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Is there an opportunity before the interest rate decision?Gold has been soaring since the start of this week, reaching new highs, even testing above 3700 points during the session. However, due to the pressure from the round number barrier and the approaching interest rate decision, gold retreated after rising. This provided several opportunities for shorting. The first was to open a short position near 3697 until the take-profit target. The second was near 3695, today's high. With the interest rate decision imminent, all existing positions have been closed at the take-profit target. If it weren't for the interest rate decision, I would have preferred a downward trend in gold. Since the interest rate decision has a significant impact on gold prices, it's safer to wait until the results are announced before considering any trades. Reducing risk is also the best way to preserve your principal. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
TVC:GOLDShort
by Martin_transaction
1
What will happen next?Gold has been following a pattern since February 2024. Let's see how long it lasts and what will break it. Disclaimer This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by AustrianTradingMachine
Gold 1H – Premium Sweeps Risk Before ReversalGold on the 1H chart is consolidating after consecutive BOS and ChoCH signals, showing rejection from premium levels. Price is balancing between the fresh FVG sell zone near 3,673–3,671 and deep discount support at 3,634–3,636. Liquidity remains stacked above 3,705 and below 3,632, leaving room for engineered sweeps before direction is confirmed. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 FVG SELL ZONE 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680) Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,705 – 3,703 (SL 3,712) Major premium liquidity trap before continuation lower toward 3,690 → 3,675 → 3,660. • 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,634 – 3,636 (SL 3,627) Discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,645 → 3,660 → 3,670 if defended. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – FVG Rejection (3,673–3,671) • Entry: 3,673 – 3,671 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into FVG before downside extension. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Sweep (3,705–3,703) • Entry: 3,705 – 3,703 • Stop Loss: 3,712 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,690  TP2: 3,675  TP3: 3,660 👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,705 before resuming bearish momentum. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,634–3,636) • Entry: 3,634 – 3,636 • Stop Loss: 3,627 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,660  TP3: 3,670 👉 High R:R setup if gold defends discount demand; ideal for counter-trend scalps. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold remains pressured below 3,673–3,705, favoring short setups into premium sweeps. However, watch closely for accumulation signs at 3,634–3,636 as buyers may reclaim structure. Best approach: scale in smaller positions until NY session confirms directional bias.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy ZoneHello traders, In recent sessions, gold has remained highly volatile around key liquidity areas and major support–resistance levels. The current market structure indicates that the bearish side continues to dominate in the short term, whilst buyers are only likely to re-emerge at deeper support zones. Technical Outlook Key Resistance: 3670 – 3680, overlapping with the FVG zone → prime area for Sell to Fill Liquidity. Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A clear break here could trigger a deeper decline. Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suited for short-term intraday longs. Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, aligning with strong liquidity and major structural support. MACD: showing a bearish bias, with a negative histogram reflecting continued selling pressure. Trading Scenarios Sell Setup (preferred) Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680 SL: 3685 TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600 Buy Scalping Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645 Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670 Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590 SL: 3584 Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675 Conclusion In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing its downward leg. Sellers still hold the advantage, but deeper support levels may present attractive opportunities for medium-term buyers. Stay focused on these critical price zones and trade in line with your individual plan. Follow for timely updates as market structure develops.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – End of Week U.S. Session | Trading SetupHello traders, Today's gold trading range is quite narrow. As of now, the gold price remains steady around the 366x region. The overall price structure hasn't changed from the previous scenario: we continue to wait to sell at the higher 367x level to secure a better position for the Sell signal. This approach helps optimize profit potential and aims for greater returns. Market sentiment today seems cautious. Following the release of interest rate news, most investors are staying on the sidelines, resulting in no significant changes in trading volume. Today's U.S. session trading scenario Sell Setup (priority) Sell Liquidity Zone: 3677 – 3680 SL: 3685 TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600 Buy Scalping Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645 Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670 Conclusion In the end-of-week U.S. session, the priority strategy remains to Sell at higher price levels to ensure a safe position and good profit expectations. Short-term Buy orders should only be considered when the price hits the strong support zones mentioned. Wishing everyone a disciplined and successful end-of-week trading session! Stay tuned for the quickest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
New Fed Governor Milan's remarks ignited the market#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD The rapid rise in gold prices this evening was primarily driven by news events. Newly appointed Fed governor Clarida, expressing gratitude for Trump's nomination, stated that he would leave the Council of Economic Advisers if Trump asked him to remain at the Fed. Simultaneously, Clarida reiterated his support for a 50 basis point interest rate cut. These comments further stimulated the market, triggering another wave of risk-averse sentiment. While the losses weren't due to technical factors, I don't deny that I did incur losses; facts are facts, and I never try to hide them, even if they're not my fault. This latest news-driven surge in gold is purely based on risk-averse sentiment; the price will likely fall again once the market digests the news. In the short term, pay attention to the 61.8% retracement level, around 3676. If gold encounters resistance and pressure at this level, it will likely continue to decline. On Friday, don't be overly greedy; take profits of $10-30 and exit your position to avoid the risk of holding positions over the weekend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G
3665-3625 box boundary, if not broken, continue to oscillate#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD I don’t know if you guys still remember that before the interest rate cut was announced, gold overall maintained a box-shaped fluctuation. Yesterday, gold continued the bearish trend of Wednesday, fluctuating downward, and rebounded after hitting a low of around 3627 in the evening. The overall trend was in line with our expectations. If you observe carefully, you will find that the current market has returned to the box range of 3665-3625. As the center of gravity moves downward, the resistance moves down to 3650-3660, while 3630-3620 below constitutes short-term support. If gold cannot effectively break through the box boundary in the short term, then the market may remain volatile today. From the perspective of the big cycle trend, if the intraday shock rebound fails to effectively break through 3665, it may form a head and shoulders top pattern in the future. Therefore, today's trading is mainly short selling. If the price falls back and touches the support but does not break, you can go long on gold with a light position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G
Gold rebounds; levels to watchGold has bounced back today after retreating on the back of the FOMC decision – hardly a surprise, given the dollar’s bounce. Because gold is priced in dollars, the relationship is crucial: when the dollar strengthens, gold often softens. The question now is whether gold's latest pullback from a record is the start of something more meaningful, or just a pause before the bullish trend resumes. That really is the million-dollar question, but with prices already rebounding today, I wouldn't bet against it rising to a new high. From a technical perspective, the RSI had already been at overbought levels on the daily and weekly charts, and even on the monthly time frame gold has been flashing overbought for some time. A pullback, therefore, was technically justified, which has now happened. But that was a mild pullback, which underscores the strong momentum behind the metal. On the daily chart, prices met resistance at the psychologically significant $3,700 level, which is a level to keep an eye on should we get there again. On the downside, $3,626 is the first initial support, which has held so far. Below that $3,600 is the next obvious support, followed by $3,565, which coincides with the high of a recent hammer candle and the 21-day exponential moving average. Below that, $3,500 comes into view, and then a broader support region around $3,430 to $3,450. The real line in the sand is the August low. If gold were to fall below there, we’d have our first lower low, which would be a major warning sign of a reversal. But as things stand, we’re still a long way from that point. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold rebound encountered resistance, bears may exert force againGold continued its decline yesterday, extending the previous day's downward trend. It hit a low near 3633 before rebounding, peaking at 3672 before falling under pressure again. The US market quickly dipped to around 3627, another sign of bearishness. After breaking through the high, the upward move did not continue, but instead continued to rebound during the day, leaving room for short-term market volatility. Strong upward pressure currently persists around 3670, which also served as a barrier to yesterday's high. While prices have rebounded, the probability of reaching this level is low. A successful breakout could signal the end of the bearish correction. Yesterday, after initially reaching around 3660, the price quickly retreated. While the decline was limited, it provided a clear technical warning. Key support remains at 3620. If this fails, a direct drop below 3600, or even to around 3580, is possible. On the whole, the daily line is still biased towards a bearish retracement pattern. It is recommended to wait patiently for a pullback. If gold pulls back to the 3660-3670 area first, continue to arrange short orders on rallies, with the target first looking at the 3645-3630 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Europe’s carbon market EUAEurope’s carbon market (EUAs) is more than just a climate tool, it’s the shield behind CBAM, the mechanism that makes sure EU companies aren’t undercut by cheaper, dirtier imports. If the EUA price is too low, the shield weakens. If it’s too volatile, industry can’t plan. Stability is everything. Here is where things get interesting. The EU needs to keep EUA prices high enough to make CBAM credible, but safe enough to avoid the kind of shock we saw with gas. After all, a few years ago gas went wild, and industries were brought to their knees. That can’t happen again. So.. what becomes the fallback? Coal. Not because it’s clean, but because it’s predictable. The cost structure is simple: coal price plus carbon cost. No sudden geopolitical swings like with gas. For a recovering EU industry, that predictability is worth gold. It creates a strange dynamic: coal, the enemy on paper, becomes a short-term safe harbor. The effect? Coal keeps power prices stable and, at the same time, drives steady demand for EUAs (since coal emissions are high). That demand holds the EUA price line, making sure CBAM remains a strong shield. Of course, this can’t be the long-term play. Europe can’t afford to lock itself back into coal. But in the recovery phase, the mix of stable energy prices for industry and stable EUA demand for the carbon market makes coal a reluctant ally. It’s a trade-off: coal today as a cushion, renewables tomorrow as the foundation. The big picture is that EUAs stay strong, CBAM stays credible, and Europe buys itself time to scale renewables without breaking its own industries along the way.
ICEENDEX:ECF1!
by Cryptovicci
Bearish Grip Tightens as 3585 Comes Into ViewAs gold continuously tests and falls below the 3650-3640 area, the space below has been opened to a certain extent. According to the current gold trend structure, as the candle chart shows a long upper shadow line near 3705, there are obvious signs of profit-taking, and there is strong selling pressure from above; a downward-opening trend channel is formed in the structural form, and the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward. The bears are relatively stronger, and there is no obvious bottoming signal below at present. Gold still has the potential to continue to decline! Although gold has rebounded slightly after several attempts at the 3635-3625 area, the strength of these rebounds has fallen far short of expectations, indicating relatively weak bullish momentum. As gold gradually moves downward, short-term resistance has shifted to the 3660-3670 area. Strong resistance is around 3685, but given the current rebound strength, it is unlikely that gold will reach this resistance area in the short term. And I think gold will easily continue to decline and test the 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the space below will be completely opened. Gold is likely to continue its downward trend to around 3585, and may even experience a deeper correction to around 3550. Therefore, in a bearish market, we must firmly adhere to a short-gold trading strategy. If gold rebounds weakly to the 3655-3665 area, I would likely prioritize shorting gold. The short-term retracement target will first target the 3625-3615 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold (XAUUSD) – 19 Sep | Crucial Zone, Watching for Next Move🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 19 September Market Context • Gold is currently trading near the H4 Higher Low (HL) zone , suggesting the H4 pullback phase may be nearing completion. • Yesterday, price action respected our key levels beautifully — both the M15 demand zone (3644–3637) and the M15 LH + Day High zone (3668–3672) offered excellent setups. • Market has now printed a Break of Structure (BoS) below 3637, confirming M15 is currently in a downtrend. Key Observations • Price is in a pullback phase within the M15 downtrend. • H4 Context: Price is near HL support, which is also the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level — a critical area to watch for a potential uptrend resumption. Execution Plan • Short Setup Zones:  • 3654.8–3659.3 (fractal pullback zone).  • 3667–3673 (M15 LH + supply zone).   – A breakout and strong close above this zone would signal potential upside trend resumption → no more shorts. • Long Setup Zone:  • 3621–3613 (H4 HL zone) — wait for price to reach and respect this level with M1/LTF confirmation before planning longs. Trading Bias • Neutral-to-Bearish for now — shorts are valid only if POI zones are respected. • Longs will be considered only from deeper H4 HL zone with confirmation. Today’s approach: Observe with stillness — let price reveal its direction before committing. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ChartIsMirror
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Bullish Reversal OutlookThis chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe shows a bearish move approaching a strong demand zone marked as a “Buy OB” (Order Block). The expectation is for price to test this support area before reversing upward. The projection indicates a potential bullish rally from the order block with a target near 3,690, aligning with market structure and fair value gap (FVG) dynamics. Overall, the chart suggests a short-term retracement followed by a strong bullish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gray_Trade_Insight