Markets: Patience "The stock market is a device to transfer money from the impatient to the patient." — Warren Buffett
I'm still Bullish, but looking for a pullback to add new positions. If you look at the daily RSI-5 charts below, they are all on the extended area. This is one of several tools I use to help to look for short term swing trading. So for now the game is to be patience for the next few days. Cheers.
Trade ideas
$RSP S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF – Trading Range AnalysisOverview
Since June 24th, I have maintained a position in the RSP S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF. My decision to enter this position was based on two primary factors. First, the ETF had consolidated following a significant upward move from its previous bottom, presenting an attractive risk-reward opportunity for a stop-loss placement. Second, I anticipated that the ongoing bull market would broaden, benefiting a wider array of stocks. As an equal weight ETF, RSP offers exposure to smaller companies that could potentially deliver larger gains. This approach also serves to diversify risk across numerous companies.
Current Trading Range
Beginning in mid-August, RSP appears to have entered a trading range, with its price movement predominantly sideways since then. Despite this period of consolidation, I remain optimistic that, should the bull market continue, RSP will eventually break out above its current range.
Position Management Strategy
At present, my allocation to RSP is at its usual full position size. However, I am prepared to increase my exposure and potentially oversize the position if the ETF breaks above the trading range, which would occur around the $192.00 level. For those considering a new position, it may be prudent to wait for a close above the 50-day moving average (DMA), as indicated by the red line. This setup could present a favorable risk-reward scenario, with a stop placed below the most recent low.
Considerations for Traders
Although RSP is not currently offering a setup that meets the criteria for action within this trading strategy, it may be worthwhile to add the ETF to your watchlist. It is important for all readers to conduct their own analysis and consistently adhere to their personal trading rules. Remember, all investments carry inherent risk, and making informed decisions is essential when allocating capital.
$RSP:TIME TO TAKE THE STAGEMoving forward, it will be essential to monitor the strength of the Equal Weight SP:SPX ETF. For the market to maintain its upward trend, broad participation is necessary. While bears may perceive a Double Top pattern, I see that the MACD is close to triggering a buy signal, and the 14-day RSI has recovered above the 50 line.
S&P 500 Extreme Breadth Reading! Caution!Why It Matters
Strong breadth = healthy rally, broad participation → more sustainable trend.
Weak breadth = top-heavy rally, fragile momentum → prone to correction.
Think of it like an airplane:
If all four engines (hundreds of stocks) are pushing, you can climb easily.
If one engine (a few mega-caps) is doing all the work, you can stay aloft — but not for long!
CAUTION! is in order!
Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
Longterm S&P 500 Equal weight.The long-term Elliott Wave pattern appears to be approaching completion, and primary Wave 5 could be an ending diagonal.
This formation suggests a significant reversal down to the start of the E.D, which would be around the COVID low. This would be only be Wave A in a larger bearish pattern.
#RSP and a simple parallel channel give a hope for the next weekHi there!
What a ride! I believe it’s a good thing that the market is closed for the weekend—I need to recharge my battery.
Today's thoughts:
If we draw a parallel channel on #RSP, which is equally structured by weight, we can observe that the price has touched the lower line.
This means that, theoretically, the price could hold here and reverse in the next week (or weeks), as it did in October 2023. Alternatively, it may not hold and could move down further, similar to what happened in 2020.
My point here is that the hysterical sell-off is near its end. The question remains: how much more pain will the Bulls endure before the reversal begins?
Happy weekend!
RSP and WHY I AM BULLISH STILL197/199 target The chart posted is the sp 500 equal weighted RSP has dropped to a trend line dated back to march 23 2020 . I have three clean points and all are major . Elliot Wave calls for a final 5th wave to end this advance in the area of 198 plus or minus 1.25 Fib relationship and PUT /CALL as well as most of my spiral and cycles point to the final advance to a Bull market top is now setup . BULL MARKETS TOP ON GOOD NEWS > Best of trades WAVETIMER
Market Going UPWe have been doing a cup and handle pattern for a long time...
The RSP shows you what the general market is doing unweighted and less distorted.
We have been experiencing much downfalls in the previous weeks in the BIG STOCKS,
but the rest of the market was not impacted...
This means...
Someone painted the market red... while buying the whole market...
Volume also seems to confirm more bullish bias than bearish bias.
US Markets Cleared For A 13% to 24% Rally - Get SomeThis video highlights why I believe the US markets are ready to make a big move higher over the next 12 to 24+ months.
Many people suggest the markets will crack or crash, or we will experience some black/grey swan event. I'm afraid I have to disagree with this belief.
Yes, there is always a chance we will see some market event. However, to disrupt the US/global economy, there would have to be some event that disrupts the world, not just one or two smaller countries.
I do believe the US is making a broad transition into the 21st century, and new leadership (Govt) is required to make that happen.
But I also believe the seeds have been planted for exponential growth over the next 10-20+ years - and many traders are too focused on the crash dummies to see the real potential.
Watch this video. Share your comments if you like.
I believe we will see pullbacks and rotations on the way up - but I don't think we'll see any big crash event until after 2031 (or later).
Get some. This is going to be BIG.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
What is RSP telling us about this market ? For the longest, analyst were not convinced of the market strength although market was making new highs. This is because in their opinion the market was being led by a handful of stocks and the broader market was not participating in this uptrend.
Today we have RSP, the equal weighted S&P 500 index breaking out of a triangle and looking set on claiming new highs. So what's the Difference between SPY and RSP ? I'm glad you asked :)
SPY is a cap weighted index meaning that the companies with the highest (smallest) market cap hold more (less) weight in the Index and while the equal weighted means each companies have the same weight (2% in the RSP). As of June 21st 2024 (that'll work for the explanation)
MSFT 7.19%
NVDA 7.01%
APPL 6.61%
AMZN 3.69%
Totaling 24.5% in the SPY. In the RSP they would each have a weight of 2% totaling 8%. Great, but what does that mean ? This means that large caps have less power and small and mid caps have more influence in the RSP than in SPY. So RSP breaking out might potentially signal that small and mid cap companies are on the move.
Fundamentally this could be due to the fact that if rates come down, the smaller companies who rely more on debt might face less financial pressure and increase their bottom line.
So its good to keep our eyes open on the smaller companies.
This is not a call to action nor a recommendation but more of an idea im throwing out there.
Cheers,
S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF P-like waveObservation:
The S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF has been consolidating since April 2024. The price will enter the apex of consolidation in July through August, coiling for a breakout at that time; if not, the market will delay until US elections in November.
Daily view:
Daily consolidating since April 2024.
P-like wave
Weekly view:
Weekly pullback to the box of 2022.
Weekly flag pole
Comment:
Patience and sitting on hands in a bull market trend...






















