Futures market
Review and plan for 21st November 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
I'm planning to go long on gold in the 4045-4065 range!This week, the gold market exhibited a generally volatile and consolidating pattern, offering traders some room for maneuver. Gold prices initially surged to a high of $4132 at the beginning of the week, but subsequently failed to maintain their upward momentum, gradually retreating and entering a range-bound consolidation phase, primarily fluctuating between $4000 and $4110. Compared to previous weeks' volatile price movements influenced by macroeconomic data or geopolitical situations, this week's trend was more moderate and orderly, with narrower fluctuations, weaker trends, and a relatively controllable overall pace. This volatile market provides numerous opportunities for short-term traders, especially with the high-sell-low-buy strategy proving particularly effective between key support and resistance levels. Some investors have successfully captured pullbacks and achieved ideal returns by accurately timing their short positions and decisively placing short orders in areas where prices encounter resistance during rebounds.
From a weekly technical perspective, this week's candlestick closed as a doji with upper and lower shadows. This signal typically indicates a short-term balance between bullish and bearish forces, with neither buyers nor sellers holding a clear dominant position. Based on an analysis of the recent global financial market environment, there is currently a lack of major driving factors sufficient to propel gold in a clear direction. On the one hand, inflation data from major economies are gradually stabilizing, and monetary policy expectations are becoming more moderate, reducing gold's short-term appeal as a safe-haven asset. On the other hand, while geopolitical risks still exist, they have not escalated to the point of triggering widespread risk aversion. Therefore, market participants are generally adopting a wait-and-see attitude, making it difficult for gold prices to form a sustained breakout.
It is worth noting that reviewing historical trends over the past few months reveals that the gold market often experiences sudden fluctuations at the end of the week, especially on Fridays. Examples include rapid rises or falls after the release of non-farm payroll data, or technical breakdowns caused by unexpected events. This "Friday effect" increases the risk of holding positions over the weekend. Therefore, even if the current market appears stable, traders need to remain highly vigilant, manage their positions reasonably, and set stop-loss orders to guard against potential unexpected fluctuations.
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has reached a key technical juncture—the so-called "bullish/bearish dividing line." Currently, the price is fluctuating narrowly around the middle Bollinger Band. This area is not only a convergence zone of short-term moving averages but also a significant psychological level that has been tested multiple times previously. As an important tool for measuring market volatility, the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that the market is currently in a low-volatility phase, suggesting a potential directional move. If the gold price can effectively hold above the middle band, accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, it may resume its upward trend, with the next target potentially pointing to the key resistance area of $4090 or even $4100. Conversely, if it fails to hold this support level and breaks below the lower band, it may resume its downward correction, testing even lower support levels.
Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, the recommended trading strategy is to establish long positions in batches within the $4045 to $4065 range after the market opens.
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
Day 74 — Surviving a 242-Point Crash MoveEnded the day +$450.40 trading S&P Futures, but I’m walking away feeling tilted despite the profit. We sniped the 48-minute MOB resistance right out of the gate—just as planned in last night’s video—but I never expected the market to flush 242 points from top to bottom. That is a "market crash" level move. My P/L was a complete rollercoaster, swinging from +$400 to negative and back again. I’m grateful to end green, but after a session this volatile, I’m likely locking my account and taking a mental break tomorrow.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6725 = Bullish Below 6710 = Bearish
📰 News Highlights
BITCOIN FALLS 3% TO $87,000, LOWEST SINCE APRIL
XAUUSD | Bullish Inverse H&S Structure on 30m (Educational Idea)📌 Market Overview
On the 30-minute timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a bullish inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (yellow) and successfully reached its projected target.
When expanding the view, a larger inverse H&S structure (green) becomes visible, indicating a broader bullish accumulation phase.
On the right shoulder of the larger pattern, price action is forming a sideways ascending accumulation channel, which typically supports continuation once key resistance levels are breached.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Setup)
A clear breakout and sustained closes above 4105 will confirm bullish momentum, potentially triggering a strong upside move toward:
4141
4176
4211 – 4222
Each level requires candle closes above it to confirm continuation to the next target.
📉 Bearish Invalidation
The bullish structure becomes invalid if price breaks below 4038 and holds below it.
A sustained move under 4038 cancels the larger inverse H&S patterns.
🎯 Trade Bias
This analysis highlights a potential long opportunity if breakout conditions are met.
Confirmation through candle closes is essential before entering any long position.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is my personal technical outlook for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice. Traders should manage risk according to their own strategy.
EURUSD long with the most obvious signals.This is a dream of a longshot. What better time than now, when so much is happening in the world and the price has retested the support already, to dream? When the trend is poised to spring up after a retraction, the eventuality is on the buyers. We need the price back up to sell it again.
Monthly Gold "The end"🟡 Comprehensive Analysis of Gold (XAUUSD)
In this analysis, we can clearly see that gold is still moving within a strong bullish channel. The price is respecting the structure formed by the upper resistance line and the two support lines (0 and 0.5) below.
🔵 The previous all-time high was around 1,952, and as shown on the chart, the price has broken above that level and continued into a powerful rally, reaching a new all-time high around 4,502.
✨ After this strong upward movement, the price touched the upper boundary of the channel — a zone that typically acts as a point of rejection. The chart illustrates a potential scenario where the price may start a pullback, enter a consolidation phase, and then drop to retest one of the support lines.
✔️ In other words: Gold is currently in a sensitive area. The new all-time high may trigger a correction before the market decides its next major move. However, the overall long-term trend remains bearish.
📉 The oscillator at the bottom shows strong overbought conditions, which increases the probability of a short-term downward correction.
🔔 Summary
Overall trend: bearish
Current position: At major resistance
Most likely scenario: long-term correction toward support (at 3510)
Best opportunities: May appear at lower levels after the market cools down
The Entries:
Downtrend: Until correction could be around (4000-3510)
If the price close under 4000 that mean we are going to 3510,
if the price close above the 4000 that mean we are going to rise maybe more than ATH could be 4800 or 5000.
Have a nice trade fellas.
Gold (XAUUSD): Long Trade from Demand ZoneIdentified Trading Setup
The chart illustrates a potential long (buy) trade setup based on a specific strategy, likely related to Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or order flow analysis:
Support/Demand Zone: The entry is planned around the grey box zone, specifically at the CRT-L (Current Range Low) area, implying a belief that this is a strong level for a price reversal.
SSS (Sell-Side Liquidity): The label "SSS" points to a level around $4,030 which was recently broken, suggesting the initial selling pressure has subsided or that liquidity has been swept.
Projected Path: The black line with arrows indicates the expected price path—a significant reversal from the low zone, followed by an uptrend towards the target.
Target (Take Profit): The trade aims for the CRT-H (Current Range High) around $4,092.85. This level represents a strong area of previous supply or resistance that the price is projected to retest.
💡 Conclusion
The analysis suggests a contrarian trade anticipating a bounce off a key support/demand zone for a retracement back toward recent high-level resistance. The blue shaded box represents the potential profit area for this long setup.
GOLD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD bounced from the horizontal demand after sweeping sell-side liquidity. Bullish displacement confirms a shift in order flow, suggesting price may continue toward the buy-side liquidity resting at the marked target level.Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 20-21✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold remains in a weak, downward-biased consolidation structure after yesterday’s failed rally.
1️⃣ Moving averages show a bearish setup
MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to slope downward, indicating that short-term bearish momentum still dominates.
MA20 (around 4082–4088) acts as strong resistance; price has repeatedly failed to break above it, showing weak rebound strength.
2️⃣ Bollinger Bands indicate weakness
The Bollinger middle band (around 4069) continues to suppress the price; the latest candles remain below it — a classic weak consolidation pattern.
The lower band (around 4014) remains the next downward target.
3️⃣ Rebound attempts fail
Multiple attempts to break above 4088–4090 failed, creating a short-term top structure.
The recent rebound also failed to break above the moving averages, showing continued lack of bullish momentum.
➡️ H4 Conclusion: The structure remains bearish. As long as price stays below 4090, the market bias remains to the downside.
✅The 1-hour chart confirms the same bearish structure:
1️⃣ Clear downward channel
After topping at 4132, gold dropped sharply to 4038, then rebounded to 4068–4070 and faced renewed selling pressure.
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 are again aligned in a bearish formation.
2️⃣ Rebound momentum is weak
The latest rebound only reached MA10–MA20 before turning down again, showing strong selling pressure.
Key resistance remains at 4070–4085; breaking above this area is unlikely.
3️⃣ Key support at 4044–4038
This zone has shown short-term buying interest but lacks strength.
A break below this region will open the path toward 4015–4008.
➡️ H1 Conclusion: Weak short-term structure with limited rebound strength. More downside tests toward 4044–4038 remain likely.
🔴 Resistance Levels
4070–4085
4100–4110
4132
🟢 Support Levels
4044–4038
4015–4008
3997
✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions
🔰 Strategy 1: Sell the Rebound (Main Plan)
If gold rebounds to 4070–4085 and faces rejection:
➡️ Enter light short positions
SL: 4090
Targets: 4055 / 4044 / 4035
👉 This is the highest-probability strategy under current conditions.
🔰 Strategy 2: Strong Resistance Short (Aggressive)
If gold reaches 4100–4110:
➡️ Use medium position shorts
SL: 4120
Targets: 4065 / 4045
👉 Strong resistance zone; breakout probability is low.
🔰 Strategy 3: Breakout Short Below Support
If gold breaks 4044–4038:
➡️ Follow the trend with breakout shorts
Targets: 4015 / 4000
👉 Loss of this zone will open further downside.
📌 Summary
Both H4 and H1 remain in a weak bearish structure.
Rebounds lack momentum and are consistently pressured by moving averages.
4044–4038 is the key support; if broken, the downtrend will accelerate.
Recommended approach today:
Sell rebounds as the primary strategy
Buy dips only at strong support levels (around 4038)
Crude Market Stalls as Prices StruggleCrude Market Stalls as Prices Struggle
Fundamental Analysis
1. USOIL remains under pressure on persistent oversupply concerns, with weak economic activity weighing on demand.
2. This is further compounded by a stronger U.S. dollar, which continues to pressure oil prices.
Technical Analysis
3. Technically, USOIL is trading within a descending channel, making lower swings while a bearish EMA stack confirms the prevailing downtrend.
4. The recent rebound lacked momentum and quickly slipped back below the EMA stack, suggesting it was only a short-term rally within a broader bearish trend, with no signs of a bullish reversal so far. Any rebound would be an opportunity to make a lower high.
5. The rejection of resistance around 61.50 signals renewed downside risk, opening the way for a potential move back toward the previous low near 55.00.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
OLD (XAUUSD) – Bearish Correction Setupimeframe: 15M
Market Structure:
Price has broken below the trendline and is now retesting previous demand turned supply. Structure shifting bearish with liquidity targets below
Key Levels
Supply Zone (Short Trigger): 4062–4069
Invalidation/SL: Above 4077
First Target: 4030
Final Target: 4002–4008 liquidity zone
Trade Idea – Short Setup
Price is expected to pull back into the yellow mitigation zone, then reject and continue the downside move.
Entry:
🔻 Sell @ 4062–4069 (Mitigation Zone)
SL: 4077
TP1: 4030
TP2: 4008
TP3: 4002 (Full Target)
Bias:
📉 Bearish until price closes back above 4077
Structure favors downside after liquidity sweep + trendline break + supply retest.
Notes:
This idea is based on liquidity grab + BOS + retest.
Wait for bearish confirmation inside the zone for safer execution.
This is not a financial advice
XAUUSD/ GOLDGold is trading around 4064 after pulling back from earlier highs Price is sitting above a highlighted strong support zone near 4030–4050 A descending trendline is acting as resistance, with a potential breakout projected upward.
The chart suggests a bullish move toward the 4122 target zone if price breaks the resistance Support remains crucial—failure to hold may trigger a deeper pullback below 4030.
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Gold market remains Afloat Amid Deeper CorrectionThe gold market fulfilled its expected corrective phase, pulling back to mitigate the 4100 zone (4132) while maintaining its broader bullish structure.
Current price action suggests a deeper retracement is underway, targeting 4008 to clear remaining imbalance zones. This move aligns with market anticipation ahead of the upcoming Unemployment Claims release, which may serve as the catalyst for renewed momentum. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
Gold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; TechniGold Market Consolidates Awaits Non-Farm Payrolls Report; Technicals Slightly Bearish, But Blindly Chasing the Market is Discretionary
The gold market is trading in a narrow range amid a tense atmosphere ahead of the data release, with both bulls and bears awaiting tonight's non-farm payrolls report to break the deadlock.
The gold market is at a crucial crossroads. After months of consolidation, tonight's September non-farm payrolls report is seen as a key catalyst that could break this deadlock.
As the last official employment data before the Fed's December meeting, this report should have significant market influence; however, Wall Street is cautious about its reference value.
The Non-Farm Payrolls Suspense
This non-farm payrolls report comes against a very special backdrop—it is not only the first release of September data but also the last official comprehensive employment data before the Fed's December interest rate meeting.
Market analysts point out that the delayed release of the November non-farm payrolls data may further weaken the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, making tonight's data even more noteworthy.
Before the data release, market sentiment generally leans towards a technically bearish outlook for gold, but traders are also wary of potential unexpected volatility from the data.
Gold continued its consolidation within a range ahead of the non-farm payrolls data release. A bearish bias within this range remains the mainstream strategy, with very low participation from bulls throughout the day.
Technical Analysis: From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour chart for gold shows that the price failed to stabilize above the middle Bollinger Band during the daytime pullback, exhibiting a weak and gradual downward trend.
Key Resistance Levels: 4082, 4110
Core Support Levels: 4040, 4000
The market cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the 4000 level, but blindly chasing the market in this range-bound pattern carries significant risk. A strategy of buying low and selling high is more prudent.
Short entry points are suggested in the 4110-20-30 area, with a secondary short entry point at 4147-50, targeting 4000 and holding if it breaks through. For short-term traders, repeated shorting opportunities can be initiated at the given resistance levels.
Trading Recommendations
For tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls report, a more cautious approach is advised:
Long Strategy: Buy gold around 4040-42, stop loss at 4032, target 4080, 4100!
Short Strategy: Consider shorting if the resistance level of 4110 (the high of the previous day) holds.
It is worth noting that tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data is the first publicly released employment data in nearly two months, and it is expected to cause significant market volatility. Investors must manage risk carefully.
With the release of tonight's Non-Farm Payrolls data, the gold market may end its months-long consolidation and begin a new one-sided trend.
For cautious investors, waiting for the data release before following the trend may be a wiser choice; for short-term traders, a strategy of buying low and selling high before the data release can still be cautiously implemented under strict risk control.
Gold Short-Term Technical Analysis (November 21st)With the release of the hawkish minutes from the Federal Reserve, the US dollar index climbed back above 100, suppressing gold prices. Yesterday, gold rebounded after testing a low near 4055 in the US session, then rallied slightly to around 4110 in the early morning before weakening again. In the Asian session, it broke lower, briefly touching around 4040. During the European session, it fell again, touching 4038 before stabilizing and rebounding. It has repeatedly tested the support around 4040 without breaking it, and is currently fluctuating.
11/22 Gold Short-Term Trading Strategy
Sell gold near 4085, with a stop-loss at 4095, targeting below 4070/60. Buy gold near 4044/5f, with a stop-loss at 4034, targeting 4070/80.
XAUUSD _ 1h
Price has formed a Higher Low, which shows bullish pressure building inside the triangle structure.
The key level now is the resistance zone marked on your chart (the yellow horizontal area).
If price breaks above this resistance and then holds/stabilizes above it, this will confirm bullish continuation.
After confirmation, the market is expected to move upward toward the upper boundary of the triangle, and it will likely attempt to create a new high (a new top).
As long as the structure keeps making Higher Lows, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Breaking below the trendline would invalidate this analysis.






















