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Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar

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AUDCAD buy near major daily support only On the AUDCAD chart, the current price is trading at 0.9144. The technical outlook suggests potential for a short-term corrective decline of approximately 50 pips toward a historically significant support zone. Upon confirmation of stability or bullish reversal signals within this zone, I plan to initiate a long position with a structured risk-reward ratio, targeting a subsequent upward movement. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
1
AUDCAD December 2025 fundamental analysisAUD/CAD in December 2025 is likely to trade with a mild upside bias for AUD but within a broad range (roughly the high‑0.88 to low‑0.92 area), with no strong fundamental case for an aggressive trend either way. Overall, this looks more like a range-trading environment than a clear long‑term directional play, so any buy/sell stance should be tactical and risk‑managed.​ Policy and growth backdrop The Reserve Bank of Australia is holding the cash rate around 3.6% and signalling only limited scope for further easing, as underlying inflation is still above target and not expected to fully return to the 2–3% band until well into 2026. That stance keeps Australian real yields relatively supported and is consistent with Australian GDP growth stabilising near potential from late 2025.​ The Bank of Canada, by contrast, has cut its policy rate to 2.25% and projects below‑trend growth of about 1.2% in 2025, with excess capacity lingering in the economy. Markets expect further gentle easing into late 2025, contingent on inflation staying close to the 2% target.​ Relative macro fundamentals Medium‑term projections show Australia growing around 2.1% in 2025 versus roughly 1.6% for Canada, implying a modest growth premium in favour of AUD. The RBA’s own outlook also points to private demand being supported by earlier and expected rate cuts, while Australia remains close to full employment, again a mild positive for AUD over CAD.​ Canada’s outlook is weighed down by weaker external demand and adverse US trade policies, which have forced the Bank of Canada to downgrade growth forecasts for 2025–26, suggesting softer domestic momentum and less room for CAD to outperform on cyclical grounds. With inflation expected to hover near 2%, policy can stay relatively accommodative, further reducing CAD’s yield advantage.​ Market and forecast signals Long‑term forecasters cluster AUD/CAD around the low‑0.90s by late 2025: several published models place December 2025 averages roughly between 0.90 and 0.92. Other services show a wider band, roughly mid‑0.87 to low‑0.92, but with a generally positive or flat bias versus current levels.​ Historical data for 2025 show AUD/CAD already traded up to around 0.92 earlier in the year, so the projected year‑end levels are not extreme by recent standards. Taken together, consensus points to a modestly firmer AUD/CAD, not a sharp reversal lower.​ Key risks For AUD, the main downside risks are a renewed global growth wobble or a sharper slowdown in China/Australian commodities, which could force more RBA easing than currently projected. For CAD, an upside surprise in oil or a faster‑than‑expected Canadian rebound could narrow the growth and yield gap, limiting AUD strength.​ On the policy side, any upside surprise in Australian inflation that delays RBA cuts would tend to support AUD, whereas a persistence of low Canadian inflation combined with weaker growth would likely keep pressure on the BoC to stay dovish, mildly negative for CAD.​ Trading verdict for December 2025 Given a slightly stronger growth and yield backdrop for Australia, together with consensus forecasts clustering AUD/CAD around or a bit above current levels into December 2025, the pair has a modest fundamental tilt higher. From a fundamental perspective, AUD/CAD looks more like a cautious buy on dips/range‑long in December 2025 than an outright sell, provided risk is controlled and key data (RBA, BoC, inflation) are monitored closely.​
Long
by Oneirotrade
1
Lingrid | AUDCAD Potential Trend Shift Channel BreakFX:AUDCAD perfectly played out my previous trading idea . Price is pressing into the 0.91800 barrier after a steady climb from the support, with bullish pressure supported by the upward trendline. The latest series of higher lows shows buyers maintaining control, while the recovery from the base continues to build momentum. Price is now approaching a major reaction zone that previously sent the market lower, making this level a key spot for confirmation. If bulls secure a breakout above channel, it could drive toward the 0.92210 resistance shelf, which aligns with the monthly high and the upper boundary of the broader structure. Holding above the trendline keeps upside momentum intact and favors continuation. ➡️ Primary scenario: sustained strength above 0.91600 → move toward 0.92210. ⚠️ Risk scenario: a drop back below trendline weakens bullish structure. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
3
Swing Trading AUD/CAD: A Detailed Bullish Scenario📌 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭: AUD/CAD — “Aussie vs Canadian Dollar” 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐱 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐎𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐞 (𝐒𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞) 🧭 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐧: 𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡 — 𝐌𝐀 𝐏𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤 + 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐬𝐞 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐦𝐞𝐝 The trend structure remains bullish with clean higher-lows. Price has reacted strongly from the dynamic support zone around the Moving Averages, validating a trend-continuation setup. Momentum stays on the buyers’ side with exhaustion signs on the sellers. 🎯 𝐄𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲: 𝐌𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐢-𝐋𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫 𝐁𝐮𝐲 𝐎𝐫𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐲 (𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐞𝐟 𝐌𝐞𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐝) This plan uses a layered limit entry system to reduce risk and improve average execution: Buy Limit Layers: 0.91400 0.91500 0.91600 0.91700 (You may increase or decrease layers based on your personal strategy.) Concept: This layering method allows catching pullback liquidity sweeps and retest reactions across micro-levels — ideal for swing positioning. 🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): 0.91200 This is the proposed Thief SL. However, you must adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, trade size, and personal strategy. Your money—your responsibility. 🎯 Target (TP): 0.92400 Price is approaching a Police Barricade Zone — a strong resistance area where: Market is entering overbought territory, A possible bull trap might form, Liquidity zones cluster tightly. Take profits safely. Again, adjust TP as per your risk and comfort. 📚 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights) 💱 1. USD/CAD ( OANDA:USDCAD ) Correlation: Moderate Positive When CAD strengthens (often due to oil), USDCAD tends to drop, and AUDCAD may also feel downside pressure. Watch oil and CAD macro data. 💱 2. AUD/USD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) Correlation: Strong Positive with AUD strength If AUD shows broad market strength versus USD, chances increase for AUD to outperform CAD as well. Risk sentiment (RISK-ON/RISK-OFF) heavily impacts it. 💱 3. CAD/JPY ( OANDA:CADJPY ) Correlation: Risk sentiment indicator When CADJPY weakens, global risk sentiment may be shifting, which can slow AUDCAD bullish momentum. 💱 4. AUD/JPY ( OANDA:AUDJPY ) Correlation: High risk sentiment sensitivity → guidance for AUD strength If AUDJPY rallies, it shows strong AUD flows—supportive for AUDCAD longs. 💱 5. WTI Crude Oil ( TVC:USOIL ) Correlation: Inverse Effect on AUDCAD CAD is an oil-linked currency. Rising oil → CAD strengthens → AUDCAD may drop. Falling oil → CAD weakens → AUDCAD tends to rise. 🧠 Final Notes This is a structured swing setup designed for layered execution, strong risk control, and clarity. Always adapt entries, stops, and targets to your own strategy. Trade responsibly, trade smart.
by The-Thief
Bulls Still in Control?Hello traders! Here’s an idea for AUDCAD based on current structure, trend, and momentum. (This is market analysis, not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and seek additional confirmations before entering a trade.) Intraday Buy Idea (short term move) • Entry: 0.91500 – 0.91600 • Stop-Loss: 0.91350 – 0.91300 • Target Area: 0.91800 – 0.92000 ⸻ Market Analysis AUD/CAD continues to trade within a relatively modest daily range—typical for this pair—especially as we approach the end of Q4 and move deeper into the holiday season, when liquidity thins and price action often becomes more choppy and range-bound. On the 4-hour chart, an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern has formed. The market recently closed above the neckline/right-shoulder zone, confirming potential bullish structure. A clean retest of this zone (around 0.91500-0.91600) could provide an opportunity to catch the continuation of the bullish momentum that began late last week (around Nov 21). Our target—0.92000—lines up closely with November’s high and a key structural resistance level. If momentum remains intact, price could attempt another test of this area. ⸻ Fundamentals (per economic sources) Australia (AUD) • The RBA has kept rates steady, maintaining stability in the AUD. • Commodity prices trending higher (especially metals) provide underlying support for the Australian dollar. • A potential shift toward U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts later on can indirectly support AUD through broader USD softness and risk-on flows. (per economic sources) Canada (CAD) • Canada’s manufacturing sector continues to contract, signaling broader weakness. • While recent GDP growth was positive, the expansion was driven mainly by oil exports and government spending, not broad economic strength. • Mixed and uneven economic performance may limit near-term CAD strength. Combined, these factors support a slightly bullish bias for AUD/CAD in the near term, aligning with this technical setup.
Long
by PipTips
Multi swing high resistance ahead?AUD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a multi swing high resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.91961 Why we like it: There is a multi-swing high resistance Stop loss: 0.92483 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 0.91181 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by Vantage
#042: Long Investment Opportunity on AUD/CAD The Australian dollar/Canadian dollar pair is moving within a broad compression phase that has been developing for several sessions. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, author of the book "The Institutional Code of Forex, 14 Steps to Read the Markets Like a Bank," available on Amazon. I'm an independent trader and money manager, and I thank you in advance for your time. This structure has created a clear area of ​​inefficiency just below the current market, while liquidity remains relatively flat and concentrated around the most recent lows. From a technical perspective, the pair is reacting after a prolonged period of downside pressure, forming a sequence of higher rejection wicks near a key support region. This behavior suggests that short-side exhaustion is beginning to emerge. The market is no longer making momentum-driven lows and is instead moving toward a classic accumulation pattern, often observed before a corrective upside expansion. Intermarket flows also support this interpretation. The Australian dollar is beginning to stabilize after a period of weakness triggered by commodity repricing and the reprioritization of macroeconomic priorities. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is showing signs of deceleration, partly influenced by the weaker tone of energy markets. The combination of a stabilizing AUD and a slower CAD creates a favorable environment for a bullish retracement on this cross. Volatility conditions remain moderate, and the recovery in short-term momentum indicators is consistent with the idea that the pair may attempt a rotation toward the middle range of the broader structure. The pair is currently near the lower limit of this range, making the risk-reward profile more attractive for a controlled long position, especially for traders seeking to anticipate institutional accumulation rather than chasing breakout moves. Price action offers an initial reversal signal, supported by a sharper rejection from discounted levels. If the market maintains this behavior and continues to respect the support zone it has repeatedly defended, a bullish continuation toward upper liquidity pockets becomes the most consistent scenario. In summary, AUDCAD represents a strategic opportunity for bullish exposure within a controlled and well-defined structure. The pair is showing the first signs of accumulation, improving sentiment dynamics, and an intermarket environment favoring an upward correction. This configuration is consistent with an institutional approach that favors discounted entries, asymmetric risk, and positioning relative to the retail sentiment curve.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
AUD/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the AUD/CAD with the target of 0.910 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2
We are above 0.92000! What could be next?Hello traders! Here’s a quick take on what it means (and what to watch) if AUD/CAD has “broken above 0.92000”     •    Because the pair quotes how many Canadian dollars (CAD) you get for one Australian dollar (AUD), a move above 0.92000 means AUD is strengthening relative to CAD (or CAD weakening relative to AUD).     •    Breaking a round-number resistance like 0.92000 is often seen by traders as a bullish signal: it suggests buyers have enough momentum to push past a psychological/technical barrier, which can lead to further upside or at least a short-term shift in sentiment.     •    Some technical-analysis commentary on AUD/CAD suggests that if price breaks above the upper limit of a consolidation/range around that level, it could herald a new directional move.   .       •    Because AUD/CAD is a cross-currency pair, external factors (global commodity prices, risk sentiment, interest rate differentials between Australia and Canada, CAD’s link to oil prices, etc.) can drive volatility beyond simple technical levels. Traders often view CAD (and hence AUD/CAD) as heavily influenced by oil and commodity cycles.       •    Even if 0.9200 is briefly broken, it doesn’t guarantee a sustained move — price could revert below quickly, especially if CAD fundamentals strengthen or AUD weakens on economic news. This may not be a clean breakout yet… Given that AUD/CAD seems to have only briefly touched ~0.9205 (not yet convincingly closing and holding above 0.9200) — I’d treat this more as a test of resistance, not a confirmed breakout. If I were trading this pair, I’d wait for confirmation: e.g., a daily close above 0.9200, or follow-through with momentum/volume, before betting on a sustained rally. Since AUD/CAD only went a little above 0.92000 and didn’t stay there, it’s not a real breakout yet. We need to see the price stay above that level before calling it a strong move. The holidays are upon us, let’s monitor price action to see what can happen…
by PipTips
AUDCAD – H4 | 02-12-2025 Wave 3 is back in playAUDCAD – H4 | 02-12-2025 Wave 3 is back in play A clean Elliott Wave reaction once again. Following the previous update, price extended lower to 0.90565, completing the blue wave 5, thereby finishing white wave C of yellow wave Y, and simultaneously confirming the completion of the red wave 2 corrective structure. From the 0.90565 low, the market has rallied strongly into yellow wave 1 of red wave 3. Within this advance, the internal structure of yellow wave 1 is unfolding as a clear five-wave impulsive sequence in white, and price is currently progressing through white wave 5. Price may push slightly higher to finalize this five-wave structure of yellow wave 1 before entering a corrective pullback as yellow wave 2. Primary Plan Wait for yellow wave 2 to complete, then look for long opportunities aligned with the powerful yellow wave 3 of red wave 3. Invalidation A break below 0.90565 would invalidate the count and require reassessment.
Long
by TDVPRE2425
AUDCAD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the AUDCAD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9141 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.9150 My Stop Loss - 0.9135 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDCAD| Bullish HTF Outlook |Mid-Range Inducement PlayHigh Timeframe (HTF): AUDCAD remains bullish, printing higher highs and higher lows within a dominant trending environment. We’re currently sitting inside a range, but the broader narrative still supports upside continuation once liquidity objectives are satisfied. Mid-Term View: Price previously respected a mid-term order block sitting to the left. After breaking that level, instead of fully remapping the top-down, I chose to track price behavior dynamically — sharpening the eyes, sharpening the skill. Price delivered a clean inducement sweep, but rather than continuing from the mid-range, it decided to dig deeper for more liquidity. It engineered liquidity around the second OB, which then became the holding point as we shifted into a mean-range consolidation. Internal Structure: Once price swept low-end liquidity, the micro-structure inside the range flipped bullish. That sweep + micro shift = the reaction I wanted. I executed buys after the engineered liquidity was taken and price fell into the mitigation zone beneath the range. Intent: HTF still shows bullish intent aiming to take out higher objectives. LTF is aligned — LH break, micro BOS, and mitigation respected. Now I’m simply holding, waiting for market open and clean follow-through from smart money. Mindset: Follow the footprints. Let the delivery unfold. Patience pays.
Long
by Juicemannn