Intel CorporationIntel CorporationIntel Corporation

Intel Corporation

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INTC Elon mention Intel for making Tesla chips

INTC just the fabs are above current market cap 2x

INTC 📊 Fundamental Analysis
Intel's fundamentals present a mixed picture, marked by a significant turnaround effort but also areas of concern.
Valuation and Profitability: The stock has a high trailing P/E ratio of 1,259.17, indicating its current price is very high relative to its earnings per share of $0.03 . Its profit margin is a very thin 0.37% .

Turnaround Progress: On the positive side, Intel has made a strong comeback in 2025, with the stock up 95.4% year-to-date . Recent quarters have shown improved performance, with Q3 2025 results beating expectations on both revenue ($13.7B) and earnings per share ($0.23) . The company has also reported a return to positive adjusted free cash flow .

Conflicting Value Assessments: Analysts are divided on whether the stock is fairly valued. A discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis suggests the stock is significantly overvalued with an intrinsic value of $15.58 . In contrast, a Price-to-Sales (P/S) analysis indicates it is undervalued compared to its industry peers, trading at a P/S of 3.52x versus a sector average of 5.28x .

📰 Catalyst & News-Driven Analysis
Recent news provides a strong positive catalyst for Intel, driven by strategic investments and product progress.

Major Strategic Investments: Intel's balance sheet has been bolstered by large investments from the U.S. government ($8.9 billion), Nvidia ($5 billion), and SoftBank ($2 billion). This provides capital and signals strong external confidence in Intel's turnaround plan .

Product Roadmap Progress: The company has reported progress on its next-generation Panther Lake Core Ultra processors, which are key to its push into AI-oriented chips .

INTC Doesn't look too bad for a long hold.



INTC Vivek, David and the like have some 20% return on their portfolios. WOW! Must know their stuff.


INTC
Intel is investing over $100 billion into new fabs — Ohio ($20B now, up to $100B planned), Germany (~€30B / $32B), and Israel ($25B). Much of this is supported by the U.S. CHIPS Act ($8.5B in grants + $11B in loans) and European incentives.
A significant portion of future demand for those fabs comes from the same hyperscalers driving the AI boom — Microsoft, Amazon, and Google — through pre-orders and strategic partnerships.
Microsoft alone has invested over $13B (and up to $58B total commitments) in OpenAI, which spends a large share of that money back on Microsoft’s Azure to train and run its models.
Microsoft then spends tens of billions more buying GPUs from Nvidia — and now Intel’s Gaudi 3 chips — to expand that same AI infrastructure. Intel books AI-related revenue, reinvests part of it into fab expansion, and the cycle repeats.
On paper it looks like explosive AI growth, but in practice, much of it is the same capital moving in circles — financial recycling amplified by subsidies and cross-investment.
It works great while enthusiasm lasts, but when real customer demand slows, or people’s excitement fades, the loop could stop spinning fast.
As I see it, value doesn’t really exist on its own — it’s created by people’s belief in it.
Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta → OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI → Nvidia, AMD, Intel → TSMC, GlobalFoundries, Samsung.
The circular AI money loop only works if everyone in it — Microsoft, Nvidia, Intel, OpenAI, Amazon, Google, and the rest — keeps expanding at roughly the same pace. That means more chips, more datacenters, more AI models, and actual customers willing to pay for it all.
The problem is that this system depends on unbroken collective success. If even one or two major players slow down or dont make product or makes bad product, demand stalls and the rest follow — and that’s how bubbles usually end.