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Gold’s Next Explosive Move: The Chart No One Is Talking About...Important assumption (stated clearly): I do not have the image of your exact chart or the numeric value of the blue-line target, so this analysis assumes the blue-line target is above today’s spot level and represents a meaningful resistance/target on the weekly/monthly timeframe. If your target is below current price the technical story flips — tell me the exact value or upload the chart and I’ll adapt. --- Executive summary — the short thesis Gold’s move toward the blue-line target is plausible because three mutually reinforcing themes are in play: 1. Macro tailwinds (inflation persistence + lower real rates expectation → higher gold demand), 2. Structural demand (central bank buying + ETF/institutional accumulation), and 3. Technical breakout dynamics (momentum, volume confirmation, and common extension targets). Each theme alone can push price higher; together they create a high-probability path to the blue line — but risks (real yield rebounds, USD strength, rapid risk-on reversals) can abort or delay the move. --- 1) Macro and policy drivers (why gold wants to be higher) Real interest rates are the single most important macro control on gold. Lower or falling real yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, improving gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Markets are pricing a path toward easier policy (or lower terminal rates) and that compresses real yields — a pro-gold environment. Inflation expectations and uncertainty remain elevated. Where inflation expectations stay sticky, investors and treasuries use gold as insurance. If headline or core inflation surprises on the upside, that directly supports continued buying. Geopolitical & risk-off shocks amplify the move. Any escalation in geopolitical risk (trade tensions, regional conflicts) increases safe-haven demand and often triggers large, fast price jumps. (Load-bearing facts for this section: central bank buying, inflation drivers, Fed expectations — see cited institutional and market commentary.) --- 2) Structural demand and flows (why the rally can be sustained) Central banks continue to add to reserves. Persistent, sizeable purchases by official buyers create a structural bid that is different from short-term spec flows — it’s long-dated accumulation. That reduces available supply for investors and supports higher levels over months/years. ETF and institutional flows are material. Record or heavy inflows into gold ETFs and funds add persistent buying pressure; large inflows can sustain rallies beyond purely technical breakouts. Retail and seasonal physical demand can reinforce rallies. Jewelry seasons and retail demand (Asia, Middle East) often coincide with price momentum, adding a final push toward technical targets. --- 3) Technical structure — how price actually gets to the blue line (I’m speaking generically because I don’t have the exact chart; apply these to your time frame — weekly or daily — whichever your blue line sits on.) Breakout + retest dynamic: If price has broken a multi-week/month resistance (or important swing high) and then retested it successfully with rising volume, the path to the next measured target (often a measured move or Fibonacci extension) becomes much more likely. Traders and algos use these confirmations to add size. Momentum and moving-average alignment: A stack of moving averages (e.g., 50 crossing above 200 — a "golden cross" on longer timeframes) plus rising RSI and MACD momentum supports an extended impulse leg toward the blue-line. Volume & open interest: Increasing cash/spot volume and rising futures open interest on advances indicates real participation (not just short covering). That structural participation reduces the chance of a quick reversal and helps sustain a push toward obvious targets like your blue line. Common extension targets: Traders commonly use Fibonacci extensions (127–161.8%), prior range height projections, or measured moves from consolidation to set the “blue line” style targets. If the blue line aligns with one of these projections, it gains legitimacy as a target because many actors place orders there. --- 4) Market structure and supply-side constraints Physical mine supply is relatively inelastic short term. Mines can’t quickly add meaningful tonnage, so when demand surges, price adjusts more than quantity. Capital spending and long lead times for new production create upward pressure if demand remains strong. Scrap supply is cyclical and price-sensitive. As prices rise, scrap supply can increase, capping upside — but that often lags price moves, letting gold run first then supply grow later. --- 5) Alternative scenarios — what would stop it Real yields rebound fast: A surprise hawkish central bank reaction or unexpectedly strong employment/inflation data could push real yields higher and crush the rally. US dollar strength returns: A sharp USD rally would subtract from USD-priced gold and can stop a run toward the blue line. Flow exhaustion / profit taking: If ETF flows stall and positioning becomes one-sided, a volatility spike could trigger a fast unwind. --- 6) Probability framing & tactical checklist (how I’d watch it as an analyst) High-probability signals that validate the path to the blue line: Spot > key resistance with a clean retest and higher-than-average volume. Open interest in futures rising alongside price (not diverging). Continued central bank purchases / ETF inflows reported weekly. Macro path: market pricing of Fed easing or lower terminal rates, or at least declining real yields. Warning flags: real yields spike > 50–75 bps, USD index sharply higher, or a sudden halt/ reversal in ETF flows. --- Concrete near-term scenarios (example probability splits, adapt to your time frame) Base case (45–55%): Macros stay supportive, technical breakout consolidates — price reaches the blue line over several weeks. (Most likely if volume and flows continue.) Bull case (20–25%): Macro shock (big geopolitical event or accelerating inflation surprise) causes an overshoot beyond the blue line — fast, big move. Bear / failed breakout (25–35%): Real yields rebound or flows reverse; price fails to sustain above resistance and falls back to prior support. --- Practical phrasing you can post under the chart (English, professional + share CTA) > Market-leading analysis (professional): The blue-line target is a natural extension of the current multi-month breakout. Macro conditions — persistent inflation expectations, lower real yields priced by markets, and ongoing central-bank accumulation — create a structural bid. Technically, a confirmed breakout with rising volume and expanding open interest will propel price toward the blue line; Fibonacci and measured-move projections align with this target, increasing its credibility. Counter-risks are a rapid rebound in real yields or a stronger USD, which would likely stop or reverse the move. This is an analysis, not investment advice — monitor real yields, ETF flows and the breakout retest for live confirmation. Like and comment — tell me your view and what time-frame you want me to focus on.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MoneyMaker_666
2
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the bullish ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 4,030.94 - Strong pullback support - 61.8% Fib retracement - 127.2% Fib extension Stop Loss: 3,963.75 - Swing low support Take Profit: 4,111.7 - Pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
US-Oil will further push Down-sideHello Traders In This Chart xtiusd HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today XTIUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
TVC:USOILShort
by ForexMasters2000
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) Buying Trade idea From the Support LevelHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
HOW-TO: Analyze Support, Resistance & Short-Term DirectionHOW-TO: Analyze Support, Resistance & Short-Term Direction Using Volume Scope Pro (1H Example) Introduction This HOW-TO explains how to use the Volume Scope Pro — Order Flow Volume Analysis indicator to identify support and resistance, interpret order-flow signals such as absorption and distribution, evaluate buyer/seller strength, and determine a short-term market bias on the 1-hour timeframe. 1 — Chart Settings & Data Inputs • Main timeframe: 1H • LTF (Low-Timeframe data): 15-second volume blocks • LTF coverage: ~115 bars • Instrument: MES1! (CME Micro E-mini S&P 500) This setup provides a high-resolution view of order flow behind each hourly candle by aggregating ultra-low timeframe volume behavior. 2 — Buy & Sell Volume Behavior BUY Side: • Buy Current Amount ≈ 18.539K • 20-period Buy Average ≈ 54.044K → Buyers are significantly below their normal activity level. → Interpretation: Buyers are NOT supporting current price levels. SELL Side: • Sell Current Amount ≈ 17.073K • 20-period Sell Average ≈ 50.857K → Sellers are also below average, but buyer weakness is far more pronounced. Summary: In higher timeframes like 1H, lack of buyer activity is often more important than strong selling. Here, buyers are too weak to create a sustained bottom. 3 — Trend Angle Convergence & Divergence (Trend θ) BUY: • Price vs Buy Volume (3 and 20 periods) = Divergent → Price attempts to hold or bounce are NOT backed by buyer aggression. SELL: • Price vs Sell Volume (3-period) = Convergent → Short-term movement is driven by sellers, strengthening the bearish bias. 4 — Delta Analysis • Current Delta ≈ +1.46K • Global Delta (100 candles): – Positive Δ Sum ≈ 273.812K – Negative Δ Sum ≈ 225.671K Interpretation: Although short-term delta is positive and long-term delta slightly favors buyers, the price structure does NOT reflect bullish dominance. This type of delta behavior often indicates absorption rather than a trend shift — meaning buyers are active but ineffective at moving price. 5 — Support & Resistance Zones (SR Engine) Volume Scope Pro identifies two main zones: • Resistance Zone: 6880.75 ~ 6885.25 • Support Zone: 6707.75 ~ 6766.75 Current Position: Price is holding inside the upper boundary of the Support Zone. There was a minor bounce, but the reaction lacked strength and failed to break structural highs. 6 — Order-Flow Overlay Signals (OB / Distribution / Absorption) • Multiple OB and Distribution labels appear near upper structure → clear signs of supply, selling pressure, and exhaustion at highs. • OS and ABS signals at support did not result in meaningful continuation → weak follow-through from buyers. Combined with weak buy volume, the market shows bearish intent. 7 — Short-Term Projection Given: ✓ Weak buy volume compared to averages ✓ Sellers showing short-term dominance ✓ Converging sell-side angles ✓ Price reacting weakly to support ✓ Strong supply clusters above ✓ Delta showing ineffective buying → Short-term bearish continuation is the more probable scenario. As shown on the chart, the Short Position tool highlights: • Entry around the upper support boundary • Stop above the minor pullback high • Target near the lower support boundary This forms a clear, structured bearish setup with defined R:R. Disclaimer This publication is for educational purposes only. Volume Scope Pro does not guarantee profit or certainty of market direction. Traders must perform independent risk management and verification at all times.
CME_MINI:MES1!Short
by ata_sabanci
XAU/USD Bullish trend buying from support zone📈 GOLD – New Bullish View | 1H Timeframe Gold is showing fresh bullish momentum, respecting the 4160 support zone and pushing upward. 🎯 Technical Targets: 4191 4207 Price action remains strong above support, indicating potential continuation of the uptrend. As always, market conditions can shift—stay alert. ⚠️ Risk Management: Use proper lot sizing, set clear stop-loss levels, and never overleverage. Discipline is key. If you found this analysis useful, Like, Follow, Comment & Share to support the page!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ExpertTraderASK
3
A GOLDEN STORM IS COMING!Hello my dear trader friends, I’m back with the continuation of the XAU/USD analysis. In the previous analysis, I mentioned that gold had reached a resistance zone and we expected a price correction. Gold reacted beautifully to the zone and entered a correction phase. Now we must see whether this correction will continue or not. Next week, the U.S. government shutdown will end, and we also have the Federal Reserve meeting and the PMI report. So a stormy week is ahead of us — get ready for a volatile ride. Our profit from this analysis: 1000 pips Follow me to hear and see the rest of gold’s story.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDKINGY
XAGUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the bullish ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 49.11 - Strong pullback support - 71% Fib retracement - 61.8% Fib projection Stop Loss: 46.89 - Swing low support Take Profit: 51.98 - Pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:XAGUSDLong
by Tradu
GOLD Is Going Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 4,007.16. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4,053.41. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 59.819. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 60.500 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
Smart Money Roadmap: Gold’s Next Move Mapped OutGold is currently reacting inside a high-impact Smart Money footprint zone after a strong bearish move. Price has left multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) above, suggesting a potential short-term bullish correction as institutions rebalance inefficiencies. The first logical target is the upper FVG zone around 4,139, where price may face strong resistance. Below, a critical Smart Money support area around 4,033 – 4,062 is acting as a decision point. If price holds above this zone, we could see a healthy pullback toward FVG imbalances. But if price breaks below the Smart Money support and crosses into the warning region, the next downside target aligns with the channel projection near 3,911, opening the door for deeper sell opportunities. Gold has printed a strong bearish leg, leaving behind clear Smart Money footprints. The current zone around 4,033 – 4,062 is a key institutional support area. As long as price respects this zone, Smart Money may push into the upper Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) around 4,139, which would be the first target for a corrective move. However, a break below the Smart Money zone triggers a major warning. If price falls into the red channel, it opens clean sell opportunities with a downside projection toward 3,911. This level lines up with the bottom of the descending channel and represents a deeper liquidity target. 🟢 Bullish bias → only if price respects the Smart Money support and moves to fill upper FVGs. 🔴 Bearish continuation → if price breaks below the warning zone and enters the channel. This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Fair Value Gaps, liquidity levels, and institutional price behavior.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeWithMky
1
SILVER Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SILVER is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 50.560 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 51.903 My Stop Loss - 49.919 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
2
Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound SignalsTechnical Analysis: Resonant Supports + Stabilized Patterns, Clear Rebound Signals (I) Key Price Levels & Structural Supports $4,080 boasts three layers of technical support simultaneously: first, the critical support of the 20-day moving average, which has successfully stabilized after multiple tests; second, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-October uptrend, falling within a reasonable pullback range after a strong rally; third, the lower edge of the previous $4,100-$4,130 consolidation platform, where market trading is dense with robust buying absorption. The strong support below is $4,050 (the middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands), and in extreme cases, it may pull back to the $4,000 psychological level. Overall, the pullback space is limited, with the upside risk-reward ratio superior to the downside. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (II) Volume & Indicator Verification During the gold price pullback from $4,140 to $4,080, trading volume continued to shrink. The 1-hour volume dropped by more than 50% compared to the rally period, indicating limited selling pressure and a healthy technical pullback.The daily RSI indicator remains in the neutral-to-strong range of 50, not entering the oversold zone. The MACD lines are still above the zero axis, and although the red bars have contracted, no death cross has formed, maintaining the intact long-term upward structure.On the weekly chart, the MACD red bars are moderately expanding, and the RSI shows no bearish divergence—confirming that the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains unchanged, with the short-term pullback merely a correction within the trend. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (III) Distribution of Resistance Levels The first resistance above is $4,130 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation platform + 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level). The second resistance is the $4,180-$4,200 range (psychological level + upper track of the ascending channel). A breakthrough above $4,130 will open up a smooth upward space. Next week's gold trading strategy buy：4065-4075 tp:4085-4100-4120 sl:4055
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
The logic of the gold rallyAfter the data vacuum period, policy signals will become clear The US government shutdown led to the absence of some economic data, forcing the Federal Reserve to temporarily maintain a "neutral stance". However, as the data is gradually completed, the policy path will become clearer. Historical experience shows that the policy expectation correction after the data vacuum period often leads to an increase in gold volatility. And the current 4085 correction level precisely provides a safe entry window for the policy-driven upward trend. Next week's gold trading strategy buy：4065-4075 tp:4085-4095-4130 sl:4055
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
XAUUSD TIME TO BUYGold Bullish sentiment - Fibonacci Retracement Respect: - Price retraced from the ATH (All-Time High) and found support near the 0.5 Fibonacci level (4,064.42). - It nearly touched the 0.618 level (4,022.27) but closed above the 0.5, indicating buyers stepped in before deeper retracement occurred. - This behavior often signals a potential continuation of the uptrend. - FLIP ZONE Support: - The highlighted FLIP ZONE marks a previous resistance turned support. - Price reacting positively in this zone reinforces bullish sentiment—this is where buyers historically defend the level. - Volume Confirmation: - Volume spikes near the retracement low suggest accumulation, not distribution. - Rising volume on upward candles implies strong buying interest. - RSI Momentum: - The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom shows a rebound from oversold or mid-range levels, which typically precedes upward movement. - No bearish divergence is visible, supporting the bullish case. - "Reacted on the previous neck": - This likely refers to a neckline of a prior breakout pattern (e.g., inverse head and shoulders or double bottom). - Price revisiting and bouncing from this neckline is a classic bullish retest. Buyers now coming in. - Price respected key Fibonacci support levels. - Closed above the 0.5 retracement, showing strength. - FLIP ZONE held as support. - Volume and RSI confirm bullish momentum. - Previous breakout level acted as support again.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by aominocente
1