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GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 4164.3 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 4176.6 Safe Stop Loss - 4157.5 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hr Technical & Fundamental Analysis⚠️ XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hr Technical & Fundamental Analysis Earlier today, gold experienced a market-wide pricing freeze due to a technical disruption from an upstream global exchange. This affected price feeds across all brokers, causing frozen charts, delayed orders, and abnormal wicks. This incident was industry-wide and not related to broker manipulation. Despite the disruption, it plays a key role in today’s market structure shift, especially for short-term traders impacted by the price interruptions. From a technical perspective, price has broken above the minor resistance at 4,160, aligning with the lower trendline. While the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, the 4H chart shows consolidation and weakening momentum in this region. 📊 Short-Term Bullish Outlook The break of 4,160 suggests a possible short-term bullish structural shift. This may indicate a liquidity hunt below 4,160 before price moves higher toward 4,220. A clean break above 4,220 could target the next major demand area around 4,380. 🔻 Bearish Scenario if 4,220 Rejects If gold fails to sustain momentum above 4,220, it may indicate the liquidity hunt is complete. Price could then revisit the next minor key level at 4,100. A break and close below 4,100 could open the way for deeper downside toward the next major key support at 4,020. Losing 4,020 could trigger a stronger continuation down to the 3,940 – 3,920 demand zone. This zone is critical for bulls to defend to maintain the higher-timeframe bullish structure. Gold remains highly sensitive to structural signals and global price feed stability, so caution is advised. Monitor these key levels closely and wait for a confirmed break of structure before taking positions. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading gold, CFDs, and Forex involves high risk. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RebornFXTrader
Rising Wedge on the Edge — The Breakdown Is Only One Candle AwayCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS & TODAY’S EXPECTED MOVE 1. Current Market Structure The market is currently respecting the structure of a Rising Wedge — a pattern where price continues rising but momentum weakens, volatility compresses, and the probability of a bearish breakdown increases. Key observations: - Price is moving near the upper boundary of the wedge. - Newly formed highs lack strength → buying pressure is fading. - Recent candles show long upper wicks, indicating strong sell pressure at resistance. - The lower support line has been tested multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. - Buyers are losing control while sellers are beginning to step in. 2. Primary Scenarios for Today ✓ Scenario 1 – Breakdown of the Rising Wedge (High-probability scenario) If a candle closes decisively below the lower support, the market is likely to: - Drop quickly toward the next support levels. - Trigger strong seller participation on the retest of the broken trendline (support → resistance). - Confirm a high-quality SELL entry. Downside Targets: - Target 1: Nearest support zone - Target 2: Previous low of the wedge - Target 3: Major support below (depending on your timeframe) ✓ Scenario 2 – Price holds but remains weak If price bounces from the lower edge but fails to break the upper boundary: - The structure remains weakly bullish but vulnerable. - Any upward move is fragile and easy to reverse. - Not suitable for chasing BUY positions. - Bulls need a strong breakout above the upper trendline to reverse the bias — which currently has a lower probability. 3. Intraday Trend Bias Today’s intraday bias remains: DOWN (or at least corrective to the downside). Confirmation signs: - Support becomes easier to break the more it is tested. - Volume is weak on bullish moves. - Price action is tightening → preparing for a breakout. - Sellers will wait for a clean retest, as shown in your reference chart. 4. Conclusion The market is approaching the end-phase of a Rising Wedge, a classic bearish reversal pattern. Priority today: Wait for breakdown → retest → SELL. Avoid chasing BUY setups due to high reversal risk. Expected development: Break support → Retest → Continue dropping “Your edge is built from discipline — not every setup must be traded, but every trade must follow your plan.” Drop your market bias in the comments — do you expect the breakdown or a surprise breakout?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
GOLD ANALYSIS 11/28/20251. Fundamental Analysis: a) Economy: • USD: The USD is slightly weakening after the holiday period; low market liquidity means the decline is not strong. Investors are waiting for new signals from next week’s data. Gold may spike unexpectedly if Japan intervenes in the Yen, causing USD weakness. • U.S. Stock Market: U.S. equities were closed for Thanksgiving. The general trend remains slightly positive with mild risk-on flow, but not strong enough to push gold in the opposite direction. • FED: The Fed maintains a “cautious” stance with no new signals. The scenario still leans toward keeping interest rates unchanged, which provides mild support for gold. A change in the Fed Chair increases the probability of rate cuts, which is supportive for gold. • TRUMP: The Trump administration continues to move toward corporate tax cuts and promoting domestic production. This creates medium-term pressure on the USD → indirectly supporting gold. • Gold ETF – SPDR: SPDR made no buys or sells; holdings remain unchanged. This reflects a wait-and-see sentiment, with no major capital inflow into gold yet. b) Geopolitics: No significant developments in the last 24 hours. Global conflicts remain simmering but not strong enough to create a major boost for gold during the holiday session. c) Market Sentiment: • The market is still in a sideways state with mild risk-on sentiment. • Capital has not fully flowed back into gold, so any upside moves mainly come from technical factors rather than fundamental news. 2. Technical Analysis: The 15-minute chart shows: • Price has broken out of the 4,155–4,170 accumulation zone with strong upward momentum. • RSI is rising steeply and has entered extreme overbought → short-term uptrend is intact but a slight correction is expected. • Price structure has just formed an accumulation pattern. • Technical target based on range box and projection: 4,207. • EMA 20–50 are sloping upward, confirming bullish momentum. Note: Morning breakouts are often retested → watch for BUY entries at the breakout zone. RESISTANCE: 4,193 – 4,207 SUPPORT: 4,136 – 4,096 3. Yesterday’s Market (27/11/25): • GOLD traded almost sideways within 4,143 – 4,170 throughout the day due to low liquidity from Thanksgiving. • SPDR stayed out; the market is waiting for U.S. data to return. • The accumulation structure lasted 24 hours → this morning’s breakout followed the pattern precisely. 4. Strategy for Today (28/11/25): 🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4235 – 4233 SL: 4239 TP1: 4227 TP2: 4221 🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4162 – 4164 SL: 4158 TP1: 4170 TP2: 4176
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Signals_100pips
1
Urgent Notice: Market Anomaly, Avoid TradingUrgent Notice: Market Anomaly, Avoid Trading Gold price movement is in line with our forecast. Gold prices surged after the Asian open, but there is a risk of a pullback, therefore we advise against chasing the rally. Our short position established at $4193 was timed very precisely. Our long position bought at $63 in the European session was sold near $4180. We need to closely monitor the price action during the European and US trading sessions. Gold maintains a steady upward structure overall, with bulls still in control. However, the rapid pullbacks during the rise indicate that while the upward momentum is strong, the pace is not smooth. Support is at $4163, with strong support at $4140-$4150. Given the current abnormal market conditions, all traders should reduce their trading volume to avoid unnecessary losses. This sudden technical glitch has a wide-ranging impact, affecting multiple contracts including US crude oil, gasoline, and palm oil, with WTI crude oil contracts completely suspended. Traders indicate that US Treasury bonds and S&P 500 futures contracts were also affected. Furthermore, other trading platforms, including the forex trading platform EBS, were also affected by the suspension. “Market liquidity was already tight, and even a brief trading halt can distort price discovery mechanisms in bond, foreign exchange, and commodity markets,” said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank in Singapore. “The main risk is the potential for sharp volatility once trading resumes.” The exchange announced that all its derivatives were affected and that it was working with Globex’s supplier, the CME Group, to restore services as quickly as possible. “Our top priority is to minimize the impact and ensure market integrity,” the exchange said in a statement. The derivatives mentioned in the announcement included the benchmark palm oil contract, which rose 0.54% to 4,112 ringgit ($995.88) per tonne when trading was suspended. The CME Group is one of the world’s largest derivatives exchanges, covering a wide range of assets including equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities. The CME Group operates core exchanges including the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), and the COMEX. In addition, the CME Group holds stakes in other exchanges, such as the Gulf Commodity Exchange.
TVC:GOLD
by FIGONRXS
Types of Exotic OptionsIntroduction to Exotic Options Exotic options are a class of financial derivatives that differ from standard "vanilla" options in terms of their structure, payoff, or underlying conditions. While vanilla options include basic calls and puts with straightforward exercise and payoff structures, exotic options introduce additional features, making them more flexible but also more complex. These options are commonly used for hedging, speculation, or structuring custom financial products to meet specific investor needs. The term "exotic" broadly covers any option with characteristics that deviate from standard European or American options. Exotic options can be tailored to address particular market views, risk tolerances, or regulatory requirements. Their payoff structures often depend on multiple factors, such as the path of the underlying asset, multiple underlying assets, or the timing of exercise. Exotic options are usually classified based on their payoff structure, underlying conditions, or exercise style. Let’s explore the most common types. 1. Barrier Options Barrier options are options whose existence or payoff depends on whether the underlying asset reaches a specified price level, called the barrier, during the option’s life. Knock-In Options: These options become active only if the underlying asset hits a predefined barrier price. If the barrier is never reached, the option expires worthless. Example: Up-and-In Call – activates only if the asset rises above the barrier. Knock-Out Options: These options cease to exist if the underlying asset hits the barrier. Knock-out options are often cheaper than standard options because the barrier introduces additional risk of early termination. Example: Down-and-Out Put – becomes void if the asset falls below the barrier. Barrier options are useful for hedging or speculative strategies when investors anticipate that the underlying asset will remain within a certain range or move to specific levels. 2. Asian Options Asian options, also called average options, are options where the payoff depends on the average price of the underlying asset over a certain period rather than the price at maturity. Average Price Options: The payoff is based on the difference between the average price of the underlying asset and the strike price. Average Strike Options: The strike price itself is determined based on the average price of the underlying during the option’s life. The averaging feature reduces the risk of market manipulation and extreme price fluctuations near maturity. Asian options are widely used in commodity markets, such as oil or metals, where prices can be volatile. 3. Lookback Options Lookback options provide the holder with the advantage of “looking back” over the life of the option to determine the optimal payoff. The strike price is determined based on the maximum or minimum price of the underlying asset during the option’s life. Lookback Call Option: Payoff is based on the difference between the underlying asset’s maximum price during the option’s life and the strike price. Lookback Put Option: Payoff is based on the difference between the strike price and the minimum asset price during the option’s life. Lookback options eliminate the risk of mistiming the market and are often used by investors with precise views on price movements but uncertain timing. 4. Digital (Binary) Options Digital or binary options provide a fixed payoff if a certain condition is met at maturity and zero otherwise. The condition is usually the underlying asset crossing a predetermined level. Cash-or-Nothing Option: Pays a fixed cash amount if the asset price meets the condition. Asset-or-Nothing Option: Pays the value of the underlying asset if the condition is met. These options are popular in speculative markets because of their simple, all-or-nothing payoff structure. However, they carry high risk and can be sensitive to even minor market fluctuations. 5. Compound Options Compound options are options on options. Essentially, they give the holder the right to buy or sell another option at a predetermined price on or before a certain date. Call on Call: Right to buy a call option. Put on Call: Right to sell a call option. Call on Put: Right to buy a put option. Put on Put: Right to sell a put option. Compound options are frequently used in corporate finance and project valuation, especially when there are multiple stages of investment decisions or sequential financing requirements. 6. Chooser Options Chooser options allow the holder to choose whether the option will be a call or a put at a predetermined future date. This feature provides flexibility in uncertain markets when the direction of price movement is unclear. Typically, the holder decides after observing market conditions partway through the option’s life. Chooser options are more expensive than standard options due to the added flexibility. They are useful for hedging uncertain exposures or for speculative purposes when market trends are ambiguous. 7. Rainbow Options Rainbow options derive their value from two or more underlying assets. The payoff depends on the performance of multiple assets, which can be combined in different ways: Best-of Options: Payoff is based on the best-performing underlying asset. Worst-of Options: Payoff is based on the worst-performing underlying asset. Rainbow options are often used in portfolio strategies or in situations where the correlation between assets can be exploited. For instance, they can hedge multi-asset portfolios or provide exposure to multiple currencies or commodities. 8. Exotic American Options While standard American options can be exercised anytime before expiry, exotic American options combine this flexibility with other exotic features such as barriers, lookbacks, or multiple underlying assets. They provide advanced hedging tools for sophisticated investors. Example: A barrier American call can be exercised any time before expiration but is void if the underlying hits a certain level. 9. Cliquet (Ratchet) Options Cliquet options, also known as ratchet options, feature periodic resets of the strike price. The payoff is based on the sum of gains over each reset period. Often used in structured products to guarantee a minimum return while participating in market upside. Popular in equity-linked notes or structured investment products that offer partial protection. 10. Exotic Options in Structured Products Exotic options are frequently embedded in structured products, combining multiple features to achieve specific investor objectives: Yield Enhancement Products: Use barrier options to generate higher income when markets remain stable. Principal-Protected Notes: Combine options and bonds to protect the invested capital while offering exposure to market upside. Convertible Structured Products: Include compound or chooser options to allow investors flexibility in timing or payoff. These products highlight the practical applications of exotic options beyond pure speculation. Conclusion Exotic options provide a rich toolkit for investors and risk managers. Their complex structures allow customization of risk, payoff, and market exposure that cannot be achieved with standard options. However, they also come with higher pricing complexity, lower liquidity, and increased counterparty risk. The most commonly used exotic options include barrier options, Asian options, lookback options, digital options, compound options, chooser options, rainbow options, and Cliquet options. Each type serves a unique purpose, whether for hedging, speculation, or creating structured investment products. By understanding the characteristics and applications of these options, investors can design strategies that align precisely with market expectations, risk tolerance, and financial goals. Exotic options are not just theoretical constructs—they are widely used in professional trading, corporate finance, and risk management.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
GOLD: Rally followed by a pullbackGold is showing a trend of rallying in the Asian session followed by short-term pressure today. While strongly supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut, it also faces high-level pressure from the weekly and monthly closing. The intraday trend is likely to be a "rally followed by a pullback". After contesting near the middle band and trend line yesterday, gold chose to break upward. Despite the inertial upward momentum in the Asian session, the MACD indicator on this timeframe has shown a downward divergence, signaling a potential pullback risk. We need to focus on the European and American session trends closely,if the rally fails to sustain after moving higher, a "rally to highs then close lower" pattern is likely to form. Intraday Short-term Resistance: Around 4195. If gold successfully breaks above this resistance level, it may face pressure in the 4210 - 4230 range. Short-term Support Levels: Keep an eye on the 4150 - 4160 zone. A breakdown below this level could trigger a further decline to the key support at 4140. Sell 4185 - 4190 SL 4195 TP 4160 - 4150 - 4140 Buy 4160 - 4165 SL 4155 TP 4180 - 4185 - 4190
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by KingArthur_
Gold opened strongly higher; can it break through 4200 today? After two days of range-bound trading, gold's overall upward trend remains unchanged. The rapid rise at the Asian open indicates that bulls are eager to push higher, and gold is still in the bulls' favored position. Pullbacks during the Asian session should be used as buying opportunities. The current upward trend, technically, favors buying on dips. Buying in batches around 4155-65 is a good strategy, as gold formed strong support around 4140 yesterday. The Asian session opened with a strong upward surge, breaking through the 4180 resistance level, which had been tested multiple times without success. This significant rally has allowed gold to stabilize above 4180, and the bulls may accelerate their advance, potentially reaching 4200. While the overall trend remains bullish, buying on dips is still the main strategy. However, considering the likelihood of a sharp rise followed by a fall, and the fact that the 4200 psychological level won't be easily breached, it's advisable to consider lightly buying short positions in batches around 4190-4200 during the Asian session. The previous trading day saw relatively little price movement, with only four orders executed. Despite the limited number of trades, both bulls and bears profited. You can verify the accuracy of our historical recommendations by checking them. Today's gold price action will provide more opportunities for trading. As you know, we update our strategies daily. Due to the potential delay in this article, if you lack a gold trading plan or strategy and are seeking consistent and stable returns, you can find the channel entry to contact me for real-time trading signals. I focus solely on short-term trading and clear market analysis. In short-term trading, there is no market that goes up or down forever; there are only correct entry points in the present moment. Find the rhythm and follow the trend. This is the essence of trading. Currently, you must seize every opportunity to buy on pullbacks. If you are unable to execute trades precisely, try the method I teach you: first test the market with a small position, then add to your position on pullbacks. This way, you won't miss any opportunities. If you need to recover significant losses or obtain precise trading signals, let's work together to flexibly and steadily pursue greater profits in the ever-changing market!
TVC:GOLDLong
by FIGONRXS
XAU/USD 28 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK