Futures market
XAU/USD Market Outlook — Bullish Move From 4,058.36 ZoneGold has retraced into a major demand zone around 4,058.36, where price has shown the first signs of bullish reaction after clearing liquidity below previous lows. This zone aligns with a prior accumulation block and serves as the origin of the last major bullish swing.
As long as price holds above this level, I expect a bullish continuation toward the upper liquidity region, with targets around 4,244.86, and ultimately the major high at 4,381.73.
My stop loss is positioned at 3,887.60, below the deeper demand zone and previous structural low, ensuring safety from intraday volatility while maintaining the bullish structure.
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis Setup Price is moving inside a small rising channel toward a demand zone. If price breaks below the channel and retests, a short-term pullback toward the demand zone is possible before the next big move.
Summary:
Setup: Rising channel → possible correction
Short Target: Demand zone
Confirmation: Break + retest of channel support
If you want, I can create a cleaner version or provide a long idea too
Support with Boost and Comments .
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BULLISH ON XAUUSDBullish Momentum Ahead.
-Touch/Retest on the previous support.
-Im still expecting a drop before or after highlighted move (later on in the day if not week)
-With that being said im still expecting crazy market movement (fake outs;wicks etc)
-Bullish Confirmations:
4HR TF touch on rectangle support zone.
1HR TF new buy candle formed & closed above.
15MTF continuation flag.
-Anything can still happen; hence im expecting to types of entries.
Lets see....
Gold price opening trend after the plunge
News:
Spot gold prices plunged 2% on Friday (November 14th) as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials dampened market expectations for a December rate cut, triggering a massive sell-off.
Gold itself does not earn interest and typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments, and is also seen as a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty.
With the US government shutdown ending, investors are awaiting clearer information on how the backlog of economic data will be processed and how this data will reflect the state of the US economy.
Technical aspects:
From a 1-hour technical analysis perspective, the daily chart closed bearish, indicating a significant drop and strong short-term upward pressure. Market sentiment is less optimistic, and the 4000 level is crucial. If it holds, the price may consolidate for a while; however, a break below this level could see gold prices fall to around 3930 or even lower, potentially finding support near 3885.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is in a consolidation phase. If it can recover lost ground and reclaim key moving averages, the bulls still have some hope; otherwise, the bears may continue their aggressive selling.
Trading strategy:
Buy:4115-4110, SL: 4125, TP: 4065-4020
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,030.94
- Strong pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 127.2% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 3,963.75
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 4,111.7
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Gold’s Next Explosive Move: The Chart No One Is Talking About...Important assumption (stated clearly): I do not have the image of your exact chart or the numeric value of the blue-line target, so this analysis assumes the blue-line target is above today’s spot level and represents a meaningful resistance/target on the weekly/monthly timeframe. If your target is below current price the technical story flips — tell me the exact value or upload the chart and I’ll adapt.
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Executive summary — the short thesis
Gold’s move toward the blue-line target is plausible because three mutually reinforcing themes are in play:
1. Macro tailwinds (inflation persistence + lower real rates expectation → higher gold demand),
2. Structural demand (central bank buying + ETF/institutional accumulation), and
3. Technical breakout dynamics (momentum, volume confirmation, and common extension targets).
Each theme alone can push price higher; together they create a high-probability path to the blue line — but risks (real yield rebounds, USD strength, rapid risk-on reversals) can abort or delay the move.
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1) Macro and policy drivers (why gold wants to be higher)
Real interest rates are the single most important macro control on gold. Lower or falling real yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, improving gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Markets are pricing a path toward easier policy (or lower terminal rates) and that compresses real yields — a pro-gold environment.
Inflation expectations and uncertainty remain elevated. Where inflation expectations stay sticky, investors and treasuries use gold as insurance. If headline or core inflation surprises on the upside, that directly supports continued buying.
Geopolitical & risk-off shocks amplify the move. Any escalation in geopolitical risk (trade tensions, regional conflicts) increases safe-haven demand and often triggers large, fast price jumps.
(Load-bearing facts for this section: central bank buying, inflation drivers, Fed expectations — see cited institutional and market commentary.)
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2) Structural demand and flows (why the rally can be sustained)
Central banks continue to add to reserves. Persistent, sizeable purchases by official buyers create a structural bid that is different from short-term spec flows — it’s long-dated accumulation. That reduces available supply for investors and supports higher levels over months/years.
ETF and institutional flows are material. Record or heavy inflows into gold ETFs and funds add persistent buying pressure; large inflows can sustain rallies beyond purely technical breakouts.
Retail and seasonal physical demand can reinforce rallies. Jewelry seasons and retail demand (Asia, Middle East) often coincide with price momentum, adding a final push toward technical targets.
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3) Technical structure — how price actually gets to the blue line
(I’m speaking generically because I don’t have the exact chart; apply these to your time frame — weekly or daily — whichever your blue line sits on.)
Breakout + retest dynamic: If price has broken a multi-week/month resistance (or important swing high) and then retested it successfully with rising volume, the path to the next measured target (often a measured move or Fibonacci extension) becomes much more likely. Traders and algos use these confirmations to add size.
Momentum and moving-average alignment: A stack of moving averages (e.g., 50 crossing above 200 — a "golden cross" on longer timeframes) plus rising RSI and MACD momentum supports an extended impulse leg toward the blue-line.
Volume & open interest: Increasing cash/spot volume and rising futures open interest on advances indicates real participation (not just short covering). That structural participation reduces the chance of a quick reversal and helps sustain a push toward obvious targets like your blue line.
Common extension targets: Traders commonly use Fibonacci extensions (127–161.8%), prior range height projections, or measured moves from consolidation to set the “blue line” style targets. If the blue line aligns with one of these projections, it gains legitimacy as a target because many actors place orders there.
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4) Market structure and supply-side constraints
Physical mine supply is relatively inelastic short term. Mines can’t quickly add meaningful tonnage, so when demand surges, price adjusts more than quantity. Capital spending and long lead times for new production create upward pressure if demand remains strong.
Scrap supply is cyclical and price-sensitive. As prices rise, scrap supply can increase, capping upside — but that often lags price moves, letting gold run first then supply grow later.
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5) Alternative scenarios — what would stop it
Real yields rebound fast: A surprise hawkish central bank reaction or unexpectedly strong employment/inflation data could push real yields higher and crush the rally.
US dollar strength returns: A sharp USD rally would subtract from USD-priced gold and can stop a run toward the blue line.
Flow exhaustion / profit taking: If ETF flows stall and positioning becomes one-sided, a volatility spike could trigger a fast unwind.
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6) Probability framing & tactical checklist (how I’d watch it as an analyst)
High-probability signals that validate the path to the blue line:
Spot > key resistance with a clean retest and higher-than-average volume.
Open interest in futures rising alongside price (not diverging).
Continued central bank purchases / ETF inflows reported weekly.
Macro path: market pricing of Fed easing or lower terminal rates, or at least declining real yields.
Warning flags: real yields spike > 50–75 bps, USD index sharply higher, or a sudden halt/ reversal in ETF flows.
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Concrete near-term scenarios (example probability splits, adapt to your time frame)
Base case (45–55%): Macros stay supportive, technical breakout consolidates — price reaches the blue line over several weeks. (Most likely if volume and flows continue.)
Bull case (20–25%): Macro shock (big geopolitical event or accelerating inflation surprise) causes an overshoot beyond the blue line — fast, big move.
Bear / failed breakout (25–35%): Real yields rebound or flows reverse; price fails to sustain above resistance and falls back to prior support.
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Practical phrasing you can post under the chart (English, professional + share CTA)
> Market-leading analysis (professional):
The blue-line target is a natural extension of the current multi-month breakout. Macro conditions — persistent inflation expectations, lower real yields priced by markets, and ongoing central-bank accumulation — create a structural bid. Technically, a confirmed breakout with rising volume and expanding open interest will propel price toward the blue line; Fibonacci and measured-move projections align with this target, increasing its credibility. Counter-risks are a rapid rebound in real yields or a stronger USD, which would likely stop or reverse the move. This is an analysis, not investment advice — monitor real yields, ETF flows and the breakout retest for live confirmation.
Like and comment — tell me your view and what time-frame you want me to focus on.
US-Oil will further push Down-sideHello Traders
In This Chart xtiusd HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XTIUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
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🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) Buying Trade idea From the Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSD: Trend in 30-Min timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
You should be noted, that we have two trend (green & purple)
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, accurate channel and you must know that SETUP is very very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
XAUUSD - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
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Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe:
Entry: 4111.02
Stoploss: 4010.79
TP: Aiming for 1:5 risk to reward
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Xauusd SignalXauusd Now Below Supply Zone We Have Best And Strong Selling Opportunity if you Can Take Risk
Sell Xauusd At 4126 To 4162
Take Profit Around 4025 To 3930
Depending On Your Equity How You Can Take Risk
Note It's Not Financial Advice Keep Buy Sell Your Own Research
Stay Alert For More Updates
XAU/USD Bullish trend buying from support zone📈 GOLD – New Bullish View | 1H Timeframe
Gold is showing fresh bullish momentum, respecting the 4160 support zone and pushing upward.
🎯 Technical Targets:
4191
4207
Price action remains strong above support, indicating potential continuation of the uptrend. As always, market conditions can shift—stay alert.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Use proper lot sizing, set clear stop-loss levels, and never overleverage. Discipline is key.
If you found this analysis useful, Like, Follow, Comment & Share to support the page!
A GOLDEN STORM IS COMING!Hello my dear trader friends,
I’m back with the continuation of the XAU/USD analysis.
In the previous analysis, I mentioned that gold had reached a resistance zone and we expected a price correction. Gold reacted beautifully to the zone and entered a correction phase. Now we must see whether this correction will continue or not.
Next week, the U.S. government shutdown will end, and we also have the Federal Reserve meeting and the PMI report. So a stormy week is ahead of us — get ready for a volatile ride.
Our profit from this analysis: 1000 pips
Follow me to hear and see the rest of gold’s story.
XAGUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 49.11
- Strong pullback support
- 71% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 46.89
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 51.98
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 4,007.16.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4,053.41.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 59.819.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 60.500 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Smart Money Roadmap: Gold’s Next Move Mapped OutGold is currently reacting inside a high-impact Smart Money footprint zone after a strong bearish move. Price has left multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) above, suggesting a potential short-term bullish correction as institutions rebalance inefficiencies. The first logical target is the upper FVG zone around 4,139, where price may face strong resistance.
Below, a critical Smart Money support area around 4,033 – 4,062 is acting as a decision point. If price holds above this zone, we could see a healthy pullback toward FVG imbalances. But if price breaks below the Smart Money support and crosses into the warning region, the next downside target aligns with the channel projection near 3,911, opening the door for deeper sell opportunities.
Gold has printed a strong bearish leg, leaving behind clear Smart Money footprints. The current zone around 4,033 – 4,062 is a key institutional support area. As long as price respects this zone, Smart Money may push into the upper Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) around 4,139, which would be the first target for a corrective move.
However, a break below the Smart Money zone triggers a major warning. If price falls into the red channel, it opens clean sell opportunities with a downside projection toward 3,911. This level lines up with the bottom of the descending channel and represents a deeper liquidity target.
🟢 Bullish bias → only if price respects the Smart Money support and moves to fill upper FVGs.
🔴 Bearish continuation → if price breaks below the warning zone and enters the channel.
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Fair Value Gaps, liquidity levels, and institutional price behavior.






















