NVDAB trade ideas
NVIDIA Next stop.. $200For a long time we've been calling for a $200 Target on NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA). That was our main Target for the Bull Cycle that started in November 2022. The stock is very close to this level and the short-term pattern that can get to it is this Channel Up.
Supported by the 1H MA100 (green trend-line), NVIDIA has been posting Bullish Legs of around +10% since the September 05 Low. The confirmation signal for those Legs has been a 1H MACD Bullish Cross.
Given that we formed one yesterday, we expect the price to be on such a Bullish Leg already. The 'weakest' of those sequences has been +9.58%, which if repeated, lands marginally above the $200 psychological level.
Time to hit it?
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Full moon energy - $NVDA🟩 190 — resistance zone
🟪 194 — potential breakout
🟥 153 — mid-range support
🟨 127 / 112 — deep demand zones
Momentum still strong but slowing near highs… like energy you can still feel, even when it’s pulling back that “missing you” I do mean you! phase before momentum returns.
NVDA Showdown:Will Bulls Charge to $204 or Bears Drag Us to $163If NVDA falls under $179, it might quickly drop to $176.70. If it keeps falling, the next stop could be $163. But if NVDA goes up and closes above $188, we could see it reach $199 or even $204.
Why do these levels matter? Because a big move could happen soon; either a big fall or a strong jump up. What would you do if NVDA hit these prices? Have you seen this happen before?
If you’re wondering what these moves could mean for you, or if you have questions, just send me a message. Sometimes one good question leads to your best trade ever. What would you ask if you could get a clear answer?
Mindbloome Exchange/ Trade What You See
$NVDA : The Rally’s Writing Its Own Headline! 10/9/2025NASDAQ:NVDA is making steady strides toward its wave C target of $235, following a challenging 13-month correction that found its bottom at $95 in April.
The bullish momentum could push prices even higher, eyeing a potential $321.
Sit tight and enjoy the ride! 🚀👌
NVDA – Bearish Divergence at the Peak: Is a Healthy Correction CPrice is testing the upper boundary of its long-term ascending channel near 190 USD, showing clear bearish divergence between price vs RSI and MACD histogram, signaling weakening momentum. A corrective A–B–C wave toward the 125-135 $ zone is likely, aligning with EMA and Ichimoku supports. This would form a healthy reaccumulation phase before the next potential bullish leg.
Nvidia Is Trading Near All-Time Highs. What Does Its Chart Say?Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA hit an all-time intraday high this past week after rebounding some 120% from its April lows. What does the AI-friendly chip giant's chart and fundamental analysis say could happen next?
Let's check things out:
Nvidia's Fundamental Analysis
We're still more than a month away from hearing from Nvidia about its Q3 quarterly results, which will likely come in late November.
But as of right now, the Street is looking for the high-end GPU designer to report $1.24 in adjusted earnings per share for the period on roughly $54.7 billion of revenue.
That would represent a 53.1% gain from the year-ago period's $0.81 in adjusted EPS, as well almost 56% growth from the $35.1 billion in revenues seen 12 months earlier.
That kind of sales growth would be more than impressive for almost any other firm, but would actually represent a deceleration from the growth pace NVDA has experienced over the past two years or so.
The advent of big capex up-spend on artificial-intelligence-focused infrastructure meant Nvidia boasted annual sales growth well into three-figure percentages during much of 2023 and into 2024.
But the "law of large numbers" eventually kicks in for everyone, even Nvidia -- and that's really not a bad thing at all. After all, NVDA's stock currently trades at about 30 times forward-looking earnings and 53 times trailing earnings.
Expensive? Maybe, but a growth rate at this kind of scale is hard to put a price on. Less than 1% of Nvidia's entire float is held in short positions, so we know there aren't a lot of NVDA out there.
In fact, 33 of the 38 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover NVDA have revised their Q3 earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while just two have lowered their forecasts. (Three have left their estimates unchanged.)
And in full disclosure, I'm personally long this name and have been for a very long time.
Nvidia's Technical Analysis
Now let's check out NVDA's chart going back some eight months and running through Wednesday afternoon:
Readers will see that Nvidia bottomed out at $86.62 intraday on April 7, forming a bullish "cup-with-handle" pattern in the process (marked with a curving purple in at the chart's left).
The stock then rallied from that early April low into late July, which I've illustrated with a Raff Regression model (the orange-shaded area above).
However, NVDA next hit stiff resistance from late July through late September, bumping its head up against the Raff Regression's ceiling many times before finally cracking through on Sept. 30.
This resistance formed the upper trendline of what's known as an "ascending-triangle" pattern of bullish continuance, marked with thick black lines at the chart's right.
The top black line now serves as Nvidia's pivot at the $184 level. We can see that since cracking this line in recent days, the stock has tested it from above and found support. (NVDA was trading at $189.85 Monday morning as I wrote this after hitting a $195.62 all-time intraday high on Friday.)
Meanwhile, Nvidia's secondary indicators are postured quite bullishly.
Its Relative Strength Index (the gray line marked "RSI" at the chart's top) is improving and flashing a better-than-neutral signal, but isn't yet technically overbought.
Similarly, all three components of Nvidia's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indications (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) are in good shape.
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (blue field) is above the zero-bound, as are the 12-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted with a black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line). The best part for the bulls is that the 12-day line is running above the 26-day line and both lines are still rising.
An Options Option
A bullish trader might get involved with Nvidia by initiating a "buy-write" strategy.
This involves purchasing a stock and simultaneously "writing" (i.e. selling) a covered call against that equity position to reduce the investor's net basis. Here's an example:
-- Buy 100 shares of NVDA at or close to $188.
-- Sell (write) one Nov. 21 $210 call for about $4.25. This call will likely expire after Nvidia's 3Q earnings come out.
Net basis: $183.75.
In the example above, selling the covered call will significantly lower the equity position's net basis.
Should the shares be called away in November, the trader would still realize a 14.3% profit. That's fine, but this trade is really about getting long NVDA while finding ways to reduce net basis.
The trader in the example above could theoretically keep writing covered calls against the stock for as long as the equity position exists, further and further reducing net basis.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long NVDA at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Nvidia: Bullish DistractionAmid bullish momentum, Nvidia edged closer to resistance at $196.45 before settling into sideways action late last week. As a result, there remains a 37% probability that the stock will bypass a new low and instead break directly above the $196.45 level. However, our primary expectation is for the stock to turn lower, targeting our green Target Zone between $163.09 and $139.58 to complete green wave . Only after this move do we anticipate a sustained advance above $196.45, which would mark the completion of beige wave III. Following a wave IV pullback below this threshold, we ultimately expect gains into the blue Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60, where beige wave V should complete not only blue wave (V), but also the larger neon green wave .
$NVDA final leg higher? Over $200?The move down on Friday looks like it marked a low to me and that we could see our final move higher from here.
It's been my idea that we see a blowoff top over the next couple of weeks, so I think these levels in the box will mark the top.
I think it's most likely that we get somewhere between the $222 level and $232 level, but I've marked off other levels just incase.
I've taken some calls, let's see how the move plays out from here.
NVDA Long Setup: Retest of Former Resistance as SupportHello TradingView Community,
This post outlines a potential long trade setup for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) on the 15-minute chart.
Technical Analysis:
The chart highlights a key horizontal price level at approximately $181.48. This level previously acted as a significant resistance, capping the price on multiple occasions and creating a ceiling for the stock.
We have recently seen a strong breakout above this resistance, indicating a shift in momentum to the bullish side. The trading idea is based on a classic "resistance-turned-support" pattern. We are looking for the price to pull back to this broken level, hold it as new support, and then continue its upward trajectory. The current price action shows this retest may be in progress.
Trade Setup:
The long position tool on the chart visualizes the specific plan for this bullish scenario:
Entry: Approximately $181.48 (at the retest of the new support).
Stop Loss: $176.15 (placed below the support structure to invalidate the idea if the level fails).
Take Profit: $197.30 (targeting a new higher high).
This setup provides a structured plan with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a potential continuation of the bullish move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading stocks involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately before making any trading decisions.
Nvidia - Starting a clear +20% rally!🧲Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) rallies higher now:
🔎Analysis summary:
About one decade ago, Nvidia broke out of a major bullish triangle pattern. Following this remarkable breakout, Nvidia continued with a rally of about +35.000%. But looking at all these previous cycles, Nvidia remains bullish with another potential +20% move towards the upside.
📝Levels to watch:
$200, $250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Nvidia Stock Nears the $200 MarkNvidia’s stock has gained more than 4% over the last three trading sessions. The price currently hovers slightly above $190 per share, marking new record highs and moving closer to the psychological level of $200.
Buying pressure has intensified after the U.S. government authorized a series of agreements allowing the export of advanced artificial intelligence chips to the United Arab Emirates, opening a strategic trade channel with the Middle East. This development has strengthened investor confidence, fueled by higher long-term revenue expectations for the company. As a result, buying momentum may continue to dominate in the short term.
Relevant Uptrend
Since early April, the stock has maintained a steady upward trend, consistently posting new highs that confirm a dominant bullish bias on the broader chart. So far, there have been no significant corrections threatening this structure, leaving the uptrend line as the key reference for short-term movements.
However, as the price approaches the $200 level, a phase of indecision could emerge due to signs of buyer exhaustion, reflected in the formation of weakening candles. This behavior could lead to technical pullbacks within the broader bullish trend.
RSI
The RSI line remains above the 50 level, indicating that buying momentum remains dominant over the past 14 trading sessions. However, the indicator is gradually approaching the overbought zone (70). If it reaches this level, it could signal an imbalance in market forces, opening the door to short-term downward corrections.
MACD
The MACD histogram remains close to the neutral line (0), suggesting a lack of clear directional strength in the short-term moving averages.
Both indicators point to a potential phase of indecision in short-term movements, allowing for a possible period of consolidation within the current bullish bias, especially if no new major catalysts emerge to drive aggressive buying pressure in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
$200 – Psychological Resistance: In the absence of historical references, this level stands out as the most relevant short-term price point. It could act as a technical barrier, triggering temporary pullbacks.
$184 – Near-Term Support: Corresponds to the recent retracement area. A drop below this level could neutralize bullish momentum and lead to a sideways consolidation phase.
$170 – Key Support: Associated with recent lows, located below the 100-period moving average. A sustained move under this level could shift the market structure and pave the way for a dominant bearish bias.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NVDA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-10-11Trade Recommendation for NVidia (NVDA)
Direction: BUY PUTS Confidence: 40% (Below Minimum Threshold) Conviction: HIGHLY SPECULATIVE
Analysis Summary:
Katy AI Signal: Neutral with low confidence (50%). Weekly Momentum: Bearish (negative performance in the past week). Other Factors: Slightly more puts being bought (Put/Call Ratio of 0.93), negative gap, and VWAP indicating potential selling pressure.
While Katy AI’s signal is neutral, weekly momentum leans bearish, suggesting a speculative approach to buying puts. However, this recommendation comes with significant uncertainty due to low confidence and mixed signals.
Trade Setup:
Expiry Date: 2025-10-17 (6 days) Strike Price: $175 Put Delta: ~0.4 (Balanced exposure for speculative positions)
Risks & Considerations:
Highly speculative due to low confidence and mixed signals. Market volatility is elevated, with a VIX of 21.66 compared to the 17.60 five-day average. Close monitoring of market data is essential given the speculative nature of this trade.
Important Notes: This recommendation carries high risk and should be approached cautiously. Only allocate capital that you can afford to lose.
Final Decision: Proceed with a highly speculative BUY PUTS strategy on NVidia with caution. 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: NVDA 🔀 Direction: 💵 Entry Price: None 🎯 Profit Target: None 🛑 Stop Loss: None 📏 Size: N/A 📈 Confidence: 50% ⏰ Entry Timing: N/A 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-10-11 14:53:59 EDT
🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
📊 Full Technical Analysis Chart (Paid Subscribers Only)
Below is the complete unblurred chart with all technical indicators and analysis details:
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NVDA - AI Dominance + Strong Technical Structure | Long Entry📈 Ticker: NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)
📍 Recommendation: LONG
⏰ Timeframe: Position Trade (4-8 weeks)
🎯 Trade Idea Summary
Entry: $189.00 (on pullback to support)
Stop Loss: $173.00 (-8.5%)
Take Profit: $221.00 (+16.9%)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.0
📊 Fundamental Justification - AI LEADER 🚀
Revenue Growth: STRONG (+114% YoY) - $60.9B to $130.5B 💰
Net Income Growth: STRONG (+145% YoY) - $29.8B to $72.9B 📈
Debt Health: EXCELLENT (Score 10/10) - Low debt, high coverage ✅
Market Position: Dominant AI/GPU market share
Growth Catalyst: AI infrastructure spending cycle
📈 Technical Analysis
Trend: Daily ↗️ Alcista, 4H ↗️ Alcista, 1H ↗️ Alcista (ALL BULLISH)
RSI: 65.8 - Healthy momentum, not overbought
MACD: Bullish and positive across timeframes
Price Action: Above all key SMAs, holding higher lows
Key Support: $185 (recent swing), $178 (SMA20), $173 (critical)
Key Resistance: $195 (psychological), $205 (recent high), $221 (target)
🔍 Catalyst & Market Context
AI Revolution: Sustained data center demand
Earnings Momentum: Consistently beating expectations
Product Cycle: Blackwell GPU platform rollout
Institutional Support: Heavy fund ownership
🎮 Trade Management
Ideal Entry Zone: $188 - $190
Stop Below: $173.00 (below SMA20 and key support)
Target 1: $205.00 (+8.5%) - Consider partial profit
Target 2: $221.00 (+16.9%) - Full position target
Timeframe: 4-8 weeks for full target
⚠️ Risk Factors
Valuation Premium: P/E 53.9 (high but growth-justified)
Market Dependency: Tech sector correlation
Competition: AMD/Other AI chip competitors
Economic Sensitivity: Capex spending cycles
✅ Why This Trade Works
Earnings Powerhouse - Explosive growth in AI era 📊
Technical Strength - Clean uptrend across timeframes 🟢
Structural Tailwinds - Multi-year AI investment cycle 🔄
Risk Management - Defined levels with 1:2 R/R 🛡️
📅 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: $185 - $188
Breakout Level: $195 - $197
Acceleration Zone: Above $205
Invalidation: Below $173 (stop loss)
#NVDA #NVIDIA #AI #PositionTrade #TechStocks #Breakout
#ArtificialIntelligence #Semiconductors #GrowthInvesting #RiskManagement
Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendation. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDA: Riding the AI Hype Wave to $250!NASDAQ:NVDA just hit its all-time high last friday, reaching my swing trade target. While I took profits as part of my routine discipline, I still believe there's plenty of upside left, with $250 in sight.
Here's why:
Strong Fundamentals: Nvidia consistently beats earnings expectations, with EPS climbing from $0.11 to $0.68 over recent six quarters. This growth trajectory shows no signs of slowing down, reinforcing the stock's upward momentum.
Analyst Confidence: Out of 65 analysts, 51 rate Nvidia as a "Strong Buy," with none suggesting a sell. While the average price target is $149.81, the highest target of $202.79 shows strong backing from the financial community.
Bullish Technicals: Weekly and daily moving averages, from the 10-day to the 200-day, are flashing "Buy" across the board. Add to that a myriad of other indicators in different time frames (basically, you name it), and it’s signaling "Buy." In short, everything is pointing towards continued bullish momentum and potential for further gains.
Market Leadership: Nvidia's dominance in AI and high-performance computing continues to grow. Its cutting-edge AI chips, as well as its strong presence in data centers and gaming, put the company in a prime position to capitalize on key growth sectors.
And finally, why am I more bullish than even the highest analyst target? Well, it’s simple: the hype. Nvidia is at the forefront of the most exciting and disruptive technologies today—AI, data centers, gaming—you name it. The market's enthusiasm surrounding these sectors is growing exponentially, and Nvidia is perfectly positioned to ride that wave. Sometimes, fundamentals and technicals align with pure market excitement, and that’s where I see Nvidia pushing past those conservative estimates toward $250.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading stocks involves risk, and you should perform your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Nvidia to Recover: Just A Bump In the Road?Trump’s remarks about China close to Friday’s weekly close sent markets into a brief panic. Nvidia had just made a new all-time high, breaking through the previous top and resistance near 184, and was attempting another leg higher despite the US government shutdown. His comments triggered a 7 percent selloff, causing NVDA to retest the previous resistance zone from above.
The 182–184 area is now the primary support. After Trump slightly eased tensions, the stock is up 3 percent in premarket trading today. The road ahead may be bumpier than bulls would like, but the upside remains the base case for now. If both the 182–184 zone and the 177 support fail, that would be the point where the bullish outlook should be reconsidered for the short to medium term.
NVDA Long/Investment till mid nov. 2 entries: low probability of orders getting filled/high profit margin.
1. one for higher probability of getting filled. E: 174 SL: 166
2. better profit margin. E: 172 SL: 167
target is $200 - $220
only allowed to hold it till:
1. 15 of November
or
2. 3 of December
why not to hold it till 2026? competition of selling might get higher.
commercials and fund managers will take profit before the bearish seasonality starts.
NVDA (Nvidia’s) Leading Diagonal Pattern Targets $193The short-term Elliott Wave analysis for Nvidia (NVDA) indicates that the cycle from the September 18 low is unfolding as a leading diagonal. Starting from that low, wave ((i)) concluded at $184.55, followed by a pullback in wave ((ii)) that ended at $173.12, as depicted in the 30-minute chart. The stock then surged in wave ((iii)), displaying an internal impulse structure. From wave ((ii)), wave (i) peaked at $180.26, with wave (ii) dipping to $174.93. Wave (iii) climbed to $187.35, followed by a wave (iv) pullback to $183.90. The final leg, wave (v), reached $191.05, completing wave ((iii)) in a higher degree.
The subsequent wave ((iv)) pullback formed a zigzag Elliott Wave pattern. From wave ((iii)), wave (a) declined to $185.38, wave (b) rose to $190, and wave (c) dropped to $182.88, finalizing wave ((iv)). The stock has since resumed its ascent in wave ((v)), with wave (i) ending at $187.23 and wave (ii) dips concluding at $184. The stock is poised to climb further, likely completing wave (iii) soon. A wave (iv) pullback should follow to correct the cycle from the October 8, 2025 low before resuming higher. As long as the $173.12 pivot holds, any pullback should find support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, setting the stage for additional upside.