NIO — The Spark Before the Storm $10000⚡  NIO: The Spark Before the Storm — A New SuperCycle Is Born  ⚡🚗
 "The storm that started with Tesla is about to find its next wave." 
 NIO  just finished its  deep correction of Wave 2  — and  Wave 3  is ready to change everything. 🔥
🌩️  The Setup 
From hype to despair — that’s how every SuperCycle begins.
After the 2021 peak, NIO collapsed into silence, grinding through a brutal 0.618 Fibonacci retrace.
But markets don’t die in fear — they  reset .
And that reset is complete.
Now, the chart shows what could be the  first true SuperCycle ignition  for NIO — the same point Tesla stood at a decade ago.
🌊  The Wave Map 
1️⃣  Wave 1 (2019–2021)  — The hype wave. EV mania, hope, and early adoption.
2️⃣  Wave 2 (2021–2025)  — The cleansing wave. Fear, dilution, exhaustion.
3️⃣  Wave 3 (2025–2029)  — The expansion wave.
 
 🔥  Projected zone: $450 (1.618) 
 
4️⃣ Wave 4 (2030–2032) — The reset.
5️⃣ Wave 5 (2032–2035) — The final mania.
Every great company survives Wave 2… and dominates in Wave 3.
🧭  The Technical Pulse 
 
 Major  liquidity sweep  below $8 → Smart Money re-entry.
 Break of Structure (BoS)  confirmation above $10 = start of markup phase.
 Fair Value Gap (FVG)  near $6–9 = accumulation zone.
 Fib geometry + historical rhythm = 3rd wave setup confirmed.
 
Price is coiling under long-term resistance — the spring before expansion.
⚙️  Macro + Fundamentals 
 
 EV market entering mass production maturity.
 NIO’s  battery swap network  gives it an unmatched recurring model.
 China’s stimulus & EV subsidies may reignite the sector.
 Market cap reset = asymmetric opportunity.
 
This is where long-term conviction separates traders from investors.
🎯  Projection Timeline 
📍 Wave 3 → ~$450
🔄 Wave 4 → $100–150 zone
🚀 Wave 5 → $10,000+
💬  Final Take 
⚡ NIO’s not dead — it’s recharging.
When Wave 3 hits, disbelief turns to euphoria.
👇 Drop your take — is this the  next EV breakout SuperCycle ?
Follow for deep Elliott + Smart Money confluence setups.
#NIO #EVRevolution #Wave3 #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #FIBCOS #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #TradingView #StockMarket #MacroCycle #Investing #WaveTheory #ElectricVehicles
Trade ideas
NIO | China will Lead the EV BattleNIO, Inc. is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Bin Li and Li Hong Qin on November 28, 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
NIO’s Balancing Act: Progress Meets PressureSince my last analysis on September 24, NIO has remained in a crucial transition phase. Deliveries have surpassed 110,000 units YTD, supported by the sub-brand ONVO, which started shipping the updated L60 SUV featuring Battery Swap compatibility.
The company also shortened ES8 delivery times to 22–23 weeks, showing improved production efficiency.
On the downside, a lawsuit filed in the U.S. by Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC triggered a ~9% drop in Hong Kong trading. Analysts remain cautious: while operational progress is clear, the path to profitability, targeted for Q4 2025, hinges on converting volume into sustainable margins.
NIO stands at a delicate balance: innovation and expansion on one side, legal and competitive risks on the other.
In the graphic above, the possible next move in the minor Elliott wave degree. This is only a financial technical study and does not constitute financial advice.
NIO 1W -  engine on or just market noise?Technically, NIO has broken out of a long downtrend and is holding above the key $7.4 support. On the weekly chart this looks like the first sign of a long-awaited reversal. Fundamentally, however, the story is still mixed.
The company reported record October deliveries above 40 k units, up roughly 93% year-on-year - strong momentum that shows NIO is expanding its market share in China and entering a new growth phase. Still, free cash flow remains negative and profitability elusive due to heavy investments in battery-swap infrastructure and R&D.
Overall, sales growth and improving brand position support a bullish outlook. As long as price holds above $7.0–7.5, targets at $16.3 and $24.4 remain realistic. A breakdown below $6.5 would invalidate the setup.
 Even electric dreams need a full charge - let’s see if this one can make it up the hill.
$NIO – The Vampiric Setup in Action🧛♂️  NYSE:NIO  – The Vampiric Setup in Action
Price has been crushed from $60 → $4.78, but now the structure is shifting.
On the monthly chart, we see the classic Vampiric Setup:
Liquidity Pool swept (weak hands drained)
Displacement created (fast downside flush)
Breaker formed (structure reclaim)
Liquidity Reclaimed (buyers stepping back in)
📊 Current Price: $7.04 (+10%)
Support: $4.78 (discount zone)
Resistance Band: $12–$17 (liquidity pocket)
Long-Term Target: $26–28 equilibrium
🔹 Catalysts
EV sector rotation into 2026
China-U.S. policy shifts (subsidies/tariffs)
Delivery & margin stabilization in earnings
Macro liquidity — tech/AI flows lifting EV names
⚠️ Risk: Failure to hold above $5 kills the structure.
🚀 If the vampiric cycle completes, NIO could be transitioning from capitulation → accumulation → expansion.
#NIO #EVStocks #SmartMoney #VampiricSetup #VolanX #WaverVanir
Why NIO's Tide Is Turning: A Game-Changer in the EV ArenaThe momentum has decisively shifted for NIO, with ES8 orders surging and dominating the market. Its aggressively competitive pricing is poised to erode share from heavyweights like BYD, Tesla, and XPENG, making it an irresistible force in the pure-play EV space—one truly worth betting on.
At the heart of NIO's edge is its cutting-edge technology, particularly the battery swap system, which stands out as a stroke of genius. Critics dismissing battery swaps as outdated miss the bigger picture: delivering a full charge for a 100 kWh pack in just 10 minutes via ultra-fast chargers demands massive grid infrastructure that's often impractical and accelerates battery degradation. In contrast, NIO's swaps enable gentler, slower charging in controlled environments, preserving pack longevity while allowing stations to proliferate without straining local power grids.
Even more intriguing—and under-discussed—is the revenue potential of these swap stations. They can capitalize on power market volatility, charging batteries during off-peak low-price hours and feeding stored energy back to the grid at premium rates during demand spikes. It's not just smarter mobility; it's a savvy energy arbitrage play that could turn NIO's network into a profit powerhouse. For forward-thinking investors, NIO isn't just riding the EV wave—it's redefining it.
The New Nio's ES8 Breaks Records and Aims for ProfitLast Saturday, NIO stole the spotlight at its NIO Day 2025, more than just a product launch, it felt like a celebration for users, investors, and EV enthusiasts alike. The star of the show? The third-generation ES8, a premium electric SUV designed to go head-to-head with the luxury giants.
How NIO Is Performing: Q2 2025 Results
In the second quarter, NIO posted RMB 19 billion in revenue (about USD 2.65 billion) and delivered 72,056 vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 25–30%. Vehicle gross margin stood at around 10.3%, while the loss per share came in at -0.32 USD.
In other words, NIO is still in the red, but the direction is positive: better operational efficiency, tighter cost control, and a refreshed product lineup.
What to Expect in Q3 2025
The next earnings report is scheduled for November 19, 2025, and analysts are looking for another step forward:
USD 3.0–3.2 billion in revenue
87,000–91,000 vehicle deliveries
Loss narrowing to -0.22 USD per share
Q3 is expected to be a transitional quarter, while Q4 could be the one that finally brings break-even.
The New ES8: Record Orders and Long Waitlists
The ES8 isn’t just another model; it’s the symbol of NIO’s maturity. Within just 36 hours of launch, around 50,000 binding orders were placed, already beyond the estimated production capacity for 2025.
Delivery times? 24–26 weeks, roughly six months. It’s a logistical headache, but also a luxury problem for a brand that only a few years ago was chasing Tesla and the German heavyweights.
NIO is targeting a 20% gross margin on the ES8 thanks to in-house development and a tighter supply chain.
Moving Toward Profitability in Q4 2025
The official goal is clear: reach non-GAAP break-even by the fourth quarter of 2025. If ES8 deliveries and other models roll out as planned, NIO could end the year on a much stronger footing.
Still, more cautious analysts, like Nomura, say full-year profitability may not arrive until 2027, when margins stabilize and production fully catches up with demand.
A Direct Challenge to Premium Brands
With these numbers, NIO is sending a clear message to Mercedes, BMW, and Audi: premium electric SUVs are no longer just a German domain. The new ES8 challenges on price, technology, and customer experience, from swappable batteries to a more personalized after-sales service.
Conclusion
NIO Day 2025 wasn’t just a showcase; it revealed a company in acceleration mode, with record orders and ambitious plans. If NIO can convert this demand into deliveries and margins, 2025 could be the year it truly levels up.
This is not a financial advice
A great move for NIO IncNio has show some strength in the past days however it was not powerful enough. Nio according to my analyses will see a short as seen on the chart before making a greater move to the upside if we see a higher low formed and break of structure.
This is not a financial advice, just my opinion. Tell me what you think in the comment section.
NIO weeklyBreakout in 2025 
Price has now broken out of this channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. The breakout was supported by rising trading volume, suggesting renewed interest.
The chart reflects a transition from a multi-year downtrend into a possible early-stage uptrend, with Fibonacci levels and price gaps as the next resistance checkpoints.
 Moving average resistance 
The 100-week moving average (~$6.20) was reclaimed, reinforcing bullish momentum, but multiple resistance layers lie ahead (notably $8.42, $11.38, $13.48).
 Fibonacci retracements 
Levels from the $16.16 high down to $3.64 low are plotted. Price is now approaching the 0.382 retracement ($8.42) after reclaiming the 0.236 retracement ($6.59), indicating it’s working through resistance zones.
Volume confirmation
Recent strong green volume bars show accumulation and short-covering, a common feature after a prolonged downtrend.
NIO : predicts   Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias)How AI predicts daily market moves...🚀📈
⚡  NYSE:NIO  predicts   Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias)
📊 Current Market Status
Price: $6.21
Data Quality: ✅ Good
Timeframe: 1-Min K-Line (Intraday)
🎯 Intraday Price Predictions
30-Min → $6.22 (+0.24%)
2-Hr → $6.11 (-1.54%)
End-of-Day → $6.17 (-0.65%)
📈 Extended Outlook
Final Target: $6.17 (-0.65%)
Predicted Volatility: 66.5%
Range: $5.79 – $6.23
⚖️ Trend Analysis
Direction: BEARISH
Confidence: 64%
Bias: 🔻 Leaning downside with volatility expansion
🔑 Key Levels
Support: $5.79
Resistance: $6.23
Range Size: 7.2% of price
🚨 Intraday Trade Signal
Direction: SHORT
Entry: $6.21
Target: $6.18
Stop: $6.30
Confidence: 64%
Expected Move: -0.7%
R/R: 0.34 : 1
Horizon: 390 min (day session)
NIO Share Price Shows Signs of StrengthNIO Share Price Shows Signs of Strength 
This week, the media highlighted that the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese smart electric vehicle manufacturer, fell after management announced a $1 billion share offering to raise capital. The funds are intended to finance projects such as the development of EV charging infrastructure.
Indeed, on 10 September, a wide bearish gap appeared on the chart, but by 11 September (yesterday) the bulls had almost entirely recovered the decline. This indicates bullish strength, possibly supported by a solid fundamental backdrop, driven by:
→ the expansion of NIO’s model range (which now includes the budget ONVO brand as well as the premium Firefly series);
→ higher delivery volumes – in the latest reporting quarter the company delivered 72,056 vehicles, up 25.6% compared to the previous period.
The NIO Inc. (NIO) price chart points to further bullish signals.
  
 Technical Analysis of NIO Stock 
Price movements are forming an ascending channel (shown in blue), with the following features:
→ The bulls managed to recover from the sharp decline 0→1, after which we observe the 1→6 sequence, typical of a bullish market, as each subsequent low and high is higher than the previous one.
→ Upward impulses are steep, while the subsequent pullbacks (which can be interpreted as a bullish flag pattern, shown in red) look like healthy corrections.
→ Key resistance levels are turning into support. This was the case with $4.40 and $5.30. The black arrow shows that the channel’s median line also acts as support – which led to the price moving above the psychological $6 level.
From a bearish perspective, resistance may be provided by the upper boundary of the current correction zone. However, the third bullish flag could be broken (as were the previous two), which would open the way for NIO’s share price to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel.
 This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
This set up is just about 10/10I posted about this in the Minds feed on TradingView last week
Trade active: Entered Monday August 11th 2025.
Last Time I played this pattern on NIO was back in September of last year and you can see to the left on my chart that it produced a 30% upside breakout from the move. If I remember correctly the volume and the move was probably news driven.
Now you can see this time there is something that makes this trade more powerful and interest me more. 
We are above the Daily 200 Ema consolidating after making a new overall low on price this year. This typically a market maker algorithm that is used to shake out a ton of impatient paper hand investors.
The next day after I bought this I was down 10% on my shares and at the bottom of the flag. Shows you just can’t time the market every time obviously, but to me this was a great time to add options. I did some $5 calls expiring I think next Month. They are now up about 50%.
Price on August 14th swept the flag and tapped the 200Ema and price of course was sent to the top of the flag where we sit now. That luckily brought me back to break even on my shares and up 50% on my Call Options.
At this point Im patiently waiting to see if this trade idea works. I mean it’s NIO, the Chinese car company, that none of us have ever seen in person and with Trump in office people are scared of investing and or trading Chinese stocks. I see this as opportunity. All trades are dangerous but if you really look at NIO it’s a really easy stock to trade and it does respect a lot of Technical Analysis. 
Trade Idea:
Entries: Enter now! Feel the FOMO! (Just kidding)
-Enter only if you wish to gamble this amazing set up
-If your a break out trader then wait for the Flag to get closed over & retested.
-Being a little early on consolidation like this is fine if your patient on waiting for the break up or the invalidation from the break down.
-The way the Daily candle closed yesterday August 18th kind of indicates you might be able to grab it in the middle or towards the bottom of the flag pattern.
Stop Loss:
-Im playing Soft stops on this. This just means I am waiting to close my position only if price closes under $4.21 on the Daily time frame. At that point I know my idea has been invalidated and I can walk away with a loss and be onto the next one
-Stop Loss for someone looking to use hard stops you can play this right under $4.20 
-If your dont want to play stop loss then I dont think owning NIO down here at these numbers are a bad investment at all. This company makes some cool stuff and they are backed by the Chinese Government. Also look at what happens when this stock hits sub $3 range it gets accumulated and sent right back to $5 every time.
Profits:
- I like targeting atleast 1:2 risk to reward on anything in a down trend like this.
- However we did sweep out a new low on price this year. We have more buyers this time so this move can be much bigger than the 30% move from last year. We are also above the 200ema this time on the consolidation so you could be less inclined to take earlier profits.
-$5.50 is swing high one and or the first place you can look to shave some off, this is a place we could reject.
-$6.07 is the next swing high and another place you can pay yourself a little bit. This puts you at 1:2 RR ratio
-At this point its definitely smart to move your stop loss to breakeven so you dont have to manage this much more
-Final TP range would be a large stretch between $7-$9 which if Im still holding shares and options then this is where Ill look to to empty the rest out. That will be nearly a 80% move up if we can make it that far (Would need some sort of news and intense buying pressure to send us there) Very unlikely of hitting so don't wait around on that. If it doesn't get there quickly then we will definitely have out pull back when the rally drys up.
Anyways there’s probably a crap ton of reading errors in here, I just woke up at 4am from my cat begging for more food and said I should type this up and expose this idea since I am in love with it. 
Ask me questions if you got them & I’ll try to help.
Final Note:
Follow your plan trim your profits and don't let other people online change your price targets. People get in plays like this then go to YouTube to see some idiot that says “NIO TO $25 BY 2026!!!” Then you don't sell and get stuck with it at $3 in 2026 and tie your money up for no reason when you could of just taken your money and moved to the next one. I did this same crap in 2020 when I first got into trading and got sucked into the “meme stock” pumps that were happening after the stimulus checks hit everyone’s accounts. Now I just use past data on charts to help guide my decisions on take profit and trust me its much better than going for the YouTube guys lottery dream conspiracy’s. Who the hell knows? Maybe it can go to higher numbers, but unless you had a plan of action to hold to those numbers then it’s not your destiny to hold for returns like that on a stock like this.
You’ll be more mad to give the profit back you made then you will be feeling FOMO of price moving higher after you sold. Just go with the flow, there’s 9000 ticker symbols in the stock market and plenty of other opportunities. There’s also Forex, Futures and Crypto that all trade as well. The opportunity is everywhere, just play it smart!






















