Open DriveOpen Drive is a market profile concept introduced by Jim Dalton. It occurs when the price moves directionally and persistently for the first 30 minutes from the cash market open.
It is necessary to use 30-minute bars as there needs to be enough time to measure an extreme move of the cash open. This means there will be fewer trades than other strategies using faster time periodicities.
The script finds open drives from these time points 0700/ 0800 and 1300/1430.
The entry signal also has a breakout threshold using the 5-bar high and 5-bar low to only take trades moving away from the prior 5-bar range. This weeds out most mid-range trades and small range expansion bars.
If the price has had a strong move from the open and has broken either below the prior 5-bar low or above the prior 5-bar high by an amount equal to the prior 5-bar range a trade is entered in the direction of the move.
The Exit criteria; exit after 3 bars which is 90mins when using a 30min periodicity.
Note, this script is shared to show that momentum generated on or around the cash open tends to persist. The entry and exits of this strategy are quite naive but there are plenty of ways to take more aggressive entries on faster time frames when an open drive occurs. The times chosen for this strategy will suit stock index futures mainly. The user can experiment with other futures products and their corresponding pit/ cash open hours.
Google "open drive market profile" for more information on open drives and market profile concepts.
Happy trading!
Breakout!
[-_-] Level Breakout, Auto Backtesting StrategyDescription:
A Long only strategy based on breakout from a certain level formed by High price. It has auto-backtesting capabilities (you set ranges for the three main parameters: Lookback, TP and SL; the strategy then goes through different combinations of those parameters and displays a table with results that you can sort by Percentage of profitable trades AND/OR Net profit AND/OR Number of trades). So you can, for example, sort only by Net profit to find combination of parameters that gives highest net profit, or sort by Net profit and Percentage profitable to find a combination of parameters that gives the best balance between profitability and profit. The auto-backtesting also takes into account the commission which is set in % in the inputs (make sure to set the same value in properties of the strategy so that auto-backtesting and real backtesting results match).
NOTE: auto-backtesting only find the best combinations and displays them in a table, you will then need to manually set the Lookback, TP and SL inputs for real backtesting to match.
Parameters:
- Lookback -> # of bars for filtering signals; recommended range from 2 to 5
- TP (%) -> take profit; recommended range from 5 to 10
- SL (%) -> stop loss; recommended range from 1 to 5
- Commission (%) -> commission per trade
- Min/Max Lookback -> lookback range for auto-backtesting
- Min/Max TP -> take profit range for auto-backtesting
- Min/Max SL -> stop loss range for auto-backtesting
- Percentage profitable -> sort by percentage of profitable trades
- Net profit -> sort by net profit
- Number of trades -> sort by number of trades
SUPPORT RESISTANCE STRATEGY [5MIN TF]A SUPPORT RESISTANCE BREAKOUT STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that has the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above Resistance Level ,indicated by Red Line, is a Long condition.
2) Price crosses below Support Level ,indicated by Green Line , is a Short condition.
3) Candle high crosses above ema1, is a part of the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below ema1, is a part of the Short condition .
5) Volume Threshold is an added confirmation for long/short positions.
6) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
7) Default qty size is set to 50 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size.
8) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
→ L_Bars ———————————> Length of Resistance / Support Levels.
→ R_Bars ———————————> Length of Resistance / Support Levels.
→ Volume Break ———————> Volume Breakout from range to confirm Long/Short position.
→ Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition as explained above (3) and (4).
→ ATR LONG —————————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions.
→ ATR SHORT ————————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions.
→ RISK ————————————> Maximum Risk per trade intraday.
The strategy was back-tested on TCS ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below.
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 50 contracts , which can be changed under
Settings
↓
Properties
↓
Order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 27.
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm.
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm , at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 92 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 100 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better Back-Test results.
The strategy applied to NSE:TCS ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 50) gives us 60% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.8 ,net Profit of 30,000 Rs profit .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.49
Sortino Ratio : 1.4
The graph has a Linear Curve with Consistent Profits.
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) L_Bars —————————> 4
2) R_Bars —————————> 4
3) Volume Break ————> 5
4) Price Cross Ema ——> 100
5) ATR LONG ——————> 2.4
6) ATR SHORT —————> 2.6
7) RISK —————————> 2000
8) Default qty size ——> 50
NSE:TCS
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Thank You ☺ NSE:TCS
PIVOT STRATEGY [INDIAN MARKET TIMING]
A Back-tested Profitable Strategy for Free!!
A PIVOT INTRADAY STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that also explains the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above ema1 ,indicated by pivot highest line in green color .
2) Price crosses below ema1 ,indicated by pivot lowest line in red color .
3) Candle high crosses above pivot highest , is the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below pivot lowest , is the Short condition .
5) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
6) Default_qty_size is set to 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size .
7) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
Leftbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Rightbars —————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition
ATR LONG —————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions
ATR SHORT —————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions
RISK —————> Maximum Risk per trade for the day
The strategy was back-tested on RELIANCE ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below .
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings
↓
properties
↓
order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 25 .
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm .
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm, at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 103 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:RELIANCE
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 128 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better back-test results.
The strategy applied to NIFTY ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 60 ) gives us 60% profitability y , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.45 ,net Profit of 21,500Rs profit .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.311
Sortino Ratio : 0.727
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits .
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) Leftbars ————————> 3
2) Rightbars ————————> 5
3) Price Cross Ema ——————> 150
4) ATR LONG ————————> 2.7
5) ATR SHORT ———————> 2.9
6) RISK —————————> 2500
7) Default qty size ——————> 60
NSE:RELIANCE
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Consolidation Breakout [Indian Market Timing]OK let's get started ,
A Day Trading (Intraday) Consolidation Breakout Indication Strategy that explains time condition for Indian Markets .
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is ,
1) Price crosses above upper band , indicated by a color change (green) is the Long condition .
2) Price crosses below lower band , indicated by a color change (red) is the Short condition .
3) ATR is used for trailing after entry
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm.
The time_condition specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 2:57pm.
All open trades get closed at 2:57pm , because some brokers dont allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm.
NSE:NIFTY1!
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 114 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
LENGTH , MULT (factor) and ATR can be changed for better backtest results.
The strategy applied to NIFTY (3 min Time-Frame and contract size 5) gives us 60% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 8 months with a Profit Factor of 2.2 , avg Trade of 6000Rs profit and Sharpe Ratio : 0.67
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits.
NSE:NIFTY1!
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Squeeze Momentum Strategy [LazyBear] Buy Sell TP SL Alerts-Modified version of Squeeze Momentum Indicator by @LazyBear.
-Converted to version 5,
-Taken inspiration from @KivancOzbilgic for its buy sell calculations,
-Used @Bunghole strategy template with Take Profit, Stop Loss and Enable/Disable Toggles
-Added Custom Date Backtesting Module
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
All credit goes to above
Problem with original version:
The original Squeeze Momentum Strategy did not have buy sell signals and there was alot of confusion as to when to enter and exit.
There was no proper strategy that would allow backtesting on which further analysis could be carried out.
There are 3 aspects this strategy:
1 ) Strategy Logic (easily toggleable from the dropdown menu from strategy settings)
- LazyBear (I have made this simple by using Kivanc technique of Momentums Moving Average Crossover, BUY when MA cross above signal line, SELL when crossdown signal line)
- Zero Crossover Line (BUY signal when crossover zero line, and SELL crossdown zero line)
2) Long Short TP and SL
- In strategies there is usually only 1 SL and 1 TP, and it is assumed that if a 2% SL giving a good profit %, then it would be best for both long and short. However this is not the case for many. Many markets/pairs, go down with much more speed then they go up with. Hence once we have a profitable backtesting setting, then we should start optimizing Long and Short SL's seperately. Once that is done, we should start optimizing for Long and Short TP's separately, starting with Longs first in both cases.
3) Enable and Disable Toggles of Long and Short Trades
- Many markets dont allow short trades, or are not suitable for short trades. In this case it would be much more feasible to disable "Short" Trading and see results of Long Only as a built in graphic view of backtestor provides a more easy to understand data feed as compared to the performance summary in which you have to review long and short profitability separately.
4) Custom Data Backtesting
- One of most crucial aspects while optimizing for backtesting is to check a strategies performance on uptrends, downtrend and sideways markets seperately as to understand the weak points of strategy.
- Once you enable custom date backtesting, you will see lines on the chart which can be dragged left right based on where you want to start and end the backtesting from and to.
Note:
- Not a financial advise
- Open to feedback, questions, improvements, errors etc.
- More info on how the squeeze momentum works visit LazyBear indicator link:
Happy Trading!
Cheers
M Tahreem Alam @mtahreemalam
[Pt] Premarket Breakout StrategyThis is a 1 trade per day strategy for trading SPY or QQQ index. By default, this is designed for 1 min time frame. This was an experimental script that seems to be profitable at the time of publication.
How it works:
Pre-market high and low is defined per trading day between 9:00 to 9:30 EST.
Then we looking for the first breakout on either PM high or PM low.
- Breakout high = long trade
- Breakout low = short trade
If long trade, we wait until Stochastic RSI D signal line to hit a lower threshold (18 by default). Then we enter long when K crosses above D line.
If short trade, we wait until Stochastic RSI D signal line to hit an upper threshold (82 by default). Then we enter short when K crosses below D line.
Stop loss for long
- set to PM low if entry is above PM high + %ATR buffer
- or set to PM range + %ATR buffer
Stop loss for short
- set to PM high if entry is below PM low + %ATR buffer
- or set to PM range + %ATR buffer
Profit target is set to 2x the risk by default.
*Note: Different Stochastic RSI lengths should be used if trading 5 min time frame. See tooltip.
Happy trading~~!
TheBigBangTraders BreakoutName: TheBigBangTraders Breakout
Category: Trend Follower
Operating mode: Spot
Trades duration: Intraday
Timeframe: 1H
Suggested usage: the purpose of this strategy is to help to investigate if the asset is sensitive to breakout approach.
Entry: Trigger point can be choose by the user between:
High of the N days ago
High of the N weeks ago
Exit: End of Day
Usage:
⁃ It can be useful to use this script to test the behaviour of a definite asset
⁃ This is a raw system that can be considered a base to realize a complete breakout strategy
Configuration:
- N/A
Backtesting
⁃ Exchange: BINANCE
⁃ Pair: ETHUSDT
⁃ Timeframe: !H
⁃ Fee 0.075%
⁃ Slippage 0
- Start : 2020-01-03
How you or we can improve? Source code is open so share your ideas!
Volatility Breakout StrategyThis is a strategy used by Larry R. Williams called Volatility Breakout.
By identifying a strong uptrend that exceeds 'a certain level' on a daily basis as a breakout signal, enter long position, take advantage of long at the the next day's open.
'a certain level (Entry Price)' is calculated by { close + 'k' * high -low }, and applied logarithmic calculation.
Stop loss level is calculated by half of the previous day's Low and Entry Price.
Strategy exit always at UTC+0.
And expressed day session with the background color.
Thanks and hope this helps you.
(kor)
이건 Larry R. Williams가 사용하는 변동성 돌파 전략입니다.
특정 수준을 넘는 강한 상승세를 돌파 신호로 파악하여 매수하고, 장시간이 종료될때에 빠르게 수익을 실현하는 전략입니다.
"특정 레벨(진입가)"은 close + 'k' * high -low 로 계산되며 로그 계산을 적용했습니다.
손절 레벨은 전일 저가 및 진입 가격의 절반으로 계산됩니다.
전략은 항상 UTC+0에서 종료합니다. ( 한국 기준 오전 9시 )
그리고 배경색으로 일일세션을 표현했습니다.
트뷰에 오픈소스의 래리윌리엄스 변동성전략이 없는것 같아 간단하게나마 만들어 보았습니다. 도움이 되었으면 좋겟워요..
Donchian Channel Strategy IdeaThis strategy idea is a variation of the "Donchian Channel" trading strategy. It is built with a highest-high band, a lowest-low band, and a baseline which is average the highest-high and the lowest-low bands. This strategy is very useful in trending instruments on 1W and 1D timeframes. This is the implementation used in the QuantCT app.
You can set the operation mode to be Long/Short or long-only.
You also can set a fixed stop-loss or ignore it so that the strategy acts solely based on entry and exit signals.
Trade Idea
When the close price breaks up the previous highest-high, it is a long signal, the market is considered rising (bullish), and the plotted indicator becomes green. Long positions are held until the close price crosses under the baseline.
When the close price breaks down the previous lowest-low, it is a short signal, the market is considered falling (bearish), and the plotted indicator becomes red. Short positions are held until the close price crosses above the baseline.
Otherwise, if we have no position in the market, the market is considered ranging, and the plotted indicator becomes orange.
Entry/Exit rules
Enter LONG if the close price breaks up the previous highest-high (i.e. when the plotted indicator becomes green).
Exit LONG if the close price crosses under the baseline (i.e. when the plotted indicator becomes orange).
Enter SHORT if the close price breaks down the previous lowest-low (i.e. when the plotted indicator becomes red).
Exit SHORT if the close price crosses above the baseline (i.e. when the plotted indicator becomes orange).
CAUTION
It's just a bare trading idea - a profitable one. However, you can enhance this idea and turn it into a full trading strategy with enhanced risk/money management and optimizing it, and you ABSOLUTELY should do this!
DON'T insist on using Long/Short mode on all instruments! This strategy performs much better in Long-Only mode on many (NOT All) trending instruments (Like BTC, ETH, etc.).
Pivot Point BreakoutThis is a strategy taken from Perry Kaufman's book, Trading Systems and Methods.
Just like the title says, it's a breakout strategy. It works by buying when the current high is higher than the last pivot high, and selling when the low is lower than the last pivot low.
It does not have a good success probability, and relies on the good reward to risk ratio. Definitely not recommended for someone with weak hands.
Super Breakout day trading This is an intraday indicator which uses Bollinger band and volume flow and MA to alert buy and sell signal.
A user can use this indicator to help make entry and exits. This indicator wont show entry and exist of larger time frames like Day week month.
This indicator uses Bollinger bands but try to minimize it shortcoming where it will buy and keep holding and eventually sell at a loss.
By adding addition parameters around volume it check if the price has reached its peak
Classic Long Term Trend Following SystemThis is a classic long term trend following system.
The breakout period is 50 days instead of 20 and the moving average crossover are 40 and 120.
The moving averages are also exponential instead of simple.
The stoploss is 4 ATRs away from the price.
Recommendations:
Donchian Channels settings > 50 days
Moving Averages > 40 and 120, 80 and 140
Important to note:
My first strategy, DC Breakout System | This is simplicity at its finest, is best used on the crypto market and this one for stocks, commodities, currencies, etc. Those markets tend to trend a lot longer than crypto do.
Trend Following with Donchian Channels and MACDThis is a trend following system based on the Donchian Channels. Instead of using a simple moving average crossover, this system uses the MACD as the trendfilter:
Long positions:
* Price makes a new 50 day high,
* The MACD-line crosses above or is above the Signal-line.
* Both the MACD and the Signal-lines are above the zero-line.
Short positions:
* Price makes a new 50 day low,
* The MACD-line crosses below or is below the Signal-line.
* Both the MACD and the Signal-lines are below the zero-line.
Stoploss:
The initial and the trailing stoploss are 4 ATRs away from the price.
Fractal Breakout Strategy [KL]Fractal Breakout Strategy
This strategy will enter into a Long position when (a) bullish fractal is formed, combined with (b) ATR is relatively low. Trailing stop loss is set based on ATR.
Bullish fractal pattern :
A bullish fractal pattern looks like this:
It is formed when lower-low has reached a local minimum followed by higher-lows.
By default, this script plots the pivot point (the local minimum) using green crosses. This line will extend to the right until the next bullish fractal is formed. The local minimum pivot point is considered as key level of support. For long position entry, entry price must be higher or equal to it.
On the other hand, a bearish fractal pattern looks like the exact opposite. Reversing the logic, it is a local maximum indicated by higher-highs followed by lower-highs. This is shown by red crosses.
Why use ATR to confirm entry :
Two reasons to enter when ATR is low:
1) Since trailing stop loss is based on ATR, entering the market when ATR is low means risking less for potentially high reward.
2) Low ATR often signals price consolidation. There are two favorable scenarios, either: (i) period of accumulation, or (ii) bull flag, ideally followed by breakout.
Determining whether ATR is low :
Relative lows are quantified out by using the method in my other script: Modified ATR Indicator
The method involves applying two-tailed hypothesis testing to assess whether ATR (ie. by default lookback period of 5) has greatly deviated from a larger sample size (ie. lookback period of 50). Assuming ATR is normally distributed and variance is known, then test statistic (z) can be used to determine whether ATR5 is within the critical area under Null Hypothesis: ATR5 == ATR50. If z falls below/above the left/right critical values (ie. 1.645 for a 90% confidence interval), then ATR is determined to the relatively low/high respectively. For the purpose of assessing whether ATR is low, the left-tail is the main focus.
Profit taking :
Profits by default are taken over 3 levels based on risk to reward ratio (ie. 1R, 2R, 3R). When a target is met at each level, strategy will close out one third of current position size. Remainders (ie. already taken once at 1R, but not yet reaching 2R or 3R) will eventually be closed at the trailing stop loss price.
DC Breakout Strategy | This is simplicity at its finest.As the title already describes: this is a Donchian breakout strategy. This strategy, as of now, only goes long. It goes long when the price close makes a new high and the 8 day moving average is above the 32 day moving average. The strategy exits the trade if the price breaks the atr trailing stop of * 3 or the 8 day moving average crosses below the 32 day moving average.
This is simplicity at its finest.
Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio Strategy [KL]I recently published an indicator called "Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio Indicator". In the description of that script, I hypothesized about how the Efficiency Ratio could be applied to identify bullish moves in instances where price had already gone up steeply, but rests for a while, allowing for entry in expectation that price will continually rise. I decided to test out this idea with Pinescript.
About Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio ("ER")
ER was developed by a systematic trader by the name of Perry J. Kaufman.
Formula
The formula is:
= A divided by B,
where:
A = Current closing price minus the closing price at the start of the lookback period
B = Sum of differences between closing prices (in absolute terms) of consecutive bars over the lookback period
How this strategy enters a trade (Long):
- code: entry_signal_long = ER > 0 and ER_is_mid
- meaning: when ER is positive, strategy assumes price has risen. Usually ER value begins high (red), and unless it is a false move, then it should stay positive. This strategy will patiently wait until ER drops to medium (yellow), and then place a trade.
- how low/medium/high is dynamically determined: Refer to the description of my other script("Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio Indicator") for details. Trying to keep this as short as possible.
How this strategy exits a trade (Long):
- when price hits stop limit; stop limit is based on low of bars, trails upward based on ATR
- included a feature called "tightening TSL", which tries to reduce the stop-buffer during periods of high volatility implied by ER (very experimental, opening the floor for suggestions on how this can be improved)
[KL] Double Bollinger Bands Strategy (for Crypto/FOREX)This strategy uses a setup consisting of two Bollinger Bands based on the 20 period 20-SMA +/-
(a) upper/lower bands of two standard deviations apart, and
(b) upper/lower bands of one standard deviation apart.
We consider price at +/- one standard deviation apart from 20-SMA as the "Neutral Zone".
If price closes above Neutral Zone after a period of consolidation, then it's an opportunity for entry. Strategy will long, anticipating for breakout.
The illustration below shows price closing above the Neutral Zone after a period of consolidation.
a.c-dn.net
Position is exited when prices closes at Neutral Zone (being lower than prior bars)
Qullamaggie BreakoutThe intent of this strategy is to buy breakouts with a tight stop on smaller timeframes in the direction of the longer term trend. Default longer term trend is the daily, but the user can choose any timeframe to use for the SMAs (which act as filters and trailing stops).
Exit the trade using a trailing stop of a close below either the 10 MA or 20 MA (user choice) on that larger timeframe as the position moves in your favor (i.e. whenever position price rises above the MA). This is one area where this script could use a little work or some human intervention - when the trade is entered right in the vicinity of the moving averages, you get some whipsaw. Not sure how to avoid that at this point though if you want to look at those longer term moving averages as your exit criteria.
Option of using daily ATR as a measure of finding contracting ranges and ensuring a decent risk/reward. (If the difference between the breakout point and your stop level is below a certain % of ATR, it could possibly find those consolidating periods.)
72s Strat: Backtesting Adaptive HMA+ pt.1This is a follow up to my previous publication of Adaptive HMA+ few months ago, as a mean to provide some kind of initial backtesting tools. Which can be use to explore many possible strategies, optimise its settings to better conform user's pair/tf, and hopefully able to help tweaking your general strategy.
If you haven't read the study or use the indicator, kindly go here first to get the overall idea.
The first strategy introduce in this backtest is one most basic already described in the study; buy/sell is when movement is there and everything is on the right side; When RSI has turned to other side, we can use it as exit point (if in profit of course, else just let it hit our TP/SL, why would we exit before profit). Also, base on RSI when we make entry, we can further differentiate type of signals. --Please check all comments in code directly where the signals , entries , and exits section are.
Second additional strategy to check; is when we also use second faster Adaptive HMA+ for exit. So this is like a double orders on a signal but with different exit-rule (/more on this on snapshots below). Alternatively, you can also work the code so to only use this type of exit.
There's also an additional feature which you can enable its visuals, the Distance Zone , is to help measuring price distance to our xHMA+. It's just a simple atr based envelope really, I already put the sample code in study's comment section, but better gonna update it there directly for non-coder too, after this.
In this sample I use Lot for order quantity size just because that's what I use on my broker. Also what few friends use while we forward-testing it since the study is published, so we also checked/compared each profit/loss report by real number. To use default or other unit of measurement, change the entry code accordingly.
If you change your order size, you should also change the commission in Properties Tab. My broker commission is 5 USD per order/lot, so in there with example order size 0.1 lot I put commission 0.5$ per order (I'll put 2.5$ for 0.5 lot, 10$ for 2 lot, and so on). Crypto usually has higher charge. --It is important that you should fill it base on your broker.
SETTINGS
I'm trying to keep it short. Please explore it further again. (Beginner should also first get acquaintance with terms use here.)
ORDERS:
Base Minimum Profit Before Exit:
The number is multiplier of ongoing ATR. Means that when basic exit condition is met, algo will check whether you're already in minimum profit or not, if not, let it still run to TP or SL, or until it meets subsequent exit condition, then it will check again.
Default Target Profit:
Multiplier of ATR at signal. If reached before any eligible exit condition is met, exit TP.
Base StopLoss Point:
You can change directly in code to use other like ATR Trailing SL, fix percent SL, or whatever. In the sample, 4 options provided.
Maximum StopLoss:
This is like a safety-net, that if at some point your chosen SL point from input above happens to be exceeding this maximum input that you can tolerate, then this max point is the one will be use as SL.
Activate 2nd order...:
The additional doubling of certain buy/sell with different exits as described above. If enable, you should also set pyramiding to at least: 2. If not, it does nothing.
ADAPTIVE HMA+ PERIOD
Many users already have their own settings for these. So in here I only sample the default as first presented in the study. Make it to your adaptive.
MARKET MOVEMENT
(1) Now you can check in realtime how much slope degree is best to define your specific pair/tf is out of congestion (yellow) area. And (2) also able to check directly what ATR lengths are more suitable defining your pair's volatility.
DISTANCE ZONE
Distance Multiplier. Each pair/tf has its own best distance zone (in xHMA+ perspective). The zone also determine whether a signal should appear or not. (Or what type of signal, if you wanna go more detail in constructing your strategy)
USAGE
(Provided you already have your own comfortable settings for minimum-maximum period of Adaptive HMA+. Best if you already have backtested it manually too and/or apply as an add-on to your working strategy)
1. In our experiences, first most important to define is both elements in the Market Movement Settings . These also tend to be persistent for whole season since it's kinda describing that pair/tf overall behaviour. Don't worry if you still get a low Profit Factor here, but by tweaking you should start to see positive changes in one of Max Drawdown and Net Profit, or Percent Profitable.
2. Afterwards, find your pair/tf Distance Zone . When optimising this, what we seek is just a "not to bad" equity curves to start forming. At least Max Drawdown should lessen more. Doesn't have to be great already, but should be better, no red in Net Profit.
3. Then go manage the "Trailing Minimum Profit", TP, SL, and max SL.
4. Repeat 1,2,3. 👻
5. Manage order size, commission, and/or enable double-order (need pyramiding) if you like. Check if your equity can handle max drawdown before margin call.
6. After getting an acceptable backtest result, go to List of Trades tab and find the biggest loss or when many sequencing loss in a row happened. Click on it to go to exact point on chart, observe why the signal failed and get at least general idea how it can be prevented . The rest is yours, you should know your pair/tf more than other.
You can also re-explore your minimum-maximum period for both Major and minor xHMA+.
Keep in mind that all numbers in Setting are conceptually in a form of range . You don't want to get superb equity curves but actually a "fragile" , means one can easily turn it to disaster just by changing only a fraction in one/two of the setting.
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If you just wanna test the strength of the indicator alone, you can disable "Use StopLoss" temporarily while optimising settings.
Using no SL might be tempting in overall result data in some cases, but NOTE: It is not recommended to not using SL, don't forget that we deliberately enter when it's in high volatility. If want to add flexibility or trading for long-term, just maximise your SL. ie.: chose SL Point>ATR only and set it maximum. (Check your max drawdown after this).
I think this is quite important specially for beginners, so here's an example; Hypothetically in below scenario, because of some settings, the buy order after the loss sell signal didn't appear. Let's say if our initial capital only 1000$ using leverage and order size 0,5 lot (risky position sizing already), moreover if this happens at the beginning of your trading season, that's half of account gone already in one trade . Your max SL should've made you exit after that pumping bar.
The Trailing Minimum Profit is actually look like this. Search in the code if you want to plot it. I just don't like too many lines on chart.
To maximise profit we can try enabling double-order. The only added rule coded is: RSI should rising when buy and falling when sell. 2nd signal will appears above or below default buy/sell signal. (Of course it's also prone to double-loss, re-check your max drawdown after. Profit factor play its part in here for a long run). Snapshot in comparison:
Two default sell signals on left closed at RSI exit, the additional sell signal closed later on when price crossover minor xHMA+. On buy side, price haven't met our minimum profit when first crossunder minor xHMA+. If later on we hit SL on this "+buy" signal, at least we already profited from default buy signal. You can also consider/treat this as multiple TP points.
For longer-term trading, what you need to maximise is the Minimum Profit , so it won't exit whenever an exit condition happened, it can happen several times before reaching minimum profit. Hopefully this snapshot can explain:
Notice in comparison default sell and buy signal now close in average after 3 days. What's best is when we also have confirmation from higher TF. It's like targeting higher TF by entering from smaller TF.
As also mention in the study, we can still experiment via original HMA by putting same value for minimum-maximum period setting. This is experimental EU 1H with Major xHMA+: 144-144, Flat market 13, Distance multiplier 3.6, with 2nd order activated.
Kiwi was a bit surprising for me. It's flat market is effectively below 6, with quite far distance zone of 3.5. Probably because I'm using big numbers in adaptive period.
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The result you see in strategy tester report below for EURUSD 15m is using just default settings you see in code, as follow:
0,1 lot for each order (which is the smallest allowed by my broker).
No pyramiding. Commission: 0.5 usd per order. Slippage: 3
Opening position is only using basic strategy #1 (RSI exit). Additional exit not activated.
Minimum Profit: 1. TP: 3.
SL use: Half-distance zone. Max SL: 4.5.
Major xHMA+: 172-233. minor xHMA+: 89-121
Distance Zone Multiplier: 2.7
RSI: Standard 14.
(From our forward-testing, the difference we get from net profit is because of the spread, our entry isn't exactly at the close/open price. Not so much though, but not the same. If somebody can direct me to any example where we can code our entry via current bid/ask price, that would be awesome!)
It's already a long post (sorry), think I'm gonna pause here. Check out the code :)
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DISCLAIMER: Past performance is no guarantee of future results , and so on.. you know the drill ;)
Please read whole description first before using, don't take 1-2 paragraph and claim it's the whole logic, you are responsible of your own actions and understanding.
Trend Surfers - Premium Breakout + AlertsTrend Surfers - Premium Breakout Strategy with Alerts
I am happy today to release the first free Trend Surfers complete Breakout Strategy!
The strategy includes:
Entry for Long and Short
Stoploss
Position Size
Exit Signal
Risk Management Feature
How the strategy works
This is a Trend Following strategy. The strategy will have drawdowns, but they will be way smaller than what you would go through with buy and old.
As a Trend Following strategy, we will buy on strength, when a breakout occurs. And sell on weakness.
The strategy includes a FIX Stoploss determined by an ATR multiple and a trailing Stoploss/Takeprofit also determined by an ATR multiple.
You can also manage your risk by entering the maximum % you are willing to risk on every trade. Additionally, there is an option to enter how many pairs you will be trading with the strategy. This will change your position size in order to make sure that you have enough funds to trade all your favorite pairs.
Use the strategy with alerts
This strategy is alert-ready. All you have to do is:
Go on a pair you would like to trade
Create an alert
Select the strategy as a Trigger
Wait for new orders to be sent to you
Every Entry (Long/Short) will include:
Market Entry (Enter position NOW!)
Stoploss price
Position Size
Leverage
* If you do not wish to use leverage, you can multiply the Position Size by the Leverage. But doing that, you might end up with a position greater than your equity. Trading on Futures is better in order to have accurate risk management.
Exit signals:
When you receive an exit signal, you need to close the position ASAP. If you want to keep your results as close as possible to the backtest results, you need to execute quickly and follow what the strategy is telling you.
Do not try to outsmart the strategy
Leave your emotion out of trading! If you trust the strategy, you will have way better returns than if you try to outsmart it. Follow each signal you receive even if it doesn't seem logical at the moment.
Become a machine that executes. Don't look at fundamentals. Follow the trend! Trust the strategy!
I hope you enjoy it!
Moving Regression Band Breakout strategyFollowing the introduction of the Moving Regression Prediction Bands indicator (see link below), I'd like to propose how to utilize it in a simple band breakout strategy :
Go long after the candle closes above the upper band . The lower band (alternatively, the lower band minus the 14-period ATR or the central line ) will serve as a support line .
Exit as soon as the candle closes below the support line .
To manage the risk of false breakouts, a fixed stop loss is set to the value of the support line at the time of opening a position. When the support line moves above the position opening price, shift the stop loss to breakeven.
The same logic but in reverse applies to short positions.
As an option, it is possible to allow long entries only when the slope of the Moving Regression curve is positive (and short entries when the slope is negative).
Model parameters:
Length and Polynomial Order define the lag and smoothness of the model.
Multiplier specifies the width of the channel.
As the default model parameter values, I set those that I found to provide optimal risk / reward ratio on the daily timeframe (for both trending and range-bound market). However, the settings are very flexible and can be well-adjusted to particular market conditions. Feel free to play around and leave feedback in the comments!
Here's the original Moving Regression Prediction Bands script:
LAGging span leaves Bollinger Bands strategyAbstract
This script points out the positions a lagging span leaves a Bollinger Band.
This script does not plot a lagging span but moves the Bollinger Band forward.
You can find profit opportunities by combining this script and risk management.
Introduction
Bollinger Bands is a popular indicator.
It contains a moving average, an upper band and a lower band.
The moving average can indicate trend, the upper band and the lower band can indicate if the price is far away from the moving average.
However, in trading markets, anything can happen.
Both continuation and reversal are possible when the price touches the moving average, the upper band or the lower band.
Therefore, many traders adjust the parameters of the Bollinder Band or add other indicators to improve their trading strategies.
@Daveatt et. al. provided an idea that uses a lagging span.
A lagging span is a line chart. It displays the reference price but in earlier time.
For example, if the offset of a lagging span is 26 days, the value of the lagging span on 29 days ago is the reference price 3 days ago.
A lagging span is a part of Ichimoku Cloud.
It can compare the price to the earlier price and the values of indicators in the past.
To compare the price to the values of indicators in the past, we can also shift indicators forward instead of adding a lagging span into the chart.
This script uses shift-the-indicators-forward method.
In other words, this script plots the Bollinger Band forward so that the price can be compared to the values of the Bollinger Band in the past.
Computing and Adjusting
(1) Compute Moving Average
(2) Compute Standard Derivation
(3) Upper Band = Moving Average + Standard Derivation * Multi
(4) Lower Band = Moving Average - Standard Derivation * Multi
(5) Shift the Bollinger Band forward according to the offset parameter.
(6) Mark the points the price leaves the shifted Bollinger Band
(7) Compute the most possible loss and profit before the next opposite signal.
Parameters
source : the data for computing the bollinger band. can be open, high, low, close or their combination.
length : how many days are calculated by the bollinger band
mult : the distance from the moving average to the upper band and the distance from the moving average to the upper band is equal to ( mult * standard derivation ) .
x_offset : the offset of the lagging span
Conclusion
This script can find signals for potential breakout or trend continuation.
If you want to use this signal well, you need to know when to cut loss and protect the profit.
Reference
@Daveatt , Bollinger bands/Lagging span cross , BGyrPgOA , Tradingview 2019
How to trade with Bollinger Bands
How to use Ichimoku Cloud
How to trade with a line chart
