Aster vs Hyperliquid – Value BreakdownWas just taking a closer look at GETTEX:HYPE vs $ASTER. Both projects are moving fast, but the fundamentals tell two very different stories.
Hyperliquid ( GETTEX:HYPE ):
Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): $46.7B
Annualized Fees: $1.1B
30D Perp Volume: $300B
Volume = ~2% of the entire stablecoin market
Valuation multiple: 42.5x fees
Aster ($ASTER):
Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): $16.5B
Annualized Fees: $110M
30D Perp Volume: $27.7B
Valuation multiple: 150x fees
Takeaway:
While $ASTER has seen explosive early performance, the fee-to-FDV ratio is stretched. Meanwhile, GETTEX:HYPE is already generating serious fee revenue and market share, making it fundamentally a stronger value proposition even at current levels.
ASTERUSDT.P trade ideas
Aster: Hidden Orders, Big Players & Q4 PotentialThe #Aster vs #HYPE confrontation could be one of the key narratives of Q4.
Main driver: hidden limit orders — a feature loved by whales for reducing exposure to monitoring groups.
Key points:
Bitfinex introduced this feature back in 2017 with higher fees compared to standard orders.
Current market conditions (advanced screeners, bots, higher liquidity, and demand for anonymity) make such functionality far more relevant.
CZ’s potential comeback adds additional weight to Aster’s expansion strategy.
Analysts estimate that for Aster to match Hype’s scale, the token would need to trade at $7.83.
Our accumulation zones (if correction occurs):
$1.70 — reasonable entry
$1.40 — ideal target
$0.90 — extended wish
Question remains: will Aster evolve into a Q4 market leader, or is it simply another hype cycle?
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ASTER PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $1.52ASTER PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $1.52
Currently $1.52
Targeting $1.42 or Down
(Trading plan IF ASTER
go up to $1.63 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advic
$ASTER - my reasoning (LONG $1.881)I promised more details regarding my $ASTER long entry a few hrs ago at $1.881, and here is my full reasoning for all it's worth.
First of all, the attached Liquidations heatmap (#Binance one as they probably hold some stake in this, not to mention CZ, the biggest CRYPTOCAP:BNB holder) points to much larger pools of Liqudity around $2.2 and above the ATH, $2.41-$2.5.
So that's the most likely direction also backed by fundamentals, such as record daily revenues, growing users numbers etc. Liquidity wise, we could also sweep the recent late longs down to $1.6 before another explosive leg up.
So the STOP LOSS: $1.547
Very wide, but much higher targets explain this, and the FIRST TARGET (30% cash-out) sits at $2.62.
Then we see what happens, for now we have a DOUBLE BOTTOM pattern to rely on, and a volume spike at the start of US session.
Very risky trade due to the Bitcoin dominance bullishness, so easy with the stakes at risk. 💙
$ASTER - Long Trade IdeaMEXC:ASTERUSDT | 30m
Word on the street is CZ’s got big plans for ASTER, and he’s not playing small. Rumor has it he’s ready to push this thing sky-high.
Price is currently trading around $1.57, down nearly 25% after peaking at $2.
Here’s a Long Setup I’m watching:
If price pulls back to the $1.20–$1.09 zone, I’d consider going long with a stop loss at $0.90.
Targets:
$1.50 to 1.65
$1.87 to $2
$2.50 to 2.67
ASTER/USDT – Bullish Flag Inside Ascending Channel | Target $3Description:
ASTER is currently trading within a strong ascending channel on the 4H timeframe.
After an impulsive rally, price action has formed a bullish flag, consolidating above key dynamic support.
🔑 Key Points:
• Price has tested and respected the lower channel support (~$1.70–$1.80).
• Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below have been filled, reducing downside risk.
• An important Order Block (OB) and resistance zone sits around $2.30. A breakout above this level would confirm strength.
• Volume shows decreasing sell pressure during consolidation, adding confidence to the bullish setup.
📈 Expectation:
As long as the structure holds, a breakout from the flag could extend the bullish leg toward the $3 psychological level, which also aligns with the upper channel resistance.
❌ Invalidation:
A breakdown below $1.70 would negate this bullish scenario.
Aster Forms Higher Low at Channel Support, Targets 53% RallyAster (ASTR/USDT) has been consolidating within a well-defined channel structure, and the latest price action indicates the formation of a higher low. This development, occurring in alignment with Fibonacci and VWAP confluence, is technically significant. The setup reinforces the prevailing bullish bias, suggesting that Aster may soon attempt a breakout toward higher-timeframe resistance.
Key Technical Points
- Higher Low Structure: Price is forming a bullish higher low within the channel.
- Confluence Zone: Support aligns with both the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP.
- Upside Objective: A move toward the channel high represents over 53% potential upside.
Aster’s recent pullback tested channel support to the dollar, an area that coincides with the 0.618 retracement level. This precise reaction underscores the market’s respect for technical levels and suggests that buyers are defending the bullish structure. Each test of support has seen notable buying interest, reinforcing the idea of accumulation at these levels.
The creation of a higher low is a hallmark of bullish continuation, especially when accompanied by structural confluence. The projected path is a rally toward the channel’s high-timeframe resistance, where supply previously capped upward momentum. If Aster can sustain its position within this channel, the probability of continuation toward the upside remains strong.
Volume has shown signs of stabilizing on pullbacks, a positive indication for buyers. Sustained inflows of demand would further validate the bullish case, as historically, low-volume retracements followed by high-volume breakouts have marked continuation phases in Aster’s price action.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action
If Aster confirms the higher low at channel support, the next move could be a 53% rally toward channel resistance. This level will act as the primary upside target in the near term. Losing channel support, however, would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus back to lower liquidity zones. For now, technicals remain firmly supportive of a bullish continuation.
ASTR – Testing $1.50 Support Amid Corrective PhaseASTR remains in a corrective structure after losing its point of control. The $1.50 level is the next key support where buyers may attempt to defend and build accumulation.
The asset has struggled to regain momentum after falling below its high-volume node. Price action is now approaching a crucial support zone, which may serve as the foundation for a consolidation range.
Key Technical Points:
- Point of control lost, confirming corrective momentum.
- Next major support lies at $1.50.
- Dynamic resistance must be broken with volume for bullish rotation.
ASTR has experienced notable weakness after its corrective downturn pushed price below the point of control. This breakdown suggests sellers remain in control in the short term. However, the $1.50 support zone is critical for bulls, as a strong bounce here could lay the groundwork for a consolidation range and eventual recovery.
For the bullish case to regain credibility, ASTR must reclaim dynamic resistance on increased volume. Without this, further corrective behavior may continue, with the market settling into a range-bound structure before any breakout attempt.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
If $1.50 holds, ASTR may consolidate and prepare for a recovery. A breach of dynamic resistance with strong demand would mark the start of a bullish rotation. Failure to hold support risks deeper declines.
Aster Price Action Rebounds Toward Point of Control Aster has rebounded from a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement in confluence with VWAP support. Price is now targeting the point of control, which could unlock momentum toward the $2 high-time-frame resistance.
Aster's recent price action has provided a textbook example of Fibonacci and VWAP confluence acting as a springboard for recovery. After retesting this major support, the market is now bouncing, with focus shifting toward the point of control (POC). A reclaim of this critical level could serve as the catalyst for a bullish continuation, potentially driving Astor toward its next structural high at $2.
Key Technical Points:
- Support: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligned with VWAP SR.
- Target: Point of control reclaim to open path toward $2.
- Market Structure: Consecutive higher highs and higher lows remain intact.
The rebound from the 0.618 Fibonacci and VWAP support underscores the strength of demand at lower levels. Technical traders often view such confluence zones as high-probability areas for trend continuation, and Aster's reaction here validates that perspective.
The next challenge lies at the POC, which has been acting as a magnet for price action. A successful reclaim of this level would restore confidence in the bullish trajectory, setting the stage for a rotation to $2. Importantly, Aster's broader market structure remains bullish, with consecutive higher highs and higher lows dominating the chart. This suggests that the recent retracement is corrective rather than trend-ending.
Should price fail to reclaim the POC, Aster may continue consolidating within the mid-range, delaying its advance. However, so long as the 0.618 Fibonacci support holds, the bullish bias remains valid.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
If Aster reclaims the point of control, the next likely move is a rally toward $2 resistance. Until then, the structure remains constructive as long as Fibonacci and VWAP supports are defended.
Dirty Game (Keep Your Eyes Open)A no-KYC perp, launches token and allows traders (and themselves) 50x leverage directly from launch.
Peddles binary options and their own stablecoin
Let's not assume they abuse level 3 orderbook data (stops/liquidations/entry) to churn endless volume/'clearance fees'
And surely, hopefully, they don't build up unbacked debt in their system (god mode positions, FTX style)
It will likely play out okay, but this is one of those 'could explode' plays.
This one has a heavy duty handler.
Very experienced, very ruthless.
I see it playing out similarly to HYPE, but a lot more shameless.
There is no intention of playing fair.
They are not trying to convince you they are a long-term play like HYPE.
This is not just a harvest on gamblers/leverage traders, it is also a harvest on market makers.
Smart market makers will not touch this, most will play it double safe and lose, some will lose big.
ASTER PLAYBOOK:
Run price up hard and fast using, heavily leveraged seed money, while being immune to liquidations > ENTICE
Paint a cute chart > BUILD CONFIDENCE
Abuse level 3 data and god mode to harvest liquidations > ACCUMULATE STABILITY FUND
(run lows, tap highs, repeat)
Use stability funds to further run up price.
With HYPE;
the game slowed down when their risks got highlighted.
built up vultures who actively try to eat off their plate, limiting upside
has a 3x/10x max, where as this goes 50x
transparency makes it hard to be as shameless, but also attracted more capital that way
How high will it go?
It all depends on how much capital they fool into their game.
My guess, they will run it to some nice number while volatility is high (5$/10$), before slamming it 70-90% down.
Then low volatility churn for a year and try again.
None of this is financial advice.
$ASTER: BULLISH market structure FLIP post-breakout. LONG $1.953Ok so I'm officially in the second $ASTER long, this one from $1.953.
Reason for entry: Bullish market structure change after finishing ABC correction and printing a higher high after closing above $1.95.
STOP LOSS: below the recent swing low cause that would invalidate BULLISH market structure. Simple methods work best.
Target is just below the former TRIPLE TOP because that (the ATH levels) turned out to be tough resistance, so taking profits at the FALLING WEDGE'S target ($2.39).
Would love to see volumes stepping in to buy, and I might close manually if I don't like the volume candles, so stay tuned if you are following, but don't follow (officially) I don't need the pressure 👽💙