HDD trade ideas
$HD possible bounce to 216 then target Lower low at 204Bullish reversal candle with large volume suggest bounce for 2-3 days targeting 216 then continue falling to main support above 200 at 204-203 . also possible to extend this bounce to broken trend at 221 to re-confirm it for 3rd time and fall from there .. remained short for long time frame
HD: Still in an uptrend, but large correction loomingI know this sounds crazy, but I have been eyeballing HD for potential Short for a bit. Home Depot is a leading indicator that the economy or housing market is taking a turn. If we see the economy and housing market pull back near the end of 2020 as many predict, we could see a correction all the way down to its larger, ascending support, all the way down to the $180-185 range. Here's how it may turn out... forgive my cool arrow art.
We are currently in a short term uptrend, howver, the current support line has broken through. This could simply be a throw under as we have bullish divergence on the daily and the FIBs show a nice rebound zone here. I think we may see home depot pop back up again temporarliy. However, if we do not establish a higher high, or hit the same high as before and start a double top pattern, we could be in for a ride down to the major support line.
Home Depot Bearish Divergence Playing OutHD weekly chart had a bearish RSI divergence. The stock started breaking down on November 18th & has broken down through the support trendline this week as it nears the first potential pullback level.
There is a lot of call activity in this name today in the January 3, 2020, $230 calls.
HD Long PositionPotential long entry for HD is in the works. The stock has seen a recent drop due to the latest earnings report. After losing ~10% due to the negative market reaction, there may be an opportunity to go long. I've taken note of the following:
- Approaching 200MA which can serve as support
- Chart is currently along the lower bollinger band
- Stochastic indicator is under 20; if it curls upward over 20 this can be a bullish sign
- RSI is oversold @ 30
I'll be keeping my eyes on this to see if there is a partial reversal in store
$HD Broken trend with huge volume suggest further decline to 214Strong drop from the top at 239.3 broken YTD trend - test and confirm break - most of indicators are over sold as it has more than 10% correction from recent top . its looking to close previous gaps at 214.8 - 208 -204 stoploss for this idea at 223.5
RISKY long on HD.. are you in?..Recommended 30% risk only .. i.e. usual trade for this size ticker is 1000 shares, go in small at 300 shares and trail this one on the way up.. catching a sharp knife, trying to pick the bottom - so relatively tight stop and either it goes or it doesn't!.. see chart -- close up view in comment section.. Happy trading!
HD - bulls need to hold the lineI reviewed this chart the other day, I liked the volume and the trend line confirmation (3 touches). But with the v-rally selling off by about 50% I have my guard up. We're seeing continuously high volume here, higher than the previous visits to the trend-line.
I'm not quite bearish here. But I wouldn't advise a swing entry until we revisit the trend line and prove we can hold it. We closed Friday near low of day, which leads me to believe we'll visit the trend-line either Monday or Tuesday.
If we can hold that level I still like the risk reward.
My line in the sand is a close below $216.88