Gold Buyers Regaining Control - Market Poised for UpsideHello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move..
Gold continues to show strong bullish structure after holding above the key support zone between 4030 – 4050. This demand area has repeatedly attracted buyers, confirming it as a reliable base for the next upward leg. As long as price remains above this zone, the market bias stays firmly bullish.
A breakout above 4100 activates a high-probability buy setup, signaling renewed momentum from institutional buyers. If price sustains above the entry level, Gold can extend toward the first major resistance around 4170, where buyers may take partial profits. The broader market environment also supports bullish strength, with safe-haven demand increasing and overall market sentiment favoring upside movements. Volatility may rise, but the trend structure remains intact as long as the price does not break below the 4000 stop loss level, which marks the deeper structural support.
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 4086
Target level 4170
Support area 4030/4050
Stop loss level 4000
Futures market
Gold Non-Farm Payrolls Plus Government Opening
Gold prices fluctuated between slight gains and minor pullbacks during Thursday's Asian trading session, consolidating around $4080. With the US September non-farm payrolls report due later in the day, the market remained cautious, with investors generally choosing to postpone adding new directional positions.
The likelihood of a Fed rate cut in December has further decreased recently. With a cautious policy stance, the dollar has strengthened and risen to its highest level since May, thus putting significant pressure on gold, which does not generate interest.
However, the data gaps in the US economy caused by the prolonged government shutdown have led to market skepticism about the true economic momentum. Investment institutions pointed out, "Because the data recovery after the shutdown is incomplete, the actual growth momentum may be lower than it appears, therefore, support for gold remains."
Despite the combined effects of multiple factors, gold prices, while under pressure, have not experienced a one-sided decline.
From the 1-hour chart, gold is expected to trade within a range during the daytime session. The key resistance level to watch is 4110, while the key support level is 4030. Technically, a pullback is more likely. We will patiently await the non-farm payroll data tonight and adjust our strategy accordingly. However, we also reserve the possibility that the market might break down prematurely due to market expectations before the non-farm payroll data release.
In the middle positions, observe more and act less, be cautious about chasing orders, and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide specific operational strategies in the channel, so please pay attention.
Strategy Signals:
Buy: 4105-4110,SL:4120,TP:4050,4030
Gold Futures – Compression Before Explosion?Gold (GC1!) is coiling tightly just above the $3,998 level, teasing a big move as it hugs the 0.618 fib zone at $3,921. It’s the definition of compression — and when gold coils like this, something always gives.
📍 Key levels on the radar:
$3,998 – Current pressure zone
$3,921 – Fib support + breakout base
$3,602 – Worst-case flush if demand fails
$4,489 – Fibonacci extension target if this rips
We’ve got an ascending pitchfork, clean market structure, and a massive range breakout setup. These kinds of patterns don’t sit idle for long.
Gold remains a beast in uncertain macro conditions — don’t underestimate what happens when fear, rates, and inflation mix.
Trading Wisdom 📜
The bigger the coil, the nastier the move. Don’t focus on direction — focus on readiness. Gold pays those who stay patient and deadly.
Disclaimer: What you read here is not financial advice — it’s high-level market philosophy from the FXPROFESSOR himself. Risk is real, and your capital is your responsibility. Learn, adapt, evolve.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
XAUUSD – SHORT TRADE ACTIVATED PERFECTLYGold has moved exactly into our marked zone and has perfectly tapped the level we were stalking. That reaction gave us the confirmation we needed, and our sell-stop entry has now been triggered.
From here, we’re targeting a minimum of 2R, but with multiple take-profit levels aligned with structure, volume pockets, and liquidity pools, there’s room to extend this move toward 4R+ if momentum follows through.
Technically, price action is showing a clean rejection wick from the supply zone, followed by a shift in market structure on the lower timeframes. We also have declining bullish momentum and evidence of sellers stepping in, with the impulsive leg now breaking through minor intraday supports.
As always, how you manage the trade is personal—locking profits at 2R is completely valid—but the chart currently supports a deeper corrective leg if bearish order flow continues.
Overall, it’s a strong setup with a clear narrative: exhaustion at the highs, liquidity grab, structure break, and continuation potential. A very clean look for traders following the trend shift.
I'm planning to go long on gold in the 4045-4065 range!This week, the gold market exhibited a generally volatile and consolidating pattern, offering traders some room for maneuver. Gold prices initially surged to a high of $4132 at the beginning of the week, but subsequently failed to maintain their upward momentum, gradually retreating and entering a range-bound consolidation phase, primarily fluctuating between $4000 and $4110. Compared to previous weeks' volatile price movements influenced by macroeconomic data or geopolitical situations, this week's trend was more moderate and orderly, with narrower fluctuations, weaker trends, and a relatively controllable overall pace. This volatile market provides numerous opportunities for short-term traders, especially with the high-sell-low-buy strategy proving particularly effective between key support and resistance levels. Some investors have successfully captured pullbacks and achieved ideal returns by accurately timing their short positions and decisively placing short orders in areas where prices encounter resistance during rebounds.
From a weekly technical perspective, this week's candlestick closed as a doji with upper and lower shadows. This signal typically indicates a short-term balance between bullish and bearish forces, with neither buyers nor sellers holding a clear dominant position. Based on an analysis of the recent global financial market environment, there is currently a lack of major driving factors sufficient to propel gold in a clear direction. On the one hand, inflation data from major economies are gradually stabilizing, and monetary policy expectations are becoming more moderate, reducing gold's short-term appeal as a safe-haven asset. On the other hand, while geopolitical risks still exist, they have not escalated to the point of triggering widespread risk aversion. Therefore, market participants are generally adopting a wait-and-see attitude, making it difficult for gold prices to form a sustained breakout.
It is worth noting that reviewing historical trends over the past few months reveals that the gold market often experiences sudden fluctuations at the end of the week, especially on Fridays. Examples include rapid rises or falls after the release of non-farm payroll data, or technical breakdowns caused by unexpected events. This "Friday effect" increases the risk of holding positions over the weekend. Therefore, even if the current market appears stable, traders need to remain highly vigilant, manage their positions reasonably, and set stop-loss orders to guard against potential unexpected fluctuations.
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has reached a key technical juncture—the so-called "bullish/bearish dividing line." Currently, the price is fluctuating narrowly around the middle Bollinger Band. This area is not only a convergence zone of short-term moving averages but also a significant psychological level that has been tested multiple times previously. As an important tool for measuring market volatility, the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that the market is currently in a low-volatility phase, suggesting a potential directional move. If the gold price can effectively hold above the middle band, accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, it may resume its upward trend, with the next target potentially pointing to the key resistance area of $4090 or even $4100. Conversely, if it fails to hold this support level and breaks below the lower band, it may resume its downward correction, testing even lower support levels.
Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, the recommended trading strategy is to establish long positions in batches within the $4045 to $4065 range after the market opens.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
XAUUSD | Bullish Inverse H&S Structure on 30m (Educational Idea)📌 Market Overview
On the 30-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a bullish inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (yellow) and successfully reached its projected target.
When expanding the view, a larger inverse H&S structure (green) becomes visible, indicating a broader bullish accumulation phase.
On the right shoulder of the larger pattern, price action is forming a sideways ascending accumulation channel, which typically supports continuation once key resistance levels are breached.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Setup)
A clear breakout and sustained closes above 4105 will confirm bullish momentum, potentially triggering a strong upside move toward:
4141
4176
4211 – 4222
Each level requires candle closes above it to confirm continuation to the next target.
📉 Bearish Invalidation
The bullish structure becomes invalid if price breaks below 4038 and holds below it.
A sustained move under 4038 cancels the larger inverse H&S patterns.
🎯 Trade Bias
This analysis highlights a potential long opportunity if breakout conditions are met.
Confirmation through candle closes is essential before entering any long position.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is my personal technical outlook for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice. Traders should manage risk according to their own strategy.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 20-21✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold remains in a weak, downward-biased consolidation structure after yesterday’s failed rally.
1️⃣ Moving averages show a bearish setup
MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to slope downward, indicating that short-term bearish momentum still dominates.
MA20 (around 4082–4088) acts as strong resistance; price has repeatedly failed to break above it, showing weak rebound strength.
2️⃣ Bollinger Bands indicate weakness
The Bollinger middle band (around 4069) continues to suppress the price; the latest candles remain below it — a classic weak consolidation pattern.
The lower band (around 4014) remains the next downward target.
3️⃣ Rebound attempts fail
Multiple attempts to break above 4088–4090 failed, creating a short-term top structure.
The recent rebound also failed to break above the moving averages, showing continued lack of bullish momentum.
➡️ H4 Conclusion: The structure remains bearish. As long as price stays below 4090, the market bias remains to the downside.
✅The 1-hour chart confirms the same bearish structure:
1️⃣ Clear downward channel
After topping at 4132, gold dropped sharply to 4038, then rebounded to 4068–4070 and faced renewed selling pressure.
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 are again aligned in a bearish formation.
2️⃣ Rebound momentum is weak
The latest rebound only reached MA10–MA20 before turning down again, showing strong selling pressure.
Key resistance remains at 4070–4085; breaking above this area is unlikely.
3️⃣ Key support at 4044–4038
This zone has shown short-term buying interest but lacks strength.
A break below this region will open the path toward 4015–4008.
➡️ H1 Conclusion: Weak short-term structure with limited rebound strength. More downside tests toward 4044–4038 remain likely.
🔴 Resistance Levels
4070–4085
4100–4110
4132
🟢 Support Levels
4044–4038
4015–4008
3997
✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions
🔰 Strategy 1: Sell the Rebound (Main Plan)
If gold rebounds to 4070–4085 and faces rejection:
➡️ Enter light short positions
SL: 4090
Targets: 4055 / 4044 / 4035
👉 This is the highest-probability strategy under current conditions.
🔰 Strategy 2: Strong Resistance Short (Aggressive)
If gold reaches 4100–4110:
➡️ Use medium position shorts
SL: 4120
Targets: 4065 / 4045
👉 Strong resistance zone; breakout probability is low.
🔰 Strategy 3: Breakout Short Below Support
If gold breaks 4044–4038:
➡️ Follow the trend with breakout shorts
Targets: 4015 / 4000
👉 Loss of this zone will open further downside.
📌 Summary
Both H4 and H1 remain in a weak bearish structure.
Rebounds lack momentum and are consistently pressured by moving averages.
4044–4038 is the key support; if broken, the downtrend will accelerate.
Recommended approach today:
Sell rebounds as the primary strategy
Buy dips only at strong support levels (around 4038)
Review and plan for 21st November 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Gold Trade Plan 20/11/2025(4H Time Frame)Dear Traders,
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade inside a broad contracting structure, formed by a rising dynamic support and a descending dynamic resistance on the 4H chart. This price behavior indicates compression and preparation for a larger move in the coming sessions.
1. Current Market Condition
The price is hovering just above the 3950–3970 support zone.
This area aligns with:
The ascending trendline (dynamic support)
A historical demand zone
Previous accumulation volume
This makes it a significant and technically strong support region.
2. Market Structure Overview
The market faced considerable selling pressure from the 4200–4250 region and has been steadily drifting lower toward the lower boundary of the pattern. Based on the current structure, two main scenarios can unfold:
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary Scenario)
If the price reacts positively to the 3950–3970 support zone, a bullish corrective move is expected.
🎯 Possible upside targets:
4060
4080–4100
4200–4250 (upper dynamic resistance)
If bullish candles with proper volume appear, the price may continue toward the top of the channel.
❌ Bearish Scenario (Alternative Scenario)
If the 3950–3970 support breaks with confirmation, selling pressure is likely to intensify.
📉 Downside targets after a confirmed breakdown:
3880
3800
3740 and potentially lower levels
This scenario becomes stronger if the price fails to show any meaningful reaction to support.
3. Final Outlook
Gold is currently positioned at a critical technical zone.
As long as the ascending trendline holds, the bullish scenario remains more probable.
However, recent candle behavior suggests there may still be short-term selling pressure before a decisive bounce.
Gold market remains Afloat Amid Deeper CorrectionThe gold market fulfilled its expected corrective phase, pulling back to mitigate the 4100 zone (4132) while maintaining its broader bullish structure.
Current price action suggests a deeper retracement is underway, targeting 4008 to clear remaining imbalance zones. This move aligns with market anticipation ahead of the upcoming Unemployment Claims release, which may serve as the catalyst for renewed momentum. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
Gold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; TechniGold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; Technicals Slightly Bearish, But Blindly Chasing the Market is Discretionary
The gold market is trading in a narrow range amid a tense atmosphere ahead of the data release, with both bulls and bears awaiting tonight's non-farm payrolls report to break the deadlock.
The gold market is at a crucial crossroads. After months of consolidation, tonight's September non-farm payrolls report is seen as a key catalyst that could break this deadlock.
As the last official employment data before the Fed's December meeting, this report should have significant market influence; however, Wall Street is cautious about its reference value.
The Non-Farm Payrolls Suspense
This non-farm payrolls report comes against a very special backdrop—it is not only the first release of September data but also the last official comprehensive employment data before the Fed's December interest rate meeting.
Market analysts point out that the delayed release of the November non-farm payrolls data may further weaken the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, making tonight's data even more noteworthy.
Before the data release, market sentiment generally leans towards a technically bearish outlook for gold, but traders are also wary of potential unexpected volatility from the data.
Gold continued its consolidation within a range ahead of the non-farm payrolls data release. A bearish bias within this range remains the mainstream strategy, with very low participation from bulls throughout the day.
Technical Analysis: From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour chart for gold shows that the price failed to stabilize above the middle Bollinger Band during the daytime pullback, exhibiting a weak and gradual downward trend.
Key Resistance Levels: 4082, 4110
Core Support Levels: 4040, 4000
The market cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the 4000 level, but blindly chasing the market in this range-bound pattern carries significant risk. A strategy of buying low and selling high is more prudent.
Short entry points are suggested in the 4110-20-30 area, with a secondary short entry point at 4147-50, targeting 4000 and holding if it breaks through. For short-term traders, repeated shorting opportunities can be initiated at the given resistance levels.
Trading Recommendations
For tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls report, a more cautious approach is advised:
Long Strategy: Buy gold around 4040-42, stop loss at 4032, target 4080, 4100!
Short Strategy: Consider shorting if the resistance level of 4110 (the high of the previous day) holds.
It is worth noting that tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data is the first publicly released employment data in nearly two months, and it is expected to cause significant market volatility. Investors must manage risk carefully.
With the release of tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data, the gold market may end its months-long consolidation and begin a new one-sided trend.
For cautious investors, waiting for the data release before following the trend may be a wiser choice; for short-term traders, a strategy of buying low and selling high before the data release can still be cautiously implemented under strict risk control.
WTI Oil Market Outlook: Sell Zones & Key LevelsOil is still respecting a broader downtrend structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price recently reacted from the $62–63 resistance zone (trendline + supply) confirming another lower high and maintaining bearish momentum. As long as oil stays below this zone the chart suggests a continuation toward the downside with next supports sitting near $56.30, $52.50 and potentially $50.00 if bearish pressure accelerates.
Only a clean breakout above $63 with strong candles would invalidate this bearish outlook and shift momentum toward the $66–70 zone.
🔻 Sell Setup 1
- Entry Zone: 62.00 – 63.00
- Stop Loss: 63.80
- Targets: TP1 59.00, TP2 56.30, TP3 52.50
🔻 Sell Setup 2
- Entry: Break below 57.50 and retest
- Stop Loss: 59.20
- Targets: TP1 56.30, TP2 52.50, TP3 50.00
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!






















