Gold trend analysis!Gold is showing signs of exhaustion after the recent corrective bounce. The 3H market structure highlights a clear distribution pattern, as price continues to reject from the 4,135–4,250 supply zone. Repeated Break of Structure (BOS) signals that bearish momentum remains dominant.
Institutional activity suggests that liquidity is being built above local highs, preparing for another downside leg. The current market sentiment stays bearish as long as price trades below the key premium area. A confirmed rejection from this zone could trigger a decline toward the 3,904 liquidity pool.
Only a breakout and hold above 4,250 would invalidate this scenario and shift bias back to bullish accumulation.
Futures market
Silver psychological 5000 support levelThe Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 5000 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 5000 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
5215 – initial resistance
5325 – psychological and structural level
5390 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 5000 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4940 – minor support
4856 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while silver holds above 5000. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold support at 4033Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 4147
Resistance Level 2: 4207
Resistance Level 3: 4243
Support Level 1: 4033
Support Level 2: 4009
Support Level 3: 3985
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
xauusd buy now📌 XAUUSD – Buy Signal
Timeframe: 1H
Market: Gold Spot / USD (XAUUSD)
Signal Type: Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone
🎯 Trade Idea
Price has tapped into a clearly defined demand zone (highlighted in red) and is showing a bullish reaction candle. Volume reduction on the pullback suggests sellers are weakening.
📈 Entry: 4,078.80 – 4,079.00
🎯 Take Profit: 4,089.72
🛑 Stop Loss: 4,069.88
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:1.1
🧠 Analysis
Price created a higher low after a corrective move
Support holding within a fresh H1 demand zone
Recent bullish candle indicates momentum shift
Favoring a bounce toward previous short-term resistance
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Always manage risk. Market conditions can change rapidly — adjust your trade if price re-enters the demand zone with strong bearish pressure.
If you want, I can also:
✔ Add TP2 / Extended targets
✔ Provide an updated chart screenshot with labels
✔ Include alert levels and trade management guidance
Would you like this formatted as a published TradingView idea layout with hashtags and tags?
XAUUSD M30 Consolidation Before ExpansionPrice is currently compressing inside a symmetrical structure, reacting cleanly between descending resistance and ascending support.
The lower zone (Order Block 4045–4058 region) continues to act as the primary demand area, where buyers have stepped in multiple times.
Key Points
• Market is holding above the OB, maintaining short-term bullish sentiment.
• Price is respecting the ascending trendline, showing continuous absorption of sell pressure.
• A breakout above the descending resistance line will confirm bullish momentum.
• First upside objective remains the 4120–4130 supply zone highlighted on the chart.
Bullish Scenario
A clean break and candle close above the trendline resistance opens the path for an impulsive move into the 4120s.
Retest of the broken structure may offer continuation entries.
Bearish Invalidations
Break below ascending support and sustained trade under the order block would negate this setup and shift bias lower.
Idea Summary
Monitoring for a breakout from compression — bias remains bullish while price holds the OB. Watching 4120–4130 as the next reaction zone.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Monday. Just a quick post to say that I am not trading in all the current chop we are in. I will wait for a clean break and close out of the area, then look for retest areas to take a scalp trade, in either direction. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how things go with the NY open today. Be well and trade the trend. Don't get caught range trading. Patience is key.
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – More Upside If Support Holds!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that after a pullback, the price climbed again to $4112 before making a small correction. It’s now trading around $4078.
If gold can hold above $4048, we can expect another move to the upside.
The next potential targets are $4106, $4112, $4133, and $4159.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Surges, Resuming Bull Market!The bull market is back, and gold prices have risen as expected to above 4100. The opportunity has arrived, and it must be seized. Those who have been following the trend know that after the previous drop to 3888, we advised against excessive bearishness, suggesting a rebound from the lows, targeting 4050. A break above 4050 would trigger a one-sided trend. Although it consolidated for two weeks, Monday's opening saw a direct break above 4050, and the price has now surged to around 4140, a single-day gain of over $100 – this demonstrates the strength of the bulls' counterattack. Undoubtedly, gold is now in a bullish trend, forming a strong one-sided move. Therefore, the next targets for gold are 4186-4250, and a high of 4300.
This week is packed with positive news. The US government resumed its meetings on Monday, potentially ending the shutdown. CPI data will be released on Thursday, and PPI data on Friday. If the US government continues operating normally, the data released on Thursday and Friday will have a significant impact. The current market situation has both a solid foundation and strong intraday performance; it's just missing a data release to influence the market, otherwise the bulls would be even more aggressive. As analyzed on Monday, after gold broke through 4050 this week, we were expecting a one-sided trend, with targets at 4200 and 4300. The trend is now clear; Monday saw a direct break of 4050, a single-day increase of over $100. Having confirmed the one-sided trend, we expect it to continue today. Technically, after the daily chart's bottoming consolidation, the upward movement has broken through the Bollinger Band's middle band resistance. The next target is the upper Bollinger Band at 4300. Whether it breaks through the upper Bollinger Band will depend on the strength of the bulls. Until then, we must maintain our bullish outlook. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have already widened, indicating the bullish momentum is just beginning. Therefore, there's not much to say; we must maintain a bullish stance and adhere to two principles: go long with the trend, don't try to predict highs, and absolutely avoid shorting. Therefore, the entry point for long positions today is around 4110, which is the support level on the short-term chart. The overall strategy is to buy on dips, targeting 4186, and potentially 4250 with a strong upward move. In summary, Jin Shengfu suggests a short-term trading strategy of buying on dips and selling on rallies. Key resistance levels to watch are 4186-4250, and key support levels are 4110-4115. Please follow the trend closely.
Selling Strategy: Sell gold in batches around 4186-4190, targeting 4160-4150, with a further target of 4130 if it breaks through.
Buying Strategy: Buy gold in batches around 4110-4115, targeting 4150-4190, with a further target of 4250 if it breaks through.
USOIL ANALYSIS SETUP READ THE CAPTIONUSOIL is consolidating above a strong support zone while forming higher lows, indicating bullish pressure building. Price is currently testing the trendline resistance, and a clean breakout could open the way toward the upper target zone. As long as price stays above support, the bullish scenario remains valid.
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A High-Impact Support Zone Meets a Breakout StructureIntroduction
Markets occasionally compress into areas where structure, momentum, and historical buying pressure align with surprising precision. When that compression occurs at a major higher-timeframe floor, traders often pay closer attention—not because the future is predictable, but because the chart reveals a location where price behavior typically becomes informative.
The current case study centers on a market pressing into a high-impact support zone visible on the monthly chart, while the daily chart displays a falling wedge pattern that has gradually narrowed the range of movement. This combination often highlights moments where the auction process is nearing a decision point. The purpose here is to dissect that confluence using multi-timeframe structure, pattern logic, and broad order-flow principles—strictly for educational exploration.
Higher-Timeframe Structure (Monthly)
The monthly chart shows price approaching a well-defined support area between 0.0065425 and 0.0063330, a region that has acted in the past as a base for significant reactions. These areas often develop because markets rarely absorb all buy interest in a single pass; pockets of unfilled orders may remain, leading to renewed reactions when price returns.
This type of zone does not guarantee a reversal. However, historically, when price reaches such levels, traders tend to monitor whether selling pressure slows or becomes less efficient. In this case, the structure suggests a recurring willingness from buyers to engage at these prices, forming a foundation that has held multiple swings.
The presence of a clear, higher-frame resistance at 0.0067530 anchors the broader range. When price rotates between such boundaries, the monthly context often acts as a roadmap: major support below, major resistance above, and room in between for tactical case-study exploration.
Lower-Timeframe Structure (Daily)
Shifting to the daily chart, price action has carved a falling wedge, a pattern often associated with decelerating downside movement. In wedges, sellers continue to push price lower, but with diminishing strength, as each successive low becomes less effective.
This type of compression structure can provide early evidence that the auction is maturing. Traders studying such patterns often watch for:
tightening of the range,
shorter waves into new lows,
initial signs that buyers are defending intraday attempts to drive price lower.
The daily wedge in this case sits directly on top of the monthly support zone—an alignment that strengthens its analytical relevance. The upper boundary of the wedge sits near 0.0065030, and a break above that line is often interpreted as price escaping the compression phase.
Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Multi-timeframe confluence arises when higher-frame structure provides the background bias and lower-frame patterns offer the tactical trigger. In this case:
The monthly chart signals a historically responsive support zone.
The daily chart shows structural compression and slowing downside momentum.
The interaction between them creates a scenario where educational case studies tend to focus on breakout behavior, as the daily timeframe may provide the first evidence that higher-frame buyers are engaging.
This confluence does not imply certainty. It simply highlights a location where structure tends to become more informative, and where traders often study the transition from absorption to response.
Order-Flow Logic (Non-Tool-Specific)
From an order-flow perspective, strong support zones typically develop where prior buying activity left behind unfilled interest. When price returns to that region, two things often happen:
Sellers begin to encounter difficulty driving price lower, as remaining buy orders absorb their activity.
Compression patterns form, as the market oscillates in a tightening range while participants test whether enough liquidity remains to cause a directional shift.
A breakout of the daily wedge represents a potential change in the auction dynamic. While sellers are still active inside the wedge, a breakout suggests their pressure may have become insufficient to continue the sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Traders studying market transitions often use such moments as part of hypothetical scenarios to understand how imbalances evolve.
Forward-Looking Trade Idea (Illustrative Only)
For educational purposes, here is how a structured case study could frame a potential opportunity using the discussed charts:
Entry: A hypothetical entry could be placed above the falling wedge, around 0.0065030, once buyers demonstrate the ability to break outside the compression structure.
Stop-Loss: A logical invalidation area in this case study would be at or below the monthly support, around 0.0063330, where failure would indicate the higher-timeframe zone did not hold.
Target: A purely structural wedge projection would suggest a target near 0.0067695, aligning closely with the broader resistance region on the monthly chart.
These price points yield a reward-to-risk profile that is measurable and logically linked to structure, though not guaranteed. This case study exists solely to illustrate how support-resistance relationships and pattern logic can be combined into a coherent, rules-based plan, not as an actionable idea for trading.
Yen Futures Contract Context
The larger (6J) and micro-sized (MJY) versions of this futures market follow the same underlying price but differ in exposure and margin scale. The standard contract generally carries a greater notional value and therefore translates each price movement into a larger monetary change. The micro contract mirrors the same structure at a reduced size, allowing traders to adjust position scaling more precisely when navigating major zones or breakout structures such as the one discussed in this case study:
6J equals 12,500,000 Japanese Yen per contract, making it suitable for larger, institutional players. (1 Tick = 0.0000005 per JPY increment = $6.25. Required Margin = $2,800)
MJY equals 1,250,000 Japanese Yen per contract, making it suitable for larger, institutional players. (1 Tick = 0.000001 per JPY increment = $1.25. Required Margin = $280)
Understanding margin requirements is essential—these products are leveraged instruments, and small price changes can result in large percentage gains or losses.
Risk Management Considerations
Strong support zones can attract interest, but risk management remains the foundation of any structured approach. Traders studying these transitions typically:
size positions relative to the distance between entry and invalidation,
maintain clear exit criteria when structure fails,
avoid adjusting stops unless the market has invalidated the original reasons for the plan,
adapt to new information without anchoring to prior expectations.
These principles emphasize the importance of accepting uncertainty. Even at major support zones, markets can remain volatile, and scenarios may unfold differently than anticipated.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4090 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Gold Rise Dream Shattered
news:
On Monday (November 17), spot gold rose and then fell back. It briefly broke through the $4,100 mark in early trading and rose moderately to $4,105 per ounce during the Asian session. It then fluctuated and weakened, falling back below $4,100 and touching a low of $4,050. It maintained a defensive posture for the third consecutive day on Monday.
The highly anticipated October US non-farm payrolls report will be released on Thursday, followed by the FOMC minutes on Wednesday. These will play a crucial role in influencing short-term dollar price dynamics and providing some meaningful impetus to precious metals.
Friday's preliminary manufacturing PMI figures for Europe and the US, along with the revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, could amplify market volatility, especially if they indicate persistent inflation or weak consumption. Additionally, Friday will see the release of monthly US state employment and unemployment data for October 2025, which investors should also pay close attention to.
Technical Analysis:
The weakness below the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart may find some support near Friday's low of around $4,030. Following that is the psychological level of $4,000; a decisive break below this level could allow gold prices to accelerate their decline towards the $3,930 support level, then the $3,900 level, and finally the late October low of around $3,885.
There are many negative signals on the 1-hour chart. The price is clearly constrained by the Bollinger Middle Band (4100). The RSI is converging at the 50 level and showing a downward trend. The MACD has entered the oversold zone, but there is still no clear indication of a rebound.
Signal:
Buy:4115-4110 SL:4125 TP:4030-4050
The corrective short from the H4 IMB to the PDLAnalysis as of 09:50 (UTC+2)
The corrective short from the H4 IMB to the PDL looks very interesting.
However, I will need to monitor the approach to the POI to see how clean or, conversely, how weak it will be.
Based on that, I’ll decide whether to expect its inversion and switch to long positions.
The H4 IMB is currently the main problem zone before taking longs, so I’m waiting for price to reach it and will observe the reaction there.
I may work into it very locally, as an H1 long inversion is forming now, which already allows me to look for buy setups.
SL below the AL, and partials somewhere at the start of the IMB.
U S OILHI GUYS,
We expected a small triple top price pattern H4 last week,
however what has change is a market failed to form the correct sell pattern leading to a wide spread ranging as illustrated in the white box with wrong combination of sell patterns colored purple days of the week strategy.
we are currently out of the white box as of Friday yesterday market presented a proper price pattern on the on going correction.
we expect a continuation buy pattern (Monday, Tuesday) . then later in the week we then expect a sell pattern (Wednesday, Thursday) correction around level 61000
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
ES - November 17th - Daily Trade PlanNovember 17th- Daily Trade Plan - 7am
*Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) *
If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also!
My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective.
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On Friday I posted an update note around 12:28pm and wrote a summary of the key levels and their reactions as we squeezed on Friday. I also wrote "Price can still reach 6808 and potentially as high as 6842. Price will need to cool off and needs to hold 6746 as it is the most significant level (Yesterday's Low) we could flush down to 6730 with no lower than 6713 with any pullback, but I would not be interested in any action until it recovered the 6746 level. IF that happens, we will have a shot of clearing 6892 next week and head to ATH's heading into end of month"
6pm open last night we quickly lost 6746 at the open down to 6740, quickly reclaimed 6746 and rallied overnight to 6802 before pulling back around the European open to 6764. This was a classic failed breakdown. WHY? We can see that 6746 was Thursday's low, it was also strong resistance on Friday and now we got more points from this level at the open and has been a strong support since the squeeze on Friday.
Overnight high is 6802 and low is 6741. Any loss of 6746 and reclaim should be good for another try at the overnight high. 6764 loss and reclaim should be another decent level for some points.
Key Levels Today-
1. Loss of 6764 and reclaim
2. Loss of 6741-46 and reclaim
3. Loss of 6731 (maybe down to 6721 area) and reclaim
4. Loss of 6713 and reclaim
5. Loss of 6670 and reclaim (Highest Quality - Friday's Low)
Support Levels - 6764, 6741-46, 6731, 6713, 6703, 6691, 6677, 6670, 6654, 6643
Resistance Levels - 6775, 6785, 6802, 6813, 6831, 6842, 6851,
I will post an update around 10am EST
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Couple of things about how I color code my levels.
1. Purple shows the weekly Low
2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post)
3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows)
4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest.
5. White Levels are previous day's session High/Low
Gold jumps sharply from 4060 to 4083 📊 Market Developments:
• After a strong selloff, gold formed a bottom at 4060 and rebounded aggressively — a clear sign of strong buying pressure returning.
• Price broke back above 4068–4072, invalidating the entire bearish pullback zone.
• The zone 4080–4083 is now acting as a short-term resistance to watch.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Immediate Resistance: 4085 – 4090
• Extended Resistance: 4096 – 4102
• Immediate Support: 4072 – 4075
• Extended Support: 4060 – 4054
• EMA 09: Price has moved back above the EMA → bullish momentum is returning.
Current candlestick behavior: strong-bodied H1 candles showing solid bullish momentum.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
If gold holds above 4075, it may continue rising toward 4088 → 4095.
However, if a strong rejection occurs at 4085–4088, price may retrace back to 4075 before choosing the next direction.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategies:
🔺 BUY if price holds above 4075
• Entry: 4075–4078
• SL: 4070
• TP: 4088 / 4095 / 4102
________________________________________
🔻 SELL at strong resistance
• Entry: 4088–4090
• SL: 4094
• TP: 4080 / 4075 / 4068
________________________________________
🔺 BUY Breakout (only if an H1 candle closes above 4090)
• Entry: 4090–4093
• SL: 4085
• TP: 4102 / 4110 / 4120





















