Bearish outlook on nasdaq Price to put the previous engineered liquidity, I would expect to see price fall lower to take out the origin of the move that went to take out the engineered bearish liquidity
Trade ideas
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
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NAS100USD GOLD MIRROR EQ.1) NAS100USD — SNIPER ZONES (live levels from your charts)
Context: previous-week pivots you provided earlier (Tuesday/Thursday) and current price ~ 25,185.
Key levels (use these to draw horizontal zones on 1D / 4H / 1H / 15m)
Pivot Resistance (Prev Tue High): 25,228 (R1)
Immediate Resistance cluster: 25,250 – 25,300 (R2)
Current Bias / Mid: 25,185 (mid)
Support (session swing): 24,800 – 24,750 (S1)
Lower structural support (Prev Thurs Low): 23,998 (S2)
Draw these on 1D and 4H. On 1H/15m use the exact same horizontal lines and highlight the small intraday confluence zones inside them.
A — Bullish Sniper (Breakout + Pullback)
Trigger: Price closes above 25,228 on 15m or 1H and then pulls back into 25,150–25,200 zone (confluence: fib, VWAP or 1H/15m trendline).
Entry: Limit buy in 25,150–25,200 on the pullback (or market on confirmed rejection of the zone).
Stop: 25,100 (15–50 pts below entry depending timeframe; typical stop = 25–50 pts).
TP ladder:
TP1 = +30 pts → ~25,180–25,230 (close partial)
TP2 = +60 pts → ~25,260–25,320 (second partial)
TP3 = +100 pts → ~25,350–25,400 (final take)
R:R guideline: Aim ≥2.5:1 on full ladder (scale out).
Confirmation: Finviz breadth green & TimeMirror projection from Gold (see gold confirmation below) → increase size.
B — Bearish Sniper (Breakdown + Retest)
Trigger: Clear break and close below 24,800 with momentum OR rejection at 25,250 fails and price falls back under 24,800.
Entry: Sell on retest of 24,800–24,770 (rejection candle on 15m/1H).
Stop: 25,020 (approx 220 pts above, tighten for intraday to 25,000 if aggressive).
TP ladder:
TP1 = 24,500 (-30–50 pts)
TP2 = 24,200 (-100 pts)
TP3 = 23,900 (target S2 area)
Risk control: If CFTC shows net-long expanding (small-cap strength) or Finviz breadth strongly bullish, skip or reduce size.
C — Intraday Micro-Sniper (15m / 5m)
Range play between 25,228 and 24,800.
Entries: Look for wick rejections at zone edges on M15/M5. Tight stops (10–20 pts). TP small (20–40 pts). Only 1–2 units max per day.
take asia? nihaumaybe we can take out asia high today and revers?? double top out of the playbook like so many gurus wil say
full margin full risk best of luck to everybody we'll see in a moment
Will the second scenario come true? |October 17 2025Based on the evidence, price action, and fundamental news, it seems the second scenario is about to play out.
The Nasdaq index turned positive after recovering its losses when Trump responded “No” to a question about whether he would maintain the heavy tariffs on China.
From today, my outlook is bullish until the previous high gets hunted — after that, I’ll reassess whether we’re likely to see further downside or if the bullish outlook should remain.
If market conditions shift and a continuation of the downtrend becomes more likely, we can take a solid short position next week to catch the move.
But for now, my bias is bullish, and the second scenario will likely play out.
If price reaches the second high I marked in blue, we’ll probably see a reaction from that zone.
If I open a trade, I’ll share it with you.
NASDAQ/SPX – Are We Really in an AI Bubble?This chart compares NASDAQ to the S&P 500 (NASDAQ/SPX) on a monthly timeframe, visualized with Heikin Ashi candles and a logarithmic regression channel for long-term context. It highlights the dot-com bubble, where the ratio reached extreme overvaluation levels far above the regression mean.
Recently, many investors have been calling the current market an “AI bubble.” However, when viewed through this historical lens, the ratio still remains within the long-term growth channel and far below the excesses of the early 2000s. This perspective suggests that, at least relative to the broader market, tech doesn’t appear to be in bubble territory yet.
It would still be valuable to compare the composition of the NASDAQ today versus in 2000, as the market structure has changed dramatically — with more diversified revenue streams, profitability, and balance sheet strength. Without this data, one can only speculate. But visually, this ratio helps challenge the popular narrative of an ongoing bubble and invites a more nuanced discussion about valuation, innovation cycles, and sector dominance.
#NASDAQ #SPX #Macro #Tech #AIbubble #DotCom #LongTerm #RatioAnalysis #HeikinAshi #MarketCycle
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 21 2025Price took PDH and is currently failing to break out of a strong daily resistance area so i will be looking for sells towards 4h FVG and SSL
Nasdaq short I think nq is going to go down and a retest in to that lower area is needed for a refuel to the upside.
USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH ZoneUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Correction From ATH Zone
USNAS100 reached a new all-time high but has now stabilized below the supply zone, suggesting a bearish correction phase.
As long as price stays below 25,180, the index remains under pressure toward 25,035 → 24,960 → 24,860.
🕯 Technical View
A 1H close above 25,230 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 25,400 → 25,600.
Pivot: 25,180
Bias: Bearish below 25,180
US100 shortlooks like that the market wants to "fight" against the liquidity that has been built yesterday... NY-opening I love u <3 xD
NASDAQ ready to continue up.We are positioning for long entries in the Nasdaq, anticipating that the VIX will continue its decline toward calmer levels at Monday’s open. This aligns with the observed rotation out of defensive sectors and the increasing risk appetite in cyclical and growth-oriented sectors.
The setup suggests a risk-on environment, with potential for sectoral leadership shifts favoring tech and high-beta equities, as implied volatility contracts and market sentiment improves.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Bounce from Key SupportNAS100 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,804.95, which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,423.43, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 25,500.67, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index recently tested its all-time high and is now showing signs of a potential corrective pullback after a strong bullish run.
📉 Expected scenario:
The price may retrace toward the 24,900 demand zone, which serves as an important support area.
If the index bounces from this level, it could resume its upward movement to form a new high.
However, if the price breaks below 24,900 and holds, a deeper move toward 24,600 is likely.
📈 Best buy zone: On a confirmed rebound from 24,900
📍 Best sell zone: On a confirmed rebound from 25,100, or Below 24,900 after confirmation
USNASDAQ100 Consolidation to downside correctionThe NASDAQ 100 started the week on solid ground, supported by gains in mega-cap stocks. However, investor sentiment remains cautious ahead of a wave of corporate earnings and a critical inflation report, both of which could determine the next major market move.
🔍 Outlook
If sellers maintain control, the USNAS100 could correct toward 25,300 initially. A break below this level would open the door toward the 24,550 support area. However, a rebound from 25,300 could trigger a short-term recovery — but the broader outlook remains bearish unless price regains ground above 26,000.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout
After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated.
However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken.
If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
• The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in.
• A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising.
• That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs.
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🎯 Personal View
The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset.
A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up.
If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions.
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💬 In summary:
The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally.
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US100 Consolidates Below All-Time Highs-Can Bulls Break Through?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This area represents the current all-time high and a clear supply zone where sellers previously absorbed aggressive buying pressure. It remains the strongest resistance in the current structure, a breakout above must be confirmed by sustained acceptance and volume before it can be trusted. Otherwise, this level continues to offer short opportunities or liquidity traps for late buyers.
Zone 2: Key Demand
This zone served as resistance before the most recent breakout and now acts as the first layer of demand. It’s a technical “flip zone,” where buyers stepped in to defend structure after the breakout attempt. As long as price holds above Zone 2, short-term bullish momentum remains valid. A clean break back below, however, would suggest a failed breakout and likely pull price toward deeper liquidity below.
Zone 3: Strong Buy Zone
This zone represents Monday’s low, the point where buyers stepped in decisively and drove the breakout move higher. It’s effectively the foundation of the current leg up and acts as a strong demand pocket created by institutional buying. As long as price remains above this area, market structure stays firmly bullish. A clean break below would invalidate the recent bullish impulse and indicate weakening buyer control.
Today’s market mood and outlook for US100
The US100 is holding a cautiously optimistic tone today, extending the strength seen on Monday. Yesterday’s rally was fueled by gains in major tech names, particularly Apple, alongside renewed hopes for progress in US–China trade relations and growing expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
That optimism continues into today, though investors remain wary. Falling oil prices and concerns about slowing global demand are tempering enthusiasm, and with the US government shutdown still delaying key data releases, visibility remains limited.
Overall, sentiment stays positive but measured, markets are leaning risk-on, supported by tech momentum and easing trade tensions, yet the rally remains vulnerable to any negative macro or geopolitical surprises.
Nasdaq Long Position Nasdaq has reached my set target of $25,000, a minor correction occurred but nonetheless we still in the bull run. Will Nasdaq reach $26,000? Let's wait and see
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Get Ready for Breakout
Nasdaq index is currently testing a resistance based on a current
all-time high.
With a high probability, the market is going to break that.
A daily candle close above will confirm a violation.
A further growth will be expected at least to 25500 level then.
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NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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Clown market deserves the best tricksCan Trump save the world again by the end of the day? In this market anything is possible. It looks like the weekly open will hold.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 20 2025I want to see price sweep BSL/London highs then make internal bearish structure on the 1m/5m forming a IFVG and CISD to take sells toward SSL/Asia lows
USNAS100 | Weakness Persists Below PivotUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Bias Below 25,035
USNAS100 has stabilized below the pivot zone at 25,035, indicating potential downside movement toward 24,860.
A break below 24,860 would strengthen the bearish trend, targeting 24,750 → 24,510 in the short term.
On the other hand, if price closes a 1H candle above 25,035, it would confirm a bullish reversal, opening the path toward 25,200 → 25,400.
Pivot: 25,035
Support: 24,860 – 24,750 – 24,510
Resistance: 25,200 – 25,400 – 25,540
