Gold (XAU/USD) Testing Key ResistanceAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4145, approaching a significant resistance zone between 4100 and 4120, marked as the first target region. This level previously acted as strong resistance, and price may experience a temporary pullback before resuming upward momentum.
The strong psychological support zone near 3890–3920 served as a solid foundation for the recent bullish reversal, confirmed by double-bottom formations and consistent higher highs.
If gold maintains momentum above 4120, the next upside target lies around 4210, aligning with previous structural highs and a major supply zone. However, rejection from the current resistance could trigger a short-term retracement toward 4100 before another push upward.
Summary:
Immediate Resistance: 4100–4120
Next Target: 4210
Key Support: 3890–3920
Bias: Bullish above 4100, potential retracement before continuation
Futures market
Gold Short Ahead of House VoteGold and stock market corelation turn negative again, meaning market is not pricing the liquidty crunch anymore rather than economy as a whole. Rising risk over jobs market showed itself this week and it got markets spooked. Is today's jupm because of protection againts risks or today's vote is expected to fail that I don't know but I will bet on a house passing the stopgap because risk/reward ratio will be more suited for me. I'm not an inseder so I will continue to play for statistics.
4200-4220 is the resistance zone that I follow and I'm going short.
XAUUSD: Gold is going to hit $5,000 USD. 1. Uptrend Confirmation:
• After a period of correction/sideways movement (from around mid-October to early November), the recent Heikin Ashi candles have started turning green/bullish (corresponding to the dark green color in your target zone).
• The green candle bodies are lengthening and have short or non-existent lower wicks, which is a classic sign of a strong and sustainable uptrend on a Heikin Ashi chart.
2. Short-term Resistance Breakout:
• The current price ($4,087.880) has broken above the previous short-term resistance area (the red line and the price zone around $4,003.410 - $4,091.265), and is above the moving averages (EMAs - the thin red and green lines), indicating that buying pressure has taken control.
3. Buy Trade Setup (Long Position):
• The chart shows a BUY trade setup with an entry price within the $4,091.265 region.
• Take Profit (TP) Target: Set at a very high level, $4,987.515. This implies an extremely strong expectation for price appreciation, possibly based on extended analysis (Fibonacci Extension) or large institutional price forecasts.
• Stop Loss (SL) Level: Set at $4,003.410, just below the old support/resistance zone, demonstrating clear risk control.
Let’s take a quick look at Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute chartRight now, price is trading around $4,125, after forming a rising triangle pattern.
The key resistance area sits near $4,149, while strong support lies at $4,106, which also lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci level.
If buyers manage to hold above $4,106, we could see a breakout toward $4,175 and possibly $4,190.
But if price breaks below $4,106, that could trigger a deeper pullback toward $4,079, $4,057, or even $4,036.
So, Gold is currently at a decision point — keep an eye on how price reacts around the $4,106 support and the $4,149 resistance zone.”
BULLISHNQ
BIAS: BULLISH
DAILY: Price is currently above the daily -OB MT. Yesterday, price retraced to the 4H + inversion fair value gap and respected this discount array and took off.
PDH & Asian High (equal highs): Has been raided ahead London opening plus the Old High on Thursday Nov. 06, 2025. Then it retraced lower filled the 1H +FVG between 11:00pm and 1:00am
PRE-MARKET: NQ and ES made a LL whereas YM failed to make a LL. There's a cracking correlation here (SMT).
BUYSIDE TARGET: LONDON HIGH @25,830.25 and DAILY -FVG Low end @ 25,881.00
GOLD (XAUUSD) Daily Outlook – Bears Eyeing Major Drop Ahead!After a short-term bullish push, Gold is now testing a strong supply zone around $4,130–$4,200 where price previously rejected sharply. If buyers fail to break above this level, we could see fresh bearish momentum kicking in.
🔻 Key Zones:
Resistance (Sell Zone): $4,130 – $4,220
Support (Buy Zone): $3,650 – $3,720
📊 Scenario:
I’m watching for rejection candles or bearish confirmation around the red zone. If price reacts strongly, I expect a drop toward $3,700, completing a clean supply-to-demand move.
💡 Trading Idea:
Wait for confirmation before short entries — patience pays!
Target the green zone for potential long opportunities once we reach strong demand.
⚙️ Bias: Bearish until we see a clear breakout above $4,220.
What’s your take? Do you see Gold holding the supply zone or breaking through it? 🤔
👇 Drop your thoughts below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcept #ForexTrading #TradingView #Frank
#xauusd pullback short from %61.8 level 4192 ? #gold🔹 61.8% Fibonacci level: ≈ 4,196
🔹 Setup idea:
• Short zone: 4,190 – 4,200
• Stop loss: Above 4,210 – 4,220 (to allow for wicks)
• Take profit targets:
• TP1: ~4,150 (minor structure)
• TP2: ~4,100
• TP3: ~4,000 (major swing support)
If gold rallies back to 4,190–4,200 and shows:
• Bearish candle rejection (e.g. 4-hour pin bar / engulfing)
• Weakening momentum or divergence on RSI
• Confluence with prior resistance
Then this 61.8% Fib zone is a technically valid pullback short area.
Gold: Last Chance to Exit
The last forecast rode the upside nicely. Now we’re getting local setups. Near term, I expect a return to $4,115–$4,186, with a preferred target at $4,160. The decline reads as a zigzag (with a triangle in the middle), so I’m looking for a rebound into that range. More soon.
Gold on excellent recoveryTechnical analysis: The Hourly 1 chart's Ascending Channel increases it’s gains towards Overbought levels as #4,152.80 psychological benchmark (so far) is showcasing durability. Both Weekly chart (#1W) and Monthly (#1M) are on encouraging gains (# +4.13% and # +2.48% respectively) and with ranging candles I can't see any rebound possibility before #4,200.80 benchmark test. Yesterday the #4,100.80 benchmark was tested twice and as I mentioned on my remarks balanced MA periods to settle within the #4,122.80 - #4,132.80 range. More and more Buying signs are appearing as I am confident in my Bullish model. Trade accordingly.
My position: As I spotted #4,100.80 benchmark test, I started Buying Gold on each dip towards #4,116.80 first Resistance. On another #4,106.80 Support sweep, I engaged strong Buying orders towards #4,127.80 extension last night. I will continue Buying every dip on Gold from my key entry points. That is my practical suggestion.
DeGRAM | GOLD is attempting to consolidate above resistance📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD confirmed a breakout above the descending resistance channel and is now consolidating above the $4,100 support level, signaling a continuation of the bullish structure.
● Price action shows higher lows and consistent buying momentum, projecting a potential rise toward the next resistance zone at $4,380 after minor pullbacks near $4,130.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold remains supported by declining U.S. Treasury yields and increased geopolitical risk appetite for safe-haven assets amid softening dollar sentiment.
✨ Summary
● Support: $4,100. Resistance: $4,380. Momentum favors continued upside toward $4,380 following a short-term correction phase.
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XAUUSD and USDJPY analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU Mid Buying ModelHello everyone, Welcome to the XAU-SYNDICATE...
This is my entry model for buying. so I'll wait for my zone, as soon as the price reaches my zone I'll look for a INT.IDM hunt or M15 single bullish candle close above 3916 second confirmation and plan my trade accordingly.
#XAU-SYNDICATE
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 12 November 2025🔹 Momentum
• D1: The daily momentum has completed its upward phase, indicating that we may expect a bearish wave to bring the D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
• H4: The H4 momentum is currently preparing to turn upward, suggesting a potential bullish move lasting 4–5 H4 candles before the next larger decline.
• H1: The H1 momentum is also about to turn upward, implying that a short-term rally could begin from the current levels.
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: On the daily chart, price remains within wave (4) yellow. We expect a downward move aligned with D1 momentum, lasting 4–5 daily candles, to complete this corrective wave.
• H4: On the H4 chart, price is currently inside wave X (purple). As H4 momentum approaches the oversold zone while price continues to move sideways, it suggests that one more upward leg may occur to complete wave X.
• H1: On the H1 chart, price has already formed a 3-wave correction, which I mentioned in yesterday’s update. Currently, wave 4 (red) is forming, and once price breaks above the top of wave 3 (red), wave 5 (red) will be confirmed.
🎯 Wave 5 (red) is expected to target the 4200 zone, which is our primary Sell Zone.
If price breaks above 4145 and RSI forms a lower high compared to RSI at wave 3, this will create a bearish RSI divergence, confirming that wave 5 is forming — a good opportunity to look for Sell setups.
However, if price breaks below the bottom of wave 4 (red), it may indicate a truncated wave 5, which would trigger strong selling pressure and lead to a sharp, steep decline.
📈 Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 4199 – 4201
• Stop Loss: 4215
• Take Profit 1: 4145
• Take Profit 2: 4046
• Take Profit 3: 3932
Gold price recovered around 4100⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) holds near a three-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls eyeing a breakout above the $4,150–4,155 resistance zone for further upside. Market sentiment remains supported by expectations that delayed US economic data will reveal weakness amid the ongoing government shutdown, reinforcing bets on another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in December. This dovish outlook keeps the US Dollar (USD) near a two-week low, providing additional support for the non-yielding metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers, accumulates around 4100. Buying force is forming wave 4 according to Elliott.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4198 - 4200 SL 4205
TP1: $4190
TP2: $4175
TP3: $4160
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4090 - 4092 SL 4085
TP1: $4105
TP2: $4120
TP3: $4135
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold prices fluctuated at high levels on November 12th; a short-Gold has recently surged, but some uncertainty has led to fluctuations at higher levels. After reaching a high of around 4145 today, it experienced a significant pullback, briefly touching a low of around 4098 before a rapid rebound. This forms a double bottom support level with yesterday's pullback to around 4097 in the US session. The key level to watch in the near term is 4100. A decisive break below this level would indicate further upside potential; otherwise, the bulls may experience further fluctuations. For tonight, consider buying around 4100/4105, and follow the trend after a breakout.
11/12 Gold Short-Term Trading Strategy:
Sell gold around 4138, with a stop-loss at 4146, targeting below 4120/10. If it breaks below 4100, continue selling with a target around 4070. Buy gold on a pullback around 4102/4, with a stop-loss at 4096, targeting above 4120/30.
The Dual Catalyst: Why Silver's \$50 Breakout is SustainableSilver (XAG/USD) recently broke the crucial $50 per ounce level, signaling a fundamental shift in its market dynamics. While the price edges lower in the short term, primarily due to a strengthened US Dollar (USD), its long-term trajectory is decisively bullish. This surge is not merely speculative. It is driven by an unprecedented convergence of geopolitical risks, critical industrial demand, and shifting macroeconomic policy. Analyzing these catalysts across multiple domains confirms silver's evolving role from a precious metal to a critical industrial asset.
Macroeconomics and Geopolitics
Silver's price strength reflects global systemic risk and monetary policy uncertainty. Current market expectations strongly favor a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut by December, with a nearly 68% probability priced in by the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding silver, making it relatively more attractive than bonds or cash. This dovish outlook provides a powerful structural floor for the price.
From a geopolitical perspective, ongoing global tensions and elevated political risks, like recent US government funding debates, accelerate safe-haven demand. Investors seek hard assets to hedge systemic risks. While gold often leads as the primary safe haven, silver's lower cost and dual-use nature attract broader retail and institutional flows, pushing it higher. A strong, sustained rally will require the price to hold above $50 and overcome the next major resistance near the historical high of $54.50.
Technology, Science, and Patents
Industrial demand now constitutes over 50% of silver’s total annual consumption, fundamentally redefining its market. Its unmatched electrical and thermal conductivity makes it indispensable in high-growth sectors.
* Renewable Energy: Silver is critical for photovoltaics (PV), specifically in solar cells, which form the conductive paste that harvests electrons. The global push for green energy and solar capacity expansion creates structural, persistent demand that consistently tightens the market.
* High-Tech and EVs: Electric Vehicles ( EVs) require significantly more silver (25–50 grams per unit) than traditional vehicles for inverters, battery management systems, and high-voltage contacts. The expansion of 5G technology, advanced computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT) further relies on silver-based components for seamless connectivity and efficiency.
Geostrategy and Supply Chain Risk
Silver is now recognized as a critical mineral by several major economies. This reclassification acknowledges its essential role in national security, advanced manufacturing, and the energy transition. This status highlights a geopolitical vulnerability: silver's supply chain is increasingly seen as a strategic concern.
The market currently runs a persistent supply deficit, depleting above-ground stockpiles to critically low levels. Mining silver often occurs as a byproduct of copper, lead, and zinc, meaning its supply cannot easily scale up based on price alone. Trade conflicts or export controls imposed by major producing nations could severely disrupt supply, immediately spiking the price due to its non-substitutable role in key high-tech applications.
Cyber and Economics: The Future Nexus
Silver’s unique properties extend into emerging fields like cybersecurity* and advanced computing. Research integrates silver nanoparticles and quantum materials into sophisticated systems. These materials enhance data processing efficiency and bolster the security of financial supply chains. Furthermore, flexible electronics using silver nanowires* will drive the next generation of wearable and flexible displays, creating entirely new demand vectors.
The long-term economic case for a $100 silver price remains dependent on this confluence of factors. Sustained high industrial consumption, a breakdown in global supply chains, and a continued environment of monetary debasement must align. Silver has truly become a dual-catalyst metal, positioned to thrive as both a financial safe haven and a fundamental building block of the twenty-first-century green and digital economy.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Better Buy than Sell today [11.12.2025]Hello guys, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within a sideways range between 4145 and 4100, showing signs of compression as the market awaits a potential breakout. After an extended bullish phase, price is now consolidating, creating equilibrium between buyers and sellers before the next directional move. The nearest key support zone lies between 4075 – 4095, followed by deeper demand areas around 4040 and 4006, which could serve as ideal buy setups if price retraces. Given the overall market structure and sustained bullish sentiment, I continue to favor Buy positions over Sell setups for today’s session.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> BUY ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4075 – 4090
SL: 4070
TP: 4130 – 4150
(2) ENTRY: 4035 - 4045
SL: 4030
TP: 4090 – 4120 – 4150
(3) ENTRY: 4110 - 4115 (scalp/small vol)
SL: 4100
TP: 4140 - 4150
Risk Management:
- Prioritize Buy setups in line with the dominant trend; Sell only for short-term scalps.
- Keep stops tight, as a breakout can invalidate range setups quickly.
- Maintain a Risk:Reward ratio ≥ 1:2 on all trades.
- Avoid overtrading before the breakout confirmation.
Conclusion:
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently consolidating within a narrow sideways channel, but momentum continues to favor the bulls. As long as the price holds above 4075, the structure remains constructive, and the next bullish leg could form anytime upon breakout confirmation. My bias today stays bullish, focusing on buying dips near key supports and managing risk tightly until the market reveals its next move.
HAVE A WONDERFUL DAY, GUYS! ;)






















