EMA 20/50/100/200 PricesDescription:
Introducing the EMA Indicator with Dynamic Labels, a unique addition to the TradingView Public Library. This innovative script enhances trend analysis and decision-making by overlaying four Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) – 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods – on your chart, each with a distinct color for quick identification.
What sets this script apart?
Unlike standard EMA indicators, this script includes dynamic labels that display the current price level of each EMA at the latest price bar. This feature provides an instant snapshot of market sentiment, offering insights into potential dynamic support or resistance levels.
Key Features:
Customizable EMA Periods: Tailor the EMA periods according to your trading strategy, allowing for flexibility across different timeframes and assets.
Adaptive Label Sizes: A unique function adjusts label sizes based on user input, ensuring optimal readability across various display settings.
Color-Coded EMAs: Quickly differentiate between the EMAs with pre-defined colors, enhancing visual clarity and trend recognition.
How to Use:
Trend Analysis: Use the EMAs to identify the overall market trend. When shorter EMAs are above longer ones, it suggests a bullish trend, and vice versa.
Trade Entries and Exits: Look for crossovers of the EMAs as potential entry or exit signals. Dynamic labels will help you pinpoint the exact levels.
Customization: Adjust the EMA periods and label sizes under the indicator settings to match your trading style and preferences.
Underlying Concepts:
This script utilizes the classic EMA calculation but innovates by integrating dynamic, real-time labels and customizable periods. The choice of four different periods allows for a nuanced analysis of trend strength and direction, catering to both short-term traders and long-term investors.
Originality and Contribution:
The "Advanced EMA Indicator with Dynamic Labels" is original in its approach to providing real-time, actionable data through dynamic labels. It caters to the community's need for more interactive and informative indicators that go beyond basic trend analysis.
Conclusion:
Whether you're a novice trader seeking to understand market trends or an experienced investor looking for nuanced analysis tools, this script offers valuable insights and flexibility. It stands as a testament to the power of Pine Script in creating practical, user-centric trading tools.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
MACD on RSIThe MACD on RSI indicator combines elements of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It calculates the RSI on a specified source with a customizable length, then applies two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to the RSI values. The difference between these EMAs forms the MACD line, visually representing the momentum of the RSI.
Entry FraggerEntry Fragger is a simple buy signal indicator.
It is most suitable for cryptocurrency, especially for altcoins on the 5 minute to daily timeframe and is based on simple volume calculations, in combination with EMA's.
Main Signal Logic explained:
A buy signal is generated by counting candles with an above average sell volume of 130% to 170%, taking into account the candles position below and above the 50 and 200 EMA.
If criteria meet, the first green candle above the 50 EMA's suggests upcoming higher prices.
The indicator has 2 input variables.
"Signal Confirmations (0 - 7):" Changes signal accuracy by a defining an ammount of high sell volume candles necessary below the 50 EMA.
"Volume Calculation Base (9 - 200):" Sets the exponential volume multiplier, this affects candle coloring and the volume calculation inside the candle.
"Style Settings": Turn ON/OFF Signals, Cloud, Bar Coloring, EMA's, etc...
There are no generally suitable default numbers for those 2 inputs, those have to be tested out, depending on cryptocurrency and timeframe.
The calculation is very basic, the underlying idea being, market maker initiating range breakouts through rapid increase of volume above or below the EMA's .
Example settings:
SOLUSDT: Signal Confirmations: 2, Volume Calculation Base 13.
SOLUSDT: Signal Confirmations: 0, Volume Calculation Base 20.
As you can see it affects signals quite a lot, but staying accurate.
Finetune the inputs to your preference.
Risk to Reward, Stoploss, Take Profit, position sizing, etc... is up to the user.
Recommended entry is to wait for following candle closes, entering half of the candle size and setting Stoploss outside the structure, like this:
Or right below the candles open, for safety.
ASFX SignalsDescription:
The ASFX Signals Indicator, created by OmegaTools, is an open-source Pine Script™ code designed to provide traders with valuable signals for potential entry and exit points in the market. This script incorporates a combination of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) signals and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) confluence, enhancing the precision of trading decisions.
Key Features:
Threshold Configuration: Users can customize the threshold parameter (thres) to fine-tune signal sensitivity, adapting the indicator to different market conditions.
EMA Length Customization: The script allows traders to adjust the length of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with the "EMA Length" input, providing flexibility in capturing various trends.
Show/Hide Options: Users have the flexibility to choose whether to display the EMA line, VWAP confluence, and VWAP upper and lower bands, tailoring the visual representation based on individual preferences.
VWAP Confluence: The indicator integrates VWAP confluence, offering additional confirmation for trading signals. Traders can choose the VWAP resolution and set the deviation parameter for enhanced accuracy.
Signal Filtering: The script intelligently filters signals based on the percentage of the candle that crosses the EMA. Long signals are filtered out if the closing price is above the VWAP or the specified threshold, and short signals are filtered out if the closing price is below the VWAP or the threshold.
Visual Signals: The indicator provides clear visual signals for long and short entries, making it easy for traders to identify potential opportunities. The signals are accompanied by arrows and labels for quick interpretation.
How to Use:
Adjust the threshold, EMA length, and VWAP parameters based on your trading preferences.
Choose whether to display the EMA line, VWAP confluence, and upper/lower bands.
Interpret long and short signals for potential entry and exit points, considering the percentage of the candle that crosses the EMA.
Consider additional confirmation provided by VWAP confluence.
Concepts and Methodology:
The ASFX Signals Indicator combines EMA signals and VWAP confluence to generate actionable trading signals. The script intelligently considers the percentage of the candle that crosses the EMA, providing a nuanced approach to signal confirmation. The EMA offers trend insights, while VWAP confluence enhances signal reliability.
EMA20 in MTFThe "EMA20 in MTF" indicator on TradingView is a versatile tool designed to display the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as a horizontal line across various time frames. This indicator provides traders with a comprehensive view of the EMA's behavior by plotting it on multiple time frames (MTF), including Quarterly, Monthly, Weekly, Daily, and 125 Minutes.
By incorporating EMA data from different time frames, traders can gain insights into both short-term and long-term trends. The Quarterly and Monthly time frames offer a broader perspective on market movements, while the Weekly and Daily time frames provide intermediate-term trends. The inclusion of the 125 Minutes time frame further enhances precision, catering to intraday trading strategies.
Overall, the "EMA20 in MTF" indicator serves as a valuable tool for traders seeking to analyze EMA dynamics across various time frames, aiding in trend identification and decision-making processes.
QTE Scalper ModifiedA modified version of the QTE scalper indicator. Produces a buy/sell signal based on a 2 candle pattern. For long signals it produces a signal when the high and low of the second candle are below the high and low of the first candle and both candles close above the 10 period EMA. The reverse is true for short signals.
Added functionality so that signals will trigger an alert: Add the indicator to the chart on the instrument and timeframe you wish to use it on. Add an alert and in the 'condition' section choose the indicator and set the trigger as 'once per bar close'. You will have to set individual alerts for both long and short signals and if you change the time period on the chart.
MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT - By MGS-TradingMBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume by MGS-Trading: A Neural Network-Inspired Indicator
Introduction:
The MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume represents a groundbreaking achievement in the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into cryptocurrency market analysis. Developed by MGS-Trading, this indicator is the culmination of extensive research and development efforts aimed at leveraging AI's power to enhance trading strategies. By synthesizing neural network concepts with traditional technical analysis, the MBAND indicator offers a dynamic, multi-dimensional view of the market, providing traders with unparalleled insights and actionable signals.
Innovative Approach:
Our journey to create the MBAND indicator began with a simple question: How can we mimic the decision-making prowess of a neural network in a trading indicator? The answer lay in the weighted aggregation of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) from multiple timeframes, each serving as a unique input akin to a neuron in a neural network. These weights are not arbitrary; they were painstakingly optimized through backtesting across various market conditions to ensure they reflect the significance of each timeframe’s contribution to overall market dynamics.
Core Features:
Neural Network-Inspired Weights: The heart of the MBAND indicator lies in its AI-inspired weighting system, which treats each timeframe’s EMA as an input node in a neural network. This allows the indicator to process complex market data in a nuanced and sophisticated manner, leading to more refined and informed trading signals.
Multi-Timeframe EMA Analysis: By analyzing EMAs from 15 minutes to 3 days, the MBAND indicator captures a comprehensive snapshot of market trends, enabling traders to make informed decisions based on a broad spectrum of data.
RSI and Volume Integration: The inclusion of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume data adds layers of confirmation to the signals generated by the EMA bands. This multi-indicator approach helps in identifying high-probability setups, reinforcing the neural network’s concept of leveraging multiple data points for decision-making.
Usage Guidelines:
Signal Interpretation: The MBAND bands provide a visual representation of the market’s momentum and direction. A price moving above the upper band signals strength and potential continuation of an uptrend, while a move below the lower band suggests weakness and a possible downtrend.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The RSI component identifies when the asset is potentially overbought (>70) or oversold (<30). Traders should watch for these conditions near the MBAND levels for potential reversal opportunities.
Volume Confirmation: An increase in volume accompanying a price move towards or beyond an MBAND level serves as confirmation of the strength behind the move. This can indicate whether a breakout is likely to sustain or if a reversal has substantial backing.
Strategic Entry and Exit Points: Combine the MBAND readings with RSI and volume indicators to pinpoint strategic entry and exit points. For example, consider entering a long position when the price is near the lower MBAND, RSI indicates oversold conditions, and there is a notable volume increase.
About MGS-Trading:
At MGS-Trading, we are passionate about harnessing the transformative power of AI to revolutionize cryptocurrency trading. Our indicators and tools are designed to provide traders with advanced analytics and insights, drawing on the latest AI techniques and methodologies. The MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume indicator is a prime example of our commitment to innovation, offering traders a sophisticated, AI-enhanced tool for navigating the complexities of the cryptocurrency markets.
Disclaimer:
The MBAND indicator is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your investment. We recommend conducting your own research and consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Cauchy Distribution Trend AnalysisThis custom Pine Script indicator is designed to analyze assets, including cryptocurrencies, through a lens inspired by the Cauchy distribution's characteristics. It focuses on identifying potential long and short opportunities by evaluating the asset's price position relative to a dynamically calculated median price and a scale parameter. Here's a breakdown of its components and how to use it:
Components
Median Length: The period over which the median price is calculated. The median price acts as a proxy for the Cauchy distribution's location parameter, representing a central value around which the market price fluctuates.
MA Length: The length for calculating the moving average, which is used to determine the scale parameter. The scale parameter estimates the average volatility around the median price, adjusted for the selected averaging method.
Moving Average Type: Offers a choice between HMA (Hull Moving Average), SMA (Simple Moving Average), and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to calculate the scale parameter. This flexibility allows users to tailor the sensitivity of the scale parameter to the asset's price volatility.
Median Price Calculation: Uses the close price (by default) to calculate the median price over the specified period.
Scale Parameter Calculation: A function that calculates the scale parameter based on the chosen average source. This parameter is used to identify the threshold for long and short conditions.
Strategy Logic
Long Condition: Triggered when the asset's close price is greater than the sum of the median price and the scale parameter. This indicates that the asset's price has moved significantly above the median price, suggesting bullish momentum.
Short Condition: Triggered when the asset's close price is less than the difference between the median price and the scale parameter. This indicates that the asset's price has moved significantly below the median price, suggesting bearish momentum.
EHRHART Algo Premium (V.2)EHRHART Algo Premium is a indicator designed to help traders analyze market flow. It work with multiple EMA for identifying the sentiment of market. It's very simple calculation but it's a good help for people who use price action. I think the visual of the chart is very important and and I wanted to create an indicator very visual. I'm price action lover like lots of people and I personally think it's very important to identify the flow of market because buying when the flow of market is up give you better chance to win your trade. It's not BUY and SELL signal, this indicator don't tell u when u need buy or when u need sell, it's principally here for helping the visual of trading chart (have a good clear chart). I decided to post this indicator because people were asking me how it worked and were curious about these colors, so here we go !
This indicator show:
The main flow ( green candle=buy pressure /red candle=seller pressure ), it's based on two EMA cross over, this two EMA are editable so u can take the combination you want depending on your trading strategy. When the first EMA is above the second EMA candle becoming green and when the second EMA is above the first EMA candle becoming red.
The trend of two EMA crossover (blue=bullish and violet=bearish), it's based on two EMA (two different than main flow) cross over, this two EMA are editable so u can take the combination you want depending on your trading strategy. When the first EMA is above the second EMA the trend becoming blue and when the second EMA is above the first EMA the trend becoming violet.
Potential trend reversals (violet candle), it's calculate with the two EMA of the main flow, when these two EMA becoming closer, the candle becoming violet. It meaning that the trend may reversals. I added sensitivity parameter, so u can adjust it depending on your trading strategy, the more sensitive it is, the more candle will be colored violet.
A system of RSI print on the chart, when the RSI becoming overbought (more than 75) a red triangle will pop up on the chart, and when the RSI becoming oversold (less than 25) a green triangle will pop up on the chart. U can show or hidden these setting.
Bullish candles are represented by hollow candles.
Bearish candles are represented by full candles.
You can use this indicator with multiple strategy, I personally use it with price action (support/resistance) and I made it for that (but it's your choice).
This is an example of how I'll use it:
Here we can see that the price is coming testing our weakly support, however the main flow is bullish (red candle), so I'm waiting my first signal (violet candle). When the first candle passed violet I decided to enter the trade because violet candle after red candle means that the two EMA start closed to themselves meaning that's the flow may turn green. My second signal will be candle passed green, because it meaning the two EMA start deviate from themselves, buyer are taking advantage. In this situation a green triangle on the support will be my third signal.
The OG Outback [TTF]The Outback indicator
After a major overhaul of our Outback strategy, we decided that we would make our original version available for anyone to use.
The fundamental element of this indicator is based on price action relative to a slow moving average. That said, given that price will always tend towards a moving average, we have also implemented a method for helping filter out false signals leveraging a "consolidation cloud" and fast moving average. This, coupled with references to a customized version of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), has enabled us to provide significantly higher quality signals relating to price crossing a moving average.
Note: For this version, we have only prepared a single set of conditions and alerts (as noted by the 🦘 symbols). However it's worth noting there are several variations that can be done with some fundamental technical analysis and referencing additional indicators that can take this foundation and build upon it for a substantial increase in risk/reward and profit targets.
Price and Volume Stochastic Divergence [MW]Introduction
This indicator creates signals of interest for entering and exiting long and short positions on equities. It primarily uses up and down trends defined by the change in cumulative volume with some filtering provided by a short period exponential moving average (9 EMA by default).
Settings
Moving Average Period : The moving average over which the cumulative volume delta is calculated. Default: 14
Short Period EMA : The EMA used to represent price action, and is used to generate the EMA Delta line. Default: 27 (3*3*3)
Long Period EMA : The second EMA used to calculate the EMA Delta line. Default: 108 (2*2*3*3*3)
Stochastic K Value : The value used for stochastic curve smoothing. Default: 3
Dot Size : The diameter of the larger indicator. Default: 10
Dot Transparency : The transparency level of the outer ring of the primary BUY/SELL signal. Default: 50 (0 is opaque, 100 is transparent)
Band Distance from 0 to 100 : The upper and lower band distance. Default: 20
Calculations
The cumulative volume delta (CVD) is calculated using candle bodies and wicks. For a red candle, buying volume is calculated by multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks, while Selling Volume is calculated multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks - in addition to the spread percentage of the candle body.
For a green candle, buying volume is calculated by multiplying the volume by the spread percentage of the average of the top and bottom wicks - plus the spread percentage of the candle body - while Selling Volume is calculated using only the spread percentage average of the top and bottom wicks.
Once we have the CVD, we can then perform a stochastic calculation of the CVD value.
stochastic calculation = (current value - lowest value in period) / (highest value in period - lowest value in period)
We’ll do the same stochastic calculation for the short term EMA (27 EMA default) as well as for the difference between the short term and long term EMA.
When the stochastic CVD value is rising from zero and the short term EMA stochastic value equals 100, then it’s a major bullish signal. When the stochastic CVD value is falling from 100 and the short term EMA stochastic value equals 0, then it’s a major bearish signal.
Sometimes, after a bullish or bearish signal, the stochastic CVD will reverse direction triggering a new opposing signal.
How to Interpret
The CVD indicates when there is either more buying than selling or vice versa. A value over 50 for the stochastic CVD curve represents more buying taking place. A value below 50 represents more selling. One might intuitively believe that when there is more buying volume than selling volume that the price would follow suit. This is not always the case.
Most of the time buying volume will precede consistent price movement upwards, and selling volume will precede consistent price movement downwards. When this divergence occurs, the indicator generates a signal. When this divergence begins to fail, and buying or selling volume reverses, then another signal is generated indicating that the buying/selling impulse is headed back into the direction of price action.
These interactions are visually represented on the chart with the coral line that represents CVD, and the yellow line that represents the EMA, or the average price. When the coral line goes up and the yellow line stays down, that’s the BUY signal. When the coral line goes down and the yellow line stays up, that’s the sell signal. When the coral line switches direction, the chart generates another signal showing that volume is moving in a direction that supports the price.
The orange line represents the stochastic representation of the difference between the short EMA (27 by default) and the long EMA (108 by default). EMA differences is a method that can be used to define a trend. When a short term EMA is above a longer term EMA, that may represent a bullish trend. When it is below, that may represent a bearish trend. When all 3 lines are rising or falling in the same direction at the same time, it tends to indicate a movement that has the potential to continue.
Other Usage Notes and Limitations
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
This indicator can be paired with the MW Volume Impulse indicator if it is desired to see the actual buying and selling cumulative volume deltas. Also, in many cases, the BUY and SELL signals tend to correspond with Keltner Bands (ATR Bands) becoming extended. Lastly, volume weighted average price (VWAP) along with other macro events can impact price and negate signals. To view VWAP lines, you may choose to use the Multi VWAP or Multi VWAP for Gaps indicator to help ensure that the signals you see in this indicator are not being affected by VWAP lines.
Ripster Trend LabelsRipster Trend Labels: This script provides labels indicating the trend and chop conditions in the market. It helps traders identify potential trading opportunities based on short-term trends. Its support my EMA Cloud System by providing labels on when Clouds turn bullish or bearish and also uses my concepts of Chop vs Trend based on premarket levels.
What Does Script Do-> It Identifies Bullish & Bearish Trend and if Market is in Chop Range or Trending
How Does it Identify Trend & Chop->
Description: The script calculates the 10-minute 12 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to determine the short-term trend direction. It's based on the Ripster 10-minute trading system, and it's recommended to use it in conjunction with the 5-12 and 34-50 Ripster Cloud scripts for more effective analysis.
For Sake of simplicity only using 12 & 50 EMA to create the labels, this should be used with the Clouds itself for better analysis.
This Script also calculates when Price is moving over premarket pivot or moving under premarket pivots. These Pivots are High or Lows in premarket in this version. The move over Pivot Signals the Trend , if Stock or ETF remains in those pivots, it is considered as Chop.
For now I am only using Premarket Data and my principles of Chop Vs Trend based on that to identify this direction. In future versions, I might implement Daily levels or Yesterday High Lows, to add more pivots for more accurately identifying chop ranges or if we are in Trend.
Table Display: The script displays the trend and chop labels in a table format on the chart, making it easier for traders to interpret the information.
How to Trade and Analyze Using Ripster Clouds Labels:
I recommend using my Ripster Clouds Indicator with these labels for best use
For High Probability Bullish Trend Trades
-> When All 3 Columns Price Action, Ripster 34/50 Clouds & Ripster 5/12 are bullish means trend is strong and its High Probability Long.
For High Probability Bearish Trend Trades
-> When All 3 Columns Price Action, Ripster 34/50 Clouds & Ripster 5/12 are bearish means trend is strong bearish and High Probability Long
Identifying Chop
-> If price action label says Chop its most likely sideways action even though other two columns are saying Bearish or Bullish. We can still trade because combination of other two is still strong Trend Signal, but its better to risk less when labels are showing Chop
By using this script, traders can make more informed decisions about entering and exiting trades based on the current market conditions identified by the trend and chop labels.
VWAP 8EMA Crossover Scalping IndicatorWhy?
Everybody, especially in Indian context, from 9:15 AM to 3:30 PM, wants to trade in BankNifty.
And even 15m is Too Big timeframe for The Great Indian Options buyers. Everyone knows how potentially BankNifty (& FinNifty on Tuesday and Sensex on Friday) can show dance within 15m.
So there always been an overarching longing among traders to have something in shorter timeframes. And this 5m timeframe, looks like a universally (sic) accepted Standard Timeframe for Indian Options traders.
So here is this.
What?
The time we are publishing this public indicator Indian market (Nifty) is in ATH at ~22200.
In any such super trending market it's always good to wait for a dip and then in suitable time, enter the trade in the direction of the larger trend. The reversal trading systems, in such a situation, proves to be ineffective.
Of course there are time when market is sideways and keeps on oscillating between +/2 standard deviation of the 20 SMA. In such a situation the reversal play works perfectly. But not so in such a trending market.
So the question comes up - after a dip what's the right point to enter.
Hence comes the importance of such a crossover based trading system.
In this indicator, it's a well-known technique (nothing originally from ours, it's taken from social media, exact one we forgot) to find out the 8EMA and VWAP crossover.
So we learned from social media, practice in our daily trading a bit, actuate it and now publishing it.
A few salient points
It does not make sense to jump into the trade just on the crossover (or crossunder).
So we added some more sugar to it, e.g. we check the color the candle. Also the next candle if crosses and closes above (or below) the breakout candle's high/low.
The polarity (color) of both the alert (breakout/breakdown) and confirmation candle to be same (green for crossover, red from crossunder).
Of course, it does provider BUY and SELL alerts separately.
These all we have found out doing backtesting and forward testing with 1/2 lots and saw this sort of approaches works.
Hence all of these are added to this script.
Nomenclature
Here green line is the 8EMA and the red line is the VWAP.
Also there is a black dotted line. That's 50 EMA. It's to show you the trend.
The recent trade is shown in the top right of the chart as green (for buy) or red (for sell) with SL and 1:1 target.
How to trade using this system?
This is roughly we have found the best possible use of this indicator.
Lets explain with a bullish BUY positive crossover (means 8EMA is crossing over the daily VWAP)
Keep timeframe as 5m
Check the direction/slope of the black dotted line (50 EMA). If it's upwards, only take bullish positions.
Open the chart which has the VWAP. (e.g. FinNifty spot or MidcapNifty spot does not have vwap). So in those cases Future is the way to go.
Wait for a breakout crossover and let the indicator gives a green, triangular UP arrow.
Draw a horizontal line to the close of that candle for next few (say 6 candles i.e. 30m) candles.
Wait for the price first to retest the 8EMA or even better the VWAP (or near to the 8EMA, VWAP)
Let the price moves and closes above the horizontal line drawn in the 4th step.
Take a bullish trade, keeping VWAP as the SL and 1:1 as the target.
Additionally, Options buyer can consult ADX also to see if the ADX is more than 25 and moving up for the bullish trade. (This has to be added seperately in the chart, it's not a part of the indicator).
Mention
The concept we have taken from some social media. Forget exactly where we heard this first time. We just coded it with some additional steps.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context: We are not SEBI registered.
Smart DCA StrategyINSPIRATION
While Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is a popular and stress-free investment approach, I noticed an opportunity for enhancement. Standard DCA involves buying consistently, regardless of market conditions, which can sometimes mean missing out on optimal investment opportunities. This led me to develop the Smart DCA Strategy – a 'set and forget' method like traditional DCA, but with an intelligent twist to boost its effectiveness.
The goal was to build something more profitable than a standard DCA strategy so it was equally important that this indicator could backtest its own results in an A/B test manner against the regular DCA strategy.
WHY IS IT SMART?
The key to this strategy is its dynamic approach: buying aggressively when the market shows signs of being oversold, and sitting on the sidelines when it's not. This approach aims to optimize entry points, enhancing the potential for better returns while maintaining the simplicity and low stress of DCA.
WHAT THIS STRATEGY IS, AND IS NOT
This is an investment style strategy. It is designed to improve upon the common standard DCA investment strategy. It is therefore NOT a day trading strategy. Feel free to experiment with various timeframes, but it was designed to be used on a daily timeframe and that's how I recommend it to be used.
You may also go months without any buy signals during bull markets, but remember that is exactly the point of the strategy - to keep your buying power on the sidelines until the markets have significantly pulled back. You need to be patient and trust in the historical backtesting you have performed.
HOW IT WORKS
The Smart DCA Strategy leverages a creative approach to using Moving Averages to identify the most opportune moments to buy. A trigger occurs when a daily candle, in its entirety including the high wick, closes below the threshold line or box plotted on the chart. The indicator is designed to facilitate both backtesting and live trading.
HOW TO USE
Settings:
The input parameters for tuning have been intentionally simplified in an effort to prevent users falling into the overfitting trap.
The main control is the Buying strictness scale setting. Setting this to a lower value will provide more buying days (less strict) while higher values mean less buying days (more strict). In my testing I've found level 9 to provide good all round results.
Validation days is a setting to prevent triggering entries until the asset has spent a given number of days (candles) in the overbought state. Increasing this makes entries stricter. I've found 0 to give the best results across most assets.
In the backtest settings you can also configure how much to buy for each day an entry triggers. Blind buy size is the amount you would buy every day in a standard DCA strategy. Smart buy size is the amount you would buy each day a Smart DCA entry is triggered.
You can also experiment with backtesting your strategy over different historical datasets by using the Start date and End date settings. The results table will not calculate for any trades outside what you've set in the date range settings.
Backtesting:
When backtesting you should use the results table on the top right to tune and optimise the results of your strategy. As with all backtests, be careful to avoid overfitting the parameters. It's better to have a setup which works well across many currencies and historical periods than a setup which is excellent on one dataset but bad on most others. This gives a much higher probability that it will be effective when you move to live trading.
The results table provides a clear visual representation as to which strategy, standard or smart, is more profitable for the given dataset. You will notice the columns are dynamically coloured red and green. Their colour changes based on which strategy is more profitable in the A/B style backtest - green wins, red loses. The key metrics to focus on are GOA (Gain on Account) and Avg Cost .
Live Trading:
After you've finished backtesting you can proceed with configuring your alerts for live trading.
But first, you need to estimate the amount you should buy on each Smart DCA entry. We can use the Total invested row in the results table to calculate this. Assuming we're looking to trade on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Decide how much USD you would spend each day to buy BTC if you were using a standard DCA strategy. Lets say that is $5 per day
Enter that USD amount in the Blind buy size settings box
Check the Blind Buy column in the results table. If we set the backtest date range to the last 10 years, we would expect the amount spent on blind buys over 10 years to be $18,250 given $5 each day
Next we need to tweak the value of the Smart buy size parameter in setting to get it as close as we can to the Total Invested amount for Blind Buy
By following this approach it means we will invest roughly the same amount into our Smart DCA strategy as we would have into a standard DCA strategy over any given time period.
After you have calculated the Smart buy size , you can go ahead and set up alerts on Smart DCA buy triggers.
BOT AUTOMATION
In an effort to maintain the 'set and forget' stress-free benefits of a standard DCA strategy, I have set my personal Smart DCA Strategy up to be automated. The bot runs on AWS and I have a fully functional project for the bot on my GitHub account. Just reach out if you would like me to point you towards it. You can also hook this into any other 3rd party trade automation system of your choice using the pre-configured alerts within the indicator.
PLANNED FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
Currently this is purely an accumulation strategy. It does not have any sell signals right now but I have ideas on how I will build upon it to incorporate an algorithm for selling. The strategy should gradually offload profits in bull markets which generates more USD which gives more buying power to rinse and repeat the same process in the next cycle only with a bigger starting capital. Watch this space!
MARKETS
Crypto:
This strategy has been specifically built to work on the crypto markets. It has been developed, backtested and tuned against crypto markets and I personally only run it on crypto markets to accumulate more of the coins I believe in for the long term. In the section below I will provide some backtest results from some of the top crypto assets.
Stocks:
I've found it is generally more profitable than a standard DCA strategy on the majority of stocks, however the results proved to be a lot more impressive on crypto. This is mainly due to the volatility and cycles found in crypto markets. The strategy makes its profits from capitalising on pullbacks in price. Good stocks on the other hand tend to move up and to the right with less significant pullbacks, therefore giving this strategy less opportunity to flourish.
Forex:
As this is an accumulation style investment strategy, I do not recommend that you use it to trade Forex.
STRATEGY IN ACTION
Here you see the indicator running on the BITSTAMP:BTCUSD pair. You can read the indicator as follows:
Vertical green bands on historical candles represents where buy signals triggered in the past
Table on the top right represents the results of the A/B backtest against a standard DCA strategy
Green Smart Buy column shows that Smart DCA was more profitable than standard DCA on this backtest. That is shown by the percentage GOA (Gain on Account) and the Avg Cost
Smart Buy Zone label marks the threshold which the entire candle must be below to trigger a buy signal (line can be changed to a box under plotting settings)
Green color of Smart Buy Zone label represents that the open candle is still valid for a buy signal. A signal will only be generated if the candle closes while this label is still green
Below is the same BITSTAMP:BTCUSD chart a couple of days later. Notice how the threshold has been broken and the Smart Buy Zone label has turned from green to red. No buy signal can be triggered for this day - even if the candle retraced and closed below the threshold before daily candle close.
Notice how the green vertical bands tend to be present after significant pullbacks in price. This is the reason the strategy works! Below is the same BITSTAMP:BTCUSD chart, but this time zoomed out to present a clearer picture of the times it would invest vs times it would sit out of the market. You will notice it invests heavily in bear markets and significant pullbacks, and does not buy anything during bull markets.
Finally, to visually demonstrate the indicator on an asset other than BTC, here is an example on CRYPTO:ETHUSD . In this case the current daily high has not touched the threshold so it is still possible for this to be a valid buy trigger on daily candle close. The vertical green band will not print until the buy trigger is confirmed.
BACKTEST RESULTS
Now for some backtest results to demonstrate the improved performance over a standard DCA strategy using all non-stablecoin assets in the top 30 cryptos by marketcap.
I've used the TradingView ticker (exchange name denoted as CRYPTO in the symbol search) for every symbol tested with the exception of BTCUSD because there was some dodgy data at the beginning of the TradingView BTCUSD chart which overinflated the effectiveness of the Smart DCA strategy on that ticker. For BTCUSD I've used the BITSTAMP exchange data. The symbol links below will take you to the correct chart and exchange used for the test.
I'm using the GOA (Gain on Account) values to present how each strategy performed.
The value on the left side is the standard DCA result and the right is the Smart DCA result.
✅ means Smart DCA strategy outperformed the standard DCA strategy
❌ means standard DCA strategy outperformed the Smart DCA strategy
To avoid overfitting, and to prove that this strategy does not suffer from overfitting, I've used the exact same input parameters for every symbol tested below. The settings used in these backtests are:
Buying strictness scale: 9
Validation days: 0
You can absolutely tweak the values per symbol to further improve the results of each, however I think using identical settings on every pair tested demonstrates a higher likelihood that the results will be similar in the live markets.
I'm presenting results for two time periods:
First price data available for trading pair -> closing candle on Friday 26th Jan 2024 (ALL TIME)
Opening candle on Sunday 1st Jan 2023 -> closing candle on Friday 26th Jan 2024 (JAN 2023 -> JAN 2024)
ALL TIME:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 80,884% / 133,582% ✅
CRYPTO:ETHUSD 17,231% / 36,146% ✅
CRYPTO:BNBUSD 5,314% / 2,702% ❌
CRYPTO:SOLUSD 1,745% / 1,171% ❌
CRYPTO:XRPUSD 2,585% / 4,544% ✅
CRYPTO:ADAUSD 338% / 353% ✅
CRYPTO:AVAXUSD 130% / 160% ✅
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD 13,690% / 16,432% ✅
CRYPTO:TRXUSD 414% / 466% ✅
CRYPTO:DOTUSD -16% / -7% ✅
CRYPTO:LINKUSD 1,161% / 2,164% ✅
CRYPTO:TONUSD 25% / 47% ✅
CRYPTO:MATICUSD 1,769% / 1,587% ❌
CRYPTO:ICPUSD 70% / 50% ❌
CRYPTO:SHIBUSD -20% / -19% ✅
CRYPTO:LTCUSD 486% / 718% ✅
CRYPTO:BCHUSD -4% / 3% ✅
CRYPTO:LEOUSD 102% / 151% ✅
CRYPTO:ATOMUSD 46% / 91% ✅
CRYPTO:UNIUSD -16% / 1% ✅
CRYPTO:ETCUSD 283% / 414% ✅
CRYPTO:OKBUSD 1,286% / 1,935% ✅
CRYPTO:XLMUSD 1,471% / 1,592% ✅
CRYPTO:INJUSD 830% / 1,035% ✅
CRYPTO:OPUSD 138% / 195% ✅
CRYPTO:NEARUSD 23% / 44% ✅
Backtest result analysis:
Assuming we have an initial investment amount of $10,000 spread evenly across each asset since the creation of each asset, it would have provided the following results.
Standard DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 4,998.65%
Profit: $499,865
Closing balance: $509,865
Smart DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 7,906.03%
Profit: $790,603
Closing balance: $800,603
JAN 2023 -> JAN 2024:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 47% / 66% ✅
CRYPTO:ETHUSD 26% / 33% ✅
CRYPTO:BNBUSD 15% / 17% ✅
CRYPTO:SOLUSD 272% / 394% ✅
CRYPTO:XRPUSD 7% / 12% ✅
CRYPTO:ADAUSD 43% / 59% ✅
CRYPTO:AVAXUSD 116% / 151% ✅
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD 8% / 14% ✅
CRYPTO:TRXUSD 48% / 65% ✅
CRYPTO:DOTUSD 24% / 35% ✅
CRYPTO:LINKUSD 83% / 124% ✅
CRYPTO:TONUSD 7% / 21% ✅
CRYPTO:MATICUSD -3% / 7% ✅
CRYPTO:ICPUSD 161% / 196% ✅
CRYPTO:SHIBUSD 1% / 8% ✅
CRYPTO:LTCUSD -15% / -7% ✅
CRYPTO:BCHUSD 47% / 68% ✅
CRYPTO:LEOUSD 9% / 11% ✅
CRYPTO:ATOMUSD 1% / 15% ✅
CRYPTO:UNIUSD 9% / 23% ✅
CRYPTO:ETCUSD 27% / 40% ✅
CRYPTO:OKBUSD 21% / 30% ✅
CRYPTO:XLMUSD 11% / 19% ✅
CRYPTO:INJUSD 477% / 446% ❌
CRYPTO:OPUSD 77% / 91% ✅
CRYPTO:NEARUSD 78% / 95% ✅
Backtest result analysis:
Assuming we have an initial investment amount of $10,000 spread evenly across each asset for the duration of 2023, it would have provided the following results.
Standard DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 61.42%
Profit: $6,142
Closing balance: $16,142
Smart DCA Strategy results:
Average percent return: 78.19%
Profit: $7,819
Closing balance: $17,819
DSKOLI TableThis helps to determine bullish or bearish trend of any chart on any generally available time-frame and good to have for Intraday watch.
Details -
a. Points shown in table shows the difference of last shown price from specified EMAs, this helps to know the price movement of candles are above or below the EMA and its coloured with red and green which even further helps to determine its existing trend.
Note or Disclaimer:
1. This may be considered only for Watching as Learning and informational purpose.
2. Take advice from financial advisor before entering, holding, converting or exiting from any order or trade.
3. Always keep your acceptable stop-loss in all your transactions while trading or investing.
DSKOLI or TradingView reserves all right and don't hold any responsibilities for any loss/losses as well as accuracy of levels or price movement.
Multi MAs mit LabelA MA (Moving Average) is useful to identify a trend of an assets. The TradingView builtin indicator "Exponential Moving Average" is useful, but limited in some aspects:
Bound to the active timeframe (e.g. h1)
One MA per indicator instance. Makes it confusing when using multiple
In reality to want to have multiple MAs with different types (EMA, SMA), length and timeframes on your chart to identify trading opportunities. As an example you can use the daily EMA12 and EMA21 to identify the trend and EMA200 on the h4 to enter a trade. That's what this script is used for.
The provided script is an extension to the indicator powered by chipmonk (link to profile below). The original script let you add up to 8 EMAs that can be bound to any timeframe and length. The timeframe and length is displayed on the chart next to EMA.
Unfortunately you can only add EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) and no SMAs (Simple Moving Averages). That's why the script was extended. You can now choose the type (EMA or SMA) for up to 8 MAs.
Links
Profile of chipmonk
Indicator by chipmonk
Trend Change IndicatorThe Trend Change Indicator is an all-in-one, user-friendly trend-following tool designed to identify bullish and bearish trends in asset prices. It features adjustable input values and a built-in alert system that promptly notifies investors of potential shifts in both short-term and long-term price trends. This alert system is crucial for helping less active investors correctly position themselves ahead of major trend shifts and assists in risk management after a trend is established. It's important to note that this indicator is most effective with assets that historically exhibit strong trends.
At the heart of this tool is the interaction between the 30-day and 60-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). A bullish trend is indicated in green when the 30-day EMA is above the 60-day EMA, while a bearish trend is signaled in red when the 30-day EMA is below the 60-day EMA. The appearance of gray alerts users to potential shifts in the current trend as the EMAs converge, falling below the Average True Range (ATR) safety margin. This analysis is conducted across both hourly and daily timeframes, with the 4-hour timeframe providing early signals for daily trend changes. The band visually represents the interaction between the daily EMAs and is also displayed in the second row of the table, with the first row showing the same EMA interaction on the 4-hour timeframe.
This indicator also includes a 140-day (20-week) Simple Moving Average (SMA), visually represented by a line with predictive dots. This feature significantly enhances the investor's ability to understand long-term trends in asset prices, offering forward-looking insights by projecting the SMA value 10 days into the future. The value of this forecast lies in interpreting the slope of the dots; upward trending dots suggest a bullish underlying trend, while downward trending dots indicate a bearish trend. Generally, prices above the SMA signal bullishness, and prices below indicate bearishness.
In summary, the Trend Change Indicator is a comprehensive solution for identifying price trends and managing risk. Its intuitive, color-coded design makes it an indispensable tool for traders and investors who aim to be well-positioned ahead of trend shifts and manage risk once a trend has been established. While it has proven historically valuable in trending markets such as cryptocurrencies, tech stocks, and commodities, it is advisable to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a more comprehensive and well-rounded decision-making process.
Bitcoin ETFs Clustered EMA [UOI]The 'Bitcoin ETFs Clustered EMA ' is designed to track and analyze the combined movement of various Bitcoin-related ETFs. This indicator incorporates a range of prominent ETFs, including iShares Bitcoin (IBIT), Bitwise Bitcoin (BITB), Tidal Bitcoin (DEFI), ARK Bitcoin (ARKB), Grayscale Bitcoin (GBTC), Fidelity Bitcoin (FBTC), WisdomTree Bitcoin (BTCW), Invesco Bitcoin (BTCO), Valkyrie Bitcoin (BRRR), VanEck Bitcoin (HODL), and Franklin Bitcoin (EZBC). By normalizing their prices to a unified scale and applying Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of different lengths (Short, Long, and Extra Long), it provides a comprehensive view of the aggregated trend strength and direction in the Bitcoin ETF market. Its color-coded plotting system offers quick visual cues for market sentiment, making it an invaluable tool for traders focusing on Bitcoin-related securities.
Apply this indicator to the charts of NASDAQ:MARA or AMEX:SPY to see how you can effectively trade these ETFs.
Remember, these do not trade 24/7, so when applied to a Bitcoin chart, the indicator only properly shows during regular trading hours. Also, since these ETFs were recently launched, don't expect them to work properly on longer timeframes like the daily chart. You need to use it on lower timeframes; otherwise, the EMAs may not display correctly. As time passes, you will be able to use it on higher timeframes.
EMA + Lower Timeframe EMA (correct display in Replay Mode)This indicator shows
one EMA for the current timeframe
one EMA for a lower timeframe
Unlike the built-in Tradingview EMA indicator, this indicator shows the correct values for the lower timeframe EMA during Replay Mode.
{Gunzo} Trend Sniper (Multiple MAs with coefficient)Updated GUNZO's Trend Sniper script by adding in different MA types to choose from. This can help reduce false signals and sharpen the trend reversal points.
Here's a summary of the key changes:
1. Multiple Moving Average Types: The original script was focused solely on the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) with a coefficient. The updated script introduces flexibility by allowing users to choose from a variety of Moving Average types, including WMA, VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average), EMA (Exponential Moving Average), SMA (Simple Moving Average), HullMA (Hull Moving Average), TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average), DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average), T3, and RMA (Running Moving Average).
2. Coefficient Integration: In the original script, the coefficient was specifically designed for the WMA calculation. The updated script extends this concept to all the selected Moving Average types. This coefficient is applied differently depending on the type of MA, often affecting the length of the MA calculation.
3. Dynamic Length Calculation: For MAs that traditionally use an integer length (like SMA, EMA, etc.), the updated script calculates this length dynamically by multiplying the user-defined length by the coefficient and then rounding it to the nearest integer. This ensures compatibility with Pine Script's requirements for these functions.
All credits to GUNZO
original script:
CARNAC Magic DCAThe "CARNAC Magic DCA" indicator is designed for investors looking for the best opportunities for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA).
How it works:
The Carnac Dynamic DCA Threshold calculates a dynamic threshold for DCA entries using Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Average True Range (ATR), and the maximum distance from the EMA over a full lookback period, aiding in identifying optimal buy opportunities. It also only signals a DCA buying opportunity after a bearish candle, which helps lower the average DCA price.
Configurable Inputs:
EMA Start Length: Sets the initial length for the series of EMAs, affecting their sensitivity to price changes.
ATR Length: Determines the period for the ATR calculation, influencing the dynamic DCA threshold's responsiveness to market volatility.
ATR Multiplier: Modifies the impact of the ATR on the DCA threshold, allowing for finer control over the threshold's sensitivity to volatility.
Start Calculation From: Enables setting a specific start date for calculations, tailoring the analysis to a particular trading period.
DCA Buy Signal Alert: Generates an alert when the price is below both the dynamic DCA threshold and the opening price, indicating a potential buy signal based on DCA strategy.
Ten EMAs: Carnac Magic DCA includes a ten EMA plot, which decrease in length from the user-defined starting length, offering a multi-layered trend analysis.
EMA Color Coding: The sequential arrangement of EMAs is visually represented through color coding, facilitating quick trend recognition.
Average Buy Price Analysis: Calculates and displays the average buy price and its percentage difference from the average closing price since the user-defined start date, helping assess the strategy’s effectiveness compared to traditional DCA methods (purchasing at the close of every candle).
Visual Indicators and Labels: Includes visual alerts for buy signals and informative labels showing average buy prices and related statistics.
PlayBit EMAPlayBit EMA Indicator
Introducing the PlayBit EMA, a highly esteemed technical analysis tool within the PlayBit Community and a personal favorite of Bitcoin Playboy. This indicator has cemented its place as a staple among traders for its simplicity and effectiveness.
Key Features:
PB EMA: Utilizes two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify support and resistance zones and help identify potential reversal points.
Dynamic Fill Color:
The fill color will change based on if the closing price is above, below, or in between.
This indicator is not only a reflection of market dynamics but also an essential tool for traders looking to make informed decisions based on the relationship between price action and moving averages. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, the PlayBit EMA is an invaluable addition to your trading arsenal.
CARNAC Elasticity IndicatorThe CARNAC Elasticity Indicator (EI) is a technical analysis tool designed for traders and investors using TradingView. It calculates the percentage deviation of the current price from an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and helps traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in a financial instrument.
Key Features:
EMA Length: Users can customize the length of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) used in the calculations by adjusting the "EMA Length" parameter in the indicator settings.
Percentage Deviation: The indicator calculates the percentage deviation of the current price from the EMA. Positive values indicate prices above the EMA, while negative values indicate prices below the EMA.
Maximum Deviations: The indicator tracks the maximum positive (above EMA) and negative (below EMA) percentage deviations over time, allowing traders to monitor extreme price movements.
Bands: Upper and lower bands are displayed on the indicator chart at 100 and -100, respectively. Additionally, dashed middle bands at 50 and -50 provide reference points for moderate deviations.
Dynamic Color Coding: The indicator uses dynamic color coding to highlight the current percentage deviation. It turns red for values above 50 (indicating potential overbought conditions), green for values below -50 (indicating potential oversold conditions), and purple for values in between.
How to Use:
Overbought Conditions: Watch for the percentage deviation to cross above 50, indicating potential overbought conditions. This might be a signal to consider selling or taking profits.
Oversold Conditions: Look for the percentage deviation to cross below -50, signaling potential oversold conditions. This could be an opportunity to consider buying or entering a long position.
Historical Extremes: Keep an eye on the upper and lower bands (100 and -100) to identify historical extremes in percentage deviation.
The CARNAC Elasticity Indicator can be a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential trend reversals and assess the strength of price movements. However, it should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies for comprehensive trading decisions.
Trend Finding by EMAsINTRO
This indicator is a price action based tool used to visualize trends using Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
CONCEPTS
It's created with two EMAs with different lengths (9 and 15) based on user-defined parameters. The script calculates the EMAs for the given lengths using the closing prices of the asset.
The EMAs are plotted on the chart, and their colors are dynamically determined by a conditional statement. If slower EMA is crossing above the faster EMA than the color will be change, And vise-versa for the opposite.
USES:-
The visualization of EMAs in different colors assists in identifying potential trends:
a bullish trend when EMAs color is Blue
and a bearish trend when EMAs color are Red.
Purpose
This script provides a quick visual representation of potential trend changes based on the relationship between these two EMAs.
