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BTC’s Toxic Relationship with Support LevelsMarket Prophecy is back Price made a rejection on the weekly timeframe and successfully broke through daily support at 98,920. Now, it looks like BTC might pull a classic move—retracing to the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone, just like its previous wave—before continuing its dramatic dive toward the next support at 81,490. Traders call it ‘price action.’ I call it emotional damage good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CME:MBT1!Long
by mytw0cents
Gold Non-Farm Payrolls Plus Government Opening Gold prices fluctuated between slight gains and minor pullbacks during Thursday's Asian trading session, consolidating around $4080. With the US September non-farm payrolls report due later in the day, the market remained cautious, with investors generally choosing to postpone adding new directional positions. The likelihood of a Fed rate cut in December has further decreased recently. With a cautious policy stance, the dollar has strengthened and risen to its highest level since May, thus putting significant pressure on gold, which does not generate interest. However, the data gaps in the US economy caused by the prolonged government shutdown have led to market skepticism about the true economic momentum. Investment institutions pointed out, "Because the data recovery after the shutdown is incomplete, the actual growth momentum may be lower than it appears, therefore, support for gold remains." Despite the combined effects of multiple factors, gold prices, while under pressure, have not experienced a one-sided decline. From the 1-hour chart, gold is expected to trade within a range during the daytime session. The key resistance level to watch is 4110, while the key support level is 4030. Technically, a pullback is more likely. We will patiently await the non-farm payroll data tonight and adjust our strategy accordingly. However, we also reserve the possibility that the market might break down prematurely due to market expectations before the non-farm payroll data release. In the middle positions, observe more and act less, be cautious about chasing orders, and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide specific operational strategies in the channel, so please pay attention. Strategy Signals： Buy: 4105-4110，SL：4120，TP：4050，4030
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
Gold is stuck in a wide range, ready for a decisive break.Good evening traders, Brian here with a fresh look at gold on the 2-hour chart. Price is compressing in a broad sideways range, building energy for the next leg – the break from this structure will set the tone for the coming sessions. Fundamental analysis The core driver remains the Fed’s December decision. The market is effectively split on whether we see a cut or a delay: A camp of institutions argues that rising unemployment and softer data could still justify a 25-basis-point cut in December, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting gold on dips. Others point out that the Fed is short of clean, up-to-date data and may prefer to wait until next year before committing to an easing cycle. As a result, pricing for a December cut is roughly “fifty–fifty” and highly sensitive to the next run of labour-market and activity data. In short: the macro backdrop is undecided, so intraday direction will be driven mainly by levels and liquidity until the next data catalyst hits. Technical analysis On the H2 chart, gold is in a broad consolidation after the recent sell-off: Price is trading inside a descending structure, repeatedly respecting the short-term trendline from the recent high. The Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulse shows the 0.382 level lining up with a prior fair-value gap and horizontal resistance – this forms a key rejection zone overhead. Below price, there is a confluence of support where the rising trendline meets a small bullish FVG around 4027–4029, followed by a more important horizontal support band near 3998. The volume profile highlights a Value Area High (VAH) around 4075–4080, which is likely to act as a reaction zone if price rotates back into it. Until we break convincingly out of this structure, I treat it as a large accumulation range with a slight downside bias: sellers are still defending lower highs, but buyers are stepping in aggressively at trendline support. Key levels Resistance zones: 4080–4085 (VAH / short-term supply) 4135–4145 (Fibonacci 0.382 + FVG + structural resistance) Support zones: 4027–4029 (trendline + FVG confluence buy area) 3995–4000 (important horizontal support) 3940 region (deeper support if the range finally breaks down) Trade scenarios 1. Primary long – buy the trendline/FVG confluence Entry: 4027–4029 Stop: 4023 Targets: 4035 – 4050 – 4068 – 4080 Idea: look for price to react at the rising trendline where it overlaps with the small FVG. A clean rejection candle or shift in intraday order flow from that zone sets up a rotation back towards the VAH and potentially the upper boundary of the range. 2. Break-and-retest short – if the trendline fails Trigger: clear H1/H2 close below the rising trendline and the 4027 area Plan: wait for price to retest the underside of the broken trendline / prior support Entry: on rejection of that retest Initial targets: 4000, then 3940 if momentum accelerates This scenario treats any breakdown as a structural shift, using the retest as a lower-risk point to join the move rather than chasing the first leg. 3. Intraday scalp zones These are discretionary, short-term opportunities for active traders: Reaction sells: around 4085, and higher up if we spike into the 4135–4145 resistance band. Look for exhaustion or rejection patterns back into the range (potential targets 4060 then 4033). Reaction buys: into 3998–4000 if we see a liquidity sweep below the current range, with tight stops and quick profit-taking back towards the mid-range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold Under Pressure: Key Resistance Holds, More Downside LikelyGold is moving inside a descending channel showing clear bearish pressure. Price is struggling to hold above 4050-70 and repeated rejections from the upper trendline confirm sellers are still in control. A clean break below 4025 can open the way toward the deeper liquidity zones around 4010 and 3975. As long as price stays below the falling trendline the bias remains bearish and any small pullback toward 4075-90 will likely act as a selling opportunity. Only a strong breakout above 4100-20 would shift momentum back to buyers. ✅ Bias: Sell below 4060-85 resistance Sell Zone : 4075–4090 Stop Loss : Above 4120 Take Profit : 4025 - 4010 - 3975 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold at Make-or-Break Level – High-Probability Short Setup LoadiGold is still trading inside a corrective structure after forming a clear lower low and then consolidating. Price has tapped the mid range zone and is now reacting from a short term supply area. As long as gold stays below 4130–4145 the bearish structure remains intact and the downside continuation toward 4025 → 4000 → 3950 remains the primary expectation. A short setup becomes active once price gives rejection or a small BOS from the current supply zone. The trade becomes invalid if gold breaks and closes above 4150 which would shift structure and open the way for a deeper pullback toward 4175–4200. Sell Zone : 4130 - 4145 Invalidation : Break & close above 4150 Targets: 4075 → 4025 → 4000 → 3950 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Silver Buy Alert #3- You Only Have 20 MIns TO Execute ThisSilver buy alert.. Sadly i did not analyse this one so give me a second am coming...wait i found my analysis on silver Silver is going to explode this time around and if you get in now you will experience a bull market this is the entry i was waiting to see for the first time am seeing the financial markets in trading but hurry you only have 20 mins before this buy alert expires The trading analysis is below -- read it below -- Step 1 — Interpret MACD Colors Only (Bullish Table) Given: • Daily: Light Green 🟢 • 4H: Dark Green 🟢 + Rising 3 Soldiers • 1H: Dark Green 🟢 From the Bullish MACD Table: Daily 4H 1H Interpretation Probability 🟢 Light Green 🟢 Dark Green 🟢 Dark Green Daily regaining strength, intraday momentum accelerating 🟠 75-85% MACD-only base probability: 75-85% (High) Step 2 — Add Candlestick Pattern Given Pattern: • 4H: Rising 3 Soldiers + Dark Green MACD From Bullish Candlestick Table: 4H - Rising 3 Soldiers + Dark Green: Three White Soldiers + 🟢 4H + 🟢 1H → 95% base → 99% final The Rising 3 Soldiers pattern on the 4H timeframe with perfect Dark Green MACD alignment on both 4H and 1H significantly boosts the probability. Step 3 — Combine for Final Probability This is a very strong bullish setup: Strengths: • Strong MACD alignment: 4H & 1H Dark Green (maximum momentum), Daily Light Green (bullish momentum building) • Powerful bullish pattern: Rising 3 Soldiers on 4H (one of the strongest patterns) • Lower timeframes show maximum momentum (4H & 1H Dark Green) • Excellent confluence across all timeframes Final Probability: 🔥 90-95% (Very High) Trade Insight: This represents a high-probability bullish continuation setup because: • 4H shows maximum bullish momentum with the strongest pattern (Rising 3 Soldiers) • 1H confirms with maximum bullish momentum (Dark Green) • Daily shows building bullish momentum (Light Green) • Rising 3 Soldiers on 4H indicates sustained buying pressure • Perfect setup for upward momentum acceleration Action: Excellent long entry - strong setup: • Enter on break above 4H Rising 3 Soldiers high • Add positions on any 1H pullback • Place stops below the 4H Rising 3 Soldiers pattern low • Expect strong upward continuation as Daily momentum builds toward Dark Green This is a high-confidence bullish trade with strong pattern and momentum alignment, particularly on the lower timeframes where the Rising 3 Soldiers provides exceptional bullish conviction. Rocket boost this content to learn more Warning! Trading is risky please use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
TVC:SILVER
by lubosi
4
Gold Pullback or Breakout? Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger MoveGold Pullback or Breakout? XAUUSD Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger Move Gold is coiling in a narrowing channel, and this kind of structure usually ends with a sharp directional break. The chart shows buyers trying to defend the mid-zone, while the broader trend still leans corrective. With macro fundamentals shifting fast and volatility picking up around U.S. data, gold is getting primed for a move that won’t stay quiet for long. Current Bias Short-term neutral leaning bullish. Medium-term bullish if buyers defend the lower channel and reclaim the upper trendline. Key Fundamental Drivers • US inflation and labour data are softening (per recent BLS and ADP reports), reducing expectations of aggressive Fed tightening. This generally supports gold. • US yields have eased from recent highs, reducing opportunity cost of holding gold. • Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Ukraine, South China Sea) are keeping a haven bid under gold. • Strong central-bank buying continues to act as a long-term floor for gold prices. • USD movement remains the dominant short-term driver. Macro Context • Interest rate expectations: Markets are pricing a slower Fed path, especially after soft labour prints and cautious speeches from Cook and other Fed officials. A stable-to-mildly-dovish Fed environment supports gold. • Global growth trends: Europe remains in a slowdown according to Sentix, while Asia shows modest improvement. Weak global growth tends to boost gold. • Commodity flows: No supply shocks, but ETF outflows are stabilizing—another supportive sign. • Geopolitics: Israel–Lebanon escalation risk remains in play. Several global risk headlines recently helped gold find intraday support. Primary Risk to the Trend A strong USD rally—especially if driven by unexpected U.S. data strength or hawkish Fed comments—would pressure gold back into deeper corrective territory. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event • US FOMC speakers (multiple appearances) • US CPI revisions and PPI data • US unemployment claims and PMIs These will decide whether yields move higher again or give gold room to rally. Leader/Lagger Dynamics Gold is usually a lagger to: • USD direction • US yields • Fed expectations But becomes a leader during periods of heavy geopolitical risk, when it pulls safe-haven assets like CHF and JPY with it. Right now, XAUUSD is following USD and yields more closely than risk sentiment. Key Levels Support Levels: • 4,000 – 3,985 zone (major demand area) • 3,960 (channel low / liquidity sweep potential) Resistance Levels: • 4,115 – 4,135 (mid-range supply) • 4,245 (major resistance + previous high) Stop Loss (SL): • 3,960 (below channel structure) Take Profit (TP): • TP1: 4,115 • TP2: 4,245 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Gold is building energy inside a narrowing channel, and the next macro catalyst will likely determine the breakout direction. My bias is neutral-to-bullish as long as price holds above the 4,000 zone and avoids a breakdown toward 3,960. The key drivers are weakening U.S. data, softer Fed expectations, and a stable-to-higher geopolitical risk backdrop. The biggest risk is a USD rebound powered by hotter-than-expected U.S. numbers. The most important event ahead is the cluster of U.S. inflation and labour releases, which will directly influence yields and therefore gold. Stops sit cleanly below 3,960, and the natural upside magnet remains 4,115 first, then 4,245 if momentum builds.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ultreosforex
Nov 21, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity Summary: It’s Friday, and the market still hasn’t given a clear direction. For now, I’m using 4074 as the bull–bear line: • Above 4074 → buy on pullbacks that hold • Below 4074 → sell on pullbacks that fail Stay flexible and let price action confirm the direction. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4120 – Resistance • 4107–4110 – Resistance • 4100–4102 – Resistance • 4096 – Resistance • 4089 – Resistance • 4082 – Resistance • 4074 – Bull/Bear line • 4067 – Support • 4055 – Support • 4020–4030 – Support zone • 4007 – Support • 3998–4000 – Psychological support zone 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 4074 → target 4067, then 4063, 4055, 4050 • BUY if price holds above 4081 → target 4088, then 4092, 4100, 4107
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
XAUUSD | Bullish Inverse H&S Structure on 30m (Educational Idea)📌 Market Overview On the 30-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a bullish inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (yellow) and successfully reached its projected target. When expanding the view, a larger inverse H&S structure (green) becomes visible, indicating a broader bullish accumulation phase. On the right shoulder of the larger pattern, price action is forming a sideways ascending accumulation channel, which typically supports continuation once key resistance levels are breached. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Setup) A clear breakout and sustained closes above 4105 will confirm bullish momentum, potentially triggering a strong upside move toward: 4141 4176 4211 – 4222 Each level requires candle closes above it to confirm continuation to the next target. 📉 Bearish Invalidation The bullish structure becomes invalid if price breaks below 4038 and holds below it. A sustained move under 4038 cancels the larger inverse H&S patterns. 🎯 Trade Bias This analysis highlights a potential long opportunity if breakout conditions are met. Confirmation through candle closes is essential before entering any long position. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is my personal technical outlook for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Traders should manage risk according to their own strategy.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by MiddleEastTradingAcademy
Monthly Gold "The end"🟡 Comprehensive Analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) In this analysis, we can clearly see that gold is still moving within a strong bullish channel. The price is respecting the structure formed by the upper resistance line and the two support lines (0 and 0.5) below. 🔵 The previous all-time high was around 1,952, and as shown on the chart, the price has broken above that level and continued into a powerful rally, reaching a new all-time high around 4,502. ✨ After this strong upward movement, the price touched the upper boundary of the channel — a zone that typically acts as a point of rejection. The chart illustrates a potential scenario where the price may start a pullback, enter a consolidation phase, and then drop to retest one of the support lines. ✔️ In other words: Gold is currently in a sensitive area. The new all-time high may trigger a correction before the market decides its next major move. However, the overall long-term trend remains bearish. 📉 The oscillator at the bottom shows strong overbought conditions, which increases the probability of a short-term downward correction. 🔔 Summary Overall trend: bearish Current position: At major resistance Most likely scenario: long-term correction toward support (at 3510) Best opportunities: May appear at lower levels after the market cools down The Entries: Downtrend: Until correction could be around (4000-3510) If the price close under 4000 that mean we are going to 3510, if the price close above the 4000 that mean we are going to rise maybe more than ATH could be 4800 or 5000. Have a nice trade fellas.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MyColdNess
Gold awaits non-farm payroll data for direction！Gold Technical Analysis: Today's highly anticipated non-farm payrolls report is a major event. This isn't just any ordinary employment data; it's the first employment report released since the US government reopened, drawing immense attention. Why is this non-farm payrolls data so crucial? Consider this: during the government shutdown, many economic data couldn't be released normally. Now that the government is finally back, this data is like a ray of light in the darkness, illuminating the latest situation in the US job market. Moreover, it will have a key impact on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction, meaning it could potentially create significant volatility in the financial markets. Looking at Tuesday's ADP data, the focus is undoubtedly on weak employment and increased expectations of interest rate cuts. While there's already much speculation and analysis in the market, no one can guarantee the data will turn out well. If the data far exceeds expectations, it could give the US dollar a strong boost. How will the stock market, gold, and commodity markets react? If the data falls short of expectations, will expectations of a Fed rate cut intensify further? All these questions will be answered today. Gold prices have fluctuated wildly these past two days, but this is in line with our expectations, and the market has cooperated. We've perfectly timed our long and short positions, and congratulations to those who followed our advice. After a morning surge followed by a pullback, gold has entered a period of low-level consolidation, continuing its back-and-forth movement. However, gold is likely to remain range-bound before the Non-Farm Payrolls report, so patience is key while waiting for the data. We've repeatedly bought gold around 4050-4030, and the expected rebound yielded several profits. Now, we're just waiting for the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Market conditions are constantly changing, and gold is currently consolidating within a large range, with the possibility of a sudden reversal. More patience, perseverance, and waiting are needed. Don't be impatient; haste makes waste. Let's witness together what kind of waves the Non-Farm Payrolls report will create in the US session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Daniel_PrimeFX
ES - November 20th - Daily Trade PlanNovember 20th- Daily Trade Plan - 9:05am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Quick Recap of Yesterday - 6635 has been the Bull/Bear Line this week and Institutions were accumulating below this level, and price broke out of the 6684-6595 range that has been building all week. This was a very structured Institutional accumulation event this week. You can see the 15 min chart had lower lows, lower highs until Tuesday when we put in the weekly low at 6595 and this was a lot of daily and weekly lows that were the confluence needed for Institutions to accumulate. We started to make higher highs, higher lows Wednesday and 6635 was that key level all week to take us higher. Since we have broken higher and above 6708, price should not lose 6684 on any back test this week. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overnight Low is 6694 and Overnight High is 6764 (As I am typing this). We built a nice flag between 6725 - 6757 range and then popped above that range and are looking for higher prices. We are in a bit of a tough range at the moment, and we need a pullback for me to find a place to enter. The very microstructure is the back test of 6757 (Which we already had but is good reference) IF I had posted this earlier, we would have been looking for loss of 6725 and recovery to go higher. The other option IF missed is the clearance of 6757 (Overnight high) and back test, which we cleared to 6766 and then built a nice flag around 6752-55 and then continued higher. I write this so that you can review and see how price acts when you get a quick pop like we did and what it should do to continue higher. IF we had popped and then could not hold 6755 area, it would have sold off further. Key Levels Today 1. 6757 - Flush and reclaim of the overnight high that broke out at 8:30am 2. 6725 - This would be a micro shelf that if we lose and recover could give us some points. 2. 6708 - Flush and reclaim 3. 6694 - Flush and reclaim 4. 6658 - Flush and reclaim The highest quality is going to be 6614, 6624, 6635 flush and reclaims. Price can reach 6775-85 area that will be a good resistance level. As I have said many times, when price rallies like it has before the NYSE Open, it could be a trap, and Institutions could start selling around the 6775-85 area. We will need to see what price does in the first hour. Unfortunately, I need a pullback to find an entry as I have missed them this am. Any flush and reclaim of 6757 should be a good spot, even if it flushes down to 6737 area and recovers. I will post an update around 10am EST ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White Levels are previous day's session High/Low
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
Gold (XAUUSD): Long Trade from Demand ZoneIdentified Trading Setup The chart illustrates a potential long (buy) trade setup based on a specific strategy, likely related to Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or order flow analysis: Support/Demand Zone: The entry is planned around the grey box zone, specifically at the CRT-L (Current Range Low) area, implying a belief that this is a strong level for a price reversal. SSS (Sell-Side Liquidity): The label "SSS" points to a level around $4,030 which was recently broken, suggesting the initial selling pressure has subsided or that liquidity has been swept. Projected Path: The black line with arrows indicates the expected price path—a significant reversal from the low zone, followed by an uptrend towards the target. Target (Take Profit): The trade aims for the CRT-H (Current Range High) around $4,092.85. This level represents a strong area of previous supply or resistance that the price is projected to retest. 💡 Conclusion The analysis suggests a contrarian trade anticipating a bounce off a key support/demand zone for a retracement back toward recent high-level resistance. The blue shaded box represents the potential profit area for this long setup.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
4