Get started
US Tech 100 Cash IndexUS Tech 100 Cash IndexUS Tech 100 Cash Index

US Tech 100 Cash Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsSeasonals

Trade ideas

US100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel MomUS100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel Momentum Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said that the US and China will reach a deal. US President Donald Trump said that the US and China are ready to "reach" a trade deal, as he is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week in South Korea during his Asia tour. This decision gave the market a breather and increased optimism about an improvement in business sentiment. The indices came out of consolidation to create new record highs. US100 has already reached 25670 and looks set to rise further as shown in the chart with targets: 25900; 26400 and 26700 This week, the FED is also expected to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4% from 4.25%. These expectations should help indices to rise further US100 may test 25300 again before moving further. So, take note of this. However, so far, US100 remains strong, and this momentum could continue to grow further. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
12
NAS100 1H: Bulls vs Bears at the Line📊 NAS100 – 1 Hour Analysis Hello friends, Here’s my NAS100 analysis for you. Looking at the 1-hour chart, I want to highlight a critical level. 👉 If NAS100 breaks above 25,038 and closes a candle there, the next move could point higher. 👉 If NAS100 fails to break 25,038, then a pullback toward 24,267 may come into play. 🙏 Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
FX:NAS100
by TraderTilki
36
NASDAQ Watching 24,975 for Fresh Bounce in Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, In tomorrow’s trading session, we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around the 24,975 zone. NASDAQ remains in a broader uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, approaching the key 24,975 support and resistance area that aligns with the ascending trend structure. If buyers step in at this level, we could see a continuation of the bullish momentum in line with the prevailing trend. Trade safe, Joe
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by JoeChampion
3
Nasdaq - The most important structure!💰Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) perfectly respects structure: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, the Nasdaq has been rallying an expected +50%. Still, until the Nasdaq will retest the upper channel resistance trendline, this rally won't be over. Therefore, we can still see a rally of another +10% in the very near future. 📝Levels to watch: $25,000 and $30,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:NDQLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
17
USNAS100 Extends Rally to New All-Time Highs?USNAS100 | Bullish Continuation Toward New Highs The index recorded a new all-time high (ATH) and has already stabilized above it, supporting further bullish momentum toward 25,400 → 25,550. The main driver behind the move remains strong corporate earnings. However, to confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 1H candle below 25,170, which would expose 25,100 → 25,010. A sustained break below those levels could extend the decline toward 24,850. Pivot Line: 25,230 Resistance: 25,400 – 25,550 Support: 25,100 – 25,010 – 24,860
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
2
Sell in NasdaqUpdated Nasdaq Market Analysis (as of October 28, 2025 – Current Price: 25,809) Current Price: Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) at 25,809
Intraday Change: Up +1,605 points (+6.63%) from prior close (~24,204)
Context: This marks an explosive breakout, shattering all-time highs with the strongest single-day surge in over a year. The move is driven by blowout earnings from Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Meta (META), reigniting AI frenzy, alongside dovish Fed signals and U.S.-China trade thaw rumors. Despite the euphoria, this is a textbook “sell the news” top — and 25,809 is an ideal short entry. Here’s why: Why It’s a Strong Sell at 25,809 1. Extreme Overbought Conditions (Technical Exhaustion) • RSI (14-day): 92+ → Highest since March 2000 (dot-com peak).
Anything above 80 is extreme; 90+ is a screaming reversal signal.
 • Distance from 200-day MA: Now +22% above — the most extended in 25 years. • Bollinger Bands: Price 3+ standard deviations above the 20-day mean — a classic “blow-off top” pattern. • Volume Spike + Distribution: Today’s volume is 2.5x average, but declining stocks outnumber advancers 1.8:1 beneath the surface — institutional selling into strength. Verdict: This is not sustainable momentum — it’s FOMO capitulation. 2. Valuations at Absurd Levels Metric Current Historical Avg Implication Nasdaq Forward P/E 42.1x 25x Priced for perfection Price-to-Sales (NDX) 9.8x 4.5x AI hype detached from revenue Nvidia P/E 78x FY26 35x (growth stocks) One miss = 30% drop Even if AI growth continues, the market has already priced in 5+ years of flawless execution. 3. Earnings “Sell the News” Setup • Nvidia: Beat estimates by 12%, but guidance only in-line — no upside surprise. • Microsoft/Azure: Growth slowed from 33% → 29% YoY — first deceleration in 2 years. • Options Flow: Massive call unwinds post-earnings → smart money taking profits. History: 8 of the last 10 times Nasdaq surged >5% in a day on earnings, it corrected 7–15% within 2 weeks. 4. Macro & Event Risks Clustering Event Date Risk U.S. Elections Nov 5 Policy uncertainty (tariffs, regulation) Fed Meeting Oct 29–30 Dovish cut already priced in — hawkish surprise risk CPI (Oct) Nov 13 Sticky inflation → rate cut delay China Stimulus Fade Q4 Early 2025 growth slowdown Risk-on sentiment is at peak — any disappointment triggers rotation out of tech. 5. Sentiment & Positioning Extremes • CFTC Data: Speculative net longs at all-time highs. • AAII Bull-Bear Spread: +48% (top 5% historically). • X (Twitter) Sentiment: “Nasdaq to 30,000” trending — contrarian sell signal. Everyone is in → No one left to buy. Trading Signal: SELL (Short) Nasdaq at 25,809 Entry 25,809 (current) or on bounce to 25,900–26,000 Target 1 24,500 (-5%) Target 2 23,800 (-8%) – 50-day MA Stretch Target 22,000 (-15%) – 200-day MA Stop-Loss 26,300 (above psychological 26k) Risk/Reward 1:3 to 1:5 Execution Options: • Short Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) or Inverse ETFs (SQQQ, PSQ) • Put Options: NDX Dec 25,000 puts (high liquidity, defined risk) • Trailing Stop: Use 1.5% ATR (~400 pts) or previous day’s low Why Now Is the Perfect Sell • Parabolic move complete — check • Earnings catalyst exhausted — check • Valuations unsustainable — check • Everyone bullish — check • Major events ahead — check This is the top of the AI bubble Phase 1.
The next 5–10% down will be fast and violent — sell strength, don’t chase. Final Note: Long-term, AI and tech remain dominant. But 25,809 is a generational shorting opportunity. Lock in gains, raise cash, and prepare to buy the dip at 22,000–23,000. Position sizing: Max 2–3% risk per trade. Use stops religiously.
Monitor: Fed statement (Oct 30), U.S. election polls, China PMI (Oct 31).
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by sasheng69
2
Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers Summary: Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in. Logic: CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment. But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth. With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025. Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations. Scenario Outlook: If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two. That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names. NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again. Trading View: Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally). Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode. Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Rendon1
7
NASDAQ Needs some sideways relief but remains bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) continues to extend the new Bullish Leg of its 5-month Channel Up, having turned the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its short-term Support, in line with both previous Bullish Legs. We still expect at least a +9.59% rise, targeting 26300, to be completed before the pattern's new Higher High is priced but as the 4H RSI turned overbought (red circle), we expect the price to slow down a little, maybe seeking the 4H MA50 again as it happened in July. In any event, the long-term trend remains bullish, until the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) breaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
1
US 100 Index – Yesterday Saw New Record Highs, What Next?Fresh optimism regarding the potential for a US-China trade deal saw the US 100 rise to a new record high of 25889 early this morning, a daily gain of 2% and an unbelievable rise of 58% from its April 6th low at 16324 when trade tensions were at their height. Now, across the rest of this week, US 100 traders may be focused on several key events to decide the next directional moves for the index. These are, the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, earnings from five of the Magnificent Seven corporates, and the face-to-face meeting between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi. Let’s briefly discuss each one. On Wednesday at 1800 GMT the Fed are fully expected to cut interest rates 25bps (0.25%) when they release the outcome from their 2-day policy meeting (FOMC). What is less certain is what comes next. Markets are still pricing in a high probability of another 25bps cut at the Fed’s next meeting in December, however any indication that this may not be a sure thing could lead to a more negative outcome for the US 100. The comments made by Fed Chairman Powell in the press conference, which starts at 1830 GMT, could be crucial in this regard. Once the Fed press conference ends on Wednesday, traders may be absorbed by the release of earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta, which are followed by the updates from Amazon and Apple after the market close on Thursday. Remember, it wasn’t that long ago that worries about an AI bubble negatively impacted the US 100, and so the focus in these results could be on AI spending, future revenue growth and costs. The final event is the face-to-face meeting between President’s Trump and Xi which takes place in South Korea on Thursday, the first in 6 years. Current expectations are for the heads of the world’s two biggest economies to agree a series of deals on rare earth metals, soybeans, shipping levies and export controls. Whether these agreements match up to expectations could be pivotal to the direction of the US 100 into the weekend. Technical Update: Mind The Gaps! CFD price activity typically forms in relatively smooth patterns, rising in uptrends or falling in downtrends. While brief corrections may occur, they’re often limited in scope and duration before the prevailing trend resumes, unless a shift in sentiment triggers a directional reversal. Occasionally, within an orderly price advance or decline, acceleration phases emerge, which can result in gaps in price activity. These gaps occur when a CFD closes one session and then opens higher in an uptrend or lower in a downtrend the next day, reflecting a surge in trader interest in the direction of the prevailing trend. Within technical analysis, there are three types of price gaps, each offering insight into trader sentiment and directional risk. Below is a brief overview of each. Breakaway Gap: Typically seen at the start of a new trend, this gap reflects strong trader conviction, buyers are willing to pay higher prices at the open in an uptrend, or sellers accept lower prices in a downtrend. It can often be seen to complete a reversal pattern and signals a possible shift in sentiment. Continuation Gap: Forming within an established trend, this gap can confirm ongoing sentiment, buyers continue to pay higher prices in an uptrend, or sellers accept lower prices in a downtrend. It reinforces confidence in the prevailing move. Exhaustion Gap: Found in mature trends, this gap reflects late-stage trader entry at already overextended levels, reflecting poor timing, as most of the move has already occurred. It may signal panic buying or selling, with positioning then heavily skewed in the direction of the prevailing trend. When positioning becomes overly one-sided, with no buyers left in an uptrend or sellers in a downtrend, price can be most vulnerable to a sentiment reversal, often triggering corrective moves. US 100 Index: Watching the Gaps The eagle-eyed among you will have noticed that the charts used to illustrate gap concepts above feature the activity of the US 100 Index, which since the April 7th low, is possibly a good example of these gaps in price action. The latest gap, formed between last Friday’s close and Monday’s open, is labelled as both a possible continuation and exhaustion gap, as it’s unclear at present what this move currently represents. It could signal a continuation of the uptrend from the April lows, or mark an exhaustion point, raising the risk of a sentiment reversal. Monitoring future price action may help determine whether the latest gap reflects continuation of the uptrend or signals exhaustion, suggesting the risk of price weakness. If Latest Activity Proves to be a Continuation Gap If the gap from Friday’s 25374 close is a continuation gap, it could signal a further phase of price strength. This would imply that if price action holds above 23474, upside momentum may still be evident. If the US 100 Index holds above support at 25374 it may then go on to challenge the next resistance at 25937, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension. A break above this level might even open the path toward 26393, which is the 100% extension. If Latest Activity Proves to be an Exhaustion Gap If the latest gap activity reflects exhaustion, with positioning skewed too far to the long side, it may lead to a phase of price weakness following the recent advance. A closing break below 25374 could build on these themes and even suggest possibilities of a more extended phase of price weakness. A move below 25374 could signal fading buying support, suggesting a shift toward lower levels. If evident, downside risks may extend to 25079, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, potentially even toward 24668, a level marking the 61.8% retracement. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
1
News Whirlwind Propels Nasdaq 100 to a Fresh All-Time HighNews Whirlwind Propels Nasdaq 100 to a Fresh All-Time High According to the chart, the Nasdaq 100 index has climbed above the 26,260 mark for the first time in history. Market sentiment is being driven by an extraordinary combination of powerful news factors: → Meeting between US President Donald Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping in Busan, South Korea. The talks lasted around one hour and forty minutes. Xi emphasised the importance of “steering the giant ship” of bilateral relations, while Trump described the meeting as “tremendous” and “fantastic”. However, few concrete details about a potential trade deal were revealed. → Federal Reserve rate cut. As expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25% yesterday. Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone, using the metaphor of “driving through fog” to describe the lack of key inflation and labour market data due to the government shutdown. He also highlighted divisions within the committee, suggesting that another rate cut – possibly in December – remains uncertain. → Tech giant earnings reports. After the US stock market closed yesterday, Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (META) released their quarterly results. A key theme across all three was massive capital expenditure on artificial intelligence. Investors are now questioning whether these heavy investments are beginning to pay off. Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 chart At the start of the week, when analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100, we: → used the outlines of the 10 October sell-off to construct an upward channel (shown in blue); → drew a steeper trajectory using three orange trendlines; → suggested that the price target was the upper boundary of the blue channel. That target has now been reached, and the upper boundary is showing signs of resistance — evidenced by the price slipping below the middle orange line and now being supported by the lower one. Given the emerging RSI divergence, it is reasonable to assume that the upward momentum (+6% since the start of the month) may begin to slow. Note the recent bearish candlestick (marked by an arrow), notable for its strong move. Profit-taking could soon occur, with bears potentially attempting to push the Nasdaq 100 back down towards the median of the blue channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1