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Gold awaits non-farm payroll data for direction！Gold Technical Analysis: Today's highly anticipated non-farm payrolls report is a major event. This isn't just any ordinary employment data; it's the first employment report released since the US government reopened, drawing immense attention. Why is this non-farm payrolls data so crucial? Consider this: during the government shutdown, many economic data couldn't be released normally. Now that the government is finally back, this data is like a ray of light in the darkness, illuminating the latest situation in the US job market. Moreover, it will have a key impact on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction, meaning it could potentially create significant volatility in the financial markets. Looking at Tuesday's ADP data, the focus is undoubtedly on weak employment and increased expectations of interest rate cuts. While there's already much speculation and analysis in the market, no one can guarantee the data will turn out well. If the data far exceeds expectations, it could give the US dollar a strong boost. How will the stock market, gold, and commodity markets react? If the data falls short of expectations, will expectations of a Fed rate cut intensify further? All these questions will be answered today. Gold prices have fluctuated wildly these past two days, but this is in line with our expectations, and the market has cooperated. We've perfectly timed our long and short positions, and congratulations to those who followed our advice. After a morning surge followed by a pullback, gold has entered a period of low-level consolidation, continuing its back-and-forth movement. However, gold is likely to remain range-bound before the Non-Farm Payrolls report, so patience is key while waiting for the data. We've repeatedly bought gold around 4050-4030, and the expected rebound yielded several profits. Now, we're just waiting for the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Market conditions are constantly changing, and gold is currently consolidating within a large range, with the possibility of a sudden reversal. More patience, perseverance, and waiting are needed. Don't be impatient; haste makes waste. Let's witness together what kind of waves the Non-Farm Payrolls report will create in the US session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Daniel_PrimeFX
Gold Non-Farm Payrolls Plus Government Opening Gold prices fluctuated between slight gains and minor pullbacks during Thursday's Asian trading session, consolidating around $4080. With the US September non-farm payrolls report due later in the day, the market remained cautious, with investors generally choosing to postpone adding new directional positions. The likelihood of a Fed rate cut in December has further decreased recently. With a cautious policy stance, the dollar has strengthened and risen to its highest level since May, thus putting significant pressure on gold, which does not generate interest. However, the data gaps in the US economy caused by the prolonged government shutdown have led to market skepticism about the true economic momentum. Investment institutions pointed out, "Because the data recovery after the shutdown is incomplete, the actual growth momentum may be lower than it appears, therefore, support for gold remains." Despite the combined effects of multiple factors, gold prices, while under pressure, have not experienced a one-sided decline. From the 1-hour chart, gold is expected to trade within a range during the daytime session. The key resistance level to watch is 4110, while the key support level is 4030. Technically, a pullback is more likely. We will patiently await the non-farm payroll data tonight and adjust our strategy accordingly. However, we also reserve the possibility that the market might break down prematurely due to market expectations before the non-farm payroll data release. In the middle positions, observe more and act less, be cautious about chasing orders, and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide specific operational strategies in the channel, so please pay attention. Strategy Signals： Buy: 4105-4110，SL：4120，TP：4050，4030
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
XAUUSD – SHORT TRADE ACTIVATED PERFECTLYGold has moved exactly into our marked zone and has perfectly tapped the level we were stalking. That reaction gave us the confirmation we needed, and our sell-stop entry has now been triggered. From here, we’re targeting a minimum of 2R, but with multiple take-profit levels aligned with structure, volume pockets, and liquidity pools, there’s room to extend this move toward 4R+ if momentum follows through. Technically, price action is showing a clean rejection wick from the supply zone, followed by a shift in market structure on the lower timeframes. We also have declining bullish momentum and evidence of sellers stepping in, with the impulsive leg now breaking through minor intraday supports. As always, how you manage the trade is personal—locking profits at 2R is completely valid—but the chart currently supports a deeper corrective leg if bearish order flow continues. Overall, it’s a strong setup with a clear narrative: exhaustion at the highs, liquidity grab, structure break, and continuation potential. A very clean look for traders following the trend shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TickTradeSignals
1
BUY!BUY!BUY!Macroeconomic Policies: Rate Cut Expectations Reignite, Policy Bottom Emerges 1. Weak Employment Data Consolidates Easing Foundation The U.S. added 119,000 nonfarm payrolls in September (vs. expected 50,000), slightly exceeding market forecasts. However, cumulative downward revisions to the previous two months’ data reached 33,000 (July revised down from 79,000 to 72,000; August revised down from 22,000 to -400), indicating a clear cooling trend in the labor market. More critically, the October nonfarm payrolls report could not be released due to the government shutdown. The Federal Reserve will only have access to this "below-trend" employment report ahead of its December FOMC meeting, significantly reducing the probability of a hawkish rate hike. The likelihood of a December rate cut has rebounded from 44% at the start of the month to 50%. Historical data shows that after consecutive downward revisions to employment data, the probability of Fed easing within three months reaches 68%, providing core policy support for gold. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2. Fed Policy Pivot Is Inevitable The Fed implemented a 25BP rate cut at its October FOMC meeting and announced the end of quantitative tightening (QT) starting December 1st. Despite Jerome Powell’s hawkish rhetoric, divisions among committee members have widened (2 votes in favor of a larger rate cut, 1 vote against the cut), signaling the start of an easing cycle. The meeting minutes explicitly mentioned "rising downside risks to employment," with the policy focus shifting from "fighting inflation" to "supporting growth." The downward channel for real interest rates has opened, benefiting gold—a non-interest-bearing asset. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. Pressure from the U.S. Dollar Index Weakens The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fluctuated between 99.5 and 100, failing to achieve an effective breakout. Technically, it exhibits a "bearish divergence" pattern (price making new highs while MACD fails to do so). As weak U.S. economic data signals spread, the DXY faces increased short-term downward pressure. A break below the 99 level will further unlock upside space for gold. Gold trading strategy buy：4055-4065 tp:4080-4100-4130 sl:4040
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Thorne-
Gold Buyers Regaining Control - Market Poised for UpsideHello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move.. Gold continues to show strong bullish structure after holding above the key support zone between 4030 – 4050. This demand area has repeatedly attracted buyers, confirming it as a reliable base for the next upward leg. As long as price remains above this zone, the market bias stays firmly bullish. A breakout above 4100 activates a high-probability buy setup, signaling renewed momentum from institutional buyers. If price sustains above the entry level, Gold can extend toward the first major resistance around 4170, where buyers may take partial profits. The broader market environment also supports bullish strength, with safe-haven demand increasing and overall market sentiment favoring upside movements. Volatility may rise, but the trend structure remains intact as long as the price does not break below the 4000 stop loss level, which marks the deeper structural support. KEYPOINTS: Entry-level 4086 Target level 4170 Support area 4030/4050 Stop loss level 4000
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TeamEllianaTrades
Buyers Are Back: Is Gold Ready to Break Higher?Gold is entering a promising recovery phase as macro signals are finally shifting in favor of the bulls. After three consecutive losing sessions, the market received a meaningful boost from weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data — opening up a much clearer upside opportunity for XAUUSD. The number of Americans receiving unemployment benefits has climbed to a two-month high , with continued claims rising to 1.9 million in the week ending October 18. These figures are fueling expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in December 2025, weakening the USD and lending strong support to the precious metal. On the 2H chart, price is rebounding from the 4,060 support area and showing a clear return of buying momentum . XAUUSD will likely continue consolidating within the highlighted zone before targeting the 4,150 level. The rounded bottom formation underneath is also reinforcing the bullish scenario . Overall, the most reasonable strategy is to favor buying on pullbacks toward 4,080–4,100, aiming for 4,150. A break below 4,060 would invalidate the short-term bullish outlook .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
13
I'm planning to go long on gold in the 4045-4065 range!This week, the gold market exhibited a generally volatile and consolidating pattern, offering traders some room for maneuver. Gold prices initially surged to a high of $4132 at the beginning of the week, but subsequently failed to maintain their upward momentum, gradually retreating and entering a range-bound consolidation phase, primarily fluctuating between $4000 and $4110. Compared to previous weeks' volatile price movements influenced by macroeconomic data or geopolitical situations, this week's trend was more moderate and orderly, with narrower fluctuations, weaker trends, and a relatively controllable overall pace. This volatile market provides numerous opportunities for short-term traders, especially with the high-sell-low-buy strategy proving particularly effective between key support and resistance levels. Some investors have successfully captured pullbacks and achieved ideal returns by accurately timing their short positions and decisively placing short orders in areas where prices encounter resistance during rebounds. From a weekly technical perspective, this week's candlestick closed as a doji with upper and lower shadows. This signal typically indicates a short-term balance between bullish and bearish forces, with neither buyers nor sellers holding a clear dominant position. Based on an analysis of the recent global financial market environment, there is currently a lack of major driving factors sufficient to propel gold in a clear direction. On the one hand, inflation data from major economies are gradually stabilizing, and monetary policy expectations are becoming more moderate, reducing gold's short-term appeal as a safe-haven asset. On the other hand, while geopolitical risks still exist, they have not escalated to the point of triggering widespread risk aversion. Therefore, market participants are generally adopting a wait-and-see attitude, making it difficult for gold prices to form a sustained breakout. It is worth noting that reviewing historical trends over the past few months reveals that the gold market often experiences sudden fluctuations at the end of the week, especially on Fridays. Examples include rapid rises or falls after the release of non-farm payroll data, or technical breakdowns caused by unexpected events. This "Friday effect" increases the risk of holding positions over the weekend. Therefore, even if the current market appears stable, traders need to remain highly vigilant, manage their positions reasonably, and set stop-loss orders to guard against potential unexpected fluctuations. From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has reached a key technical juncture—the so-called "bullish/bearish dividing line." Currently, the price is fluctuating narrowly around the middle Bollinger Band. This area is not only a convergence zone of short-term moving averages but also a significant psychological level that has been tested multiple times previously. As an important tool for measuring market volatility, the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that the market is currently in a low-volatility phase, suggesting a potential directional move. If the gold price can effectively hold above the middle band, accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, it may resume its upward trend, with the next target potentially pointing to the key resistance area of ​​$4090 or even $4100. Conversely, if it fails to hold this support level and breaks below the lower band, it may resume its downward correction, testing even lower support levels. Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, the recommended trading strategy is to establish long positions in batches within the $4045 to $4065 range after the market opens. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
FOREXCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
Gold Trade Plan 20/11/2025(4H Time Frame)Dear Traders, Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade inside a broad contracting structure, formed by a rising dynamic support and a descending dynamic resistance on the 4H chart. This price behavior indicates compression and preparation for a larger move in the coming sessions. 1. Current Market Condition The price is hovering just above the 3950–3970 support zone. This area aligns with: The ascending trendline (dynamic support) A historical demand zone Previous accumulation volume This makes it a significant and technically strong support region. 2. Market Structure Overview The market faced considerable selling pressure from the 4200–4250 region and has been steadily drifting lower toward the lower boundary of the pattern. Based on the current structure, two main scenarios can unfold: ✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary Scenario) If the price reacts positively to the 3950–3970 support zone, a bullish corrective move is expected. 🎯 Possible upside targets: 4060 4080–4100 4200–4250 (upper dynamic resistance) If bullish candles with proper volume appear, the price may continue toward the top of the channel. ❌ Bearish Scenario (Alternative Scenario) If the 3950–3970 support breaks with confirmation, selling pressure is likely to intensify. 📉 Downside targets after a confirmed breakdown: 3880 3800 3740 and potentially lower levels This scenario becomes stronger if the price fails to show any meaningful reaction to support. 3. Final Outlook Gold is currently positioned at a critical technical zone. As long as the ascending trendline holds, the bullish scenario remains more probable. However, recent candle behavior suggests there may still be short-term selling pressure before a decisive bounce.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
GOLD H1: Possible Rebound if $4,060 Support Holds📌 1. Market Development Gold has formed a wide trading range: a sharp drop to 4040 → a strong bounce to 4085 → now trading around 4075. This indicates that the market is consolidating in a broad sideways structure, with strong buying pressure at the 4040 bottom and equally strong selling pressure near 4090. 📊 2. Technical Analysis Resistance (H1): R1: 4082 – 4085 (near-term resistance) R2: 4095 – 4100 (strong resistance) Support (H1): S1: 4060 – 4065 (near support, market balance zone) S2: 4040 – 4045 (major support, key swing low with strong buying reaction) Technical signals: H1 still shows mild corrective pressure but momentum is weakening. Current structure: wide sideways range 4040 – 4090, best suited for trading at key zones. 📈 3. Outlook Gold is likely to remain within the 4040 – 4090 range before forming a clear trend. Holding 4060 → price may rebound toward 4080 – 4090. Holding 4040 → high probability of a stronger bullish bounce. Only a breakout above 4092 (H1 close) will unlock further upside momentum. 🎯 4. Suggested Trading Strategy (H1) 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: 4060 – 4063 (strong BUY zone) 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4037 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: 4088 – 4091 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4095
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
2
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 20-21✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold remains in a weak, downward-biased consolidation structure after yesterday’s failed rally. 1️⃣ Moving averages show a bearish setup MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to slope downward, indicating that short-term bearish momentum still dominates. MA20 (around 4082–4088) acts as strong resistance; price has repeatedly failed to break above it, showing weak rebound strength. 2️⃣ Bollinger Bands indicate weakness The Bollinger middle band (around 4069) continues to suppress the price; the latest candles remain below it — a classic weak consolidation pattern. The lower band (around 4014) remains the next downward target. 3️⃣ Rebound attempts fail Multiple attempts to break above 4088–4090 failed, creating a short-term top structure. The recent rebound also failed to break above the moving averages, showing continued lack of bullish momentum. ➡️ H4 Conclusion: The structure remains bearish. As long as price stays below 4090, the market bias remains to the downside. ✅The 1-hour chart confirms the same bearish structure: 1️⃣ Clear downward channel After topping at 4132, gold dropped sharply to 4038, then rebounded to 4068–4070 and faced renewed selling pressure. MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 are again aligned in a bearish formation. 2️⃣ Rebound momentum is weak The latest rebound only reached MA10–MA20 before turning down again, showing strong selling pressure. Key resistance remains at 4070–4085; breaking above this area is unlikely. 3️⃣ Key support at 4044–4038 This zone has shown short-term buying interest but lacks strength. A break below this region will open the path toward 4015–4008. ➡️ H1 Conclusion: Weak short-term structure with limited rebound strength. More downside tests toward 4044–4038 remain likely. 🔴 Resistance Levels 4070–4085 4100–4110 4132 🟢 Support Levels 4044–4038 4015–4008 3997 ✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions 🔰 Strategy 1: Sell the Rebound (Main Plan) If gold rebounds to 4070–4085 and faces rejection: ➡️ Enter light short positions SL: 4090 Targets: 4055 / 4044 / 4035 👉 This is the highest-probability strategy under current conditions. 🔰 Strategy 2: Strong Resistance Short (Aggressive) If gold reaches 4100–4110: ➡️ Use medium position shorts SL: 4120 Targets: 4065 / 4045 👉 Strong resistance zone; breakout probability is low. 🔰 Strategy 3: Breakout Short Below Support If gold breaks 4044–4038: ➡️ Follow the trend with breakout shorts Targets: 4015 / 4000 👉 Loss of this zone will open further downside. 📌 Summary Both H4 and H1 remain in a weak bearish structure. Rebounds lack momentum and are consistently pressured by moving averages. 4044–4038 is the key support; if broken, the downtrend will accelerate. Recommended approach today: Sell rebounds as the primary strategy Buy dips only at strong support levels (around 4038)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
WTI Oil Market Outlook: Sell Zones & Key LevelsOil is still respecting a broader downtrend structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price recently reacted from the $62–63 resistance zone (trendline + supply) confirming another lower high and maintaining bearish momentum. As long as oil stays below this zone the chart suggests a continuation toward the downside with next supports sitting near $56.30, $52.50 and potentially $50.00 if bearish pressure accelerates. Only a clean breakout above $63 with strong candles would invalidate this bearish outlook and shift momentum toward the $66–70 zone. 🔻 Sell Setup 1 - Entry Zone: 62.00 – 63.00 - Stop Loss: 63.80 - Targets: TP1 59.00, TP2 56.30, TP3 52.50 🔻 Sell Setup 2 - Entry: Break below 57.50 and retest - Stop Loss: 59.20 - Targets: TP1 56.30, TP2 52.50, TP3 50.00 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold market remains Afloat Amid Deeper CorrectionThe gold market fulfilled its expected corrective phase, pulling back to mitigate the 4100 zone (4132) while maintaining its broader bullish structure. Current price action suggests a deeper retracement is underway, targeting 4008 to clear remaining imbalance zones. This move aligns with market anticipation ahead of the upcoming Unemployment Claims release, which may serve as the catalyst for renewed momentum. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ak_capitalist