XAUUSD – Gold Analysis & Trading Plan (Sep 26, 2025 - Update)1️⃣Main Trend
- On H1, gold is still holding the medium-term uptrend with the rising trendline from the September 25th low.
- In the short term, price has just broken out above POC 3754 with a strong bullish candle → showing buyers are currently in control.
2️⃣ Key Zones
Resistance:
- 3765 – 3770: the area just touched, potential short-term barrier.
- 3780 – 3782 (VAH): strong resistance, a breakout here could extend the bullish momentum.
Support:
- 3754 (POC): equilibrium zone, now acting as short-term support.
- 3730 (VAL): stronger support, previous volume low.
3️⃣ Price Action
- After multiple consolidations, price has broken out above POC.
- The breakout candle has both strong volume and a large body → confirming real buying strength.
- However, price is now testing the 3765 – 3770 zone, which could trigger a short-term pullback.
4️⃣ Trading Plan
* Scenario 1 – Buy pullback (priority):
- Wait for price to retest 3754 (POC) or the rising trendline.
- Buy around 3754 – 3756 if a bullish reversal candle appears.
- TP: 3765 → 3782 (VAH).
* Scenario 2 – Buy breakout:
- If price breaks 3765 – 3770 with a strong H1 candle.
- Buy on successful retest.
- TP: 3782 → extended to 3800.
* Scenario 3 – Short-term Sell (high risk):
- If price fails to break 3765 – 3770 and forms a strong rejection candle.
- Sell around 3768.
- TP: 3754 → 3740.
👉 Summary:
- The zone 3754 – 3756 (POC) is the best Buy entry on a retest.
- If price breaks 3770, continue to Buy following the uptrend.
- Sell should only be considered short-term around 3768 with clear rejection signals.
👉 If you find this analysis useful, don’t forget to hit like 👍 and drop a comment 💬 to support us in delivering even better insights! Or join my channel to get free signal.
