Futures market
THIS IS MY EXPECTED BULLISH MOVE THIS COMING WEEKBookmark it somewhere, I will probably post it again and explain it tomorrow or lately by Monday before New York session, don't take it for granted though, I will also update it on Monday when the market present any little changes which wouldn't be any significant change unless the market decide to change to bearishness, which i dont think it's going to happen.
Gold Under Pressure - Is the Downtrend Just Beginning?Hi everyone, it’s Ken!
On the 2H chart, after careful observation, we can see a RISING WEDGE pattern forming. After XAUUSD broke the previous uptrend and completed its correction phase, there's a high likelihood that a new bearish trend will emerge, continuing the short-term downtrend we've seen recently.
Ken's target is to push the price below 3,630, aiming for a further low at 3,608 – this level perfectly aligns with Fibonacci 1.618.
What about you? Do you think XAUUSD will continue to drop, or is there a chance for a reversal to the upside? Share your thoughts and targets in the comments!
Can we short sell gold at the current price?Trading ideas review📈
The gold price trend has reversed from a decline to an upward trend, once again reaching around 3670 points, which perfectly aligns with the trading strategy I outlined in my previous article. When the price dipped to 3635 points, I repeatedly warned investors to buy long. When the price fluctuated around 3640 points, I again warned investors who hadn't yet established a position to buy long. The current market has perfectly validated my strategy, and yields are still soaring.
Gold Trend Analysis📈
Following the interest rate decision, gold prices have been trading in a wide range, with both long and short positions seeing profits this week. Gold has now risen to around 3670. Technically, multiple indicators remain bullish. However, due to the proximity of short-term resistance levels, gold's upward movement appears to be struggling, and the market is currently experiencing volatility. Whether gold will rise or fall, a breakout above 3670 is crucial in the short term. If it holds, the upward trend will continue; otherwise, the market will decline.
I took a long position on gold at 3635 and have already closed it at 3670 to take profits.
Today is the last trading day of the week. Due to the uncertainty surrounding the weekend market closure, I will not be conducting any transactions. Have a great weekend, and see you next week!
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Analysis and HighlightsHi Traders
The market is expected to start the week with an upward move toward the resistance zones at 86 (buyers’ TP, which hasn’t been touched yet), resistance at 3688, and the 1H breaker block. Upon reaching these areas, I expect the first pullback toward the broken 15-minute equilibrium candle (zone 65.72 with 69 as the midpoint). If this zone holds as support, the market could target 2703 (hunt line that hasn’t had its pullback yet) before moving back toward lower liquidity points such as 3639 (sellers’ TP is positioned below – liquidity hunt) and 3626 liquidity, with support at 3623–3618 below it. From there, the market will decide its direction. If the 1H closes below this level, we’ll likely see a correction; otherwise, with just a shadow wick, it could still take out the daily liquidity above the high wick again
Coffee Heist: Are You Ready for the Bullish Layup?🚨☕ "COFFEE" Heist Plan – Swing/Day Robbery 🚨
🌟 Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Dear Robbers & Money Makers 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥 Thief Trading Style Analysis 🔥 here’s our master heist plan to rob the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market.
🎯 Plan: Bullish Robbery
Entry 📥: Any price level – Thief always sneaks in at any vault door.
👉 But remember: Thief Strategy = LAYERED ENTRY ⚡
Multiple Buy-Limit Layers:
(390.00) 🏦
(380.00) 💎
(370.00) 🎭
(360.00) 🔑
(Add more layers based on your own robbery plan)
Stop Loss 🛑:
This is Thief SL @ 340.00 ⚔️
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) – Adjust your SL based on your personal robbery strategy & risk appetite.
Target 🎯:
⚠️ Police barricade spotted @ 440.00 🚔
So escape early with the loot @ 430.00 💸 before getting caught!
🏴☠️ Thief Notes:
Our heist is in the bullish zone 🚀
Layer in carefully, don’t rush 💎
Always manage risk – the cops (market makers) are watching 👮♂️
Use alerts, trailing SL & risk management to protect your stolen bags 💰
💥 If you’re riding with the Thief crew – Hit Boost 🚀 & Share Love ❤️ – that fuels our robbery strength!
We rob, we trade, we escape – That’s the Thief Way! 🏆🐱👤
#ThiefTrader #CoffeeHeist #CommoditiesCFD #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayerStrategy #BuyTheDip #TradingPlan #ForexRobbers #MarketHeist
Gold Buy Setup — Intraday Idea💹 Entry: 3678
🛑 Stop Loss: 3676
🎯 Target: 3750
Price is holding above the key support zone. A long position is initiated at 3678, with a tight stop below at 3676. The upside potential targets the 3750 level, aligning with the next resistance zone.
Risk is minimal with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Monitoring price action closely for confirmation.
📊 This is an educational idea, not financial advice.
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
ARE INVESTORS WAITING FOR OCTOBER RATE CUT?Current Price: $3,658
Resistance: $3,672
Support: $3,628
Bias: Short from $3,660–$3,668 | Target: $3,630
Fundamental Insight:
The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, which was widely anticipated and already priced into the market. As a result, gold initially lacked any bullish momentum post-decision.
What changed the sentiment is the lack of dovish forward guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He did not signal any further rate cuts for the upcoming October meeting, which led to:
A strengthening U.S. dollar
Weakening demand for gold as a non-yielding asset
A shift in short-term sentiment to risk-off for precious metals
This macro backdrop aligns well with the potential for a near-term correction in gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zone: $3,668–$3,672
This area has historically acted as a short-term supply zone. Price action shows signs of rejection near this level.
Support Zone: $3,630–$3,628
A significant demand zone from recent sessions, and a possible target for short setups.
Price Action Strategy:
Currently, the price is consolidating below the $3,660 resistance area. A potential liquidity grab up to $3,668 could be the last push before a bearish move.
Bearish Setup (My Trade Plan):
I am favoring short entries from the $3,660–$3,668 zone, with tight stops above $3,672.
Target: $3,630, potentially lower if momentum builds.
Sentiment & Volume:
Declining bullish volume near resistance
RSI and MACD on lower timeframes are showing bearish divergence
Dollar Index (DXY) strength adds to gold's downside pressure
GOLD (XAUUSD) H1📊 GOLD (XAUUSD) H1 Setup
🔹 On H1, the FVG has now converted into an Inversion FVG.
🔹 At the same level, we also have an Order Block.
👉 Our plan: As soon as price retests the Order Block, we’ll look for Buy setups with confirmation on the lower timeframe.
✅ Smart entries only with patience and confirmation.
Gold Forecast (XAUUSD)🟡 GOLD – 1H Breakdown
Alright traders, here’s the scoop 👀
We’re chopping around mid-range after that last BOS. Liquidity is literally everywhere — BSLs chilling above the highs, SSLs hiding under the lows. Market’s teasing both sides like it’s fishing for stops 🎣.
🔑 Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone 1 (Preferred snack stop): 3,600 – 3,620 🍫
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper dip special): 3,560 – 3,580 🥤
Trendline liquidity just waiting to get grabbed… you know how it goes 😏
Upside target: 3,700+ — where the big liquidity bags are stacked 🎯
🛠 Possible Plays:
Quick liquidity sweep under the lows → tap into Buy Zone 1 or 2 → rocket launch 🚀
If demand fails, we’re diving into the swing range 3,530 – 3,550 for a bigger reload.
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Expect a cheeky stop-hunt under the lows.
Mid-term: Bulls still in control, eyes on that juicy 3,700+ grab.
Bias : Liquidity sweep down → Buy for continuation 📈✨
Forecast H1 For Next Week , 22 September 2025Here’s the H1 outlook for next week, September 22, 2025:
If price breaks the HR level and makes a clean pullback , that’s a strong sign of a bullish continuation. In that case, we can look for buy setups and ride the trend higher.
But if price pulls back into the yellow zone below HR and respects the Fibonacci levels , that’s a warning that the market may flip bearish. In that case, we shift focus to sell setups.
⚠️ Either way, don’t rush in. Wait for solid confirmation before opening any positions. Let the market show its hand first.
Stay patient, stay disciplined.
XAU/USD | GOLD ATH at $3,707, Then Heavy Dump – What Happend?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after the Fed rate cut announcement, the price first dropped from $3,686 to $3,649, stopping out many buyers. Then, gold rallied sharply, gaining 570 pips up to $3,707 and printing a new ATH, which stopped out sellers. After that, the market turned again, with another heavy drop that stopped out fresh buyers too.
As I mentioned yesterday, this move was expected. Many asked why gold dropped despite the rate cut — the reason is that the news was already priced in last month. The market had anticipated the cut, which is why gold had already rallied earlier, and that’s why we saw this sharp drop after the announcement.
Currently, gold is trading around $3,637 after falling to $3,627. I expect this decline to continue toward the next target zone at $3,612–$3,622. Once price reaches that level, we’ll review the next scenario. The key supply zones to watch are $3,667, $3,677, $3,684, and $3,691.
I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD "lost steam" after the peak because the US Dollar increasedThe world OANDA:XAUUSD fell in the session on Thursday (September 18) after hitting a record high of 3,707.40 USD/ounce the day before. The main reason came from profit-taking activities of investors and the strengthening of the US dollar and treasury bond yields. As of the time of writing on Friday (September 19), spot gold was trading at 3,648 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of 0.12% on the day.
New economic data from the US weighed on the market: initial jobless claims fell to 231,000, lower than expected, while the Philadelphia Federal Reserve manufacturing index unexpectedly jumped to 23.2, a sharp improvement from the previous month. This pushed the greenback higher and made gold more expensive. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.102%, while the real yield was close to 1.722%, adding to the pressure on the precious metal. This was largely a technical correction after gold hit a series of new highs.
However, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive. The precious metal typically benefits when the Fed enters a policy easing cycle. In fact, the Fed just cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although there was no absolute consensus. Chairman Jerome Powell called it a “risk-control” measure for the labor market, but also affirmed that the Fed is in no hurry.
In addition, data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China increased 254% in August, reflecting strong demand from Asia. The trend of diversifying foreign exchange reserves of the BRICS bloc continues to be a major support for gold prices.
Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by nearly 39%, and investors still believe that the target of $ 4,000 / ounce can be challenged in the near future.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has had two sessions of technical corrections, but it still has all the bullish conditions in place, while the initial conditions for a deep correction have not yet appeared. Currently, gold is trying to recover and is still above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can be said to be the closest support at the moment. On the other hand, gold is still in an uptrend channel and is receiving major support from the EMA21.
As long as gold remains above the $3,600 base point, the declines should be viewed as a short-term correction or a fresh buying opportunity.
The relative strength index (RSI) is also moving sideways after testing the 80 level, and a steep RSI break below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible deeper correction.
For the day, the overall technical outlook for gold is bullish, and the key points to watch are listed below.
Support: $3,614 – $3,600
Resistance: $3,673 – $3,700 – $3,707
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3678 - 3676⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3682
→Take Profit 1 3670
↨
→Take Profit 2 3664
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3606 - 3608⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3602
→Take Profit 1 3614
↨
→Take Profit 2 3620