How Emotions Sneak Into Your Trades (and How to Catch Them)Because the market doesn’t care how you feel — but your portfolio absolutely does.
Every trader likes to believe they’re rational. Calm. Data-driven. A master of charts and probabilities.
And sometimes that’s true — at least until price starts moving faster than expected, your P&L flickers red, and suddenly you’re “just making a small adjustment.”
Emotions rarely kick the door down in trading. They sneak in quietly, wearing sensible shoes and carrying very reasonable arguments. By the time you notice them, they’ve already rearranged your trade plan.
🕵️ Emotion’s Favorite Disguise: Logic
The most dangerous emotions don’t announce themselves as fear or greed. They show up as logic.
“This breakout looks stronger than usual.”
“I’ll give it a little more room.”
“It’s only falling because of low volume.”
Each sentence sounds responsible. Each one is also a potential emotional leak. By the time the trade goes wrong, it feels like bad luck — not emotional interference.
📉 Losses Hurt More Than Gains Feel Good
Behavioral finance has a name for it: loss aversion. Traders experience losses maybe twice as intensely as equivalent gains.
That’s why a small drawdown can hijack your focus while a string of solid wins rarely registers as a lesson. It’s also why traders hesitate to close losing trades, but happily take profits early.
Emotionally, it feels safer to wait than to admit defeat — even when waiting is the riskier choice, especially if you’re deep into volatile crypto markets .
🧠 The Subtle Art of Revenge Trading
Revenge trading rarely looks dramatic. It doesn’t start with yelling at screens or slamming desks.
It usually begins with a quiet thought: “I’ll win the next one.”
That’s when trades get larger, setups get looser, and discipline takes a coffee break. The trader isn’t angry — they’re determined.
The market, unfortunately, doesn’t reward determination. It rewards discipline . Revenge trading isn’t about making money back. It’s about repairing a bruised ego — and markets have a way of charging interest for that.
🎢 Winning Can Be Just as Dangerous
Emotions don’t only sneak in during losses. They love winning streaks, too.
After a few good trades, confidence creeps up. Position sizes grow. Rules bend “just a little.” Suddenly, the trader isn’t following a system but a feeling.
This is how consistency quietly breaks down. Not in chaos, but in comfort.
🧰 Catching Emotions Before They Trade for You
The goal isn’t to eliminate emotion — that’s impossible. The goal is to spot it early, before it gets a vote.
Professional traders use simple, boring safeguards:
Repeating the same setups
Reviewing decisions away from the screen
Noting why a trade was taken, not just the result
Paying attention to behavior, not just outcomes
Emotion leaves footprints. The more familiar you are with your own patterns, the easier it is to catch them mid-step. “When you're centered, your emotions are not hijacking you.” - Ray Dalio.
🎁 The Takeaway
The real edge in trading comes from awareness — understanding how emotions quietly enter the process, recognizing their disguises, and catching them early before they influence your decisions.
Build that awareness, and emotions stop being obstacles — they become signals you know how to manage.
Off to you : How do you manage your emotions when you're trading? Share your strategy in the comments and let's get talking!
Community ideas
Bitcoin Hits Critical Support — Is Another Dump Coming?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin has broken through its support lines and declined to the support zone($86,300-$85,140), reaching its full target in the process.
Currently, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the support zone($86,300-$85,140), and we need to watch whether it will break through this support or begin to rebound.
Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ). Given that the S&P 500 is currently in a downward trend, it’s likely that Bitcoin will also experience further declines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is currently starting a new five-wave downward sequence following the break of its support lines, which could lead to even lower levels.
Looking at recent developments, one reason for Bitcoin’s decline is the selling pressure from long-term holders, which has created a quiet but significant downward pressure and challenged the support levels. Additionally, the state of the U.S. markets, with the S&P 500 index also trending down, contributes to the downward pressure on Bitcoin.
In conclusion, I expect that Bitcoin, upon entering the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and touching the resistance lines, will again face downward movement and aim for the support zone($86,300-$85,140). If it breaks that support zone, we could see it moving towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($85,300-$83,000).
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,000-$88,500
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,830-$90,000
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the $83,000 mark with strong momentum, we might expect it to reach even lower levels, potentially down to $80,000.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the support zone($86,300-$85,140)?
First Target: $85,540
Second Target: $84,229
Stop Loss(SL): $90,429(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
GOLD - A pullback ahead of the news. Will there be growth?FX:XAUUSD is hitting resistance at 4350-4360 and forming a correction amid expected inflation and initial jobless claims data
Mixed US employment data supports expectations of Fed policy easing. The market is pricing in two rate cuts in 2026 versus one in the Fed's forecasts, which supports the bullish trend for the metal.
Today's US CPI release will be a key trigger for reassessing the Fed's rate trajectory.
Expectations of tighter policy from the Bank of Japan and market reassessment are creating overall caution.
A short-term correction in gold is possible, but the overall uptrend remains intact amid the Fed's dovish monetary policy and global uncertainty.
Resistance levels: 4337, 4353
Support levels: 4311, 4300
Technically and fundamentally, the situation is favorable for continued growth. Corrections allow the market to gather liquidity before movement, however, there is news ahead that will determine further movement. I expect a retest of 4311 - 4300 before growth to 4353 - 4380.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
EUR/USD - Central Bank Week in Control (18.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Market Context (Fundamental) FX:EURUSD
This week is central-bank heavy, keeping EUR/USD sensitive to volatility and USD strength:
BoE (Thursday): High impact – rate cut expected → risk-off tone
ECB (Thursday): Low impact – policy hold expected
BoJ (Friday): High impact – rate hike expectations, supporting JPY and pressuring USD pairs via risk repricing
Overall, policy divergence + risk uncertainty keeps EUR/USD capped near resistance.
🔹 Technical Setup
Price is trading below a key resistance zone and struggling to hold above short-term EMA / cloud levels. Repeated rejections from the highlighted zone indicate seller dominance.
As long as price stays below resistance, pullbacks are likely to extend lower.
📌 Trade Plan 🔴 Bearish below resistance
Sell-on-rejection from the resistance zone
Momentum confirmation preferred on lower timeframes
🔴 1st Support: 1.1685
🔴 2nd Support: 1.1660
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #FundamentalAnalysis #CentralBankWeek #PriceAction #SupportResistance #FXMarket #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Not financial advice. Always manage risk and use a stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Analysis 👍 Like if this breakdown helps 💬 Comment your EUR/USD bias
🔁 Share with fellow traders
PEPEUSDT may turn downward after correctionThe local downtrend is breaking the support of the trading range. Consolidation below 0.003955 will be a strong signal of readiness to continue falling.
There are no bullish volumes, nor is there any buyer reaction.
The local trend has a strong structure. The movement is occurring in “steps,” which indicates that MM is gathering another position before each fall. A retest of the range boundary or downward resistance could increase sales, leading to a fall.
Scenario: a retest of 0.003955 - 0.0040 and a false breakout will be a signal for a short position.
Risk Management Is Not Protection... It’s Your Edge!!!Most traders treat risk management like a seatbelt.
Something you use just in case.
🧳Professionals treat risk management as their main edge.
Because in trading, you don’t get paid for being right...
you get paid for staying in the game long enough for probabilities to work.
1️⃣ Risk Is Defined Before the Trade Exists
Before you think about entries or targets, one question must already be answered:
Where am I wrong?
If you don’t know where your idea fails,
you’re not managing risk... you’re hoping.
Professionals define risk first.
The trade only exists after invalidation is clear.
2️⃣ Small Risk Creates Big Freedom
When risk is small and predefined:
- hesitation disappears
- emotions calm down
- execution improves
Why?
Because no single trade matters anymore.
You stop needing trades to work, and that’s when trading becomes objective.
3️⃣ Risk Management Turns Losses Into Data
Losses are unavoidable.
Damage is optional.
A controlled loss is not a failure; it’s information.
Every loss tells you:
- the market condition wasn’t right
- the timing was early
- or the structure changed
When risk is managed, losses educate instead of punish.
4️⃣ Consistency Is Built on Risk, Not Wins
Winning streaks feel good.
They don’t build careers.
Surviving losing streaks does.
Proper risk management ensures:
- drawdowns stay shallow
- confidence stays intact
- discipline stays repeatable
That’s how traders last long enough to improve.
💡The Real Truth
You don’t need a better strategy.
You need better control over downside.
Risk management is what allows:
- imperfect strategies to work
- average win rates to grow accounts
- traders to evolve instead of quit
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAU/USD | CPI incoming (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of Gold, it is consolidating between the Bearish OB and the 4H FVG, mostly because it is waiting for CPI to make a move.
There's a support level at 4317 to monitor, and there's a Buyside liquidity below 4306 and another one below 4300.
Monitor these zones and make sure NOT to set an order for CPI news, cause it will without a doubt hurt you.
Hope you have a good day folks.
NQ Range (12-18-25)The O/N has retraced 200 of the 400 points needed to get the NDX out of the Danger Zone range. NQ is at KL 25,103 & Diablo. U Turn attempt in the Overnight is underway. After the Washington Street & Meme Coin public address, they may need to try all Long side tricks to stabilize these markets. My 12/16 Short call was a half day early and needed to let the O/N pump/dump play out before the NAZ dropped 600 points. Watch Diablo today and 25,060 level for Long above and Short below. Utilizing KL's for trade entry may help. Many times the opposite direction trades at a KL will provide scalps and provide signals for direction turns (back to opposite direction KL). I would not be surprised to see the VIX pick up and some wild Long side O/N plays should the Reg Session continue to sell off the O/N long side Rig Pumps. Since 12/10 we have seen 3 Long Traps paly into the BTD/FOMO crowd, I would think that these traps are looking for a much lower drop test.
NDX YTD Chart
IDS27 View
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS Model 1 - Key Level FVG + SMTHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER.
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
Good Luck
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
EURUSD Holds Demand - Retest of 1.1760 Resistance LikelyHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish phase inside a descending channel, EURUSD found a solid base near the lower boundary, where selling pressure weakened and price turned around. This reversal led to a clean breakout above the descending resistance, signaling a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. Following the breakout, price moved higher but entered a corrective phase, forming a series of pullbacks while maintaining higher lows. As momentum rebuilt, EURUSD broke above the key horizontal level and accelerated into an ascending channel, confirming bullish continuation. Price then pushed into the Seller Zone near 1.1760, where a fake breakout occurred — indicating strong supply but not a full trend reversal. After this rejection, the pair pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 1.1700–1.1720, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending structure. Currently, EURUSD is holding above the support level, suggesting that the pullback remains corrective. Buyers continue to defend this zone, keeping the bullish structure intact. My scenario: as long as price holds above the 1.1700 Buyer Zone, EURUSD may bounce and make another attempt toward the 1.1760 Resistance / TP1. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above this level would open the door for further upside continuation. A failure to hold support, however, could lead to a deeper correction within the structure. For now, the bias remains bullish, with support holding and resistance as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC/USDT - Demand Holding Strong (18.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Market Structure WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT
BTC has formed a clear Double Bottom pattern inside a strong demand / support zone, signaling potential trend exhaustion on the downside. Price respected the support zone multiple times
Momentum is attempting to shift from sellers to buyers. This structure favors a bullish reversal if confirmation holds.
📌 Trade Plan 🟢 Bullish above the support zone
Entry Idea: Buy on pullback / breakout confirmation above trendline
🟢 1st Resistance: 91,900 – 92,000
🟢 2nd Resistance / Target: 94,100 – 94,200
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #DoubleBottom #PriceAction #SupportResistance #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are volatile — always use proper risk management and a stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Work👍 Like if you see the reversal💬 Comment: Bullish or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with your crypto friends
Lingrid | GOLD Anticipating Brief Corrective PullbackOANDA:XAUUSD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price has pushed into the 4,350 resistance band after printing a marginal higher high, but price is now stalling beneath a well-defined supply zone. The latest advance appears stretched, with momentum flattening as price hugs the upper boundary of the ascending structure. This behavior may suggest buyers are losing follow-through strength at premium levels.
If selling pressure increases here, gold could drift lower toward the 4,230 area, where the rising trendline and prior consolidation overlap. That zone may act as a short-term magnet before any broader trend decision unfolds.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection from 4,350 → pullback toward 4,230.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a firm acceptance above 4,360 could negate the retracement setup and expose 4,400.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Market Phases Explained: Accumulation, Expansion, Distribution🔵 Market Phases Explained: Accumulation, Expansion, Distribution, Reset
Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐳🐋 (Advanced)
Markets do not move randomly. They rotate through repeatable phases driven by liquidity, psychology, and participation. Understanding market phases helps traders stop forcing strategies and start trading in alignment with the current environment.
🔵 WHY MARKET PHASES MATTER
Most traders struggle not because their strategy is bad, but because they apply it in the wrong market phase.
Breakout strategies fail in accumulation
Mean-reversion fails during expansion
Trend-following fails in distribution
Reversal trading fails before reset is complete
Market phases explain when a strategy works, not just how .
Price action, indicators, and volume behave differently in each phase.
🔵 THE FOUR MARKET PHASES
Markets move in a repeating cycle:
Accumulation
Expansion
Distribution
Reset
Each phase has unique characteristics, risks, and opportunities.
🔵 1. ACCUMULATION (QUIET POSITIONING)
Accumulation occurs after a decline or prolonged sideways movement.
This is where smart money builds positions quietly.
Key characteristics:
Price moves sideways in a range
Volatility is low
Breakouts frequently fail
Volume is stable or slightly rising
What is really happening:
Large players accumulate positions without moving price too much. Liquidity is absorbed.
Indicator behavior:
RSI oscillates between 40 and 60
MACD hovers near the zero line
Volume spikes are quickly absorbed
Best strategies:
Range trading
Mean reversion
Patience and preparation
🔵 2. EXPANSION (TREND DEVELOPMENT)
Expansion begins when price breaks out of accumulation with conviction.
This is where trends are born.
Key characteristics:
Strong directional movement
Increasing volatility
Pullbacks are shallow
Breakouts follow through
What is really happening:
Accumulated positions are now leveraged. Momentum attracts participation.
Indicator behavior:
RSI holds trend zones (40–80 or 20–60)
MACD expands away from zero
Volume increases during impulse moves
Best strategies:
Trend-following
Pullback entries
Breakout continuation
🔵 3. DISTRIBUTION (QUIET EXITING)
Distribution occurs after an extended trend.
Price may still rise, but momentum starts to weaken.
Key characteristics:
Higher highs with weaker follow-through
Increased wicks and failed breakouts
Volatility becomes unstable
Late buyers get trapped
What is really happening:
Smart money distributes positions to late participants while maintaining the illusion of strength.
Indicator behavior:
RSI diverges or fails to make new highs
MACD histogram shows lower highs above zero
Volume spikes near highs
Best strategies:
Profit protection
Reduced position size
Waiting for confirmation of weakness
🔵 4. RESET (LIQUIDITY CLEARING)
Reset is when the previous trend fully unwinds.
This phase clears excess leverage and weak hands.
Key characteristics:
Sharp moves against prior trend
Stop-loss cascades
Emotional price action
High volatility without clear direction
What is really happening:
Leverage is flushed. Weak positions are forced out.
Indicator behavior:
RSI reaches extreme levels
MACD crosses zero decisively
Volume spikes dramatically
Best strategies:
Capital preservation
Waiting for stabilization
Avoiding prediction
🔵 HOW TO IDENTIFY THE CURRENT PHASE
Ask these questions:
Is price trending or ranging?
Are breakouts succeeding or failing?
Is momentum expanding or contracting?
Are indicators confirming or diverging?
No indicator works in all phases. Phase identification is the real edge.
🔵 COMMON MISTAKES
Forcing trend strategies during accumulation
Chasing breakouts during distribution
Trading reversals before reset completes
Ignoring momentum deterioration
Most losses come from being right about direction but wrong about phase.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Markets move in cycles because human behavior and liquidity move in cycles.
Accumulation builds positions
Expansion rewards patience
Distribution traps late entries
Reset clears the board
When you learn to identify market phases, you stop fighting the market and start working with it.
Which market phase do you find hardest to trade? Accumulation, expansion, distribution, or reset? Share your thoughts below.
XAUUSD Holds Bullish Structure - Resistance at $4,380 in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (Gold) based on the current chart structure. After a corrective phase, Gold established a solid base and transitioned into a bullish recovery, forming higher lows and respecting the rising Support Line. The price previously moved through a consolidation Range, where accumulation took place before a clear breakout confirmed renewed buying momentum. Following this breakout, XAUUSD continued to trade within an ascending channel, showing a well-structured bullish trend. Recently, price pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 4,280, which aligns with the horizontal Support Level and the lower boundary of the rising structure. Buyers successfully defended this area, keeping the bullish structure intact. From this support, Gold has started to rebound and is now pressing higher toward the Seller Zone / Resistance Level near 4,380 (TP1) — a key supply area where sellers may attempt to slow the move. As long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,280 Support, the bullish scenario remains valid. I expect continued upside pressure toward the 4,380 Resistance (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this seller zone would open the path for further bullish continuation. However, rejection from resistance could lead to a short-term consolidation or a healthy pullback back toward support. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 4,280 as key support and 4,380 as the main upside target. Always manage your risk and trade with confirmation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAU/USD | Gold Near Previous ATH, Next Breakout in Focus!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price moved exactly as expected and continued higher. Gold successfully hit the $4351 and $4359 targets and even pushed up to $4375.
Based on the main analysis, the next key target is a new all time high above $4382. Since gold has reached the very strong supply area around the previous ATH, the pullback we are seeing now is normal and has brought price back to around $4359. I expect a small correction first, followed by another bullish move and a fresh high. Targets above $4400 are clearly not out of reach.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Related Analysis :
Bitcoin - Bear flag, 74k confirmed! (warning, must see)Bitcoin has just completed its bearish flag formation. What now? The probability of going down is now around 70%, while the probability of going up is only 30%. Many times we see a bullish breakout of a bear flag. How does it look? Something like that:
We see that for a bullish breakout, the bulls need to completely go above the flag's resistance, which is much harder than simply going down, especially in a strong bear market, like in this Bitcoin's case.
Bitcoin's price and development are completely controlled by the banks and huge institutions that control this planet. To make money, you have to identify their actions on the chart.
On the chart we can also see a completely unfilled FVG (Fair Value GAP). Precisely between 90600 and 92060. There is a possibility for Bitcoin to partially or completely fill this GAP before starting the upcoming drop! Longs are riskier at this point, because we want to trade with the bearish trend. But if the price increases in the short term, we can have a much better entry point for our short position on futures. It's also a possibility to retest the long-term blue trendline from the all-time high.
From the Elliott Wave point of view, this bear flag seems to be a complex corrective pattern. To be honest, I don't see any signs of strength, such as an impulse wave or a leading diagonal wedge pattern. I am currently bearish on Bitcoin, and I expect a pretty significant drop in the coming weeks! Especially January is statistically an extremely weak month for Bitcoin.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
XAUUSD – Technical Pullback, Uptrend Still IntactHello everyone, let’s go through a few interesting developments in the gold market this week with Domic.
Gold is currently trading around 4,339 USD/oz after rebounding nearly 40 USD from the overnight low at 4,301. This is not a random bounce, but a familiar reaction when safe-haven flows return amid rising geopolitical risks.
The current focus comes from tougher moves by the US toward Venezuela and the risk of expanded sanctions on Russia’s energy sector. Supply disruption concerns have pushed oil prices up nearly 2%, triggering a broader defensive sentiment across financial markets. In this environment, gold continues to be favored as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical perspective on the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD’s uptrend remains firmly intact. Price continues to hold above both EMA34 and EMA89, with both moving averages clearly sloping upward. The pullback from the 4,350 area down toward 4,300 was clean and contained, without breaking the overall structure. This suggests a healthy pause to absorb profit-taking pressure rather than any signal of trend reversal.
Wishing you all a smooth and successful trading day!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That was a mic drop moment again this week with the plan working well. We got the high, the low with the tap and bounce, the target level on the red box break and then what a RIP from that level!
Now we have support at the 4330 level with the order region in play and resistance at the 4350 level. Long wick being left here on the 4H so a retest above could be on the cards in the coming session.
For us, it's a job well done and with it being Friday and witching day before the Xmas break, it's best to take it easy tomorrow.
From Camelot this morning:
RED BOXES:
Break above 4340 for 4351✅, 4355✅, 4365✅ and 4370✅ in extension of the move
Break below 4320 for 4315, 4310, 4304 and 4390 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
USDJPY Breaks Falling Wedge Pattern, Ready to pump!USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) has started to climb from its Support lines and Support zone(155.100 JPY-154.120 JPY), showing good momentum in its upward movement.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it seems that USDJPY has successfully broken the upper lines of the falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, which is a positive sign for the continuation of the bullish trend.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that USDJPY has completed main wave 4 using a Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Support zone(155.100 JPY-154.120 JPY).
Looking ahead, I expect USDJPY to resume its upward movement following a pullback to its Fibonacci levels, potentially rising at least to the 155.94 JPY.
First Target: 155.94 JPY.
Second Target: 156.27 JPY.
Stop Loss(SL): 154.82 JPY.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
📌 U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
AUDCAD - From Shorts to Potential Longs!!Earlier in this range, we sold 📉AUDCAD near the upper boundary, fading resistance as price showed clear exhaustion. That idea played out well, with price rotating back into the middle and now pressing toward the lower bound of the range.
This is where things shift.
⚔️As long as range support holds, the bias flips from selling rallies to looking for longs from support. In a well-defined range, edges matter more than direction, and the lower boundary is where buyers historically step in.
The plan from here is simple and disciplined.
No chasing. No guessing....
🏹If price holds above support and shows bullish reaction on lower timeframes, longs become valid back toward the range highs. A clean breakdown below support would invalidate this idea and put sellers back in control.
Range trading is not about prediction, it’s about location and reaction.
Will buyers defend the floor once again, or is this range finally ready to break? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUUSD → Buyers Defend Structure, Upside Continuation in FocusHello everyone,
Gold is continuing to trade with a constructive tone, and the current structure suggests the bullish trend remains intact. From a macro perspective, the U.S. dollar has softened slightly while Treasury yields have stabilized , reducing downside pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. In an environment where investors remain cautious but not risk-off, gold continues to benefit from its role as both a hedge and a momentum asset .
From a technical standpoint on the H1 chart, price action is clearly supportive of further upside . Gold broke out of a bullish flag pattern after a strong impulsive move , then successfully respected the rising trendline on the pullback . This behavior signals healthy consolidation rather than weakness , with buyers stepping in at higher levels and maintaining control of the broader move.
As long as price holds above the trendline support, the bullish structure remains valid . A continuation above recent highs would open the door toward the 4,385 area, with extension potential toward 4,458 if momentum accelerates. Only a decisive break below the trendline would call for reassessing this bullish outlook .
In summary, XAUUSD is showing a well-organized uptrend supported by both structure and sentiment . Patience and discipline remain key, as the market appears to be positioning for the next leg higher rather than signaling exhaustion .
Wishing you clear judgment, disciplined risk management, and sustainable trading performance.






















