Netflix - This stock will drop another -30%!📽️Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is still totally bearish:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of months ago, Netflix retested a major resistance trendline. This was a clear sign for us to take profits and Netflix has already been dropping about -30%. Looking at structure, the next support is the previous all time high, meaning Netflix will drop another -30%.
📝Levels to watch:
$70
SwingTraderPhil
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Netflix, Inc. Shs ert Deposito Arg Repr 0.0208333 Sh
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Netflix Paramount - Acquisition war - What You need to know. Netflix is selling off because it announced a massive, high‑risk acquisition of major Warner Bros. Discovery assets — and the market hates the price, the leverage, and the regulatory risk.
The bid is in the range of $72-$82 Billion.
Trump tweeted last night putting the deal under scrutiny.
This tweet comes on the back of Paramount Skydance announcing a hostile take over bid $108B of warner bros discovery. Trumps son in law Jared Kushner hold private equity in Para and would benefit from the takeover.
Netflix is sitting pretty as the stock has sold off in anticipation of higher cap ex. If the deal doesn't go through it will likely rebound.
Netflix wont have to pay the 5.8 Billion break up fee if WBD board votes down their deal. In fact Netflix will receive $2-$3 Billion.
NETFLIX ($NFLX): Key Technical Zone With Strong ConfluenceNETFLIX ( NASDAQ:NFLX ): Key Technical Zone With Strong Confluence
Netflix has retraced to a notable support area after reaching an all-time high on June 30th, 2025. The current structure suggests a potential continuation of the long-term bullish trend, supported by technical and fundamental developments.
Why This Zone Matters
The current price region aligns with multiple significant technical factors:
1. Ascending Trendline Support
This trendline originated in mid-October 2023 and has repeatedly acted as a strong support throughout the uptrend.
2. $100 Psychological Price Level
Round numbers often serve as key decision zones for market participants, influencing order flow and trader sentiment.
3. Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement Zone
This level aligns closely with the trendline and psychological level, adding strength to the support.
4. Multi-Factor Confluence
The combination of the trendline, Fibonacci level, and psychological support creates a high-value technical confluence area, often associated with trend continuation or major reversals.
Market Catalyst
Recent reports of Netflix acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery add a potential fundamental driver supporting bullish momentum.
Trade Plan
Entry $100
Take Profit 1 $126
Take Profit 2 $133
Stop Loss $92
Risk-to-Reward (TP1) 1:3.3
Risk-to-Reward (TP2) 1:4
This trade plan is based on the TA that price respects the current support confluence and resumes upward momentum.
Trade with care. Please like, share your thoughts, and kindly follow me.
Netflix Buys Warner Bros in Historic $82.7B TakeoverNetflix’s $82.7B Warner Bros Discovery Takeover Signals a Historic Power Shift in Hollywood
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) has officially struck a landmark deal to acquire the film and streaming divisions of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) in a transaction valued at $82.7 billion, including debt — the biggest entertainment acquisition in modern history. The deal, approved unanimously by both boards, will hand Netflix ownership of HBO, Warner Bros studios, HBO Max’s extensive library, and key franchises like Harry Potter, Game of Thrones, and DC. The agreement excludes cable channels such as CNN and TNT, which WBD will spin off into a separate entity called Discovery Global before the sale is completed.
Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos emphasized that the merger is a “rare opportunity” to reshape content dominance for decades, projecting $2–$3 billion in synergies through operational efficiencies. HBO’s premium brand will remain intact, although Netflix hinted at future integration strategies. Meanwhile, Warner Bros executives noted that joining forces with Netflix ensures the industry’s most compelling storytelling remains globally accessible.
However, the acquisition is expected to face significant regulatory scrutiny. Analysts warn the merger could reduce industry-wide film and TV output, pressure cinemas, and eventually raise subscription costs for consumers. Despite these concerns, Netflix remains confident the deal will clear regulatory hurdles within 18 months.
Technical Outlook
NETFLIX is currently trading near $100, sitting directly on a long-term ascending trendline that has acted as a major support for over a year. Price has retraced sharply from the $134 high and is now testing this structural trendline along with the 9-SMA overhead. Two key scenarios emerge:
• Bullish case: A bounce from $100–$103 could trigger a recovery back toward $120–$134, resuming the broader uptrend.
• Bearish case: A clean break below the trendline opens a drop toward the $82–$88 demand zone, where heavy accumulation previously formed.
RSI remains weak, suggesting momentum favors sellers until a strong reversal candle forms.
NFLX: Flag Forming as Market Awaits Clarity on Warner Bros DealNetflix has broken into a wider flag structure as the market digests the recent announcement of its planned acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. The initial move lower reflects uncertainty rather than a judgment on long-term value — which is exactly what you typically see in the early stages of large M&A.
For now, we’re waiting for regulatory clarity.
Until there’s a credible signal that the deal is likely to be approved, the market will continue to price in an uncertainty discount.
If regulators turn less hostile, the next key stage is financing clarity.
This is where Netflix will need to show:
how the transaction will be funded (debt vs. equity split),
the impact on leverage and credit profile,
the expected paydown path,
how the combined entity affects forward margins and cash flow.
Once the market understands the financing structure, the major unknowns disappear — and that’s typically when investors begin front-running the upside of the deal.
We could then see a rerating back toward major levels such as $124, and potentially even a retest of the previous all-time highs near $133, if the narrative shifts from “uncertainty” to “strategic value creation.”
For now, the flag is setting up — but confirmation will only come once those fundamental catalysts begin to de-risk.
NETFLIX - Bottom is in?NASDAQ:NFLX
The bottom looks close based on this weekly chart.
- Deeply oversold RSI
- Bounced off the POC in anchored volume profile
- W%R deeply oversold and starting to curl up
Overall, the acquisition of WBD is expensive, but Netflix is playing the long game.
This provides content as far as the eye can see with the addition of DC, GoT series, and more.
Overall it's a blockbuster, but I feel NFLX reaching a $1T market cap is inevitable... currently sitting sub $500B.
Netflix to Acquire Warner Bros: Effect on NFLX SharesNetflix to Acquire Warner Bros: Effect on NFLX Shares
A major development in the stock market is the news that Netflix is buying the assets of Warner Bros. Discovery for $82.7 billion. How might this influence the price of NFLX shares?
To assess the outlook, context is essential.
In the second half of October, a bearish gap appeared on the NFLX chart following a disappointing earnings report. On 24 October, we noted that the price might find support near the lower boundary of the established trend channel. Indeed, the price staged a modest recovery (as shown by arrow 1), but the upper edge of the gap acted as resistance.
In mid-November, Netflix (NFLX) carried out a stock split – traditionally viewed as a bullish signal for retail investors. Splits typically make shares more affordable and often lift prices on expectations of fresh liquidity. However, the share price moved lower instead (as indicated by arrow 2).
As a result:
→ the ascending channel was extended downwards, giving greater prominence to the downward trajectory (marked in red);
→ Netflix shares continued to underperform the broader equity market.
Against this backdrop, the mega-deal to acquire Warner Bros. may raise serious concerns for NFLX shareholders:
→ Dilution effect. To finance the deal, Netflix will issue new shares, which dilutes earnings per share (EPS). Existing shareholders effectively receive a smaller portion of the company’s profits.
→ Financial strain. The vast cost of the acquisition worsens Netflix’s financial metrics, increases debt-servicing expenses, and reduces the overall attractiveness of NFLX shares.
→ Regulatory scrutiny. A Netflix–Warner Bros. merger creates a giant controlling nearly half of the streaming market. President Trump has already suggested it could raise antitrust issues.
Given the above, it is reasonable to assume that rising risks and uncertainty may continue to weigh on Netflix shares – and although the psychological $100 level may act as support, traders should not rule out the possibility that NFLX will continue to move within the downward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Netflix’s $70B Bid: The End of the Streaming Wars?Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is rewriting the global media playbook. The streaming titan has submitted a binding, predominantly cash offer to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD). This $70 billion maneuver marks a definitive pivot from disruptive builder to dominant consolidator. Management now signals that securing the next decade of dominance requires buying the industry’s most established moats.
Macroeconomics: The Power of Cash
Financial maturity drives this aggressive acquisition strategy. In a high-interest-rate environment, cash offers reign supreme. Netflix utilizes its fortress balance sheet to outmaneuver the rival Paramount Skydance consortium. While competitors propose complex stock swaps, Netflix offers WBD shareholders immediate liquidity and a defined exit price. With a projected Free Cash Flow of $9 billion for 2025, the company can service the necessary bridge loans without jeopardizing operations.
Geostrategy: The Regulatory Battlefield
The acquisition’s greatest threat lies in Washington, not Wall Street. White House officials have flagged concerns regarding media consolidation. However, Netflix utilizes a sophisticated geostrategic argument. The company contends it competes against trillion-dollar ecosystems like Apple and Amazon, not just legacy studios. By framing the merger as essential for surviving against Big Tech, Netflix aims to navigate the Department of Justice’s antitrust maze.
Industry Trends: Buying Cultural Infrastructure
Netflix is purchasing history, not just content. The deal secures the DC Universe, Harry Potter, and the historic Warner Bros. Studio lot. These assets represent "cultural infrastructure" that original production spend cannot replicate. Data from WBD’s Q3 2025 earnings confirms the value here: theatrical revenue surged 74% driven by franchise hits. This allows Netflix to diversify revenue streams into box office and merchandising at an unprecedented scale.
Technology & Cyber: The Traffic Signal
Platform stability remains a key indicator of consumer demand. The recent premiere of *Stranger Things* Season 5 crashed the platform, causing widespread outages. While technically a failure, Wall Street interprets this cyber-stress test as a bullish signal. It proves organic engagement is explosive. Integrating WBD’s library into this high-traffic ecosystem leverages Netflix’s proprietary delivery architecture to maximize viewership of dormant assets.
Management & Leadership: The Strategic Pivot
Netflix leadership is executing a calculated evolution. For 15 years, the strategy focused on building IP from scratch. Now, the C-suite recognizes that acquiring established franchises is the fastest route to a defensible moat. This assertiveness reflects confidence. With a market cap of roughly $460 billion, they are acquiring WBD because they can, not because they must to survive.
Data Science & Innovation: The Algorithmic Multiplier
The true value unlocked lies in data science. Netflix’s proprietary recommendation algorithms will likely revitalize WBD’s deep library. Merging WBD’s content with Netflix’s user data creates a powerful feedback loop. This "algorithmic multiplier" ensures that back-catalog titles achieve higher engagement on Netflix than they ever could on standalone platforms. This technological synergy justifies the premium paid for the assets.
Conclusion: A New Media Era
Netflix is positioning itself to own the entire entertainment ecosystem. The deal eliminates a key competitor and secures irrefutable IP dominance. While the $109 stock price held firm, the long-term thesis has shifted. Netflix is no longer just a tech platform; it is becoming the definitive media empire of the 21st century.
Netflix: Long-Term Buy Zone in Focus Netflix shares have recently turned lower, moving towards our previously identified long-term entry zone between $96.27 and $75.19. Within this range, we expect the low of the turquoise wave 4 to form, setting the stage for the ongoing upward impulse in wave 5 to push past resistance at $134.11. In a new alternative scenario, there is a 30% probability that the beige wave alt.IV could establish a lower low below $81.27, though it would still remain within the long-term entry zone
Weekly Trend NFLXAfter a long upward move, the weekly chart is now showing a clear Head & Shoulders pattern. Price has broken below the neckline, which usually signals a trend change. The next major support is around the 60–62 zone. For now, the market bias remains bearish unless price moves back above the neckline.
$NLFX Dead Cat Bounce NASDAQ:NFLX looks like a Dead cat 😿 📉 bounce on the 15 min TF.
Price is currently at the .382; Which is the 1st retest area. The .0618 is the golden retracement and the .786 is the absolute discount however price must resist this level and go in the opposite direction. Target Price 101.32. And the rest of the levels is that Put in the bagggg money. As soon as I see price start stalling or a wick forming in these retest areas; I enter. I'm either Right or Righhhhhhhh.
Alerts Set, Happy Trading!
Eyes on NetflixAt the moment NASDAQ:NFLX , it is completing an ABC corrective pattern and has already tested and respected the major historical blue support line. Wave C is unfolding within a falling wedge, a structure that more often than not resolves to the upside and is typically bullish.
If the wedge breaks upward as expected, the stock should begin its move toward the upper trendline of the broader channel. Once price reaches that level, we will evaluate whether to take profits at resistance or anticipate a breakout above the channel, which would indicate a much larger bullish continuation.
Next move for $NFLX down to $100?#NFLX had a great run until the summer of 2025 but has struggled since then. I'm sure there's many reasons for that - the concerns about the Warner Bros acquisition will undoubtedly be one of them. However from a technical standpoint the price has continued to make lower lows as it retreated from $132.
We know find ourself closing last week beneath the Weekly 50MA, which it hasn't done for approx 2 years. Is this an area for a bounce? There's been lots of positive news about the release of the final series of Stranger Things (I haven't watched it - but then I don't need to as I have a 14 year old niece who loves it, and insists on giving the family a complete run down of the show!)
Personally I would want to see price rally back into the area of the 20 & 50 Weekly MA's before rolling over and then moving lower to $100 - which could be a stronger level of support, and a real inflection point where price looks to make a decision.
NFLX in BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at either of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $93.10
Target is upper channel around $105.00
Buying NASDAQ:NFXL for this trade
$NFLX - Netflix Buys Warner Bros. Netflix is fresh off a Stock Split and recently purchased Warner Bros. for $82.7 Billion. I still think this stock is currently overvalued compared to its intrinsic value, but off a pure technical analysis play, this could be a nice spot for a move up if it stays in the channel and bounces off the Fib Golden zone.
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Netflix added to long account Finally an opportunity to get Netflix for my long term account. I have been working at diversifying away from mag 7 over time. I happily locked in some uber profits to add Netflix, I still hold uber. We are right at the golden pocket which is my favorite strategy for long term buys on high momentum stocks. I believe this Warner brothers acquisition would be a massive addition to their cash flows.
Global Currency Strategies1. Hedging Strategies
Hedging is one of the most widely used global currency strategies. The purpose of hedging is to protect against adverse currency movements rather than generate profit.
a. Forward Contracts
A forward contract locks in an exchange rate today for a transaction that will take place later.
Example: An Indian importer due to pay USD in 3 months may lock the rate today to avoid future appreciation of USD.
b. Futures Contracts
Similar to forwards but traded on exchanges, making them standardized and more liquid.
c. Options Strategies
Currency options give traders the right (not obligation) to buy/sell a currency at a specific price.
Common strategies: Long Call, Long Put, Straddle, Strangle.
d. Natural Hedging
Businesses offset currency exposure by matching revenue and expenses in the same currency.
Why hedging matters:
It protects corporate profits, prevents losses during volatile periods, and ensures financial stability for global businesses.
2. Carry Trade Strategy
Carry trade is one of the most popular global currency strategies among professional traders.
It involves:
Borrowing in a low-interest rate currency → Investing in a high-interest rate currency.
How it works
Low-yield currency: JPY, CHF
High-yield currency: USD, AUD, INR, MXN (depending on economic cycles)
Example
Borrow Japanese Yen at 0.1% interest → Invest in an AUD bond yielding 3%.
Traders profit from the interest rate differential plus potential currency appreciation.
Risks
Carry trades unwind rapidly during global uncertainty because traders rush toward safe-haven currencies like USD and JPY, causing volatility.
3. Currency Arbitrage Strategies
Arbitrage involves exploiting price discrepancies across markets. Though opportunities are rare and short-lived, algorithmic traders and banks often use them.
a. Triangular Arbitrage
Uses three currency pairs to exploit price differences.
Example: USD/EUR, EUR/GBP, and USD/GBP mispricing.
b. Covered Interest Arbitrage
Traders lock in forward contracts to profit from interest rate deviations across currencies.
c. Statistical Arbitrage
Involves algorithms analyzing mean-reversion patterns.
Why arbitrage is important:
It helps maintain pricing efficiency and stability in global currency markets.
4. Fundamental Analysis Strategies
Fundamental currency strategies depend on macroeconomic and geopolitical factors affecting exchange rates.
Key Indicators Used
Interest rates (most powerful driver of FX)
Inflation levels
GDP growth
Employment data
Manufacturing PMI
Trade balance
Political stability
Central bank announcements
Strategies Based on Fundamentals
a. Interest Rate Differentials
Currencies with rising interest rates tend to appreciate because they attract foreign capital.
b. Inflation-Based Trading
Higher inflation typically weakens a currency because purchasing power declines.
c. Economic Divergence Strategies
Focus on differences between two economies.
Example: Strong U.S. growth vs. slow European growth may strengthen the USD against EUR.
d. Commodity-Linked Currency Strategies
Some currencies move with commodity prices:
CAD ↔ Crude Oil
AUD, NZD ↔ Gold, Iron Ore
NOK ↔ Oil
Traders exploit these relationships.
5. Technical Analysis Strategies
Technical analysis uses charting tools and price action patterns to predict currency movements.
Common Tools
Support & resistance zones
RSI, MACD, Stochastic Oscillator
Moving Averages (SMA, EMA)
Bollinger Bands
Fibonacci Retracement
Trendlines & channels
Chart patterns (Head & Shoulders, Flags, Wedges)
Technical-Based Strategies
a. Trend-Following
Traders identify long-term trends in currency pairs and follow the momentum.
Popular tools: 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
b. Range Trading
Many currency pairs consolidate in ranges for long periods.
Traders buy at support and sell at resistance.
c. Breakout Trading
When price breaks past a key level, it often triggers a directional move.
d. Algorithmic Technical Trading
Robots execute technical strategies automatically based on coded rules.
6. Safe-Haven Currency Strategies
Certain currencies are considered safe during crises:
USD (global reserve)
JPY (Japan’s stable economy & low yields)
CHF (Switzerland’s financial safety)
Strategy Approach
During global uncertainty—war, recession fears, geopolitical tension—traders shift their capital to safe-haven currencies.
Why It Works
Investors prioritize stability over return, causing demand for safe-haven currencies to rise.
7. Diversification Strategies
Diversification reduces risk by spreading exposure across multiple currencies, sectors, and regions.
Different Ways to Diversify
Holding a basket of currencies instead of one
Investing in multi-currency ETFs
Using managed futures
Building portfolios across emerging and developed markets
Why Diversification Matters
It protects traders from sudden shock events—economic downturns, political conflicts, and natural disasters.
8. Currency Correlation Strategies
Currencies are interlinked due to global trade and economic relationships.
Examples of Positive Correlations
EUR/USD and GBP/USD
AUD/USD and NZD/USD
USD/CAD moves inverse to Oil prices
How Traders Use Correlation
Identifying divergence opportunities
Hedging correlated currency pairs
Creating pair-trading strategies
9. Emerging Market Currency Strategies
Emerging markets like India, Brazil, Turkey, and South Africa offer high return potential but increased volatility.
Strategies
Investing in high-yield currencies (INR, BRL, MXN)
Using carry trade advantages
Trading volatility cycles
Avoiding periods of political risk or economic instability
10. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Strategies
Modern currency markets heavily rely on automation.
Types of Algo Strategies
Trend-following
Mean-reversion
Arbitrage
Market-making
Sentiment-based analysis using AI
Benefits
Speed, accuracy, and emotion-free trading
Ability to react instantly to global news
Conclusion
Global currency strategies are essential tools for navigating the world’s most liquid market. From hedging and carry trades to arbitrage, fundamentals, technicals, safe-haven flows, and algorithmic trading, each strategy serves a unique purpose. While hedging focuses on risk protection, carry trades aim for yield, and technical strategies find opportunities in price patterns. Understanding these concepts helps traders, investors, and businesses make informed decisions in an increasingly interconnected global economy.
Netflix Acquires Warner Bros.: The Birth of a Global Giant?Netflix Acquires Warner Bros.: The Birth of a Global Entertainment Giant?
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
On December 5, 2025, Netflix took a historic step by announcing the acquisition of Warner Bros., including its film and series catalog, HBO/HBO Max, and other strategic assets, in a deal valued at approximately $82.7 billion. The agreement, which combines cash and stock payments, promises to redefine the entertainment industry and competition in the global streaming market.
Warner Bros. shareholders will receive $23.25 in cash and $4.50 in Netflix stock per WBD share, valuing each share at $27.75. However, shortly after, Paramount Skydance launched a hostile $108.4 billion takeover bid for the entirety of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), offering $30 per share in cash, higher than Netflix’s offer.
Paramount’s proposal, backed by RedBird Capital, several Middle Eastern sovereign funds, and Affinity Partners (a firm linked to Jared Kushner), is presented as more attractive to shareholders and with lower regulatory risk, since Netflix’s plan involves separating the cable and streaming businesses. This offer expires on January 8, 2026, raising two critical issues: if Warner breaks its agreement with Netflix, a breakup fee could be triggered; and Paramount could alter the market landscape, potentially impacting competitors like Disney.
A Strategic Move of Massive Scale
The Netflix-Warner Bros. integration is more than a financial transaction: it is a merging of content and production capacity. The deal brings iconic franchises such as Harry Potter, DC Comics, and Game of Thrones, along with HBO, HBO Max, and WB Studios.
The objective is clear: to build a global entertainment platform capable of attracting new subscribers, retaining existing ones, and generating synergies that could translate into $2–3 billion in annual savings by the third year.
Risks and Opportunities
From a financial perspective, the deal involves significant challenges:
High debt load: Netflix assumes substantial leverage, which could pressure margins and cash flow.
Regulatory scrutiny: The market concentration will draw the attention of antitrust authorities.
Integration complexity: Merging two companies with different cultures, processes, and structures carries operational risks.
Nonetheless, the potential benefits are substantial: catalog expansion, greater bargaining power with distributors and creators, and revenue diversification through franchises, licensing, and merchandising.
Strategically, Netflix positions itself in a leadership role difficult for competitors to replicate, including Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, and Apple TV+. Combining traditional production with digital distribution strengthens its ability to attract and retain subscribers worldwide.
Technical Analysis (Ticker AT:NFLX)
Netflix shares have corrected from the summer highs ($134.12) down to the current $92.91. After the November 17 stock split, the adjusted price reflected increased volatility due to the Warner acquisition and Paramount’s hostile bid.
If the Warner deal is completed, the stock could rebound toward the previous accumulation range, between $134.12 and $134.31, with the Point of Control at $120. Conversely, if Paramount prevails, we could see a decline toward this year’s lows recorded in April.
Outlook and Conclusion
Netflix’s acquisition of Warner Bros. has the potential to reshape the global entertainment ecosystem. If executed effectively, Netflix could emerge as the industry’s leading player, with an unprecedented catalog and production capacity.
However, risks are real: high debt, complex integration, and regulatory scrutiny could limit short-term gains. For investors, analysts, and industry professionals, this deal marks the beginning of a new chapter in global competition, where innovation, strategy, and efficient management will determine the true scale of this emerging entertainment giant.
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