GKD-BT Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-BT Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest is a Backtesting module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-BT Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest
The Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest module allows users to perform backtesting on Long and Short signals from the confluence between GKD-C Confirmation 1 and GKD-C Confirmation 2 indicators. This module encompasses two types of backtests: Trading and Full. The Trading backtest permits users to evaluate individual trades, whether Long or Short, one at a time. Conversely, the Full backtest allows users to analyze either Longs or Shorts separately by toggling between them in the settings, enabling the examination of results for each signal type. The Trading backtest emulates actual trading conditions, while the Full backtest assesses all signals, regardless of being Long or Short.
Additionally, this backtest module provides the option to test using indicators with 1 to 3 take profits and 1 stop loss. The Trading backtest allows for the use of 1 to 3 take profits, while the Full backtest is limited to 1 take profit. The Trading backtest also offers the capability to apply a trailing take profit.
In terms of the percentage of trade removed at each take profit, this backtest module has the following hardcoded values:
Take profit 1: 50% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 2: 25% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 3: 25% of the trade is removed.
Stop loss: 100% of the trade is removed.
After each take profit is achieved, the stop loss level is adjusted. When take profit 1 is reached, the stop loss is moved to the entry point. Similarly, when take profit 2 is reached, the stop loss is shifted to take profit 1. The trailing take profit feature comes into play after take profit 2 or take profit 3, depending on the number of take profits selected in the settings. The trailing take profit is always activated on the final take profit when 2 or more take profits are chosen.
The backtest module also offers the capability to restrict by a specific date range, allowing for simulated forward testing based on past data. Additionally, users have the option to display or hide a trading panel that provides relevant information about the backtest, statistics, and the current trade. It is also possible to activate alerts and toggle sections of the trading panel on or off. On the chart, historical take profit and stop loss levels are represented by horizontal lines overlaid for reference.
To utilize this strategy, follow these steps:
1. Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation 1 Indicator to "GKD New."
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Confirmation 1 module into the GKD-BT Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Confirmation 1."
3. Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation 2 Indicator to "GKD New."
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Confirmation 2 module into the GKD-BT Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Confirmation 2."
█ Giga Confirmation Stack Backtest Entries
Entries are generated from the confluence of a GKD-C Confirmation 1 and GKD-C Confirmation 2 indicators. The Confirmation 1 gives the signal and the Confirmation 2 indicator filters or "approves" the the Confirmation 1 signal. If Confirmation 1 gives a long signal and Confirmation 2 shows a downtrend, then the long signal is rejected. If Confirmation 1 gives a long signal and Confirmation 2 shows an uptrend, then the long signal is approved and sent to the backtest execution engine.
█ Volatility Types Included
The GKD system utilizes volatility-based take profits and stop losses. Each take profit and stop loss is calculated as a multiple of volatility. Users can also adjust the multiplier values in the settings.
This module includes 17 types of volatility:
Close-to-Close
Parkinson
Garman-Klass
Rogers-Satchell
Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
Average True Range
True Range Double
Standard Deviation
Adaptive Deviation
Median Absolute Deviation
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Mean Absolute Deviation
Static Percent
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and widely used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility.
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a larger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility is calculated using only a stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. However, in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump significantly during a trading session and return to the opening value at the end. That means that a considerable amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility.
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. This is useful as close-to-close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have occurred during the day. Thus, Parkinson's volatility is considered more precise and requires less data for calculation than close-to-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after the market closes. Hence, it systematically undervalues volatility. This drawback is addressed in the Garman-Klass volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman-Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing prices. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change follows a continuous diffusion process (Geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremes.
Researchers Rogers and Satchell have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates a drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. This leads to an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
Yang-Zhang volatility can be thought of as a combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility. It is considered to be 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang (GKYZ) volatility estimator incorporates the returns of open, high, low, and closing prices in its calculation.
GKYZ volatility estimator takes into account overnight jumps but not the trend, i.e., it assumes that the underlying asset follows a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process with zero drift. Therefore, the GKYZ volatility estimator tends to overestimate the volatility when the drift is different from zero. However, for a GBM process, this estimator is eight times more efficient than the close-to-close volatility estimator.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, with the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights decrease exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility. It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1)).
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by ?.
?avg(var;M) + (1 ? ?) avg(var;N) = 2?var/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-?)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for ? can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg(var; N) against avg(var; M) - avg(var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as ?.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean and is calculated as the square root of the variance. The standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance by determining each data point's deviation relative to the mean. If the data points are further from the mean, there is a higher deviation within the data set; thus, the more spread out the data, the higher the standard deviation.
Adaptive Deviation
By definition, the Standard Deviation (STD, also represented by the Greek letter sigma ? or the Latin letter s) is a measure that is used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values. In technical analysis, we usually use it to measure the level of current volatility.
Standard Deviation is based on Simple Moving Average calculation for mean value. This version of standard deviation uses the properties of EMA to calculate what can be called a new type of deviation, and since it is based on EMA, we can call it EMA deviation. Additionally, Perry Kaufman's efficiency ratio is used to make it adaptive (since all EMA type calculations are nearly perfect for adapting).
The difference when compared to the standard is significant--not just because of EMA usage, but the efficiency ratio makes it a "bit more logical" in very volatile market conditions.
Median Absolute Deviation
The median absolute deviation is a measure of statistical dispersion. Moreover, the MAD is a robust statistic, being more resilient to outliers in a data set than the standard deviation. In the standard deviation, the distances from the mean are squared, so large deviations are weighted more heavily, and thus outliers can heavily influence it. In the MAD, the deviations of a small number of outliers are irrelevant.
Because the MAD is a more robust estimator of scale than the sample variance or standard deviation, it works better with distributions without a mean or variance, such as the Cauchy distribution.
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Average True Range (ATR) is a widely used indicator for many occasions in technical analysis. It is calculated as the RMA of the true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range.
Mean Absolute Deviation
The mean absolute deviation (MAD) is a measure of variability that indicates the average distance between observations and their mean. MAD uses the original units of the data, which simplifies interpretation. Larger values signify that the data points spread out further from the average. Conversely, lower values correspond to data points bunching closer to it. The mean absolute deviation is also known as the mean deviation and average absolute deviation.
This definition of the mean absolute deviation sounds similar to the standard deviation (SD). While both measure variability, they have different calculations. In recent years, some proponents of MAD have suggested that it replace the SD as the primary measure because it is a simpler concept that better fits real life.
Static Percent
Static Percent allows the user to insert their own constant percent that will then be used to create take profits and stoploss
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Confiramtion Stack Backtest
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: Fisher Transform as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: uf2018 as shown on the chart above
Continuation: Vortex
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
Search in scripts for "backtest"
GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest is a Backtesting module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest
The Giga Stacks Backtest module allows users to perform backtesting on Long and Short signals from the confluence of GKD-B Baseline, GKD-C Confirmation, and GKD-V Volatility/Volume indicators. This module encompasses two types of backtests: Trading and Full. The Trading backtest permits users to evaluate individual trades, whether Long or Short, one at a time. Conversely, the Full backtest allows users to analyze either Longs or Shorts separately by toggling between them in the settings, enabling the examination of results for each signal type. The Trading backtest emulates actual trading conditions, while the Full backtest assesses all signals, regardless of being Long or Short.
Additionally, this backtest module provides the option to test using indicators with 1 to 3 take profits and 1 stop loss. The Trading backtest allows for the use of 1 to 3 take profits, while the Full backtest is limited to 1 take profit. The Trading backtest also offers the capability to apply a trailing take profit.
In terms of the percentage of trade removed at each take profit, this backtest module has the following hardcoded values:
Take profit 1: 50% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 2: 25% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 3: 25% of the trade is removed.
Stop loss: 100% of the trade is removed.
After each take profit is achieved, the stop loss level is adjusted. When take profit 1 is reached, the stop loss is moved to the entry point. Similarly, when take profit 2 is reached, the stop loss is shifted to take profit 1. The trailing take profit feature comes into play after take profit 2 or take profit 3, depending on the number of take profits selected in the settings. The trailing take profit is always activated on the final take profit when 2 or more take profits are chosen.
The backtest module also offers the capability to restrict by a specific date range, allowing for simulated forward testing based on past data. Additionally, users have the option to display or hide a trading panel that provides relevant information about the backtest, statistics, and the current trade. It is also possible to activate alerts and toggle sections of the trading panel on or off. On the chart, historical take profit and stop loss levels are represented by horizontal lines overlaid for reference.
To utilize this strategy, follow these steps (where "Stack XX" denotes the number of the Stack):
GKD-B Baseline Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-B Baseline module into the GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest module setting named "Stack XX: Import GKD-C, GKD-B, or GKD-V."
GKD-V Volatility/Volume Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-V Volatility/Volume module into the GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest module setting named "Stack XX: Import GKD-C, GKD-B, or GKD-V."
GKD-C Confirmation Import: 1) Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation Indicator to "GKD New."; 2) Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Confirmation module into the GKD-BT Giga Stacks Backtest module setting named "Stack XX: Import GKD-C, GKD-B, or GKD."
█ Giga Stacks Backtest Entries
Entries are generated form the confluence of up to six GKD-B Baseline, GKD-C Confirmation, and GKD-V Volatility/Volume indicators. Signals are generated when all Stacks reach uptrend or downtrend together.
Here's how this works. Assume we have the following Stacks and their respective trend on the current candle:
Stack 1 indicator is in uptreend
Stack 2 indicator is in downtrend
Stack 3 indicator is in uptreend
Stack 4 indicator is in uptreend
All stacks are in uptrend except for Stack 2. If Stack 2 reaches uptrend while Stacks 1, 3, and 4 stay in uptrend, then a long signal is generated. The last Stack to align with all other Stacks will generate a long or short signal.
█ Volatility Types Included
The GKD system utilizes volatility-based take profits and stop losses. Each take profit and stop loss is calculated as a multiple of volatility. Users can also adjust the multiplier values in the settings.
This module includes 17 types of volatility:
Close-to-Close
Parkinson
Garman-Klass
Rogers-Satchell
Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
Average True Range
True Range Double
Standard Deviation
Adaptive Deviation
Median Absolute Deviation
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Mean Absolute Deviation
Static Percent
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and widely used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility.
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a larger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility is calculated using only a stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. However, in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump significantly during a trading session and return to the opening value at the end. That means that a considerable amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility.
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. This is useful as close-to-close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have occurred during the day. Thus, Parkinson's volatility is considered more precise and requires less data for calculation than close-to-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after the market closes. Hence, it systematically undervalues volatility. This drawback is addressed in the Garman-Klass volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman-Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing prices. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change follows a continuous diffusion process (Geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremes.
Researchers Rogers and Satchell have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates a drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. This leads to an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
Yang-Zhang volatility can be thought of as a combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility. It is considered to be 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang (GKYZ) volatility estimator incorporates the returns of open, high, low, and closing prices in its calculation.
GKYZ volatility estimator takes into account overnight jumps but not the trend, i.e., it assumes that the underlying asset follows a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process with zero drift. Therefore, the GKYZ volatility estimator tends to overestimate the volatility when the drift is different from zero. However, for a GBM process, this estimator is eight times more efficient than the close-to-close volatility estimator.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, with the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights decrease exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility. It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1)).
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by ?.
?avg(var;M) + (1 ? ?) avg(var;N) = 2?var/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-?)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for ? can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg(var; N) against avg(var; M) - avg(var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as ?.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean and is calculated as the square root of the variance. The standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance by determining each data point's deviation relative to the mean. If the data points are further from the mean, there is a higher deviation within the data set; thus, the more spread out the data, the higher the standard deviation.
Adaptive Deviation
By definition, the Standard Deviation (STD, also represented by the Greek letter sigma ? or the Latin letter s) is a measure that is used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values. In technical analysis, we usually use it to measure the level of current volatility.
Standard Deviation is based on Simple Moving Average calculation for mean value. This version of standard deviation uses the properties of EMA to calculate what can be called a new type of deviation, and since it is based on EMA, we can call it EMA deviation. Additionally, Perry Kaufman's efficiency ratio is used to make it adaptive (since all EMA type calculations are nearly perfect for adapting).
The difference when compared to the standard is significant--not just because of EMA usage, but the efficiency ratio makes it a "bit more logical" in very volatile market conditions.
Median Absolute Deviation
The median absolute deviation is a measure of statistical dispersion. Moreover, the MAD is a robust statistic, being more resilient to outliers in a data set than the standard deviation. In the standard deviation, the distances from the mean are squared, so large deviations are weighted more heavily, and thus outliers can heavily influence it. In the MAD, the deviations of a small number of outliers are irrelevant.
Because the MAD is a more robust estimator of scale than the sample variance or standard deviation, it works better with distributions without a mean or variance, such as the Cauchy distribution.
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Average True Range (ATR) is a widely used indicator for many occasions in technical analysis. It is calculated as the RMA of the true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range.
Mean Absolute Deviation
The mean absolute deviation (MAD) is a measure of variability that indicates the average distance between observations and their mean. MAD uses the original units of the data, which simplifies interpretation. Larger values signify that the data points spread out further from the average. Conversely, lower values correspond to data points bunching closer to it. The mean absolute deviation is also known as the mean deviation and average absolute deviation.
This definition of the mean absolute deviation sounds similar to the standard deviation (SD). While both measure variability, they have different calculations. In recent years, some proponents of MAD have suggested that it replace the SD as the primary measure because it is a simpler concept that better fits real life.
Static Percent
Static Percent allows the user to insert their own constant percent that will then be used to create take profits and stoploss
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Stacks Backtest
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: Vorext
Confirmation 2: Coppock Curve
Continuation: Fisher Transform
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest is a Backtesting module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest
The Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest module allows users to perform backtesting on Full GKD Long and Short signals using GKD-C confirmation indicators. These signals are further refined by GKD-B Baseline and GKD-V Volatility/Volume indicators and augmented by an additional GKD-C Confirmation indicator acting as a Continuation indicator. This module serves as a comprehensive tool that falls just below a Full GKD trading system. The key difference is that the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex utilizes a single GKD-C Confirmation indicator, while the Full GKD system employs two GKD-C Confirmation indicators. Both the Solo Confirmation Super Complex and the Full GKD systems incorporate an extra GKD-C Confirmation indicator to identify Continuation signals, which provide both longs and shorts on developing trends following an initial trend change.
This module encompasses two types of backtests: Trading and Full. The Trading backtest permits users to evaluate individual trades, whether Long or Short, one at a time. Conversely, the Full backtest allows users to analyze either Longs or Shorts separately by toggling between them in the settings, enabling the examination of results for each signal type. The Trading backtest emulates actual trading conditions, while the Full backtest assesses all signals, regardless of being Long or Short.
Additionally, this backtest module provides the option to test the core GKD-C Confirmation and GKD-C Continuation indicators with 1 to 3 take profits and 1 stop loss. The Trading backtest allows for the use of 1 to 3 take profits, while the Full backtest is limited to 1 take profit. The Trading backtest also offers the capability to apply a trailing take profit.
In terms of the percentage of trade removed at each take profit, this backtest module has the following hardcoded values:
Take profit 1: 50% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 2: 25% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 3: 25% of the trade is removed.
Stop loss: 100% of the trade is removed.
After each take profit is achieved, the stop loss level is adjusted. When take profit 1 is reached, the stop loss is moved to the entry point. Similarly, when take profit 2 is reached, the stop loss is shifted to take profit 1. The trailing take profit feature comes into play after take profit 2 or take profit 3, depending on the number of take profits selected in the settings. The trailing take profit is always activated on the final take profit when 2 or more take profits are chosen.
The backtest module also offers the capability to restrict by a specific date range, allowing for simulated forward testing based on past data. Additionally, users have the option to display or hide a trading panel that provides relevant information about the backtest, statistics, and the current trade. It is also possible to activate alerts and toggle sections of the trading panel on or off. On the chart, historical take profit and stop loss levels are represented by horizontal lines overlaid for reference.
To utilize this strategy, follow these steps:
1. GKD-B Baseline Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-B Baseline module into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-B Baseline."
2. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-V Volatility/Volume module into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-V Volatility/Volume."
3. Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation Indicator to "GKD New."
4. GKD-C Confirmation Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Confirmation module into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Confirmation."
5. Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Continuation Indicator to "GKD New."
6. GKD-C Continuation Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Continuation module into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Continuation."
The GKD system utilizes volatility-based take profits and stop losses. Each take profit and stop loss is calculated as a multiple of volatility. Users can also adjust the multiplier values in the settings.
In a future update, the option to include a GKD-E Exit indicator will be added to this module to complete a full trading strategy.
█ Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest Entries
Within this module, there are eight distinct types of entries available, which are outlined below:
Standard Entry
1-Candle Standard Entry
Baseline Entry
1-Candle Baseline Entry
Volatility/Volume Entry
1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry
PullBack Entry
Continuation Entry
Each of these entry types can generate either long or short signals, resulting in a total of 16 signal variations. The user has the flexibility to enable or disable specific entry types and choose which qualifying rules within each entry type are applied to price to determine the final long or short signal. You'll notice that these signals are different form the core GKD signals mentioned towards the end of this description. Signals from the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Super Complex Backtest are modifided to add additional qualifications to make your finalized trading strategy more dynamic and robust.
The following section provides an overview of the various entry types and their corresponding qualifying rules:
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2. Baseline agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Standard Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2a. Baseline agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
Next Candle:
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Basline gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Volatility/Volume agrees
6. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
1-Candle Baseline Entry
1a. GKD-B Basline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle:
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Baseline agrees
6. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry
1a. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSVVC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle:
1b. Price retraced
2b. Volatility/Volume agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
2b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, 1-Candle Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, 1-Candle Baseline Entry, Volatility/Volume Entry, 1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry, or Pullback entry triggered previously
2. Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
4. Confirmation 1 agrees
5. Baseline agrees
█ Volatility Types Included
This module includes 17 types of volatility:
Close-to-Close
Parkinson
Garman-Klass
Rogers-Satchell
Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
Average True Range
True Range Double
Standard Deviation
Adaptive Deviation
Median Absolute Deviation
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Mean Absolute Deviation
Static Percent
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and widely used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility.
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a larger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility is calculated using only a stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. However, in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump significantly during a trading session and return to the opening value at the end. That means that a considerable amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility.
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. This is useful as close-to-close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have occurred during the day. Thus, Parkinson's volatility is considered more precise and requires less data for calculation than close-to-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after the market closes. Hence, it systematically undervalues volatility. This drawback is addressed in the Garman-Klass volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman-Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing prices. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change follows a continuous diffusion process (Geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremes.
Researchers Rogers and Satchell have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates a drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. This leads to an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
Yang-Zhang volatility can be thought of as a combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility. It is considered to be 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang (GKYZ) volatility estimator incorporates the returns of open, high, low, and closing prices in its calculation.
GKYZ volatility estimator takes into account overnight jumps but not the trend, i.e., it assumes that the underlying asset follows a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process with zero drift. Therefore, the GKYZ volatility estimator tends to overestimate the volatility when the drift is different from zero. However, for a GBM process, this estimator is eight times more efficient than the close-to-close volatility estimator.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, with the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights decrease exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility. It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1)).
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by ?.
?avg(var;M) + (1 ? ?) avg(var;N) = 2?var/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-?)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for ? can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg(var; N) against avg(var; M) - avg(var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as ?.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean and is calculated as the square root of the variance. The standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance by determining each data point's deviation relative to the mean. If the data points are further from the mean, there is a higher deviation within the data set; thus, the more spread out the data, the higher the standard deviation.
Adaptive Deviation
By definition, the Standard Deviation (STD, also represented by the Greek letter sigma ? or the Latin letter s) is a measure that is used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values. In technical analysis, we usually use it to measure the level of current volatility.
Standard Deviation is based on Simple Moving Average calculation for mean value. This version of standard deviation uses the properties of EMA to calculate what can be called a new type of deviation, and since it is based on EMA, we can call it EMA deviation. Additionally, Perry Kaufman's efficiency ratio is used to make it adaptive (since all EMA type calculations are nearly perfect for adapting).
The difference when compared to the standard is significant--not just because of EMA usage, but the efficiency ratio makes it a "bit more logical" in very volatile market conditions.
Median Absolute Deviation
The median absolute deviation is a measure of statistical dispersion. Moreover, the MAD is a robust statistic, being more resilient to outliers in a data set than the standard deviation. In the standard deviation, the distances from the mean are squared, so large deviations are weighted more heavily, and thus outliers can heavily influence it. In the MAD, the deviations of a small number of outliers are irrelevant.
Because the MAD is a more robust estimator of scale than the sample variance or standard deviation, it works better with distributions without a mean or variance, such as the Cauchy distribution.
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Average True Range (ATR) is a widely used indicator for many occasions in technical analysis. It is calculated as the RMA of the true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range.
Mean Absolute Deviation
The mean absolute deviation (MAD) is a measure of variability that indicates the average distance between observations and their mean. MAD uses the original units of the data, which simplifies interpretation. Larger values signify that the data points spread out further from the average. Conversely, lower values correspond to data points bunching closer to it. The mean absolute deviation is also known as the mean deviation and average absolute deviation.
This definition of the mean absolute deviation sounds similar to the standard deviation (SD). While both measure variability, they have different calculations. In recent years, some proponents of MAD have suggested that it replace the SD as the primary measure because it is a simpler concept that better fits real life.
Static Percent
Static Percent allows the user to insert their own constant percent that will then be used to create take profits and stoploss
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest as shown on the chart above
Baseline: Hull Moving Average as shown on the chart above
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 1: Fisher Trasnform as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Vortex as shown on the chart above
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
1-Candle Rule Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close)
2. GKD-B Volatility/Volume agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
4. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest is a Backtesting module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest
The Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest module enables users to perform backtesting on Standard Long and Short signals from GKD-C confirmation indicators, filtered by GKD-B Baseline and GKD-V Volatility/Volume indicators. This module represents a complex form of the Solo Confirmation Backtest in the GKD trading system. It includes two types of backtests: Trading and Full. The Trading backtest allows users to test individual trades, both Long and Short, one at a time. On the other hand, the Full backtest allows users to test either Longs or Shorts by toggling between them in the settings to view the results for each signal type. The Trading backtest simulates real trading, while the Full backtest tests all signals, whether Long or Short.
Additionally, this backtest module provides the option to test the GKD-C Confirmation indicator with 1 to 3 take profits and 1 stop loss. The Trading backtest allows for the use of 1 to 3 take profits, while the Full backtest is limited to 1 take profit. The Trading backtest also offers the capability to apply a trailing take profit.
In terms of the percentage of trade removed at each take profit, this backtest module has the following hardcoded values:
Take profit 1: 50% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 2: 25% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 3: 25% of the trade is removed.
Stop loss: 100% of the trade is removed.
After each take profit is achieved, the stop loss level is adjusted. When take profit 1 is reached, the stop loss is moved to the entry point. Similarly, when take profit 2 is reached, the stop loss is shifted to take profit 1. The trailing take profit feature comes into play after take profit 2 or take profit 3, depending on the number of take profits selected in the settings. The trailing take profit is always activated on the final take profit when 2 or more take profits are chosen.
The backtest module also offers the capability to restrict by a specific date range, allowing for simulated forward testing based on past data. Additionally, users have the option to display or hide a trading panel that provides relevant information about the backtest, statistics, and the current trade. It is also possible to activate alerts and toggle sections of the trading panel on or off. On the chart, historical take profit and stop loss levels are represented by horizontal lines overlaid for reference.
The GKD system utilizes volatility-based take profits and stop losses. Each take profit and stop loss is calculated as a multiple of volatility. Users can also adjust the multiplier values in the settings.
To utilize this strategy, follow these steps:
1. GKD-B Baseline Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-B Baseline module into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-B Baseline indicator."
Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation Indicator to "GKD New."
2. GKD-C Confirmation Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Confirmation module into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Confirmation indicator."
3. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-V Volatility/Volume module into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-V Volatility/Volume indicator."
4. The Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest module exclusively supports Standard Entries, both Long and Short. However, please note that this module uses a modified version of the Standard Entry. In this modified version, long and short signals are directly imported from the Confirmation indicator, and then baseline and volatility filtering is applied.
The GKD-B Baseline filter ensures that only trades aligning with the GKD-B Baseline's current trend are accepted. This filter takes into consideration the Goldie Locks Zone, which allows trades where the closing price of the last candle has moved within a minimum XX volatility and a maximum YY volatility range. The GKD-V Volatility/Volume filter allows only trades that meet a minimum threshold of ZZ GKD-V Volatility/Volume, which varies based on the specific GKD-V Volatility/Volume indicator used.
The Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest execution engine determines whether signals from the GKD-C Confirmation indicator are accepted or rejected based on two criteria:
1. The GKD-C Confirmation signal must be qualified by the direction of the GKD-B Baseline trend and the GKD-B Baseline's sweet-spot Goldie Locks Zone.
2. Sufficient Volatility/Volume, as indicated by the GKD-V Volatility/Volume indicator, must be present to execute a trade.
The purpose of the Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest is to test a GKD-C Confirmation indicator in the presence of macro trend and volatility/volume filtering.
Volatility Types Included
17 types of volatility are included in this indicator
Close-to-Close
Parkinson
Garman-Klass
Rogers-Satchell
Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
Average True Range
True Range Double
Standard Deviation
Adaptive Deviation
Median Absolute Deviation
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Mean Absolute Deviation
Static Percent
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and widely used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility.
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a larger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility is calculated using only a stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. However, in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump significantly during a trading session and return to the opening value at the end. That means that a considerable amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility.
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. This is useful as close-to-close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have occurred during the day. Thus, Parkinson's volatility is considered more precise and requires less data for calculation than close-to-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after the market closes. Hence, it systematically undervalues volatility. This drawback is addressed in the Garman-Klass volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman-Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing prices. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change follows a continuous diffusion process (Geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremes.
Researchers Rogers and Satchell have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates a drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. This leads to an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
Yang-Zhang volatility can be thought of as a combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility. It is considered to be 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang (GKYZ) volatility estimator incorporates the returns of open, high, low, and closing prices in its calculation.
GKYZ volatility estimator takes into account overnight jumps but not the trend, i.e., it assumes that the underlying asset follows a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process with zero drift. Therefore, the GKYZ volatility estimator tends to overestimate the volatility when the drift is different from zero. However, for a GBM process, this estimator is eight times more efficient than the close-to-close volatility estimator.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, with the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights decrease exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility. It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1)).
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by ?.
?avg(var;M) + (1 ? ?) avg(var;N) = 2?var/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-?)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for ? can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg(var; N) against avg(var; M) - avg(var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as ?.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean and is calculated as the square root of the variance. The standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance by determining each data point's deviation relative to the mean. If the data points are further from the mean, there is a higher deviation within the data set; thus, the more spread out the data, the higher the standard deviation.
Adaptive Deviation
By definition, the Standard Deviation (STD, also represented by the Greek letter sigma ? or the Latin letter s) is a measure that is used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values. In technical analysis, we usually use it to measure the level of current volatility.
Standard Deviation is based on Simple Moving Average calculation for mean value. This version of standard deviation uses the properties of EMA to calculate what can be called a new type of deviation, and since it is based on EMA, we can call it EMA deviation. Additionally, Perry Kaufman's efficiency ratio is used to make it adaptive (since all EMA type calculations are nearly perfect for adapting).
The difference when compared to the standard is significant--not just because of EMA usage, but the efficiency ratio makes it a "bit more logical" in very volatile market conditions.
Median Absolute Deviation
The median absolute deviation is a measure of statistical dispersion. Moreover, the MAD is a robust statistic, being more resilient to outliers in a data set than the standard deviation. In the standard deviation, the distances from the mean are squared, so large deviations are weighted more heavily, and thus outliers can heavily influence it. In the MAD, the deviations of a small number of outliers are irrelevant.
Because the MAD is a more robust estimator of scale than the sample variance or standard deviation, it works better with distributions without a mean or variance, such as the Cauchy distribution.
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Average True Range (ATR) is a widely used indicator for many occasions in technical analysis. It is calculated as the RMA of the true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range.
Mean Absolute Deviation
The mean absolute deviation (MAD) is a measure of variability that indicates the average distance between observations and their mean. MAD uses the original units of the data, which simplifies interpretation. Larger values signify that the data points spread out further from the average. Conversely, lower values correspond to data points bunching closer to it. The mean absolute deviation is also known as the mean deviation and average absolute deviation.
This definition of the mean absolute deviation sounds similar to the standard deviation (SD). While both measure variability, they have different calculations. In recent years, some proponents of MAD have suggested that it replace the SD as the primary measure because it is a simpler concept that better fits real life.
Static Percent
Static Percent allows the user to insert their own constant percent that will then be used to create take profits and stoploss
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Solo Confirmation Complex Backtest as shown on the chart above
Baseline: Hull Moving Average as shown on the chart above
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 1: Fisher Trasnform as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
1-Candle Rule Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close)
2. GKD-B Volatility/Volume agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
4. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest is a Backtesting module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest
The Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest module enables users to backtest Full GKD Long and Short signals, allowing the creation of a comprehensive NNFX trading system consisting of two confirmation indicators, a baseline, a measure of volatility/volume, and continuations.
This module offers two types of backtests: Trading and Full. The Trading backtest allows users to evaluate individual Long and Short trades one by one. On the other hand, the Full backtest enables the analysis of Longs or Shorts separately by toggling between them in the settings, providing insights into the results for each signal type. The Trading backtest simulates actual trading conditions, while the Full backtest evaluates all signals regardless of their Long or Short nature.
Additionally, the backtest module allows testing with 1 to 3 take profits and 1 stop loss. The Trading backtest supports 1 to 3 take profits, while the Full backtest is limited to 1 take profit. The Trading backtest also includes a trailing take profit feature.
Regarding the percentage of trade removed at each take profit, the backtest module incorporates the following predefined values:
Take profit 1: 50% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 2: 25% of the trade is removed.
Take profit 3: 25% of the trade is removed.
Stop loss: 100% of the trade is removed.
After achieving each take profit, the stop loss level is adjusted accordingly. When take profit 1 is reached, the stop loss is moved to the entry point. Similarly, when take profit 2 is reached, the stop loss is shifted to take profit 1. The trailing take profit feature comes into effect after take profit 2 or take profit 3, depending on the number of take profits selected in the settings. The trailing take profit is always activated on the final take profit when 2 or more take profits are chosen.
The backtest module also provides the option to restrict testing to a specific date range, allowing for simulated forward testing using past data. Additionally, users can choose to display or hide a trading panel that provides relevant information about the backtest, statistics, and the current trade. It is also possible to activate alerts and toggle sections of the trading panel on or off. Historical take profit and stop loss levels are displayed as overlaid horizontal lines on the chart for reference.
To utilize this strategy, follow these steps:
1. GKD-B Baseline Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-B Baseline module into the GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-B Baseline."
2. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-V Volatility/Volume module into the GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-V Volatility/Volume."
3. Adjust the "Confirmation 1 Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation Indicator to "GKD New."
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Confirmation 1 module into the GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Confirmation 1."
5. Adjust the "Confirmation 2 Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation 2 Indicator to "GKD New."
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Confirmation 2 module into the GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Confirmation 2."
7. Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Continuation Indicator to "GKD New."
8. GKD-C Continuation Import: Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" from the GKD-C Continuation module into the GKD-BT Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest module setting named "Import GKD-C Confirmation."
The GKD system utilizes volatility-based take profits and stop losses, where each take profit and stop loss is calculated as a multiple of volatility. Users have the flexibility to adjust the multiplier values in the settings to suit their preferences.
In a future update, the Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest module will include the option to incorporate a GKD-E Exit indicator, completing the full trading strategy.
█ Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest Entries
Within this module, there are ten distinct types of entries available, which are outlined below:
Standard Entry
1-Candle Standard Entry
Baseline Entry
1-Candle Baseline Entry
Volatility/Volume Entry
1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry
Confirmation 2 Entry
1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry
PullBack Entry
Continuation Entry
Each of these entry types can generate either long or short signals, resulting in a total of 20 signal variations. The user has the flexibility to enable or disable specific entry types and choose which qualifying rules within each entry type are applied to price to determine the final long or short signal.
The following section provides an overview of the various entry types and their corresponding qualifying rules:
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2. Baseline agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Standard Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation gives signal
2a. Baseline agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Basline gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Volatility/Volume agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
1-Candle Baseline Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSBC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Baseline agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Confirmation 2 agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry
1a. GKD-V Volatility/Volume gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSVVC Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Volatility/Volume agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Baseline agrees
Confirmation 2 Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2. Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5. Volatility/Volume agrees
6. Baseline agrees
7. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry
1a. GKD-C Confirmation 2 gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
4a. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
5a. Confirmation 1 signal was less than 'Maximum Allowable PSC2C Bars Back' prior
Next Candle
1b. Price retraced
2b. Confirmation 2 agrees
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Volatility/Volume agrees
5b. Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1a. GKD-B Baseline gives signal
2a. Confirmation 1 agrees
3a. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle
1b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Minimum
2b. Price inside Goldie Locks Zone Maximum
3b. Confirmation 1 agrees
4b. Confirmation 2 agrees
5b. Volatility/Volume agrees
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, 1-Candle Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, 1-Candle Baseline Entry, Volatility/Volume Entry, 1-Candle Volatility/Volume Entry, Confirmation 2 Entry, 1-Candle Confirmation 2 Entry, or Pullback entry triggered previously
2. Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
4. Confirmation 1 agrees
5. Baseline agrees
6. Confirmation 2 agrees
█ Volatility Types Included
This module includes 17 types of volatility:
Close-to-Close
Parkinson
Garman-Klass
Rogers-Satchell
Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
Average True Range
True Range Double
Standard Deviation
Adaptive Deviation
Median Absolute Deviation
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Mean Absolute Deviation
Static Percent
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and widely used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility.
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a larger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility is calculated using only a stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. However, in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump significantly during a trading session and return to the opening value at the end. That means that a considerable amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility.
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. This is useful as close-to-close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have occurred during the day. Thus, Parkinson's volatility is considered more precise and requires less data for calculation than close-to-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after the market closes. Hence, it systematically undervalues volatility. This drawback is addressed in the Garman-Klass volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman-Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing prices. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change follows a continuous diffusion process (Geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremes.
Researchers Rogers and Satchell have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates a drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. This leads to an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
Yang-Zhang volatility can be thought of as a combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility. It is considered to be 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang (GKYZ) volatility estimator incorporates the returns of open, high, low, and closing prices in its calculation.
GKYZ volatility estimator takes into account overnight jumps but not the trend, i.e., it assumes that the underlying asset follows a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process with zero drift. Therefore, the GKYZ volatility estimator tends to overestimate the volatility when the drift is different from zero. However, for a GBM process, this estimator is eight times more efficient than the close-to-close volatility estimator.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, with the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights decrease exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility. It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1)).
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by ?.
?avg(var;M) + (1 ? ?) avg(var;N) = 2?var/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-?)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for ? can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg(var; N) against avg(var; M) - avg(var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as ?.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean and is calculated as the square root of the variance. The standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance by determining each data point's deviation relative to the mean. If the data points are further from the mean, there is a higher deviation within the data set; thus, the more spread out the data, the higher the standard deviation.
Adaptive Deviation
By definition, the Standard Deviation (STD, also represented by the Greek letter sigma ? or the Latin letter s) is a measure that is used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values. In technical analysis, we usually use it to measure the level of current volatility.
Standard Deviation is based on Simple Moving Average calculation for mean value. This version of standard deviation uses the properties of EMA to calculate what can be called a new type of deviation, and since it is based on EMA, we can call it EMA deviation. Additionally, Perry Kaufman's efficiency ratio is used to make it adaptive (since all EMA type calculations are nearly perfect for adapting).
The difference when compared to the standard is significant--not just because of EMA usage, but the efficiency ratio makes it a "bit more logical" in very volatile market conditions.
Median Absolute Deviation
The median absolute deviation is a measure of statistical dispersion. Moreover, the MAD is a robust statistic, being more resilient to outliers in a data set than the standard deviation. In the standard deviation, the distances from the mean are squared, so large deviations are weighted more heavily, and thus outliers can heavily influence it. In the MAD, the deviations of a small number of outliers are irrelevant.
Because the MAD is a more robust estimator of scale than the sample variance or standard deviation, it works better with distributions without a mean or variance, such as the Cauchy distribution.
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Average True Range (ATR) is a widely used indicator for many occasions in technical analysis. It is calculated as the RMA of the true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range.
Mean Absolute Deviation
The mean absolute deviation (MAD) is a measure of variability that indicates the average distance between observations and their mean. MAD uses the original units of the data, which simplifies interpretation. Larger values signify that the data points spread out further from the average. Conversely, lower values correspond to data points bunching closer to it. The mean absolute deviation is also known as the mean deviation and average absolute deviation.
This definition of the mean absolute deviation sounds similar to the standard deviation (SD). While both measure variability, they have different calculations. In recent years, some proponents of MAD have suggested that it replace the SD as the primary measure because it is a simpler concept that better fits real life.
Static Percent
Static Percent allows the user to insert their own constant percent that will then be used to create take profits and stoploss
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Full Giga Kaleidoscope Backtest as shown on the chart above
Baseline: Hull Moving Average as shown on the chart above
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 1: Vorext as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Coppock Curve as shown on the chart above
Continuation: Fisher Transform as shown on the chart above
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest is a Backtesting module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest
The Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest module enables users to perform Standard Long and Short signals on GKD-C confirmation indicators. This module represents the simplest form of Backtest in the GKD trading system. It includes two types of backtests: Trading and Full. The Trading backtest allows users to test individual trades, both long and short, one at a time. On the other hand, the Full backtest allows users to test either longs or shorts by toggling between them in the settings to view the results for each signal type. The Trading backtest simulates real trading, while the Full backtest tests all signals, whether long or short.
Additionally, this backtest module provides the option to test the GKD-C indicator with 1 to 3 take profits and 1 stop loss. The Trading backtest allows for the use of 1 to 3 take profits, while the Full backtest is limited to 1 take profit. The Trading backtest also offers the capability to apply a trailing take profit.
In terms of the percentage of trade removed at each take profit, this backtest module has the following hardcoded values:
Take profit 1: 50% of the trade is removed
Take profit 2: 25% of the trade is removed
Take profit 3: 25% of the trade is removed
Stop loss: 100% of the trade is removed
After each take profit is achieved, the stop loss level is adjusted. When take profit 1 is reached, the stop loss is moved to the entry point. Similarly, when take profit 2 is reached, the stop loss is shifted to take profit 1. The trailing take profit feature comes into play after take profit 2 or take profit 3, depending on the number of take profits selected in the settings. The trailing take profit is always activated on the final take profit when 2 or more take profits are chosen.
The backtest also offers the capability to restrict by a specific date range, allowing for simulated forward testing based on past data. Additionally, users have the option to display or hide a trading panel that provides relevant information about the backtest, statistics, and the current trade. It is also possible to activate alerts and toggle sections of the trading panel on or off. On the chart, historical take profit and stop loss levels are represented by horizontal lines overlaid for reference.
The GKD system utilizes volatility-based take profits and stop losses. Each take profit and stop loss is calculated as a multiple of volatility. You can change the values of the multipliers in the settings as well.
To utilize this strategy, follow these steps:
1. Adjust the "Confirmation Type" in the GKD-C Confirmation Indicator to "GKD New."
2. Import the value "Input into NEW GKD-BT Backtest" into the GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest module (this strategy backtest).
**The GKD-BT Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest module exclusively supports Standard Entries, both Long and Short. However, please note that this module uses a modified version of the standard entry, where long and short signals are directly imported from the Confirmation indicator without any baseline or volatility filtering applied.**
Volatility Types Included
17 types of volatility are included in this indicator
Close-to-Close
Parkinson
Garman-Klass
Rogers-Satchell
Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
Average True Range
True Range Double
Standard Deviation
Adaptive Deviation
Median Absolute Deviation
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Mean Absolute Deviation
Static Percent
Close-to-Close
Close-to-Close volatility is a classic and widely used volatility measure, sometimes referred to as historical volatility.
Volatility is an indicator of the speed of a stock price change. A stock with high volatility is one where the price changes rapidly and with a larger amplitude. The more volatile a stock is, the riskier it is.
Close-to-close historical volatility is calculated using only a stock's closing prices. It is the simplest volatility estimator. However, in many cases, it is not precise enough. Stock prices could jump significantly during a trading session and return to the opening value at the end. That means that a considerable amount of price information is not taken into account by close-to-close volatility.
Despite its drawbacks, Close-to-Close volatility is still useful in cases where the instrument doesn't have intraday prices. For example, mutual funds calculate their net asset values daily or weekly, and thus their prices are not suitable for more sophisticated volatility estimators.
Parkinson
Parkinson volatility is a volatility measure that uses the stock’s high and low price of the day.
The main difference between regular volatility and Parkinson volatility is that the latter uses high and low prices for a day, rather than only the closing price. This is useful as close-to-close prices could show little difference while large price movements could have occurred during the day. Thus, Parkinson's volatility is considered more precise and requires less data for calculation than close-to-close volatility.
One drawback of this estimator is that it doesn't take into account price movements after the market closes. Hence, it systematically undervalues volatility. This drawback is addressed in the Garman-Klass volatility estimator.
Garman-Klass
Garman-Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security.
Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing prices. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate.
Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change follows a continuous diffusion process (Geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements.
Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremes.
Researchers Rogers and Satchell have proposed a more efficient method for assessing historical volatility that takes into account price trends. See Rogers-Satchell Volatility for more detail.
Rogers-Satchell
Rogers-Satchell is an estimator for measuring the volatility of securities with an average return not equal to zero.
Unlike Parkinson and Garman-Klass estimators, Rogers-Satchell incorporates a drift term (mean return not equal to zero). As a result, it provides better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending.
The main disadvantage of this method is that it does not take into account price movements between trading sessions. This leads to an underestimation of volatility since price jumps periodically occur in the market precisely at the moments between sessions.
A more comprehensive estimator that also considers the gaps between sessions was developed based on the Rogers-Satchel formula in the 2000s by Yang-Zhang. See Yang Zhang Volatility for more detail.
Yang-Zhang
Yang Zhang is a historical volatility estimator that handles both opening jumps and the drift and has a minimum estimation error.
Yang-Zhang volatility can be thought of as a combination of the overnight (close-to-open volatility) and a weighted average of the Rogers-Satchell volatility and the day’s open-to-close volatility. It is considered to be 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang (GKYZ) volatility estimator incorporates the returns of open, high, low, and closing prices in its calculation.
GKYZ volatility estimator takes into account overnight jumps but not the trend, i.e., it assumes that the underlying asset follows a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process with zero drift. Therefore, the GKYZ volatility estimator tends to overestimate the volatility when the drift is different from zero. However, for a GBM process, this estimator is eight times more efficient than the close-to-close volatility estimator.
Exponential Weighted Moving Average
The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) is a quantitative or statistical measure used to model or describe a time series. The EWMA is widely used in finance, with the main applications being technical analysis and volatility modeling.
The moving average is designed such that older observations are given lower weights. The weights decrease exponentially as the data point gets older – hence the name exponentially weighted.
The only decision a user of the EWMA must make is the parameter lambda. The parameter decides how important the current observation is in the calculation of the EWMA. The higher the value of lambda, the more closely the EWMA tracks the original time series.
Standard Deviation of Log Returns
This is the simplest calculation of volatility. It's the standard deviation of ln(close/close(1)).
Pseudo GARCH(2,2)
This is calculated using a short- and long-run mean of variance multiplied by ?.
?avg(var;M) + (1 ? ?) avg(var;N) = 2?var/(M+1-(M-1)L) + 2(1-?)var/(M+1-(M-1)L)
Solving for ? can be done by minimizing the mean squared error of estimation; that is, regressing L^-1var - avg(var; N) against avg(var; M) - avg(var; N) and using the resulting beta estimate as ?.
Average True Range
The average true range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator, introduced by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for that period.
The true range indicator is taken as the greatest of the following: current high less the current low; the absolute value of the current high less the previous close; and the absolute value of the current low less the previous close. The ATR is then a moving average, generally using 14 days, of the true ranges.
True Range Double
A special case of ATR that attempts to correct for volatility skew.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of a dataset relative to its mean and is calculated as the square root of the variance. The standard deviation is calculated as the square root of variance by determining each data point's deviation relative to the mean. If the data points are further from the mean, there is a higher deviation within the data set; thus, the more spread out the data, the higher the standard deviation.
Adaptive Deviation
By definition, the Standard Deviation (STD, also represented by the Greek letter sigma ? or the Latin letter s) is a measure that is used to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values. In technical analysis, we usually use it to measure the level of current volatility.
Standard Deviation is based on Simple Moving Average calculation for mean value. This version of standard deviation uses the properties of EMA to calculate what can be called a new type of deviation, and since it is based on EMA, we can call it EMA deviation. Additionally, Perry Kaufman's efficiency ratio is used to make it adaptive (since all EMA type calculations are nearly perfect for adapting).
The difference when compared to the standard is significant--not just because of EMA usage, but the efficiency ratio makes it a "bit more logical" in very volatile market conditions.
Median Absolute Deviation
The median absolute deviation is a measure of statistical dispersion. Moreover, the MAD is a robust statistic, being more resilient to outliers in a data set than the standard deviation. In the standard deviation, the distances from the mean are squared, so large deviations are weighted more heavily, and thus outliers can heavily influence it. In the MAD, the deviations of a small number of outliers are irrelevant.
Because the MAD is a more robust estimator of scale than the sample variance or standard deviation, it works better with distributions without a mean or variance, such as the Cauchy distribution.
Efficiency-Ratio Adaptive ATR
Average True Range (ATR) is a widely used indicator for many occasions in technical analysis. It is calculated as the RMA of the true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range.
Mean Absolute Deviation
The mean absolute deviation (MAD) is a measure of variability that indicates the average distance between observations and their mean. MAD uses the original units of the data, which simplifies interpretation. Larger values signify that the data points spread out further from the average. Conversely, lower values correspond to data points bunching closer to it. The mean absolute deviation is also known as the mean deviation and average absolute deviation.
This definition of the mean absolute deviation sounds similar to the standard deviation (SD). While both measure variability, they have different calculations. In recent years, some proponents of MAD have suggested that it replace the SD as the primary measure because it is a simpler concept that better fits real life.
Static Percent
Static Percent allows the user to insert their own constant percent that will then be used to create take profits and stoploss
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the MACD Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v2.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data to A backtest module wherein the various components of the GKD system are combined to create a trading signal.
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Solo Confirmation Simple Backtest as shown on the chart above
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Hurst Exponent
Confirmation 1: Fisher Trasnform as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Volatility-Adaptive Rapid RSI T3
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD system.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
1-Candle Rule Volatility/Volume Entry
1. GKD-V Volatility/Volume signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close)
2. GKD-B Volatility/Volume agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
4. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
DH: (Strategy) Super SmartSuper Trend: Backtest VersionSUPER SMART SUPERTREND (Strategy Version w/ Backtesting)
Across all time frames and assets I've tested, this indicator gives me better results... Better entries, better exits and well defined trends. In comparison with a STANDARD Supertrend, it is not radically different, but when it does differ "Super Smart SuperTrend" is almost always better.
This is the STRATEGY version of "Super Smart SuperTrend" ready for your backtesting. There is also a STUDY version with ALERTS which might be better for live trading if you want Alerts.
STUDY VERSION WITH ALERTS IS HERE
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ABOUT THIS INDICATOR
As the name suggests, 'Supertrend' is a trend-following indicator that is notably popular here on Tradingview and elsewhere. It does a remarkably great job of recognizing a trend (in progress) and it will signal you to initiate a position when the trend is clear. Perhaps the greater value of Supertrend is that it helps keep you in your position until that trend is over.
WHAT'S THE BEST ATR PERIOD AND MULTIPLIER?
There are two important data points we must enter for Supertrend to work, namely the 'period (ATR number of candles or days)' and the 'multiplier (value by which ATR is multiplied)' BTW, in case you don't know, ATR signals the degree of price volatility. A common default setting is 10 for the ATR period and 3 for the multiplier.
SORRY, BUT THE MOVIE STARTED HALF HOUR AGO...
Unfortunately Supertrend has a couple of big weaknesses. Generally, it fails in a sideways-moving market and when it does detect a trend, the signal to get in (or out) comes rather late. It's like someone telling you about a great movie they're watching, but by the time you start watching, one-third of the movie is over... bummer, right?
HOW TO IMPROVE SUPERTREND
One solution is to combine Supertrend with other indicators such as MACD, Parabolic SAR, RSI, etc. And another solution is to experiment (backtest) with the Period and Multiplier settings for the asset and timeframe you are considering for trade.
For the STANDARD SETTINGS in this "Super Smart SuperTrend" indicator, I have set 9 for the ATR and 2.2 for the multiplier as default after backtesting on Bitcoin and other crypto (mostly in the 15 minute to 6 HOUR timeframe). Of course you can change this easily to any ATR period and Multiplier you like.
BUT... WHY NOT GET SMART?
I started thinking, it might be best if we let the market determine candle-by-candle what the settings should be. If everyone says that Supertrend works best in conjunction with other indicators, why not do our "conjuncting" programmatically (ie: automatically) sorta like artificial intelligence!
HOW IT WORKS
So here's what I did. Using data from other indicators I came up with a SMART SUPERTREND that auto-adjusts as the market changes. It still has settings so you can fine tune it for specific assets and timeframes, but once the settings are entered, it auto-adjusts as the market and prices evolve.
With "Super Smart SuperTrend" there is no ATR period setting (that is determined programmatically) and now there are TWO multipliers you can experiment with... (a lower one set at 1.7 default and a higher one at 2.5). These multiplier settings create a multiplier range that can be used programmatically to adjust the multiplier as the market and prices evolve.
THE RESULTS
Across all time frames and assets I've tested, I generally get better results. Better entries, better exits and well defined trends. In comparison with a STANDARD Supertrend, it is not radically different, but when it does differ "Super Smart SuperTrend: is almost always better. All this is substantiated by backtesting of course.
SAMPLE BACKTEST RESULTS (BTC/USD)
*Using Indicator Defaults*
TIMEFRAME STANDARD RESULTS SUPER SMART RESULTS
% Profitable | Profit Factor % Profitable | Profit Factor
DAY 58.33% 9.38 75.00% 10.77
4 HOUR 78.43% 18.22 80.95% 21.78
1 HOUR 74.11% 8.98 70.13% 9.34
15 MIN 58.10% 6.10 71.43% 9.48
Keep in mind that "Profit Factor" is key. It basically tells you what you'd make for every ONE DOLLAR invested by consistently trading with the backtested parameters.
SUPER SMART SUPERTREND FEATURES
• There is a STUDY VERSION w/Alerts
• There is a STRATEGY VERSION for Backtesting
• Standard 'Current Time Frame' SuperTrend Line
• Standard 'Higher Time Frame' SuperTrend Line
• Auto-Adjusting Dynamic Optimized SuperTrend Line
> Most Signals Are Same or Better than Standard
> Refine Results w/Sensitivity Inputs (2 Multipliers)
> Impressive Comparison Backtests
• Both Standard and Smart Signals and Alerts
• Toggle Any Line/Signal (On/Off)
• Toggle Backtest
> Standard vs. "Smart Auto-Adjust"
> Backtest Higher Timeframe Only
WHAT MORE COULD YOU ASK FOR?
So glad you asked. Actually, there is more... Super Smart SuperTrend is incorporated into my premier indicator set called: STONEHENGE PLUS: SUPERTREND TRADING TOOLKIT.
By combining Super Smart SuperTrend with dozens of other indicators plus the predictive "Stones" of Stonehenge, you'll be in Trader's Heaven.
That's it. Get "SMART" Today!
STONEHENGE PLUS:
The Complete SuperTrend Trading Toolkit
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SUPER SMART SUPERTREND ALSO WORKS WITH:
STONEHENGE BASIC: Double Stone Version (Study w/Alerts):
PLEASE HIT THE LIKE BUTTON (and follow me... lots of great stuff in the works!)
As always, I appreciate your support. Please share with others.
ENJOY!
Dan Hollings
Master Crypto Grid Trader
Stonehenge Master Mason
Host of the "High Leverage Lounge"
Please Explore My Other Indicators, Scripts, Grids and Educational Ideas.
@DanHollings on Tradingview.
Additional Links Below...
Blackbox (Backtesting version)Blackbox Backtest version is a script with 12 built-in indicators, a list of different conditions you can check/uncheck to enter and exit the market on specific points and 3 different strategies styles.
Use this script to backtest different strategies.
It can't be used to create alerts.
If you found a good strategy and you want to do set alerts too you have to switch to Blackbox Alert version. It's the same script but without the strategy part.
Indicators:
Chaikin Money Flow
Chaikin Money Flow
Chaikin Oscillator
Volume Oscillator
Ichimoku Baseline
SSL
William R%
RSI
Bollinger Bands
ROC
RSI probability (custom)
EMAs
Aroon
ATR
... new indicators very soon
Conditions
Check/uncheck different conditions from setting panel for both entries and exits.
Combine them to create complex strategies and alerts.
This list is constantly updated.
Data Range
Set a data range to backtest.
From Year, Month, Day, Hour, Minute to Year, Month, Day, Hour, Minute.
Order size/settings
ATR Period
TP Multiplier (Used for Take Profit = ATR*TP Multiplier strategies)
SL Multiplier (Used for Stop Loss = ATR*SL Multiplier strategies)
Pips_tp Set a fixed amount of pips for your Take Profit level
Pips_sl Set a fixed amount of pips for your Stop Loss level
Select a strategy style
ATR as TP/SL
Fixed TP/SL
With Exit conditions
Stop Loss for exit conditions
Last update: 13/02/2020
Bonsai BX (Backtester)In today's trading landscape, traders need precision and deep analytical tools to navigate the sea of strategies. The Bonsai Backtester is one such tool, meticulously designed to evaluate multiple trading strategies in an integrated manner.
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🌳 Bonsai BX 🌳 Universal Strategy Testing
📘 Overview
A product of collaboration with the Bonsai community, this backtester is both a reflection of collective insights and a means to provide traders with data-driven insights on TradingView.
📌 Current Backtest
• Dataset: BTCUSD daily candles from Coinbase, starting from March 2015.
• Source Signals: The Bonsai indicator signals are employed for both long and short entries. These are directly visible on the publication chart.
• Trading Assumptions:
• Initial Capital: $1,000
• Maximum Position Size: 10% of equity per trade
• Stop Loss: 10% per position
• Commission: 0.1%
• Slippage: 100 ticks (1.00)
🛠 Key Features
The Bonsai BX is equipped with a range of features aimed at providing traders with a more comprehensive analysis environment:
Features on Chart
• External Indicator Adaptability: Easily incorporate signals from both built-in and custom TradingView indicators.
• Snapshot Table: Delivers on-the-spot insights into crucial strategy performance metrics, including equity, open profit, position size, and entry price. While these details are available in TradingView's 'Performance Summary' panel, we've integrated them directly onto the chart for a more streamlined and accessible viewing experience.
• Trade Labels: Visualize profit metrics for individual trades directly on the chart, allowing for a more immediate grasp of trade outcomes.
• Long & Short Behaviors: Modify long behaviors to either open new long positions while closing short ones, or simply to close short positions. Conversely, for short behaviors, opt to either initiate new short positions while closing any active long ones or simply close long positions.
• Multiple Signals Integration: The tool can currently handle up to three different external signals for long and short trades.
• Condition-based Initiation: Define whether longs and shorts are triggered when 'All Conditions Met' or just 'Any Single Condition Met'. This flexibility allows for a more nuanced trading approach. For example, if you're using a trade signal alongside the RSI, you can specify that a long position should only open when the trade signal is active and the RSI is below 30 at the same time. This lets you combine multiple signals or conditions for more precise trade initiation.
• TP & SL Customization:
• Single TP: Set a specific Take Profit percentage.
• SL: Define a Stop Loss percentage and choose between a standard or trailing stop.
• Trail From: Specify the starting point of the trailing stop, be it the breakeven point or a certain percentage.
• Interface Theme: Users can select between light and dark themes for their interface.
Performance and Trailing
🎛 Using Bonsai BX
1. Add it to your TradingView chart.
2. Adjust script parameters and settings. Integrate external indicator signals as needed.
3. Activate the backtester to refine trading strategies.
Backtester Settings Menu
🪝 Webhook (Beta)
The Webhook functionality, now in beta, augments the Bonsai BX utility. This feature offers a more intuitive method for users to direct webhooks to trading bots, exchanges, and brokers. It simplifies the process by eliminating the need to adjust JSON structures or other payload formats, making alert automation more accessible.
📜 Feedback & Community
The feedback from the Bonsai community has been instrumental in the tool's development and will continue to shape its evolution. As part of our commitment to adaptive, smart trading, this script will continually be updated to meet the ever-changing requirements of traders.
❗️ Disclaimer
Backtesting tools, including the Bonsai BX , simulate trading strategies based on historical data. The following key points should be kept in mind:
1. Past Performance is Not Predictive: While backtesting can offer insights, it's essential to understand that past performance does not guarantee or predict future results. Historical data might not account for future market changes or unforeseen events.
2. External Influences: Market outcomes can be significantly influenced by various external factors like geopolitical events, economic announcements, and sudden shifts in market sentiment. Such factors are often not considered in backtesting simulations.
3. Market Dynamics: Elements like market volatility, liquidity constraints, and slippage can drastically alter expected outcomes. These dynamics might not always be accurately represented in backtest simulations.
4. Limitations of Simulated Trades: Backtesting operates under the assumption that historical trends and patterns will replicate. However, market conditions evolve, and what worked in the past might not necessarily be viable in the future.
5. Informed Decisions: Always base your trading decisions on a mix of comprehensive research, current market analysis, and risk assessment. Relying solely on backtested results can lead to misconstrued perceptions and potential pitfalls.
Trading involves risks, and it's crucial to be fully informed and cautious before making any investment decisions. Always consider seeking advice from financial experts or professionals when in doubt.
Logic Flow Signals & Backtest [bercutiatia]To understand the advanced logic of the tool, it is essential that you carefully read each topic and check the visual examples in this presentation.
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Who is the Logic Flow Signals & Backtest tool recommended for?
Ideal for traders looking to increase the reliability and level of their operations. Recommended for those who want to create rigorous confluences, validate strategies with backtesting, and transform emotional management into systematic and measurable processes.
How can the Logic Flow Signals & Backtest tool help me?
High-confidence signals! You combine TradingView indicators and create a single robust signal, eliminating the frustration of having to spend hours in front of the chart and still clicking at the wrong time. This ensures that your entry is validated by logic, not emotional impulse.
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Logic Flow Signals & Backtest is a versatile and powerful tool designed to test and validate your trading ideas with indicators from the TradingView community.
Extreme flexibility: Allows you to combine indicators available on TradingView (EMAs, RSI, MACD, SMC, etc.) to create custom entry and exit logics.
Sequential Logic: Goes far beyond simple crossovers. You can define rules where signal A must occur before signal B — and, if desired, before signal C or D — to validate an entry. Add time, order, and context filters, creating truly intelligent sequential logic that generates a single final alert only when all conditions align.
With Stages (Stage 1, Stage 2, etc.), your entries follow the exact sequence you define. And the best part: you no longer need to spend hours in front of the chart waiting for confluences. Simply set up your stages once, create an alert in TradingView, and the system will automatically notify you when the ideal combination of signals occurs.
Sequence Invalidation: Offers the option to define conditions that, if they occur, immediately cancel an ongoing entry sequence, helping to avoid entries in unfavorable scenarios.
Explaining the first image example (chart below):
LONG INDICATOR 1 (Stage 1): The market confirms a change in character (CHoCH Bullish). The system enters an alert state awaiting the confluence of the next indicators.
LONG INDICATOR 2 and 3 (Stage 2): Entry is only released when the SMA17 crosses above the SMA72 (indicator 2), but with one condition: The SMA72 must be ABOVE the SMA305 (indicator 3); Without this alignment of indicator 3, the signal of indicator 2 does not occur.
LONG INDICATOR 4 (Invalidation Rule): If at any point in the sequence the SMA72 crosses below the SMA305, the setup is immediately canceled and no entry signal is generated. The sequence restarts with indicator 1.
EXIT LONG (Hybrid Exit TP + SIGNAL): The trade seeks a TP target of 1000 ticks, but has a technical "Trailing Stop": if the trend reverses (Exit Long Indicator 1 = SMA72 crosses below the SMA305) before the target, the position is closed to protect capital.
SHORT INDICATOR 1 (Stage 1): Identification of weakness in the market with a Bearish CHoCH.
SHORT INDICATOR 2 and 3 (Stage 2): Entry is only released when the SMA17 crosses below the SMA72 (indicator 2), but with a strict condition: The SMA72 must be BELOW the SMA305 (indicator 3); Without this STATE of indicator 3, the signal from indicator 2 does not occur.
SHORT INDICATOR 4 (Invalidation Rule): If at any point in the sequence the SMA72 crosses above the SMA305, the setup is immediately canceled and no entry signal is generated. The sequence starts again with indicator 1.
EXIT SHORT (Hybrid Exit TP + SIGNAL): The trade seeks a target of 1000 ticks, but has a technical "Trailing Stop": if the downtrend reverses (Exit Short Indicator 1 = SMA72 crosses above the SMA305) before the target, the position is closed to protect capital.
In this strategy, we use the external indicators: Multiple MTF MA and Smart Money Concepts (Advanced)
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Stage Duration: In STAGE DURATION , you control the maximum time (in candles) allowed for each transition between stages to occur. If the time limit expires before the next stage is reached, the sequence is reset. Keep it at 0 to disable the time limit.
The "Stage Duration" function is available in four separate blocks on the settings panel:
- LONG - STAGE DURATION: Controls the time limit (in candles) between Long entry stages (for example from Stage 1 to Stage 2).
- LONG EXIT - STAGE DURATION: Controls the time limit between Long exit stages.
- SHORT - STAGE DURATION: Controls the time limit between Short entry stages.
- SHORT EXIT - STAGE DURATION: Controls the time limit between Short exit stages.
Explaining the second image example (chart below):
Stage 1 (INDICATOR 1): New Fair Value Gap (FVG) Bullish Confirmed.
- Meaning: The move starts with a bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap), indicating a confirmed imbalance where buyers were much more aggressive than sellers.
Stage 2 (INDICATOR 2): EMA10 crossing above the EMA50.
- Meaning: Immediately after the FVG trigger, the fast moving average (10 periods) crosses the intermediate moving average (50 periods). This confirms that the initial FVG impulse was not an isolated event but the beginning of a short-term trend.
Stage 3: In this final stage, we require two simultaneous confirmations to validate the entry:
- INDICATOR 3: The EMA10 crosses above the EMA100, indicating that the movement has enough strength to break through larger barriers.
- INDICATOR 4: The RSI must be above its own moving average (SMA14). This ensures the asset is gaining momentum at the exact moment the averages are broken, avoiding entries in "tired" markets.
Stage Duration: The most important feature of this setup is the restricted time window.
- Rule: From Stage 1 to 2, and from Stage 2 to 3, the maximum interval to accept confluences is only 3 candles.
- Why this is vital? If the market took 20 candles to align these conditions, it would indicate weakness or indecision. By demanding that everything happens within a maximum of 3 candles per step, the setup filters only the moves where buying pressure is urgent and aggressive, increasing the probability of an explosive move in favor of the trade.
Asymmetric Risk Management: To complement a high-probability and high-pressure setup, we use aggressive risk management:
- Stop Loss (Technical/Short): 200 Ticks. If the buying pressure fails quickly, we exit early with a small loss.
- Take Profit (Long Target): 1000 Ticks. We aim to ride the impulse "leg" that the setup identified.
- Risk/Reward: 5:1. This means a single winning trade covers five losing trades, making the strategy mathematically viable in the long term.
In this strategy, we use the external indicators: Multiple MTF MA , Smart Money Concepts (Advanced) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) .
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Multiple Operating Modes
It is not limited to sequences. It can operate by confluence (where all signals must be valid at the same time), by single trigger (only one signal is required), or by "OR" logic (any one of the defined signals).
- If you use only Stage 1 in more than one indicator session, the entry will only occur if all enabled conditions are true simultaneously.
- Any condition defined as OR can trigger the entry by itself.
- If only one condition block is enabled, the single indicator will function as a simple signal.
Multiple and Simultaneous Exits
It allows for the configuration of exits by both indicators and TP/SL targets. The strategy will close the trade as soon as any of these conditions are met first (indicator signal, profit target, or loss limit
Integrated Risk Management
It includes Stop Loss and Take Profit exits by percentage and ticks, which are easy to configure and essential for risk management. The strategy calculates the exact TP and SL prices based on your entry price and monitors the market on every tick.
Explaining the Third Image Example (Chart Below)
The move was validated by a 4-step logical sequence (Stage 1) and managed by a hybrid exit system.
Short Indicator 1, 2, and 3: The price (Close) crossed below the SMA200, SMA72, and SMA17 averages simultaneously.
- What this means: When a single candle has the strength to break below the short-term (17), mid-term (72), and long-term (200) averages, it indicates a high probability for the price to seek lower levels.
To reinforce Indicators 1 through 3, we added an extra layer of confirmation.
Short Indicator 4: The Positive Volume Index (PVI) needed to be below its own long-term average (EMA300).
- Why this is important: PVI below the average confirms that selling volume is dominant, validating that the break of the averages was not just noise.
Triple Exit Management (Maximum Security)
The great advantage of this tool is the ability to manage risk dynamically. In this trade, we configured three simultaneous exit conditions, where the first one to be met closes the position:
1. Financial Target (TP): A fixed Take Profit of 15%.
2. Exit Short Indicator 1 (Technical Exit 1): If the average (SMA72) crosses above the average (SMA200), the trade is closed.
3. Exit Short Indicator 2 (Technical Exit 2): If the PVI crosses above the EMA300, indicating an entry of buying strength, the trade is closed.
"OR" Logic: The tool monitors these conditions in real-time. Whichever occurs first triggers the exit, ensuring you lock in profit (TP) or protect your capital at the first sign from the indicators.
In this strategy, we use the external indicators: Multiple MTF MA and Positive Volume Index .
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Reversal Mode (Stop and Reverse)
The Reversal Mode (Stop and Reverse) allows a new signal in the opposite direction (e.g., a SELL signal) to automatically close an existing position (e.g., BUY) and open a new one (sell). This "stop and reverse" function can be enabled or disabled in the settings, giving you full control over whether the strategy should only exit (awaiting a new signal) or immediately reverse the position.
Explaining the Fourth Image Example (Chart Below)
In this example, we demonstrate a setup focused on capturing every market "flip," keeping the trader positioned 100% of the time ("Always-in"), a technique widely used in automation.
- Long Entry: Occurs immediately upon confirming a bullish change of character (New CHoCH Bullish).
- Short Entry: Occurs immediately upon confirming a bearish change of character (New CHoCH Bearish).
- Exit (The Differentiator): We are not using fixed TP or SL here. The exit is triggered by Automatic Reversal.
The Power of "Exit by Opposite Signal"
Notice the labels on the chart: "Close Short" followed immediately by a "Long." This happens because the Allow Reversal function is enabled in the tool's settings.
When the market generates a buy signal, the tool understands that the sell thesis has been invalidated. It simultaneously sends an order to close the Short position and open a new Long position.
When to use this exit rule?
- Capturing Long Trends / Directional Movements: Ideal for volatile assets where you want to ride the trend until the market structure effectively changes.
- Operational Simplification: Eliminates the need to guess profit targets and acts as a loss limiter when the price moves against your position. The market dictates when to enter and when to exit.
Hybrid Flexibility:
The strongest point of Logic Flow is that you don't have to choose just one method. Reversal can be used in two ways:
1. Individually (as in the image): Reversal is the only form of exit. You stay in the move until the opposite signal.
2. Combined (Hybrid): You can enable Reversal and configure a safety Stop Loss + technical Take Profit (Exit Long/Short Indicator).
- Example: If the price hits your TP/SL first, you exit. If the market turns before the TP, the Reversal takes you out of the trade and generates a new trend alert.
In this strategy, we use the external indicators: Smart Money Concepts .
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Backtesting: Far beyond creating logic and generating signals, Logic Flow Signals stands out due to its Integrated Backtest.
Backtesting serves as a reality check for the trader. It takes the strategy out of the realm of "imagination" and puts it to the test against historical data.
Here are the 4 main practical uses:
1. Verifying Feasibility (Proof of Concept): The most obvious use is to answer: "Does this idea make money?". Many strategies look visually perfect on the chart, but when you run the backtest, you discover that brokerage fees or frequent "stops" consume all the profit.
2. Knowing the "Worst-Case Scenario" (Drawdown): Maximum Drawdown: It shows you what the largest accumulated drop the strategy has ever experienced was. By identifying a Drawdown that exceeds the desired risk tolerance, the backtest allows for parameter optimization in search of a more efficient balance between risk and return.
3. Fine-Tuning (Optimization): It allows you to make changes such as: Increasing the profit target, changing the stop, removing an indicator, changing the chart timeframe, among other actions. You can test various variations instantly to find the most efficient configuration.
4. Expectation Management and Discipline: Backtesting does not eliminate fear nor guarantee that the future will repeat the past, but it serves as a reference map.
The Real Role: Aligning expectation with reality.
In the image below, you can check out how a backtest result is generated:
To understand the backtest results shown above, check the chart and the detailed operational logic below:
This operational example seeks to identify altcoins that are demonstrating an explosive decorrelation relative to Bitcoin. The logic is: we want to buy only the assets that are outperforming the market leader, precisely at the moment when speculative money (Open Interest) heavily enters the market.
For the buy signal (Long) to be triggered, three conditions must be simultaneously true (Stage 1):
Long Indicator 1 (Altcoin Strength): The asset's RSI must be above the 70 level (Overbought), indicating extremely strong bullish momentum.
Long Indicator 2 (Bitcoin Weakness): Bitcoin's RSI must be below the 50 level. This confirms that the Altcoin's rally is genuine and independent.
Long Indicator 3 (Money Flow): The Open Interest (open contracts) must be above the Extreme level of the OI DELTA indicator. This validates that new money is aggressively entering the asset to sustain the rally.
Risk Management: In this example, we configured an aggressive target to capture the altcoin volatility:
- Take Profit: 100%
- Stop Loss: 20%
- Risk/Reward: 5:1
In this strategy, we use the external indicators: RSI Crypto Strength (Asset vs BTC) and Open Interest Delta .
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Configuring an Indicator Block
Each block (BUY INDICATOR 1, BUY INDICATOR 2, ...) allows you to define a complete condition.
- Enable (Activate): Simply turns this indicator block on or off.
- Source A: The first value you want to analyze.
example: The Closing Price (Close), Opening Price (Open), or another TradingView indicator.
- Condition: How 'Source A' will be compared.
example: Crossover/Crossunder, Greater Than, Less Than, Cross Up.
- Comparison Type: The option that defines whether you will compare 'Source A' with a fixed number or with another indicator.
- Fixed Value: Used if you selected "Fixed Value".
example: For an RSI greater than 70 condition, Source A would be the RSI, the Condition would be Greater Than, and the Fixed Value would be 70.
- Source B: Used if you selected "Source B".
example: For a condition where the EMA10 crosses above the EMA200, Source A would be the EMA10, the Condition would be 'Cross Up', and Source B would be the EMA200.
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Configurable Alert Signals
Configurable Alert Signals: The tool allows for the creation of fully customized alerts for different types of events, such as entries, signal-based exits, take profit, and stop loss. These alerts can be used for both strategy automation and manual, real-time notifications.
The message field is highly flexible: it accepts dynamic placeholders, JSON structure, UUID identifiers, or any custom text, allowing integration with other external tools and systems via webhook.
Configuring Your Messages:
- LONG/SHORT - ALERTS: Defines the message for new entries.
- LONG/SHORT INDICATOR EXIT - ALERTS: Defines the message for signal-based exits (e.g., moving average cross).
- REVERSAL - ALERTS: Defines the message for when a position is closed by an opposite signal (stop-and-reverse).
- LONG/SHORT TP/SL EXIT - ALERTS: Defines the message for exits triggered by take profit (TP) or stop loss (SL), via percentage or ticks.
A Single Alert to Control Everything
You don't need to create separate alerts for "Buy," "Sell," or "Exits." On a single screen, you can create strategies by defining entries, signal-based exits, profit targets, or stop limits.
Alert Times (Operating Window)
In the Alert Times section, you can define a specific time (and time zone) for the strategy to generate entry or exit signals.
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To create your alert, simply follow these steps:
- Condition: Select the script name: "Logic Flow Signals & Backtest".
- Message: Insert only the placeholder: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Once this single alert is active, it will "listen" to all orders executed by the strategy.
This means you can have your Long-Term, Short-Term, Signal-Based Exits, and TP/SL strategies active simultaneously. When any of these events are plotted on the chart, the script will send the customized message (which you wrote in the fields) to your single alert.
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Advanced period filters: Allow you to test the strategy in specific date ranges, over the last X days, or over the last X bars, facilitating performance analysis in different market environments.
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Status Panel: Displays a clear summary of all active rules and settings directly on the chart, facilitating the visualization and confirmation of the running logic.
Additionally, it has a settings box where you can activate or deactivate the panel, choose its position (such as at the bottom or side), and adjust its size.
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The Thumbnail strategy uses the following external indicators: Multiple MTF MA and Breakout Finder .
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Final Considerations:
The Logic Flow Signals & Backtest tool is a versatile and powerful system, designed to test and apply trading ideas based on multiple indicators from TradingView.
Its differential is being a customization environment: the script does not have integrated graphical indicators, as the objective is precisely to allow the user to combine and integrate multiple existing indicators in the TradingView community to build unique entry and exit logics.
It offers flexibility and precision, but the true value emerges when the trader integrates the tool into a consistent trading plan, with efficient risk management (Stop Loss and Take Profit), leverage control, and a professional mindset.
Important: Risk of Repainting (Unstable Data): Avoid indicators that 'repaint' (those that change their values in past bars after the closing of new candles). The backtest will be invalidated, and the actual performance of the strategy will fail.
Legal Warning and Didactic Purpose:
It is fundamental to understand that all visual examples, charts, and texts contained in this description do not constitute financial advice, buy or sell recommendations, nor a promise of easy or guaranteed gains.
This is an advanced support tool, not an automatic profit system. Use the integrated backtesting to evaluate the historical behavior of strategies before real execution and understand how different market conditions impact your results. The sole purpose of this material is to demonstrate the logical and execution capacity of the script, serving as a didactic guide for you to test and validate your own ideas.
Conclusion and Risk Warning:
Success in financial markets comes not only from a set of charting indicators, but from the trader's understanding, practice, and discipline. Our objective is to provide a robust, customizable, and intuitive solution, created to enhance your technical analysis and broaden your strategic vision, without replacing critical thinking and conscious decision-making.
Finally, remember: past results do not guarantee future performance. The real differentiator lies in continuous learning, testing, and evolution.
FreedX Backtest Plus█ Our new FreedX Backtest PLUS template enhances TradingView backtesting with smart features like Mean Reversion, Flexible Volatility, Liquidation Filter, and Better Trend Filtering, making strategies more effective. It lets users set up automated alerts easily. This guide explains how to make the most of these improved features.
The Trading Date Settings feature in our TradingView script allows you to refine their backtesting parameters by specifying trading dates and hours. This feature enhances the accuracy of the backtest by aligning it with specific time frames and days, ensuring that the strategy is tested under relevant market conditions.
Features:
⚙️ Enable Trading Between Specific Dates:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Allows you to limit the backtesting of their strategy to a specific date range.
💡 How to Use:
→ Input the Start Date and End Date for the backtest period.
→ The script will execute the strategy only within this specified date range.
⚙️ Enable Trading Between Specific Hours:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Allows you to limit the backtesting of their strategy to a specific hour range.
💡 How to Use:
→ Input the start and end hour for in Trading Session section.
→ The script will execute the strategy only within this specified hour range.
⚙️ Enable Trading on Specified Days of the Week:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Gives you the option to conduct backtesting on selected days of the week, tailoring the strategy to particular market behaviours that may occur on these days.
💡 How to Use:
→ Select the days of the week for the backtest.
→ The script will activate the trading strategy only on these chosen days.
█ BUY/SELL TRIGGER SETTINGS
The Buy/Sell Trigger Settings feature is designed to provide users with flexibility in defining the conditions for 'LONG' and 'SHORT' signals based on various indicator types. This customization is crucial for tailoring strategies to different trading styles and market conditions.
Features:
⚙️ Single-Line Plotted Indicators :
🎯 Purpose:
→ Enables you to select a single-line plotted indicator as a source for backtesting. You can define specific levels to trigger 'LONG' or 'SHORT' signals.
💡 How to Use:
→ Choose a Single-Line Plotted indicator as the source.
→ Set the top and bottom levels for the indicator.
→ The script triggers 'LONG' signals at the bottom level and 'SHORT' signals at the top level.
⚙️ Two-Line Plotted Indicators :
🎯 Purpose:
→ Allows backtesting with two-line cross plot sources. Signals are generated based on the crossover of these lines.
💡 How to Use:
→ Select two lines as 'Source 1' and 'Source 2' for the indicator.
→ The script triggers a 'LONG' signal when 'Source 1' crosses above 'Source 2'.
→ Conversely, a 'SHORT' signal is triggered when 'Source 2' crosses above 'Source 1'.
⚙️ Custom Signals :
🎯 Purpose:
→ This setting enables users to define their own criteria for LONG, SHORT, and CLOSE signals based on custom indicator outputs.
💡 How to Use:
→ Select the custom source for your signals.
→ Define the output values that correspond to each signal type (e.g., “1” for 'LONG', “-1” for SHORT, and “0” for CLOSE).
→ The script will trigger signals according to these custom-defined values.
█ TP/SL SETTINGS
The TP/SL (Take Profit/Stop Loss) Settings feature is designed to give users control over their profit securing and risk mitigation strategies. This feature allows for setting custom TP and SL levels, which can be critical in managing trades effectively.
Features:
Custom TP/SL Levels for Long/Short Signals:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Enables users to set specific percentage levels for Take Profit and Stop Loss on long and short signals.
💡 How to Use:
→ In the TP/SL Settings, input the desired percentage for Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL).
→ For example, to secure a profit at a 10% price increase on LONG signals, set the “Long TP Percentage” to “10”.
█ STRATEGY SETTINGS
Strategy Settings provide a range of options to customize the trading strategy. These settings include leverage, position direction changes, and more, allowing users to tailor their strategy to their risk tolerance and market view.
Features:
⚙️ Enable Reverse Position:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Automatically closes a current position and opens a new one in the opposite direction upon detecting a signal for a market trend change.
🎯 Example:
→ If a LONG signal is received while in a SHORT position, the script will close the SHORT position and open a LONG position.
💡 How to Use:
→ Activate this feature in the Strategy Settings.
⚙️ Enable Spot Mode:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Disables short orders, using short signals only for closing long positions.
💡 How to Use:
→ Select the 'Spot Mode' option in the Strategy Settings.
⚙️ Enable Invert Signals:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Inverts all indicator signals, changing LONG signals to SHORT and vice versa.
💡 How to Use:
→ Opt for the 'Invert Signals' feature in the Strategy Settings.
⚙️ Enable Trailing Stop:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Triggers a trailing stop order on the exchange instead of a standard stop market order.
☢️ Caution:
→ The backtesting of this feature on TradingView may not accurately reflect actual strategy performance due to discrepancies between TradingView and exchange mechanisms.
💡 How to Use:
→ Select 'Trailing Stop' in the Strategy Settings.
⚙️ Enable Realistic TP & SL:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Goal is protect the user from unrealistic stop loss and take profit prices in live exchange trading conditions.
→ That feature continuously checks the take profit, stop loss and move stop loss prices to prevent unrealistic values. It changes their values according to (minimum realistic percent %)
💡 How to Use:
→ Select 'Enable Realistic TP & SL' in the Strategy Settings. Write min allowed percents.
█ LIMITER SETTINGS
Limiter Settings provide a range of options to customize the trading strategy. These settings include drawdown limits,contract limit, tradable ratio, for allowing users to tailor their strategy to their risk tolerance and market view.
⚙️ Leverage :
🎯 Purpose:
→ Allows users to apply leverage to their trades.
☢️ Caution:
→ High leverage can significantly increase the risk of liquidation.
→ High leverage and a high stop-loss price may override your fixed stoploss percentage, adjusting the stop-loss to the liquidation price.
💡 How to Use:
→ Set the desired leverage ratio in the Strategy Settings.
⚙️ Drawdown Limit:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Sets a maximum drawdown limit, automatically halting the strategy if this limit is reached, thereby controlling risk.
💡 How to Use:
→ Input the maximum drawdown limit (default: 100, min: 0, max: 100).
⚙️ Contract Limit:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Sets a maximum contract limit, beyond which the compound effect cannot be used. This is important to prevent market manipulation through large-volume orders.
💡 How to Use:
→ Input the maximum contract limit (min: 0).
⚙️ Tradable Ratio:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Sets a tradable ratio, it uses that ratio calculating entry cost for position. Main purpose is cash-out and cash-in according to balance change.
💡 How to Use:
→ Input the tradable ratio percent (default: 98, min: 0.1, max: 100).
█ CASH-OUT SETTINGS
Cash-Out Settings offer a money-saving mechanism that prevents entering positions with the entire balance due to cashed-out funds. It functions with a webhook alerts, but the 'Override Allocation %' option must be enabled.
⚙️ Cash-out Threshold %:
🎯 Purpose:
→ It is cash-out mechanism, it saves money with a target threshold.
💡 How to Use:
→ Input the threshold (min: 0).
⚙️ Cash-out Per Profitable Trades %:
🎯 Purpose:
→ It is cash-out mechanism, it saves money from every trade with a percent like commission.
💡 How to Use:
→ Input save percent% (min: 0).
█ ADAPTIVE VOLATILITY STRATEGY SETTINGS
Advanced Strategy Settings offer sophisticated methods for managing Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) using the Average True Range (ATR). These settings are ideal for traders who want to incorporate volatility into their exit strategies.
Features:
⚙️ Enable ATR Stop Loss:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Automatically sets the Stop Loss price using the Average True Range at the time of entry.
💡 How to Use:
→ Activate 'ATR Stop Loss' to have the SL price calculated based on the current ATR.
⛓ Enable ATR Trailing Stop:
→ Dynamically updates the Stop Loss price with each new bar, according to the Average True Range.
→ Activate 'ATR Trailing Stop'.
→ Set the ATR Period to define the number of bars for ATR calculation.
→ Adjust the ATR SL Multiplier to determine the stop loss distance.
→ Modify the ATR TP Multiplier for setting the take profit distance.
⚙️ Enable ATR Take Profit:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Sets the Take Profit price based on the Average True Range at the time of entry.
💡 How to Use:
→ Choose 'ATR Take Profit' for TP price determination using ATR.
⚙️ Enable ATR Limit Entry:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Trade can not open in candle close price. Price should hit target price that based on average true range value.
💡 How to Use:
→ Choose 'ATR Limit Entry' for entry price determination using ATR.
⛓ Enable ATR Limit Entry Trailing Price:
→ Dynamically updates the entry price with each new bar, according to the Average True Range.
→ Activate 'ATR Limit Entry Trailing Price'.
→ Set the ATR Period to define the number of bars for ATR calculation.
→ Adjust the ATR SL Multiplier to determine the stop loss distance.
→ Modify the ATR TP Multiplier for setting the take profit distance.
█ TREND FILTERING SETTINGS
Trend Filtering Settings are designed to align trading strategies with the prevailing market trend, enhancing the precision of trade entries and exits. These settings utilize moving averages for trend analysis and decision-making.
Features:
⚙️ Enable Moving Average Filtering:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Limits trades based on moving average trends, blocking short trades in an uptrend and vice versa.
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'Trend Filtering'.
→ Set Fast and Slow MA Lengths for trend analysis.
→ Select the Timeframe for moving averages.
→ Choose the Moving Average Type for trend filtering.
🎯 Note:
→ Be cautious with timeframe selections; lower timeframes than the base may cause inconsistencies.
⛓ Exit on Trend Reversal:
→ Automatically closes a position when a market trend reversal is detected.
→ Turn on 'Exit on Trend Reversal' in the settings.
⛓ Ignore Counter Signals:
→ Ignores counter signals during trending market way.
→ If the trend way is long. All short signals will ignore and vice versa.
⛓ Enable Drawing On Chart:
→ Visually represents the trend filter directly on the chart for easy reference.
→ Activate 'Drawing On Chart' to see the trend filter overlaid on the trading chart.
⚙️ Enable Adx Filtering:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Limits trades based on adx value, blocking trades if trend strength is not enough or vice versa for invert mode.
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'Adx Filtering'.
→ Set Smoothing and Lengths for adx trend analysis.
→ Select level barrier for trend strength.
⚙️ Enable Custom Filtering:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Limits trades based on custom sources, blocking trades according to custom trades.
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'Custom Filtering'.
→ Select fast source.
→ Select slow source.
→ Enable lag mode.
█ MEAN REVERSION FILTERING SETTINGS
Mean Reversion Filtering Settings are designed to align trading strategies during accumulation market conditions. They set a distance from a line to permit trading. The purpose is to ensure that when the price strays too far from the mean line, it should revert back. In accumulation markets, price movements are generally horizontal. In such situations, mean reversion will operate like a grid, enabling profitable trades with low drawdown. However, when the market structure begins to trend, mean reversion filters may not be as profitable as in accumulation markets. For instance, let's say the price is rising and we are shorting the market until it reaches the mean price line. As the price goes up and the mean also rises, we will end up closing the position at a higher price, rendering the mean reversion system non-profitable. Therefore, consider this filter wisely; greater distances might work better in trending markets.
Features:
⚙️ Enable Kairi Filter:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Blocks trades based on distance percent between price and moving average.
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'Kairi Filter'.
→ Set Length and Distance Percent.
⛓ Enable Trend Drawing On Chart:
→ Visually represents the trend filter directly on the chart for easy reference.
→ Enable 'Drawing On Chart' to see the allowed regions overlaid on the trading chart with arrows.
⚙️ Enable VWAP Filter:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Blocks trades based on distance percent between price and volume weighted average price.
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'VWAP Filter'.
→ Set Timeframe as minutes and distance as percent.
⛓ Exit on Crossing with VWAP:
→ Automatically closes a position when the closing price of a candle crosses the VWAP.
→ Choose "Enable", 'Exit on Crossing with VWAP' in the settings.
⛓ Enable Drawing On Chart:
→ Visually represents the trend filter directly on the chart for easy reference.
→ Enable 'Drawing On Chart' to see the allowed regions overlaid on the trading chart with arrows.
█ LIQUIDATION FILTER SETTINGS
Liquidation filter compares the volume data of futures and spot markets.
Large differences in volume indicate unexpected market conditions, such as massive trading activities, which may signal liquidations.
Features:
⚙️ Enable Liquidation Filter:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Blocks trades based on extra ordinary volume differences in spot and futures market.
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'Liquidation Filter'.
→ Set behavior to react during that market conditions.
→ Set base amount to filter volume. This amount changes according to timeframe, you should find right amounts.
→ Liquidation candle count means, it is sum of liquidated candle count in last 20 bars.If you set 0, it means feature is disabled.
→ Detection, try to select the spot and perpetual symbols automatically, symbol names varies, it do not support all symbols, you should choose manually in that situation.
█ AUTOMATED ALERT SETTINGS
Automated Alert Settings are designed to integrate your TradingView script with webhook alerts. These settings allow for enhanced strategy execution and management.
Features:
Enable Webhook Alerts:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Trigger BUY, SELL, CHANGE_DIRECTION or MOVE_STOP_LOSS .
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'Webhook Alerts' in the settings.
→ Enter your Strategy Key.
→ Optionally, activate 'Override Allocation Percentage' to bypass the preset allocation percentage.
☢️ Caution:
→ Overriding the allocation percentage may result in trade entry errors due to misalignment between entry cost and available balance.
Enable Custom Alerts:
🎯 Purpose:
→ User can produce unique messages for different purposes.
💡 How to Use:
→ Enable 'Custom Alerts' in the settings.
→ Enter your message format type.
█ DEBUGGING SETTINGS
Debugging Settings are crucial for users who want to analyze and optimize their strategies. These settings provide tools for visualizing alerts on charts and accessing detailed data outputs.
Features:
⚙️ Enable Alert Plotting:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Allows users to visualize trading alerts directly on the chart, aiding in strategy analysis and refinement.
💡 How to Use:
→ Activate 'Alert Plotting' to draw alerts on the chart.
☢️ Caution:
→ It is recommended to disable this feature when creating actual trading alerts, as it can cause latency in signal processing.
⚙️ Enable Debugger Mode:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Facilitates strategy debugging by providing detailed data output in the TradingView Data Window.
💡 How to Use:
→ Turn on 'Debugger Mode' to access real-time data and metrics relevant to your strategy.
⚙️ Enable Table:
🎯 Purpose:
→ Facilitates strategy debugging by providing detailed data output in the TradingView Table on chart.
💡 How to Use:
→ Turn on 'Table' to access last closed candle data and metrics relevant to your strategy.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
⚙️ Enable Bar Magnifier
⚙️ Enable Using standard OHLC
Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)💭 Overview
+ Title: Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)
+ Author: Iason Nikolas (jason5480)
+ License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0
💢 What is the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" (TTS) is a back-tester orchestration framework. It supercharges the implementation-test-evaluation lifecycle of new trading strategies, by making it possible to plug in your own trading idea.
While TTS offers a vast number of configuration settings, it primarily allows the trader to:
Test and evaluate your own trading logic that is described in terms of entry, exit, and cancellation conditions.
Define the entry and exit order types as well as their target prices when the limit, stop, or stop-limit order types are used.
Utilize a variety of options regarding the placement of the stop-loss and take-profit target(s) prices and support for well-known techniques like moving to breakeven and trailing.
Provide well-known quantity calculation methods to properly handle risk management and easily evaluate trading strategies and compare them.
Alert on each trading event or any related change through a robust and fully customizable messaging system.
All of the above makes TTS a practical toolkit: once you learn it, many repetitive tasks that strategy authors usually re-implement are eliminated. Using TradingView’s built-in backtesting engine makes testing and comparing ideas straightforward.
By utilizing the TTS one can easily swap "trading logic" by testing, evaluating, and comparing each trading idea and/or individual component of a strategy.
Finally, TTS, through its per-event alert management (and debugging) system, provides an automated solution that supports live trading with brokers via webhooks.
NOTE: The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" does not dictate how you can combine different indicator types. Thus, it should not be confused as a "Trading System", because it gives its user full flexibility on that end (for better or worse).
💢 What is a "Signal Indicator" ❓
"Signal Indicator" (SI) is an indicator that can output a "signal" that follows a specific convention so that the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" can "understand" and execute the orders accordingly. The SI realizes the core trading logic signaling to the TTS when to enter, exit, or cancel an order. A SI instructs the TTS "when" to enter or exit, and the TTS determines "how" to enter and exit the position once the Signal Indicator generates a signal.
A very simple example of a Signal Indicator might be a 200-day Simple Moving Average Signal. When the price of the security closes above the 200-day SMA, a SI would provide TTS with a "long entry signal". Once TTS receives the "long entry signal", the TTS will open a long position and send an alert or automated trade message via webhook to a broker, based on the Entry settings defined in TTS. If the TTS Entry settings specify a "Market" order type, then the open long position will be executed by TTS immediately. But if the TTS Entry settings specify a "Stop" order type with a 1% Stop Distance, then when the price of the security rises by 1% after the "long entry signal" occurs, the TTS will open a long position and the Long Entry alert or webhook to the broker will be sent.
🤔 How to Guide
💢 How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator" ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" was designed to receive external signals from a "Signal Indicator". In this way, a "new trading idea" can be developed, configured, and evaluated separately from the TTS. Similarly, the SI can be held constant, and the trading mechanics can change in the TTS settings and back-tested to answer questions such as, "Am I better with a different stop loss placement method, what if I used a limit order instead of a stop order to enter, what if I used 25% margin instead of trading spot market?"
To make that possible by connecting an external signal indicator to TTS, you should:
Add both your SI (e.g. "Two MA Signal Indicator" , "Click Signal Indicator" , "Signal Adapter" , "Signal Composer" ) and the TTS script to the same chart.
Open the script's Settings / Inputs dialog for the TTS.
In the 🛠️ STRATEGY group set 𝐃𝐞𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞 to 🔨External (this makes TTS listen to an external signal source).
Still inside 🛠️ STRATEGY locate the 🔌𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐚𝐥 🛈 input and choose the plotted output of your SI. The option should look like: "<SI short title>:🔌Signal to TTS" .
Verbose troubleshooting & tips
If the SI does not appear in the 🔌Signal 🛈 selector, confirm both scripts are added to the same chart and the SI exposes a plotted series (title often "🔌Signal to TTS").
When using multiple SIs, pick the SI instance that actually outputs the "🔌Signal to TTS" plotted series.
Validate on the chart: when your SI changes state, the plotted "🔌Signal" series in the TTS (visible in the data window) should change accordingly.
The TTS accepts only signals that follow the tts_convention DealConditions structure. Do not attempt to feed arbitrary scalar series without using conv.getDealConditions / conv.DealConditions.
Make sure your SI composes a DealConditions value following the TTS convention (startLong, endLong, startShort, endShort — optional cancel fields). See the template below.
If the plot is present but TTS does not react, ensure the SI plot is non-repainting (or accept realtime/backtest limitations). Test on historical bars first.
Create alerts on the strategy (see the Alerts section). Use the {{strategy.order.alert_message}} placeholder in the Create Alert dialog to forward TTS messages.
💢 How to create a custom trading logic ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" provides two ways to plug in your custom trading logic. Both of them have their advantages and disadvantages.
✍️ Develop your own Customized "Signal Indicator" 💥
The first approach is meant to be used for relatively more complex trading logic. The advantages of this approach are the full control and customization you have over the trading logic and the relatively simple configuration setup by having two scripts only. The downsides are that you have to have some experience with pinescript or you are willing to learn and experiment. You should also know the exact formula for every indicator you will use since you have to write it by yourself. Copy-pasting from existing open-source indicators will get you started quite fast though.
The idea here is either to create a new indicator script from scratch or to copy an existing non-signal indicator and make it a "Signal Indicator". To create a new script, press the "Pine Editor" button below the chart to open the "Pine Editor" and then press the "Open" button to open the drop-down menu with the templates. Select the "New Indicator" option. Add it to your chart to copy an existing indicator and press the source code {} button. Its source code will be shown in the "Pine Editor" with a warning on top stating that this is a read-only script. Press the "create a working copy". Now you can give a descriptive title and a short title to your script, and you can work on (or copy-paste) the (other) indicators of your interest. Once you have the information needed to decide, define a DealConditions object and plot it like this:
import jason5480/tts_convention/ as conv
// Calculate the start, end, cancel start, cancel end conditions
dealConditions = conv.DealConditions.new(
startLongDeal = ,
startShortDeal = ,
endLongDeal = ,
endShortDeal = ,
cnlStartLongDeal = ,
cnlStartShortDeal = ,
cnlEndLongDeal = ,
cnlEndShortDeal = )
// Use this signal in scripts like "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" and "Signal Composer" that can utilize its value
// Emit the current signal value according to the TTS framework convention
plot(series = conv.getSignal(dealConditions), title = '🔌Signal to TTS', color = #808000, editable = false, display = display.data_window + display.status_line, precision = 0)
You should import the latest version of the tts_convention library and write your deal conditions appropriately based on your trading logic and put them in the code section shown above by replacing the "…" part after "=". You can omit the conditions that are not relevant to your logic. For example, if you use only market orders for entering and exiting your positions the cnlStartLongDeal, cnlStartShortDeal, cnlEndLongDeal, and cnlEndShortDeal are irrelevant to your case and can be safely omitted from the DealConditions object. After successfully compiling your new custom SI script add it to the same chart with the TTS by pressing the "Add to chart" button. If all goes well, you will be able to connect your "signal" to the TTS as described in the "How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator"?" guide.
🧩 Adapt and Combine existing non-signal indicators 💥
The second approach is meant to be used for relatively simple trading logic. The advantages of this approach are the lack of pine script and coding experience needed and the fact that it can be used with closed-source indicators as long as the decision-making part is displayed as a line in the chart. The drawback is that you have to have a subscription that supports the "indicator on indicator" feature so you can connect the output of one indicator as an input to another indicator. Please check if your plan supports that feature here
To plug in your own logic that way you have to add your indicator(s) of preference in the chart and then add the "Signal Adapter" script in the same chart as well. This script is a "Signal Indicator" that can be used as a proxy to define your custom logic in the CONDITIONS group of the "Settings/Inputs" tab after defining your inputs from your preferred indicators in the VARIABLES group. Then a "signal" will be produced, if your logic is simple enough it can be directly connected to the TTS that is also added to the same chart for execution. Check the "How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator"?" in the "🤔 How to Guide" for more information.
If your logic is slightly more complicated, you can add a second "Signal Adapter" in your chart. Then you should add the "Signal Composer" in the same chart, go to the SIGNALS group of the "Settings/Inputs" tab, and connect the "signals" from the "Signal Adapters". "Signal Composer" is also a SI so its composed "signal" can be connected to the TTS the same way it is described in the "How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator"?" guide.
At this point, due to the composability of the framework, you can add an arbitrary number (bounded by your subscription of course) of "Signal Adapters" and "Signal Composers" before connecting the final "signal" to the TTS.
💢 How to set up ⏰Alerts ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" provides a fully customizable per-event alert mechanism. This means that you may have an entirely different message for entering and exiting into a position, hitting a stop-loss or a take-profit target, changing trailing targets, etc. There are no restrictions, and this gives you great flexibility.
First enable the events you want under the "🔔 ALERT MESSAGES" module. Each enabled event exposes a text area where you can craft the message using placeholders that TTS replaces with actual values when the event occurs.
The placeholder categories (exact names used by the script) are:
Chart & instrument:
{{ticker}}
{{base_currency}}
{{quote_currency}}
Entry / exit / stop / TP prices & offsets:
{{entry_price}}
{{exit_price}}
{{stop_loss_price}}
{{take_profit_price_1}} ... {{take_profit_price_5}}
{{entry+_price}}, {{entry-_price}}, {{exit+_price}}, {{exit-_price}} — Optional offset helpers (computed using "Offset Ticks")
Quantities, percents & derived quantities:
{{entry_base_quantity}} — base units at entry (e.g. BTC)
{{entry_quote_quantity}} — quote amount at entry (e.g. USD)
{{risk_perc}} — % of capital risked for that entry (multiplied by 100 when "Percentage Range " is enabled)
{{remaining_quantity_perc}} — % of the initial position remaining at close/SL
{{remaining_base_quantity}} — remaining base units at close/SL
{{take_profit_quantity_perc_1}} ... {{take_profit_quantity_perc_5}} — % sold/bought at each TP
{{take_profit_base_quantity_1}} ... {{take_profit_base_quantity_5}} — base units closed at each TP
❗ Important: the per-event alert text is injected into the Create Alert dialog using TradingView's strategy placeholder:
{{strategy.order.alert_message}}
During the creation of a strategy alert, make sure the placeholder {{strategy.order.alert_message}} exists in the "Message" box. TradingView will substitute the per-event text you configured and enabled in TTS Settings/Inputs before sending it via webhook/notification.
Tip: For webhook/broker execution, set the proper "Condition" in the Create Alert dialog (for changing-entry/exit/SL notifications use "Order fills and alert() function calls" or "alert() function calls only" as appropriate).
💢 How to execute my orders in a broker ❓
To execute your orders in a broker that supports webhook integration, you should enable the appropriate alerts in the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" first (see the "How to set up Alerts?" guide above). Then you should go to the "Create Alert/Notifications" tab check the "Webhook URL" and paste the URL provided by your broker. You have to read the documentation of your broker for more information on what messages are expected.
Keep in mind that some brokers have deep integration with TradingView so a per-event alert approach might be overkill.
📑 Definitions
This section tries to give some definitions in terms that appear in the "Settings/Inputs" tab of the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)"
💢 What is Trailing ❓
Trailing is a technique where a price target follows another "barrier" price (usually high or low) by trying to keep a maximum distance from the "barrier" when it moves in only one direction (up or down). When the "barrier" moves in the other direction the price target will not change. There are as many types of trailing as price targets, which means that there are entry trailing, exit trailing, stop-loss trailing, and take-profit trailing techniques.
💢 What is a Moonbag ❓
A Moonbag in a trade is the quantity of the position that is reserved and will not be exited even if all take-profit targets defined in the strategy are hit, the quantity will be exited only if the stop-loss is hit or a close signal is received. This makes the stop-loss trailing technique in a trend-following strategy a good candidate to take advantage of a Moonbag.
💢 What is Distance ❓
Distance is the difference between two prices.
💢 What is Bias ❓
Bias is a psychological phenomenon where you make decisions based on market sentiment. For example, when you want to enter a long position you have a long bias, and when you want to exit from the long position you have a short bias. It is the other way around for the short position.
💢 What is the Bias Distance of a price target ❓
The Bias Distance of a price target is the distance that the target will deviate from its initial price. The direction of this deviation depends on the bias of the market. For example, suppose you are in a long position, and you set a take-profit target to the local highest high. In that case, adding a bias distance of five ticks will place your take-profit target 5 ticks below this local highest high because you have a short bias when exiting a long position. When the bias is long the bias distance will be added resulting in a higher target price and when you have a short bias the bias distance will be subtracted.
⚙️ Settings
In the "Settings/Inputs" tab of the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)", you can find all the customizable settings that are provided by the framework. The variety of those settings is vast; hence we will only scratch the surface here. However, for every setting, there is an information icon 🛈 where you can learn more if you mouse over it. The "Settings/Inputs" tab is divided into ten main groups. Each one of them is responsible for one module of the framework. Every setting is part of a group that is named after the module it represents. So, to spot the module of a setting find the title that appears above it comes with an emoji and uppercase letters. Some settings might have the same name but belong to different modules e.g. "Tgt Dist Mtd" (Target Distance Method). Some settings are indented, which means that they are closely related to the non-indented setting above. Usually, indented settings provide further configuration for one or more options of the non-indented setting above. The groups that correspond to each module of the framework are the following:
🗺️ Quick Module Cross-Reference (use emojis to jump to setting groups)
📆 FILTERS — session, date & weekday filters
🛠️ STRATEGY — internal vs external deal-conditions; pick the signal source
🔧 STRATEGY – INTERNAL — built-in Two MA logic for demonstration purposes
🎢 VOLATILITY — ATR / StDev update modes
🔷 ENTRY — entry order types & trailing
🎯 TAKE PROFIT — multi-step TP and trailing rules
🛑 STOP LOSS — stop placement, move-to-breakeven, trailing
🟪 EXIT — exit order types & cancel logic
💰 QUANTITY/RISK MANAGEMENT — position sizing, moonbag, limits
📊 ANALYTICS — stats, streaks, seasonal tables
🔔 ALERT MESSAGES — per-event alert templates & placeholders
😲 Caveats
💢 Does "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" have repainting behavior? ❓
The answer is that the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" does not repaint as long as the "Signal Indicator" that is connected also does not repaint. If you developed your own SI make sure that you understand and know how to prevent this behavior. The publication by @PineCoders here will give you a good idea on how to avoid most of the repainting cases.
⚠️ There is an exception though, when the "Enable Trail⚠️💹" checkbox is checked, the Take Profit trailing feature is enabled, and a tick-based approach is used, meaning that after a while, when the TradingView discards all the real-time data, assumptions will be made by the backtesting engine that will cause a form of repainting. To avoid making false assumptions please disable this feature in the early stages and evaluate its usefulness in your strategy later on, after first confirming the success of the logic without this feature. In this case, consider turning on the bar magnifier feature. This way you will get more accurate backtest results when the Take Profit trailing feature is enabled.
💢 Can "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" satisfy all my trading strategies ❓
While this framework can satisfy quite a large number of trading strategies there are cases where it cannot do so. For example, if you have a custom logic for your stop-loss or take-profit placement, or if you want to dollar cost average, then it might be better to start a new strategy script from scratch.
⚠️ It is not recommended to copy the official TTS code and start developing unless you are a Pine wizard! Even in that case, there is a stiff learning curve that might not be worth your time. Last, you must consider that I do not offer support for customized versions of the TTS script and if something goes wrong in the process you are all alone.
💝 Support & Feedback
For feedback, bug reports, or feature requests, contact me via TradingView PM or use the script comments.
Note: The author's personal links and contact are available on the TradingView profile.
🤗 Thanks
Special thanks to the welcoming community members, who regularly gave feedback all those years and helped me to shape the framework as it is today! Thanks everyone who contributed by either filing a "defect report" or asking questions that helped me to understand what improvements were necessary to help traders.
Enjoy!
Jason
MMI Auto Backtesting StrategyDescription:
A strategy based on ATR with auto-backtesting capabilities, Take Profit and Stop Loss (either Normal or Trailing). It allows you to select ranges of values and step for each parameter, and backtest the strategy on a multitude of input combinations at once. You can alternatively use a constant value for each parameter. The backtesting results strive to be as close as possible to those given by Tradingview Strategy Tester.
The strategy displays a table with results for different input combinations. This has columns showing current input combination as well as the following stats: Net Profit, Number of trades, % of Profitable trades, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown, Max Runup, Average Trade and Average number of bars in a trade.
You can sort the table by any column (including sorting by multiple columns at the same time) to find, for example, input combination that gives highest Net Profit (or, if sorting by multiple columns, to find input combination with the best balance of Net Profit and % of Profitable trades). You can filter by any column as well (or multiple columns at the same time), using logical expressions like "< value", "> value", "<= value", ">= value". And you can use logical expressions like "< value%" for Net Profit, Max Drawdown, Max Runup and Average trade to filter by percentage value. You will see a "↓" symbol in column's header if that column is sorted from Highest to Lowest, a "↑" symbol if it's sorted from Lowest to Highest and a "𐕢" symbol if that column is being filtered.
The table has customisable styles (like text color, background color of cells, etc.), and can show the total number of backtested combinations with the time taken to test them. You can also change Initial Capital and Position Size (either Contracts, Currency or % of Equity).
Parameters:
The following parameters are located in the "INPUTS (USUAL STRATEGY)" group, and control the behaviour of strategy itself (not the auto-backtesting functionality):
- Period: ATR Length
- Multiplier: ATR Multiplier
- DPO: length of the filtering moving average
- SL: stop loss
- TP: take profit
- Use Stop Loss: enable stop loss
- Stop Loss Mode: stop loss mode (either Normal or Trailing)
- Use Take Profit: enable take profit
- Wicks: use high & low price, or close price
The strategy also has various parameters separated by different groups:
- INPUTS (AUTO-BACKTESTING): has the same parameters as the "INPUTS (USUAL STRATEGY)" group, but controls the input combinations for auto-backtesting; all the numeric parameters have 3 values: F/V (from), T (to) and S (step); if the checkbox to the left of F/V parameter is off, the value of F/V will indicate the constant value used for that parameter (if the checkbox is on, the values will be from F/V to T using step S)
- STRATEGY: contains strategy related parameters like Initial Capital and Position Size
- BACKTESTING: allows you to display either Percentage, Absolute or Both values in the table and has checkboxes that allow you to exclude certain columns from the table
- SORTING: allows you to select sorting mode (Highest to Lowest or vice versa) and has checkboxes in case you want to sort by multiple columns at the same time
- FILTERING: has a text field for each column of the strategy where you can type logical expressions to filter the values
- TABLE: contains styling parameters
Many parameters have the "(i)" description marker, so hover over it to see more details.
Problems:
- The script works best on lower timeframes and continuous markets (trades 24/7), in other cases the backtesting results may vary from those that Tradingview shows
- The script shows closest results when Take Profit and Stop Loss are not used
- Max Runup percentage value is often wrong
Limitations:
- As we are limited by the maximum time a script can be running (which is 20s for Free plan and 40s for Paid plans), we can only backtest several hundreds of combinations within that timeframe (though it depends on the parameters, market and timeframe of the chart you use)
TTP Gavin's DCA BacktestPurpose:
The DCA Backtest script was designed to backtest the performance of any indicator using DCA bots.
"Open Deal ASAP" Deal Start Condition:
This script offers "open deal ASAP" deal start condition which will continuously open new deals. IT will wait for the current deal to close before opening a new one.
"Script" Deal Start Condition:
If you select the "Script" deal start condition we provide Bollinger Bands as an example. You can tweak the BB parameters from the indicator settings menu.
"Indicator" Deal Start Condition:
The third option is "Indicator". For this option to work you must have an indicator that plots a unique value that can be recognised as a BUY signal.
We recommend that your indicator plots 1 when it should buy and 0 when there's no signal.
Once you have in the same chart your indicator and your DCA backtest it's time to hook them up. For that follow these steps:
1) select "Indicator" as deal start condition
2) select your indicator from the list as "deal start source"
3) If you are following our recommendation then use 1 as "deal start value" so it can tell the DCA backtest when to open a deal. Make sure that your indicator only plots 0 or 1 so the DCA backtest can distinguish the BUY signal appropriately.
Limitations:
Each time you make changes and save your external indicator while you are backtesting, you will have to hook up the indicator again with the DCA backtest in the settings.
To avoid this, add as many parameters as you need to change in the external indicator so in that way you won't need to save changes to it and therefore will manage to avoid having to hook up the indicator with the DCA backtest.
Why is it ok to backtest on TradingView from now on!TradingView backtester has bad reputation. For a good reason - it was producing wrong results, and it was clear at first sight how bad they were.
But this has changed. Along with many other improvements in its PineScript coding capabilities, TradingView fixed important bug, which was the main reason for miscalculations. TradingView didn't really speak out about this fix, so let me try :)
Have a look at this short code of a swing trading strategy (PLEASE DON'T FOCUS ON BACKTEST RESULTS ATTACHED HERE - THEY DO NOT MATTER). Sometimes entry condition happens together with closing condition for the already ongoing trade. Example: the condition to close Long entry is the same as a condition to enter Short. And when these two aligned, not only a Long was closed and Short was entered (as intended), but also a second Short was entered, too!!! What's even worse, that second short was not controlled with closing conditions inside strategy.exit() function and it very often lead to losses exceeding whatever was declared in "loss=" parameter. This could not have worked well...
But HOORAY!!! - it has been fixed and won't happen anymore. So together with other improvements - TradingView's backtester and PineScript is now ok to work with on standard candlesticks :)
Yep, no need to code strategies and backtest them on other platforms anymore.
----------------
Having said the above, there are still some pitfalls remaining, which you need to be aware of and avoid:
Don't backtest on HeikenAshi, Renko, Kagi candlesticks. They were not invented with backtesting in mind. There are still using wrong price levels for entries and therefore producing always too good backtesting results. Only standard candlesticks are reliable to backtest on.
Don't use Trailing Stop in your code. TradingView operates only on closed candlesticks, not on tick data and because of that, backtester will always assume price has first reached its favourable extreme (so 'high' when you are in Long trade and 'low' when you are in Short trade) before it starts to pull back. Which is rarely the truth in reality. Therefore strategies using Trailing Stop are also producing too good backtesting results. It is especially well visible on higher timeframe strategies - for some reason your strategy manages to make gains on those huge, fat candlesticks :) But that's not reality.
"when=" inside strategy.exit() does not work as you would intuitively expect. If you want to have logical condition to close your trade (for example - crossover(rsi(close,14),20)) you need to place it inside strategy.close() function. And leave StopLoss + TakeProfit conditions inside strategy.exit() function. Just as in attached code.
If you're working with pyramiding, add "process_orders_on_close=ANY" to your strategy() script header. Default setting ("=FIFO") will first close the trade, which was opened first, not the one which was hit by Stop-Loss condidtion.
----------------
That's it, I guess :) If you are noticing other issues with backtester and would like to share, let everyone know in comments. If the issue is indeed a bug, there is a chance TradingView dev team will hear your voice and take it into account when working on other improvements. Just like they heard about the bug I described above.
P.S. I know for a fact that more improvements in the backtesting area are coming. Some will change the game even for non-coding traders. If you want to be notified quickly and with my comment - gimme "follow".
RunRox - Backtesting System (SM)RunRox - Backtesting System (SM) is designed for flexible and comprehensive testing of trading strategies, closely integrated with our RunRox - Signals Master indicator. This combination enhances your ability to refine strategies efficiently, providing you with insights to adapt and optimize your trading tactics seamlessly.
The Backtesting System (SM) excels in pinpointing the optimal settings for the RunRox - Signals Master indicator, efficiently highlighting the most effective configurations.
Capabilities of the Backtesting System (SM)
Optimal Settings Determination: Identifies the best configurations for the Signals Master indicator to enhance its effectiveness.
Timeframe-Specific Strategy Testing: Allows strategies to be tested over specific historical time periods to assess their viability.
Customizable Initial Conditions: Enables setting of initial deposit, risk per trade, and commission rates to mirror real-world trading conditions.
Flexible Money Management: Provides options to set take profits and stop losses, optimizing potential returns and risk management.
Intuitive Dashboard: Features a user-friendly dashboard that visually displays all pertinent information, making it easy to analyze and adjust strategies.
Trading Flexibility Across Three Modes:
Dual-Direction Trading: Engage in both buying and selling with this mode. Our dashboard optimizes and identifies the best settings for trading in two directions, streamlining the process to maximize effectiveness for both buy and sell orders.
Buy-Only Mode: Tailored for traders focusing exclusively on purchasing assets. In this mode, our backtester pinpoints the most advantageous sensitivity, speed reaction, and filter settings specifically for buying. Optimal settings in this mode may differ from those used in dual-direction trading, providing a customized approach to single-direction strategies.
Sell-Only Mode: Perfect for strategies primarily based on selling. This setting allows you to discover the ideal configurations for asset sales, which can be particularly useful if you are looking for optimal exit points in long-term transactions or under specific market conditions.
Here's an example of how profits can differ on the same asset when trading using two distinct strategies: exclusively buying or trading in both directions.
Above in the image, you can see how one-directional trading influences the results of backtests on historical data. While this does not guarantee future outcomes, it provides insight into how the strategy's performance can vary with different trading directions.
As you can also see from the image, one-directional trading has affected the optimal combination of settings for Sensitivity, Speed Reaction, and Filters.
Stop Loss and Take Profit
Our backtesting system, as you might have gathered, includes flexible settings for take profits and stop losses. Here are the main features:
Multiple Take Profits: Ability to set from 1 to 4 take profit levels.
Fixed Percentage: Option to assign a fixed percentage for each take profit.
Trade Proportion Fixation: Ability to set a fixed size from the trade for securing profits.
Stop Loss Installation: Option to establish a stop loss.
Break-Even Stop Loss: Ability to move the stop loss to a break-even point upon reaching a specified take profit level.
These settings offer extensive flexibility and can be customized according to your preferences and trading style. They are suitable for both novice and professional traders looking to test their trading strategies on historical data.
As illustrated in the image above, we have implemented money management by setting fixed take profits and stop losses. Utilizing money management has improved indicators such as profit, maximum drawdown, and profit factor, turning even historically unprofitable strategies into profitable ones. Although this does not guarantee future results, it serves as a valuable tool for understanding the effectiveness of money management.
Additionally, as you can see, the optimal settings for Signals Master have been adjusted, highlighting the best configurations for the most favorable outcomes.
Disclaimer:
Historical data is not indicative of future results. All indicators and strategies provided by RunRox are intended for integration with traders' strategies and should be used as tools for analysis rather than standalone solutions. Traders should use their own discretion and understand that all trading involves risk.
[Kpt-Ahab] Simple AlgoPilot Riskmgt and Backtest Simple AlgoPilot Riskmgt and Backtest
This script provides a compact solution for automated risk management and backtesting within TradingView.
It offers the following core functionalities:
Risk Management:
The system integrates various risk limitation mechanisms:
Percentage-based or trailing stop-loss
Maximum losing streak limitation
Maximum drawdown limitation relative to account equity
Flexible position sizing control (based on equity, fixed size, or contracts)
Dynamic repurchasing of positions ("Repurchase") during losses with adjustable size scaling
Supports multi-stage take-profit targets (TP1/TP2) and automatic stop-loss adjustment to breakeven
External Signal Processing for Backtesting:
In addition to its own moving average crossovers, the script can process external trading signals:
External signals are received via a source input variable (e.g., from other indicators or signal generators)
Positive values (+1) trigger long positions, negative values (–1) trigger short positions
This allows for easy integration of other indicator-based strategies into backtests
Additional Backtesting Features:
Selection between different MA types (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA)
Flexible time filtering (trade only within defined start and end dates)
Simulation of commission costs, slippage, and leverage
Optional alert functions for moving average crossovers
Visualization of liquidation prices and portfolio development in an integrated table
Note: This script is primarily intended for strategic backtesting and risk setting optimization.
Real-time applications should be tested with caution. All order executions, alerts, and risk calculations are purely simulation-based.
Explanation of Calculations and Logics:
1. Risk Management and Position Sizing:
The position size is calculated based on the user’s choice using three possible methods:
Percentage of Equity:
The position size is a defined fraction of the available capital, dynamically adjusted based on market price (riskPerc / close).
Fixed Size (in currency): The user defines a fixed monetary amount to be used per trade.
Contracts: A fixed number of contracts is traded regardless of the current price.
Leverage: The selected leverage multiplies the position size for margin calculations.
2. Trade Logic and Signal Triggering:
Trades can be triggered through two mechanisms:
Internal Signals:
When a fast moving average crosses above or below a slower moving average (ta.crossover, ta.crossunder). The type of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA) can be freely selected.
External Signals:
Signals from other indicators can be received via an input source field.
+1 triggers a long entry, –1 triggers a short entry.
Position Management:
Once entered, the position is actively managed.
Multiple take-profit targets are set.
Upon reaching a profit target, the stop-loss can optionally be moved to breakeven.
3. Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Logic:
Stop-Loss Types:
Fixed Percentage Stop:
A fixed distance below/above the entry price.
Trailing Stop:
Dynamically adjusts as the trade moves into profit.
Fast Trailing Stop:
A more aggressive variant of trailing that reacts quicker to price changes.
Take-Profit Management:
Two take-profit targets (TP1 and TP2) are supported, allowing partial exits at different stages.
Remaining positions can either reach the second target or be closed by the stop-loss.
4. Repurchase Strategy ("Scaling In" on Losses):
If a position reaches a specified loss threshold (e.g., –15%), an automatic additional purchase can occur.
The position size is increased by a configurable percentage.
Repurchases happen only if an initial position is already open.
5. Backtesting Control and Filters:
Time Filters:
A trading period can be defined (start and end date).
All trades outside the selected period are ignored.
Risk Filters: Trading is paused if:
A maximum losing streak is reached.
A maximum allowed drawdown is exceeded.
6. Liquidation Calculation (Simulation Only):
The script simulates liquidation prices based on the account balance and position size.
Liquidation lines are drawn on the chart to better visualize potential risk exposure.
This is purely a visual aid — no real broker-side liquidation is performed.
LuxAlgo - Backtester (PAC)The PAC Backtester is an innovative strategy script that allows users to create a wide variety of strategies derived from price action-related concepts for a data-driven approach to discretionary trading strategies.
Thanks to our 'Step' and 'Match' algorithm, users can create custom and complex strategy entries and exits from features such as market structure, order blocks, imbalances, as well as any external indicators, allowing users to create entries from a sequence of conditions and/or multiple matching conditions.
We included a complete alert system that will send a notification for each action taken by the strategy and we also allow users to set custom messages for each action taken by a strategy.
🔶 Features
🔹 Step & Match Algorithm
More complex entry rules can be created by using multiple conditions together, this is done thanks to the Step dropdown setting on the right of each condition.
The Step setting is directly related to the Step & Match algorithm and works in two ways:
When two or more conditions have the same step number, both conditions are evaluated. Used to test matching conditions.
When two or more conditions have different step numbers, each condition will be evaluated in order, testing for the first step and switching to the next step once the previous one is true. When the final step is true the strategy will open a market order. Used to create a sequence of conditions.
This operation is complementary, as you can create a sequence of conditions with one step consisting of two or more matching conditions as long as they have the same step number.
🔹 Fully Customizable Price Action Concepts As Entries
We allow the users to use market structures, order blocks, imbalances, and external sources together to set their custom entry and exit conditions.
Market structures are commonly used to determine trend direction by indicating when prices break prior swing points. Their occurrence can be used as entry conditions.
Order blocks highlight areas where institutional market participants open positions, one can use order blocks to determine confirmation entries or potential targets as we can expect there is a large amount of liquidity at these order blocks. Price entering, being within, or mitigating an order block can be used as an entry condition.
Market imbalances highlight areas where there is a disparity between supply and demand. Price entering, being within, or mitigating an imbalance can be used as an entry condition.
This system also allows the use of external sources to create entry and exit conditions, such as moving averages, bands, trailing stops...etc.
🔹 Complete Alert System
Users can get alerted for any action executed by a strategy, from opening positions to closing them.
The message field in the Alert Messages setting section allows for the strategy to send a custom alert message depending on the action taken by the strategy, if no messages are set the strategy will send default messages.
🔶 Usage
Users can create complete price action strategies from this script, let's see an example using the following entry conditions:
Long: Mitigated bearish order block occurring during the New York session after a mitigated bearish imbalance.
Short: Mitigated bullish order block occurring during the New York session after a mitigated bullish imbalance.
Take Profit: 2 points away from the entry price.
Stop Loss: 1 point away from the entry price.
We can also use features from Price Action Concepts™ to construct custom exit conditions, leading to the following strategy conditions:
Long: Bullish CHoCH and price mitigates bearish FVG.
Short: Bearish CHoCH and price mitigates bullish FVG.
Exit Long: Price mitigates bearish order block.
Exit Short: Price mitigates bullish order block.
Users can achieve a wide variety of results by using external indicators as an input source for entries and exits, combining the best from price action and technical indicators. We might for example be interested in exiting a position when the RSI oscillator is overbought or oversold.
🔶 Strategy Properties (Important)
This script backtest is done on daily EURGBP, using the following backtesting properties:
Balance (default): 10 000 (default base currency)
Order Size: 10% of the equity
Comission: 3.4 pips (average spread for EURGBP)
Slippage: 1 tick
Stop Loss: 0.01 points away from entry price
We use these properties to ensure a realistic preview of the backtesting system, do note that default properties can be different for various reasons described below:
Order Size: 1 contract by default, this is to allow the strategy to run properly on most instruments such as futures.
Comission: Comission can vary depending on the market and instrument, there is no default value that might return realistic results.
We strongly recommend all users to ensure they adjust the Properties within the script settings to be in line with their accounts & trading platforms of choice to ensure results from strategies built are realistic.
🔶 How to access
You can see the Author's Instructions below to learn how to get access.
bc Grid Backtest v1.4This strategy is a full implementation of Grid Trading backtest.
Prominent features of this backtesting strategy are:
- Logarithmic Chart Support: This strategy can support Log Scale on graph. Meaning that grid lines won't have irregular gaps in between the lines if you would like to view the chart Log Scaled. Every line will be aligned correctly even if you use Log Scale or not.
- Precise Buy & Sell: Script will execute precise Buy and Sell orders.
- Dynamic Grid Level Count: From 2 grid levels to n amount of grid levels are supported. There is no limitation on grid level count. You can pick any number starting from 2.
- Customized Backtesting Results Table: A table which includes data for those who want to know has been added at top right. It can be disabled.
Characteristics of this script:
- Able to fill more than one order in one single candle.
- Levels will keep being updated with every trade.
- There will be always one grid level ignored and it will be the level which made the last order filling possible. This is normal behavior of grid trading system.
- You can both use Log Scale and Normal Scale with this script. No issue will be on grid levels.
Using the script:
- Add this script to the chart from indicators tab
- Set starting and ending date for the grid backtesting bot either by dragging and dropping the vertical lines or by the date-time picker from indicator Inputs tab.
- Set highest and lowest limit for the script. These will be the boundary limits. Highest and lowest price for the script to work on. Lines will populate between these two values
- Set grid level count. Number of levels of the grid.
- Set amount to spend on per level. This quantity of order will be placed on each level when needed.
After setting the above settings, there is one last thing to do in order to get precise results. It is setting the Initial Capital.
- We can set this setting from 'Properties' tab. Named 'Initial Capital'. After setting the boundaries all we need to is to navigate to TradingView's own 'Data Window', and get the value there. Then paste it on the strategy's own related setting area.
In this example we used pair BTCUSDT 4h timeframe, our settings are:
Inputs Tab:
- Grid Count: 13
- High Limit: 72 000
- Low Limit: 17 000
- Logarithmic Grids: Checked (because I always use Log Scale on charts, if Log Scale is turned on, this needs to be checked)
- Quantity per level: 0.1
- Show Table: Checked
- Show Grid Levels: Checked
- Show Average Position Price: Checked
Properties Tab:
- Initial Capital: 24 902
- Slippage: 5
- Commission: 0.1% (this is the broker commission value)
This script's purpose is to make simulating possible outcomes between two dates. Therefore making it easier to get the idea of grid trading, finding the best settings for your risk management and for your portfolio.
Infinity Algo Backtest█ OVERVIEW
Infinity Algo Backtest is a strategy testing system with 5 entry modes, 6 take-profit levels, and optional Auto-Tune optimization (historical simulation).
Switch between trend-following, contrarian, and sniper entries within one strategy. Auto-Tune runs historical simulations across hundreds of parameter combinations and selects the best-scoring configuration based on your chosen metric (not predictive AI).
Includes trailing stop-loss options, optional add-on entries (pyramiding), and structured alert messages for automation.
█ KEY FEATURES
✅ 5 Entry Modes: Normal, Smart, AI, HL Sniper, AI Sniper
✅ 3 Exit Modes: Percentage targets, Signal step-outs, Opposite signal flip
✅ 6 Take-Profit Levels with customizable partial position sizing
✅ Trailing Stop-Loss (None / Breakeven / Moving Target)
✅ Auto-Tune Optimization (Walk-Forward or Static)
✅ Optional add-on entries (pyramiding)
✅ Structured alert messages for webhook automation
✅ Designed for crypto, forex, stocks, indices, and commodities
█ WHAT MAKES THIS STRATEGY DIFFERENT
🧠 Auto-Tune Engine
Unlike static strategies, this system tests 500+ parameter combinations — varying sensitivity (5-28), thresholds, and trigger configs — then selects the best-scoring settings from historical simulations.
Choose from 12 scoring metrics: Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Calmar Ratio, SQN, Martin Ratio, GPR, Win Rate, Total Profit, Average Profit, Profit Factor, Sortino + Calmar Composite, and Robust Score.
Note: Auto-Tune is systematic parameter optimization on historical data — not predictive AI. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
🎯 Multi-Mode Entry System
Switch between trend-following, contrarian, and sniper modes — all within one strategy. No need to maintain multiple scripts.
🛡️ Adaptive Risk Management
Trailing SL modes that respond to your TP hits:
Breakeven: Locks in safety after your chosen TP is reached
Moving Target: Ratchets your stop to the previous TP level as profit grows
📊 Reproducible Results
Full transparency on strategy properties so you can replicate exact backtest conditions.
█ ENTRY ENGINES
Normal + Smart (Default)
Normal: Contrarian entries — momentum cross against the trend filter for reversal plays
Smart: Trend-following entries — momentum cross with the trend filter for continuation plays
Auto-Tune Mode
Tests 500+ parameter combinations against historical data
Simulates trades internally using your TP/SL configuration
Scores by your chosen metric (Sharpe, Sortino, Calmar, Win Rate, etc.)
Walk-Forward: Re-optimizes every N bars to adapt to regime changes
Static: Locks in best-scoring settings from full available history
HL Sniper
Trend-trigger mode for more selective entries
Fewer signals, but more selective setups
Auto-Tune Sniper
Optimizes RSI period, smoothing factor, and trigger sensitivity
Adapts sniper configuration based on historical performance
█ EXIT MODES
1) Percentage Targets
Up to 6 TP levels (TP1…TP6) with customizable partial exits
Configure both price distance (%) and position size (%) for each level
Designed for scaling out rather than all-in/all-out
2) Signal Step-Outs
Momentum-shift condition triggers partial exits
Optional higher-timeframe confirmation
"New TP Must Beat Last" prevents weak consecutive exits
3) Opposite Signal
Closes/flips position when the next opposite entry signal appears
Best for trend-following systems
█ USE CASES
📈 Trending Markets
Use "Smart" signals + Percentage TPs. Stay aligned with momentum while scaling out at multiple targets. Enable Moving Target trailing to lock in profits.
📉 Ranging / Choppy Markets
Use "Normal" signals (contrarian mode). Catch reversals at range boundaries. Tighter TP targets work better here.
⚡ High Volatility / News Events
Use "HL Sniper" for selective entries. Fewer signals, more selective. Wider SL to accommodate volatility.
🤖 Automation & Bots
Structured alert payloads work with popular bot platforms and custom webhooks. Entry + 6 TPs + SL in one alert.
█ HOW TO USE
Apply to your chart (any timeframe, any market)
Start with Entry Signals = "Normal + Smart", Exit Mode = "Percentage"
Pick your direction (Long / Short / Both)
Adjust signal thresholds and trend filter length to match your style
Configure TP% levels and Qty% — total should sum to 100%
Enable Stop-Loss and choose a trailing mode
Set commission and slippage in Strategy Properties for realistic results
Optional: Enable Auto-Tune for adaptive optimization
█ STRATEGY PROPERTIES
Default settings for reproducible backtests:
Initial capital: 10,000 USD
Order size type: Cash
Default order size: 10,000
Process orders on close: Enabled
Pyramiding: Controlled by "Allow Add-On Entries"
For realistic results, set commission and slippage in Strategy Properties to match your broker/exchange.
█ ALERTS & AUTOMATION
The strategy outputs structured alert payloads compatible with:
Popular bot platforms and webhook receivers
Custom automation systems (JSON format)
Setup: Create alert → Select "Order fills and alert() function calls" → Use {{strategy.order.alert_message}} placeholder
█ WORKS ON
Crypto
Forex
Stocks
Indices
Commodities
█ REALISTIC EXPECTATIONS
No strategy wins 100% of the time — this is no exception
Auto-Tune optimizes on past data — it cannot predict the future
Backtest results ≠ live results (fees, slippage, and emotions matter)
Always validate with out-of-sample data before going live
Use proper position sizing and risk management
█ LIMITATIONS
Backtests are simulations — results depend on market conditions, fees, slippage, and parameters
Auto-Tune can overfit if used without out-of-sample validation
Multi-timeframe exit logic confirms on higher-TF bar closes (slight delay expected)
Use standard candles/bars for strategy testing (avoid Heikin Ashi, Renko)
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss, and you are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
[Support and Resistance with Trend Lines] with Backtest (TSO) with Backtest (TSO)
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This indicator serves as a comprehensive full-cycle trading system, providing alerts at each stage of the trade, from opening to closure. The algorithm uses most recent and historical S&R (Support and Resistance) levels with most recent and historical Trend Lines, generating signals for trades when Breaks/Bounces occur (Trade Open Signal triggers can be configured via very customizable indicator Input "Signal Trigger Matrix" settings). With signal for trade open, TP (Take Profit and SL (Stop Loss) levels are calculated as well and marked on the chart including alerts for each action of the trade. The indicator offers a variety of automated approaches for TP (Take-Profit) and SL (Stop-Loss) settings. These include static current/historical S&R (Support and Resistance) levels or S&R/Trend Lines dynamic breaks for TP (Take-Profit) and various SL (Stop-Loss) approaches, including ATR Trailing SL, opposite S&R (Support and Resistance) levels SL, opposite Trend Lines SL and more. This diverse set of tools ensure flexibility in tailoring TP (Take-Profit) and SL (Stop-Loss) parameters to different market conditions, contributing to a more adaptive and robust trading system. Additionally, a series of signal analysis tools, including market sentiment, candle bar analysis, divergence, and volume, enhance the precision of trading signals.
* Works with popular timeframes: 1M, 3M, 5M, 15M, 30M, 45M, 1H.
* Works well with Futures and Indices, can be used to trade Stocks, Crypto and FOREX.
* Includes LIVE alert/labels Breakouts and Bounces signal trigger feature, which can be used for scalping (NOTE: This approach cannot be backtested).
* Every action of the trade is calculated on a confirmed closed candle bar state (barstate.isconfirmed), so the indicator will never repaint.
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Indicator examples:
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Strategy Config: SRTL_MES_15M3Y_EODoff_ALL
Here is a nice example of MES (Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index Futures) configuration, which uses S&R (Support and Resistance) breakouts as signal trigger with Elliot Wave confirmation and previous S&R historical levels for TP (Take-Profit).
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An example of an intraday Tesla trade. Also the green arrows will be displayed IMMEDIATELY when Breakout/Reverse Bounce occurs (same an Alert will be triggered immediately).
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Trading open/close/TP/SL labels, plots and colors explanations:
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>>> S&R (Support and Resistance) levels/lines: orange - support, blue - resistance (can be hidden).
>>> Trend Lines: yellow - support, green - resistance (can be hidden).
>>> Blue labels show resistance breakouts and bounces, light-blue - bullish, dark-blue - bearish
>>> Yellow labels show resistance breakouts and bounces, light-yellow - bullish, dark-yellow - bearish
>>> Green/Red arrows on top/bottom of candle bar will show LIVE breakouts (if turned on)
>>>>> LONG open: green "house" looking arrow below candle bar.
>>>>> SHORT open: red "house" looking arrow above candle bar.
>>>>> LONG/SHORT take-profit target: green/red circles (multi-profit > TP2/3/4/5 smaller circles).
>>>>> LONG/SHORT stop-loss target: green/red + crosses.
>>>>> LONG/SHORT take-profit hits: green/red diamonds.
>>>>> LONG/SHORT stop-loss hits: green/red X-crosses.
>>>>> LONG/SHORT EOD (End of Day | Intraday style) close (profitable trade): green/red squares.
>>>>> LONG/SHORT EOD (End of Day | Intraday style) close (loss trade): green/red PLUS(+)-crosses.
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STATS TABLE ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> Trading STATS table on the chart showing current trade direction, Last TP (Take-Profit) Taken, Current Trade PL (profit/loss in price difference from trade open to the very current state).
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CUSTOM TRADING DATE RANGE /////////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>>>> This feature can be used to manually set indicator trading range from and to a specific date and time. NOTE: This is not intended for a very long date range backtesting, utilize TradingView Strategy Tester for that.
* Use TradingView “Strategy Tester” to see Backtesting results
NOTE: If Strategy Tester does not show any results with Date Ranged fully unchecked, there may be an issue where a script opens a trade, but there is not enough TradingView power to set the Take-Profit and Stop-Loss and somehow an open trade gets stuck and never closes, so there are “no trades present”. In such case - manually check “Start”/“End” dates or use “Deep Backtesting” feature!
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INTRADAY ACTIVE TRADING SESSION CONFIGURATION /////////////////////////////
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>>> Regional Active Trading Session Hours Schedule: If selected - trades will only open during regional active trading session, if 'OFF', there will be no trading schedule and trades will open 24/7.
>>> EOD(End of Day) Close - On/Off: Close the trade if it's still open at the end of active trading session (on the very last candle bar). NOTE: If no region is selected at 'Regional Active Trading Session Schedule' - there will be no EOD(End of Day) Close and trades will run overnight until either SL(Stop-Loss) or TP(Take-Profit) is hit!
>>>>> EOD(End of Day) Close - 1 candle bar before last: This is specifically for stocks as while usually indices can be closed 15minutes after the market closes, for stocks - the last candle bar closes at the same time with the market active trading session, which if closed - trades can't be closed until next day/session! Enable this setting for the trade to close/alert 1 candle bar before the last one, so there is still time to close the trade at the Broker (NOTE: depending on the timeframe, 1 candle bar can be: 15sec, 30sec, 1min, 3min, 5min, 15min, 30min, 45min, 1h).
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SIGNAL TRIGGER MATRIX ////////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> Trading Engine: This setting turns on TradingView Strategy trading engine for backtesting.
>>> Market Session Only: With this setting turned on, all signal trigger Breaks/Bounces will be hidden during Pre/Post market time.
>>> Plot S&R Levels/Lines: Plot S&R (Support and Resistance) on chart. Note: historical levels/lines will only be plotted if hit (Break/Bounce).
>>> Plot Trend Lines Levels/Lines: Plot Trend Lines levels/lines on chart. Note: historical levels/lines will only be plotted if hit (Break/Bounce).
>>> Use S&R Current Levels | Use S&R Historical Levels | Use Trend Lines Current Levels | Use Trend Lines Historical Levels |: Choose which levels should be used for Breaks/Bounces to be captured on. If all triggers are turned on/checked - whatever happens 1st wins the trigger.
>>> Breaks | Bounces: 'Breaks': Turn on Breaks through levels/lines signal trigger. | 'Bounces': Turn on Bounces off levels/lines signal trigger.
>>> Signal: Regular | Signal: S&R Combo | Signal: TL Combo | Signal: S&R + TL Combo | Signal: Repeat Action |: Trade open signal trigger execution approach MATRIX (If 1 or more turned on at the same time - whatever comes first will be the trade signal trigger). 'Regular': A single Break/Bounce must occur on a closed bar for signal trigger. 'S&R Combo': A combination of 2 Current + Historical S&R (Support and Resistance) Break/Bounce must happen in the same direction on same bar for signal trigger. 'TL Combo': A combination of 2 Current + Historical Trend Lines Break/Bounce must happen in the same direction on same bar for signal trigger. 'S&R + TL Combo': a combination of ANY S&R and Trend Line Break/Bounce must happen in the same direction on same bar for signal trigger. 'Repeat Action': Initial and then confirmation (2nd/3rd/etc. consecutive occurence) Break/Bounce must occur on same level/line for signal trigger.
>>> Historical - Look Back (# of days): How far back (in # of days) will historical S&R/Trend Lines will be used for Trade Open signals/TP/SL/etc.
>>> Historical - Look Back Invalidation (# of days): IF THERE IS TOO MUCH HISTORICAL LEVELS/LINES ON CHART - LOWER THIS SETTING + MAKE SURE IT'S SMALLER THAN 'Historical - Look Back (# of days)'. With big Look back period (5+ days) - it can become very messy with too many historical levels/lines. To clear oldest historical levels/lines - set Look Back Invalidation # of days to less than Historical Look Back # of days. (After X # of Look Back Invalidation days - older levels/lines will become invalidated and no longer used for opening trades/TP (Take-Profit)/SL (Stop-Loss), while newer levels/lines will still be discovered.
>>> S&R/Trend Lines - Support/Resistance combined into 1 entity: Every level or a line becomes simply a level or a line, regardless if it originally was a support or resistance. By default, depending on the level/line originally being support or resistance - the signal direction will be such as: Resistance is broken > LONG / bounced > SHORT; Support is broken > SHORT / bounced > LONG; with this setting on, either level or line can be both broken or bounced off in ANY direction, trade open direction will depend on current market sentiment only.
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S&R CONFIGURATION ////////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> S&R Search - Left Bars (current): This setting is for calculating optimal S&R (Support and Resistance) levels (in combination with below - Right Bars).
>>> S&R Search - Right Bars (current): This setting is for calculating optimal S&R (Support and Resistance) levels (in combination with above - Left Bars).
>>> S&R Search - Custom Resolution (current): This is a custom timeframe setting specifically for S&R Search, it disregards current chart timeframe. This is great to use for scalping, for example: with main chart set to 1min and the custom timeframe set to 3min or 5min - there will be stronger support/resistance levels with more detailed price action.
>>> S&R Search - Left Bars (historical): This setting is for calculating optimal S&R (Support and Resistance) levels (in combination with below - Right Bars).
>>> S&R Search - Right Bars (historical): This setting is for calculating optimal S&R (Support and Resistance) levels (in combination with above - Left Bars).
>>> S&R Search - Custom Resolution (historical): This is a custom timeframe setting specifically for S&R Search, it disregards current chart timeframe. This is great to use for scalping, for example: with main chart set to 1min and the custom timeframe set to 3min or 5min - there will be stronger support/resistance levels with more detailed price action.
>>> S&R - Historical S&R Levels - Extend to the right: Extend all S&R lines to the right.
>>> S&R (Current/Historical) - Live Breakout/Bounce - ALERT/SHOW: NOTE: Alert wlil trigger immediately at price Breaking thru or Bouncing off level/line and an arrow above /below the bar will show the direction of breakout/bounce. If on that same live bar - price comes back causing the Breakout/Bounce become no longer valid - the arrow will disappear as the condition of the Break/Bounce will no longer be valid.
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TREND LINES CONFIGURATION ////////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> Show: Trend Line development (where it 'did not exist' yet): It takes 2 pivots to develop a trend line, pivot is established at least 3 candle bars later from where the pivot is. With this setting turned on - it will plot dashed lines where trend lines originated connecting the 1st and 2nd pivot point up to where the trend line became established (where in reality you would now be able to draw a certain trend line). Established already generated trend line are plotted with a solid line.
>>> Trend Lines - Line Slope Confirmation: LONG breakout will only be shown if trend line is goind downslope \. SHORT breakout will only be shown if trend line is goind upslope /.
>>> Trend Lines - Search - Left Bars (current): This setting is for calculating optimal Trend Lines.
>>> Trend Lines - Search - Right Bars (current): This setting is for calculating optimal Trend Lines.
>>> Trend Lines - Custom Resolution (current): This is a custom timeframe setting specifically for S&R Search, it disregards current chart timeframe. This is great to use for scalping, for example: with main chart set to 1min and the custom timeframe set to 3min or 5min - there will be stronger support/resistance levels with more detailed price action.
>>> Trend Lines - Search - Left Bars (historical): This setting is for calculating optimal Trend Lines.
>>> Trend Lines - Search - Right Bars (historical): This setting is for calculating optimal Trend Lines.
>>> Trend Lines - Custom Resolution (historical): This is a custom timeframe setting specifically for S&R Search, it disregards current chart timeframe. This is great to use for scalping, for example: with main chart set to 1min and the custom timeframe set to 3min or 5min - there will be stronger support/resistance levels with more detailed price action.
>>> Trend Lines - Historical Trend Lines - Extend to the right: Extend all Trend Lines to the right.
>>> Trend Lines (Current/Historical) - Live Breakout/Bounce - ALERT/SHOW: NOTE: Alert will trigger immediately at price Breaking thru or Bouncing off level/line and an arrow above /below the bar will show the direction of breakout/bounce. If on that same live bar - price comes back causing the Breakout/Bounce become no longer valid - the arrow will disappear as the condition of the Break/Bounce will no longer be valid.
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TAKE-PROFIT/STOP-LOSS CONFIGURATION ///////////////////////////////////////
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>>> TP (Take-Profit) System: 'S&R Static Current/Historical': TP (Take-Profit) is calculated using current/historical S&R (Support & Resistance) levels at trade open and remains static. 'S&R/Trend Lines Dynamic Breaks': TP (Take-Profit) is fully dynamic and will be trigger at price above trade open price and with Breakout occurence (S&R or Trend Line current/historical breakout).
>>> TP (Take-Profit) # of targets: It is wise to divide the trade into several profit targets. With this setting - up to 5 TP (Take-Profit) targets can be approached. The trade will be equally divided up by the selected # of TP (Take-Profit) targets.
>>> SL (Stop-Loss) System: 'ATR-Trailing-SL': SL (Stop-Loss) is trail-following the ATR (Average True Range) line, NOTE: If at signal trigger, ATR will be against the trade direction - trade open signal will be skipped; 'S&R-Static-SL': SL (Stop-Loss) is set at trade open per optimal most recent S&R level and remains there until trade closes; 'TrendLines-Static-SL': SL (Stop-Loss) is set at trade open per optimal most recent trend line and remains there until trade closes; 'TrendLines-Dynamic-SL': SL (Stop-Loss) will be set per current opposite trend line and follow it until trade is open.; 'Oppos-Sig-Trd-in-Loss': SL (Stop-Loss) will trigger at opposite signal with trade currently at loss.
>>> SL (Stop-Loss) - On/Off: Without SL (Stop-Loss), unless EOD (End of Day) Close is turned on - there will be no SL (Stop-Loss) at all!
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MARKET SENTIMENT CONFIRMATION ///////////////////////////////////////
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>>> Market Sentiment: Signal is confirmed per Market Sentiment direction. If Market Sentiment is turned off - whatever signal comes 1st will be the trade open trigger.
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SIGNAL ANALYSIS AND CLEANUP ///////////////////////////////////////////////
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>>> Signal Cleanup - Bar Color: Include Bar Color (bullish/bearish) confirmation, LONG signal will only be opened if signal bar is green/bullish, SHORT if red/bearish.
>>> Signal Cleanup - Bar Directional Structure: Skip opposite bar structure types signals (For example: bearish green hammer).
>>> Signal Cleanup - Bar Doji Skip: Skip doji (indecisive) candles signals.
>>> Signal Cleanup - EWO (Elliott Wave Oscillator): Include EWO (Elliott Wave Oscillator), LONG will only be opened if EWO is bullish / SHORT if EWO is bearish.
>>> Signal Cleanup - VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): Include VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price), LONG will only be opened if price is above VWAP / SHORT if price is below VWAP.
>>> Signal Cleanup - MA (Moving Average) Confirmation: Include MA (Moving Average), LONG will only be opened if MA is bullish / SHORT if MA is bearish.
>>> Signal Cleanup - ATR (Average True Range): Include ATR (Average True Range) confirmation, LONG will only be opened if ATR is bullish / SHORT if ATR is bearish.
>>> Signal Cleanup - Divergence(RSI + MACD): Include Divergence (RSI + MACD ) confirmation, LONG will only be opened if Divergence is bullish / SHORT if Divergence is bearish.
>>> Signal Cleanup - Volume % Strength: Include Volume strength/percentage confirmation, LONG/SHORT will only be opened with strong Volume matching the signal direction | By default, strong Volume percentage is set to 150% and weak to 50%.
>>> Signal Cleanup - Volume Above Average: Include Volume Above Moving Average (Volume closing bar closes above volume moving average) confirmation, LONG/SHORT will only be opened with Volume above average - Volume closed bar color must match the closed price color (bullish/bearish direction) + Volume bar must be closed above volume MA line).
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TP System - VERY IMPORTANT INFO!
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"TP PERCENTAGE" - amount by which current trade/position needs to be reduced/partially closed/sold.
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TP System: Dynamic
"TP PERCENTAGE" - will always be the same amount (trade/position size divided by the # of take-profit(TP) targets) and percentage to be closed will always be of the ORIGINAL trade/position.
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TP System: Static
"TP PERCENTAGE" - will always be the same amount IF take-profit(TP) targets are hit 1-by-1 (TP1 > TP2 > TP3 > TP4 > TP5), otherwise it will vary and unless it is a 1st take-profit(TP1), the REMAINING trade/position size will always be smaller than original and therefore the percentage to be closed will always be of the REMAINING trade/position and NOT the original one!
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"TP PERCENTAGE" CheatSheet (these are the only percentages you may see)
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TP PERCENTAGE---Close/Sell Amount-------------Example (trade size: 50 stocks)
20%-------------trade size * 0.2--------------50 * 0.2 = 10 stocks
25%-------------trade size * 0.25-------------50 * 0.25 = 12.5(~13) stocks
34%-------------trade size * 0.34-------------50 * 0.34 = 17 stocks
40%-------------trade size * 0.4--------------50 * 0.4 = 20 stocks
50%-------------trade size * 0.5--------------50 * 0.5 = 25 stocks
60%-------------trade size * 0.6--------------50 * 0.6 = 30 stocks
66%-------------trade size * 0.66-------------50 * 0.66 = 33 stocks
75%-------------trade size * 0.75-------------50 * 0.75 = 37.5(~38) stocks
80%-------------trade size * 0.8--------------50 * 0.8 = 40 stocks
100%------------trade size--------------------50 = 50 stocks
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If for any reason a portion of the current/remaining trade closed at such occurrence was slightly wrong, it is not an issue. Such occurrences are rare and with slight difference in partial TP closed is not significant to overall performance of our algorithms.
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Alert Settings (you don’t have to touch this section unless you will be using TradingView alerts through a Webhook to use with trading bot)
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Here is how a LONG OPEN alert looks like.
NOTE: Each label , , etc. is customizable, you can change the text of it within indicator Input settings.
ALERT >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
COIN: BTCUSD
TIMEFRAME: 15M
LONG: OPEN
ENTRY: 20000
TP1: 20500
TP2: 21000
TP3: 21500
TP4: 22500
TP5: 23500
SL: 19000
Leverage: 0
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Here is how a TP1 alert will look with 5 TPs breakdown of the trade.
NOTE1: Next to TP1 taken it will show at which price it was triggered.
NOTE2: Next to "TP Percentage" it shows how much of the CURRENT/ACTIVE/REMAINING trade needs to be closed.
NOTE2: If TP2/3/4/5 comes before TP1 - the alert will tell you exactly how many percent of the trade needs to be closed!
ALERT >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
COIN: BTCUSD
TIMEFRAME: 15M
LONG: TP1
TP1: 20500
TP Percentage: 20%
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Here is how an alert will look for LONG - STOP-LOSS.
ALERT >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
COIN: BTCUSD
TIMEFRAME: 15M
ENTRY: 20000
LONG: SL
SL: 19000
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Here is how an alert will look for LONG - EOD (End of Day) In Profit close.
ALERT >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
COIN: BTCUSD
TIMEFRAME: 15M
LONG: EOD-Close (profit)
ENTRY: 20000
EOD-Close: 21900
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Adding Alerts in TradngView
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-Add indicator to chart and make sure the correct strategy is configured (check Backtesting results)
-Right-click anywhere on the TradingView chart
-Click on Add alert
-Condition: Select this indicator by it’s name
-Immediately below, change it to "alert() function calls only", as other wise there will be 2 alerts for every alert!
-Expiration: Open-ended (that may require higher tier TradingView account, otherwise the alert will need to be occasionally re-triggered)
-Alert name: Whatever you desire
-Hit “Create”
-Note: If you change ANY Settings within the indicator – you must DELETE the current alert and create a new one per steps above, otherwise it will continue triggering alerts per old Settings!
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Good Luck! (NOTE: Trading is very risky, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, so please trade responsibly!)
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NOTE: There seems to be a strange glitch when strategy is running live, it will show "double-take" take-profits labels on the chart. This is not affecting the script logic and backtesting results, if you simply change the timeframe real quick to something else then back - it will no longer show the duplicate orders... this must be some sort of a glitch as every alert was thoroughly tested to make sure everything is working!
How To Set Backtest Date RangeExample how to select and set date range window to be backtested. Normally when you change chart period it changes the number of days being backtested which means as you increas the chart period (for example from 5min to 15min) you also increase the number of days traded, so you can not compare apples to apples for which period would yield best returns for your strategy. Now you can. Incorporate this code replacing buy and sell with your strategy, then simply input the From and To dates in Format -> Inputs, and then change the chart period to view updated results.
NOTE: There is a limit in backtesting to 2000 orders, so please be aware of this when setting your date ranges. If you set your range too high, you may be exceeding this limit on some periods and not on others, so this would yield incorrect comparison of returns per period. If you see in your backtesting results that you are nearing this limit for one of your periods you are testing, then reduce the date range to a smaller number of days.
Enjoy!
(Thanks to @Gesundheit "Adeel" for pointing me in the right direction on this!)
AlgoTrade DCA Bot Backtester█ OVERVIEW
This script can be used to backtest DCA Bots. It draws inspiration from 3Commas and has most settings that are available on 3Commas. It contains a few popular DCA Bot Presets that are well known in the community for you to test out! Preset used here: Kirigakure V4
█ FEATURES
DCA Preset (Custom, Standard TA,Urma Lite V3,Kirigakure V1,Kirigakure V3,Kirigakure V4)
Order Size Type (Fixed/% of equity to simulate compounding)
Base Order Size
Safety Order Size
Max Safety Trades Count
Price Deviation to open safety order %
Safety Order Volume Scale
Safety Order Step Scale
Take Profit %
Use ADR (Average Daily Range) as Take Profit
ADR length (if ADR as take profit is enabled)
Take Profit Type (% from total volume / % from base order)
Trailing Take Profit
Stop Loss
Deal Start Condition (Start ASAP) ▶ More Deal Starting Conditions will be added in the future
Bot Direction (Long / Short)
Start Time ▶ 1999-01-01 (Use this to always backtest the entire history)
End Time
This strategy also allows you to plot the Average Price and Take Profit of each trade, so it's easier to follow the trade and understand what's happening.
█ HOW TO USE
1. Select a DCA Preset and change the initial capital to the exact amount that is required (seen in the error message on top of the table). When using a Preset the following settings will be locked, meaning if you change them in the script's settings it won't have any effect:
Base Order Size
Safety Order Size
Max Safety Trades Count
Price Deviation to open safety order %
Safety Order Volume Scale
Safety Order Step Scale
Use ADR (Average Daily Range) as Take Profit
1.1 When using Presets you can choose the Order Size Type of Fixed or % of equity which simulates compounding
1.2 Choose a Direction and a Start and End Time
2. To backtest customized settings choose the preset "Custom"
2.1 All other settings are now "unlocked" and can be used
█ LIMITATIONS
Whenever a DCA preset is changed the initial_capital needs to be changed to the exact amount the settings require. If the initial_capital is not the same there will be an error of top of the table. To fix this error navigate to the Script's Settings and Properties and change the initial_capital to the same amount that is stated in the error.
DCA Bots with a high number of safety orders, e.g. 100, can run into an error that says "Maximum number of orders (9000) reached". If this error happens change the backtesting time to a shorter timeframe.
Using % of equity simulates compounding but is unrealistic because you cannot re-invest every single dollar
█ THANKS
This script in insipred by rouxam's "Backtesting 3commas DCA Bot v2" script
