Areas I Highlighted 🔷 1D TF FVG (4,107–4,150) – Major Resistance • This zone is extremely important. • Price has failed here multiple times already. • As long as price is below this → bearish pressure continues. This is the “breaker” level for bulls. ________________________________________ 🔴 1D OB Zones Below (Demand Areas) I mapped the OB zones correctly: 1️⃣ OB: 3,990 – 3,950 • First liquidity target • Already almost tapped/mitigated • Still valid for another reaction 2️⃣ OB: 3,929 – 3,885 • Stronger demand • Highly likely to get tapped if the rejection continues • My trendline bottom also aligns here → confluence 3️⃣ OB: 3,800 – 3,700 • If price breaks deeper into channel • This is the next liquidity layer These OBs line up perfectly with my descending channel. ________________________________________ Extreme Liquidity Below I noted: • 3100 • 3000 • 2600 These are macro liquidity harvest levels, NOT near-term. Price falls here only if: • Channel breaks down • Major macro bearish shift occurs → Not likely in the next few weeks unless massive catalyst. ________________________________________ ✅ 3. Updated Structural Reading (Using New Drawing) A. Price recently failed to break the upper channel This supports more downside. B. I drew an ABC correction The new chart also still shows: • A → B → C decline likely forming • Potential completion at the lower trendline This supports a drop before any rally. C. My white projection (V-shape recovery) This large bullish projection is valid ONLY if: • Price touches lower OB ➡️ 3,929 – 3,885 • And then breaks back above ➡️ 4,150 Only then the big bullish run can start. ________________________________________ 📉 4. Most Likely Path (Updated With New Chart) Based on my new structure: Primary Scenario (70% probability) Price drops to the lower OB: → 3,929 – 3,885 Possibly even wick into: → 3,800 – 3,700 Then: Strong bounce → retest 1D FVG (4,107–4,150) If rejection again → continuation inside channel. ________________________________________ Bullish Scenario (30% probability) For my yellow arrow to be valid: 1. Price must touch the lower OB 2. Then form a strong reversal 3. Then break upward out of the descending channel 4. Then close above 4,150 5. Target becomes: 4,380 → 4,800 This matches my yellow long-term projection. ________________________________________ 🎯 5. Key Levels to Watch (Updated) Immediate Support Level Significance 3,990 Weak OB – might not hold 3,950 First real support 3,929 – 3,885 🔥 Strong OB + channel bottom confluence Immediate Resistance Level Significance 4,107–4,150 🔷 Strong 1D FVG (must break for bulls) 4,200 Channel breakout level 4,380 First macro target ________________________________________ ⭐ 6. Simple Final Summary (Very Clear) My new chart indicates: ✔️ Market still bearish inside descending channel ✔️ Price likely drops to 3,929–3,885 OB ✔️ This is the best zone for bullish reversal ✔️ Bulls must break 4,150 to confirm trend change ✔️ If breakout happens → target 4,380–4,800 ✔️ If OB fails → deeper channel drop to 3,700 OB I drew the structure correctly. The analysis fully matches my levels.
TVC:GOLD
by phaneth2014
Gold Buys for Next WeekAfter the mid-October sell-off, Gold entered a period of consolidation lasting more than a week. Price showed clear indecision during this phase. Buyers were convinced the correction had run its course, while sellers continued to push for a deeper move down. Once the U.S. government reopened, the bullish continuation many traders anticipated finally came through. Following this minor pullback, I want to see buyers step back in and drive price higher, ideally making a move to retest the previous all-time highs.
COMEX:GCZ2025Long
by TheTradingRegimen
Generational Wealth | Precious Metals Super Cycle | GoldStrategy: Impulse Correction Direction: Bullish Moving Average: Blue above Red Fib Retracement: 38.2 reached MACD > 0 Support: After a massive sell-off across the board, we will look to see if gold can hold support by bouncing off the moving averages. Lets see if it can find bullish strength and regain the move experienced on Friday. If it moves lower, we could see it going back to 4000, before a potential reversal. 1st Target = 4380 2nd Target = 4669 3rd Target = 5041 Lots: 0.1 (Plan to pyramid into this one) INSIGHTS: Precious metals continue to show strength with a weakening dollar. Pay attention to the DBC commodity Index which is indicating strength across the commodity complex. Alongside this, the DXY is sitting at an interesting level. Lets see whether will bounce at this level off a multiyear trend or whether the dollar will give way to lower lows in the coming months.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AlphaTauriTrading
Generational Wealth | Precious Metals Super Cycle | Palladium Strategy: Impulse Correction Direction: Bullish Moving Average: Blue above Red Fib Retracement: 38.2 reached MACD > 0 Support : Finding additional confluence, as the weekly bounces off a massive support structure. Alongside this, we can see that a reverse pattern is becoming clear with additional support illustrated by the support level in the form of the rectangular red box. 1st Target = 1678 2nd Target = 1836 3rd Target = 2039 Lots: 0.1 (Plan to pyramid into this one) INSIGHTS: Precious metals continue to show strength with a weakening dollar. Pay attention to the DBC commodity Index which is indicating strength across the commodity complex. Alongside this, the DXY is sitting at an interesting level. Lets see whether will bounce at this level off a multiyear trend or whether the dollar will give way to lower lows in the coming months.
OANDA:XPDUSDLong
by AlphaTauriTrading
Hidden Strength in Gold Despite Market NoiseGold Outlook – Monday, Nov 17, 2025 & The Week Ahead This report covers: • Key geopolitical & macro developments • Weekly, monthly, and daily chart structure • Major price levels for the upcoming week • Monday’s actionable entry zones and targets 1. Geopolitical & Macro Drivers Recent developments continue to reinforce volatility and uncertainty: - U.S. government reopened, but political tensions signal a possible shutdown in January 2026 — bullish for gold. - Gold surged early last week from $4004 → $4245 as rate-cut expectations strengthened, but Friday’s pullback to $4032 came after those rate-cut bets dropped sharply — bearish for gold. - Trump confirms planned military actions against Venezuela — bullish for gold. The news flow is heavy, but as always: - We do not trade the headlines — we trade the chart. - No bias, no emotional forecasting. - We may sell in the morning and buy again in the evening. - Trend is our guide. 2. Monthly Chart Notes November’s range so far: High 4244 / Low 3928. - Price is compressing into the apex of a monthly triangle, suggesting a potential breakout in December 2025 in either direction. - Monthly structure = high volatility ahead. 3. Weekly Chart Notes Gold has been inside a rising weekly channel for three weeks: • Next week’s upper boundary: ~4300 • Lower boundary: ~4013 Key implications: A break below 4013 → 4004 → 4000 risks a full channel breakdown targeting 3930 → 3850. Holding above 4000 keeps bullish targets open: 4130 → 4244 → 4295–4300. Price is currently near the lower side of the channel — a critical zone. 4. Daily Chart Notes Friday’s close at 4085 sits exactly on the Daily MA10 (4087): Holding above MA10 opens the door to: 4122 → 4134 → 4170 → 4220 → 4263 Failure to reclaim MA10 keeps pressure toward: 4046 → 4030 → 4013 Very clean technical structure to start the week. 5. Key Levels for November Covered in earlier reports — unchanged. 6. Monday’s Entry Zones & Targets Bullish Scenario (Buy) Entry: Above 4103 (aggressive entry from 4095) Targets: 4112 – (4120–4124) – 4134 – 4142 – 4150 – 4162 – 4173 – 4187 – 4200 – 4211 – 4224 – (4237–4243) – 4273 – 4300 Bearish Scenario (Sell) Entry: Below 4066 (aggressive from 4073) Targets: 4052 – 4042 – (4032–4030) – 4021 – 4000 – 3992 – 3984 – 3971 – 3956 – 3944 – 3933 Note: The recent 3-week sideways volatility means target spacing is tight. Secure partial profits frequently and trail remaining positions. Note: • If you benefit from the analysis, your support through a comment or share makes a big difference. Disclaimer This analysis reflects personal observations of market structure and macro conditions and It is not investment advice. Trading financial markets carries significant risk, and all decisions are the responsibility of the trader. Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead. — GoldRider #GoldRider #GoldPrice #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #Forex #MarketNews #TrendFollowing #RiskManagement #FOMC
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Gold_Rider
PLATINUM | STRONG BUY - PGM Metal Run Moving Average: Blue above Red Fib Retracement: 38.2 reached MACD > 0 Support : Finding additional confluence, bouncing off a moving average. 1st Target = 1464 2nd Target = 1581 3rd Target = 1732 Lots: 0.1 (Plan to pyramid into this one) Entry: 1414 SL: 1340 INSIGHTS: Fed has officially made it first rate cut of 0.25 this week. Stock markets continue to run on American optimism. When the streak runs out of steam and the economy slows at a quicker rate. Money flow into hard assets and precious metals.
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by AlphaTauriTrading
STRONG BUY | PALLADIUM Strategy: Impulse Correction Direction: Bullish Moving Average: Blue above Red Fib Retracement: 38.2 reached MACD > 0 Support : Finding additional confluence, as the weekly bounces off a massive support structure 1st Target = 1336 2nd Target = 1449 3rd Target = 1595 Lots: 0.1 (Plan to pyramid into this one) INSIGHTS: Mining companies are pressing Trump to add tariffs to palladium imports from Russian. Should this happen, we should see an increase in price as SA and Russia export the most Palladium. Re-entering this trade as I have a string conviction on it. Trade 5/20
CAPITALCOM:PALLADIUMLong
by AlphaTauriTrading
4
XAUUSD - 4H - Weekly Analysis (17–21 Nov 2025)Bias: Bearish → expecting deeper pullback before next major move Gold has broken down strongly from the 4,210–4,230 region, confirming the shift into a 4H corrective structure. Price is now consolidating between 4,075–4,115, but the overall flow shows: ✔ Lower highs ✔ Strong bearish momentum candle ✔ Stochastic still not oversold (room downside) ✔ 4H structure still correcting from previous rally 📉 KEY LEVELS FOR THE WEEK 🔻 Primary Sell Levels Zone Purpose 4,120–4,135 Best Sell zone (major rejection zone) 4,150–4,165 Secondary / liquidity grab Sell zone These zones match the rejection we saw today. 📌 Where Price Is Likely Heading Next bearish targets: 4,040–4,055 → First Support / TP1 3,995–4,010 → Major target (high probability) 3,930–3,960 → Extended downside / big demand zone Based on the current momentum, the 3,995 level is extremely likely to be retested. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR NEXT WEEK 🟥 SELL Setup #1 (Safer Entry – High Probability) Sell Zone: 👉 4,120 – 4,135 Stop Loss: 👉 4,160 (above liquidity sweep) Take Profit: TP1: 4,055 TP2: 4,000 TP3: 3,960–3,940 ✔ Best trade for next week ✔ Aligns with market structure ✔ Risk/Reward 1:3 to 1:5 🟥 SELL Setup #2 (Aggressive Entry – If price spikes) Sell Zone: 👉 4,150 – 4,165 This is only if price makes a fake breakout / liquidity grab. SL: 👉 4,190 Targets: Same as above (4,055 → 4,000 → 3,960) 🟩 BUY Setup (Only after significant drop!) Buy ONLY if price hits the deep demand: BUY Zone: 👉 3,930 – 3,960 SL: 👉 3,895 Targets: TP1: 4,015 TP2: 4,075 TP3: 4,125 This is a countertrend bounce area but historically strong. 🧭 SUMMARY FOR YOUR TRADING PLAN ✔ Market is bearish this week ✔ Sell the pullback, don’t buy early ✔ 4,120–4,135 = GOLD SELL ZONE ✔ Target 3,995 and possibly 3,950 ✔ Only buy after a big drop
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by onelinkFX
Weekly Gold SummaryThis week, Gold exhibited sharp volatility, first fluctuating upward and hitting a recent high on Thursday, followed by a sudden precipitous plunge on Friday. The overall trend shifted sharply from an upward trajectory to a significant pullback. 1.Early Week Strong Rally During the European session on November 10th, gold initiated an upward movement, with a daily gain of 2.06% and a intraday high of 4084.84 USD/oz. In the European session the next day, it traded above the 4123 level and later climbed further to 4134.63 USD/oz, extending the upward momentum. 2.Mid-Week High Volatility Consolidation In the middle of the week, gold maintained a high-level fluctuating pattern. On November 13th, the gold price performed strongly, not only breaking above the 4200 level but also hitting a recent new high of 4244 intraday, before retracing sharply afterward. On the morning of November 14th, the gold price continued to rise, maintaining a volatile rebound driven by multiple technical supports. However, hourly indicators such as RSI showed overbought signals, revealing short-term correction risks. 3.Weekend Precipitous Plunge A sharp reversal occurred in the market on November 15th, with London Gold plummeting over 105 in a single day, touching an intraday low of 4032. This plunge was triggered by the confluence of multiple short-term bearish factors, including the shift in stance by Fed dovish officials, concentrated profit-taking by holders, and a cooling of safe-haven sentiment. Nevertheless, the market generally views this as a short-term fluctuation rather than a reversal of the long-term upward trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
wti 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
CFI:WTI
by Deltafx_Broker
xagusd 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
FX:XAGUSD
by Deltafx_Broker
$SILVER (6-HOUR): adding SIZE to my LONG right there:The quoted #Silver 4-hour chart shows a text-book inverted HEAD & SHOULDERS that played out perfectly and reached its $53.6 target. I usually take profits on text-book breakouts, but this asset is an exception as I have higher targets in mind. The attached 6-hour chart shows a correction that started after markets closed last Wednesday, followed by a wider market correction. Top stocks were bleeding heavily as well. So many “traders” are calling this a DOUBLE TOP and they are just wrong. Way too early imo, as TVC:SILVER is likely in a clear WAVE 5 rally during a re-accumulation phase (hence the rectangle with a breakout point at $54.5 and targeting $65.1). WAVE 5 on the daily, 12-hour and 6-hour charts. I like this confluence in EW. RSI is oversold now, just like it recently was at the bottom of the inverted H&S. The 50 MA is acting as dynamic support at $49.6, and the 200 MA at $47.4 can be used as an invalidation point for my bullish thesis. A dip to $47 would be fine as long as it gets bought up quickly. I will add to my long with conviction between $47 and $50. Take-profit levels from my previous SILVER post remain unchanged. $50 is dirt-cheap and people will realise it soon. 👽💙
TVC:SILVERLong
by ColdBloodedCharter
MY EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK Gold shifted to sells after it tested 4245 area and it closed to end the week around 4080-82, bears will likely continue with the downward push to any of these three levels before the buy start again, 4020, 4000 and 3960-30, with the 3960-30 area having a higher probability of starting the buy followed by 4000 , so there's a high chance the sell will reach 3960-30 before the buy start, but gold can start buying from any place it wants and whatever be the case there will be update throughout the week so it wouldn't be a big issue. A sell after market open at anywhere within 4084-94 and an sl at 4111 with tp at 4000, 3965 or a minimum of 600 pips and a good confirmation of more sell is if price closes below 4055-53.
TVC:GOLDShort
by EVANABEK1