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Alibaba Group Holding Limited ADS Cert Deposito Arg Repr 1/9 ADSAlibaba Group Holding Limited ADS Cert Deposito Arg Repr 1/9 ADSAlibaba Group Holding Limited ADS Cert Deposito Arg Repr 1/9 ADS

Alibaba Group Holding Limited ADS Cert Deposito Arg Repr 1/9 ADS

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Short-Term Bear, Long-Term Bull: BABA Short-Term Bearish Case The short-term outlook carries cautionary signals primarily due to technical factors and current macroeconomic risks: Overbought Technical Signals: The stock's recent strong rise has pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to high levels (e.g., above 70 in one short-term analysis), which can signal that the stock is overbought and may be due for a short-term pullback or consolidation. Risk of Pullback: A sell signal has been noted from a recent pivot top, and the stock is trading in the upper part of its strong short-term rising trend, which some short-term traders may view as a selling opportunity before a reaction back towards support levels. Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Headwinds: The stock remains sensitive to China's consumer cycle, which is in an uneven recovery, and execution risks on new strategic plans could prompt caution from the market. Geopolitical tensions and evolving regulations also continue to be an overhang. Long-Term Bullish Case The long-term case is overwhelmingly bullish, supported by strong analyst consensus, strategic investments, and fundamental valuation: Strong Analyst Confidence and Price Targets: The vast majority of analysts rate BABA a "Strong Buy" or "Buy". The average 12-month price target from multiple Wall Street analysts is approximately $164.64 to $169.32. Significant Investment in AI and Cloud: Alibaba's strategic priority is shifting toward AI and efficiency. The company has announced a large investment plan, committing over $53 billion to enhance AI and cloud infrastructure over three years. Alibaba Cloud is a rapidly growing market, and its division is reportedly turning profitable, which is seen as a major long-term tailwind. Positive sentiment surrounds its Qwen 2.5-Max AI model and confirmed AI partnership with Apple for iPhones in China. Compelling Valuation and Free Cash Flow (FCF): The company is characterized as a cash-rich, free-cash-flow compounder. Revenue and free cash flow are forecast to expand significantly through fiscal 2030. Market Leadership and Diversification: Alibaba is a global e-commerce leader with diversified operations. Its ecosystem integrates e-commerce, cloud computing, digital media, and entertainment, supported by a large user base. Technical Bottom and Growth Trajectory: Technical analyses suggest the stock has created a long-term bottom formation and is poised to resume its growth trajectory, with some long-term views anticipating a return to previous highs. Trade Idea: Entry Point (Short) At or near $183.90 (Red Arrow) The red arrow indicates a resistance/reversal point near the upper boundary of the channel/trend line. Exit/Target Price At or near $159.69 (Green Arrow) The green arrow indicates a support level, which would be the target for this short-term pullback.
NYSE:BABAShort
by GoldenTraderz_2025
“BABA’s 10% Surge: Institutional Override or Retail FOMO?”Date: 24th September 2025 Time: 09:00 PM IST 🔹 Fundamental News Alibaba (BABA) soared +10% intraday after reports of structural reforms and government-backed stimulus supporting Chinese tech giants. Positive earnings whisper + buyback speculation added fuel. 🔹 Public Sentiment & Behavior Retail: Chasing the gap, heavy FOMO entries near 180. Institutions: Smart money accumulated in the 160–165 zone last week, distributing partial at resistance. Social Signal: Headlines scream “Tech Recovery!”, but structure shows override-driven breakout rather than organic rescue. 🔹 Current Structure Macro : Resistance: 185–190 Support: 160–162 Micro : Resistance: 180 barrier zone tested. Support: 172.5–174.2 micro floor. Behavior: Controlled pullback already attempted; override path extended momentum. 🔹 Projection Primary Path (65%): Pullback to 174–175 → continuation toward 185–190. Alternate Path (25%): Breakdown under 172.5 → collapse back to 165–167. Low Path (10%): Direct extension above 190 → only with follow-through sentiment surge. 🔹 Pullback Levels Shallow: 175–176.2 Medium: 172.5–174.2 Deep: 165–167 (rescue-driven) 🔹 Final View Bias: Bullish Override confirmed. Path remains higher unless 172.5 breaks. Macro structure supports 185–190. 🔹 Essence “Market isn’t running on retail FOMO, but on institutional override. Pullbacks are reloads, not rescues. Unless 172.5 breaks, bulls hold the throne.” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and research purposes only. Not financial advice. Market decisions are your sole responsibility.
NYSE:BABALong
by Sturdy_Intraday_Trading
BABA – Dollar Cost Averaging Opportunityhi Traders, Let's have a look at BABA. Alibaba (BABA) appears to be approaching the end of its correction phase within a well-defined ascending channel. Based on the current price action and technical setup, we believe now is a good time to begin dollar cost averaging into this stock. Our identified buy zone lies between $108 and $100, where price intersects the lower trendline support and key EMAs (20/50/100/200). This area offers a strong risk-reward setup for medium- and long-term investors. The mid-term target for this trade is $160, which aligns with the upper channel resistance and previous price structure. However, from a long-term perspective, we anticipate that BABA will resume its growth trajectory and eventually surpass its previous all-time highs. Supporting this idea, the RSI is stabilizing in neutral territory, suggesting that momentum is resetting and may shift bullish as price finds support. Summary: 🔁 Strategy: Dollar cost averaging 🟩 Buy zone: $108 – $100 🎯 Mid-term target: $160 🚀 Long-term view: Return to growth and new ATH 📉 Correction nearing completion; bullish structure remains intact This setup offers an attractive entry point for patient investors aiming to ride the next major upside cycle in Alibaba.
NYSE:BABALong
by vf_investment
Fasten Your Seat BeltThe chart indicates a potential "triple bottom" pattern forming, which is a bullish technical pattern in stock analysis. The analyst has marked three key points (labeled 1, 2, and 3) that form this pattern. The chart includes several notable elements: A price downtrend from October through December 2024 Three similar low points that could constitute the triple bottom pattern A bullish projection shown by green dots suggesting potential upward movement Text saying "Fasten your seat belt!" suggesting the analyst anticipates significant movement Current price metrics showing the stock at around $84-85 range The performance metrics shown in the top right indicate: 5.27% gain in 1 week -1.5% change in 1 month -17.03% change in 3 months It's important to note that while technical patterns can be useful indicators, they don't guarantee future price movement. Any investment decisions should be made based on comprehensive research including fundamental analysis and overall market conditions.
NYSE:BABALong
by Moshkelgosha
1
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though... NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price. From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold. Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term). Targets into 2028: $125.00 (+14.8%) $160.00 (+47.0%)
NYSE:BABALong
by WorthlessViews
Alibaba Wave Analysis – 16 September 2025- Alibaba broke key resistance level 147.70 - Likely to rise to resistance level 170.00 Alibaba Group has been rising sharply in the last few trading sessions after the earlier breakout of the key resistance level 147.70 (which stopped the previous wave (A) in the middle of March, as can be seen below). The breakout of the resistance level 147.70 was preceded by the breakout of the 2 daily up channels from July and April - which accelerated the active impulse wave (C). Given the strong daily uptrend, Alibaba Group can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 170.00, the target for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
NYSE:BABALong
by FxPro
Alibaba (BABA) – Breakout in Progress? ER Bullish? 📊 Alibaba (BABA) – Breakout in Progress After weeks of consolidation, BABA has broken above the 122–124 zone with strong volume confirmation. This move sets the stage for a liquidity sweep higher. 🔹 Key Levels Support: 118–116 (Equilibrium), 106 (Major Demand) Resistance: 132–134 (Premium zone), 142.17 (Liquidity pool) 🔹 Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above 118. 🔹 Targets TP1: 132–134 TP2: 142+ 🔹 Macro Context China’s easing stance, tech-sector rotation, and institutional flows support upside momentum. However, earnings and geopolitical risks remain key catalysts to monitor. ✅ Execution Plan (WaverVanir DSS) Buy dips into 118–121 Scale out partial at 132 Final target at 142
NYSE:BABALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
A Great and Clear Idea For AlibabaKEY POINTS (Why this idea stands out): Bullish Symmetrical Triangle → The breakout has already happened, and the price has successfully retested the triangle trendline — a strong confirmation of bullish continuation. Fibonacci Retracement → Confirms healthy pullback levels, showing the market structure is intact and technically strong. Fibonacci Extension aligned with Triangle Take Profit → Rare confluence that significantly increases the probability of hitting the target. MACD Bullish Crossover → Momentum indicator is turning positive, further validating the bullish setup and supporting upside continuation. 📊 This is a pure and clear Murphy-style Technical Analysis, based exclusively on objective chart signals. Why Alibaba (like JD.com) is the right choice now: Deeply undervalued: Current market price does not reflect Alibaba’s real business strength. Pre-earnings tech opportunity: Chinese tech stocks historically experience strong price action ahead of earnings. Perfect technical + fundamental alignment: Breakout confirmation, Fibonacci confluence, and bullish momentum (MACD) combine with undervaluation to create a high-probability setup. ⚠️ Main Risk Factor: U.S. financial media often manipulates sentiment on Chinese equities with aggressive negative campaigns (Zacks, Dow Jones News, Alpha News). ✅ Solution: Filter out the noise and rely on neutral, fact-based outlets like Reuters.]
NYSE:BABALong
by TheAverageTrader00
1
BABA 1D Time frame📊 Market Snapshot Current Price: Around $146–147 Recent Trend: Strong upward momentum over the past weeks Overall Technical Bias: Bullish, but nearing overbought 🔎 Technical Indicators RSI (14-day): ~75 → Overbought zone, signals strong momentum but also risk of pullback. MACD: Positive → Momentum remains bullish. Stochastic & CCI: High readings → Also showing overbought conditions. 📈 Moving Averages 5-day MA: ~$146 → Bullish short-term support 10-day MA: ~$145 → Still bullish 20-day MA: ~$140 → Strong base level 50-day MA: ~$137 → Medium-term support 100-day MA: ~$130 → Long-term support 200-day MA: ~$125 → Major long-term support All major moving averages are aligned bullishly. 🔧 Support & Resistance Support Zone: ~$145–146 Resistance Zone: ~$147–150 (immediate), with potential toward $160 if breakout continues 📅 Outlook Bullish Case: If price holds above ~$147, it could target $150+ and possibly $160. Bearish Case: Overbought readings may trigger a pullback toward $145 or even $140. Overall Bias: Bullish trend intact, but short-term consolidation or mild correction is possible.
NYSE:BABALong
by LegacyTradingss
BABA 3Hour Time frameBABA 3-Hour Snapshot Current Price: $147.10 Change: +4.18% from the previous close Market Cap: $347.34 billion P/E Ratio: 16.47 EPS (TTM): $8.84 Beta: 0.54 Dividend Yield: 0.73% 🔎 Key Levels Resistance: R1: $148.50 (prior high and Fibonacci cluster) R2: $157.80 (Fibonacci 0.382 retracement) Support: S1: $135.00 (recent breakout level) S2: $130.00 (next support level) 📈 Technical Indicators RSI (14): 62.82 — Neutral MACD: 4.08 — Bullish momentum Moving Averages: 5-period SMA: $135.30 — Buy signal 10-period SMA: $128.98 — Buy signal 20-period SMA: $125.03 — Buy signal 50-period SMA: $119.26 — Buy signal 📌 Market Sentiment Catalyst: Shares surged ~13% following a favorable court ruling, marking the highest close since March 2025. Sector Performance: Positive momentum in the Chinese tech sector, with Alibaba leading gains. Analyst Outlook: Average 12-month price target of $167.17, indicating a 13.64% upside from current levels. StockAnalysis 📅 Outlook Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $148.50 could lead to a push toward $157.80 and higher. Bearish Scenario: A drop below $135.00 may test support around $130.00. Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
NYSE:BABALong
by ProWealthView
Alibaba: Cloud and AI Restore Its ShineBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades In short, Alibaba is expanding its cloud business, launching an AI chip, and regaining ground in e-commerce. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: BABA) surged 19% on Monday in Hong Kong, its biggest jump since March, following the release of earnings that reinforced perceptions of a positive shift in its operational performance. Fundamental momentum The company reported revenues of 247.65 billion yuan ($34.73 billion), slightly below market expectations. However, the standout figure was a 78% increase in net profit, restoring investor confidence. The main driver was the cloud computing division, which grew 26% year-on-year, benefiting from the boom in artificial intelligence. Additionally, Alibaba is developing its own AI chip, aiming to reduce technological dependence on external suppliers and strengthen its position in a strategic sector against global competitors. At the same time, its traditional e-commerce business shows signs of recovery. Taobao has introduced a one-hour express delivery model, designed to enhance the customer experience and directly challenge rivals such as JD.com and PDD Holdings. Strategic context This rebound comes after years of uncertainty linked to Chinese regulatory measures and the impact of international tariffs. The latest results suggest that Alibaba may be overcoming this phase, supported by technological diversification and operational efficiency. Technical analysis In yesterday’s session, Alibaba closed at $138.88, consolidating the upside gap from August 28, which marked the breakout of the consolidation range between $116 and $134 that had been in place since April. This breakout has pushed the price toward the resistance level at $141.34, just below the annual high of $145.98 reached in March. The move has technical backing: the stock is trading above its 50-day moving average, reinforcing the validity of the bullish breakout. Still, several indicators call for caution. The RSI at 77.59 signals overbought conditions, while the MACD, although still in positive territory, shows a contracting histogram—hinting at the likelihood of a technical pullback and the emergence of a new consolidation zone. If such a correction occurs, the price could retrace toward the $132–133 range, a key level that would act as a consolidation test before any renewed upward momentum. Below that, the first major support lies at $127.93; if this is breached due to weakening bullish strength, selling pressure could extend toward the point of control (POC) around $117, signaling a deeper retracement within the market structure. In the short term, buying appetite remains strong, though sentiment indicators—such as the ActivTrades US Market Pulse—show a shift from a “Risk On” to a “Risk Off” environment. This change could trigger selling in large-cap tech stocks, whose valuations remain exposed to risks tied to the ongoing AI bubble. Cloud business remains in the bubble Alibaba is back on investors’ radar thanks to the strength of its cloud division and the growth potential of artificial intelligence as a key catalyst. While regulatory pressure and fierce domestic competition remain risk factors, the technical rebound and improving margins reinforce the perception that the Chinese giant is entering a phase of sustained recovery. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NYSE:BABA
by ActivTrades
BABA Clears Multi-Year Resistance, Eyes $148–$188 NextWeekly Structure: BABA has broken out of a multi-year base between $100–$126, clearing resistance that capped rallies for almost 2 years. Price is now targeting the next major resistance levels: $148.5 → prior high and Fib cluster. $157.8 (Fib 0.382 retracement). Medium-term upside could extend to $188.6 if momentum sustains. Daily Structure (Micro View): Strong breakout candle above $127–$130 confirms bulls in control. Immediate supports now flip bullish: $127, $123.5, and $120. Trend alignment: short, mid, and long EMAs are stacked positively (classic trend confirmation). Indicators: PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator, top grid): Both signal lines are rising and staying in the green zone → momentum remains bullish. RSI (bottom grid): Currently at 63, strong but not overbought. Shows room for continuation toward 70–75 before risk of pullback. When is the Uptrend Negated? The bullish thesis holds as long as price respects the breakout structure: Invalidation: Loss of $120 (Fib 0.236 + EMA cluster) would flip structure bearish again and re-open risk to $111–108 support. Indicators check: If PMO turns down with a red signal cross, momentum is exhausted. If RSI fails to hold 50 on a pullback, uptrend strength is negated. Summary Bullish Path: Holding above $123–$126 keeps bulls in full control. Upside targets: $148 → $157 → $188. Uptrend is negated only on a decisive break below $120 with PMO + RSI confirming weakness.
NYSE:BABALong
by truthseeker6
Alibaba Group Wave Analysis – 2 September 2025 - Alibaba Group broke resistance level 135.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 147.70 Alibaba Group recently broke the resistance level 135.00 (former monthly high from May), which was preceded by the breakout of the resistance level 127.60 (top of wave i from August). Before breaking these resistance levels Alibaba Group broke the extended daily Triangle from March. Alibaba Group can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 147.70, the former multi-month high from March.
NYSE:BABALong
by FxPro
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings ReportAlibaba (BABA) Shares Soar ~13% After Earnings Report Alibaba published its second-quarter report on Friday morning. Although the company’s gross revenue came in below analysts’ forecasts ($34.6bn vs $35.1bn), BABA’s share price surged by around 13% (to its highest level since March) as the market reacted positively to: → Faster growth in cloud services revenue, seen as key to the company’s success in monetising artificial intelligence, similar to Microsoft and Google. → Testing of a new processor designed to reduce reliance on Nvidia. Technical analysis of Alibaba (BABA) shares When analysing BABA’s price movements in early July, we identified a resistance zone at $126–$145. Since then, the price tested the $126 level twice in August, reversing downwards each time. However, the earnings release triggered a wide bullish gap, meaning that $126 could now act as support. Further bullish arguments: → The A-B-C-D-E formation created a contracting triangle, which can be interpreted as a long-term balance of supply and demand. The current bullish impulse breaks this balance, pointing to the potential for a major bullish trend. → Starting from point D, price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with its median and lower boundary potentially serving as support. From a bearish perspective, the sharp 19% rise could encourage investors to take profits on existing long positions, as the RSI indicator has moved into overbought territory and BABA’s share price is close to the upper boundary of the blue channel. Taking all of this into account, we could assume that after the initial strong emotional reaction to the news, the market may reassess its impact and BABA’s share price could correct (for instance, towards the lower boundary of the gap at $128.22). At the same time, the strong fundamental outlook, driven by the company’s prospects of becoming a leader in the AI sector, suggests that by the end of 2025 we may see an attempt to break above the March high (point A). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
1
BABA About to EXPLODE—Weekly 140C Play—Don’t Miss Out # 🐂💎 BABA WEEKLY OPTIONS ALERT (2025-09-01) 🚀📈🔥 ### 📊 Multi-Model Consensus → **STRONG BULLISH** * ✅ **Momentum:** RSI Daily 71 / Weekly 74 📈 * ✅ **Volume Surge:** 🔺 2.9x last week → Institutions loading bags 👜 * ✅ **Options Flow:** Calls ≈ 2.84x puts 💥 * ✅ **Volatility:** VIX \~15.3 → perfect for calls 🎯 --- ### 🎯 Recommended Trade (Consensus Pick) 👉 **BABA 140C (2025-09-05)** 💵 Entry: \~\$1.59 🛑 Stop: \$0.95 (-40%) 🎯 Target: \$2.39 (+50%) 📏 Size: 1 contract (risk-adjust) ⏰ Entry: Market open 🔥 Confidence: 85% --- ### ⚡ Aggressive Play (OTM) 👉 **BABA 145C (\~\$0.84)** ⚡ Higher leverage, stronger flow, but faster theta decay ⏳ --- ### 🕒 Risk & Exit Plan * Close **by Thursday EOD** 🗓️ (avoid Friday theta/gamma trap) * Stick to stop-loss & risk sizing 💡 * Watch for profit-taking after +9.8% last week 📉 --- 📌 **Trade JSON (for algo/backtest nerds 🤓)** ```json { "instrument": "BABA", "direction": "call", "strike": 140.0, "expiry": "2025-09-05", "confidence": 0.85, "profit_target": 2.39, "stop_loss": 0.95, "size": 1, "entry_price": 1.59, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 22:19:55 EDT" } ``` --- \#️⃣ **Hashtags / Tags** \#BABA #OptionsTrading #FlowTrading #StockMarket 🚀📈🔥 \#UnusualOptionsActivity #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #SmartMoneyFlow \#CallOptions #WeeklyOptions #ChinaStocks
NYSE:BABALong
by quantsignals