USOIL H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently moving along a descending trendline and remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure.
Sell entry: 60.35
Pullback resitance
Stop loss: 61.42
Pullback resistance
Take profit: 58.21
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Futures market
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO DROP?1. Market Context Yesterday, gold was almost in accumulation throughout the Asian–European session and only broke out strongly in the latter half of the US session.
After breaking out of the accumulation zone, the price dropped sharply to around 4006 – a key level – and rebounded strongly from there.
However, statements from FED members remain hawkish, affirming the stance of keeping interest rates high for longer and not considering rate cuts.
This creates
- Downward pressure on gold
- Capital flow leaning towards USD
------>>Market sentiment favors SELL on price recovery
➡️ Conclusion: Today, the main scenario remains SELL in line with the trend, BUY is only a secondary strategy & short scalp when reaching strong support.
🎯2. Today's Trading Scenario
(SL: 10 points TP 10 points. RR ratio:1-2/1:3/1:5)
🔻 Main SELL (priority)
SELL Zone:
4050 – 4055
4075 – 4080
4105 – 4110
🟦 Secondary BUY
BUY Zone:
3996 – 3994
3965 – 3960
3935 – 3930
3895 – 3890
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – More Upside If Support Holds!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that after a pullback, the price climbed again to $4112 before making a small correction. It’s now trading around $4078.
If gold can hold above $4048, we can expect another move to the upside.
The next potential targets are $4106, $4112, $4133, and $4159.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold: Open path to lower grounds?The price of gold was following general market sentiment during the previous week, and was traded in swings. The start of the week was marked with an increased demand for gold, bringing the price to the level of $4.243. However, Friday trading session brought a modest correction, where gold was headed toward the $4.035, but closed the week at $4.079.
The RSI closed the week at the level of 53, after previously reaching the level of 61. The indicator is showing that the market is struggling to take a clear path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 and MA200 lines are still moving without change - as two parallel lines with an uptrend.
Current charts are showing that the gold has an important level around $4.100, while strong support holds at $3.930. Friday trading session showed that the support at $4.1K was breached, which leaves the path open toward testing the $3.930 support. In this sense, the first stop for the price of gold might be the $4K level, before it continues its move further to the support line. With respect to the opposite side, there is currently some probability that the level of $4.1K could be tested again, and much lower probability for the level of $4,2K.
XAUUSD Analysis – Major Buy Zone Reached!Gold (XAUUSD) has finally tapped into the key demand zone between $4,000 – $4,020, a level that previously acted as a strong reaction point.
This zone has now been respected again with a clean liquidity grab below recent lows.
🔍 Market Breakdown
Price has been in a steady decline after rejecting the supply zone around $4,130 – $4,150 (highlighted red).
Today, we saw a sharp wick down into the green demand zone, showing buyer presence and absorption of sell-side liquidity.
FOMC and USD news lined up ahead increases volatility, but also increases the probability of a strong reversal from this zone.
📌 My Bias
I’m expecting: 1️⃣ A small corrective dip or retest back into the green zone
2️⃣ A strong bullish rally targeting the supply zone above
3️⃣ Final target around $4,130 – $4,150 if momentum holds
🎯 Buy Targets
Entry Zone: 4000 – 4020
TP1: 4075
TP2: 4130 (Main Target)
TP3: 4150 (Extended)
SL: Below 3985
⚠️ Why This Setup Makes Sense
Price swept liquidity beneath the previous lows
Buyers responded strongly from the demand zone
USD weakness expected around major news events
Clean imbalance above waiting to be filled
Strong bullish structure still intact on higher timeframes
💬 Engagement Question
Do you think Gold will respect this demand zone and push upward, or will news drag it lower?
Drop your opinion in the comments!👇🔥
If you want me to break down the next move after the news release, just comment “Update” and I’ll post a follow-up. 📈💬
Bitcoin is ready for another rally!Hi traders, how are you? today Bitcoin has fully-filled the CME gap, this is a good reversal point for the entire crypto market IMO. This 30% drop was expected, and healthy for the market overall, now bears are exhausted, and it's time to go up.
Fear and greed index today is at 11
MAX PAIN ---> TIME TO BUY
MY EXPECTATION FOR THE WEEK Gold shifted to sells after it tested 4245 area and it closed to end the week around 4080-82, bears will likely continue with the downward push to any of these three levels before the buy start again, 4020, 4000 and 3960-30, with the 3960-30 area having a higher probability of starting the buy followed by 4000 ,
so there's a high chance the sell will reach 3960-30 before the buy start, but gold can start buying from any place it wants and whatever be the case there will be update throughout the week so it wouldn't be a big issue.
A sell after market open at anywhere within 4084-94 and an sl at 4111 with tp at 4000, 3965 or a minimum of 600 pips and a good confirmation of more sell is if price closes below 4055-53.
BTC —THE GAP IS FINALLY CLOSED.We can officially breathe. That CME gap that dragged the market down for weeks — finally filled today. Price tapped it, job done.
Now the fun part begins.
1️⃣ Selling pressure is gone.
As long as the gap was open, the market kept getting pulled down.
Closed → the main bearish magnet is gone.
2️⃣ Perfect spot for a reversal.
We completed the technical “obligation.”
The best bounces often start exactly here.
3️⃣ Alts might finally wake up.
While BTC was crawling to fill the gap, alts were dying.
Now the road is open we might finally see green.
4️⃣ Next scenarios:
— Hold support → move toward 100–102k.
— Break it → down to 86–88k (and collective screaming 😂).
5️⃣ Panic is over.
Gap filled.
TA worked.
Market structure became much cleaner.
Summary:
Gap closed.
Technical debt paid.
Bounce territory unlocked.
gold on sideways until breakout#XAUUSD price today is total sideways, but we monitor those price if decline continues. 4046-4040 shows entry on sell, 2 times breakout above 4055.5 on bullish
4046-4040 on sell limit, target 4026-3995, SL 4055.5.
Below 4026 on H4 need reverse back unless the H1 closes below there before selling can continues. The 4055.5 is a strong range which needs 2 times breakout before buying.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan – Watching Reaction at Support ZoneAfter a brief consolidation yesterday, gold dropped into the Support Zone and is currently trading around 4014. Market structure remains bearish, with price sitting below both the MA50 and MA200. The series of rejection wicks shows buyers are trying to push back, but momentum is still with the sellers for now.
The first resistance is at 4027. For buyers to gain traction, we need a clean break above 4027, followed by a break above 4053 — only then could we see an attempt toward 4078.
If price fails to hold the Support Zone and breaks below 3,996, the next downside target becomes the HTF Support Zone — a major area where buyers have reacted strongly in the past.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4027
4053
4078
Support:
3996
3968
3921
ES1 - Correction Coming To An End ?ES1
Quite a bearish day across stocks and crypto with S&P Futures continuing on down from last week to make a slightly lower low.
From there it has bounced again from the 1:1 Golden Window - leaving a bullish wick.
Its very difficult to tell where an index correction ends, but this now ticks all the boxes for ratio and liqudity.
Its nicely balanced and has been ongoing for a while.
I think it moves on up soon or very soon.
If it does then this current area is the dip buy zone as reactive stocks and perhaps even crypto may begin to push up 🧐.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Key Gold Reversal Times for Daily Trading“Time-based analysis focuses on identifying the specific times when the market is likely to reverse or show strong movement. Instead of analyzing only price levels, it studies cycles, timing patterns, and repetitive market behaviors to predict when major or minor turning points may occur.”
GOLD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅ XAUUSD broke cleanly below the 4H supply after taking buy-side liquidity. With displacement confirming bearish order flow, price is expected to target the sell-side liquidity pool near the marked zone. Time Frame 4H.
LONG🚀
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Gold sell set upGold has dropped aggressively to a demand level and closed below 200 ema
.............................. how to trade it :-
#1 Wait for price to break with a full bear candle with volume spike
#2 wait for price to retest the demand
#3 wait for bearish rejection candle at demand or engulfing candle
If nun of the confirmation 👆 show on the price do not take the trade
Gold Near Channel Support – Bulls Preparing for Another Leg Up?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) and the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the main wave 4 .
I expect Gold increase from the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) to Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance zone($4,316 – $4,270) .
First Target: $4,253
Second Target: $4,297
Stop Loss(SL): $4,133
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Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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NQ Long Setup at 24,765: Strong Buyer ZoneNQ created a strong support at 24,765 after a sharp rejection of lower prices. A heavy volume cluster formed right where buyers stepped in, and a wide fair value gap confirms strong buying aggression. The beginning of this FVG marks the key reaction level. Waiting for a pullback into 24,765 offers a clean long setup with solid confluence.
XAU/USD GOLD Bullish trend breakdown & major support breakdown XAUUSD (Gold) Market Update – 1H Timeframe
Gold is currently showing bullish momentum, but we are watching closely for a key trend breakdown.
A selling opportunity may form if price consolidates and breaks down below 4056, confirming bearish pressure.
📉 Major Support Levels (Technical Targets):
4016
3979
3932
A breakdown and retest of the structure could provide a clean continuation setup.
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