Get started
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETFInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETFInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF

No trades
OverviewAnalysisHoldingsNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonalsOptions

Market insights

S&P 500 Equal Weight 100% more ROI than SP500RSP | Short Setup | Equal-Weight Loss of Momentum at Channel Top | (Dec 19, 2025) 🔹 Thesis Summary Equal-weight S&P (RSP) is stalling beneath prior highs after a failed breakout at the top of a 2-year rising channel. Breadth has softened while volume-by-price shows a heavy node below—risk skew favors a controlled fade into the mid-170s if the rejection holds. 🔹 Narrative & Context Structure: Price was rejected inside a defined supply box at the channel ceiling. Momentum (RSI subpanel) failed to confirm new highs and keeps printing “bear” tags near ~60—classic non-confirmation. Volume Profile: Right-side VPVR shows a thick node around 169–173; acceptance back into this area often gravitates price toward its lower boundary. Moving Averages: Short MAs have flattened beneath the failed breakout; a rollover toward the 200D is plausible if 188 gives way. Breadth Theme: Equal-weight underperformance vs market-cap S&P persists (historical inset on chart). If leadership remains narrow, equal-weight typically lags into pullbacks. Sector Rotation: Cyclical/value tilt within RSP leaves it more sensitive to slowdown scares and tightening financial conditions than the megacap-heavy cap-weight index. 🔹 Narrative & Context Structure: Price was rejected inside a defined supply box at the channel ceiling. Momentum (RSI subpanel) failed to confirm new highs and keeps printing “bear” tags near ~60—classic non-confirmation. Volume Profile: Right-side VPVR shows a thick node around 169–173; acceptance back into this area often gravitates price toward its lower boundary. Moving Averages: Short MAs have flattened beneath the failed breakout; a rollover toward the 200D is plausible if 188 gives way. Breadth Theme: Equal-weight underperformance vs market-cap S&P persists (historical inset on chart). If leadership remains narrow, equal-weight typically lags into pullbacks. Sector Rotation: Cyclical/value tilt within RSP leaves it more sensitive to slowdown scares and tightening financial conditions than the megacap-heavy cap-weight index. 🔹 Valuation & Context (Pro Metrics, Framed Simply) Forward P/E: Equal-weight tends to trade closer to mid-teens vs. higher teens/low-20s for the cap-weighted index → Investors pay less per $1 of forward earnings → If growth cools, the smaller premium offers less cushion than price action implies; it doesn’t protect against de-rating driven by weaker breadth. Quality / Profitability: Aggregate ROE for a broad equal-weight basket is typically lower than the megacap cohort → The quality mix is more average → In a risk-off tape, lower-quality cohorts usually get sold harder. Growth: EPS growth profile is more balanced, without the AI-heavy outliers → Less narrative support on disappointments → Weak hands exit faster on technical breaks. Risk: Debt/Equity is more heterogeneous across constituents → Uneven balance-sheet quality → Under rising real yields, dispersion widens—favors the short when the index loses trend. 🔹 Contrarian Angle (Your Edge) Consensus still leans on “soft-landing breadth catch-up.” The chart argues the opposite near-term: failed breakout, momentum divergence, and a fat volume shelf below. If 188 breaks with volume, a swift air-pocket to 181/172 is on the table—contrary to the “breadth revival” narrative. 🔹 Risks Sudden breadth thrust (financials/industrials bid) squeezes equal-weight back above 201–203. Policy dovishness or disinflation surprise compresses risk premiums and lifts cyclicals. Seasonality/flows (rebalance, CTA re-engagement) overwhelm the technicals. 🔹 Macro Considerations Watch rates & USD: falling yields/weak DXY would undercut the short. NQ vs RSP spread: if megacap leadership pauses without breadth cracking, downside follow-through may be slower. Event risk: CPI/PCE, payrolls, and Fed communications; large options expiries that can flip dealer positioning around 190–195. 🔹 Bottom Line RSP is rejecting at supply with deteriorating momentum and a pull-to-value below. With risk defined above 201–203, the short offers attractive asymmetry toward 181 → 172 → 169 if breadth fails to re-accelerate. 🔹 Forward Path If this post gets traction, I’ll publish a weekly-chart follow-up with updated levels, breadth metrics, and the NQ:RSP ratio read. Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research. Charts and visuals may include AI enhancements. 🔹 Footnote Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits. P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency. FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested. ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital. ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge. Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative. R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3.
AMEX:RSPShort
by Risk_Adj_Return
How $450 a Month Can Turn Into $1 Million (If You Do It Right)If we reach 10+ LIKE I will do an Update!!!!!!!!!!!! 💡 Watch till the end to see how $450 a month can realistically grow over 30 years when you apply professional risk management and compounding math. Ray Dalio Strategy is also covered Most people invest without a plan. Professionals don’t. In this video, we break down how to design and backtest a real investment portfolio using Portfolio Visualizer, Monte Carlo simulations, and key risk-return metrics like ROI, Sharpe Ratio, and Sortino Ratio. You’ll see how different strategies perform over time, from the classic 60/40 and 70/30 bond strategies to Ray Dalio’s Season. We’ll cover: What Sharpe and Sortino ratios actually tell you How to use Portfolio Visualizer for realistic backtests How to read Monte Carlo simulations and understand risk How bonds, stocks, and alternative assets behave in different markets Which strategies hold up best through inflation, recessions, and volatility The difference between chasing returns and building durability If you’ve ever wondered: “Where do I start with ETFs?” “How do I analyze a portfolio properly?” “Which mix gives the best long-term results?” This video gives you a clear framework to think like a professional, even if you’re managing your own money. Tools mentioned: Portfolio Visualizer • Monte Carlo Simulation • Sharpe Ratio Calculator • Ray Dalio All-Weather Template Disclaimer: This content reflects personal market opinions and is shared for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always conduct your own research and assess your risk before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
AMEX:RSPEducation
by Risk_Adj_Return
1
Swing Trading CycleTo successfully navigate swing trading cycles, focus on aligning your trades with the market's prevailing rhythm, prioritizing risk management, adhere to your playbook, and maintaining emotional discipline. Daily RSI-5 is one of several tools I use to best gauge the Market's cycle for my swing trades. We want to start looking for new positions when the indictor dips below 50 on strong trends and below 30 on sideway/weak trend. Stock leaders tend to start making their up move ahead of the other regular stocks, so stick with the top 20% leading stocks. Gold is overbought, so wait for pull backs. QQQE is under 50 now to look for new longs. IWM is slowly coming down, but not under 50 yet. If we can get both RSP and QQQE both under 50, then that would be the ideal condition.
AMEX:RSP
by StockHunter88
$RSP S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF – Trading Range AnalysisOverview Since June 24th, I have maintained a position in the RSP S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF. My decision to enter this position was based on two primary factors. First, the ETF had consolidated following a significant upward move from its previous bottom, presenting an attractive risk-reward opportunity for a stop-loss placement. Second, I anticipated that the ongoing bull market would broaden, benefiting a wider array of stocks. As an equal weight ETF, RSP offers exposure to smaller companies that could potentially deliver larger gains. This approach also serves to diversify risk across numerous companies. Current Trading Range Beginning in mid-August, RSP appears to have entered a trading range, with its price movement predominantly sideways since then. Despite this period of consolidation, I remain optimistic that, should the bull market continue, RSP will eventually break out above its current range. Position Management Strategy At present, my allocation to RSP is at its usual full position size. However, I am prepared to increase my exposure and potentially oversize the position if the ETF breaks above the trading range, which would occur around the $192.00 level. For those considering a new position, it may be prudent to wait for a close above the 50-day moving average (DMA), as indicated by the red line. This setup could present a favorable risk-reward scenario, with a stop placed below the most recent low. Considerations for Traders Although RSP is not currently offering a setup that meets the criteria for action within this trading strategy, it may be worthwhile to add the ETF to your watchlist. It is important for all readers to conduct their own analysis and consistently adhere to their personal trading rules. Remember, all investments carry inherent risk, and making informed decisions is essential when allocating capital.
AMEX:RSPLong
by Brent_Calver
S&P 500 Extreme Breadth Reading! Caution!Why It Matters Strong breadth = healthy rally, broad participation → more sustainable trend. Weak breadth = top-heavy rally, fragile momentum → prone to correction. Think of it like an airplane: If all four engines (hundreds of stocks) are pushing, you can climb easily. If one engine (a few mega-caps) is doing all the work, you can stay aloft — but not for long! CAUTION! is in order! Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
AMEX:RSPLong
by RealMacro
21
#RSP and a simple parallel channel give a hope for the next weekHi there! What a ride! I believe it’s a good thing that the market is closed for the weekend—I need to recharge my battery. Today's thoughts: If we draw a parallel channel on #RSP, which is equally structured by weight, we can observe that the price has touched the lower line. This means that, theoretically, the price could hold here and reverse in the next week (or weeks), as it did in October 2023. Alternatively, it may not hold and could move down further, similar to what happened in 2020. My point here is that the hysterical sell-off is near its end. The question remains: how much more pain will the Bulls endure before the reversal begins? Happy weekend!
AMEX:RSPLong
by ChartsPlusFun