DCA Play $SOXL | TARGET 1 REACHEDPrice action moved with good momentum and maintained volume for the trading day.
The original call is good to go:
T2 @ $32.70 to gap fill if momentum is persists (poor spelling when analyzing at 3am - but you get the gist)
I expect a minor pull back before gap fill; depending on price action, may or may not add to position.
A gap up would be signal to close all profits, with a +10% PnL.
gg
SOXL trade ideas
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 28th 20 Covered Call... for a 18.91 debit.
Comments: I wanted to take advantage of this little bit of weakness here, but at less risk than what I ordinarily take, giving me more "room to be wrong." Here, selling the -84 delta calls against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short calls.
Additionally, it's at strikes better than what I currently have on ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 18.91
Max Profit: 1.09
ROC at Max: 5.76%
50% Max: .55
ROC at 50% Max: 2.88%
Is SOXL ever going to breakout...Have held long on SOXL for about 5.5 weeks now with an average price of $30. I identified a wedge alongside "hidden" divergence on the MACD on a weekly time scale but it's still been pretty much in the same zone/area of consolidation.
When the DeepSeek news broke out, I was for sure ready to cut ties with this one since the Nasdaq was in a complete bloodbath but I gave it some room and glad to see it has been recovering OK for now.
My original target for one is/was $40 but I'd consider taking it off the table if we saw $35+ again. We'll see how this week performs and watch for that gap being filled.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 21st 23 Covered Call... for a 21.09 debit.
Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 21.09/share
Max Profit: 1.91
ROC at Max: 9.06%
50% Max: .86
ROC at 50% Max: 4.03%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out the short call if my take profit is not hit.
SOXL Has Room to Run?This one has a double bottom look, with a higher low, and another 4% remaining to hit take profit enroute to retesting the neckline before breaking out (another 8% from here) or balance and fail! Stop loss of 5% is pretty steep, so typically I either lower my position size or stop loss. Even at 4% stop loss, according to backtest results this wins more than it loses and has done pretty decent in the past, as I have been forward testing this model for over the past 18 months and profiting from over 100 different equities that I signal on.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes! SOXL and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). Check out my script, as I am always looking for people to help test and I am always interested in feedback...
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 21st 20 Covered Call... for an 18.21 debit.
Comments: Adding to my current position at strikes better than what I have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 18.21
Max Profit: 1.79
ROC at Max: 9.83%
50% Max: .90
ROC at 50% Max: 4.91%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my TP is not hit.
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 21st 23 Covered Call... for a 20.87 debit.
Comments: High IVR/IV. Adding to my position at a break even better than what I currently have on. Selling the -75 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 20.87
Max Profit: 2.13
ROC at Max: 10.21%
50% Max: 1.07
ROC at 50% Max: 5.11%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals (assuming I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on), and/or roll out the short call in the event take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 21st 20 Covered Call... for a 17.96 debit.
Comments: High IVR/IV plus weakness. Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/ Break Even: 17.96/share
Max Profit: 2.04
ROC at Max: 11.36%
50% Max: 1.02
ROC at 50% Max: 5.68%
SOXL, SMH, Parabolic Move AheadSemiconductors( SOXL, SMH) are on the verge of finalizing a correction and are poised for a significant upward movement, potentially resembling a parabolic rally.
Many investors will be caught off guard and have already lost faith in the semiconductor sector. By Q1 2025, i expect semiconductors to reach new highs.
If you resonate with this perspective, please share and boost! :)
Direxion Semiconductor 3x Bull | SOXL | Long at $30.00So many semiconductor companies... which one to choose? Enter AMEX:SOXL - not for the faint of heart. Losses and gains triple compared to most semiconductor ETFs, so stay away if high-risk plays aren't your thing. The top three holdings are NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:NVDA - two of which are at all-time highs...
I wouldn't be shocked if AMEX:SOXL enters the low $20's to test the base of my historical simple moving average area, but I don't think we are done hearing about AI and the semi demand. There are large gaps to fill above and below the current price and we are at the 50/50 stage (i.e. historical simple moving average zone) for a price move up or down.
My bet is up, especially with the new presidential administration. If politicians start dumping semis, I'm out. Thus, at $30.00 AMEX:SOXL is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $35
Target #2 = $40
Target #3 = $50
Target #4 = $60
SOXL WEEK OF 11/18/24SOXL WEEK OF 11/18/24
To maintain simplicity, once the price moves beyond the WHITE range, monitor for a potential retest of the breached level.
Be prepared to initiate long or short positions targeting the YELLOW ranges. While prices may surpass the YELLOW range targets, these levels provide a robust framework for securing profits. 🎯🫡
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
SOXL WEEK 11/11/24SOXL WEEK 11/11/24
Trying to keep this as simple as possible.
Once price breaks outside of the Blue range, watch for possible retest of broken level and be ready to long or short into the YELLOW ranges.
Price may exceed YELLOW range targets, but it’s at least a strong help to make profit 🎯🫡.
*LEVELS ARE NOT RANDOM OR BASED OFF EMOTION OR PERSONAL BIAS. BACKTESTED WITH THOROUGH RESEARCH WITH OVER 90% ACCURACY....HENCE WHY MOVE WILL MOST LIKELY BE GREATER THAN ESTIMATED.*
Semiconductor Stocks Have Already Crashed !If you are looking for reasons why big money investors are
selling the US stock market in September, a closer look
at the Semiconductor ETF SOXL,
shows that stocks in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index have already crashed !
From a high of $70 in April 2024, this ETF was priced and trading at 25.96 on Friday.
Big trouble now lies ahead if this ETF takes out its recent $23 Low.
Traders looking to short Semiconductor Stocks,on a crash
should use SOXS,.. which has already risen 50 % this summer alone.
SOXL 25.96 Close 9/6/24
THE_UNWIND
WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
$SOXL Value Reclaim, year anchored VWAP testAMEX:SOXL quickly reclaimed value last week along with many of the other tech sectors and stocks. NQ cleared VWAP and upper value with no problem, we'll see if AMEX:SOXL can do the same this week. If we reject at yearly VWAP, I expect a return to lower value. If we clear, we can expect to go to upper value.