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Gold prices fluctuated, experiencing repeated oscillations. Gold prices retreated during Thursday's Asian session, primarily reflecting improved market risk appetite and reduced safe-haven demand amid thin holiday trading. As market expectations for another Fed rate cut in December intensified, coupled with rising hopes for regional peace negotiations, global market sentiment turned optimistic, prompting some funds to flow from gold to risk assets. This week's US economic data was mixed, but overall did not change the market's assessment of the Fed's policy path. Data from the US Commerce Department showed that durable goods orders rose 0.5% in September, a significant slowdown from the previous 3.0%, but still higher than the market forecast of 0.3%. Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.6%, indicating continued resilience within the manufacturing sector. Gold prices retreated slightly after previous gains, mainly influenced by improved market risk appetite and rising expectations for peace negotiations. However, strong expectations of a Fed rate cut in December put pressure on the dollar, continuing to support gold. While various US economic data showed mixed results, they did not shake the market's judgment on a rate cut. Recent speeches by several Federal Reserve officials have clearly shifted towards a dovish stance. John Williams of the New York Fed stated that if the economy remains as it is, interest rate cuts would not affect the inflation target; while Fed Governor Waller pointed out that the weakness in the labor market is sufficient to support another rate cut. Against this backdrop, the dollar index fell to a one-week low, continuing to be a significant supporting factor for gold. On the other hand, signs of improvement in the atmosphere surrounding regional peace negotiations have further boosted risk appetite. Multiple statements indicate that while negotiations remain far off, external sentiment has improved, thus weakening gold's safe-haven appeal. Overall, gold's fundamentals present a mixed structure of "cooling safe-haven demand + support from interest rate expectations." Short-term fluctuations in gold are more driven by sentiment than by trend reversal signals. From the combined perspective of interest rate expectations, dollar performance, and technical structure, this round of correction is more like a natural adjustment within an upward trend. If subsequent economic data continues to support expectations of rate cuts, then gold still has the potential to resume its upward trend after retracing to key support levels. However, it should be noted that fluctuations in peace negotiation expectations could bring additional volatility. There are no key data releases or events to watch today. The gold market will close two hours early due to Thanksgiving in the US, but this can be disregarded. Gold Price Analysis: Gold touched around 4173 in the US session yesterday before falling back. We identified the 4170-75 resistance level yesterday, a key resistance point we've emphasized in the past two days. If this level continues to act as resistance today, the downward momentum may persist. This morning, gold saw a slight pullback to around 4140 before consolidating in a narrow range. This morning's pullback is likely a tentative move; we will continue to monitor the resistance level to see how much further it may fall. Looking at the four-hour chart, the triangle consolidation pattern for gold remains unchanged. The downward trendline resistance is at 4173-75. Only a decisive break above this trendline will allow for further upward movement and a new opportunity. Otherwise, it will remain in consolidation at the end of the consolidation phase. On the one-hour chart, the price has started to break below the short-term support zone and is now under pressure from the short-term moving averages. There may be some room for adjustment in the short term; we will monitor the short-term correction. Today, continue to focus on the resistance level of the upper trendline of the triangle pattern, which is also the watershed between bulls and bears. If the resistance holds, expect a pullback. Therefore, we still need to try to establish short positions today. If there is a rebound to around 4168-73, we can short. In summary, the short-term trading strategy for gold today is to focus on selling on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4173-4175, and the key support level is 4110-4100. Please keep up with the pace.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by dgfacpe
[Gold Market in Turmoil Again: Rate Cut Expectations Ignite Bull The gold market has been turbulent recently. Fueled by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, gold prices have strongly broken through recent resistance levels, demonstrating an exciting upward trend! On Wednesday, spot gold closed at $4163.78 per ounce, a daily increase of 0.8%, and even touched a more than one-week high of $4173.31 during the session. 🎯 🌟Core Driver: Significantly Increased Expectations of a Fed Rate Cut! With a series of dovish signals from Federal Reserve officials, market expectations for a December rate cut have surged dramatically. FedWatch tools show that traders' probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next month has jumped from 30% a week ago to 85%! This astonishing shift has greatly encouraged gold bulls. 🌟Weak Dollar + Low Interest Rate Environment: Gold Receives Double Benefits The potential appointment of White House economic advisor Hassett to a new position, and his advocacy for lower interest rates, have exacerbated expectations of a weaker dollar. In a low-interest-rate environment, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold decreases, making gold's safe-haven attributes even more prominent! ✨ 【Technical Analysis】 📊Daily Chart: Yesterday saw a slight positive close, fluctuating between $4132 and $4173. Currently, gold prices are testing the key trendline resistance around $4173. Excessive optimism is unwarranted until a decisive breakout occurs at this level. 📊4-Hour Chart: The triangle consolidation pattern remains intact, with the downward trendline resistance located in the $4173-75 range. Only a strong breakout above this resistance zone can unlock new upward potential. 🎢 📊1-Hour Chart: Short-term pressure is evident; the price has broken below the support zone. A correction and recovery should be monitored. 【Trading Strategy Guide】 🎯Key Levels: • Resistance: 4173-4175 • Support: 4110-4100 💡Trading Suggestions: • Short Position Strategy: Sell in batches around 4175-4180, stop loss at 10 points, target 4150-4130 • Long Position Strategy: Buy in batches around 4105-4110, stop loss at 10 points, target 4130-4150 ⚠️Risk Warning: Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, market trading may be thin, and volatility may be limited. Conservative traders are advised to wait until after the holiday to trade. Aggressive traders must strictly control their positions and set stop losses! 🌲! Gold is at a crucial juncture. Will it break upwards or correct downwards? Let's wait and see! No matter how the market changes, remaining calm and strictly disciplined are the keys to success. 💪
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold-segmentation
Thanksgiving volatility is limited, precise strategy is key.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD 🙏Today is Thanksgiving, and the market will close early. Gold trading is likely to be quiet, and with insufficient liquidity, it is expected to continue to fluctuate within a narrow range. 📊However, as I said yesterday, core safe-haven demands such as the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and geopolitical factors continue to provide some support for gold prices, and the upward structure has not been broken. The holiday effect is simply limiting significant volatility. Pullbacks are all for building momentum for a subsequent bullish rally. 📈The short-term daily MA5 is moving upward, and the 4-hour moving average and Bollinger middle line are also around 4135, which together with 4125 below form short-term support. On the first pullback to the 4135-4125 area, you can consider a small long position. The key support level to watch remains unchanged at around 4115-4100, near the daily MA10. As long as this level holds, the market's bullish trend will remain intact. 🌈Regarding resistance, continue to focus on the 4170-4180 range, a breakout would lead to an attack on the 4195-4205 range. ✅In summary, our strategy remains unchanged: in the absence of data or news-related factors today, we will primarily focus on buying on dips and waiting for the market to provide opportunities to buy at lower prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Bull-Bear_Indicator
Gold prices retreated slightly as market sentiment shifted towarGold prices retreated slightly as market sentiment shifted towards risk assets. Gold prices fell during Asian trading hours on Thursday, primarily reflecting improved market risk appetite and reduced safe-haven demand due to thin trading during the holiday season. As market expectations for another Fed rate cut in December intensified, coupled with improved regional peace negotiations, global sentiment became more optimistic, prompting some funds to flow from gold to risk assets. Fundamental Analysis Fed Policy Expectations Support Gold Prices Recent speeches by several Fed officials have clearly shifted towards a dovish stance. John Williams of the New York Fed stated that if the economy remains as it is, a rate cut would not affect the inflation target; Fed Governor Waller pointed out that the weakness in the labor market is sufficient to support another rate cut. Against this backdrop, the dollar index fell to a one-week low, continuing to provide support for gold. Divergent Economic Data Does Not Change Expectations of Rate Cuts Data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed that durable goods orders rose 0.5% in September, a significant slowdown from the previous 3.0%, but higher than the expected 0.3%. Orders excluding transportation rose 0.6%, indicating that the manufacturing sector remains resilient. Overall data did not change market expectations regarding the Fed's policy path. Safe-haven demand was suppressed. Improved regional peace negotiations and a more positive external sentiment weakened gold's safe-haven appeal. Although negotiations remain far off, increased risk appetite is putting short-term pressure on gold prices. Technical Analysis: The structure is consolidating. The four-hour chart shows gold in a triangle consolidation pattern, with the downward trendline resistance in the 4173-4175 range. A decisive break above this resistance is needed to open up new upward potential; otherwise, consolidation will continue. Short-term pressure, watch for potential correction. The one-hour chart shows the price has broken below the short-term support zone and is under pressure from short-term moving averages, indicating a possible short-term correction. Key intraday resistance is at 4173-4175, with support at 4110-4100. Trading Strategies Short Position Strategy: If the price rebounds to around 4170-4173, consider shorting in batches with a stop-loss of 8 points. Target 4150-4130, with a further target of 4110 if it breaks below. Long Position Strategy: If the price pulls back to around 4105-4110, consider going long in batches with a stop-loss of 8 points. Target 4130-4150, with a further target of 4170 if it breaks above. Risk Warning: All trades require strict position control and stop-loss orders. Be wary of extreme market conditions caused by unforeseen events. Due to Thanksgiving in the US, the gold market will close early today, and trading may be light.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by XAUUSD-Elizabeth
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure. Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building. 2. Liquidity & POI Zones There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders. An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move. PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area. 3. Expected Move The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone. The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line. The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend. 4. Probability Outlook As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish. A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
USOIL H1 | Bearish Reversal Off key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish The price is rising towards the sell entry, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Sell entry: 59.31 Pullback resistance 61.8% Fibonacci projection Stop loss: 60.03 Pullback resistance 145% Fibonacci extension Take profit: 58.16 Pullback support High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
Gold Awaits Breakout as Tight Range Consolidation ContinuesSince yesterday, gold has repeatedly encountered resistance near 4168, with intraday highs reaching around 4173. This sustained narrow-range consolidation is mainly driven by two factors: a need to absorb short-term selling pressure and reduced market activity due to the Thanksgiving holiday, which together have limited price volatility. From a daily perspective, the bullish structure remains intact, and rate-cut expectations continue to strengthen. Under such conditions, and barring any major unexpected news, the market is likely to see a directional breakout either tomorrow or early next week. On the technical side, the 4H MACD shows signs of a potential bearish crossover, but the 1H and 2H structures remain constructive. As time progresses, the strength in the shorter timeframes is likely to offset the temporary weakness shown on the 4H chart. In the short term, watch the 4148–4138 support zone, while resistance remains at 4168. Short-term trading can focus on the 4138–4168 range. A breakout to the upside would open targets at 4180–4200, while a downside break would turn attention toward the 4120–4100 support area. As long as the daily structure remains intact (trend support at 4078–4064), gold still has the potential to reclaim levels above 4300. Overall, the current short-term volatility is more sentiment-driven and does not indicate a trend reversal. Combining rate-cut expectations, DXY trajectory, and gold’s technical structure, the recent pullback appears to be a healthy correction within an ongoing uptrend. If upcoming economic data continues to support rate-cut expectations, gold is likely to resume its upward movement after retesting key support areas. However, fluctuations in peace-talk expectations may introduce additional volatility. Trading Note: If rate-cut expectations continue to build and gold rallies sharply before the rate decision, be cautious of a “sell-the-news” pullback. This would be a normal technical correction, and as long as key support levels hold, the broader bullish trend will remain intact.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold on expected upswingTechnical analysis: Gold is showcasing increasing Buying presence on Monthly chart as it is virtually unchanged (the #1M candle at # +2.74% currently) as Price-action is on parabolic uptrend within July’s High’s and October Low’s. This has effectively constructed an series of green candles on Daily chart hence the Neutral values on Hourly 1 chart which was an ideal Buying opportunity for Short-term Traders however Gold is struggling to stage more serious recovery even though we are already Trading above #4,100.80 benchmark comfortably. Personally I remain on Medium-term Buying set-up as Weekly chart (#1W) remains heavily Bullish indicating that the latest consolidation was simply another accumulation and distribution phase of the recently started Bull market. However the Price-action just touched the Weekly chart’s #4,171.80 Resistance and is currently Trading just below it. My position: After Profiting on multiple Medium-term Buying orders, I have turned now to more Intra-day calls as announced and am Buying Gold literally from #4,138.80 on multiple occasions and will continue to do so, and will Buy Big if #4,130.80 is delivered. I will not Sell Gold and my practical suggestion is to not Sell Gold at all costs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold on expected upswingTechnical analysis: Gold is showcasing increasing Buying presence on Monthly chart as it is virtually unchanged (the #1M candle at # +2.74% currently) as Price-action is on parabolic uptrend within July’s High’s and October Low’s. This has effectively constructed an series of green candles on Daily chart hence the Neutral values on Hourly 1 chart which was an ideal Buying opportunity for Short-term Traders however Gold is struggling to stage more serious recovery even though we are already Trading above #4,100.80 benchmark comfortably. Personally I remain on Medium-term Buying set-up as Weekly chart (#1W) remains heavily Bullish indicating that the latest consolidation was simply another accumulation and distribution phase of the recently started Bull market. However the Price-action just touched the Weekly chart’s #4,171.80 Resistance and is currently Trading just below it. My position: After Profiting on multiple Medium-term Buying orders, I have turned now to more Intra-day calls as announced and am Buying Gold literally from #4,138.80 on multiple occasions and will continue to do so, and will Buy Big if #4,130.80 is delivered. I will not Sell Gold and my practical suggestion is to not Sell Gold at all costs.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
In CL1! Rally Viewpoint based on Price ActionIn today’s CL1! view, the chart presents a clear shift within the 125-minute timeframe, where price paused, absorbed liquidity, and then signaled a controlled transition in structure. This evolving behavior highlights how momentum can shift from exhaustion into a potential rally setup when demand areas hold and short-term liquidity gets swept. The focus here is on observing how price forms a base, reacts to key zones, and develops confirmation through structural changes. This viewpoint remains centered on pure price action, offering a clean and objective look at how a trend-change opportunity formed in the 125-minute window.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by hs174765
GOLD: Triangle Breakout Imminent! Dual Setup for Next Big Move🔥 #GOLD — Massive Triangle Breakout Coming!| Dual Trade Setup (Long & Short Ready) 🔥 #Gold is compressing inside a well-defined symmetrical triangle, signaling a major volatility expansion ahead. Price is currently respecting both trendlines, creating a high-probability breakout zone. I have prepared two trade scenarios depending on where the breakout occurs: Bullish Scenario A strong candle close above 4180 will confirm an upside breakout. This level is the key resistance where buyers are expected to take control. Target remains the upper measured move at 4370, with a protective SL below 4018. Bearish Scenario If #Gold fails to break higher and instead breaks below the triangle support and 4018, this will activate a bearish continuation setup. Downside target sits at 3890, aligning with the next major support area. The plan is simple: No early entries — wait for confirmation. This symmetrical triangle is maturing, and the next breakout is likely to be explosive. Use disciplined risk management and follow the structure. #GOLD #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #TrianglePattern #BreakoutTrading #ForexSignals #TradingSetup #BullishScenario #BearishScenario #RiskManagement #DayTrading #SwingTrading #ChartAnalysis #TradingViewCommunity
FX:XAUUSD
by mudusir
NQ1! – Bearish Descending Channel, Short Setup Active Nasdaq 100 futures remain trapped inside a bearish descending channel on the 4H chart after failing to reclaim the 25,500 zone. Key points: Series of lower highs along the blue upper trendline Strong rejection every time price touches the channel top Support cluster 25,000–24,800 tested multiple times but showing weakening bounces RSI slipping toward oversold, but momentum still favors sellers Bearish plan Current price rejecting the upper channel again around 25,300–25,320 → Short entry zone 25,280–25,320 Target 1: 25,000 Target 2: 24,800 (lower channel boundary) Target 3: 24,500 (channel breakdown target) Stop-loss above 25,450 (clear invalidation) Risk/Reward → 1:1.8 average Bullish reversal only on strong break and close above 25,400–25,450 with volume (then first target 25,800). As long as we stay inside this channel, bias is short. Holiday-thinned liquidity can accelerate the move on Friday open. Short setup live.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Yforex123
XAUUSD – Bullish Ascending Triangle Ready for Breakout After a strong impulsive move from 3,600 to 4,250, Gold is now consolidating inside a clear ascending triangle on the 4H timeframe. Key observations: Higher lows are perfectly respected along the rising yellow trendline Upper resistance (blue descending line) is getting tighter → classic compression Multiple tests of the 4,000 psychological zone turned it into strong support Bullish scenario Break and 4H close above 4,165–4,175 → triggers triangle breakout Target 1: 4,200 Target 2: 4,250 (recent swing high) Target 3: 4,300+ (measured move) Stop-loss below 3,980 (invalidates the triangle) Risk/Reward → 1:1.8 to 1:3 depending on scaling Bearish invalidation only on decisive break below 4,000 with volume (then target 3,880–3,800). Until then, bias remains firmly bullish. Watching for post-Thanksgiving momentum on Friday. Long setup active. #XAUUSD #Gold #Bullish
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Yforex123