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Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)

Amrullah Deep Liquidity for ETHBTCAmrullah Deep Liquidity (ADL) Amrullah Deep Liquidity (ADL) is a high profit factor strategy based on models designed by Muhd Amrullah. Choosing your trading pair that you are planning to backtest Check that you have been given access to Amrullah Deep Liquidity (ADL). Select ETHBTC with the default 2H time frame. Once done, open Indicators > Invite-Only Scripts > Amrullah Deep Liquidity %. Choosing your initial capital that you want to begin backtesting Go to Settings > Properties > Initial Capital and type in the amount of capital you're starting with. For the ETHBTC trading pair, the initial capital is denominated in BTC. Adjusting your equity at risk until the trades match your risk profile and comfort level Go to Inputs > Equity Risk and adjust the value you are comfortable with. To analyse performance, you also want to choose the Start Year, Start Month and Start Date. Select lower equity risk for trades that you intend to take without the use of leverage. You can select an equity risk from 0.001 to 0.05 or all the way to 1. Finding the time frame with the highest profit factor Profit factor is defined as the gross profit a strategy makes across a defined period of time divided by its gross loss. You may choose to scroll through other time frames to find better models. You can select a different time frame from 1 min to 1H or all the way to 1M. Once you find the model you desire, you are encouraged to check that the model has a backtested profit factor of >3.5. You can then begin looking through the Performance Summary to find other detailed statistics. Analysing the equity curve from the Amrullah Deep Liquidity (ADL) strategy A green equity curve indicates that the trades are accumulating profits. A red equity curve indicates that the trades are accumulating losses. A healthy equity curve is one that is green and grows steadily to the right and upward direction. Analysing the display arrows on the chart Amrullah Deep Liquidity (ADL) tells you when to take a trade and how much to put in a trade. ADL can do this as the model identifies inventory risk in traders and market makers in the chosen market. On your Tradingview chart, ADL will display an arrow that tells you when to enter a trade. You can also see the amount to trade beside the arrow. Opting for a trial Yes you may opt for a trial which has limited availability. The author's background and experience My career in software and deep learning development spans across more than 5 years. At work, I lead a team to solve core computer vision tasks for large companies. I continually read all kinds of computer science books and papers, and follows progress on tools used in financial markets.
Pine Script® strategy
by muhdamrullah
1
[astropark] Ichimoku Cloud Strategy [alarms]Dear Followers, today a Great Swing Trading Strategy , runnable on a bot , which works great on High Timeframes (1D is suggested!) but also even better on 1m Renko chart. If you are a scalper, you will love suggested entries for fast profit. You can run it on 1h timeframe (below is not suggested) if you are used to scalp trading and close each trade whenever you feel happy (a proper trailing stop strategy is suggested anyway). This strategy is based on the Ichimoku Cloud Indicator and let's you set a lot of settings: works on all timeframes (but 1D and above is suggested on normal candlesticks chart) you can run this indicator on 1m Renko chart (be sure to enable the "USING RENKO CHART? ENABLE THIS OPTION" setting) you can use 4 kind of Ichimoku Cloud (Custom, Slow, Standard and Fast - keep only one enabled) you can make the Ichimoku Cloud show or not you can enable showing the possibile re-entries you can enable an heiking ashi analysis you can enable a trailing stop strategy ("Auto Trailing Stop Loss" and "Close Trade When Price Breaks Above the Ichimoku Cloud" are two options very much suggested to keep enabled, especially on bot trading) you can create your own trailing stop stategy and take profit strategy you can enable a simple take profit strategy based on RSI Overbought and Oversold levels This strategy only trigger 1 buy or 1 sell, but if you missed the possibility to open your long or short position don't get mad, but just enable the "show re-entry signals" option, so yout will be able to enter again (be sure to always use a proper money management ). By the way, you can set any alarms you like in order to get notified when any kind of signal is triggered (you need to use the "alarms" version for this). Strategy results are calculated on the timeframe from May 2017 to now, so on 2 years and half, using 10000$ as initial capital and working at 1x leverage (so no leverage at all! If you like to use leverage, be sure tp use a safe option, like 3x or 5x at most in order to have liquidation price very far). This is not the "Holy Grail", so use a proper risk management strategy. This script will let you set all notifications you may need in order to be alerted on each triggered signals (there is also an "ALL-IN-ONE" option for free tradingview users. The backtesting version of this indicator, which will let you backtest how the indicator will perform on any chart you may test, can be found by searching for "Ichimoku Cloud Strategy" and then choosing the astropark indicator with "red and green arrows" at the end of the name. You can find it here below too: This is a premium indicator , so send me a private message in order to get access to this script.
Pine Script® indicator
by astropark
[astropark] Ichimoku Cloud StrategyDear Followers, today a Great Swing Trading Strategy , runnable on a bot , which works great on High Timeframes (1D is suggested!) but also even better on 1m Renko chart. If you are a scalper, you will love suggested entries for fast profit. You can run it on 1h timeframe (below is not suggested) if you are used to scalp trading and close each trade whenever you feel happy (a proper trailing stop strategy is suggested anyway). This strategy is based on the Ichimoku Cloud Indicator and let's you set a lot of settings: works on all timeframes (but 1D and above is suggested on normal candlesticks chart) you can run this indicator on 1m Renko chart (be sure to enable the "USING RENKO CHART? ENABLE THIS OPTION" setting) you can use 4 kind of Ichimoku Cloud (Custom, Slow, Standard and Fast - keep only one enabled) you can make the Ichimoku Cloud show or not you can enable showing the possibile re-entries you can enable an heiking ashi analysis you can enable a trailing stop strategy ("Auto Trailing Stop Loss" and "Close Trade When Price Breaks Above the Ichimoku Cloud" are two options very much suggested to keep enabled, especially on bot trading) you can create your own trailing stop stategy and take profit strategy you can enable a simple take profit strategy based on RSI Overbought and Oversold levels This strategy only trigger 1 buy or 1 sell, but if you missed the possibility to open your long or short position don't get mad, but just enable the "show re-entry signals" option, so yout will be able to enter again (be sure to always use a proper money management ). By the way, you can set any alarms you like in order to get notified when any kind of signal is triggered (you need to use the "alarms" version for this). Strategy results are calculated on the timeframe from January 2016 to now, so on 3 years, using 10000$ as initial capital, doing only 6 trades (great swings!) and working at 1x leverage (so no leverage at all! perfect spot trading style!). If you like to use leverage, be sure tp use a safe option, like 3x or 5x at most in order to have liquidation price very far). This is not the "Holy Grail", so use a proper risk management strategy. This script will let you backtest how the indicator will perform on any chart you may test. Of course results will be very different depending on the chart you will open. I tested a lot of charts and always you can find a combination that keep this strategy in profit on swing trading style (and this means that if you can have a daily look at the chart you can always manage to maximize your profit on each trade! The alarms version of this indicator, which will let you set all notifications you may need in order to be alerted on each triggered signals, can be found by searching for "astropark Ichimoku Cloud Strategy" and then choosing the "astropark" indicator with "alarms" suffix in the name. This is a premium indicator , so send me a private message in order to get access to this script.
Pine Script® strategy
by astropark
1
BitMEX Liquidation LevelsThis indicator plots BitMEX liquidation levels: - 25x - 50x - 100x The indicator works as following: The underlying assumption (as with all liquidation calculations) obviously is that traders used fixed margin or go "all in" on their cross-margin account. You then can configure a minimum trade volume and a minimum price change in percent for a candle to start computing liquidation levels from that candle Additionally: configure the price base for the liqudation level: Candle high or low (default) works well, but you can also set "candle close" or "median high/low" The indicator will then plot horizontal lines on the main chart showing price levels where many positions opened at the configured "start candle" will likely get liquidated. It works for all BitMEX contracts and while it has been optimized for BitMEX, it will work on other exchanges with the same leverage levels (25x, 50x, 100x) and maintenance margin requirements too. This indicator uses the Smart Volume indicator to compute the volume at the "start volume candle" setting where the liquidation level starts. This indicator can be found here: Smart Volume:
Pine Script® indicator
by Ekliptor
3
Hermes v1.0Hello Today, I'm releasing Hermès my Eth Trading Script. Hermès is a variation of my BTCUSDT Script Hadès. It's looking for specific money/price patterns and compares the results with the "retails sentiment" then, the potential signals are filtered out with an advance/exclusive trend detector. ("Apóllôn" module). Because this script is expected to be used with Bitmex, you should have a solid trading knowledge(money/Risk Management) . On the last 4 Months: * High Profits (~242% fees included) * Extreme Accuracy (~92.86%) * Very Low drawdown (-6%) * About 4-5 Trades a month. This indicator has been developed for BITMEX:ETHUSD /15Mins/Candles only. As usual with my scripts: - No repaint. - Two Weeks of trial. (Minimum 1 Full trade/nothing to lose!) Don't hesitate to claim your trial to check on its performance. More information in my signature.(again don't hesitate to send me a message if you have questions) Have a Good Day!
Pine Script® strategy
by Snowshine
3
Squeeze Momentum Strategy based on Indicator [LazyBear][Bitduke]I improved Squeeze Momentum Indicator by LazyBear (momentum filter, changed data source to ohlc4) and transformed it into a strategy, adding a risk management system + ability to customize time frames for backtest. Shortly about Squeeze Momentum Indicator: This is a derivative of John Carter's "TTM Squeeze" volatility indicator, as discussed in his book "Mastering the Trade" (chapter 11). Backtested on XBTUSD, ETHUSD (Bitmex). As you may notice it shows good results on 1h - 4h timeframes on these timeframes among these pairs. Relatively low drawdown ~ 12% (to date).
Pine Script® strategy
by Bitduke
11
[astropark] Renko OBV divergencesDear Followers, today a new great Scalper Tool , based on Ob Balance Volume (OBV) oscillator, which works from 1 minute timeframe Renko chart , which is the best and more secure timeframe to use on a Renko chart. But of course it works great on all timeframes (included the 1D timeframe), both on FOREX and on Cryptocurrencies! This tool has some cool features: it works on all timeframes , starting from 1 minute: so you can enjoy high-frequency trading by using a 24/7 running bot and a proper money and risk management strategy it shows you both bullish and bearish divergences with a triangle up or down respectively when it finds a strong bullish/bearish divergence , a flag will be displayed instead of a triangle This script will let you set all notifications you may need in order to be alerted on each triggered divergence. You may like to use it together with my Renko Scalper V2 and my Renko RSI Divergences indicator On Bitmex/ByBit/Binance Bitcoin/USD chart best settings is Traditional Renko chart with 10$ box size, while 0.5$ box size is suggested on Ethereum/USD pair. This is a premium indicator , so send me a private message in order to get access to this script.
Pine Script® indicator
by astropark
15
Ace Pro Short Indicator - 1 Minute ETHUSD Ethereum ChartThe Ace Pro Short - 1 Minute ETHUSD calculates overbought and oversold conditions. It focuses on momentum to identify whether the market is overbought or oversold. If it detects that the market is overbought, it gives an alert of “Short Entry” If it detects that the market is oversold, it gives an alert of “Short Exit" Users are also able to set notifications on Tradingview with this version of the indicator. To set an alert, after adding the indicator, at the top left of the chart where the indicator is listed, click on the "more" option (three dots), and then select "Add alert." PLEASE NOTE THE FOLLOWING: THE ACE PRO SHORT - 1 MINUTE ETHUSD INDICATOR IS DESIGNED ONLY FOR USE ON THE 1 MINUTE BITSTAMP ETHUSD CHART. It is only to be used for opening and closing short positions. It is not recommended for use with long positions. It is not recommended for use with time frames other than the 1 minute. In a sideways market, or during a violent move, it is likely to produce false signals. Traders must use confluence from their technical analysis to enter trades. Traders must use confluence from their technical analysis to enter trades. The Ace Pro Short ETHUSD 1 minute has been designed to prioritize successful trades over number of trades.
Pine Script® indicator
by DealerBTC
TRADER DREAMSThis indicator based macd,rsi,stochastic based. But it includes my own secret values. Comes with Machine learning technology and zero lag option. Next generation of technical analysis. Also you can look my other scripts this is symbol scanner this is wolfe and scalping indicator this is trending trend based kst indicator this is also can harmonic formation and trend analysis automatic and shows you target this is the best for trading and others.... I'm publishing this indicator for a while. Good luck.
Pine Script® indicator
by Herif
2
BITMEX Bybit binance HUOBI OKCOIN BTC DMI ATR DPO TREND AlertBITMEX Bybit binance HUOBI OKCOIN BTC DMI ATR DPO TREND Alert This is a very effective trend strategy. Strategy principle HOW TO USE set long position when a green arrow appears in the chart. set short position when a red arrow appears in the chart. For the long position and the short direction, you can set the stop profit & stop loss or trailing profit stop & trailing stop loss respectively. When a purple arrow appears to close a position, an aggressive trader can go in the opposite direction when it is purple. Strategy applicability The default setting is for bitmex perpetual swap contract XBTUSD , bybit BTCUSD perpetual futures contract ,binance btcusdt Spot,Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot,bitflyer BTCJPY Spot,bithumb BTCKRW Spot,bitso BTCMXN Spot, bitstamp BTCUSD Spot,bittrex BTCUSDT Spot,Coinbase BTCUSD spot, deribit BTCPERP perpetual futures contract,gemini BTCUSD Spot,Hitbit BTCUSDT Spot,huobi BTCUSDT Spot KRAKEN XBTUSD spot,OKCOIN OKEX BTCUSD3M BTCUSD BTCUSD2W,Poloniex BTCUSDT Spot etc btc symbol with 30 minutes timeframe. This indicator has broad applicability and can be applied to multiple different symbols. This indicator also applies to the ETHUSD symbol etc, just adjust the default configuration. Using the alert of the indicator, it can work well on the trading robot like Gunbot,autoview, without repaint false signals. 这是非常有效的趋势策略。 如何使用 在图表中出现绿色箭头就做多。 在图表中出现红色箭头就做空。 对于多头头寸和空头方向，您可以分别设置止损和止损或尾随利润止损和尾随止损；当出现紫色箭头时平仓，激进的交易者，可以在紫色时就做反方向。 策略适用性 默认设置是针对bitmex交易所 XBTUSD永久掉期合约，BYBIT交易所 BTCUSD永续期货合约，binance币安交易所 btcusdt现货，Bitfinex交易所 BTCUSD现货，bitflyer交易所 BTCJPY现货，bithumb交易所 BTCKRW现货，bitso交易所 BTCMXN现货，bitstamp交易所 BTCUSD现货，bittrex交易所 BTCUSDT现货，Coinbase交易所 BTCUSD现货，deribit交易所 BTCPERP永续期货合约，gemini双子星交易所 BTCUSD现货，Hitbit交易所 BTCUSDT现货，huobi火币交易所 BTCUSDT现货，KRAKEN交易所 XBTUSD现货，OKCOIN OKEX交易所 BTCUSD3M OK BTC季度合约 BTCUSD BTCUSD2W OK BTC次周合约，Poloniex BTCUSDT现货等2小时区间的btc交易。 Bitmex XBTUSD 30分钟 比特币期货 30 minutes Futures 这个指标具有广泛的适用性，可以适用多个不同交易品种。 该指标还适用于ETHUSD,ETHBTC,ADABTC,TRXBTC,XRPBTC交易品种等，只需调整默认配置即可。 Bitmex ETHUSD 30分钟 以太币期货 30 minutes Futures 使用该指标的警报设置，它可以在自动交易机器人上很好地工作，而无重绘错误的信号。
Pine Script® indicator
by bitguys
4
BITMEX Bybit binance HUOBI OKCOIN BTC Ichimoku TREND AlertsBITMEX Bybit binance HUOBI OKCOIN BTC Ichimoku TREND Alerts This is a very effective trend strategy. Strategy principle HOW TO USE set long position when a green arrow appears in the chart. set short position when a red arrow appears in the chart. For the long position and the short direction, you can set the stop profit & stop loss or trailing profit stop & trailing stop loss respectively. When a purple arrow appears to close a position, an aggressive trader can go in the opposite direction when it is purple. Strategy applicability The default setting is for bitmex perpetual swap contract XBTUSD , bybit BTCUSD perpetual futures contract ,binance btcusdt Spot,Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot,bitflyer BTCJPY Spot,bithumb BTCKRW Spot,bitso BTCMXN Spot, bitstamp BTCUSD Spot,bittrex BTCUSDT Spot,Coinbase BTCUSD spot, deribit BTCPERP perpetual futures contract,gemini BTCUSD Spot,Hitbit BTCUSDT Spot,huobi BTCUSDT Spot KRAKEN XBTUSD spot,OKCOIN OKEX BTCUSD3M BTCUSD BTCUSD2W,Poloniex BTCUSDT Spot etc btc symbol with 30 minutes timeframe. This indicator has broad applicability and can be applied to multiple different symbols. This indicator also applies to the ETHUSD symbol etc, just adjust the default configuration. Using the alert of the indicator, it can work well on the trading robot like Gunbot,autoview, without repaint false signals. 这是非常有效的趋势策略。 如何使用 在图表中出现绿色箭头就做多。 在图表中出现红色箭头就做空。 对于多头头寸和空头方向，您可以分别设置止损和止损或尾随利润止损和尾随止损；当出现紫色箭头时平仓，激进的交易者，可以在紫色时就做反方向。 策略适用性 默认设置是针对bitmex交易所 XBTUSD永久掉期合约，BYBIT交易所 BTCUSD永续期货合约，binance币安交易所 btcusdt现货，Bitfinex交易所 BTCUSD现货，bitflyer交易所 BTCJPY现货，bithumb交易所 BTCKRW现货，bitso交易所 BTCMXN现货，bitstamp交易所 BTCUSD现货，bittrex交易所 BTCUSDT现货，Coinbase交易所 BTCUSD现货，deribit交易所 BTCPERP永续期货合约，gemini双子星交易所 BTCUSD现货，Hitbit交易所 BTCUSDT现货，huobi火币交易所 BTCUSDT现货，KRAKEN交易所 XBTUSD现货，OKCOIN OKEX交易所 BTCUSD3M OK BTC季度合约 BTCUSD BTCUSD2W OK BTC次周合约，Poloniex BTCUSDT现货等2小时区间的btc交易。 Bitmex XBTUSD 2H 比特币期货 2 hours Bitcoin Futures 这个指标具有广泛的适用性，可以适用多个不同交易品种。 该指标还适用于ETHUSD,ETHBTC,ADABTC,TRXBTC,XRPBTC交易品种等，只需调整默认配置即可。 Bitmex ETHUSD 2H 以太币合约 binance ADABTC 2H Binance ETHBTC 90 minutes 分钟 Binance TRXBTC89 minutes 分钟 Binance XRPBTC 90 minutes 分钟 使用该指标的警报设置，它可以在自动交易机器人上很好地工作，而无重绘错误的信号。
Pine Script® indicator
by bitguys
BITMEX Bybit binance Bitfinex OKCOIN BTC ETH TREND strategyBITMEX Bybit binance Bitfinex Coinbase OKCOIN BTC ETH TREND strategy This is a very effective trend strategy. Strategy principle HOW TO USE set long position when a green arrow appears in the chart. set short position when a red arrow appears in the chart. For the long position and the short direction, you can set the stop profit & stop loss or trailing profit stop & trailing stop loss respectively. When a purple arrow appears to close a position, an aggressive trader can go in the opposite direction when it is purple. Strategy applicability The default setting is for bitmex perpetual swap contract XBTUSD , bybit BTCUSD perpetual futures contract ,binance btcusdt Spot,Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot,bitflyer BTCJPY Spot,bithumb BTCKRW Spot,bitso BTCMXN Spot, bitstamp BTCUSD Spot,bittrex BTCUSDT Spot,Coinbase BTCUSD spot, deribit BTCPERP perpetual futures contract,gemini BTCUSD Spot,Hitbit BTCUSDT Spot,huobi BTCUSDT Spot KRAKEN XBTUSD spot,OKCOIN OKEX BTCUSD3M BTCUSD BTCUSD2W,Poloniex BTCUSDT Spot etc btc symbol with 30 minutes timeframe. This indicator has broad applicability and can be applied to multiple different symbols. This indicator also applies to the ETHUSD symbol etc, just adjust the default configuration. Using the alert of the indicator, it can work well on the trading robot like Gunbot,autoview, without repaint false signals. 这是非常有效的趋势策略。 如何使用 在图表中出现绿色箭头就做多。 在图表中出现红色箭头就做空。 对于多头头寸和空头方向，您可以分别设置止损和止损或尾随利润止损和尾随止损；当出现紫色箭头时平仓，激进的交易者，可以在紫色时就做反方向。 策略适用性 默认设置是针对bitmex交易所 XBTUSD永久掉期合约，BYBIT交易所 BTCUSD永续期货合约，binance币安交易所 btcusdt现货，Bitfinex交易所 BTCUSD现货，bitflyer交易所 BTCJPY现货，bithumb交易所 BTCKRW现货，bitso交易所 BTCMXN现货，bitstamp交易所 BTCUSD现货，bittrex交易所 BTCUSDT现货，Coinbase交易所 BTCUSD现货，deribit交易所 BTCPERP永续期货合约，gemini双子星交易所 BTCUSD现货，Hitbit交易所 BTCUSDT现货，huobi火币交易所 BTCUSDT现货，KRAKEN交易所 XBTUSD现货，OKCOIN OKEX交易所 BTCUSD3M OK BTC季度合约 BTCUSD BTCUSD2W OK BTC次周合约，Poloniex BTCUSDT现货等2小时区间的btc交易。 Bitmex XBTUSD 30分钟 比特币期货 30 minutes Bitcoin Futures Bitfinex BTCUSD 30分钟 比特币现货 30 minutes Bitcoin Spot Bybit BTCUSD 30分钟 比特币合约 30 minutes Bitcoin Futures OKEX BTCUSD2M 30分钟 比特币次周合约 30 minutes Half a month Bitcoin Futures Bitmex XBTUSD 2H 比特币现货 2 hours Bitcoin Futures binance BTCUSDT 2H 比特币现货 2 hours Bitcoin Spot Bybit BTCUSD 2H 比特币期货 2 hours Bitcoin Futures 这个指标具有广泛的适用性，可以适用多个不同交易品种。 该指标还适用于ETHUSD交易品种等，只需调整默认配置即可。 Bitmex ETHUSD 30 以太币合约 Bybit ETHUSD 30分钟合约 OKCOIN ETHUSD3W 30分钟季度合约 Bitmex ETHUSD 2H 以太币合约 Bybit ETHUSD 2H 以太币合约 HUOBI ETHUSD 2H 火币以太币现货 使用该指标的警报设置，它可以在自动交易机器人上很好地工作，而无重绘错误的信号。
Pine Script® strategy
by bitguys
EMASARPLEASE READ THE FULL DESCRIPTION BEFORE BUYING OR USING THIS INDICATOR EMASAR (pronounced Emma-sar) is a strategy based on Exponential Moving Averages and the Parabolic SAR . This is a position trading approach that is derived from Tyler Jenks’ Consensio. This strategy was developed with four objectives in mind: (1) managing risk (2) protecting from missing out on major moves (3) maximizing risk:reward (4) staying in a trending market and taking profit before it fully reverses. EMASAR does a great job at accomplishing all of the above through the buy and sell signals that are generated. The data provided below is from the signals that occurred on Bitcoin (Bitstamp) from January 1, 2015 to present (November 11, 2019). (1) Risk is tightly managed, relative to the winners, and losing positions will be exited before the market moves too far against. The biggest losing trade on Bitcoin, for the time period outlined above, is -18.47%. (2) Following the EMASAR buy and sell signals guarantees that one will not miss out on a major trend. As a result of the indicators used for this system it is mathematically impossible for a major trend to occur without providing a buy or sell signal. This system isn't meant to catch exact tops or bottoms but it will do a great job of capturing ~85% of a trend. (3) On average the winning trades will be 5.55 times the losing trades. There will be stretches where the losers are bigger than the winners and this could last for many months, maybe even a year. However, over the long run the average reward is expected to be 5.55 times the average risk*. *Past performance does not guarantee future results! (4) This indicator was designed to capitalize on parabolic markets, specifically Bitcoin and alt coins. Crypto markets have a tendency to get moving so fast that many indicators become all but useless. Entries can get signaled too late and exits will get signaled way too early. This is specifically true when using oscillators that are designed to identify overbought or oversold environments. EMASAR does a great job of keeping us in a position for the duration of a trend and this includes the major parabolic runs that Bitcoin has a tendency to go on. Take a look at the two charts below which illustrates the buy and sell signals that occurred at the beginning and end of the 2017 and 2019 parabolic moves. Green = Buy | Blue = Exit | Red = Short Long signaled at $4,190.27 on September 29th, 2017 Exit signaled at $13,647 on January 14th, 2018 Short signaled at $12,050 on January 16th, 2018 Close Short signaled at $3,684 on February 18th, 2019 Long signaled at $3,684 on February 18th, 2019 Exit signaled at $9,614 on July 16th, 2019 Short signaled at $10,328 on July 22nd, 2019 When Bitcoin, or other alts, really get moving it can be very difficult to distinguish between a correction and a full reversal. We do not want to be exiting during a minor correction, instead this is a time when we want to be holding on or looking to buy the dip. This is a very fragile balance. The market has a very strong tendency to make corrections looks like reversals and to make reversals look like corrections. Therefore it is very important to have a tool(s) that you trust to distinguish in between the two. I believe that EMASAR is the best way to find that balance - if I knew of a better way then I would be using it instead! Following these signals will help us to hold onto positions while the market is still trending in our favor when most think that it has moved too far / too fast, and it will also get us out before a market fully reverses. Keep in mind that there will be times when we exit a market that is in danger of reversing, only to buy back higher later on. That is okay because it enables us to properly manage risk during times of uncertainty and buying back in at a higher price is more than worth the opportunity cost. Lets look at the signals above in chronological order: 1) Close Long: $2,274 2) Open Short: $2,347 3) Exit Short: $2,934 4) Open Long: $2,766 5) Close Long: $3,124 6) Enter Long: $4,190 A long was closed at $2,274 after Signal #1 and was re-entered after Signal #4 at $2,766. Additionally a long was closed at $3,124 after Signal #5 and was re-entered on the following signal at $4,190. These are examples of some of the bad signals that will occur. Something to pay attention to is the ratio of the risk to the reward. When the market turns against us EMASAR will quickly signal an exit or a re entry. EMASAR also works great in traditional markets. The S&P 500 has been on a tear lately after creating new all time highs in October of 2019. It has resumed it's strong bull trend and therefore it is a great market to have long exposure to. That being said we are well overdue for a correction and most people, including myself, expect the next bear market to be much more severe than the last two. Therefore I would not want to have long exposure unless equipped with a very reliable method for taking profit before it fully reverses. Let's take a look at the S&P 500 weekly EMASAR signals using the preferred settings outlined below: In August of 1990 EMASAR signaled a 'Close Long' at $308. At that time the market was in danger of fully reversing. When that didn't happen EMASAR gave a signal to re enter at $369 which resulted in losing 19.8% in opportunity cost. That is quite okay because it would have allowed us to properly protect ourselves in the event that the market proceeded to crash. Instead we entered a massive bull market that culminated in the dot com bubble. Notice how EMASAR kept us in for the entire duration of that bull run and then signaled an exit very close to the top at $1,294. It got us back in by the end of 2004 after the market had bottomed. Yet again it kept us in for the following multi year bull market before signaling an exit very close to the top at $1,270. The action that followed in 2016 looks very similar to what happened in 1990 - 1991. An exit was signaled when the market was in danger of fully reversing. When that didn't happen a re entry was signaled 14% higher. Now the market appears to be taking off in another parabolic advance. There is no way to know how far this next run will go or how long it will last. Nevertheless I feel highly confident that I will be able to hold on for the majority of the trend and then get fully out before it reverses thanks to the signals provided by EMASAR. When looking at the signals on Gold we will notice striking similarities to the signals in the S&P 500 as well as Bitcoin. Notice how an entry was signaled very close to the bottom at $323 in June of 2002. An exit was also signaled very close to the top at $1,441 in April of 2013. Throughout that runup there was one bad signal that cost some opportunity. It's very important to understand that missing out on opportunity is well worth the price because it allows us to effectively manage risk. EMASAR also recently provided a long signal at $1,401 which preceded this recent runup. Settings Default settings work best for crypto, however the time multiplier should be adjusted for markets that are not open 24/7. For commodities and FOREX my default is 40 and for stocks I use 24. The Moving Averages can be adjusted as well. The period can be changed and you can also select SMA or EMA. I always use the EMA's and strongly prefer the 50 and 200. We have noticed good results with the 9 and 54 EMA's as well. The shorter the period that the Moving Average is set to the more frequent the signals will be. This will generally improve risk:reward while decreasing strike rate. For crypto the best time frames are the 4h and 6h. For traditional markets the best time frames are the Daily, 3D and Weekly. EMASAR can be used on smaller time frames as well, specifically in crypto. The 15m and 1h have shown good results. Risks The biggest risks with trading EMASAR revolve around disobeying the signals. Risk management is built into this system with the exit signals that will occur, however it is up to the individual to execute those signals. Passing on an exit signal could lead to a big loss which would have a dramatic impact on the ROI. Most trading systems will have small and medium losses with small, medium and large wins. That is exactly how this works. The small - medium losses and wins will mostly be a wash and will account for roughly 80% of the trades. The large wins will happen about 20% of the time and will make up 80% - 90% of the profits. Therefore the two biggest risks are passing on signals entirely, or exiting preemptively. Getting chopped in and out of a market can be quite frustrating. If you become overwhelmed with negative emotions then it could cause you to pass up on the next signal. That signal will often be the one that more than makes up for the small - medium losses that preceded. On average EMASAR will provide one signal every 6 weeks when using the default settings on the 4h chart. Therefore missing one entry could turn an otherwise profitable year into a loser. If electing to trade a system, whether it is EMASAR or another, it is crucial to commit to taking every signal regardless of outside variables (namely your personal bias about market direction or frustration that follows a losing stretch). Another major risk with this system is taking too much profit too soon. When getting into a trade that has the potential to be a big winner it can be challenging to continue holding through the swings. Anyone that has watched paper profits vanish will be inclined to start exiting after the market makes a big move in his or her favor. While this is better than watching profits completely evaporate, this mistake can be enough to turn a profitable system into one that loses to the market. If 80% - 90% of our profits come from 10% - 20% of our trades then it is vital we do not cut those positions off at the knees. If taking too much profit too soon then you will consistently turn potential large winners into medium winners. This may lead to making money over the long run which will make it very difficult to realize that anything is wrong. However making money and beating the market are two very different things. Exiting early and making money is nearly as big of a risk as missing entries entirely. If you have the discipline to execute signals in a timely manner after they are triggered and the emotional control to let the winners run despite the appearance of a vastly overbought / oversold market, then you should have what it takes to beat the market with EMASAR. If you are not an experienced trader then it is very important to start out small. The only way to learn is to trade in a live environment and the only way to succeed is to risk much less than you can afford to lose. If you have $2,000 to trade with then start with a maximum position size of $20 - $50 and don’t be shy about scaling that down even further. Focus on ROI instead of actual dollars made. If you can return 100% on a $20 roll then you should be able to do the same with a $2,000 roll. Important Notes Make sure that you read / understand the risks outlined above. If you jump into this without understanding the unique risks that this system entails then you are going to have a bad time. This indicator was developed around the 4h and that is where it works best. For crypto adjusting to higher TF’s will cause for bad results as the entries / exits will be late to the party. For traditional markets the Daily - Weekly time frames are preferred. It was not originally intended for smaller TF's but we have seen some good results on the 15m and 1h. The RSI can be a great compliment when using on smaller TF's. Adding a rule for not entering when RSI > 75 or < 25 and instead entering when RSI retests 50 will help to avoid some bad signals. Alerts can be set for this indicator. Simply make sure that it is visible on the chart, then click the alert icon on the top panel. In the first dropdown set 'Condition' to 'EMASAR' and the second 'Condition' for the upcoming signal. For example if just entered long then set the second condition to 'Close Long' and you will be notified as soon as that signal occurs. If waiting for the next long entry then set the second condition to 'Open Long' so on and so forth. There is an 'All in One' alert that is also available. If you select that then you will be alerted any time that a signal occurs. The message will tell you to check the chart to see which signal caused the alert. How to Buy The EMASAR Indicator is available for purchase on my website. The link can be found in my signature or in the tagline of my Trading View profile. The price is $500 per year which is only payable in Bitcoin. That also includes access to a private Telegram group.
Pine Script® indicator
by Sawcruhteez
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