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Gold Faces Major Resistance: Is a Sharp Decline Imminent?Hey everyone, looking at XAUUSD today, I noticed something quite interesting. Gold has reached an important resistance level, one that in the past has acted as a strong barrier, pushing the price down. This area has also been a strong supply zone, where sellers have previously taken control of the market. Therefore, it becomes a "hot" spot for those looking for shorting opportunities. If the price starts showing bearish signals, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening buying pressure, I think there's a good chance we could see a drop towards 3,604, and possibly even lower to 3,5XX if the selling pressure remains strong. However, if the price breaks this resistance clearly, the bearish outlook might be invalidated, and we could see a further rally. This is just my personal view on the support and resistance levels, not financial advice. Always double-check your signals and ensure proper risk management. Good luck with your trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kenn_Nguyen
8
Not as Bullish as it Seems - ES Futures Its not often that you see this many points of control unfilled. I have removed the Volume Profile to make a point. When the market finished with a level, often it will return to it to "check it off" - as shown in the red circles. There are buyers waiting there and liquidity - after all that was the most traded price for that day. Sometimes I've noticed - that there will be a close double line that goes untouched. Much like accounting - it means work completed. Price will move much higher. This isn't anything I've been taught but after looking screens for years something I've observed, we have that here too. Bottom line these lines get filled - but when I see this many, I get a little concerned. What's going on that we are not hearing in the news. Japanese Bond market blowing up? Dems won't has a budget? Point is something is going on. Actionable idea? Sure buy a Call Bear spread in the SPX at the money (Remember the ES is about 50 points higher than the SPX)- 30 days out and target the highest Point of Control under the yesterdays - with a 20 Point spread at the money the risk/reward is your favor. Most likely than that one will get filled - in the next 7 days but 30 days gives you time.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Maximilianned
Gold Analysis and HighlightsHi Traders The market is expected to start the week with an upward move toward the resistance zones at 86 (buyers’ TP, which hasn’t been touched yet), resistance at 3688, and the 1H breaker block. Upon reaching these areas, I expect the first pullback toward the broken 15-minute equilibrium candle (zone 65.72 with 69 as the midpoint). If this zone holds as support, the market could target 2703 (hunt line that hasn’t had its pullback yet) before moving back toward lower liquidity points such as 3639 (sellers’ TP is positioned below – liquidity hunt) and 3626 liquidity, with support at 3623–3618 below it. From there, the market will decide its direction. If the 1H closes below this level, we’ll likely see a correction; otherwise, with just a shadow wick, it could still take out the daily liquidity above the high wick again
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
XPDUSD: Strong Confluence + MomentumBias: Long Trade Type: Reversal Trend: Range Area of Value: Yearly Open + Quarter Open + 6 Hit Support Momentum: 1D MACD Histogram Crossing to High Tide. Entry: 1,102.37 Exits: Stop Loss @ 1,063.95 ; Take Profit @ 1,217.82 Analysis Fact 1: XPDUSD is in a Range between 908.50 and 1,245.35 since 2023. Fact 2: XPDUSD movements between the ranges are relatively fast where a power move toward the resistance @ 1245.35 is also met with a power move reversal to the support @ 908.50 Fact 3: XPDUSD last move towards the resistance broke the resistance, and the reversal towards the support is a slow crawling move instead of a fast power move. Fact 4: XPDUSD slowed down and seemed to bounce on the Area of Value that is full of confluence, paired with the timing of the momentum of MACD Histogram on 1D. Conclusion: XPDUSD broke its Resistance Level and instead of reversing down further to the support with a power move the bears seemed to have stopped at the Area of Value (1,102.37) confluenced by Yearly and Quarterly Opens + a strong 6 Hit support level, paired with a MACD Histogram crossing to High Tide. I believe that XPDUSD will bounce off the Area of Value and atleast reach 1,217.82 before resistance takes place. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.00
FX_IDC:XPDUSDLong
by Rennalt_Capital
2
GOLD WEEKLY SUMMERY.GOLD ,THE daily structure is strongly protected by a demand floor,the daily line chart close at the demand floor level, is 3640,3634,3626 ,the dollar index daily rejection during newyork time at 97.803 was enforced BY 12;00 AND 13;00 that made GOLD to skyrocket from the neckline of the double bottom at 3644 to close 3685 breaking every strategy for sell. The strong double bottom structure from the 4HR line chart ,the neckline was retested at 4HR close in the zone 3644-3647, and GOLD BUYING closed the week 3685 AGAINST ALL ODDS AND STILL looking to reclaim 3700 next week with a possibility of a new all time high at 3723-3725-3730 zone based on the rule of selling from the ascending trendline supply roof on 4HR .THE next touch could be 3730-3725 bound. But at the moment, we have a supply roof from a lower 4-hour cross as a potential rejection zone 3697-3700. If this zone is respected, we could get a correction to keep buying GOLD . I WILL NOT ADVISE ANYONE TO TRY TO SELL GOLD UNTIL THE DAILY BREAK OF DEMAND FLOOR. WE KEEP BUYING AND ALLOW OTHERS TO SELL ,THEN WE LOOK FOR A BUY OPPORTUNITY. GOLD BUY/SELL IS RELATED TO REAL LIFE PHYSICAL GOLD PRICE IN THE MARKET ,SO TAKE IT SERIOUSLY. GOODLUCK #XAUUSD #GOLD #SILVER #COPPER #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Forecast H1 For Next Week , 22 September 2025Here’s the H1 outlook for next week, September 22, 2025: If price breaks the HR level and makes a clean pullback , that’s a strong sign of a bullish continuation. In that case, we can look for buy setups and ride the trend higher. But if price pulls back into the yellow zone below HR and respects the Fibonacci levels , that’s a warning that the market may flip bearish. In that case, we shift focus to sell setups. ⚠️ Either way, don’t rush in. Wait for solid confirmation before opening any positions. Let the market show its hand first. Stay patient, stay disciplined.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Mieyong
2
GOLD GOLD ,THE daily structure is strongly protected by demand floor,the daily line chart close demand level is 3640,3634,3626 and we have a strong double bottom structure from 4hr line chart ,the neckline was retest at 4HR close at 3644 and GOLD BUYING close the week 3685 AGAINST ALL ODDS AND STILL looking to reclaim 3700 next week and possible new all time high at 3723-3725-3730 zone based on the rule of selling from the ascending trendline supply roof on 4HR .THE next touch could be 3730-3725 bound. but at the moment we have a supply roof from a lower 4hr cross as a potential rejection zone 3697-3700 ,if this zone is respected we could get a correction to keep buying GOLD . I WILL NOT ADVISE ANYONE TO TRY TO SELL GOLD UNTILE DAILY BREAK OF DEMAND FLOOR. WE KEEP BUYING AND ALLOW OTHERS TO SELL ,THEN WE LOOK FOR BUY OPPORTUNITY. GOLD BUY/SELL IS RELATED TO REAL LIFE PHYSICAL GOLD PRICE IN THE MARKET ,SO TAKE IT SERIOUSLY. GOODLUCK #XAUUSD #GOLD #SILVER #COPPER #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD "lost steam" after the peak because the US Dollar increasedThe world OANDA:XAUUSD fell in the session on Thursday (September 18) after hitting a record high of 3,707.40 USD/ounce the day before. The main reason came from profit-taking activities of investors and the strengthening of the US dollar and treasury bond yields. As of the time of writing on Friday (September 19), spot gold was trading at 3,648 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of 0.12% on the day. New economic data from the US weighed on the market: initial jobless claims fell to 231,000, lower than expected, while the Philadelphia Federal Reserve manufacturing index unexpectedly jumped to 23.2, a sharp improvement from the previous month. This pushed the greenback higher and made gold more expensive. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.102%, while the real yield was close to 1.722%, adding to the pressure on the precious metal. This was largely a technical correction after gold hit a series of new highs. However, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive. The precious metal typically benefits when the Fed enters a policy easing cycle. In fact, the Fed just cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although there was no absolute consensus. Chairman Jerome Powell called it a “risk-control” measure for the labor market, but also affirmed that the Fed is in no hurry. In addition, data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China increased 254% in August, reflecting strong demand from Asia. The trend of diversifying foreign exchange reserves of the BRICS bloc continues to be a major support for gold prices. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by nearly 39%, and investors still believe that the target of $ 4,000 / ounce can be challenged in the near future. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has had two sessions of technical corrections, but it still has all the bullish conditions in place, while the initial conditions for a deep correction have not yet appeared. Currently, gold is trying to recover and is still above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can be said to be the closest support at the moment. On the other hand, gold is still in an uptrend channel and is receiving major support from the EMA21. As long as gold remains above the $3,600 base point, the declines should be viewed as a short-term correction or a fresh buying opportunity. The relative strength index (RSI) is also moving sideways after testing the 80 level, and a steep RSI break below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible deeper correction. For the day, the overall technical outlook for gold is bullish, and the key points to watch are listed below. Support: $3,614 – $3,600 Resistance: $3,673 – $3,700 – $3,707 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3678 - 3676⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3682 →Take Profit 1 3670 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3664 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3606 - 3608⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3602 →Take Profit 1 3614 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3620
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Oil Market Update📢 NFX TVC:USOIL Market Update 🛢 GBEBROKERS:USOIL 📊 ECONOMICS:USCOI EIA Crude Oil Inventories – Sep 17, 2025 Actual: -9.285M Forecast: +1.400M Previous: +3.939M ⚡ Huge bullish surprise – sharp drawdown vs forecast. 📍 Current Price: 64.3 Holding above 200-day SMA Trading at key resistance, but zone already weakened from repeated tests. 🔀 Implication: Given the bullish inventory print, I now lean towards Path B → liquidity push above 64.3 toward 65.0 (38.2% Fib level) before any meaningful bearish retracement. ⚠️ Keep in mind: ECONOMICS:USINTR decision still ahead → volatility risk.
GBEBROKERS:USOILShort
by niclaxfx
Gold Forecast (XAUUSD)🟡 GOLD – 1H Breakdown Alright traders, here’s the scoop 👀 We’re chopping around mid-range after that last BOS. Liquidity is literally everywhere — BSLs chilling above the highs, SSLs hiding under the lows. Market’s teasing both sides like it’s fishing for stops 🎣. 🔑 Levels to Watch: Buy Zone 1 (Preferred snack stop): 3,600 – 3,620 🍫 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper dip special): 3,560 – 3,580 🥤 Trendline liquidity just waiting to get grabbed… you know how it goes 😏 Upside target: 3,700+ — where the big liquidity bags are stacked 🎯 🛠 Possible Plays: Quick liquidity sweep under the lows → tap into Buy Zone 1 or 2 → rocket launch 🚀 If demand fails, we’re diving into the swing range 3,530 – 3,550 for a bigger reload. 🔍 Outlook Short-term: Expect a cheeky stop-hunt under the lows. Mid-term: Bulls still in control, eyes on that juicy 3,700+ grab. Bias : Liquidity sweep down → Buy for continuation 📈✨
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by jamesibartram
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 9/20/2025Gold has been rising for the past four weeks. For the past three weeks, price is rising 4.74%, 2.66% and 2.23%. It is showing sign of exhausting. However, as long as weekly is not closed in red bar, bulls still not loses its control yet and bears need more power to take over. As such, next week should be critical for bears. I am expecting price to rise to 3730-3758 zone first and drop from there. Let's see how the market plays out next week.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by SteadyFund
Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out: 🔎Analysis summary: After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top. 📝Levels to watch: $3.500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
14
Review of Gold's expected rally and why we entered long todayLook at this chart and understand why it was the only move that was likely to happen today: Firstly we already corrected all of the range down (balanced), that was the first key that we're potentially going to correct the drop next. This is how markets work; correction of imbalances and continuations of the master trend direction. The master/macro trend target is always the easiest no brain target for those of us who actually make money trading. Anytime we correct imbalances, we are looking to buy, only degenerates are looking for the short target and never realize where it is or when it's been hit--hello? It's the imbalanced ranges below, write this down: When we are bullish, price will only go down to correct the major imbalanced ranges and then continue bullish. There is no supply zone until the large wick range. I will help you understand this stuff tirelessly even for free although I charge a $100/mo mentorship I don't care if people pay me, I just want you to see the easy truths about the chart most don't see 🫡
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDEducation
by HollywooodTrades