Futures market
Coffee Beans at Their Highest Since 1977—But the Buzz Is FadingAfter a historic rally that pushed coffee prices to levels not seen since 1977, the market is finally cooling. Futures have started to slip, signaling a potential correction after months of bullish momentum.
Starbucks is an interesting idea. It would hypothetically benefit from lower coffee bean prices.
Starbucks, additionally, launched its now-iconic glass bear cups, one of its most viral campaigns in recent memory. Yet despite the hype, Starbucks’ stock price remains roughly where it was in 2018 with a PE that isn't too compelling at 39.
A similar trade comes to mind as a prior Hersey's Cocoa reversal hasn't panned out in terms of lower input prices filtering into higher margins. But the commodity market filtering into the real economy may be delayed by a few quarters.
A divergence in the RSI gives technical confidence that this market is overextended.
Grounds for Concern | Brewing Trouble
plan for MondayScenario 1 – Most Likely
🔻 Price continues drifting down toward 4000–4010 demand
→ Bounce expected here.
Scenario 2
🔺 Price retraces up into 4135–4140 breaker block, rejects, and then drops
→ Very clean short setup.
Scenario 3
🔺 Strong rally into 4205–4215 supply
→ High-probability short zone.
🎯 Summary: Best & Most Accurate Zone
📌 Best Bullish Zone:
➡ 4000–4010 Demand
📌 Best Bearish Zone:
➡ 4135–4140 Breaker Block
📌 Strongest Overall Zone:
➡ 4205–4215 Supply
NQ Weekly Recap | November 10–14, 2025Method: I track impulse/correction and BOS (break of structure). Trend filter is the 50 EMA (black); momentum/trigger EMAs are the 5 & 10 (white).
Recap
Mon: Clear upside impulse with BOS up. White EMAs above the black 50 → bullish continuation vibe.
Tue: Early follow‑through, then momentum faded; corrections got deeper and EMAs started to flatten.
Wed: Failed attempts to hold above the white EMAs, then a clean BOS down as price slipped under the black 50 → trend flipped.
Thu: Follow‑through short. Lower highs into the white EMAs; corrections kept getting sold while staying below the black 50.
Fri: Flush then sharp bounce. Price reclaimed the white EMAs intraday but stalled around the black 50—looks corrective; no full BOS up yet.
Takeaways
Early week was bullish.
Midweek we failed below the EMAs and followed shorts.
The late‑week bounce is just a correction unless we get a fresh BOS up and hold above the EMAs with the black 50 turning back up.
GOLD – Fear Looks Bullish Until It Isn’t.Everyone’s shouting ‘safe haven’. I’m watching price.
Gold tapped resistance, printed weakness, and broke structure clean.
Lower high ✅
Momentum shift ✅
Short confirmation ✅
I’m short — risk tight, reward wide.
If it drops, I ride it.
If it flips, I’m out fast.
Trading isn’t about being right — it’s about reacting right.
Would you still be buying gold here, or reading the chart?
XAU (GOLD) REVERSAL SIGNALS CONFIRMED 🚨 XAU (GOLD) REVERSAL SIGNALS🚨
Just received a 100% signal, XAU has broken its 4 hour uptrend pattern.
Now, let’s see how it reacts.
When an uptrend starts, assets form higher highs and higher lows. Even when a downtrend begins, it may initially show higher lows. In a downtrend, the opposite occurs, lower highs and lower lows form until the lowest support is tested.
Typically in this downtrend pattern, the price moves up first before forming a reversal.
Advice: You are safe above $3,860.
(This pattern will only restore if price stays above $4,382.)
This message is for educational purposes only. Always DYOR.
Can Silver Reach New Highs? Strategy Update
Silver's recent pullback has been quite significant. After testing the previous high of 54.5, it experienced a sharp drop, reaching a low near 52. Those who have read our articles should be aware of this. Fortunately, we capitalized on this short position; you can verify this by checking our previous posts. The silver market opened lower at 53 in the previous trading day, then fell to 52.6 before quickly rising to 54.4, before falling back at the close. The daily low reached 52 before consolidating. Overall, the upward trend in silver remains dominant. Today, Friday, we expect a slow and steady rise; avoid chasing the price higher. Support lies at 51.7-52; a drop below this level would suggest low-level consolidation. Resistance is at 53-53.5; a break above this level would target the previous high. Both bulls and bears have opportunities today; stay on track.
I focus solely on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there is no perpetually rising or falling market, only the correct entry point at any given moment. Find the rhythm and follow the trend. This is the essence of trading. Currently, you must seize every opportunity to buy on pullbacks. If you're struggling to execute trades precisely, try my method: first test the market with a small position, then add to your position during pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you're truly unsure when, where, and how to operate, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater profits in this ever-changing market!
Gold repeating pattern, return to ATH and aboveGold will return to its all time highs in the near future.
1) Interest rate cuts
2) Distrust in Trump
3) Distrust in USD
4) Venezuela conflict may happen
5) Government shutdown over and economic data could be negative
6) Michael Burry seems to be quite confident in recession coming, Buffet holds record cash
Gold – Adamant Selling Structural OutlookThe recent drop completed the exhaustion leg of the prior sequence, and price is now attempting a corrective pullback. This retracement is currently developing into the W point of a new structural formation. From here, the projection opens into a broader triangular framework similar to previous cycles, where each triangle once again reflects the underlying pressure shifts in bias.
The completion of (W) establishes the new apex from which the next selling leg can unfold. If price respects this structural peak, the red downside triangle outlines the expected continuation pressure. This maintains the broader bearish rhythm and guides price toward the (X) termination area—aligned with the purple box zone you’ve mapped out as the more realistic reaction target.
Once (X) is reached, the structure allows for another corrective expansion into (Y), forming the next leg of the sequence. This maps out a potential higher-timeframe correction but remains valid only after the projected descent completes.
Overall, this setup mirrors the behavior of earlier triangles: the apex marks the exhaustion of the pullback, the downside wedge defines the renewed selling pressure, and the purple box anchors the probable completion area before the next corrective phase.
The structure remains intact as long as price respects the (W) apex and does not invalidate the forming triangle.
Silver in times of scarcity: what drives its volatilityThe silver market has been marked by intense swings, with prices on COMEX climbing over 74% since January-outstripping gold’s gains for the year. Over the last 30 days alone, silver has advanced more than 21%, reflecting that way a mix of industrial pressures and short-term trading frictions. Silver is widely used in electronics, solar panels, and batteries, so its price is closely linked to the economic cycle: when demand rises, prices go up, and when demand slows, prices can fall just as quickly.
This cyclicality makes the silver market particularly susceptible to sharp reversals. The current rally has also been driven by a pronounced shortage of physical metal, particularly in the London market: the resulting short squeeze forced sellers who were betting on a decline to buy back the metal at a high price, which drove prices even higher. As a result, an unusual premium of $3 per ounce has formed in favor of London compared to New York futures - a dislocation that is rare for silver and is even forcing some traders to charter ships for transatlantic delivery, despite the high logistics costs.
Exchange stocks on COMEX (around 500 million ounces at the end of summer 2025) remain without sustainable accumulation, and LBMA data show a reduction in stocks in London vaults, confirming a real physical shortage. Additional pressure on supplies is created by demand from India, the world's largest consumer of silver. About 80% of the country's needs are covered by imports, and ahead of Diwali, imports doubled: jewelry, coins, and industrial demand “sucked” significant volumes from Western markets. This has led to a premium of over 10% above the global spot price in India. At the same time, silver ETFs are accumulating additional volumes of physical metal, which further weakens the availability of silver on the market. Silver offers higher growth potential as an “industrial” asset, but at the same time is subject to significantly greater price fluctuations and is vulnerable to supply disruptions and speculative dynamics in derivatives.
The bullish structure remains intact, we remain bullish.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Looking at the hourly chart, the short-term resistance level is at 4210, which is also the high point of yesterday's NY session rebound. Although gold encountered resistance and pressure again during the day, as long as this resistance is broken, it will continue to test the 4245-4260 level.
Gold has fallen back again, but the bullish structure has not been broken in the short term. The current pullback can be regarded as a technical correction, so I am still inclined to be bullish on gold. The daily MA5 has also risen to around 4160, which is exactly the important support level I emphasized yesterday. Therefore, if the price retraces to 4160-4145 again during the European session, we can continue to go long on gold.
Gold growth outside cycles: what drives the price todayUnlike silver, gold follows a different logic. Its current growth is not linked to industrial demand, but to a redistribution of roles in investor portfolios: gold is increasingly seen not just as a tactical tool against inflation or crisis, but as a constantly necessary, “non-productive” asset - a kind of universal insurance. The price of gold now reacts less to economic cycles and more to surges in inflation expectations, geopolitical instability, and weakening confidence in fiat currencies.
The escalation of trade conflicts has reinforced this trend: tariff increases and retaliatory measures are disrupting supply chains and undermining confidence in the dollar, making gold an attractive store of value. Falling interest rates combined with ongoing inflation further reinforce the traditional negative correlation between falling interest rates and rising gold prices, attracting both private investors and central banks to the market. Gold acts as a portfolio anchor, providing greater protection against systemic instability and currency risks. At a time when US debt and debt policy are causing concern, gold's role as a currency-like safe haven seems particularly appropriate.
LE - Live Cattle (4hr chart)I'm learning that few people turn their phone to landscape mode to see the chart replay. Use Desktop mode or an actual desktop computer.
Maybe when pigs fly?
Live Cattle are wandering down to the yearly level for cheaper pastures.
BS/FS levels are support unless solid lines
Inv. BS /inv. FS levels are resistance unless solid lines.
single dotted is a tested level
dashed is untested
2x dotted is an origin level where a trend originates.
BS levels are always marked on the top of the first distribution candle when there are 2 or more distribution candles in a row (aka distribution range)
FS levels are always marked on the topside of the last distribution candle in a distribution range of 2 or more candles.
the inverse is true for the Inverse BS, Inv. FS levels but they are marked on the bottom-side of the accumulation candles.
GOLD - MONEY MACHINE🚀 Who Used Our Tools Today — and Who Caught the GOLD Short?
Gold gave two beautiful short opportunities today, both marked in orange on the chart.
If you were using our system, you should have seen this coming with confidence and zero hesitation.
Here’s exactly how our tools would have guided you into these moves:
**📌 1. First Short Signal
(Left Orange Marker)**
The first bearish setup came right after the London push.
Our system would have shown:
✔️ Rejection wick + momentum shift
✔️ EMA structure flipping bearish
✔️ ATR-validated signal bar
✔️ Session timing confluence (UK momentum reversal)
This gave a clean early entry before the full drop developed.
**📌 2. Second Short Signal
(Right Orange Marker)**
This one was textbook.
✔️ Pullback into EMA stack
✔️ Signal bar passed the ATR rule
✔️ Momentum confirmation
✔️ NO counter-trend warning — full alignment
This was the final confirmation before the massive sell-off.
🔥 RESULT
Anyone using our tools should’ve had:
Clear direction
Clean entry signals
No noise
No guessing
Big follow-through
**❓Did you catch the short today?
Comment below — I want to see who’s using the system and how you traded it.**






















